How to Know When Alt-Season Is Here?Hello, Traders!
If you've been in crypto long enough, you’ve probably heard the term alt-season — that exciting period when altcoins significantly outperform Bitcoin (BTC), and the market sees massive rallies across smaller assets. But how do you know when an alt-season is about to begin?
There are key alt-season indicators that traders watch to spot opportunities before the big moves happen. Let’s break down what alt-season is, how to identify it, and what signs indicate that a market-wide altcoin rally is about to start. 👇🏻
What Is Alt-Season?
Alt-season, short for altcoin season, is a market cycle when altcoins (any cryptocurrency that isn’t Bitcoin) outperform Bitcoin and experience rapid price increases. During alt-season, traders shift their focus from Bitcoin to altcoins, leading to:
Higher Altcoin Dominance.
Increased Liquidity in Smaller-Cap Coins.
Massive Rallies in Speculative Assets.
Alt-season doesn’t happen randomly; it follows specific market conditions and signals that traders can identify early.
Key Indicators That Alt-Season Is Coming
1. Bitcoin Dominance Declines
One of the strongest alt-season indicators is the Bitcoin Dominance Index (BTC.D). This metric measures Bitcoin’s market cap relative to the entire crypto market.
When bitcoin dominance falls, it signals that traders are moving capital into altcoins. If BTC dominance breaks a long-term support level, it often marks the beginning of alt-season.
2. Ethereum Outperforms Bitcoin
Ethereum (ETH) is the largest altcoin, and its performance typically sets the tone for the broader altcoin market.
If ETH/BTC starts trending upward, it’s a strong sign that alt-season could be near. Ethereum often leads the first wave of altcoin breakouts, followed by mid-cap and low-cap coins.
3. Altcoin Market Cap Growth
Tracking altcoins' total market cap (MCAP) (excluding Bitcoin) can indicate early alt-season signals.
When the altcoin market cap increases while Bitcoin remains stable or declines, it shows capital rotation into altcoins. A sudden spike in the altcoin market cap, especially with volume, indicates growing investor interest.
4. Surge in Crypto Airdrops and ICOs
New projects launch aggressively during alt-season, and crypto airdrops become more frequent.
If you start seeing airdrop crypto promotions everywhere, it may be a sign that the market is heating up. Many traders hunt for free airdrop crypto opportunities during alt-seasons to get early exposure to new tokens.
5. Social Media and Retail Hype Increases
Retail traders often drive the biggest altcoin rallies. Some signs that alt-season is underway:
Crypto influencers and X (formerly known as Twitter) threads constantly mention that “alt-season is here.” Crypto airdrops are a trend on social media, with traders looking for ways to get airdrop crypto opportunities. Telegram and Discord groups have become highly active, discussing the “next 100x altcoins.”
Final Thoughts
The alt-season is one of the most exciting periods in crypto trading. Recognizing the right alt-season indicators can help you enter early, ride the trend, and exit before the hype fades.
So, traders, do you think we’re nearing the next alt-season? What’s your go-to strategy during altcoin rallies? Let’s discuss this in the comments!
Altcoinseason
Stockholm Syndrome in Crypto Trading: Why We Stay LoyalLet’s be honest: altcoins haven’t been performing as well as many would like.
As I’ve started pointing this out through posts and videos, I’ve received a fair share of criticism. Whenever I mention the possibility of a market decline, I’m met with hate, while others who claim the market is heading to the moon are celebrated.
What’s baffling is that no one seems to ask, “Hey, you’ve been saying ‘altcoin season’ is coming for a year, yet we’re still stuck around the same prices. What’s going on?”
This got me thinking: Could this be a form of Stockholm Syndrome in trading?
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What is Stockholm Syndrome in Trading?
Stockholm Syndrome is a psychological phenomenon where hostages develop positive feelings towards their captors. In trading, it’s a bit like this: traders grow emotionally attached to a losing market, even when all signs point to the fact that things aren’t going well.
Instead of cutting losses and accepting reality, they keep holding on, hoping things will change – just like a hostage hoping for their captor's kindness.
In trading, this manifests as traders continuing to support a market (like coins or certain stocks) that isn’t performing, even when the evidence suggests it’s time to move on.
They become attached to the idea that a specific asset will turn around and deliver massive profits – even when the price action doesn’t back that up.
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The Comfort of Familiarity
Many traders are caught in the cycle of constant hope and “what ifs.” It’s much easier to stay attached to the narrative that specific coins will eventually “take off” than to admit that their portfolios might be stuck sideways or even bear market.
It's also easy to get drawn into the excitement of “moonshots” and grand promises of big returns. The altcoin season, the bull run, the new innovations – these ideas are comforting, even when the market isn’t cooperating.
But here’s the catch: sticking with a market that’s not performing well out of loyalty is dangerous. It stops you from adapting, from making the necessary moves to protect your capital, and from taking advantage of more promising opportunities elsewhere.
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The Reality of the Market
Altcoins have been on a rollercoaster. The hope for altcoin season has been building up for over a year now, yet many traders are still facing stagnant or even declining prices. When faced with this reality, we often see two types of responses:
1. The Blind Optimist:
Some traders will continue to hold and buy into altcoins, even when it’s clear the market isn’t moving in their favor. They believe that the next big move is just around the corner, and they refuse to let go of the dream.
2. The Critic:
Others, like me, will point out the slow or negative price action, urging caution and suggesting that a pullback or continued consolidation is more likely. But when we do, we’re met with anger, disbelief, or even accusations of “fear-mongering.”
It’s frustrating to see those who remain hopeful get so emotionally attached to a failing asset, while others who try to see things more clearly get met with hostility.
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The Dangers of Stockholm Syndrome in Trading
When traders fall into this “Stockholm Syndrome,” they stop questioning their strategies and beliefs. They become too emotionally involved with a market that isn’t giving them the results they want.
This prevents them from making the tough decisions they need to make to protect their portfolios – whether that’s cutting losses or re-allocating capital to more promising assets.
It’s also a trap that keeps you stuck in an echo chamber of hope and denial, rather than facing the market with logic and clear-headed analysis.
The longer you stay loyal to an asset that’s underperforming, the more you risk watching your portfolio sink further.
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Breaking Free: A Rational Approach to Trading
The key to successful trading is learning to let go of emotional attachment. Don’t hold onto an asset simply because you’ve been told it will perform or because you’ve invested a lot of time and money into it.
Here are a few ways to break free from the Stockholm Syndrome in trading:
1. Focus on the facts:
Look at the actual price action and market conditions, not the narrative you’ve built around it. If the market isn’t moving, don’t force a belief that it will soon.
2. Admit when it’s time to move on:
It’s not about being right or wrong – it’s about protecting your capital. If an asset isn’t performing, consider cutting your losses and finding new opportunities that align with your trading strategy.
3. Stay flexible:
The market is dynamic, and you need to be able to adjust your strategy based on current conditions. Don’t get stuck in a “one-size-fits-all” approach.
4. Let go of the need to be loyal:
Trading isn’t about loyalty; it’s about profits and risk management. Sometimes, moving on is the best decision for your financial health.
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Conclusion
If you’ve been stuck in the cycle of hoping that altcoins will suddenly surge, or waiting for the long-awaited altcoin season, it might be time to reconsider your approach. It’s important to recognize when you’re emotionally attached to a market that isn’t performing, and break free from that attachment.
By focusing on logical analysis, cutting losses when necessary, and staying flexible in your approach, you can avoid the dangers of Stockholm Syndrome in trading and move towards more profitable opportunities.
Remember: Trading isn’t about loyalty to a coin or a narrative – it’s about making smart, objective decisions that will help you grow your capital.
ALT-SEASON or NOT ? ALT-SEASON or NOT ? So how do we understand this? Altseason
To understand this, I checked the whole market by doing very detailed study. I share the charts that I find important on the subject.
The most important charts are:
1-) Btc Dominance
2-)Eth/btc
3-)Eth/usd
4-) Total2, Total3 marketcap
5-)Others dominance
6-)Others marketcap
7-)BTC/USD
8-)XRP/BTC
9-)LTC/BTC
I recommend you to check all charts to fully understand. And thank you
1-) Btc Dominance
First one, btc dom. I dont except impossible levels like 60-70. Looks like we have come to end of the road 🗡 ready >>>waterfall
2-)Eth/btc
The rise of ETH means the rise of altcoins. Strong Eth= strong altcoins
ETH/BTC Most important chart imo. We have to save green line !
3-) ETH/USD
ETH/USD
4-) Total2 marketcap/ exclude btc
Total3 marketcap/ exclude btc and eth
5-)Others marketcap 1w
6-) Others Dominance 1w
7-) BTC(USD
8-) XRP/BTC
9-)LTC/BTC
Conclusion : I think the real rise of altcoins will be in 2024. This does not mean that we will not see any increase in 2023. But my main strategy is to collect in 2023 and sell at the end of 2024.
These charts are more meaningful when they come together and form a whole.
How to invest in altcoins if you are a beginner?Altseason is the moment when the big players have taken profits from bitcoin and now the capital is flowing from bitcoin to altcoins! You must understand that not all altcoins will be profitable in the same way!
No need to focus on specific dates and try to predict the future. Your task is to adapt to the market order flow.
The first wave of momentum is buying with big capital! No one here believes in growth yet!
The last wave will be the shortest since it will already be a period of greed with a great news background so that even the latest skeptic would believe that he will become a millionaire thanks to cryptocurrency! It will be time to exit the market
When is the alt season?
Phase 1: Bitcoin
Cash flows are directed to the main cryptocurrency Bitcoin
Phase crossing | Ethereum is starting to fill up with smart money capital. The second cryptocurrency is rapidly trying to catch up and overtake Bitcoin. Ultimately, the growth of Ethereum is much more intense.
Phase 2: Ethereum
Ethereum outperforms Bitcoin. Gradually, the hype begins to rise.
Phase crossing | The flow of money is directed to highly liquid alts, alcoins with the highest capitalization. Major purchases are taking place.
Phase 3: Highly liquid altcoins
After Ethereum identified the first cryptocurrency, highly capitalized altcoins show parabolic growth.
Phase crossing | Regardless of capitalization, some altcoins with good fundamentals show tremendous growth.
Phase 4: Altseason
High-cap alts have finished their vertical growth and are starting to lose ground relative to their peaks, but since they have outpaced Bitcoin and Ethereum in terms of growth, it seems to many that this will continue. Euphoria reigns all around, memes about Lambo and millions are everywhere, the smell of phantom wealth is in the air. Medium and low capitalized assets have the same trend.
Pump Altcoin Trends
But sometimes it also works in the opposite direction, like this year with Pepe Coin
In order to make a decision on investing in any project, you need to conduct research. Most of the information on the coin you are interested in can be found on the website, in technical documents, main analytics platform, social networks of both the project itself and different kinds of communities connected
A very important point is how to fix profit!
Let's say you allocated capital and bought 5 altcoins!
First, bitcoin begins to grow and correction begins
Then one of your altcoins makes a profit and you can fix part of the profit in bitcoin, that is, sell the altcoin not in usdt but in btc
You do not need to wait for a correction on this altcoin to enter again!
You can invest the second part of the profit by additionally accumulating a larger volume in an altcoin that has not yet shown results and is in accumulation
In parallel, bitcoin may also begin to grow, so you increase the profit that you have already recorded
Step by step you can increase your initial deposit just following the trend!
ALGO and Dow Theory Trading Strategy (CRYPTO VERSION)
The accumulation phase is the starting point of a new trend where the smart money is buying into a stock.
Then we start pushing up which attracts the eye of the general public aka the retail traders.
At this stage, everyone starts to pile in before we reach a climax point.
Uninformed investors continue to buy while at the same time smart money sells their stocks which forms the distribution phase.
Ok.look at the Algorand chart. Are we in the second part of the story?
Possible 30% gain on this altcoinsHello Fellas, Today is a very interesting day when we see at the market . it is all because I saw a lot of buy signals from altcoins which could lead them into a huge bullish run in the next few days.
First of all, if we look at the 4 hours chart, we can easily find an ascending triangle has been formed which usually could lead the price to go up. Beside that, I've seen a possible 5th wave is going to be formed in near future.
Because I often see a truncated 5th wave which usually lead us to the double top pattern, I will be waiting for the break out confirmation of this 4 hours pattern. and enter long position from here.
My 1st target will be between 19700 - 20000 which act as previous swing high of current pattern. My highest target for mid term is around the 25000 which is 30% up from current price. However, between 20000 - 25000, I see a lot of significant resistance is ready to fight the price back, that's why I will give you a breakdown update for those resistance ahead.
Thank you.
What does it need to confirm altcoin season?"What seems good is not necessarily good" Maybe this statement is the right quote to represent current condition of the market in cryptocurrency universe, especially in altcoins!
A lot of arguments about the next altcoins season has occured lately. not just because the height of the bitcoin dominance, but also most of the altcoins has reached an extremely bottom right now. If you've read about the logical thinking about money circulation in this current industry, you will understand very well about the correlation between bitcoin dominance and crypto market capitalization.
Let me explain it to you about this logical thinking again. If the bitcoin dominance has reached the top and we see a possible drop on this dominance in the future, this will mean a shifting capital from whales which switch their investment from bitcoin to altcoins. And if this happens, it means that the money outflow from bitcoin will become the money inflow in altcoins because a lot of investors has switched their capital to altcoins. And if this happens, this will automatically increase the market capitalization on altcoins.
In this podcast, I will be focusing on the technical analysis on this altcoin market capitalization. Based on the chart, we can see there is a possibility of this market cap to forms a head and shoulders pattern which will end up with the drop on this market cap. I still believe that altcoin season will happen in near future, but there must be a mitigation if our analysis comes wrong and the price moves against our will. Personally, i will put a huge amount of money on altcoins when the market cap of this altcoins breaks out of the blue region. otherwise, I will be very cautious and try to play conservatively on scalping.
Just as you know the correlation of these important factors :
- Bitcoin dominance goes up, altcoin market cap goes down, altcoin price goes down and vice versa.
Thank you
Ethereum : Equilibrium on market and dominance on bitcoinHello fellas, Finally we get some moves on BTC and once again our analysis has met the precision here with a drop. I've warned you about the bull trap region and possible drop. At the time I made this post, the bitcoin dominance is standing at around 69.4% which is extremely high and not ideal for me. So, I believe in the near future, the dominance will throw over from current level and we will see a drop on bitcoin too. The biggest question is, what could happen on altcoin market? will it follow the bitcoin's drop? or will it moves against bitcoin?
Personally, I really think that current price of altcoin is pretty low and most of them has already touched the historical low. I really can't imagine if the price of that altcoin will drop from current level, it will be such a hell. I use only the logical think to represent my view on current market. Just imagine if the dominance of bitcoin decrease, this will mean there will be a money outflow from bitcoin to keep the equilibrium play in this major market and if there is a huge outflow from bitcoin investment, I do believe the money from big investors which is known as whales in crypto industry will fill in the altcoins space to help bitcoin decrease its dominance. This phenomenon will cause a negative correlation between bitcoin and the altcoin.
I choose to pick ETH as my weapon on this possible bullish scenario on alts because Ethereum is the 2nd largest crypto in this universe just under bitcoin in its rank based on market volume. I do believe in its project too.
And from the technical side, it is moving align too with my above statement. currently the price is playing in the break out cycle both on diagonal and horizontal levels and based on the RSI and MACD, I see the price is gaining strength with its bullish divergence on daily based. I need to see 1 more drop toward the white region and if this level can hold on the price, I will open a long position from there.
This will be a beautiful trade if I have all the confirmation is being met and you will feel how satisfied is with this profit.