Reading The Tape (ICT) Part 2 - 23th Sept 2024This is part 2 of a video, since TradingView does not allow recordings over an hour. Also the previous title had the date wrong, it is 23rd Sept, not 9th.
In this video I practice reading the tape using ICT Concepts, as well as offering general advice to those using his concepts or otherwise.
I hope that you find this video insightful. If you have any questions, leave a comment and I will be glad to answer.
- R2F
Aud
Reading The Tape (ICT) Part 1 - 9th Sept 2024In this video I practice reading the tape using ICT Concepts, as well as offering general advice to those using his concepts or otherwise.
I hope that you find this video insightful. If you have any questions, leave a comment and I will be glad to answer.
- R2F
Trade Like A Sniper - Episode 13 - AUDNZD - (3rd June 2024)This video is part of a video series where I backtest a specific asset using the TradingView Replay function, and perform a top-down analysis using ICT's Concepts in order to frame ONE high-probability setup. I choose a random point of time to replay, and begin to work my way down the timeframes. Trading like a sniper is not about entries with no drawdown. It is about careful planning, discipline, and taking your shot at the right time in the best of conditions.
A couple of things to note:
- I cannot see news events.
- I cannot change timeframes without affecting my bias due to higher-timeframe candles revealing its entire range.
- I cannot go to a very low timeframe due to the limit in amount of replayed candlesticks
In this session I will be analyzing AUDNZD, starting from the 12-Month chart.
- R2F
Trade Like A Sniper - Episode 12 - GBPAUD - (1st June 2024)This video is part of a video series where I backtest a specific asset using the TradingView Replay function, and perform a top-down analysis in order to frame ONE high-probability setup. I choose a random point of time to replay, and begin to work my way down the timeframes. Trading like a sniper is not about entries with no drawdown. It is about careful planning, discipline, and taking your shot at the right time in the best of conditions.
A couple of things to note:
- I cannot see news events.
- I cannot change timeframes without affecting my bias due to higher-timeframe candles revealing its entire range.
- I cannot go to a very low timeframe due to the limit in amount of replayed candlesticks
In this session I will be analyzing GBPAUD, starting from the 12-Month chart.
- R2F
Don't jump early for this H&S pattern!Hello Traders
Our technical view has been shown in the chart.
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Thanks For Reading
Team Fortuna
-RC
(Disclaimer: Published ideas and other Contents on this page are for educational purposes and do not include a financial recommendation. Trading is Risky, so before any action do your research.)
Target Reached! AUDJPY ReviewPrice reversed nicely from the 96.84 level we forecasted and dropped all the way down to the support target.
How did we manage to forecast this setup? Join Desmond as he breaks down the move.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Name of third party provider). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Name of third party provider.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Forex Capital Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 71% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
FXCM EU LTD (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 75% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
FXCM Australia Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): **
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
FXCM Markets LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Target Reached! EURAUD ReviewPrice bounced perfectly from our confluence support level and reached our target. But how did it happen? Join Desmond as he reviews how we managed to forecast the reversal with such a high degree of accuracy.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Name of third party provider). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Name of third party provider.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Forex Capital Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 71% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
FXCM EU LTD (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 76% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
FXCM Australia Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): **
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
FXCM Markets LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Today’s Notable Sentiment ShiftsHigh-Beta – AUD, CAD and NZD benefited from rising commodity prices on Tuesday, as markets set aside concerns about the spread of the Delta coronavirus variant. The notable outperformer in the commodities complex was oil prices, with WTI approaching $68 per barrel, up almost $2.50/+3% on the day.
Indeed, following today’s strong performance in WTI, TD Securities noted that: “With the impact on demand fueling chatter that OPEC+’s next monthly output hike could be delayed, and China’s “Zero-Covid” strategy appearing to have quickly contained the outbreak, crude oil could once again have a solid footing to challenge the $70s.”
Trend Continuation Patterns with Real-Time ExamplesGood morning, Traders! Today we will make an educational post about the most used corrective patterns. There are numerous patterns, even more complex, such as Elliott counts where each internal wave of corrections is explored, but the reality is that it is not 100% necessary to apply it in the market.
The idea of this information is to provide a simplified, useful and applicable overview. For this, we will explain the corrective patterns and then we will show real-time examples that are being presented in the market at the moment or that have happened recently.
The examples will be in high temporalities so that the charts are valid for a few days/weeks.
One concept that encompasses all the corrective patterns that we are going to talk about is that they are all trend continuation patterns. That is to say, it is a correction that is formed and then continues to the previous trend. That said, in all cases, it is necessary that prior to the pattern, there is an impulse in that direction, that is, if we see a triangle, for it to have an upward resolution it is necessary that the previous trend be upward. While there are some cases where the patterns can go in both directions depending on the context, we won't get into them.
Keep in mind that we ALWAYS have to analyze the context of the pattern correctly. For example, if we see a bullish continuation pattern forming near a major resistance or trend line that could interrupt the price movement, it is clearly not the place to put your money. You should always look for the correct pattern + the appropriate scenario for the trade, where the risk-benefit ratio that we obtain is appropriate.
🔸Pennant Pattern: is a type of continuation pattern formed when there is a large movement in a security, known as the flagpole, followed by a consolidation period with converging trend lines—the pennant—followed by a breakout movement in the same direction as the initial large movement, which represents the second half of the flagpole.
🔸Ascending Triangle: it is created by price moves that allow a horizontal line to be drawn along the swing highs and a rising trendline to be drawn along the swing lows. The two lines form a triangle. Traders often watch for breakouts from triangle patterns.
🔸Flag Pattern: when price moves counter to the prevailing price trend observed in a longer time frame on a price chart. It is named because of the way it reminds the viewer of a flag on a flagpole. The flag pattern is used to identify the possible continuation of a previous trend from a point at which price has drifted against that same trend. Should the trend resume, the price increase could be rapid, making trade timing advantageous by noticing the flag pattern.
🔸Descending Wedge: The wedge pattern is a continuation pattern formed when the price bounces between two downward slopings, converging trendlines. It is considered a bullish chart formation but can indicate both reversal and continuation patterns – depending on where it appears in the trend.
🔸Rectangle: is when the price reaches the same horizontal support and resistance levels multiple times. The price is confined to moving between the two horizontal levels, creating a rectangle.
Real-Time examples:
AUD/USD Descending Wedge:
EUR/GBP Rectangle:
EUR/NZD Rectangle:
GBP/USD Flag:
NZD/USD Flag:
USD/JPY Flag:
How to Take Advantage of Both Market Directions?Today we will talk about a very common situation that occurs in the vast majority of traders (if not all), especially when we have just started to get into this bussiness.
There is a consistent struggle between convictions, ego, and market views or analysis. This generates that we try to see in our analysis what we want to happen, or what we need to happen, and ultimately this the only thing that generates are psychological issues on the trader.
The best way to remain calm and be able to trade in a cold and consistent way is to plan in advance all the situations that may occur in the scenario we are analyzing, and how we would act in front of them. In this way, we do not allow ambiguities and we will only take positions if what we are waiting for happens. And, covering both directions, we will not feel that we are missing something if the movement is the opposite of what we expect (as it would happen in case of analyzing only in one direction).
In this case we will analyze AUD/JPY to show you how we carry out this analysis:
🔸First, we are going to detail our vision of the daily graph that is the one shown in the publication.
🔸As we can see, the price is in a clear uptrend, and when faced with the Resistance zone it began to consolidate for several weeks.
🔸From there, we didn't see a clear direction. When we detect that there is no type of trend or clear behavior, we stay out of the market and wait for an opportunity to happen where we can establish a clear horizon.
🔸What we propose to trade this pair is that there is a brekaout. It can be in a bullish or bearish direction. In case of being bullish, it must be from the Resistance zone and in case it is bearish it must be from the trend line.
🔸We are going to decrease the timeframe to show exactly what we expect:
🔸In this image we see the 4H chart.
🔸Basically what we detail is that we expect a break and then a retest / corrective structure. This is because it is a security add-on to avoid potential fakeouts (the trade can fail anyway, of course).
🔸Once we see the retest, we will have a new swing or structure to be able to position our entry and stop loss safely, with a favorable risk-benefit ratio.
🔸The targets are: Resistance zone in case of bullish breakout, and Support zone in case of bullish breakout.
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FLAG pattern Definition:
A FLAG pattern is a continuation chart pattern, named due to its similarity to a flag on a flagpole.
A flag is a relatively rapid chart formation that appears as a small channel after a steep trend, which develops in the opposite direction.
After an uptrend, it has a downward slope. After a downtrend, it has an upward slope.
IMPULSE Definition:
A “flag” is composed of an explosive strong price move forming a nearly vertical line.
This is known as the "IMPULSE" or ”flagpole”.
The sharper the spike on the flagpole, the more powerful the bull flag can be.
Corrective Wave Definition:
After an uptrend, it has a downward slope. After a downtrend, it has an upward slope.
This downward or upward slop known as "Corrective Wave".
Flag patterns can be bullish or bearish:
A bullish flag is known as a Bull Flag.
A bearish flag is known as a Bear Flag.
How to Trade FLAG Patterns:
When the trend line resistance on the flag breaks, it triggers the next leg of the trend move, and the price proceeds ahead.
Breakouts happen in both directions but almost all flags are continuation patterns.
This means that Flags in an uptrend are expected to break out upward and Flags in a downtrend, are expected to break out downward.
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AUD/JPY Long TradeCaught a nice long trade today on AUD/JPY.
Price recently reverted to an area of the previous resistance around the 76.60 level.
Price showed confirmation of rejection at this level following closed bullish 4H candles. The MACD and RVGI also showed signs of a trend reversal by displaying signal crossovers. The RSI was also oversold.
Therefore, a long trade was entered on this pair today and some great profits were banked.
Recent AUD/NZD Long Trade Using ResistanceI caught a nice trade here yesterday on AUD/NZD.
Price had recently broken through resistance, and we saw a strong bullish break out move.
As the bullish momentum slowed down, we saw bears come back into power and drove the price back down to resistance. At this pint, we need to look for 2 actions:
- Either price will break through the resistance level and the bearish move will continue, most likely down to previous support levels in which you could enter a short trade when the break through is confirmed.
OR
- We will see a rejection at the trend line where the price is struggling to break through the resistance, and bulls come back into the equation to drive the price upward. This is when you can enter a long trade.
After identifying the rejection at the trend line, also in line with the MACD and RVI, I entered a long trade and banked a nice profit before bears came back into power and drove the price down.
Support and resistance levels can be used to identify some lovely trade setups, as we have seen with AUD/NZD.
Exchange Rates: Change AUD back to SGDEarlier this year I had change SGD to AUD as I've planned to travel to Australia, due to Covid19 the plan is cancelled and this is the period I was waiting for a better time to change my SGD back to AUD as there will be no plans of travelling to Australia, at least for now.
I've made some money from the exchange. Having the trading knowledge do helps you to save and earn.
GA Short - why we took the tradeAs it is the easter break for many countries - today is a great day to review trades.
For us - we review GBP AUD
we have a great one hour supply zone which was broken and retested as expected to grab and accumulate a few more orders.
we have a strong downward push candle which takes us 100pips further down - and continues to fall as bearish move is very strong - there is not a test at all by looking at the 30min wick.
From here price creates lower lows until a final push into the demand zone - and creates a rejection wick.
Price then begins to side line as buyers enter the market above the daily zone.
Now we see a final push of profit taking by the sellers - forming a base.
Next demand takes over.