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Bearmarket

Navigating Volatile Markets Navigating Volatile Markets: Strategies for Turbulent Times Introduction Financial markets are no stranger to volatility, with unpredictable twists and turns that can test even the most seasoned investors. However, turbulent times need not be daunting. In this blog post, we will explore strategies to help you navigate volatile markets with confidence, turn uncertainty into opportunity, and make informed investment decisions during challenging times. 1. Stay Informed, Not Overwhelmed During periods of market volatility, it's essential to stay informed about market developments and economic indicators. However, avoid becoming overwhelmed by constant news updates and opinions. Focus on reliable sources and maintain a balanced perspective. 2. Diversify Your Portfolio Diversification is a time-tested risk management technique. Spread your investments across different asset classes, industries, and geographic regions. A well-diversified portfolio can cushion the impact of volatility on your overall holdings. 3. Set Clear Goals and Stick to Your Plan Define clear financial goals and create an investment plan tailored to your objectives and risk tolerance. During turbulent times, emotions may tempt you to deviate from your plan. Stay disciplined and trust in the strategy you have set forth. 4. Consider Defensive Investments Explore defensive investments, such as bonds, dividend-paying stocks, and precious metals. These assets may provide stability during market downturns and act as a hedge against heightened volatility. 5. Focus on Quality In uncertain times, prioritize quality over speculative bets. Look for companies with solid fundamentals, stable cash flows, and strong balance sheets. Quality assets are better equipped to weather economic storms. 6. Assess Long-Term Value Volatility can create buying opportunities. Look for high-quality assets that have been oversold due to market sentiment rather than inherent flaws. Assess their long-term value and potential for recovery. 7. Implement Stop-Loss Orders Use stop-loss orders to protect your capital from significant losses. Set stop-loss levels that align with your risk tolerance and allow you to exit positions if the market moves against you. 8. Avoid Panic Selling Resist the urge to panic sell during market downturns. Selling low locks in losses and may hinder your ability to benefit from potential market rebounds. 9. Focus on Risk Management Adopt prudent risk management practices. Only allocate a portion of your portfolio to higher-risk assets and avoid overexposing yourself to individual positions. 10. Seek Professional Advice If navigating volatile markets feels overwhelming, consider seeking advice from a financial advisor. A professional can help you assess your financial goals, devise a tailored strategy, and stay on track during turbulent times. Conclusion Volatility is an inherent part of financial markets, but with the right strategies and a disciplined approach, you can navigate turbulent times with confidence. Stay informed, diversify your portfolio, and focus on long-term value rather than short-term fluctuations. Remember, every market cycle presents opportunities. Embrace volatility as a chance to refine your investment approach, grow your wealth, and turn uncertain times into prosperous outcomes. Happy investing, and may your journey through volatile markets lead you to a more secure financial future!
NASDAQ:TSLAEducation
by MindOverMarket
What to look for during a Bear Market Correction?JS-Masterclass #4: What to look for during a Bear Market Correction? Many undisciplined traders have suffered significant losses during the current bear market correction. Professional and disciplined traders are staying on the sidelines and preserve their hard-earned capital while waiting for better times. The good news is that every bear market will eventually turn into a bull market and new opportunities will show up when only very few people expect it. Leading stocks emerge from bull markets, sometimes long before the major indices reach their lows and start a new uptrend. History shows that more than 96 % of superperformance stocks emerge from bear markets or general market corrections. Most stock market experts are aligned that the current bear market will end soon, some say it bottomed already. So what to do now? Continue to do your homework while the market is down and you will be prepared to make big profits when it turns up. Stay disciplined and look for the following: 1. Stocks hitting the 52-week high list. 2. Stocks that corrected the least amount during the market’s declining period trading within 25% of a 52-week high (the closer to a new high the better). 3. Stocks that surged in price off the market lows (the largest percentage movers). 4. Stocks that are base-building and consolidating within the context of a long-term uptrend. 5. A proliferation of stocks setting up and emerging through proper buy points out of bases. 6. Accumulation in the major averages at or around the time the leaders start breaking out.
Education
by JS_TechTrading
Chart Patterns - Bear Market Scenario Hi there, i have been sharing the chart patterns which are seen on any type of price charts. (CANDLESTICK CHART) and after research and experience, i see that the price move via various ways or concepts. as per my experience, i see that the price move via waves & correction, and react to supply and demand levels. please share it and one may need it. and this is seen any type of instruments like stocks, forex, commodities, Futures & options. crypto. etc. in time frame for BEAR MARKETS ONLY. Note: Its my view only and its for educational purpose only. Only who has got knowledge about this strategy, will understand what to be done on this setup. its purely based on my technical analysis only (strategies). we don't focus on the short term moves, we look for only for Bullish or Bearish Impulsive moves on the setups after a good price action is formed as per the strategy. we never get into corrective moves. because it will test our patience and also it will be a bullish or a bearish trap. and try trade the big moves. we do not get into bullish or bearish traps. We anticipate and get into only big bullish or bearish moves (Impulsive Moves). Just ride the Bullish or Bearish Impulsive Move. Learn & Know the Complete Market Cycle. Buy Low and Sell High Concept. Buy at Cheaper Price and Sell at Expensive Price. Keep it simple, keep it Unique. please keep your comments useful & respectful. Thanks for your support.... Tradelikemee Academy
NSE:PATANJALIEducation
by Tradelikemee
10 things to remember about bear markets, volatility, and panicTrading & investing is not easy. If it were, everyone would be rich. One of the most difficult moments for all traders, and especially investors, is when markets are abnormally bearish, trending downward or in a direction that goes against their positions. Adding to that difficulty is when volatility is rising and when uncertainty is high. These events have occurred throughout market history and should be expected. Every trader or investor should remember a simple truth: markets will go against you at some point. Be prepared. Learning to trade or invest in bearish and volatile markets requires great skill, experience, and composure. The last 12 months has demonstrated that. Stocks, bonds, forex, crypto, and futures have seen heightened volatility over the last 12 months. So what should we do? What now? Let's revisit the basics - the skills, traits, and mindset that are required to survive these moments. 1. Plan ahead 🗺 Plan your trade, trade your plan. Every trade, every investment, should have an underlying plan. Write out the basic questions before you buy or sell. For example, what is your desired entry price? What is your desired exit price? What is your stop loss? How much money are you risking? Why are you making this trade or investment in the first place? In times of volatility, these questions matter more than ever. Get back to the basics. 2. Don't rush 🧘‍♂️ Volatility, and especially market panic, cause people to make quick reactions. The pressure, the fast price action, often forces people to act without a moment to revisit their original plan. Don't do this! Take your time. Stay composed and deal with the hand you have been dealt. 3. Be patient with entries 🎯 Many traders & investors speak of buying dips, but this phrase does explain the steps required. You don't buy dips without a plan. You plan out your strategy, you wait for the perfect entry, and you let the market come to you. When the market is in a downtrend, and volatility is high, it is paramount that you remain patient, waiting for the perfect entry. Use limit orders wisely. 4. Know your timeframe ⏰ Are you trading for one day? One month? Or 5 years? These basic questions will remind you of what you're trying to accomplish and how rushed or patient you should really be. They will also remind you about the chart you should be looking at, whether you should be zoomed in to a 30-minute chart or zoomed out to a weekly chart, showing years of price histort. 5. Have an exit strategy 🚨 An exit strategy means that no matter what happens, you know where your stop loss is and you know where your profit target is. No matter what happens, up or down or sideways, you have an exit plan. Do not leave any entry or exit up to chance. Create your exit strategy before you place the trade and follow it. 6. Tighten position size 💪 Added volatility and uncertainty needs to be factored into your game plan before it begins in the first place. However, many new investors and traders forget to do this. If that's you, it's time to adjust your strategy, your plan, for larger trading ranges, volatility. The year-long trends that defined a previous market are now less valid. 7. Zoom out for historical context 🔎 Zoom out on your charts. Then keep zooming out. And now zoom out some more. Circle the latest candle, line or price movement and let it serve as a reminder about where price is today vs. where it came from. There's a saying: when in doubt, zoom out. Do not to get lost in the moment, looking only at the day or week, but instead go research the entire history of price. Learn about what has happened in the past. 8. Cash is a position 💸 Want to dollar cost average into a trade? Want to buy more? Want to trade more? You need cash to do that. There is comfort in being able to participate in the volatility whenever you want. Cash is a position and guarantees this. 9. Avoid panic, FUD, and FOMO 😳 When emotions are running high, some of the biggest psychological mistakes can occur. FUD stands for fear, uncertainty, and doom. FOMO stands for fear of missing out. These are two common emotions in crashing markets. On one hand, everyone thinks the end is near and then on the other hand every little up move is the next bull run. Do not let these emotions take you. 10. Take a break 😀 Sometimes it helps to step away. Log out, close your apps, get outside and get some exercise. Come back to the markets when you're ready. Your mind will also be well rested now. We hope you enjoyed this post and we hope it helps you as you navigate the markets. Please feel free to write any additional tips or pieces of advice in the comments section below!
Editors' picks
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by TradingView
118
What to do in a Bear market?A few tips for making it through the bear market: Profile Rebalancing Rebalancing a portfolio means adjusting the weightings of the different asset classes in your investment portfolio. This is achieved by buying or selling assets, which changes the weighting of a specific asset class. Dollar Cost Average It is an investment strategy that aims to reduce the impact of volatility on the purchase of assets. It involves buying equal amounts of the asset at regular intervals. Re-evaluate Your Holdings Choosing investments is just the beginning of your work as an investor. As time goes by, you'll need to monitor the performance of these investments to see how they are working together in your portfolio to help you progress toward your goals. Generally speaking, progress means that your portfolio value is steadily increasing, even though one or more of your investments may have lost value. If your investments are not showing any gains or your account value is slipping, you'll have to determine why, and decide on your next move. To free up money to make these new purchases, you may want to sell individual investments that have not performed well, while not abandoning the asset allocation you've selected as appropriate. Fundamental Analysis To see if a cryptocurrency has an intrinsic value that isn't reflected in its current market price, you can employ a fundamental analysis strategy, which is the act of investigating and evaluating an investment to forecast its future worth. As an investor, you can then use this information to tactically buy or sell positions based on whether the coin is overpriced or underpriced, even while bearing in mind that cryptocurrency prices are volatile. After all, even well-known currencies such as Bitcoin and Ethereum are subject to price fluctuations. Planning for Long-Term Big picture trading is about taking everything into account and making an informed decision. In my opinion, it's one of the best trading methods. A branch of hedge funds, known as Global Macro funds, takes this approach. Do Nothing for a While If you are stressed and freaked out from big loss do nothing for a while and let your mind rest. What else would you add to this list?
INDEX:BTCUSDEducation
by parissap
8
How We Made Over 35% YTD Using The Olympus CloudIn a year when the S&P 500 dropped as much as 25% and fear gripped the market, we have gained over 35% on our entire account by trading the NASDAQ. We used the QQQ ETF, which tracks the NASDAQ, and the Olympus Cloud indicator on multiple time frames. Signals were derived from QQQ, and trades were taken on SQQQ. We used the daily time frame to determine when the longer term momentum turned bearish, and then used the 30m time frame to locate entries. We risked 2% of the total account on each trade. When using a leveraged ETF we always recommend you do your analysis and charting on the underlying index. In this case the leveraged ETF and trading instrument was SQQQ, and the underlying index QQQ . As you can see in the data section below this post, the Olympus Cloud shows 25% net profit, 68% trade accuracy, and a profit factor of 2.8. By using SQQQ as the trading instrument the real profit increased to over 35%.
NASDAQ:QQQEducation
by Level8Trading
Specific Trendline to Determine the Direction of any MarketHow to identify the specific points for trendline to determine the direction of the market? In this example, I am using the Nasdaq index. You can use this trendline technique to any markets because its principles in this tutorial are applicable throughout whether to an individual stock, indices or even commodities. I am going to introduce the primary and secondary trendlines, I hope after this tutorial, it will bring greater clarity in how you can deploy them. Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. This method I just shared, it can be applied to any market and any timeframe, be it the minute chart or the weekly chart. Micro E-Mini Nasdaq 0.25 = US$0.50 1.00 = US$2
Editors' picks
CME_MINI:MNQ1!Education
by konhow
14
Bites Of Trading Knowledge For New TOP Traders #14 (short read)Bites Of Trading Knowledge For New TOP Traders #14 ---------------------------------------------------------------- What defines a Bear Market? - A bear market is when a market or even individual securities experiences extended price declines. The condition observed in the equity markets is where securities prices fall 20% or more from recent highs triggered by negative investor sentiment and/or overall pessimism in the markets. What defines a Bull Market? - A bull market is the condition seen in a financial market or individual security in which prices are rising and/or are expected to rise. Commonly the rise in price is observed over an extended period of time and can last months or years. What is Inflation? - Inflation is a rise in prices and is often expressed as a percentage change over a period of time. Inflation could also be interpreted as a decline of purchasing power over time, meaning that a unit of currency buys less than it did in prior periods. RISKS AND OPPORTUNITIES FOR CORPORATES AND INDIVIDUAL INVESTORS - Common application of financial market instruments for managing risk and opportunities. Diversification: Portfolio Risk Using FX Futures Individual investors taking a portfolio approach with managed futures and spot foreign exchange could be entering into emerging market currency positions including for example Hong Kong Dollar, Singapore Dollar or South Korean Won. Depending on the view of each of the currencies in the portfolio, it could be constructed to eliminate exposure to the U.S. Dollar. However, there may be a time during which investors would like to introduce U.S. Dollar exposure and they could do so by using Mini US Dollar Index ® Futures with a contract value of $10,000. For example, the U.S. Dollar Index ® may be observed to be in a medium term uptrend and an investor may want to consider entering into a long position in the Mini US Dollar Index ® Futures based on their strategy of choice and exit the position when either their profit target is achieved or their loss limits are triggered. TRADDICTIV · Research Team -------- Disclaimer: We do not provide investment advice, nor provide any personalized investment recommendations and/or advice in making a decision to trade. Before you start trading, please make sure you have considered your entire financial situation, including financial commitments and you understand that trading is highly speculative and that you could sustain significant losses.
ICESG:SDX1!Education
by traddictiv
Is this recent rally a bull rebound of a bear retracement? To make an assessment if the market has turned bear, during the closing second quarter on 29th June 2022, we discussed on the topic “Using S&P to Identify Recession and on the 19 Jul, 2 weeks ago the tutorial posted here, we studied and expecting this current rebound, topic “Nasdaq a leading indicator of Dow Jones, S&P & Russell”. In today’s tutorial, I thought of doing a recap between the two videos and explore if the current market and its development, if it is a bull rebound heading to break another new all-time high or if it is a bear retracement? I have included both the video links below. Before we get into this topic, please also take some time to read through the disclaimer in the description box below. Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. Tutorial example: Micro E-Mini Nasdaq 0.25 = US$0.50 1.00 = US$2 (12,900 - 11,900) x US$2 =US$2,000 (Note: Opposite is also true) • During the closing second quarter in June, on 29 Jun - “Using S&P to Identify Recession • On the 19 Jul, 2 weeks ago - “Nasdaq a leading indicator of Dow Jones, S&P & Russell”
Editors' picks
CME_MINI:NQ1!Education
by konhow
32
Bear Market RallyBINANCE:BTCUSDT Bear market rally Prior to anything else, it's critical to realize that we are currently in one of them. Bear market rallies are brutal because it's difficult to predict how long they'll last, how strong they'll be, and how long they'll last. It is challenging for most individuals to comprehend this because they lack patience and think in terms of the most minute time frame. Rallies that periodically occur inside the downward macrotrend create a downward trend with lower highs on high periods (from 3 days to 1 week). Some of them result from cutting short positions in order to profit and start new short positions at higher levels. Ultimately, a redistribution takes place after several weeks of growth of 30–50% (or possibly twice that, depending on the market's structure). Before they pull the rug out from under people, they need to think that the macro trend has altered. The market's function is to take money. Although he is capable of giving in, movements usually happen when traders are not around. The price rises if everyone is short. Down if they are long. Although it seems strange, it is true. The market is an evil steed. You are forced to buy when prices increase. Moving lower encourages selling. You must act because of the price. Keep in mind the feelings you have as you move up or down. There won't be much market share lost if the price declines uniformly. However, the availability of rebounding enables powerful players to profit from movements in both directions while also taking the most money possible from you. Months of decline, followed by a recovery. You don't believe it at first, but it keeps getting stronger. When you finally give up and put your chips back on the table, they again take them away from you. Before you declare that a fresh bear market has started, consider how long downtrends often persist. You should expect downtrends of one to two years and possibly a year of unpleasant sideways movement. Both in the cryptocurrency market and the stock market, there are a ton of historical examples of this. Look at the numbers and consider whether the extra funding can sustain the FDV of a sector whose overall valuation has increased 7 times. Do we have a sudden increase in users? new currency The levels of BTC , ETH, ADA, and SOL as of today were marked to the nearest dollar six months ago. These are merely precursors to a bearish comeback and nothing more, as the primary macroeconomic issues still exist. There will be multiple chances over the coming weeks to sell the rise and rebuy lower. After that, the decline will likely continue or there will be a long flat. If someone tells you there will be a new bull market but doesn't know how or why we got here, don't believe them. Any powerful move up will inevitably be met with a countermove below. You'll now start to wonder why you didn't take advantage of the opportunity to make a profit. Don't be frightened to simply progress upward gently. Protect your capital to survive. Unknown are the scope and length of the current era. However, given the background, it is likely that the trend will last for some time. There will be multiple chances over the coming weeks to sell the rise and rebuy lower. After that, the decline will likely continue or there will be a long flat. If someone tells you there will be a new bull market but doesn't know how or why we got here, don't believe them. Any powerful move up will inevitably be met with a countermove below. You'll now start to wonder why you didn't take advantage of the opportunity to make a profit. Don't be frightened to simply progress upward gently. Protect your capital to survive. Unknown are the scope and length of the current era. However, given the background, it is likely that the trend will last for some time. Hope you enjoyed the content I created, You can support with your likes and comments this idea so more people can watch!
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by Crypto4light
The Anatomy of a Bear MarketRecently, a lot of people have been talking about the possibility of a multi-year recession. I don't think that is a clear depiction of the current situation, but I am aware that the idea stems from a lack of understanding of bear market structures, and influence of market sentiment. So in this post, I'll be going over Ken Fishers' rules and conditions that must be met in order for a market to be clarified as a bear market, and how you can best position yourself to minimize downside risk. This is not financial advice. This is for educational purposes only. The Four Rules of a Bear Market - The first rule is the two percent rule: a bear market typically declines by about 2% per month. - Sometimes it declines by more than 2%, sometimes it’s less—but overall and on average, bear markets don’t often begin with the sharp, sudden drop some anticipate. - If a bear does drop by more than 2% per month, there’s often a market counter-rally that can provide better opportunities for investors to sell. - The three month rule: This rule advocates waiting three months after you suspect a peak has happened before calling a bear market. - Rather than trying to guess when a market top might come, this rule ensures one has passed before taking defensive investment action. - It provides a window of time to assess fundamental investment data, market action and possible bear market drivers. - I often see lots of people call market tops and bottoms, and time the market perfectly, but it needs to be clearly understood that this isn't the right approach to understanding the market. - Next, we have the the two-thirds / one-third rule. - About one-third of the stock market’s decline occurs in the first two-thirds of a bear’s duration, and about two-thirds of the decline occurs in the final one-third. - This was the case in the bear market caused by the financial crisis, as well as many other bear markets including that of 1973. - Combining this with the three month rule, it also implies that if you have identified that a market has indeed begun its bear run, you might be better off taking profits/losses on your position, managing risk by increasing your cash holdings, and buying back when capitulation has happened. - And finally, we have the 18-month rule. - While bull market durations vary considerably, statistics demonstrate that the average bear market duration, since 1946, has only been 16 months. - Very few in modern history last fully two years or longer. - If you’re engaging a defensive investment strategy, you probably shouldn’t bet on one lasting so long. - The longer a bear market runs, the more likely you’re waiting too long to re-invest. - If you remain bearish for longer than 18 months, you may miss out on the rocket-like market ride that is almost always the beginning of the next bull run. - Missing that can be very costly for investors. So are we currently in a bear market? - Based on the four rules above, there's a high probability that we are not in a bear market. - Since I've uploaded this post, the market has bounced swiftly off the 100 moving average on the weekly. - Just as the covid-induced drop of March 2020 turned out to be a 'buy the dip' opportunity, as opposed to the beginning of a bear market, the sharp correction we have seen since the beginning of this year goes against the first rule of the bear market. - It’s critical not to call a bear market falsely, and this is a huge mistake that a lot of people make. - If the market is just going through a correction (a short, sentiment-driven downturn of -10% to -20%), you’re better off riding through it and maintaining your portfolio. - It is impossible to accurately and consistently time market corrections because of the way they behave. - A correction can start for any reason or no reason. So if you believe that the economy is strong, and the fundamentals of the company you invest in remain solid, there's no need to sell off your holdings, especially when your actions are motivated by fear. Conclusion Bull market corrections are not fun, but it's important as an investor for you to be able to distinguish bear markets/recessions from bull market corrections. Choosing to undertake a bear market investment strategy and go defensive should be rare and shouldn’t be done by gut feel or by your neighbor’s opinion. Exiting the market is among the biggest investment risks you can take—if you’re wrong and you have a need for portfolio growth, missing bull market returns can be extremely costly. If you like this educational post, please make sure to like, and follow for more quality content! If you have any questions or comments, feel free to comment below! :)
Editors' picks
TVC:SPXEducation
by Michael_Wang_Official
54
How To Manage A Trade That's In Trouble - My Options Trade On TQI’m Markus Heitkoetter and I’ve been an active trader for over 20 years. I often see people who start trading and expect their accounts to explode, based on promises and hype they see in ads and e-mails. They start trading and realize it doesn’t work this way. The purpose of these articles is to show you the trading strategies and tools that I personally use to trade my own account so that you can grow your own account systematically. Real money…real trades. What Do You Do When You Find Yourself In A Trade That's In Trouble? So you have a trading strategy. You have your trading tools ready to go at your fingertips. You trade with a paper trading account to make sure your trading strategy is solid. You’re finally ready to start making real trades. You start trading and everything goes according to plan until a trade comes along when it doesn’t. Now you find yourself in a trade that is in trouble. How do you handle this? Well, the first thing you need to remember to do is to keep your cool. One of the most important aspects of trading is being in the right mindset. This is important because trades will go against you from time to time. It’s just the nature of the business, and you can’t lose your cool when this happens. If you aren’t in the proper mindset when a trade goes against you, then you will not be properly equipped to manage it, and I have some good news… there IS a way to manage a trade that’s in trouble. I was in such a trade recently, and I will show you how I handled it. How I Managed A Trade In Trouble Step-By-Step I was recently in a trade with TQQQ . I opened up my trading software and say I was at -$3,500 open P&L with this trade. 1) The first thing that I did is I sold a put with 150 strike price and I received $66 in premium . 2) However, what happened is with this particular trade was I got assigned. So I had to buy 100 shares of TQQQ for $150 each. At this time TQQQ was trading at $116 which was not good because I bought it at $150. However, as soon as I was assigned these shares, I starting selling calls against these shares. This is how The Wheel Strategy works. You first sell puts and collect premium. If & when you get assigned, you then sell covered calls against these shares at a higher strike price to try and get “called away” to sell the shares at a profit, and you keep doing this while collecting premium until you do get called away. Now understand, you will get assigned trading The Wheel Strategy, but trust me this is a good thing. 3) So I then sold a call with a strike price of 155 for $2.10 . Now with this call, I could have actually been “called away” on this trade and sold the shares at a profit, but I felt that I could just instead hold onto the shares to possibly sell them for a higher profit. So I just kept the premium of $210 ($2.10 multiplied by 100 shares) I collected on this, and then the next day I bought the call back for $0.37 . So $2.10 I collected in premium minus $0.37 that I paid to buy the call back, comes to $1.73 which means I made $173 in premium. These are realized profits. 4) Next, I sold another call, this time with a strike price of 150 for $0.45 and I also bought it back for $0.05 2 days later to keep from being called away to sell them later at a higher profit, but collected more premium. So this means if you take the $0.45 I collected and subtract the $0.05 I paid to buy the call back this comes to $0.40 which means I made another $40. If you add up all the premium collected so far ($66, $173, &$40) I have made a total realized profit of $279 so far over the last 15 days, which is not too shabby. 5) The price of TQQQ started plummeting, so instead of selling another call, I instead, decided to sell two puts with a strike price of 100 for $1.14 . I chose to sell two, based on what my account size allowed if I were to get assigned again. So with each share yielding me $1.14 in premium a share, this comes to $114 each contract, and since I sold two contracts, I collected $228 in premium total ($507 overall). What Happens If You Get Assigned again? Now you might be thinking selling puts was a bad idea. I mean, what happens if TQQQ is below $100 by expiration, and I have to buy 200 more shares of TQQQ ? It would actually be really, really awesome if this would happen. There are actually two scenarios of what could happen and they are both awesome. In the first possible scenario, TQQQ stays above $100 by expiration, which is in one week. In this case, I keep the $228 and my total profit from this trade goes up to $507. Now scenario two, and this is the one that would make some people nervous, is if TQQQ drops below $100 on expiration. In this case, I have to buy another 200 shares for $100. Here is why this would be a good thing, and why buying more puts was a smart move, but I’ll let you be the judge. If scenario number two happens, I would have bought 100 shares for $150 and I would have bought another 200 shares for $100. So this means that right now my cost basis is lowered when you average the cost of the total price I would have paid for all 300 shares. So I did buy 100 shares times 150, plus 200 times 100, and I’m dividing all of this by 300 so that I get my average price per share. This means $116.60 is the average price I paid per share. So this means as soon as TQQQ moves back up to $116 I break even, and if it moves above $166 I’m making money. So $116.66 is my new magic level instead of $150. Now look at this, is it more likely that over the next few weeks TQQQ goes above $116.66 or $150? $116 right? So by doing this, if scenario one happens, okay, great, I just keep racking up premium, and that’s fine. If scenario two happens even better, I’m lowering my cost basis here. If the new average price per share is $116.66 per share, instead of what it actually was which was $150, it is easier to get back into the green. Summary This is how I managed this trade. At first glance, it simply looked like it was in trouble, but in reality, all you need to do is keep collecting premium, and when you can, lower your average price per share. Both of these things will lower your cost basis, making it easier to get back into the green when a trade is going against you. This is the beauty of The Wheel Strategy, even when a trade is going against you the strategy is still going according to plan.
NASDAQ:TQQQEducation
by rockwelltrading
1
Assigned With A Wheel Trade & The Market TanksI’m Markus Heitkoetter and I’ve been an active trader for over 20 years. I often see people who start trading and expect their accounts to explode, based on promises and hype they see in ads and e-mails. They start trading and realize it doesn’t work this way. The purpose of these articles is to show you the trading strategies and tools that I personally use to trade my own account so that you can grow your own account systematically. Real money…real trades. In this article, I want to talk about what to do when you get assigned with a Wheel trade. Previously, I have shown you the Wheel strategy. It’s a strategy that I’ve been trading for several months and I haven’t had a single losing trade yet, knock on wood. So I received a lot of comments on my videos asking, “Yeah. That’s all good. But what do you do when you get assigned with a Wheel trade and the market crashes?” And that’s exactly what we are going to talk about today. What To Do When You Get Assigned With A Wheel Trade I want to show you how to handle getting assigned when the market crashes by using a real trade as an example where this happened to me, and I couldn’t have timed it more perfectly because a little over a month ago, on October 28th, I was recently in such a trade. The market was down more than 3% and it was a bloodbath. Luckily, this scenario provides me with an opportunity to use it as a template to show you what to do when this happens. The TQQQ trade I was in at the time works as a perfect example, so let me just show you how things panned out. So with this TQQQ trade, had an open P&L of -$2,667. So what does this mean? Does it mean that we do have a big loss here? No. This is only an unrealized loss, and this is how I handled it. I simply followed the 5 steps of The Wheel strategy, and the 5 steps are as follows: Pick a stock that’s going sideways or slightly moving up. Sell a Put Option , i.e. you have to buy the stock at the strike price. Collect Premium and buy the Put back when we see 90% of the profits. If we get assigned, i.e. have to buy the stock, we will sell Covered Calls against these shares to try and sell the shares at the strike price. Collect premium and buy the Call back when we see 90% of the profits. Selling Puts The trade initially started on September 3rd, so let’s backtrack a little bit to really dissect it step by step. TQQQ met all my criteria, and on September 3rd is when I first trading this. September 3th, when I started trading this, I sold 150 put for $0.66, which is $66 because I traded one contract, and one contract represents 100 shares. The next day I got assigned. I got assigned because when you’re selling puts it means that if the stock goes below the strike price at expiration, 150 in this case, I would get assigned. This is exactly what happened a day later when the option expired. So I made $66 by collecting premium, even though I got assigned 100 shares at $150/share, but here’s the deal. Since I sold the put for $0.66 this means that my cost basis, since I keep that premium regardless of whether I am assigned or not, gets lower. So this means that the $150 a share I paid minus the $0.66 I collected per share, brings my cost basis down to $149.34. Now doesn’t sound a lot, but it basically means that the stock now does not have to go above $150 anymore. As soon as TQQQ goes up to $149.34 I’m breaking even. Now if it goes above this, I’m making money. Simple right? Selling Covered Calls Now that we have been assigned, this is where we start selling Covered Calls. When you sell Covered Calls against these shares, the goal is to try and sell them at that strike price of that Call, while collecting more premium. Here’s the trade that I did. I sold a 155 Call for $2.10 on the 10th after realizing 90% of the profits, I bought it back for $0.37 the next day. So $2.10 minus $0.37 means I made $173. And now my cost basis gets reduced by another $1.73. Well, now our cost basis is going lower. Our cost basis of $149.34 drops by $1.73, so our new cost basis is now $147.61. This means that if the stock goes back to $147.61 we break even, and if it goes above we are making money. Easy right? Next, I sold the September 80 Call, the September 18 150 Call, for $0.45, then bought it back for $0.05. So this means at this point we made another $40, bringing our cost basis down by another $0.40 to $147.21. The stock kept going against us. It was going down and this is what many of you are concerned about. “What do I do if the stock keeps going down?” Well, you keep selling premium, and by doing so, you’re lowering the cost basis. Well, what I did next was really cool. Selling More Puts? So next, I sold actually two puts for $110 and $118. So that averages out to $114. Then I bought them back at $0.06. This means $114 minus $0.06. So we made another $108 here. Now I’ll explain in a moment why I sold a put here even though right now since we own stocks, and we should be selling calls. There’s a very specific reason for it, and I’ll explain it to you. Looking back at our trade, we are lowering our cost basis to $146.13. Next, after we sold the puts and they expired worthless I actually sold another 100 put for $2.40 and bought it back for $24. So we made another $216 here. Bringing our cost basis down again from $146.13 minus $2.16 to now $143.97. When To Sell Puts INSTEAD Of Calls So if you are supposed to sell Covered Calls during this stage of The Wheel Strategy, why did I sell those Puts? I already owned 100 shares of TQQQ that were assigned to me, so why risk getting assigned more? Well, I sold these Puts, instead of Calls for a specific reason. At this stage of The Wheel Strategy is where you normally would sell Calls, however, if you are on this part of this strategy, and the market is tanking, you have to make an adjustment to this strategy if the price keeps dropping, to help keep your cost basis as low as possible. These were 100 Puts, meaning if the price would have dropped below $100 at expiration for either of them, and I would have been assigned the shares. If that were to happen, I would now own 100 shares at $100 each, on top of the 100 shares I already own at $150 each. So now I own 200 shares, I paid a total of $250 for, bringing the average price per share to $125. Getting assigned these shares would have lowered my cost basis tremendously. If you subtract the total Premium I received on all of these trades, which was $12.05 a share ($1,205 overall) from the average price per share, which in this case is now $125, this comes to a cost basis of $112.95. This is what the cost basis would have been IF I was assigned these additional 100 shares at $100 each. I wasn’t assigned these shares, however, and my final cost basis was $137.95. Do you see why getting assigned is a good thing? People are afraid of getting assigned, but as long as you have adequate buying power, and are following my methods for picking good stocks, assignment should be looked at as a good thing. Selling Premium You see, this is what the Wheel does. You can sell premium while you own the stocks. So I then sold a $150 call for $1.57, bought it back at 15. So this means that I made another $142 bringing down my cost basis again to $142.55. Now, I don’t want to bore you and make this article too long here, but long story short, as you can see, I sold a few more of the calls and I bought them back. So overall, by just selling premium, even though I still owned the stock, I was continuing to lower my cost basis. At this point, the stock was down $2,770. However, by doing this, by selling more calls and puts here, I was able to make $1,748 in premium. So this means I made $17.48 per share on these 100 shares. So if you take the $150 minus $17.48 right now, right now my cost basis to break even on this trade is $132.52. So as soon as TQQQ goes back to $132. Now, what happens if TQQQ keeps going down? I will keep doing what I’ve been doing, following The Wheel Strategy. I’ll keep collecting premium until at some point, I can sell these shares for a profit. Recap So now you know what to do when you get assigned with a Wheel trade, and hopefully, it becomes less scary for you. I look forward to getting assigned with a Wheel trade because that allows me to sell calls and make even more money. If the stock keeps going down, I’ll just keep selling, and I will continue to lower my break even more and more. So, right now, TQQQ does no longer have to go all the way up to 150. It only needs to go up to $132.52. I just wanted to address this process because I know that many people who are trading this strategy are concerned saying, "Oh my gosh, what if I get assigned with a Wheel trade?” It’s a good thing. It’s a good thing and now you know why.
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