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Breadth Indicators

How to Use Trading Zones in CryptoHello, Skyrexians! Last two articles were the deep dive into the Awesome Oscillator and Acceleration Deceleration indicators by Bill Williams. In conjunction with the fractals and the alligator these indicators are the powerful concept in cryptocurrency trading. It can significantly boost your cryptocurrency trading strategy, crypto trading algorithm or you can implement it into trading bot. Today we will expand this concept with the trading zones - the periods on the market with the bullish or bearish superiority. Trading zones is not the popular concept in comparison to Awesome Oscillator, that's why using it can give you a huge advantage in crypto trading because even top crypto traders don't use it in their trading routine. Let's go through its concept. Before start observing the trading zones concept we have to understand what are the Awesome Oscillator and Acceleration/Deceleration. Awesome oscillator is the approximation of the market's driving force. Usually it starts moving before the price if this is an impulsive wave. During corrections it can flash the false signals. Before the driving force starts moving the acceleration changes its direction. That's why combination of these indicators is so important. What is the trading zone? As you know from AO and AC descriptions they can have 2 conditions: increasing (greed bars) and decreasing (red bars). According to this we can define 3 marker conditions: Green zone. Both AO and AC have the increasing columns. This is the strong bullish phase. Only long trades are allowed. Red zone. Both AO and AC have the decreasing columns. This is the strong bearish phase. Only short trades are allowed. Gray zone. AO and AC have the different directions. No signals can be generated by this trading zone
Education
by Skyrexio
Example of Conditions for Starting Trading Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please also click "Boost". Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- I will publish in advance due to an external schedule tomorrow. Accordingly, I will take time to provide additional explanations on the ideas published today. ---------------------------------------- I will talk about the basis for indicating the direction of progress shown in the chart above. In order to differentiate from other people's analyses, I am trying to explain the basis for indicating the support and resistance points or sections on the chart. I think that if you understand why those points and sections were set, you will eventually be able to understand them without having to read the explanation all the way through. For this, more support and resistance points are needed. This is because we can select the volatility period by additionally drawing the trend line. However, since all of these processes are displayed on the chart, there are many complaints that the chart is messy and confusing, so we are trying to reduce them as much as possible. Therefore, there are cases where the chart is displayed in two versions. The chart below is a chart that shows many support and resistance points and draws a trend line to select the volatility period. Therefore, since the support and resistance points may be displayed differently, it is recommended that you refer to the points or sections that I have written. - The conditions for starting a transaction are simpler than they look. However, when these conditions are met, the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts must be displayed. Therefore, even if the conditions for starting a transaction are met, if the support and resistance points are not displayed at the corresponding price, you cannot start a transaction. Please read this carefully and thank you. - (It would be good to see this as an example of how to find the conditions that fit you and how to utilize them.) Conditions for starting a transaction are 1. Buying time conditions - When the StochRSI indicator rises in the oversold range and maintains the state of StochRSI > StochRSI EMA - When the BW indicator forms a horizontal line at the lowest point (0) - When the OBV indicator rises below the 0 point - When the DMI indicator rises below the 0 point 2. Selling time conditions - When the StochRSI indicator falls in the overbought range and maintains the state of StochRSI < StochRSI EMA - When the BW indicator forms a horizontal line at the highest point (100) - When the OBV indicator falls above the 0 point - When the DMI indicator falls above the 0 point When the above conditions are met, check whether there is support at the support and resistance points drawn near the price. Confirmation is used to proceed with the transaction. The current price position is 60672.0-61099.25. Therefore, you can proceed with the transaction depending on whether there is support in this section. Since it is currently falling below 60672.0, there is nothing you can do in spot trading other than cutting losses. In futures trading, you can enter with a sell (SHORT) position. - It is rare for all the conditions for starting a transaction mentioned above to be met. Therefore, it is recommended to basically check whether the BW indicator forms a horizontal line at the lowest point (0) or highest point (100), and then proceed with the transaction by checking the movement of the StochRSI indicator. Also, it is recommended to select a split sell section to make a profit by calculating the fluctuation range while checking the strength of the rise or fall with OBV and DMI. - In summary of the above, Since the StochRSI indicator has not yet risen from the oversold zone and StochRSI < StochRSI EMA, it is recommended to check whether a reversal is occurring. Also, you should check whether the BW indicator has fallen to the lowest point (0) and formed a horizontal line. If the OBV and DMI indicators rise below the 0 point without meeting these conditions, you should proceed with an aggressive purchase (a transaction that requires a quick response similar to scalping or day trading). If you do not proceed with an aggressive purchase, you should wait. - It is not a good idea to enter a current sell (SHORT) position in futures trading. However, if you proceed with an aggressive transaction (scalping or day trading), you can start trading. The reason why it is not a good condition for trading is because the price is located in the 1. purchase timing condition section among the conditions for starting a transaction mentioned above. Therefore, the profit is small or you may even suffer a loss. - If you are not currently trading, I think the section where you should trade is when it rises around 61K. Before that, it is highly likely that you will not be able to purchase because it seems like it will fall further. I think this point, or the section where you actually trade, is the psychological volume profile section. This psychological volume profile section is the section where psychology applies that you must trade even now. Since this point is ultimately a low or high point, it is a section where you are likely to incur losses if you purchase. The 61K section that I mentioned earlier is a section where it is highly likely to be a low point, so it is a section where you are likely to incur losses if you cut your loss or enter a sell (SHORT) position. - If it shows resistance near 60672.0, there is a possibility that a sharp decline will occur momentarily and touch 59K and then rise. This phenomenon can be a fake or a sweep movement, so you need to be careful. In order to avoid losses from this phenomenon, auxiliary indicators are necessary. Since auxiliary indicators are lagging, they are unlikely to show large movements in sudden price fluctuations. - What I am talking about is not a method of chart analysis, but an example of how to set a standard for trading. Therefore, I hope you do not misunderstand the above as about chart analysis. Since chart analysis and trading are different, what you see on the chart is also different. In order to complement this difference, what is needed is the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts. Since charts without support and resistance points are likely to be for chart analysis, there is no need to try to find a trading point on these charts. - Have a good time. Thank you. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​Big picture It is expected that the real uptrend will start after rising above 29K. The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K. #BTCUSD 12M 1st: 44234.54 2nd: 61383.23 3rd: 89126.41 101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting) 4th: 134018.28 151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting) 5th: 178910.15 These are points where resistance is likely to be encountered in the future. We need to see if we can break through these points. We need to see the movement when we touch this section because I think we can create a new trend in the overshooting section. #BTCUSD 1M If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start by creating a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33. 1st: 43833.05 2nd: 32992.55 -----------------
Education
by readCrypto
Indicators that can identify trends: MS-Signal indicatorHello? Traders, welcome. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please also click "Boost". Have a good day. ------------------------------------- (LINKUSDT chart) The composition of the chart consists of price and volume. Therefore, chart analysis can be interpreted differently depending on how you interpret price and volume. First of all, if you look at the price part, you can see that the trend and various indicators were created based on price candles and moving averages. Therefore, it will be difficult to interpret the chart as the concept of the arrangement of the candles and the price moving average is not established. The array of price candles, that is, the high and low points formed by connecting the candles, draws each trend line to check which direction the current price movement is moving. However, it is necessary to be careful because it is difficult to find the highs and lows of a low time frame chart, so it is possible to draw an incorrect trend line. A false trend line means that you drew a trend line, but did nothing with it. The more false trend lines you have, the less information you can get from chart analysis, and the trading strategy created with such reduced information loses its usefulness, so you need a solid basis even when drawing a trend line. With a firm basis on how to draw a trend line, we will have time to explain in detail later on how to draw it. The MS-Signal indicator shown in this chart is an indicator that can confirm the trend by using the formula of the MACD indicator. Therefore, it is necessary to become familiar with the interpretation method using MS-Signal indicators before practicing drawing trend lines. The MS-Signal indicator utilizes the formula of the MACD indicator. If you look at the formula of the MACD indicator, you can see that it was created using a moving average. Therefore, if you understand the concept of moving averages, I think you will have no difficulty in using the MACD indicator. MS-Signal indicator consists of M-Signal indicator and S-Signal indicator. Therefore, an arrangement of M-Signal indicator > S-Signal indicator means that it is in an uptrend. During this uptrend, if the price candle holds the price above the MS-Signal indicator, it means that the uptrend is likely. We have also explained indicators that use volume to mark support and resistance points. That index is the OBV index included in the HA-MS index. The OBV indicator is an indicator that shows the change in trading volume due to price fluctuations, and the key point of the OBV indicator is 0. Interpretation of trading volume can be difficult to understand, so we will take time to explain in detail when the explanation of the price chart part is being finalized. In this chart, the 'Vol & Trend' sub-indicator includes indicators that utilize trading volume. What I want to explain this time is about the MS-Signal indicator explained above. Since the MS-Signal indicator is published in the trading view formula, you can look it up if you want to know the formula. (HA-MS indicator) MS-Signal indicators are composed of M-Signal indicators and S-Signal indicators. Among these two indicators, the key indicator is the M-Signal indicator. Therefore, it is designed to display M-Signal indicators of 1M, 1W, and 1D charts separately. Utilizing these indicators, it plays a role in showing the overall trend of the price chart immediately even if it is below the 1D chart. (4h chart) The 4h chart above is a chart set to display only the M-Signal indicators of the 1D, 1W, and 1M charts. If the M-Signal indicators form a regular arrangement (1D > 1W > 1M), you can see that there is an upward trend from a long-term perspective, just by looking at the 4h chart. These marks can reduce the time it takes to analyze a chart because it can shorten the viewing time when viewing multiple charts. It also reduces the chance of getting caught in a whipsaw by price fluctuations. Chart analysis is just analysis, you need a trading strategy to trade. Chart analysis should focus on finding support and resistance, as it is possible to find support and resistance points by analyzing the shape of the chart in order to create a trading strategy. As mentioned above, all you need for chart analysis is the shape of the candlestick and the concept of the moving average line. Therefore, if this concept is in place, all the indicators shown in this chart are unnecessary. However, chart analysis can take a long time, and it is recommended to use indicators that are basically reliable even in order to reduce psychological agitation caused by whipsaw-like volatility. Descriptions of the MS-Signal indicator have been published several times. Therefore, after candlesticks and moving averages, the indicator that must be familiar to the eye is the MS-Signal indicator. This is because I think there is no better indicator than the MS-Signal indicator to find out the trend of the chart. -------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------- ** All descriptions are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment. ** Even if you know other people's know-how, it takes a considerable period of time to make it your own. ** This is a chart created with my know-how. ---------------------------------
Education
by readCrypto
1
Hunting Breakouts with Bollinger Bands and OBVThanks to zAngus for the idea, here is a simple trading strategy that uses two tools: Bollinger Bands and OBV to find moments when an asset's prices can increase or decrease. First and foremost, please note that this explanation is simplified and only covers the basics. Each individual can develop their own settings and adjustments according to their own preferences. Imagine that you are looking at a price chart of an asset. This chart shows how prices have changed over time. Sometimes prices go up and sometimes they go down. The trading strategy we are going to show you can help you find moments when prices are about to change direction. - Bollinger Bands are lines that show a zone where prices of an asset are likely to stay. These lines have two parts: a middle line that shows an average of prices and two other lines that show the zone where prices should be. The lines widen and narrow based on the volatility of prices. - OBV (On-Balance Volume) is another tool that measures whether more people are buying or selling an asset. If more people are buying an asset, OBV increases, and if more people are selling an asset, OBV decreases. Now, here is how we use these two tools to find moments when an asset's prices can increase or decrease: 1. First, we wait for prices to stabilize for a certain amount of time. This means that prices don't go up or down much during a given period. 2. Next, we look at the Bollinger Bands to see if prices have reached the upper or lower limit. If prices exceed the upper limit, it may mean that prices will increase. If prices fall below the lower limit, it may mean that prices will decrease. 3. To confirm what we have seen in the Bollinger Bands, we look at the OBV. If OBV increases or decreases at the same time as prices exceed the upper or lower limit of the Bollinger Bands, it means that more people are buying or selling the asset, and this reinforces our idea that prices will increase or decrease. 4. We enter the market by buying or selling the asset based on whether we think prices will increase or decrease. 5. We exit the market when prices reach the opposite upper or lower limit of the Bollinger Bands or an important resistance zone. This is a simple strategy, but it can help find moments when an asset's prices can increase or decrease. Remember that you must always use good risk management to avoid losing too much money if the market doesn't follow your forecast. Please note that this Bollinger Bands and OBV breakout trading strategy involves risk and is intended for educational purposes only. Any investments made using this strategy are done at your own risk, and you should always do your own research and seek professional advice before making any investment decisions.
Education
by Julien_Eche
OBV & ETH - Charts don't lie. Banksters and politicians do...So, if you are new to the markets you might not know. If you are old, you do. Wall Street uses "weapons of mass destruction" against the average person. And banksters are running the world printing money enslaving the youth and developing nations. The world is voting with their wallets and are converting their worthless government IOUs (FIAT, dollar, pesos, rubles etc) to True and Honest Money. And crypto assets, unlike physical gold and silver, DOES NOT NEED AN ARMY! There is no physical gold to hide or protect. All you need to remember is 12 to 24 words per cold crypto wallet (or have them stored in a bank vault in a way that nobody would know it's your recovery secret phrase for your wallet, ANYWHERE IN THE WORLD! Self control of your wallet is self control of your destiny. Knowledge and truth is pure energy for good. Manipulation and bad actors are evil energy that needs to be purified. Bitcoin, the Crypto King, and Ethereum ETC, the crypto Queen are dominating. The world just doesn't know. Yet. The crooks in charge of world fiduciary duties have failed. They are being voted out. Trust the charts, trust yourself and verify everything else. An open, honest, verifiable ledger is the world savior from the toxic bomb set off in 1971. 50 years later, we have debt jubilee. Welcome Physical Bitcoin! Welcome Physical Ethereum. Bye, bye crooked Wall Street, CME, LME and all the scum in between us and our money and investments! TradingView is the world leader in providing amazing data. One indicator seldom used to detect market manipulation is OBV. Let's look at that in this tutorial for New World Honest Trading Views! OBV clearly tells us Ethereum is bullish for the last 10 days although the price has been suppressed. What happen next on break of resistance. Let's make this a teaching moment for all your readers. There are NO WRONG answers, just different points of views. Based on analysis on the latest good data you have and let's chat here! Thank you Bitcoin, Ethereum and TradingView and all the good rocket scientists out there. The new World "Law Makers and Regulatory Viewers". And Rocket Launchers and Landers! LOL JustCharts! WOW! Wild $T1mes alright!
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDEducation
by UnknownUnicorn2413721
1
UNDERSTANDING PRICE ACTION USING FIXED RANGE VOLUME PROFILE Hello Tradingview, Thank you so much for providing traders such a beautiful platform and it will not be an exaggerating that you are the idea master as your idea for adding community and allowing users to interact with each other and sharing knowledge with each other has changed the of trading of many. Today I want to write something about one of your great addition to the system , that is FIXED RANGE VOLUME PROFILE which I believe would help many either in taking decisions or to filter the confusion. The terms to be used in short What is Volume Profile? Volume profile is a charting feature (or indicator) that shows the traded volume amount of an asset, over a specified period at certain price levels. Volume profile shows this data as a histogram in a Y-axis (vertical) next to price levels. volume profile uses the past traded volume and all of the strategies and plans are coming from historical data. POC -- Price Of Control, The point of control is simply the price at which the largest trading volume has been made over a period of time (buy/sales). This point is a rare point in the market because it is an indicator that can be observed before and not exactly when the price change occurs.POC or Point of Control is the highest volume node on the volume profile. The point of control is the longest volume bar on the volume profile and there are lots of volumes transacted there. Traders use POC as support and resistance or an important retest point. Value Area (VA) A Value Area or VA is where 70 % of the volume is located in the volume profile. Determined from surrounding nodes of POC. In this area, the volume profile gets a little complicated. what this means is that 70 percent of total volume transacted on the chart had occurred cumulatively at these price levels which are called Value Area or VA. The Value Area is a Market Profile concept. This is an area demarcated by 2 prices which bound the "most traded in" part of a time period. Technically the value area is 1 standard deviation away from the most traded at price which is the price which has the highest number of TPO's. This price is also known as the Point of Control (POC). Each time that the market trades at a price during a half hour bracket a letter is added to that price (one per half hour) and a vertically aligned bell curve is created. The middle chunk of that chart is the Value Area. Typically, the upper and lower prices of the Value Area, know as Value Area High (VAH and Value Area Low (VAL) are seen as support and resistance lines - in their simplest terms. Developing Point of Control (Developing POC)-- A Developing Point of Control is a change of POC over time. As a POC can change over time, you can see the change by looking at the Developing POC line and what it was in the past. Developing Value Area (Developing VA) A Developing Value Area is a value area that is changing over time. As the value area changes over time, you can see the change by looking at Developing VA. Developing VA is determined on the price action and is shown by two lines which show both Value Area High and Value Area Low over time. Volume Profile Rules You can identify market states with a volume profile. When you found out what market state you are in, these rules tell you what to look for in volume profile in different market states. If the price is consolidating (ranging price): Value Area will be located in the middle of the volume profile. The price will bounce between HVNs and LVNs If the price is trending upward (uptrend): The value area will be located at the bottom of the volume profile. The price will likely retrace to Value Area High If the price is trending downward (downtrend): The value area will be located on the top of the volume profile. The price will likely retrace to the value area low. Clearance A Clearance is an area in the volume profile in which only LVNs are located, and there are no HVNs(high volume node) on that area. If price enters, this territory expects the price to fall or rise very quickly until it hits a significant HVN.The strategy is when you see the price is going up or going down and it goes through major HVNs; it shows you the momentum is on that side. You should wait until the price goes through HVNs successfully and arrives in a zone in which lots of LVNs (low volume nodes) are there. You can buy (if the price is going up) or sell (if the price is going down) through the LVNs.(literature copied from the internet). Now if we analyze US 100 chart with this strategy, from the weekly chart, taking last 20 weeks as history, we see that POC line becoming 14990 and it was hovering around 200 points since last four weeks, but could not break the POC. Fibonacci level 2.272 is coming at 15422 and this beautiful FIXED RANGE VOLUME PROFILE is indicating that a new value area is developing around 15443, and here this indicator becoming special from other indicators as we have got a point 14990 as POC, which will act as a long term support, fibonacci level 2.272 , at 15422 will act as an immediate support if it gives a close above it today as it will be a daily close along with a weekly close.And this move can be considered as a real break out, not fake. This indicator becoming special for this kind of market behavior where either new highs are forming continuously or new lows are forming continuously , I mean where traders becomes confused and make a mistake . Finally hopes start trading waiting & waiting and often ends in a tragedy. I believe from the above logical calculations, a conclusive assumption can come out that it will be a buying call which can be more profitable rather to sell like a gambler. And coming to this conclusion, the contributions of this indicator is worth praising. Thank you once again Tradingview.
UEducation
by Somanathrout
Update with examples of the BBK SqueezeBITFINEX:BTCUSD is starting to show another squeeze on the 30m timeframe as price begins to consolidate. There was a great trade on the 30m using the indicator over the weekend. I also look at where another BBK Squeeze took price from the 11000 levels on the swing trading timeframe a few weeks ago. If you are patient and wait for the BBK Squeeze to filter out the noise you can find some great potential breakouts! DM me or comment for more info...
BITFINEX:BTCUSDEducation
by norok
Using OBV Divergence To Detect Barts And Wyckoff DistributionBarts (AKA bull or bear traps) are a common pattern in cryptos. The OBV indicator can be useful for detecting Wyckoff style accumulation or distribution. It's especially useful for Barts which have a very flat section of price action which makes the OBV divergence very apparent in some cases. If you see a flat zone that looks like a potential bart, track it on a couple different time frames and see if a divergence pops out, it might show which wyckoff mode it's in.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by mljones
3
NYSE AD Line Positive Divergence Means New High for S&P 500 DJIAI don't usually pay much attention to the NYSE Advance/Decline line, but right now I am. It is doing something very rare. It is creating a positive divergence with the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average indexes. If you are not sure what this indicator is, or what positive divergence is, please ask. When the NYSE AD line makes a new high the index tends to follow nearly all of the time. A positive divergence like this has only occurred 5 times in a correction (not including bear markets) since 1940! All 5 times the index has made a new high inside of 5 months, and 4 out of 5 times inside three months. The positive divergence became apparent about three weeks ago...so the signal suggests a new high inside of the next two months for the indexes. If we include bear markets (the big market declines) positive divergences in the NYSE AD line have produced major new swing highs in the index 9 out of 10 times since 1940, although due to the magnitude of the drop the price has to recover from, it typically takes about 6 months for the index to record a new major swing high again (major swing highs are used instead of all-time highs, in this case, because it took nearly 3 decades to fully recover from the 1929 crash). Positive divergence on the AD line (compared to the S&P 500 or Dow) is rare. It has a good track record, so it is worth paying attention to when it occurs. This time could be different. We shall see. Lowry Research has loads of information on the AD line, it's historical significance, and multiple ways to use it. Join my free swing trading community on Facebook. Engage, learn, and share with other traders: www.facebook.com
DJ:DJIEducation
by CoryMitchell-CMT
3
Nuls (and most altcoins) stuck in downward trend vs. BTC.Using Nuls as an example: since I was considering if I should buy some now, due to my personal interest in its fundamentals. However its chart, like with most other altcoins, look horrible at the moment. Here, the chart shows NULs finding support on top of the thick-green LVDT line on the 3hr chart (note, for BTC, the 3hr, as well as 4hr, and especially the 1D chart works better). However, LVDT guide bands are in an overall downward trend vs. BTC. I will wait till the overall LVDT bands to plateau before I am confident of investing into altcoins again. My indicators used: LIVIDITIUM + 2STDEV-AEONDRIFT {EMA} LVDT guide-bands + 2 level Standard Deviation bands + with a set of detection algorithms implemented. FUSIONGAPS {EMA} ( color fills removed here) Net market Bullish/Bearish state oscillator, with DFG and D2FG indicators implemented. also check out the following accompanying oscillators. DIFFERENTIAL FUSIONGAPS {DFG} = Momentum oscillator DOUBLE-DIFFERENTIAL FUSIONGAPS {D2FG} = Accelerator oscillator Also the FUSIONGAPS{EMA} 50/15-Series = that shows the FG, DFG, and D2FG lines for 50/15 {EMA} {SMA} version also available.
Education
by cybernetwork
Market Breadth Update: No News is Bad NewsMarket Breadth HIGN/SPX: The number of Stocks contributing to new highs continues to deteriorate and we haven't seen any improvement despite the gradual upside seen in Stocks indices.. This is the percentage of stocks on the New York stock exchange making new highs divided by the whole spx. The breadth shows that the bull market continues to be driven by fewer and fewer stocks, as the spx breaks to new highs however fewer and fewer stocks on the NYSE making new highs, driving the ratio down, especially within the recent months. Stocks above long term average: Swings from excessive bullish and bearish sentiment have been a good contrarian market indicator for the past years. Every time the indexes of stocks above or below 200-days Average reached an extreme of 90-100 percent a correction in SP500 was close. Instances where the index started falling, diverging away from the SP500 index (indicating internal strength is weakening) were bearish signals, as at least a hefty correction followed. The chart below Illustrates these divergences, where periods of prolonged divergence followed by a more severe downside move, while minor divergences followed less severe corrections. The ratio remains biased to the downside, failing to confirm rallies in the SPX ...... Good luck Subscribe to my trading portal thefxchannel.com , My best regards Technician
HEducation
by Technician
11
Add This To Your Toolbox ~ Technician Breadth Indicator!Maybe its just the beginning... I am examining the market breadth by subtracting the number of NYSE stocks making new highs from the stocks making new lows, the study points to a potential major reversal could be at hand... If for example: -500 stocks making new highs and only 20 stocks making new lows then we will get a 480 stocks sum, and there for the index will spike higher -Oppositely, if only 20 stocks making new highs while 500 stocks making new lows, then we will -480 sum, and the index spikes lower. This is a clear indicator of the internal strength of market. So if we add a tool to gauge the behavior of this index, and spot instances where the index deviates substantially from its mean, that might give us valuable information. Therefore, I added a 52-week Bollinger bands, with 3 standard deviation. Three STD means that the upper and lower bands deviates 3 times from the mid band (the 52-week average). Note that the possibility moving 3STD from the mean is very low. That resulted in a very interesting indicator... Where instances of up and downside spikes out of the bands hinted extreme cases and potential key turning points. The interpretation of these spikes depends mainly on the prior price trend, please see the different cases I plotted on chart in numerical order. I believe this is a very valuable indicator, and am happy and satisfied to share with you, where If you like it... Give a thumbs up and share it.. Comments are welcomed.. Best of Luck , join me at twitter.com Also at my Facebook page www.thefxchannel.com My best regards, Technician
HEducation
by Technician
10
Priceline.Com -PCLN-Daily: On Balance Volume Saying Goodbye...Very strong selling is going on under the surface of PCLN. Although the price appears to be healthy and range-bound, it appears as if long term holders have liquidated their positions and now are waiting for prices to fall dramatically. I know it looks like I'm kicking PCLN when it's down, but it is still just "rolling over" on the long term chart. The uptrend has been thousands of percent and this is only less than 20% off the highest highs. Airline stocks rolled over and are very weak, so that bodes ill for all the stocks involved in the travel industry for the near term. The ATR is 23 points. If you use 1 ATR as a measuring stick, your stop can be about 3 ATR's away and your target might be about the same. The probability of hitting 3 ATR's profit versus the 3 ATR stop is the key in the long run: I'd presume about 75% chance of a win from this setup. That makes a good system in the long run if you can find enough trades to take. 1:24PM EST Wednesday, October 1, 2014
PEducation
by timwest
5
Dow Jones - On-balance volume strategyI have checked and over checked this strategy a few times, so I hope there won't be too many mistakes. As you will see, this is a very simple and effective strategy, which produces signals when used on its own, without adding any other indicator on the chart or using any fundamental factor. All you need is the OBV indicator, candlesticks and support and resistance. This is how it goes : 1 Look for a divergence on OBV. It shouldn't be a divergence when the price goes flat, it should be a divergence formed on two peaks or troughs. Note that only class A and B divergences have been taken into consideration. 2 After spotting a divergence, wait for a bullish or bearish candlestick like : hammer. shooting star, doji, engulfing, piercing line, dark cloud cover, abandoned baby. Candlestick patterns can be considered too : Evening/morning star, island reversal. 3 Look for the first structure support, that is the start of the current rally or the start of the current correction and set a target above or below it by a few points. On that particular target, position should be closed by &lt;=50%, of the entire position. 4 Before getting to the target, after moving in your favor, the stop should be adjusted to breakeven. 5 The remaining of the original position should be closed when the trader sees fit, or till a contrary signal appears. I have not found a proper closing signal yet. In the period this strategy was tested, it produced 39 signals. That means 3 signals each year. 4 signals were whipsaws, the red lines. 5 signals broke even (if the stop would have been adjusted to breakeven after the trade moved in your favor) 11 signals went to structure support, and made a rebound. 19 signals went a lot below structure support, with some of them even predicting long lasting corrections. You can see that I'm using the word support, and not resistance. That is because this strategy doesn't really give long signals, most of them are shorting signals. Out of the 39 signals, 9 were long, 30 were short. Out of the 9 long signals, 6 went through the immediate resistance, 2 made it only to the resistance, and one of them failed. This is a trading strategy that I'm going to use from now on, separately from my usual trading system. I'll be back with more information.
AMEX:DIAEducation
by vlad.adrian
10
U.S. Stocks: A Top Could be ImminentMarket Breadth: 52-week new highs: Stocks that are breaking to new yearly highs, which is another key breadth indicator followed by market technicians, when the number starts to diverge failing to make new highs, while the price index continues to grind higher, this usually indicates the lack of internal strength and concerning. Stocks above long term average: Swings from excessive bullish and bearish sentiment have been a good contrarian market indicator for the past years. Every time the indexes of stocks above or below 200-days Average reached an extreme of 90-100 percent a correction in SP500 was close. Instances where the index started falling, diverging away from the SP500 index (indicating internal strength is weakening) were bearish signals, as at least a hefty correction followed. The chart below Illustrates these divergences, where periods of prolonged divergence followed by a more sever downside move, while minor divergences followed less severe corrections. Updates on twitter.com
SP:SPXEducation
by Technician
6
Price & Volume Analysis - using OBV to confirm price action Today's tutorial session was spent examining my volume / money flow tool, the On Balance Volume (OBV) indicator. In this example, notice how price broke initially yet OBV did not. When price broke the uptrend line with a corresponding double top fail on the OBV the short really worked. If my charts help you, or you use my indicators... please consider a BTC donation to allow me to continue my work : 1EBttA56cWsgtsZn83VGiNT8si7inZV5Z5 & follow me on Twitter @CRInvestor Additionally, if you have questions about my indicators feel free to inquire as to when my next Google hangout tutorial session is scheduled so you can ask me in person... (or go here: www.google.com)
AMEX:SPYEducation
by CRInvestor
How To Spot a Market PeakHow to spot market peaks using Advance/Decline ratio (ADR)? First, look for divergence between the market and the indicator. Rising market index accompanied with declining number of advancing stocks means upcoming drop. Second, look for high readings of the ADR. Values above 3.5-4x to be considered as significant. I've done some back testing, which showed pretty interesting results. Here they are: o It is most likely to see ADR higher than 3 during first quarter of the year. Usually that is February or March as it happened in 2010, 2012 and as it seems in the current 2014. o After the peak in ADR with values > 3.5 the bull market continues 40-70 more days before correction occurs (see 2010, 2012). More on: www.capitalhubs.com
SEducation
by CapitalHubs
2
SP500: Approaching Bubble Territory?? Part 5: I am Out of StocksIn my series of posts "SP500 Approaching Bubble Territory' I was discussing my arguments for a major bearish move, and i believe we are very close to my awaited point. I am waiting for final confirmation signal which may occur today or Monday to post my short position. For now, I close any long position and cancel any long outlook. Market Breadth: Swings from excessive bullish and bearish sentiment have been a good contrarian market indicator for the past 6 years. Every time the indexes of stocks above or below 200-days Average reached an extreme of 90-100 percent a correction in SP500 was close. Instances where the index started falling, diverging away from the SP500 index (indicating internal strength is weakening) were bearish signals, as at least a hefty correction followed. The chart below Illustrates these divergences, where periods of prolonged divergence followed by a more sever downside move, while minor divergences followed less severe corrections.
SP:SPXEducation
by Technician