Are high probability entries better? 🤫 The secrets to success are not really secrets at all!
Traders who succeed in the forex market are those who have developed a successful strategy. And such strategies can be replicated and taught.
🏡 Building a trading system is a little like building a house. When you construct a house, you decide how many rooms it will have, the layout, how many floors and so on. These decisions are based on your needs (objectives), budget (trading capital) and what suits your personality (psychology). Similarly, when you develop entry and exit rules for a forex trading system, you choose things like risk/ reward ratio, win rate and the number of trades over a time period (i.e., five trades a week). Your choices here will be a reflection of your needs, budget and goals.
🤓 Take a look at these three basic examples of Forex trading systems.
System 1 generates 10 trades a month with a 90% win rate. Winning trades make $100 and losing trades lose $1,000.
System 2 generates 80 trades a month with a 60% win rate. Winning trades make $60 and losing trades lose $50.
System 3 generates 10 trades a month with a 15% win rate. Winning trades make $1,800 and losing trades lose $150.
Before you read on, which system would you prefer?
Note it down along with the reasons why it is your system of choice.
🤓 Here are the results for a month’s trading for each system in dollars:
System 1 with a 90% win rate had a $100 loss
System 2 with a 60% win rate had a $1,280 profit
System 3 with a 15% win rate had a $1,425 profit.
🧐 What do you notice here?
The system that made the most profit had the lowest success rate – and the system that lost money had the greatest success rate.
Now, would you still choose the same trading system you chose above?
When you are developing your entry and exit, the one with the most wins isn’t always the best. Be careful not to fall into this trap.
(As a side note, it is possible to have a system that has a high win ratio and larger losses than profits. It’s just tough if you experience four or five losses in a row, so make sure you position size accordingly.
Ceocodes
USDCAD : Why trade currency as a CFD?CFDs are financial contracts between a broker and trader that pays for the difference in the settlement price between when you open and close a trade.
If a trader expects the currency to move higher, they will enter a long position with a specific lot size. Conversely, if the trader expects the currency to move lower, they will enter a short position, expecting to profit from it.
The benefit of CFDs is that there is no need to own the physical asset. Instead, traders speculate in the difference between opening and closing trade prices. While these contracts can be used to speculate on the foreign exchange markets, the same concept applies to other assets such as commodities, oil and indices.
In Forex trading, CFDs allow us to buy or sell the currencies without actually owning the physical asset. For example, let’s say you live in Canada and, through your analysis, you expect CAD to depreciate and USD to appreciate. What could you do to hedge against the CAD dollar that you have on hand? Well, you can buy or “go long’ on USD/CAD and profit from the movement in prices. By buying or entering a long position on USD/CAD, you are essentially buying the USD and selling CAD.
SO, WHAT IF YOU DECIDED TO TRADE WITHOUT THE USE OF CFDS?
This would mean going down to your local currency dealer and exchanging your physical Canadian dollars for US dollars, leaving you holding on to stacks of US dollars. When the value of the US dollar moves higher, you would once again head back to the currency dealer to exchange them into CAD. Now that the USD is stronger, you can exchange them for more CAD dollars than the initial amount you invested, thereby realising a profit.
SOUNDS LIKE A HASSLE?
It is. That’s why CFDs are so popular for forex trading: it removes the need to hold those stacks of physical cash, making trading much more convenient.
Understanding ForexForex – also known as FX – is short for “Foreign Exchange”. It represents a market where one can exchange and trade different currencies across the globe. To understand how forex works, let’s use the example of overseas travel.
If you’re from the United States and are travelling to Japan, chances are you would head to a local currency dealer before your trip to change some US dollars for the equivalent in Japanese yen. Let’s say the rate you exchanged was 1 USD ( US Dollar ) to 108 JPY (Japanese yen). This means that for every 1 USD you give the money changer, you get 108 JPY in return.
Now you’ve headed off on your trip, had your lifetime’s fill of sushi, taken way too many pictures of Mount Fuji and are now back in the US a month later. You still have some Japanese yen currency left which, of course, isn’t of much use at American shops, so you decide to change it back to USD.
Once again you visit your local currency dealer and ask to change your JPY back to USD. The rate you’re quoted is now 104 JPY to 1 USD.
Let’s pause for a moment: you may not have realised, but you’ve just made a profit without even planning to!
Previously, every 1 USD got you 108 JPY, now you get that same 1 USD back for just 104 JPY. That, my friend, is a simplified explanation of how profit can be made by trading the fluctuation of currencies against each other. In this case, the JPY strengthened against the USD while you were holding onto it, resulting in you effectively making money when you returned to the US and decided to convert it back to USD.
Now, it’s important to take note that when trading Forex, you always need to consider two currencies (hence, we call it a “currency pair”). In the above example, we were essentially trading the USD/JPY currency pair. It’s not enough to think that one currency might strengthen – you have to think of which currency it would strengthen against.
Thanks to the globalisation of financial markets, when we trade on the FX market, we now have the luxury of trading a lot of different currencies against each other all from the comfort of your home. Think the yen is going to strengthen against the Euro (EUR)?
Then buy the yen, sell the Euro (selling EUR/JPY )! This concept might seem a bit complicated right now, but just remember that when you’re trading forex, you’re essentially betting that one currency will strengthen against another currency.
* * The exchange rate on the chart is 104.056 Japanese Yen (JPY) for every 1 United States Dollar (USD) **
HOW TO BUY & SELL GOLD : Part1🏅 CFDS VS ETFS 🏅
➡️ GOLD ETFS (Right Chart)
ETFS PHYSICAL GOLD (ASX:GOLD) offers low-cost access to physical gold via the stock exchange and avoids the need for investors to personally store their own bullion.
Each GOLD unit comes with an entitlement to an amount of "physical bullion". This means : Real Gold, Real Bars.
⬅️ GOLD CFDS (Left Chart)
CFDs on GOLD US$/OZ (TVC:GOLD) (OANDA:XAUUSD)
CFD stands for Contracts for Difference, with the difference being between where you enter a trade and where you exit. Simply put, when the position is closed, you’ll receive the profit or incur the loss on that difference. When you trade a CFD you’re speculating on the movement of the price only, rather than traditional stocks where you purchase a physical asset. You do not ever own any real gold bars.
🤓 CFD TRADE EXAMPLE
The price of gold is measured by its weight. Therefore, the price shows how much it costs for one ounce of gold in US dollars. For example, if the gold (XAUUSD) price is $1600.00, it means an ounce of gold is traded at US$1600.00. Similarly, the price of silver is its price per ounce in USD. If the silver (XAGUSD) price is 28.00, it means that an ounce of silver is traded at US$28.00.
If you have bought gold for $1600, you do not have an ounce of gold that you can hold, but you rather have the obligation to buy XAU at US$1600. When you close your position, you sell the XAU and close your exposure. If you sell it for $1605.00, you have made profit of $5 for every ounce (unit) of gold in your contract. The same concept applies to silver trading. If you have bought silver (XAGUSD) for $28.00 and sell at $28.50, you would have made a profit of $0.50 for every ounce of silver in your contract.
🤔 WHY TRADE CFDS?
If you’re looking to invest in the price movements of instruments, rather than purchasing physical assets
To take advantage of swift fluctuations in the underlying instrument or security. This is popular with short-term investors looking to profit from intra-day and overnight movements in the market
To take advantage of leverage and spread capital across a range of different instruments rather than tie it up in a single investment (note: this approach can increase risk)
As a risk management tool to hedge exposure