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Cryptoanalysis

Trend lines - how to build them and how to use them?Before we dive into the world of trend lines, I recommend familiarizing yourself with the support and resistance zone Here we go: Trend lines are one of the most universal tools for trading in any market, used in intraday, swing and position trading strategies. Properly drawn on charts, they help to predict the direction of price movement and identify trend reversals. In addition, trend lines help you to accurately determine the optimal entry and exit points, as well as set a stop loss. It is recommended not to rely on trend lines alone, but to integrate them with other methods of technical analysis, expanding your trading arsenal. Often many traders draw too many lines, it is uninformative and useless How to place trend lines on a chart? An uptrend is a combination of at least two pullbacks Similar in a downtrend: Instructions for markings: Find at least two points on the chart Connect them with a line But, let's remember the Axiom: 1. Randomness 2. Coincidence. 3. Regularity Until a trendline is pushed back a third time - it is considered unconfirmed... Once the third bounce has occurred, the line can be considered valid, but does not guarantee that it will necessarily bounce the fourth time! Like all patterns in the market, trend patterns can be drawn on any timeframe, also - they are more effective on older ones (as well as all others) How to use trend lines in your trading? Frequent trades from a trend line are rebound or breakout trades Example: Trendline confirmed (bounced three times) - on the fourth approach we can pay attention - what happens next? Price will either bounce from our trendline again or there will be a breakout Next example: How can we determine whether there will be a breakout or a bounce? As I said before, you need to take into account the context: indicators, price action, nearby levels and so on (it all depends on your psychology) How do trend lines fit together? Support and resistance levels are areas on a chart that indicate potential pressure (on a side) The same principle applies to trend lines. The only difference is that trend lines are sloped rather than horizontal. How to properly label/draw trend lines? Which trend lines are important and which ones should be ignored? Focus only on the major pivot points Connect at least two major pivot points. Adjust the slope of the line to get the most amount of price touching the line, whether it is the shadows of candles or their bodies. Important clarification - trend lines represent a support zone, not specific levels. How can you use trend lines? The trend is our friend. Where the trend goes, so goes we. Trading against the trend is foolish. If you do decide to do it, it must be justified! Trend lines are the direction of the current market. Also the trend line itself can be divided into two positions: If the trend becomes flatter, it means that the market is moving into a state of consolidation If the trend is becoming steeper, it means that the trend is getting stronger (or perhaps it is reaching its climax and is approaching its final stage). Trend Lines Entry Point: Like all other patterns in technical analysis or price action - trend lines can help you find a more favorable entry point in terms of risk-to-reward ratio How to use a trend line to identify a market reversal? Chances are you have encountered this before. There is a trend line breakout, you are already expecting a trend reversal, but the market continues its original movement Like all indicators/patterns - not a panacea. Each strategy has its own risks, just when we add other osnovnopologologayuschih signs to one strategy, the chance of risking a loss - decreases! Technique for determining a trend reversal: Wait for a trend breakout Wait for a lower low/maximum to form. If the price breaks the previous minimum/maximum, most likely the trend will go in the direction of the breakdown...
BINANCE:BTCUSDEducation
by truepersonal
13
The Problem of Fundamental Analysis in the Crypto MarketFundamental analysis in the traditional financial markets involves evaluating a company's intrinsic value through a variety of metrics, such as earnings, revenue, and growth prospects. However, applying this same approach to cryptocurrency networks presents unique challenges. Cryptocurrencies operate on decentralized networks, and their value often stems from factors that don't align with conventional financial metrics. Key Challenges: Traditional Metrics Fall Short: Cryptocurrency networks are not companies with revenues, profits, or physical assets. Therefore, traditional metrics like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios or revenue growth don’t apply. Misleading Social Media Data: Social media presence and subscriber count might seem like indicators of a project’s popularity or potential, but these figures are easily manipulated. Fake followers, bots, and exaggerated engagement can create a false impression of legitimacy and success. Isolated On-Chain Metrics: While on-chain metrics provide valuable insights, they can be misleading if analyzed in isolation. For instance, a high number of active addresses might suggest widespread usage, but without context, it doesn't reveal whether these addresses represent genuine users or automated bots. Relevant On-Chain Metrics: Number of Transactions: Indicates the level of network activity, but doesn’t differentiate between meaningful transactions and spam. Transaction Cost: Reflects the cost of using the network, which can indicate demand, but also congestion or inefficiency. Active Addresses: Shows how many unique addresses are participating, but could be skewed by the creation of multiple addresses by a single entity. Commissions (Fees): High fees might indicate network demand, but can also point to issues like scalability problems. Hashrate or Coins in Staking: High hashrate or staking levels suggest network security and confidence, but can also centralize control if dominated by a few large players. Design Indicators: Whitepaper: This document outlines the project's goals, technology, and roadmap, but its value depends on the technical understanding of the reader and the honesty of the team. Project Team: The experience and reputation of the team are crucial, but the anonymous or pseudonymous nature of many crypto projects complicates assessment. Competitors: Understanding a project's competitors helps gauge its potential, but the fast-paced nature of the crypto space means that new competitors can emerge quickly. Tokenomics: The economic model of the token, including supply, distribution, and incentives, is vital, but poorly designed tokenomics can lead to inflation or lack of demand. Financial Indicators: Capitalization: Market cap is often used as a quick measure of a project’s size and importance, but can be misleading in low-liquidity markets. Liquidity: High liquidity indicates that an asset can be traded quickly without affecting its price, but low liquidity can lead to price manipulation. Emission Method: The way tokens are issued (e.g., through mining, staking, or ICOs) affects supply dynamics, which can influence price stability and long-term viability. In summary, while fundamental analysis in the crypto market is challenging, a multi-faceted approach combining on-chain metrics, design indicators, and financial indicators can offer valuable insights. However, these should always be interpreted with caution and in context, given the unique dynamics and rapid evolution of the cryptocurrency landscape. Hope you enjoyed the content I created, You can support with your likes and comments this idea so more people can watch! ✅Disclaimer: Please be aware of the risks involved in trading. This idea was made for educational purposes only not for financial Investment Purposes. --- • Look at my ideas about interesting altcoins in the related section down below ↓ • For more ideas please hit "Like" and "Follow"!
Education
by Crypto4light
Blum Project Analysis!!!Today, I want to introduce you to another Tap-To-Earn project and see if it is worth your time. In the previous articles, I explained Notcoin and the Hamster Kombat project. If you have time, take a look at these articles. The name of this project is Blum . Please stay with me. ----------------------------------------------------------------------- What is Blum? The Blum Token is a cryptocurrency associated with the Blum Crypto Project on Telegram . While specific details about the creators and core team might be limited, the project focuses on community engagement, utility, and promoting blockchain adoption. The token serves various purposes within the project’s ecosystem, from facilitating transactions to enabling governance and rewarding community participation ----------------------------------------------------------------------- Now, let's check the Blum project with the help of SWOT ( Strengths-Weaknesses-Opportunities-Threats ). What is the SWOT !? SWOT (Strengths-Weaknesses-Opportunities-Threats) analysis is a framework used to evaluate a company's competitive position and to develop strategic planning. SWOT analysis assesses internal and external factors, as well as current and future potential. 🔸 Strengths : The game's style makes it difficult for the bot to jam every token_The active Telegram community currently has 11 million followers Blum selected by Binance labs team as featured airdrop 🔸 Weaknesses : No whitepaper _ Poor website _ Boring game _ The total number of tokens is not clear - the distribution method may not be fair _ the development team is unclear_The goal of the project is very general_ Low number of followers compared to other competitors on X platform _ Currently, you can become a member by invitation only_ It only has roadmap until the end of 2024_ The game environment is very simple. 🔸 Opportunities : Hard Forks to improve the Blum project_ Willingness of big investors to invest _ Improving the website and white paper_ Improve the game environment 🔸 Threats : High number of miners _ Emergence of Whales _Unspecified fee_ Hackers _ Competitors_Laws and regulations of countries Can you add other parameters to the options above or not!? ----------------------------------------------------------------------- Conclusion : Due to the fact that there are more Tap-to-Earn games these days, we should be a little careful in choosing the game, because no matter what you like, you will eventually have an income for the time you spend. According to the description above, if you want to enter the BLUM project, you should only consider it a hobby and not spend a lot of time on it because it has many ambiguities and weaknesses. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Education
by pejman_zwin
14
Why Penny Cryptos are LETHAL for TradersCryptocurrencies are often likened to the Wild West. They are untamed, unregulated, and packed with potential riches. However, they are also fraught with hidden dangers and potential pitfalls. One such peril lies in the world of penny cryptos. They’re cheap, super volatile, and they attract the minds of those who want a quick fortune. This is similar to a gambling mentality. And You don’t want to go down this rabbit hole. Once you get in, you find every reason to hold. You build so much trust, prospects and hope with them. You might as well marry them and expect the inevitable divorce which will rob you of your money. Anyways, penny cryptos are lethal, and here’s why. #1: Huge Volatility with Major Fluctuations Imagine being on a roller coaster that has extreme highs and drastic lows. One moment, you’re at the peak, enjoying a scenic view. The next you’re plunging into a scary abyss. That’s the world of penny cryptos. Penny Cryptos are definitely like the wild wild west. They swing drastically in value. This is because of the low value of the currency. #2: Issued by Small Companies with Little Experience and Knowledge If the financial world was an ocean, penny cryptos would be the tiny, uncharted islands you might stumble upon. The kind of islands that do not inhabit life and have erratic waves completely wash over it on a sporadic basis. Well, in the deep ocean of crypto currencies, Penny Cryptos are these tiny pebbles. Most times they’re issued by small, relatively unknown companies. Sometimes they are issued by children in their parents basements. Sometimes they are issued by gamers who don’t want to work for a living. Sometimes they are issued by Only Fans sexy girls who flaunt their bits and believe their currency will go up in value (amongst other things). Anyways, Penny Cryptos (unlike Penny Stocks) lack the experience, credibility, intangible asset value and knowledge to navigate the tumultuous shitty penny cryptos. In fact, they call many of these Penny Cryptos Shit Coins – No joke! Such companies often struggle with regulatory hurdles, lack of funding, and poor management, making their cryptocurrencies extremely risky ventures. #3: High Target of Scams and Fraud and Even Ponzi Schemes Penny cryptos can sometimes be the financial equivalent of snake oil salesmen. Their low cost and relative anonymity make them the perfect target for scams, fraud, and even Ponzi schemes. And you know how messed up the world is and what kind of trash people there are. And so, they are Penny Crypto con artists who try to sell their shitty coins only to lead to either a pump-and-dump scheme. Or to fake an ICOs Initial Coin Offering) gather a whole bunch of money from investors, then make a run for it. Please don’t fall for these scams! #4: Illiquid and Low Volume Which Will be Difficult to Get in and Out One of the most lethal attributes of penny cryptos is their lack of liquidity. Liquidity, in the financial sense, is like the exit doors in a movie theater. The more doors there are, the easier it is for people to leave when the movie is over. In the world of penny cryptos, these exit doors are often few and far between. Due to their low volume, buying and selling penny cryptos can be incredibly difficult. If you’ve invested in a penny crypto and its value begins to plummet, you may find yourself trapped, unable to sell and cut your losses. And you’ll just be stuck in your trade for years on end, while it gathers digital dust. #5: More Likely to Hit 0 as They are Less Trusted by the Public Trust is like the foundation of a house. If it’s strong and solid, the house stands tall. If it’s weak or non-existent, the house collapses. Given the factors I mentioned above, should be enough to make you realise. Any one of these weaknesses with a coin, can lead to a crash down to 0. And believe you me, most of the millions of Penny Cryptos that are around today – will be nothing more than a remnant of a memory in the future.
Education
by Timonrosso
How to Avoid False Breakout ? Hi guys, This is CryptoMojo, One of the most active trading view authors and fastest-growing communities. Consider following me for the latest updates and Long /Short calls on almost every exchange. I post short mid and long-term trade setups too. Have you ever seen a key resistance level breached and entered a long position right before the market turns the other way and dumps hard? Have you watched the price smash through support, and entered into a short position only to watch the market bounce? Don’t feel bad, this has happened to everyone – you’re just one of many victims of the false breakout, and learning to spot these things can be tricky. Read on as we discuss breakouts, and fakeouts and introduce two powerful indicators from the @CRYPTOMOJO_TA team that can help you stay on the right side of the market and avoid further pain. The solution to this problem is actually pretty simple (as depicted above). Rather than act on trade in real-time as soon as the price breaks a key level, we should wait until the candle closes to confirm the breakout’s strength. So the idea of setting entry orders above or below support or resistance levels to automatically get us into a breakout trade is not a very good one. Entry orders allow us to get “wicked” into breakout trades that never actually materialize. On the surface, this would lead us to believe that the only way to effectively trade breakouts, is to be at our trading terminals ready to act as soon as the candle closes in breakout territory. Once the candle closes, we can then open our position that hopefully has a higher chance of success.
Education
by CRYPTOMOJO_TA
4
Fibonacci Extensions From ScratchHi traders! Evidently, every trader understands the importance of defining the trend with its support and resistance levels. Unfortunately, sometimes it’s kinda difficult or even impossible to do with basic tools. Nevertheless, traders have fixed the problem and evented some indictors that are able to solve this problem. One of them is Fibonacci extensions . Fibonacci extensions are a way to establish price targets or find projected areas of support or resistance when the price is moving into an area where other methods of finding support or resistance are not applicable or evident. As you can see, Fib Extensions is some kind of ratios.The ratios themselves are based on something called the Golden Ratio. How to build Fib Extension? During the up trend you should initialize the point of previous lower lower. Next point is the higher high and lower low again. The points should be consistent.
Education
by Skyrexio
2
OSTBTC - How to find the breakout in a sideways marketHey everyone! One of the biggest ways to increase your risk exposure is to enter a market just a bit too early and catch that last (much needed) sweep of weak hands before finally moving up! Consolidation breaks provide great Risk-Reward-Ratio, with an impulsive break sometimes declining a second chance with a retest of what was previous resistance now turned into support and we are left with our hands empty. Well, that's not a great deal.. What we should look at is the general price action: generally, we want to look at symmetrical and ascending triangles before these long consolidation periods are broken. Then look at them more carefully: when is the main volume coming from? Are the buy legs steeper and more impulsive than the sell legs? Let's take a look at the beautiful chart above: look at those huge green candles - that's buyer interest right there. You will not see these type of volume candles in a market where sellers are in control. Also note that the top part of the symmetrical triangle is being tested and a close on a high timeframe could mean that we are ready to move further up. Hope you are able to spot this structure next time you look at a chart! Take care, Vlad The Crypto Trader
OEducation
by Be_Independent_Tribe
Bitcoin Next All Time High, Nov 2021 (?)Todays education is proudly brought to you by BestThingSinceSlicedSatoshi, the FREE and very profitable Buy and Sell indicator. Add it to your favorites at the link below. Analysis based on my ACCURATE buy and sell indicator on the Bitcoin Monthly chart, Heikin Ashi candles. My script (Blue line) = Buy when it crosses zero from beneath, sell when it crosses zero from above. Looking at the blue line, we see the last bottom in 2015. In Jan 2019, we hit the same value (approx) - could that be bottom ? Maybe. If it is, and price action is a mirror reflection of what it was from 2015, then we can expect to see the next ATH Nov 2021. Between now and then, ACCUMULATE. Disclaimer: This is not investment advice. Feel free to not believe a thing and do your own homework. Sincerely, BestThingSinceSlicedSatoshi. Pity they don't make Satoshi bread anymore.
BITFINEX:BTCUSDEducation
by patakopesa
3