The correlation between US Interest Rates and The US Dollar (DXYInterest rates and USD strength are positively correlated.
An increase in US interest rates will typically result in a strengthening of the USD.
The reason is...
Foreign investors tend to flock to US assets, such as bonds and fixed bank rates for higher returns.
Higher demand for US assets drives up their price, and as a result, the USD strengthens.
As for the relationship between USD strength and US stock market prices, it is more complex and can have both positive and negative effects.
On one hand, a strong USD can make US exports less competitive, reducing demand and potentially leading to a decrease in corporate profits.
This can weigh on stock prices. On the other hand, a strong USD can attract foreign investment into US stocks, driving up demand and prices.
There are other reasons for the correlation such as:
Interest rate differentials
When interest rates in one country are higher than in another, capital tends to flow to the country with the higher interest rates.
This results in an increase in demand for the currency of the country with higher interest rates, strengthening its currency i.e US Dollar.
Inflation expectations
Interest rates are also closely linked to inflation expectations.
When interest rates rise, it is generally expected that inflation will rise too, which makes the currency more attractive to investors.
Trade flows
The USD is the currency used in most international trade transactions, and as a result, changes in trade flows can have a significant impact on the value of the USD.
Dixie
EXPLAINED DIXIE (US Dollar Currency Index) What, why where, how?The US Dollar has been in the limelight and not in a good way. In fact, he US dollar has not been dimmer since 22 September 2022 where it was trading at 114.42.
Currently it’s at 103.90 (9.19%) down…
But what does it all mean?
Why is the Dixie such a popular index to understand, and trade.
You see it in the news every time you turn on Bloomberg and you see it in the publications. So we might as well understand it for the next time they mention the Dixie.
IN this short article I’m going to answer the 6 most important questions, to help you understand the Dixie is, how it’s calculated and how to trade it…
1. WHAT IT IS?
The U.S. Dollar Index – DIXIE - (USDX) was first intrpduced in March 1973 and is a measure of the value of the U.S. dollar relative to a basket of foreign currencies.
2. HOW IT’S CALCULATED
The USDX is calculated by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York and is based on the exchange rates of six major currencies: the euro (EUR) – Accounts for 57.6% - ,Japanese yen (JPY), British pound (GBP), Canadian dollar (CAD), Swedish krona (SEK), and Swiss franc (CHF) .
3. ECONOMY GAUZE
The DIXIE is used as a barometer for the value of the US dollar to base it on the potential strength of weakness of the U.S Economy.
4. TRADED BASED ON
The USDX is traded on financial markets, and its value moves based on certain macro aspects such as: Changes in exchange rates, economic conditions, and global market trends.
5. USE
Investors and financial institutions uses the USDX is often to hedge against currency risk, as well as to speculate on changes in the value of the U.S. dollar.
6. HIGHER VERSUS LOWER VALUE
If the Dixie goes up this means the US Dollar is gaining strength against the other currencies. The more it goes up the more it appreciates which indicates a stronger US dollar – Stronger economy – more confidence in the US dollar.
If the Dixie drops, it means the US dollar is getting weaker against the other currencies in the basket for the index. As it drops more, it depreciated which tells us the US dollar is getting weaker which means – a weaker economy and less confidence in the US dollar.
If this was interesting let me know in the comments or hit the like button and let me know what else you would like to learn about in bite size information.
Trade well, live free.
Timon
MATI Trader