Fibonacci Channel Etherum¿What is Ethereum?
To fully understand Ethereum, what it does and how it can potentially impact the society of which we are a part, it is critical to learn what their core characteristics are and how they differ from standard approaches.
In the first instance, Ethereum is a decentralized system, which means that it is not controlled by a single governing entity. The absolute majority of online services, organizations and businesses are based on a centralized system of governance. This approach has been used for hundreds of years, and even though history has consistently shown it to be flawed, its application is still elementary once the pieces don't trust each other.
A centralized approach means control of a single entity, however it also means a unique point of failure, which makes the applications and online servers that use this system drastically vulnerable to hacker attacks and even power outages. Additionally, most social media and other online servers require users to provide at least some level of personal information, which is then stored on their servers. From there, it could be easily stolen by our company, its rogue workers, or hackers.
Ethereum, being a decentralized system, is fully self-sufficient and is not controlled by anyone at all. It does not have a central point of failure, because it is running on the computers of a huge number of volunteers internationally, which means that it can never be disconnected. In addition, the personal information of the users remains on their own computers, in which the content, such as applications, videos, etc., is kept in full control of its creators without having to obey the rules imposed by hosting services such as the App Store and YouTube.
Second, it is critical to understand that even when compared to each other over and over again, Ethereum and Bitcoin are 2 entirely different projects for entirely different purposes. Bitcoin is the first cryptocurrency and money transfer system, built and supported by a distributed public ledger technology called Blockchain.
Ethereum took the technology behind Bitcoin and substantially expanded its abilities. It is a complete network, with its own Internet browser, coding language and payment system. The most important thing is that it enables users to produce decentralized applications on the Ethereum Blockchain.
These applications have the potential to be either entirely new ideas or decentralized reworkings of existing concepts. This in essence takes away the middle man and all the costs associated with collaborating with a third party. Exemplifying, the exclusive benefit that arises from users "liking" and "sharing" the messages of their favorite musicians on Facebook is created from an ad placed on their page and goes directly to Facebook. In an Ethereum version of such a social network, both artists and the public would receive awards for positive communication and support. Similarly, in a decentralized version of Kickstarter, you will not only receive a device for your contribution to the company, but you will receive a section of the future benefits of the company. In the end, applications based on Ethereum will eliminate all kinds of payments to third parties to fascinate any type of service.
In short, Ethereum is a Blockchain-based, open source, public distributed program platform that enables developers to produce and run decentralized applications.
As discussed earlier, Ethereum is a decentralized system, which means it uses a peer-to-peer approach. All relationships have a place between the users who participate in it, without the involvement of a control authority.
The entire Ethereum system is supported by a universal system of so-called "nodes". The nodes are volunteers who download the entire Ethereum blockchain to their desktops and fully carry out each of the system agreement standards, keeping the network honest and receiving rewards in return.
Those rules of agreement, as well as various other points on the network, are dictated by "capable contracts." These were made to automatically make transactions and other specific activities on the network with parts that you do not exactly trust. The terms that the two pieces have to carry out remain pre-programmed in the contract. The completion of these terms triggers a transaction or any other specific action. Many people believe that capable contracts are the future and that, with the era, they will replace all other contractual agreements, because the use of capable contracts provides greater stability than classical contract law, lowers transaction costs associated with recruiting and institutes trust in the middle of the 2 pieces.
Furthermore, the system further grants its users the Ethereum Virtual Machine (EVM), which in essence serves as a runtime scope for Ethereum-based capable contracts. It gives users the stability to perform unreliable code while ensuring that programs do not interfere with each other. The EVM is completely isolated from the main Ethereum network, making it a perfect instrument for testing and improving capable contracts.
The platform also grants a cryptocurrency token called "Ether."
Who designed Ethereum
At the end of 2013, Vitalik Buterin explained his initiative in a white paper, which he sent to certain of his friends, who in parallel sent him further afield. As a consequence, some 30 people contacted Vitalik to discuss the term. He was expecting criticism and people pointing out critical errors in the term, yet it never happened.
The plan has been publicly announced in the first month of the year 2014, with the central fixtures consisting of Vitalik Buterin, Mihai Alisie, Anthony Di Iorio, Charles Hoskinson, Joe Lubin and Gavin Wood. Buterin also presented Ethereum on the stage of a Bitcoin conference in Miami, and a few months later the accessories made the decision to wholesale Ether, the network's native token, to finance the development.
Is it a cryptocurrency?
By definition, Ethereum is a program platform that is intended to act as a decentralized internet, as well as a decentralized app store. A system like this requires a currency to pay for the computational resources required to carry out an application or a program. This is where "Ether" comes in.
Ether is a digital bearer asset and does not need a third party to process the payment. However, it not only works as a digital currency, but also acts as "fuel" for decentralized applications on the network. If a customer wants to modify something in one of the Ethereum applications, they should pay a transaction fee for the network to process the change.
Transaction fees are automatically calculated based on the functionality of the proportion of "gas" that an action needs. The prime fuel ratio is calculated based on elemental computing power and drive time functionality.
Ethereum Like Bitcoin?
Ethereum and Bitcoin have the possibility of being somewhat similar once it comes to the cryptocurrency aspect, but the truth is that they are 2 entirely different projects with entirely different purposes. While Bitcoin has predetermined itself as a subjectively stable and most successful cryptocurrency to date, Ethereum is a multipurpose platform with its Ether digital currency being only one element of its contract-capable applications.
Even once the cryptocurrency aspect is comparable, the two projects appear to be quite different. For example, Bitcoin has a capacity of 21 million Bitcoins that could be spawned, in which the potential supply of Ether could be basically infinite. In addition, the average Bitcoin block subtraction era is 10 min, while Ethereum purpose does not exceed 12 seconds, which means faster confirmations.
Another big difference is that today the triumph of Bitcoin mining requires large chunks of computing power and electricity and is only viable if mining is applied on an industrial scale. However, Ethereum's proof-of-work algorithm encourages decentralized mining because of people.
Perhaps the most relevant difference between the two projects is that Ethereum's internal code is complete Turing, which means that literally everything could be calculated constantly and once there is enough computing power and time to do it. Bitcoin does not possess this ability. Where a full Touring code gives Ethereum users fundamentally unlimited modes, its difficulty also means likely stability complications.
How Ethereum works
As previously said, Ethereum is based on the Bitcoin protocol and its Blockchain design, however, it is adjusted so that applications beyond money systems can be supported. The unique similarity of both Blockchains is that they store entire transaction histories of their respective networks, however the Ethereum Blockchain does a lot more than that. In addition to the transaction history, each node of the Ethereum network also requires downloading the most current status, or today's information, of each smart contract on the network, the balance of each client and all the smart contract code and where it is stored. .
In essence, the Ethereum Blockchain can be explained as a transaction-based state machine. Once we talk about computing, a state machine is defined as something capable of reading a sequence of inputs and transitioning to a new state based on those inputs. Once the transactions are executed, the machine goes to another state.
Each Ethereum state is based on millions of transactions. These transactions are grouped to form "blocks", with all and all blocks chained to their previous blocks. However, the precedent for the transaction to be added to the largest book requires validation, which goes through a process called mining.
Mining is a process in which a set of nodes apply their computing power to complete a "proof of work" challenge, which is essentially a mathematical puzzle. The more powerful your computer is, the faster you will be able to solve the puzzle. An answer to this puzzle is itself a proof of work, and ensures the validity of a block.
Several miners from all over the planet remain competing with each other in an attempt to produce and validate a block, because each time a miner tests a block, new Ether tokens are created and handed over to the miner spoken. Miners are the backbone of the Ethereum network, because they not only verify and validate transactions and any other operation on the network, but also produce new tokens of the network's currency.
Decentralized applications have the potential to completely modify the interaction between organizations and their audiences. Currently there are several services that charge commissions for simply providing a defense service and a platform for users to exchange goods and services. However, the Ethereum Blockchain can allow consumers to trace the principles of the product they remain buying, while utilizing capable contracts can ensure a safe and speedy business for the two pieces without any middle man.
Our Blockchain technology has the potential to revolutionize web-based services, as well as industries with long-established contractual practices. For example, an insurance industry in the US has well over $ 7 billion in sloped life insurance money, which has the potential to be fairly and transparently redistributed using Blockchain. In addition, with the use of capable contracts, consumers have the ability to simply submit their insurance claim online and receive an instant automatic payment, taking into account that their claim met all the required criteria.
In essence, the Ethereum blockchain is capable of bringing its overriding principles - trust, transparency, stability, and efficiency - to any service, trade, or industry.
Ethereum could also be used to generate Decentralized Autonomous Companies ("DAO"), which operate in a completely transparent way and free from any mediation, without a single boss. DAOs are managed by programming code and a collection of capable contracts written on the Blockchain. It was designed to erase the need for one person or set of individuals in complete, centralized control of an organization.
DAOs are owned by individuals who purchased tokens. However, the proportion of tokens purchased does not equal activities and ownership. However, tokens are contributions that give the population the right to vote.
Advantages of Ethereum
The Ethereum platform benefits from each of the characteristics of the Blockchain technology with which it works. It is completely immune to any third party participation, which means that each of the decentralized applications and DAOs deployed on the network do not have the possibility of being controlled by anyone.
Any Blockchain network is formed close to an agreement start, which means that all nodes within the system need to be in consensus in each change that is made in it. This rules out fraud, corruption, and makes the network tamper-proof.
The entire platform is decentralized, which means there is no single viable point of failure. Consequently, each of the applications will constantly be online and will never be shut down. Furthermore, the decentralized nature and cryptographic stability make the Ethereum network well protected against probable hacker attacks and fraudulent occupations.
Desventajas de Ethereum
Despite the elaboration that capable contracts remain intended to make the network fail-safe, they only have a chance to be as good as the individuals who write the code for them. There is continually room for human error, and any errors in the code could be exploited. If that happens, there is no direct way to stop a hacker attack or a bug exploit. The only viable way to do this might be to compromise and rewrite some code behind. However, this is entirely in opposition to the very essence of the Blockchain, since it is implied that it is an unchangeable and unchangeable ledger.
The DAO, which is the name of a particular DAO launched on April 30, 2016, has come under attack and well over 3.6 million Ehter tokens have been stolen. The attacker exploited a "recursive call bug" in the code, essentially draining the funds from the DAO into a "child DAO", which had the same composition as the DAO. The loss of a significant portion of DAO funding has not been the sole effect of the attack, as it fundamentally undermined user trust throughout the Ethereum network, with the cost of Ether falling from well over $ 20 to less. of 13 dollars.
What applications were developed on Ethereum?
Ethereum has the potential to open up the planet of decentralized applications even for people without any technical training. If this happens, it can transform into a revolutionary leap for Blockchain technology that will bring it closer to mass adoption. Today, you can easily access the network through its native Mist browser, which provides a simple to use interface, as well as a digital wallet to save and trade with Ether. Most relevant is that users have the ability to draft, govern and carry out capable contracts. Alternatively, the Ethereum network can be entered via a MetaMask expansion for Google Chrome and Firefox.
The Ethereum platform has the potential to profoundly affect hundreds of industries that currently depend on centralized control, such as insurance, finance, real estate, and so on. Today, the platform is being used to produce decentralized applications for a wide range of services and industries. Below is a list of several of the most notable.
Technical analysis:
Historically, ETH in its strong retracements hit 0.786 Fibonacci. Until I break it.
Personally, I will start scalar purchases from now on. We are betting that the next bullish rally will be in 2024. And that this fall will be prolonged, but ETH is quite liquid, falling to prices below 0.5 of a psychology zone for prolonged cycles will take time.
If we are based on a gann fan, we could take as a possible buying zone the value of 1100 dollars, however, we are in the midst of an economic crisis, so I do not wait if this crisis begins to support those levels.
And the Fibonacci fan, would place the price in a range of 900 - 1400 USD. But really although this is very good to find possible support and resistance areas, I plan to use my gold ratio as a base to have my possible entry areas, in scalar purchases.
Based on the Fibonacci channel, if the fall is prolonged and this peak of 64k is the end of the cycle and an economic crisis begins, I would expect that ETH at the beginning of halving of BTC would obtain a minimum value greater than 753 USD, representing that price one of my last purchases, to bet on the rise.
My Gold ratio, would place as a possible buy zone, more demand in the value of 719 usd. Above the 200-period moving average on the weekly chart. But we must also consider, that it does not necessarily respect this area, Our POC places the value of possible high demand in Volume of 288 USD. I do not personally think we touch this value, but I will also place it as a possible Maximum buy zone.
Placing these as possible values.
And well in terms of RSI, we still have a high range of decline on the weekly chart, so expect values lower than these in the long term, not daily, not a week, long term.
It is entirely possible.
Finally using Fibonacci Fan, Historical Data, Fundamental, making scalar growths based on PHI of Ratio Gold, we could expect the following results. The buy zones are in range, being scalar, prioritizing leaving more capital for the price close to the 200-period moving average on the weekly chart, representing that value one of the strongest purchases, but leaving an extra for a possible greater retracement.
Being the maximum in the worst case the value of 280 usd. Represented this as a possible second major purchase. Personally I doubt we will touch it, but let's not rule it out.
And here are the long-term goals. This being the maximum for from here in the future, doubting much of obtaining higher returns to these in the long term, for simple issues of capitalization in which it is already quite high obtaining those values, so I think that ETH this would be the maximum value . For many years.
You already know that these graphs are not designed to visualize the time when these values will be reached, we place that the maximum rate to reach these values would be until 2030, being the most pessimistic. I really believe that ETH has performed well compared to other assets. However, I believe that its long-term development, when the halving begins in 2024, could represent the indication of a possible new upward cycle. In the meantime I review the project and its development so I can decide and have more confidence in the asset to invest.
ETHBTC
Bull or bear beat holding +249.2% over a year, in profit in MayAs traders we look to capitalise on all sort of markets, not just parabolic runs. Today we are exploring how to run a long strategy even when the bulls are not in control.
WILL POST LAST 50 POSITIONS BELOW
We are looking for an strategy that:
1. has been beating buy and hold all year
2. Has a drawdown of max 15% in may 2021
3. Is simple to execute and automate
Not all candlestick patterns are created equal, and they do not work on all markets. However they do work in crypto, at least based on experience as they are not tough to identify and speculators tend to react to them.
This is why we focused on candles that are not that difficult to identify and are very clear in meaning.
The strategy (FULL INSTRUCTIONS):
On the 30 min timeframe:
We are going to open a position when the candle is a bullish Engulfing
We are going to close the position when the candle is bearish Marubozu
No stop loss or take profit, these are the only rules we follow, but we follow them a 100% of the time.
The results:
The strategy brought in 249.17%, beating holding. If you started trading this a year ago with 1 Bitcoin, you would be 2.4917 BTC in profit at the moment. What's even better the max drawdown throughout the year was 22.7% and it was actually in February.
During May we were only 11% down at a certain point.
This provides a Sortino Ratio of 5.44 which is a stellar mark for these volatile markets.
The positions:
31/05/2021 04:30
31/05/2021 14:00
10 hours
OP 0.06681
CP 0.068884
+3.1%
29/05/2021 21:30
30/05/2021 19:30
22 hours
OP 0.065407
CP 0.067746
+3.58%
29/05/2021 00:30
29/05/2021 18:00
18 hours
OP 0.068427
CP 0.066952
-2.16%
28/05/2021 07:30
28/05/2021 14:30
7 hours
OP 0.069574
CP 0.069572
-0.00287%
25/05/2021 18:00
27/05/2021 19:30
2 days
OP 0.068144
CP 0.071024
+4.23%
24/05/2021 00:30
25/05/2021 03:30
1 day
OP 0.061435
CP 0.067043
+9.13%
22/05/2021 22:30
23/05/2021 12:30
14 hours
OP 0.062197
CP 0.0581
-6.59%
22/05/2021 11:00
22/05/2021 17:30
7 hours
OP 0.064251
CP 0.06059
-5.7%
19/05/2021 22:00
20/05/2021 21:00
23 hours
OP 0.066705
CP 0.068997
+3.44%
17/05/2021 23:00
19/05/2021 07:00
1 day
OP 0.075193
CP 0.074787
-0.54%
17/05/2021 06:30
17/05/2021 09:30
3 hours
OP 0.076593
CP 0.077412
+1.07%
14/05/2021 13:00
15/05/2021 14:30
1 day
OP 0.079504
CP 0.078525
-1.23%
13/05/2021 16:30
13/05/2021 23:30
7 hours
OP 0.076788
CP 0.074242
-3.32%
12/05/2021 10:30
13/05/2021 15:30
1 day
OP 0.075732
CP 0.075619
-0.149%
11/05/2021 06:30
12/05/2021 10:00
1 day
OP 0.071125
CP 0.075353
+5.94%
09/05/2021 16:00
10/05/2021 11:00
19 hours
OP 0.06759
CP 0.069748
+3.19%
07/05/2021 13:30
09/05/2021 00:30
1 day
OP 0.061147
CP 0.065733
+7.5%
05/05/2021 01:30
06/05/2021 23:30
2 days
OP 0.061121
CP 0.061832
+1.16%
03/05/2021 00:30
04/05/2021 22:00
2 days
OP 0.05225
CP 0.061328
+17.4%
01/05/2021 22:30
02/05/2021 05:30
7 hours
OP 0.051064
CP 0.051111
+0.092%
30/04/2021 19:00
01/05/2021 15:00
20 hours
OP 0.048829
CP 0.049703
+1.79%
30/04/2021 09:30
30/04/2021 16:00
7 hours
OP 0.051113
CP 0.047849
-6.39%
29/04/2021 08:30
30/04/2021 02:30
18 hours
OP 0.050351
CP 0.051114
+1.52%
28/04/2021 10:00
29/04/2021 00:30
15 hours
OP 0.04799
CP 0.049829
+3.83%
27/04/2021 00:00
27/04/2021 19:30
20 hours
OP 0.046896
CP 0.047795
+1.92%
26/04/2021 10:00
26/04/2021 13:00
3 hours
OP 0.046466
CP 0.046378
-0.189%
24/04/2021 21:00
25/04/2021 13:30
17 hours
OP 0.045035
CP 0.046231
+2.66%
22/04/2021 20:00
24/04/2021 17:00
2 days
OP 0.04791
CP 0.044796
-6.5%
19/04/2021 12:00
22/04/2021 18:00
3 days
OP 0.039343
CP 0.04728
+20.2%
16/04/2021 10:30
17/04/2021 19:00
1 day
OP 0.03943
CP 0.039117
-0.794%
15/04/2021 18:00
16/04/2021 05:00
11 hours
OP 0.039286
CP 0.039291
+0.0127%
13/04/2021 17:30
15/04/2021 17:00
2 days
OP 0.0363
CP 0.039141
+7.83%
13/04/2021 14:30
13/04/2021 17:00
3 hours
OP 0.03575
CP 0.035968
+0.61%
12/04/2021 11:00
12/04/2021 12:30
2 hours
OP 0.035761
CP 0.035598
-0.456%
11/04/2021 03:30
12/04/2021 09:30
1 day
OP 0.035639
CP 0.035866
+0.637%
10/04/2021 21:00
10/04/2021 23:30
3 hours
OP 0.035761
CP 0.035688
-0.204%
08/04/2021 22:30
09/04/2021 13:30
15 hours
OP 0.035729
CP 0.035448
-0.786%
08/04/2021 02:00
08/04/2021 18:30
17 hours
OP 0.035231
CP 0.035636
NA
+1.15%
05/04/2021 05:30
06/04/2021 19:30
2 days
OP 0.035409
CP 0.036274
+2.44%
02/04/2021 13:00
04/04/2021 03:00
2 days
OP 0.033704
CP 0.035098
+4.14%
01/04/2021 13:30
02/04/2021 04:00
15 hours
OP 0.032793
CP 0.033349
+1.7%
30/03/2021 06:30
31/03/2021 22:00
2 days
OP 0.03138
CP 0.032743
+4.34%
27/03/2021 09:00
30/03/2021 02:30
3 days
OP 0.030822
CP 0.031326
+1.64%
26/03/2021 02:00
27/03/2021 04:00
1 day
OP 0.03114
CP 0.030919
-0.71%
25/03/2021 16:00
25/03/2021 20:00
4 hours
OP 0.031273
CP 0.030754
-1.66%
23/03/2021 17:30
23/03/2021 20:30
3 hours
OP 0.030826
CP 0.03091
+0.272%
20/03/2021 15:30
23/03/2021 00:30
2 days
OP 0.031261
CP 0.030839
-1.35%
20/03/2021 00:00
20/03/2021 05:30
6 hours
OP 0.031174
CP 0.031295
+0.388%
18/03/2021 18:00
19/03/2021 03:30
10 hours
OP 0.030665
CP 0.03087
+0.669%
17/03/2021 07:30
17/03/2021 18:00
11 hours
OP 0.031816
CP 0.032216
+1.26%
ETHBTC - A simple approachShowing support is greatly appreciated and keeps up the motivation in continuous ideas and education for the community.
Observe: 0.041895, 0.045950
Two prices that indicate structure, we can now quickly identify that both prices have been important in a direction, volume and liquidity change, thus giving us key identifiers we can label for reference when we analyze a chart.
You can use the "Horizontal Line" tool to analysis almost any security across multiple time frames, it's use is widely forgotten and you can't simplify a chart any less...
Horizontal Line Tool:
- Mark out important prices
- Help show a position, entry, stop
- Plot important alerts
- Simplify Analysis
If you'd like more quick educational posts like this, show us some support
Supply & Demand Zones Explained #2 : Single Candle Supply DemandSingle Candle Supply & Demand Zones are a form of Supply & Demand Zones and price can commonly find Resistance or Support on them. For those who are new to Technical Analysis ; "Support" is a area on the chart price and demand (buying pressure) increases from, with "Resistance" being the opposite, with price decreasing and sell orders (Supply of asset) increasing from the latter.
This makes them a great tool for finding exit or entry points for trades. The left images show how a Single Candle Supply or Demand Zone is identified and drawn on the Cryptocurrency market charts.
To draw and identify the Zones first we must find areas on the chart where a strong reversal occurs, at the start of the trend reversal, or at swing points we can find larger then normal "wicks": (wicks are the thin, needle points at the end of the candlesticks ) as you can see in the top left of the image.
When price revisits them (as you can see on the bottom image) it tends to react to it; giving traders a opportunity to capitalize on these movement's. They also are a useful tool for gouging Risk & Price targets as when one Zone is "claimed" price tends to head towards the next like a magnet; so they become ideal take profit & SL (Stop Loss) areas.
In this particular image we can see how ETH:BTC clearly had important price reactions to these areas; with the uptrend starting from the original Single Candle Demand Demand Zone marked at the Bottom Left. As the Price Action progressed - the level was "claimed" until we saw a continuation upwards, price then started to decrease in value at the next area. We came back down to the Single Candle Demand Area and now we have seemed to have found Support on it. We can use this live chart to look back in the future and see how Ethereum:BTC reacts to these historically important areas of Supply & Demand while learning.
If you found this idea informative, feel free to share your thoughts/criticisms and hit the like button, thank you traders!
📚 💰 Descending Triangle in ETHBTC - "Learn More Earn More" 📚 LEARN MORE
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Descending Triangle Definition:
An Descending Triangle is a type of triangle chart pattern that occurs when there is a support level and a slope of lower high .
It is defined by two lines:
. A horizontal support line running through valleys.
. A Downtrend line drawn through the peaks.
The lower highs indicate more sellers are gradually entering the market and selling pressure increases as price consolidates moving further towards the apex.
An Descending Triangle is classified as a continuation chart pattern.
If price can break through the support level, that level will now act as a resistance level.
Breakouts can also happen in both directions. Statistically, downward breakouts are more likely to occur, but upward ones seem to be more reliable.
In most cases, the sellers will win this battle and the price will break out past the support. But Sometimes the support level is too strong, and there is simply not enough selling power to push it through. Therefore you should be ready for movement in EITHER direction.
ENTRY:
We would set an entry order bellow the support line and above the slope of the lower highs.
TARGET:
Target is approximately the same distance as the height of the triangle formation.
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ETH/USD: Market Cycles and Investor Sentiment ExplainedIn this post, I’ll be shedding light on market cycles for cryptocurrencies, specifically Ethereum in this case, and how investors’ sentiments are reflected at certain phases of the cycle.
Market Cycle Explained
- We can refer to the graph in green, which demonstrates the overall market cycle
- Markets undergo phases of contractions and expansions, forming peaks during the expansionary phase, and troughs during the contractionary phase
- Overall, the market moves in an uptrend, forming higher lows and higher highs throughout
Market Sentiment Explained
- Along with fluctuations in price movement caused by volatility, traders’ and investors’ psychological responses are also reflected in the chart
- Prior to a bullrun, market participants are at a phase of disbelief. They think that prices will get rejected at resistance levels, and fail to break out
- After a breakout takes place, hope starts to settle in. People think that maybe a recovery to previous high levels are possible
- Then comes optimism. People start seeing the bullish trend that has been confirmed, and start thinking that this is the beginning of a real bullish rally.
- Afterwards, we have the belief phase, which is when people start to get fully invested in the asset or security. This is also where people start coming up with extremely bullish price targets for the long term.
- The thrill phase. People start getting extremely greedy at this point, and start buying more on margin, leveraging debt to increase their positions. At this point, prices are still going up on a daily basis, and people are still profiting from the immense buy volume, so they lead in their friends and family to invest as well.
- Then comes one of the most important phases, euphoria. At this point, people think they’re geniuses, and that they’ll be set for retirement next month. This is the phase were everyone is bullish, and the only thing leading price action is the momentum caused by new buyers
- The price of the asset tops out and corrects, reflecting a complacent sentiment. People just consider it as a healthy correction, and that the rally is deemed to continue upwards.
- Prices correct even further, stirring anxiety among investors. People start getting liquidated on their margin positions, and realize that the correction is extending further than they anticipated
- The denial phase then kicks in, as prices drop further. Investors refuse to accept that the trend has reversed.
- Prices drop even further, breaking all support zones, getting closer to new lows. Investors who have bought the top sell their positions here.
- Due to mass sell volume, capitulation takes place, and investors start thinking that the asset was never a solid investment decision.
- As prices consolidate around the bottom without any signs of a trend reversal, anger starts seeping in. People blame the market for being too manipulative, and the government for not regulating enough, and preventing such capitulation from happening in the first place
- As the phase of consolidation continues, investors experience depression. A sense of betrayal and self-pity, as they think of how they can retrieve their initial investment back.
- While they go through this negative phase of investor sentiment, prices break out once again, marking the beginning of the second disbelief phase.
Ethereum Analysis
- Ethereum is demonstrating this market cycle on the weekly chart
- It has currently broken out of major resistance levels, looking to continue its rally upwards
- Important resistance zones to keep an eye on are: $490, $620, and $800
- Important support zones to keep an eye on are: $470, $440, and $355
- Based on market cycles, as Bitcoin’s rally tops out and prices start consolidating, we should see capital flow into altcoins such as Ethereum
- Especially with Eth 2.0, an event in which the shift from proof of work to proof of state takes place, we could expect bullish news to drive prices upwards.
Conclusion
In summary, understanding general market cycles and investors’ sentiment is extremely important. Possessing the mental fortitude to buy when others are selling is also an important feat that an investor/trader should possess to succeed.
If you like this analysis, please make sure to like the post, and follow for more quality content!
I would also appreciate it if you could leave a comment below with some original insight.
Head and Shoulders - "Learn More Earn More" with usInverted Head and Shoulders Definition:
A head and shoulders pattern is also a trend reversal formation.
It is formed by a Valley (left shoulder), followed by a Lower Valley (head), and then another Higher Valley (right shoulder).
A “ Neckline ” is drawn by connecting the highest points of the two Peaks. Neckline resistance does not need to be strictly horizontal.
. This illustrates that the downward trend is coming to an end .
. When a Head and Shoulders formation is seen in an downtrend, it signifies a major reversal .
. The pattern is confirmed once the price breaches the neckline resistance .
In this example, we can easily see the head and shoulders pattern.
How to Trade the Head and Shoulders Pattern:
ENTRY:
we put an entry order below the neckline.
TARGET:
We can also calculate a target by measuring the high point of the head to the neckline.
This distance is approximately how far the price will move after it breaks the neckline.
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Head and Shoulders - "Learn More Earn More" with usInverted Head and Shoulders Definition:
A head and shoulders pattern is also a trend reversal formation.
It is formed by a Valley (left shoulder), followed by a Lower Valley (head), and then another Higher Valley (right shoulder).
A “ Neckline ” is drawn by connecting the highest points of the two Peaks. Neckline resistance does not need to be strictly horizontal.
. This illustrates that the downward trend is coming to an end .
. When a Head and Shoulders formation is seen in an downtrend, it signifies a major reversal .
. The pattern is confirmed once the price breaches the neckline resistance .
In this example, we can easily see the head and shoulders pattern.
How to Trade the Head and Shoulders Pattern:
ENTRY:
we put an entry order below the neckline.
TARGET:
We can also calculate a target by measuring the high point of the head to the neckline.
This distance is approximately how far the price will move after it breaks the neckline.
❤️ If you find this helpful and want more FREE forecasts in TradingView
. . . . . Please show your support back,
. . . . . . . . Hit the 👍 LIKE button,
. . . . . . . . . . . Drop some feedback below in the comment!
❤️ Your Support is very much 🙏 appreciated! ❤️
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Now, It's your turn !
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#ETHBTC facing falling trendline on higher timeframeFor now #ETH/BTC facing falling trendline on higher timeframe we're unable to break above this line in last two attempt let's see if #altsking can close daily candle above this line which will confirm breakout
For short term keep an eye on these levels
Resistance level - 0.0255/0.0260/0.0266
Support level- 0.024/0.0235
Special analysis for Ethereum/Bitcoin to earn!!!Wow, guys, we are in the armonic pattern in daily, with a possible to make a buy in the 1.27 or 1.618 of Fibonacci. So, this is very interesting to take in see it.
www.tradingview.com
And also, we are in weekly in the bearish channel, and we are touch in 3 ocasitions a strong support in monthly and this is a good indication that Ethereum has going to the moon in the next altseason and also the some fundamentals of the Ethereum 2.0. If you did hear that? So, for me it's very interesting to accumulate Ethereum to buy and buy and buy more and more Ethereum and make the capital. I think that Ethereum it's will become one of the best cryptoindustry and crypto blockchain. So, this technical analysis is like a tutorial to take in still pendent if Ethereum has make a movement parabolic and bullish
ETHBTC ScytheMy first pattern identified as my own, the Scythe :) It appears to look as a reapers 'scythe', it is a bullish continuation pattern. It can be identified various times on this chart, and is appearing quite often across major and minor alt coins. Alligator can be seen to at a reversal point and 'eating' bullishly. Lets go ETH!
5-0 pattern. Bearish + 20% and bullish model + 51% Real tradingI must say almost all of this movement I took. Short + 8% (instead of 20%). At long + 55%, entry into the long was lower than shown in this example. I will attach the trading idea for which I worked below. She was published here on January 22. I used other methods of analysis and work, but I used this method that I want to talk about as evidence for my methods. The graph shows a bearish pattern, which immediately turns into a bullish 5-0 pattern, a very rare phenomenon. And that's why I decided to make this idea of training.
I want to say that the 5-0 harmonious pattern is very widely used in other markets, rarely in the cryptocurrency, due to the very low professional preparedness of the participants in this market.
Trading in this pattern can be either profitable or unprofitable, in the first place it depends not on the method itself, but on the person who uses this method. The 5-0 pattern is effective in areas of potential trend reversal. Just the pair ETH / BTC was in such a zone.
The profitability of trade largely depends not on the method of trading, but on the ability to use it.
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A bit of history.
Harmonic patterns are the development of the idea of ordinary geometric patterns, using Fibonacci levels to more accurately determine pivot points. By the way, I almost never use the Fibonacci levels, as I see without them, what they show. For beginners in trading, it is better to use them.
By the way, who did not know initially in the father of harmonious trading Harold Gartley there were no Fibonacci levels. Only more than 80 years after the creation of the theory and the successful application of Larry Pesavento in practice, did Scott Kearney begin to pervert and sculpt exact numbers for each pattern that are far from real application on the market. It’s not customary to talk about this, but their main business is not real trading, but selling books, unlike Harold Gartley, who was a successful trader in the 20-30s during the Great Depression and became a millionaire! This is not an imaginary millionaire trader, a seller of courses and books, but a real trader who made all his fortune on real trading.
In mid-1935, Harold published his best work and the first book, which, translated into Russian, was called "Profit in the Stock Market."
The initial circulation of this book totaled only 1,000 copies. This book was very popular among traders, despite its very high cost. The book was worth 1,500 dollars, at that time it was possible to buy three new Ford cars for this amount. This is many times higher than $ 1,500 nowadays. One fact is that his books, which were being sold at the height of the Great Depression, let us understand how high authority he enjoyed among the people of the world of finance. The name of the pattern is Gartley Butterfly, which bears the name of its discoverer.
Already after the death of Harold, Billy Jones bought from Harold Gartley's wife the patent rights to the book “Profit in the Stock Market”, then continued to print it in large volumes. And a "perverse improvement" in working methods for making money on book sales started. That's why I have such a negative attitude towards such "specialists."
You have to be, not seem to be.
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5-0 pattern.
Pattern 5-0 is the youngest harmonious model (it is a variation of it with the Fibonacci grid thanks to traders of books on TA). The model usually represents the first pullback of a significant reversal trend. This is a relatively new model with 4 segments and specific Fibonacci measurements of each point in its structure, which excludes the possibility of a flexible interpretation.
Formation of the figure begins with a slight movement of the market, in the direction of a previously existing trend (segment AB), which was preceded by a comparable depth correction (XA). Point B, in this case, should not be higher than the level of 161.8% of point X. This is a fundamental point. If point B "goes" higher, then almost certainly the trader is dealing with short-term correction and the continuation of the existing trend.
The segment of the aircraft, in relation to the segment AB, is formed in the range between 161.8% and 224%.
The CD segment is a correction within the framework of an emerging trend. The correction depth (according to the classical pattern algorithm) should be 50% of the BC segment.
5-0 pattern template measurements:
The segment AB should be from 1,130 - 1,618. before the XA extension.
The segment BC should be a continuation of the segment AB from 1.618 to 2.240.
Point D should be formed at the level of 0.5 segment BC.
The segment AB must be equal to the segment CD, (AB = CD).
_______________________________________________
There are bullish and bearish formations of this pattern on the market. The graph shows both variants of the 5-0 pattern.
Bullish 5-0 pattern.
As you can see, the structure of the price movement at the time of the formation of the 5-0 pattern is generally very similar to the model of the Dragon figure with the development of goals. I made the ideas of training on this model of a figure and will fix it in ideas under the article.
Point 0 - the beginning of the downward movement, point X - the first correction upward, point A - the completion of the correction and the beginning of the fall down, point B - the end of the fall and the beginning of the strong upward movement, should be located at a level between 1.13-1.618 from XA, that the point C - the completion of a strong upward movement should be located between 1.618-2.24 from AB, point D is the end of the fall and the beginning of the upward movement, here we are trying to enter the market. The input should be at the level of 50% correction from the BC.
Bearish 5-0 pattern.
The structure of the bearish model of the 5-0 pattern is remotely similar to the model of an asymmetric head and shoulders or an inverted Dragon figure with a working out target.
Point O is the beginning of growth and the beginning of the formation of the model, point X is the beginning of correction down, point A is the beginning of growth and completion of correction, point B is the end of growth, should be located at the Fibonacci projection level between levels 1.13-1.618, point C is the end of a strong fall and the beginning of growth, point D - completion of growth, the place where we should open a deal for sale should be at the level of 50% correction from the BC.
Conservative traders are looking for additional confirmation before entering the trade. The 5-0 pattern can be either bullish or bearish. Goals can be set at the discretion of the trader, as the pivot point may be the beginning of a new trend. The common stop loss levels lie beyond the structure level beyond point D or the next important level for the Fibonacci sequence.
_______________________________________
Objectives for this pattern.
As it is a reversal pattern, which can act as a reversal pattern of the whole trend (the emergence of a new trend). You understand that there can be no clear goals, unlike simple figures. If you really get to the beginning of a new trend, the goals can be huge. It is important here not to exit the market prematurely. So that your profit does not turn into a loss, use the movement of stop-loss as the upward movement develops, but take into account the volatility of the instrument.
In this example, on the chart on the ETH / BTC pair, you can clearly see what the goals for this pattern can be.
The bearish model made a profit of + 20%
Channel support stopped a further drop in prices.
The bullish model made a profit of + 51%
The first goal is the resistance of the rising channel + 18%, as we see the price there was delayed for some time.
From this zone the reverse corrective movement to the support of the channel could take place. But, the price has successfully overcome this zone.
In total, the profit is + 51% of the entry point (point D).
In two models, the profit in theory was + 20 + 51% = + 70%.
But the reality is different, I have a profit of + 8% + 55% = + 60%
I rounded the interest for a better understanding, I will say one thing, there was no liquidity at the maximum to reset a significant position, and therefore the profit is much less than the theoretical one on the schedule.
______________________________________
Violations of the pattern 5-0.
More than any other pattern, the 5-0 structure presents a unique opportunity for decision making when the area of opening positions breaks through. In all 5-0 models, the best moment to enter depends on various ratios within the structure. When trying to make a deal while forming an unsuccessful 5-0 pattern, the trader still needs to look at the prevailing trend and at models at smaller time intervals.
Of course, the 5-0 pattern is not an ultra-precise model, and it may not work out even in the most correct situations on the market. What to do if the price has broken through all levels and left the channel, in such cases, the authors of harmonious trading offer quality ideas for opening positions. The first target in this case may be the area of correction 0.886 from the entire movement. Therefore, if prices fell outside the channel and broke through the 50% area, then we should expect continued decline.
______________________________________
Advantages and disadvantages of pattern 5.0
Despite the popularity of this pattern, I would like to first consider the disadvantages of the pattern. The main of its shortcomings should be called the poor "recognition" of the figure. After all, not all formations in the real market, exactly correspond to the ideal book example. In this example, I used exactly the ideal option for the ease of presenting information, and a person who is interested in adding this pattern to his arsenal of trading can also look for more complex formations for work. I would advise beginners to look for ideal models for work, as they are more predictable.
The developers and "popularizers" of the pattern emphasize its versatility. In their opinion, the pattern works with equal efficiency on any trading instruments and at any time intervals. If in the first part this statement is undeniable, then with regard to timeframes, the use of the pattern raises many questions.
On short timeframes, this pattern is not effective due to the high content of "white noise" and which does not allow to clearly identify and build the boundaries of the pattern.
Over long periods of time, the created corridor is so wide that, in fact, it can only indicate the direction of the trend (and even then in the long term). Thus, the efficiency of using this figure very much depends on the correctly selected timeframe. The ideal timeframe for work is 4 hours-1 day.
Remember the most important thing, this 5-0 pattern is effective in areas of potential trend reversal.
_____________________________________
I wrote above that I will attach trading ideas for this pair that I worked on. Which trading ideas made it possible to take profits in shorts + 8% and long + 55%.
1) This one worked in short when the head and shoulders formed. Published November 24th.
ETH / BTC Pivot Points. Ascending Triangle - Head and Shoulders
Result in short + 8%
2) The trading idea for which he worked in long. Published January 22.
ETH / BTC Coin operation. Reversal zones. Double bottom.
The result is now + 55%, the entrance was practically at the very minimum price when confirming support.
Perhaps we will see a reversal of the main trend by ETH18, if the price closes above the downtrend line (red line).
Also, in the idea of training on this graph, you probably all noticed which figure is being formed and how much you can earn from fulfilling its target.
Remember, trading is a game of probabilities.
Who trades from the situation created in the market - earns.
Who trades on the basis of what he wants - receives a loss.
The crowd trades out of their desires, not market probabilities. The crowd always loses.
From the pixels of thinking of individuals, a way of thinking of the crowd is created.
Thanks to the thinking and desires of the crowd, we earn.
The more stupid a society is, the higher the percentage of earnings in it is smart.
To earn, you need someone to lose money. No other way.
Under the article, I have fixed 31 learning ideas.
I didn’t even know that I already have so many of them.
Knowledge and experience are power!!!
Bitcoin Has Lost Dominance, But Only TemporarilyHello traders! Today we will talk about Bitcoin, its dominance and ALTcoins.
For the beginning we want to point out that most of cryptocurrencies, even some of ALTs nicely and strongly recovered in the start of 2020, which can be easily a signal for the bottom and a reversal into a bullish mode again, but only against the USD pairs (XXX/USD).
However, as you can see, the major Crypto BTCUSD is not so strong. It's actually rising, but in a much slower pace than some of ALTs and that's what we are going to talk about today.
It's all about dominance in the Crypto market, sometimes BTC is the leader, sometimes ALTs and this can be clearly seen in the BTC dominance chart, which is telling us where XXX/BTC cross pairs can be headed, but of course not all of them. So, we want to to show you how this look like from Elliott Wave perspective.
In the first chart above we can see that BTC is losing dominance since September of 2019, but according to the EW corrective a-b-c structure, this may come to an end soon. We are tracking a regular flat correction in wave 4, so seems like the final move up for wave 5 is still missing.
If we take a look at the examples below, ETHBTC can be also trading in a corrective a-b-c-d-e triangle pattern, so once BTC dominance returns, and once it fully completes a bearish triangle, this is when we can expect a break into new lows for the final wave 5.
It's very similar with EOSBTC, the only difference is that EOS is currently stronger than ETH, which means that EOS made a bigger recovery against the BTC, but it also looks an a-b-c corrective rally in wave 4, especially because of a triangle in wave »b«, so don't be surprised if EOSBTC faces limited upside around the 0.00048 resistance area.
All what we want to say is that yes, most of Cryptos is turning bullish, but be very careful with cross pairs against the BTC (XXX/BTC), because most of these ones may not have reached the bottom yet, especially those which are still trading near the lows like ETHBTC and EOSBTC, while the other ones that made a bigger recovery, may just face a deeper corrective decline.
Be humble and trade smart!
If you like what we do, then please like and share the idea.
Disclosure: Please be informed that information we provide is NOT a trading recommendation or investment advice. All of our work is for educational purposes only.
Ethereum | 2020 Will be Bullish Year For Ether..!!What is Ethereum.??
Ethereum is an open source, public, blockchain-based distributed computing platform and operating system featuring smart contract functionality. It supports a modified version of Nakamoto consensus via transaction-based state transitions.
Ether Milestones
Late 2013 - Ethereum White Paper released by Vitalik Buterin.
July/August 2014 - Ethereum Crowdfunding to fund development.
30th July 2015 - Public launch (Version 1, codename “Frontier”) with 72 million coins pre-mined to support development.
October 2015 - First Ethereum Improvement Proposal (EIP-1) lays out the rules for governance and community consensus.
14th March 2016 - First “stable” release (Version 2, codename “Homestead”) with updates to security, transaction processing and pricing.
June 2016 - The DAO hack.
20th July 2016 - ETH/ETC Hard Fork.
16th October 2017- Version 3 (codename “Metropolis: Byzantium”) with updates to the Ethereum Virtual Machine and smart contracts.
2017 - Ethereum Smart Contracts enable the funding of many crypto-currency projects via Initial Coin Offerings (ICOs).
December 2017 - Cryptokitties brings out scaling problems in Ethereum, with the network being congested and transactions being delayed.
28th February 2019 - Version 3.5 (codename ”Metropolis: Constantinople”) implementing zk-SNARKS borrowed from ZCash.
ETH/BTC (Update)
Now Let's Take a Look on Ether Technicals, In Bigger Chart (Monthly) Forming a Wedge Pattern & I Think 2020 Will Be Bullish Year For Ether.(If Follows my Plan)
ETH/USD (USD Pair)
Just like BTCUSD , Ether is Also Moving inside the Descending Channel (Downtrend) in Daily TF Chart.
Recently Tested the Lower Channel Line & Now Bouncing up Towards the Key Resistance (144), Just like BITCOIN .
It's Decreasing the Volume since 25th June Top & Now I Think It's Time For Reversal..(Major Indicators ( MACD & RSI ) Are Also Turning Bullish )
Now If Key Resistance Broken in Coming Days Then ETHER Will be Back in Uptrend & It Might Test (195) Resistance.
In 3D & Weekly Chart, It's Forming Bullish Wedge Pattern as well ..
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ETH: Crucial S&R Zone!ETH is at the crucial 215-16 S&R Zone: A bullish bounce would lead to previous highs. A bear break could lead to the previous breakout zone.
If you had some value from my analysis, give it a thumbs-up & comment it, because the mechanism shows my analysis to other people then. Make also sure to follow me so you get notified on my analyses! I wish you a good trading! :)
Edgy is providing online education only. We are not a financial advisor, nor do we hold any formal qualifications in this area. You're trading at your own risk. No matter what you do, please set your stop loss. Please be aware, that you can lose all your money on the online exchanges.
A quick overlook on ETH.What do you look for when buying??
1. Fundamental support?
2. Statistical outlook on protocol growth and recent avenues? (ie: www.forbes.com)
3. Human appeal and influence? (lower prices are more appealing while regulation and growth continues) Grab it while its hot! ;)
4. Would you rather want a 50% 70% or 80% or hell 100% discount from where price took off? Sure would be nice to visit "station 1" of the bus ride for those cheap deals again! (UNLIKELY) But hey? Maybe station 2 is still good or even 3..?
Think of this in terms of what would you pay as a brand new investor? Hope you all like my idea ^_^
Yellow zone can ride us back up
Red zone people are looking for deals
Blue zone people are observing pattern and market behavior for trends.
Weapons of knowledge:
1. News
2. Market Behavior
3. Growth vs Competition
4. Use Technical Indicators for price action observation (Naked Trading should always be first included before layering indicators). Clean charts are good charts I only use indicators to help show ideas like a playbook for a coach.
5. Do not rely on indicators they all mostly lag but there are some leading indicators that help and a combination of "truths" help with probability.
6. An idea is just an idea - it does not make it real but people use them so it has effect!
7. Smart Money vs Dumb Money (Wholesale vs Retail) (Discount vs Buying the hype)
8. Psychology and Money management
9. The farther out the more you can see, history has its advantages...
10. Contact me for supportive constructive perspective and criticism. Likewise share thoughts
Happy Trading all ^_^ !!
For those of you who wish to help encourage my growth wallet address and TAG is below. Donation via XRP... As always, do not forget the tag and thank you for all your support in this journey!
Wallet address
rw2ciyaNshpHe7bCHo4bRWq6pqqynnWKQg
XRP Tag
636515678
BTC.D And ETHBTC Triangles Are Supportive For BITCOIN!Hello traders!
Today we will talk about Bitcoin and its dominance!
Well, as you know BTC Dominance is in the sharp rise and looking at the current wave structure, it doesn't look like it's already topped yet!
A potential continuation triangle formation can be also seen in the ETHBTC chart, which means that BTC is still leading!
So, in our opinion, based on many more evidences we shared with our members, we believe that BTCUSD should be supportive here and it could easily remain in uptrend, ideally within a big bullish triangle pattern.
That being said, as long as BTCUSD is trading above strong 9500 support level, we think that there's room for more upside, so don't fall in love with bears just yet!
Be humble and trade smart!
Disclosure: Please be informed that information we provide is NOT a trading recommendation or investment advice. All of our work is for educational purposes only.
ETH/BTC At Crucial Support: Huge Downside Potential!Hello dear ETH traders, hope you're doing well guys! ;) ETH/USD saw a nice breakout out of the wedge, but in the direct correlation to grandpa Bitcoin we're hugely descending & right now at a crucial support. If the bulls cannot bounce off from here, we have huge downside potential.
If you had some value from my analysis, give it a thumbs-up & comment it, because the mechanism shows my analysis to other people then. Make also sure to follow me so you get notified on my Crypto Analyses! I wish you a good trading! :)
Edgy is providing online mentorship & trading metrics only. We are not a financial advisor, nor do we hold any formal qualifications in this area. You're trading at your own risk. No matter what you do, please set your stop loss. Please be aware, that you can lose all your money on the online exchanges.
Simple Bollinger Band Oscillator- Algorithmic tradingFollowing Multiple requests from the community to Publish most popular trading strategies along with their backtest results. I have a listed down some popular strategies from the web and we would be posting regarding the methodology and related parameters used. This is not financial advice and we won't suggest you invest in any strategies without doing your own research.
About the strategy:
Simple Bollinger band oscillators are a technical analysis tool, specifically, they are a type of trading band or envelope. Trading bands and envelopes serve the same purpose, they provide relative definitions of high and low that can be used to create rigorous trading approaches, in the pattern. recognition, and for much more.
This strategy is pretty much straight forward and uses Bollinger upper and lower bands along with the current price.
Buy :
When close price crosses up the lower band of Bollinger.
CROSSOVER( Price , BBT(CLOSE, 25, 2, EXPONENTIAL))
Image: imgur.com
Sell :
When close price crosses down the upper band of Bollinger.
CROSSOVER( BBB(CLOSE, 25, 2, EXPONENTIAL),Price )
Image: imgur.com
This strategy looks like this: Strategy Builder
Backtest results :
Returns--5.01 %
Market Returns--17.2 %
Start Value-0.05 BTC
Current Value-0.04707 BTC
Profit Factor-0.75
Returns vs Market-12.19 %
Annualized total return--19.08 %
Total Trades-11
Max Drawdown--15.54%
Sharpe Ratio--0.46
You can find the detailed view of the backtest along with the share by following the link
You can optimize the strategy by putting in STOP loss and Take Profits and also by playing with multiple time frames without coding.
Happy Trading!