EUR/GBP: how to identify a liquidity sweep (+ a technical bonus)This idea will be both educational and technical.
First, we start with the educational part.
If someone were to ask me what a liquidity grab (Stop Loss hunt) really is, I would show them this specific chart illustration. If we take a deep look at the Daily-timeframe graph, we might observe how the price has been able to tap above/below wick rejections and top/bottom reversal formations before aggressively impulsing in pre-determined destinations. This happens for the sole reason of taking out early entrants, who tend to place their Stop Loss orders a few pips above/below identified reversal patterns, before riding the wave in the pre-orchesrated direction.
Marked by a red line, we have mapped some of the recent initial reversal legs, all of which are followed by liquidity taps above/below the formed wick candles and a major reversal levels. It can be inferred how the price tends to make manoeuvres and trick masses into believing that impulses have already commenced, which forces traders into making irrationally rushed decisions and opening transactions with their SL orders set a few ticks above the recent wick. The rest is known: the price prints a leg to the upside/downside, taps into the liquidity pool, then carries on acting as planned and destined.
From the technical standpoint, the price has tapped into the Weekly timeframe lows and is on the verge of leaving a potential wick candle and impulsing towards the south in the direction of the recent Lows as painted on our graphic. Combining that with the Daily-timeframe identification of a probable liquidity sweep, we are confident about going short and targeting the zone we have identified on the chart.
For further reference, I am attaching a recent educational post of ours on the same theme published last month (“Avoid getting trapped and hunted by market sharks”).
EURGBP
Unpopular trading advice: fall in LOVE with one pair ONLYIn a world where you can love anyone and anything your heart desires, fall in love with ONE currency pair ONLY.
The notion of "the more pairs I trade, the more money I will make" is false. If you wanna be a consistently profitable trader, it is more beneficial to focus on a small selection of securities and master them, and there is a concrete reason for that. Concentrating on one or two currency pairs instead of trading every single major, minor, and exotic pair will be more efficient, less confusing, and more profitable. When you study every single movement of any given pair, you get more experienced at trading it and you make more rational decisions and analyses.
Looking at the chart illustration, we might observe the trading log of all transactions we executed in April and May so far. With 8 trade entries and all of them being EUR/GBP, a total return of +9.6% has been generated constituting an approximate win rate percentage of 70%. Obviously, not every trade resulted in being profitable as we encountered 2 losses and a breakeven closure. Nevertheless, as we always indicate, trading is a game of big numbers and probabilities. Instead of trading 10 securities, we have only been focusing on one single currency pair recently.
One crucial thing that needs to be noted is the following: not always will the one specific currency pair of your choice provide you with clear swing opportunities as the example of EUR/GBP portrayed on the graph. Periods of long and dull consolidations, indecisions, and some other moments will take place and make a derivative unlikeable and less efficient to trade for a period of time.
Therefore, always have one or two other trades on the radar to eventually monitor and analyse along with the currency pair of your preference.
Love will save the world.
Investroy.
How To Analyze Any Chart From Scratch - Episode 9Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, as known as theSignalyst.
Today we are going to go over a practical example on EURGBP, but you can apply the same logic / strategy on any instrument.
Feel free to ask questions or request any instrument for the next episode.
You can find the previous episodes below "Related Ideas"
Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
EURGBP 1H HEAD AND SHOULDERS NECKLINE BREAK PULLBACK ENGULFINGOn the EURGBP 1H time frame there was recently a perfect head and shoulders pattern that formed.
A strong neckline break followed by a 50% pullback and then a strong bearish engulfing set up a perfect high probability trade.
The head and shoulders pattern confirms that the trend is temporarily turning bearish.
The engulfing candle opened perfectly at the neckline and spiked up forming a huge wick.
The engulfing candle engulfed 6 previous candles which increases the probability of further bearish momentum.
As soon as the bearish engulfing candles closes, it is safe to enter short.
A safe stop loss would be placed slightly above the high of the bearish engulfing candle.
A riskier stop loss would be placed slightly above the bearish engulfing candle body high.
A 1:3 risk to reward offers plenty of profit.
It is also important to note that the bearish engulfing candle closed at 3am CST.
EURGBP - What Is a Pennant?What Is a Pennant?
In technical analysis, a pennant is a type of continuation pattern formed when there is a large movement in a security, known as the flagpole, followed by a consolidation period with converging trend lines—the pennant—followed by a breakout movement in the same direction as the initial large movement, which represents the second half of the flagpole.
Pennants are continuation patterns where a period of consolidation is followed by a breakout used in technical analysis.
It's important to look at the volume in a pennant—the period of consolidation should have lower volume and the breakouts should occur on higher volume.
Most traders use pennants in conjunction with other forms of technical analysis that act as confirmation.
Understanding Pennants
Pennants, which are similar to flags in terms of structure, have converging trend lines during their consolidation period and last from one to three weeks. The volume at each period of the pennant is also important. The initial move must be met with large volume while the pennant should have weakening volume, followed by a large increase in volume during the breakout.
Here's an example of what a pennant looks like:
Ascending Triangle Definition and TacticsHello my friend | Welcome Back.
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* The trendlines of a triangle need to run along at least two swing highs and two swing lows.
* Ascending triangles are considered a continuation pattern, as the price will typically breakout of the triangle in the price direction prevailing before the triangle. Although, this won't always occur. A breakout in any direction is noteworthy.
* A long trade is taken if the price breaks above the top of the pattern.
* A short trade is taken if the price breaks below the lower trendline.
* A stop loss is typically placed just outside the pattern on the opposite side from the breakout.
* A profit target is calculated by taking the height of the triangle, at its thickest point, and adding or subtracting that to/from the breakout point.
Thank you
Head and shoulders typesHello my friend | Welcome Back.
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The head and shoulders chart pattern is a popular and easy to spot pattern in technical analysis that shows a baseline with three peaks, the middle peak being the highest. The head and shoulders chart depicts a bullish-to-bearish trend reversal and signals that an upward trend is nearing its end.
The pattern appears on all time frames and can, therefore, be used by all types of traders and investors. Entry levels, stop levels and price targets make the formation easy to implement, as the chart pattern provides important and easy to see levels.
Classic graphicsHello
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Classic technical analysis is one of the best analyzes for finding a buy or sell opportunity
So I drew some of the most common technical drawings used in the analysis.
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1 ) What Is a Head And Shoulders Pattern?
A head and shoulders pattern is a chart formation that appears as a baseline with three peaks, the outside two are close in height and the middle is highest. In technical analysis, a head and shoulders pattern describes a specific chart formation that predicts a bullish-to-bearish trend reversal. The head and shoulders pattern is believed to be one of the most reliable trend reversal patterns. It is one of several top patterns that signal, with varying degrees of accuracy, that an upward trend is nearing its end.
* A head and shoulders pattern is a technical indicator with a chart pattern described by three peaks, the outside two are close in height and the middle is highest.
* A head and shoulders pattern describes a specific chart formation that predicts a bullish-to-bearish trend reversal.
* The head and shoulders pattern is believed to be one of the most reliable trend reversal patterns.
2 ) What is Inverse Head And Shoulders?
An inverse head and shoulders, also called a "head and shoulders bottom", is similar to the standard head and shoulders pattern, but inverted: with the head and shoulders top used to predict reversals in downtrends. This pattern is identified when the price action of a security meets the following characteristics: the price falls to a trough and then rises; the price falls below the former trough and then rises again; finally, the price falls again but not as far as the second trough. Once the final trough is made, the price heads upward, toward the resistance found near the top of the previous troughs.
3-4 ) What is a Sideways Trend?
A sideways trend is the horizontal price movement that occurs when the forces of supply and demand are nearly equal. This typically occurs during a period of consolidation before the price continues a prior trend or reverses into a new trend.
A sideways price trend is also commonly known as a "horizontal trend."
* A sideways trend is the horizontal price movement of a stock between resistance and support levels that occurs when the forces of supply and demand are balanced.
* Traders can profit from sideways trends in several ways, from looking for confirmations of a breakout or breakdown to using stock options to placing stop-loss orders when the price nears resistance levels.
4 ) What is a Descending Triangle?
A descending triangle is a bearish chart pattern used in technical analysis that is created by drawing one trend line that connects a series of lower highs and a second horizontal trend line that connects a series of lows. Oftentimes, traders watch for a move below the lower support trend line because it suggests that the downward momentum is building and a breakdown is imminent. Once the breakdown occurs, traders enter into short positions and aggressively help push the price of the asset even lower.
4-5 ) What is an Ascending Triangle?
An ascending triangle is a chart pattern used in technical analysis. It is created by price moves that allow for a horizontal line to be drawn along the swing highs, and a rising trendline to be drawn along the swing lows. The two lines form a triangle. Traders often watch for breakouts from triangle patterns. The breakout can occur to the upside or downside. Ascending triangles are often called continuation patterns since the price will typically breakout in the same direction as the trend that was in place just prior to the triangle forming.
7 ) What is a Descending Channel?
A descending channel is drawn by connecting the lower highs and lower lows of a security's price with parallel trendlines to show a downward trend. Officially, the space between the trendlines is the descending channel, which falls under the broad category of trend channels.
8 ) What Is Rising (Or) Ascending Channel Chart Pattern?
As you can notice the rising channel pattern moves upwards, it is also called as Bullish Channel pattern. It comprises of two lines parallel to each other with points shaping higher highs and higher lows therefore consequential in bullish channel or upside channel. The price is limited between the two trend lines.
9 ) Support and resistance role reversal
A key concept of technical analysis is that when a resistance or support level is broken, its role is reversed. If the price falls below a support level, that level will become resistance. If the price rises above a resistance level, it will often become support. As the price moves past a level of support or resistance, it is thought that supply and demand has shifted, causing the breached level to reverse its role.
What Are Fibonacci Retracements and Fibonacci Ratios?How Fibonacci Ratios Work
Before we can understand why these ratios were chosen, let's review the Fibonacci number series.
The Fibonacci sequence of numbers is as follows: 0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144, etc. Each term in this sequence is simply the sum of the two preceding terms, and the sequence continues infinitely. One of the remarkable characteristics of this numerical sequence is that each number is approximately 1.618 times greater than the preceding number. This common relationship between every number in the series is the foundation of the ratios used by technical traders to determine retracement levels.
The key Fibonacci ratio of 61.8% is found by dividing one number in the series by the number that follows it. For example, 21 divided by 34 equals 0.6176, and 55 divided by 89 equals about 0.61798.
The 38.2% ratio is discovered by dividing a number in the series by the number located two spots to the right. For instance, 55 divided by 144 equals approximately 0.38194.
The 23.6% ratio is found by dividing one number in the series by the number that is three places to the right. For example, 8 divided by 34 equals about 0.23529.
Fibonacci Retracement and Predicting Stock Prices
For unknown reasons, these Fibonacci ratios seem to play a role in the stock market, just as they do in nature. Technical traders attempt to use them to determine critical points where an asset's price momentum is likely to reverse.
Fibonacci retracements are the most widely used of all the Fibonacci trading tools. That is partly because of their relative simplicity and partly due to their applicability to almost any trading instrument. They can be used to draw support lines, identify resistance levels, place stop-loss orders, and set target prices. Fibonacci ratios can even act as a primary mechanism in a countertrend trading strategy.
Fibonacci retracement levels are horizontal lines that indicate the possible locations of support and resistance levels. Each level is associated with one of the above ratios or percentages. It shows how much of a prior move the price has retraced. The direction of the previous trend is likely to continue. However, the price of the asset usually retraces to one of the ratios listed above before that happens.
The following chart illustrates how a Fibonacci retracement appears. Most modern trading platforms contain a tool that automatically draws in the horizontal lines. Notice how the price changes direction as it approaches the support and resistance levels.
Fibonacci Retracement Pros and Cons
Despite the popularity of Fibonacci retracements, the tools have some conceptual and technical disadvantages that traders should be aware of when using them.
The use of the Fibonacci retracement is subjective. Traders may use this technical indicator in different ways. Those traders who make profits using Fibonacci retracement verify its effectiveness. At the same time, those who lose money say it is unreliable. Others argue that technical analysis is a case of a self-fulfilling prophecy. If traders are all watching and using the same Fibonacci ratios or other technical indicators, the price action may reflect that fact.
The underlying principle of any Fibonacci tool is a numerical anomaly that is not grounded in any logical proof. The ratios, integers, sequences, and formulas derived from the Fibonacci sequence are only the product of a mathematical process. That does not make Fibonacci trading inherently unreliable. However, it can be uncomfortable for traders who want to understand the rationale behind a strategy.
Furthermore, a Fibonacci retracement strategy can only point to possible corrections, reversals, and countertrend bounces. This system struggles to confirm any other indicators and doesn't provide easily identifiable strong or weak signals.
The Bottom Line
Fibonacci trading tools suffer from the same problems as other universal trading strategies, such as the Elliott Wave theory. That said, many traders find success using Fibonacci ratios and retracements to place transactions within long-term price trends.
Fibonacci retracement can become even more powerful when used in conjunction with other indicators or technical signals. Investopedia Academy's Technical Analysis course covers these indicators as well as how to transform patterns into actionable trading plans.
EURGBP: Key Levels & Structure Analysis
hey guys,
EURGBP has broken above a key daily structure last week.
Here are the key levels from where we will be looking for new trading opportunities.
0.90 - recent resistance that turned to support after a breakout
0.93 - major resistance and 2019's high
0.95 - major resistance and 2020's high
just in case of the start of a selling rally here are the key supports:
0.87 - mid-term 2020's support
0.83 - major support and 2020's low
the safest and the most accurate trading opportunities are always on key levels.
let the market reach on of those and then look for a signal.
EUR/GBP has a bearish possible scenarioWell, this is very easy the technical analuysis, the price has in range of distribution of the market nd are consolidated, and well, this is a great opportunity to earn a lot pip in this par, wll, as we see the situation of Brexit, this has make thsi par very sensitive their movement of the Eurozone and U.K., But, there are not range, but we have in the distributtion zone of this par. But, well, there are opportunity, The most strategy to opperate in this range is in Daily timeframe, because the Daily timeframe is in the range of distributtion.
Euro/ Pound Scott Carney's/ Divergence Software Harmonic Scanner---Possible Product Review---
Okay, I have some serious mixed feelings today. I dont typically trade on mondays as today is the shake up of the market from the weekend and people's emotions from the market. So, I thought I would buy Scott Carney's harmonic scanner for trading view. the software was very pricey and i honestly had i very high hopes for the software. i wanted to use the software for the smaller time frames like the 1 minute and 5 minute interval as it takes a while to chart the patterns properly just so i could add a few more trading oppritunities to my day.
here we have the pattern software pick up a bat pattern on the euro pound. Im very picky about my patterns, especially my anchor legs as those are going to be the frame for the patterns backbone to build off (the abcd pattern).
i like my anchor legs to be significant swing high/ low points as they provide great areas of S/R levels as well. the swing points printed on the screen are 27 and 88. that means 13 or 44 candles must print either lower highs or higher lows prior to the swing point and the same after in inverse order as they happened coming up to the swing point. the softwares algorithm is picking up XA points in some random spots which i think is causing alot of the patterns to be invalid before the pattern is even completed.
Now, I understand this is Scott Carney's lifes work, trading career wise, and im a self taught student of his teachings straight from his books. i just bought the 3rd volume and it answered a ton of questions i had and filled in a lot of gaps. i wish i had the old patterns i had drawn up previously when i first encountered his work and tried to mimick it on my profile so you can see the progression. so, no way am i saying this stuff is wrong im just saying it seems the software is printing in random spots that seem to fit a coding argument.
So, now the pattern. here is a bat pattern with the anchor leg coming off the bottom of brief consilidation period and bit of a over reaching wick For a bat pattern even with the +/- 5% spill over (introduced in his 3rd book) for the "B" point but PA closes above the 50 which is something i started to consider in my trading and was calling those spill over patterns "Dirty," becasue in his previous boks the measurements were to be precise; however, through my own analysis i noticed the patterns i did not chart but later did were successful. So much so it could not be chalked up to randmoization but not freuent enough to be considered a pattern revision.
The "C" point is also a bit odd in placement. as you can see in my pattern i chose the higher swing point which in turn when drawing the abc extension it will cast a 1.27 (an alternate abcd pattern ratio) closer to the xa 886 which is also closer to a major support area which could and has served as a great area for PA to rest and rebound off.
Overall in the future i will post patterns printed by the software, but only the ones i feel like meet my stringent criteria. Again in scotts older books and videos he strictly says not to trade every pattern, and only trade the best ones and what im going to post are only the best ones on the 60m and higher.
I cant post lower than the 15, and i probably wouldnt if i could, because hey i need to keep a little for myslef :P
long post im sorry but i hope it was helpful!