Trading NZDUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 28/10/2024 Last week highlighted the importance of a risk management plan for all traders using the Judas swing strategy as a case study. The strategy produced two trades on FX:GBPUSD and one on $EURUSD. Despite facing two losses and securing only one win, proper risk management ensured that the single win offset the losses, allowing us to end the week at breakeven. With these results in hand, we were excited to see what the upcoming week would bring. We got to our trading desk at 8:25EST and started our day by demarcating our trading zones.
Once we have demarcated our zones, we wait for the high or low of this zone to be swept, as this will assist us in determining our bias for the trading session. After 35 minutes, the high of the zone was swept, indicating that we should look for potential selling opportunities during this trading session.
Next on our checklist is to wait for a Break of Structure (BOS) on the sell side. After an hour, we observed a BOS on the sell side, which resulted in a Fair Value Gap (FVG) being formed in the process
We must wait for the price to retrace back into the Fair Value Gap (FVG). A trade can only be initiated once price has entered the FVG, and it is crucial to be patient and wait for the price to close before executing any trades. This waiting period acts as a filter to avoid scenarios where the candle entering the FVG proceeds to hit our stop-loss. The next five-minute candle entered the Fair Value Gap and closed, indicating that we can proceed with executing the trade
The position experienced a drawdown shortly after the trade was executed, but this did not concern us as we had only risked 1% of our trading account, targeting a 2% gain. Additionally, we implemented a minimum 10 pip stop loss to allow the trade sufficient space to fluctuate without prematurely stopping us out and then proceeding in our anticipated direction.
Upon checking the position later, we found it had shifted in our favor. However, we needed to remain composed since it had not yet reached our ultimate target. Our task was simply to be patient and wait for our targets to be achieved
Upon reevaluating the position, we noticed that price had returned to the entry point. At such moments, individuals who have risked more than they can afford may start to panic. That's why we continually stress the importance of only risking what you can afford to lose, as it greatly diminishes the emotional investment in trades. We have encountered situations like this before and will likely face them again. However, what remains within our control is the decision to risk only an amount we are comfortable with losing, which in turn lessens the emotional attachment to the trades.
According to our data, we can anticipate being in a position for an average of 11 hours, so the duration of this trade meeting our objective is not a concern we simply need to remain patient for it to occur. After 13 hours and 25 minutes, our patience was rewarded when our Take Profit (TP) was reached, resulting in a 2% gain on the OANDA:NZDUSD trade
Fvg
Trading GBPUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 15/10/2024Last week proved challenging for the Judas Swing strategy, with three consecutive losses and no wins, which heightened our anticipation for this week. Will we be able to break this losing streak? We'll soon find out. We typically arrive at our trading desks five minutes before the session starts to delineate our zones and settle into the trading rhythm.
After delineating our zones, the next step is to wait for a sweep of a high or low of the trading zone, which will assist us in establishing our bias for the trading session. Forty-five minutes later, price swept the liquidity at the high, indicating that we should look for selling opportunities during this trading session.
A few minutes after the high was swept, we observed a Break of Structure (BOS) on the sell side, which was encouraging as we avoid entering trades without analysis, even with a sell bias established for the session. Upon identifying the BOS, the next step is to find a Fair Value Gap (FVG) within the price leg that broke structure.
The final step in the entry checklist is to wait for price to pull back into the Fair Value Gap (FVG) and to execute the trade only after the candle that enters the FVG has closed. Shortly after, a candle entered the FVG, indicating that we could execute our trade following the close of the candle.
It's crucial to understand that by risking only 1% of our trading account for a potential 2% return, we minimize emotional attachment to the trades since we're only risking what we can afford to lose, and we stand to gain more than we risk. After executing the trade, we experienced a significant drawdown, which is a critical point for those who risk more than they can afford to lose.
After a patient wait, the trade has turned around and begun to move in our favor, which is thrilling. However, we must still keep our composure as the objective has not yet been achieved
According to our data, we can anticipate being in a position for an average of 11 hours, so the duration of this trade meeting our objective is not a concern; we simply need to remain patient for it to occur. After 15 hours and 20 minutes, our patience was rewarded when our take profit (TP) target was reached, resulting in a 2% gain on a trade where we risked 1%.
The Fair Value Gap (FVG)The term "fair value gap" is known by various names among price action traders, including imbalance, inefficiency, and liquidity void. But what do these imbalances mean? They arise when the forces of buying and selling exert considerable pressure, resulting in sharp and rapid price movements.
On a chart, a Fair Value Gap appears as a three-candlestick pattern. In a bullish context, an FVG forms when the top wick of the first candlestick does not connect with the bottom wick of the third candlestick. Conversely, in a bearish scenario, the FVG is created when the bottom wick of the first candlestick fails to connect with the top wick of the third candlestick. The gap on the middle candlestick, created by the wicks of the first and third candlesticks, represents the Fair Value Gap.
The concept of FVG trading is based on the idea that the market has a natural tendency to self-correct. These price discrepancies or inefficiencies are generally not sustainable over time, and the market often returns to these gaps before continuing in the same direction as the original impulsive move.
What are the Types of Fair Value Gaps?
1. Bearish Fair Value Gap
A bearish Fair Value Gap occurs when there is a space between the bottom wick of the first candlestick and the top wick of the third candlestick. This gap typically appears on the body of the middle candlestick, and the individual characteristics of each candlestick are not particularly important. What’s crucial in a bearish scenario is that the gap on the middle candlestick results from the wicks of the surrounding candlesticks not connecting.
2. Bullish Fair Value Gap
A bullish Fair Value Gap occurs when the top wick of the first candlestick does not connect with the bottom wick of the third candlestick. In this case, the specific direction of each candlestick is not as important. What really matters is that there is a gap in the middle candlestick, where the wicks of the first and third candlesticks have not linked.
3. Inverse Fair Value Gap
An Inverse Fair Value Gap is an FVG that has lost its validity in one direction but remains significant enough to influence price movement in the opposite direction. For example, a bullish FVG is deemed invalid if it fails to act as a demand zone. However, it then transforms into an inverse bearish FVG, which may serve as a supply zone capable of holding the price.
4. Implied Fair Value Gap
The Implied Fair Value Gap is also a three-candlestick pattern, but it does not feature a gap on the middle candlestick, which is why it’s called an “implied FVG.” Instead, it consists of a larger middle candle flanked by two relatively long wicks from the first and third candles.
The “gap” is defined by marking the midpoint of the wick of the first candlestick that touches the middle candle and the midpoint of the wick of the third candle that also touches the middle candle. These two midpoints create the gap.
Here are some factors that can lead to the formation of fair value gaps:
1. Economic Data Releases
Key economic data releases, such as changes in interest rates or unemployment statistics, can similarly create imbalances. If the data surprises the market, it can trigger a swift price movement in one direction, resulting in a gap.
2. Sudden News Events
Unexpected news that significantly affects market sentiment can lead to a rapid increase in buying or selling activity, resulting in a gap as prices adjust to the new information. For instance, if a company unexpectedly reports strong earnings, its stock price may surge, creating a gap on the chart.
3. Market Openings or Closings
Gaps may form during periods of low liquidity, such as at market openings or closings. With fewer market participants, even a small amount of buying or selling can cause a noticeable price jump that isn’t quickly countered.
4. Large Institutional Trades
Significant trades by institutional investors can also lead to fair value gaps (FVGs). When a hedge fund or financial institution executes a large buy or sell order, it can overwhelm the existing order book, causing a rapid price shift and leaving a gap behind.
5. Weekend Gaps
FVG's are often observed between the close on Friday and the open on Monday, reflecting news or events that occurred over the weekend.
KEY POINTS TO KNOW
- Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) are powerful tools traders use to identify market imbalances and inefficiencies.
- FVGs occur when buying or selling pressure leads to significant price movements, leaving behind gaps on price charts.
- FVGs can be identified through technical analysis involving the analysis of candlestick patterns and price chart patterns.
- Traders can categorize FVGs into two types: Undervalued FVGs, where prices are lower than fair value, and Overrated FVGs, where prices are higher.
Trading EURUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 30/07/2024Risk management ought to be a trader's closest ally, as the previous week demonstrated the practical significance of incorporating risk management into every trader's toolkit. Last week, we executed four trades; despite having only one win and three losses, we concluded the week with a mere 1% loss on our trading account. This has heightened our excitement for the opportunities that this week may present. As is customary, at 8:25 AM EST, we commenced the day by reviewing the essential items on our Judas Swing strategy checklist, which comprises:
- Setting the timezone to New York time
- Confirming we're on the 5-minute timeframe
- Marking the trading period from 00:00 - 08:30
- Identifying the high and low of the zone
The next 5 minute candle swept liquidity resting at the low of the zone, which meant our focus would be on identifying potential buying opportunities for the trading session.
To increase the likelihood of success of our trades, we wait for a break of structure (BOS) towards the buy side. Once the BOS occurs, we anticipate price to retrace to the initial Fair Value Gap (FVG) created during the formation of the leg that broke the structure.
We patiently waited for price to retrace into the created Fair Value Gap (FVG), and executed our trade upon the closing of the first candle that entered the FVG, as all the conditions on our checklist for trade execution were satisfied. Please note that our stop loss is set at the low of the price leg that broke structure, and we implement a minimum stop loss of 10 pips. The minimum stop loss value was not chosen randomly; it was determined through extensive backtesting. This allows trades sufficient space to fluctuate, avoiding premature stop-outs and trades later moving in our anticipated direction.
After 15 minutes, a large bearish marubozu candle formed, which could have exited us from the trade if we had set our stop loss solely based on the low of the price leg that broke structure, without including a minimal stop loss in our checklist. By using that price leg, our stop loss would have been around 6 pips, whereas a 10 pip stop loss provides the trade with sufficient breathing room.
We are aware that our strategy does not guarantee a 100% win rate but rather hovers around 50% on EURUSD, indicating that some losses were inevitable. To avoid becoming emotional over the position, we used only 1% of our trading account with the goal of achieving a 2% gain. Upon checking our position later, we observed that the position was a few pips away from hitting SL.
We remained calm despite the drawdown we were experiencing and were prepared for any outcome of the trade. All that was left was to wait for either our stop loss or take profit to be triggered to determine the result of our trade. A few hours later, the trade began to move in our favor.
After 13 hours, our Take Profit was triggered, and our patience paid off as we hit our target on EURUSD, resulting in a 2% gain from a 1% risk on the trade.
ICT Breaker & Mitigation Blocks EXPLAINEDToday, we’re diving into two powerful concepts from ICT’s toolkit that can give you an edge in your trading: Breaker Blocks and Mitigation Blocks. There are one of my favourite PD Arrays to trade, especially the Breaker Block. I’m going to explain how I interpret them and how I incorporate them into my trading. Stay tuned all the way to the end because I’m going to drop some gold nuggets along the way"
Ok, so first of all let’s go through what both these PD Arrays look like and what differentiates them, because they are relatively similar and how they are used is practically the same.
On the left we have a Breaker Block and on the right a Mitigation Block. They both are reversal profiles on the timeframe you are seeing them on, and they both break market structure as you can see here. The actual zone to take trade from, or even an entry from, in the instance of this bearish example is the nearest down candle or series of down candles after price makes a lower low. When price pulls back to this area, one could plan or take a trade.
The defining difference is that a Breaker raids liquidity on its respective timeframes by making a higher high or lower low before reversing, whilst a Mitigation Block does not do that. For this reason, a Breaker is always a higher probability PD Array to trade off from. As you should know by now if you are already learning about PD Arrays such as these is that the market moves from one area to liquidity to another. If you don’t even know what liquidity is, stop this video and educate yourself about that first or you will just be doing yourself a disservice.
Alright, so let’s go see some real examples on the chart. Later on I’ll give you a simple mechanical way to trade them, as well as a the discretionary approach which I use. And of course, some tips on how to increase the probability of your setups.
Trading AUDUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 17/06/2024 Following a successful trading week, we approached our trading desks in high spirits, eagerly anticipating the start of the trading session. While our week included trading FX:EURUSD , FX:GBPUSD , OANDA:NZDUSD we’re showing this classic example using $AUDUSD. At 8:25 AM EST, we began the day by running through the essentials on our Judas Swing strategy checklist, which includes:
- Setting the timezone to New York time
- Confirming we're on the 5-minute timeframe
- Marking the trading period from 00:00 - 08:30
- Identifying the high and low of the zone
Now that our zones are demarcated, we anticipate a liquidity sweep on either side of the trading zone, as this will assist in establishing a bias for the trading session. Liquidity was taken at the lows after 5 minutes, signaling our focus would be on identifying potential buying opportunities.
To increase the likelihood of success of our trades, we wait for a break of structure (BOS) towards the buy side. Once the BOS occurs, we anticipate price to retrace to the initial Fair Value Gap (FVG) created during the formation of the leg that broke the structure.
We patiently waited for price to retrace into the created Fair Value Gap (FVG), and executed our trade upon the closing of the first candle that entered the FVG, as all the conditions on our checklist for trade execution were satisfied.
Ideally, our stop loss should be set at the low of 0.65854, but that would place our stop loss at approximately 6 pips, which is too tight for our strategy. Extensive backtesting has shown that tight stop losses are often triggered before price reverses and moves in our intended direction. Consequently, we have implemented a minimum stop loss of 10 pips for all our trades.
After executing the trade, we experienced a minor drawdown for approximately 25 minutes before price shifted in our favor. During the drawdown, we remained calm as we had only risked 1% of our trading account with the goal of achieving a 2% return.
Price was progressing well in our direction, and all that was required of us was patience for the Take Profit (TP) to be reached. We expected to be in this trade for roughly 8 hours and 6 minutes, so we stayed composed and had faith in our strategy.
After 3 hours and 50 minutes, our Take Profit was triggered, and our patience paid off as we hit our target on AUDUSD, resulting in a 2% gain from a 1% risk on the trade.
Trade Like A Sniper - Episode 9 - NQ1- (31st May 2024)This video is part of a video series where I backtest a specific asset using the TradingView Replay function, and perform a top-down analysis in order to frame ONE high-probability setup. I choose a random point of time to replay, and begin to work my way down the timeframes. Trading like a sniper is not about entries with no drawdown. It is about careful planning, discipline, and taking your shot at the right time in the best of conditions.
A couple of things to note:
- I cannot see news events.
- I cannot change timeframes without affecting my bias due to higher-timeframe candles revealing its entire range.
- I cannot go to a very low timeframe due to the limit in amount of replayed candlesticks
In this session I will be analyzing E-mini NASDAQ, starting from the Weekly chart.
- R2F
"The Bodies Tell The Story.. The Wicks Do The Damage" - ICTIn this video I'm going to go through one of ICT's most famous sayings, which is "The bodies tell the story, and the wicks do the damage". If haven't taken the time to understand what he means, then you are seriously putting yourself at a disadvantage if you are using his concepts. This is one of the most crucial and useful pieces of the ICT puzzle. You often hear him say that the wicks are painting outside of the lines, which he sees as permissable when he is trading his PD Arrays. So without further ado, I'll try my best to provide some insight.
For illustrative purposes I'll use his Market Maker Sell Model. Just to note that this is not a video teaching about his market maker models, so the focus will not be on that or his other concepts. If you don't understand a certain term or concept, please check out ICT's YouTube Channel or the countless other resources online. This video will be predominantly shedding some light on candle bodies and wicks.
I urge you to go into your own charts and do your own study. This will truly be something eye opening if it is the first time you've actually decided to take notice.
- R2F
Goldbach levels explained The algorithm uses the following equation
3x3 =9
9x3 =27
27x3=81
81x3=243
243x3=729
729x3=2187
And so on…
These are our power of 3 numbers we want to keep in mind.
When we get the final result, charts will move 3,9,27,81,243,729 pips..or points or dollars at a time.
It employs goldbach levels using (po3) dealing ranges and completes objectives along each (DR) from low to high and back .
Why don’t your fair value gap or order fail to work sometimes but not always?
The dealing range you see has labels- each of icts pd arrays form and work specifically inside of the right level. Order block forms in ob
Fvg forms on fv
Liquidity voids ( long insane runs / candles) start from the lv levels ONLY.
breakers form in br
Mitigation block is mb
Rb is rejection block
If you are a Fvg or order block trader you need to understand this. The algorithm will only form the correct structure in the correct area…again like all ict concepts, it is completely fractal in nature.
Each po3 number has It’s own dealing range and smaller ones (3,9,27) all work inside of the higher ones (81,243,729)
From high to low is just these numbers in amount of pips ..
27 dr (dealing range) is 27 pips and so on, they are made up of a premium and discount also
Buy in a discount, sell in a premium..ya once 0.5 is a premium market
Since I’m on the daily using more time to swing, I’m using a 243 and 729 dealing range.
We are bearish. The algorithm is perfect.you have to open your mind to see what’s really happening…..
What is ICT Power of 3?Power of 3 at work on Gold producing a 8.6RR move on 30/06/2023
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
Ict power of 3 is a strategy that reveal the market maker algorithm model for price delivery.
Power of 3 simply means there are 3 things market makers algorithm do with price in ever trading days.
Those 3 things are; Accumulation, Manipulation and Distribution.
AMD:
A: Accumulation
M: Manipulation
D: Distribution
1. Accumulation: They accumulate liquidity through the delivery of a ranging market.
The purpose for delivering a ranging market is to induce both buyers and sellers to enter the market thinking that price will go in their direction.
2. Manipulation: After accumulating both buying and sell orders, they then manipulate the market to further induce another set of traders which are breakout traders.
But, that particular manipulation move is not their intended direction for the day. They only use it to gather liquidity, Which will then lead them to the next action which is to move and distribute price in their real direction for the day.
3. Distribution: After manipulating price to a particular direction different from their plan, they then distribute price to their original intended direction.
e.g to buy, they will first sell the market and then buy at the discount price level.
Example of Power of 3 on Gold
AMD:
A: Accumulation
M: Manipulation
D: Distribution
Accumulation : Price range during Asian session, accumulating liquidity on both sides of long and shorts.
Manipulation : Price broke the low of the accumulation during London session to take out sell side liquidity and then fill the previous day imbalance.
Distribution : Price move away from the FVG leading to a shift in market structure on 5m time frame, plus a short pull back, follow by a massive move to the upside during the New York session to take out buy side liquidity above.
ES Morning Shorts From Last Nights IdeaGood Afternoon everyone,
I will show in depth order entries in this post, read the updates to see.
This idea was formed last night around 10PM NY Time. I originally was hoping to trade up into the most recent Order Block (green path arrow) during the London session and end at the Terminus -4 around 8:00AM NY time. I then would've liked to see accumulations followed by a Turtle Soup or sweep of that low at the Terminus -4 during market open. I wanted to take countertrend longs in that area into the Order Block resting above the Liquidity Void, this move is denoted by the orange path arrow.
However we ended up going straight to Terminus -4 during London and we rallied above Asia accumulation into the Bearish Order Block sitting right above (green path arrow). We took shorts from this area and we were looking to target the Sellside Liquidity below to complete our MMSM (Market Maker Sell Model) on the 15M chart. We were able able to bank 2.1% off the move just by taking profits at the short term low 4507.5 and holding a few more contracts to a slightly lower price once we noticed price wasn't wanting to break the low at the Terminus -4 just yet. The Sellside Liquidity is still a viable target, we have just been choppy since right after open so taking profits is worth the time spent waiting for price.
Hopefully this was more insightful on how to form an idea for the next trading day. I will commit to making more informational posts like this. Please read the updates for a 5M look at the entries and a reference to the MMSM.
Unlocking the Secrets of Price Inefficiency: Dive Deep into FVG👑Price inefficiencies are also known as imbalances, gaps or voids. Healthy price action moves in a zigzag fashion, making highs and lows in line with the directional bias at any given moment. When price isn’t trending we find it consolidates, in which case highs lows are still being made. However, we may also see price move in straight lines with huge volume and momentum. When this happens, price finds itself unable to deliver price in an efficient manner. For example, in a bullish environment, price may continue to make higher highs without providing higher lows at a discount price. When price moves with this much momentum, it leaves behind imbalances.
🟠An imbalance can be identified by open space in price action, where the wicks on either side of a candle do not match each other. On the left is an example of price inefficiency, since the wick high of candle 1 does not meet the wick low of candle 3, leading to an imbalance on candle 2.
🟠This is an example of healthy price action with no imbalances. This is because all candles have wicks on either side of them. Since wicks were bodies during live price action and are bodies on lower time frames, this shows that price was delivered efficiently to buyers and sellers in this area. Whereas the example above shows an imbalance on a bullish candle, which shows that price was only available to buyers in that imbalance and therefore is not efficient.
👉For price to be efficient, it needs to be delivered to buyers and sellers. This helps us understand that in our original bullish imbalance, price has to come back and fill that imbalance using bearish price action in order to make that price available to sellers. This re-balancing could take hours, days, weeks or years, but it is our job to understand that it must happen at some point. Inline with the rest of the strategy, we can use this knowledge to pick out the specific imbalances that will be filled and how we can capitalise on this.
🟠This is an example of the correctly identified imbalance and where we expect price to react from
🟠This is an example when is our level being met, it is at this point that we use the rest of the strategy and knowledge to capitalise on the move that is about to unfold with high risk:reward entries.
🟠This is the completion of this particular market cycle, with our level being respected and price giving us a nice bullish leg.
🔴Bearish Order Flow:
🟢Bullish Order Flow:
Fair Value Gap Strategy (FVG): GBPUSD 7.32x Reward TradeCheck out this 7.32RR trade I took today on GBPUSD.
OANDA:GBPUSD
Trade Process:
Daily is bullish with FVG serving as draw on liquidity.
1HR: Took out Sellside liquidity left with BuySide liquidity to take out.
15M: London Session open took out 15M sellside liquidity with high probability of taking out Buyside liquidity.
Entry: I used my fib to locate OTE at the FVG which is where i placed my buy limit.
Price retraced to pick my order and fly high to take out the buyide liquidity and the daily FVG.
A loss for me a lesson for you- Trading a bearish FVGReview this first to see the fair value gap:
(1)Trades inside the -FVG
(2) Rejects -FVG(MT)
(3) Holds -FVG(L)
Note: This is a high probability sign for moves higher, price trades inside the 4H-FVG. Once price is inside, the price trades to the 4H-FVG(MT) and trades back down to the 4H-FVG(L) and price holds for a continuation inside.
(4) Prices trades through -FVG(MT)
(5) Trades and rejects the -FVG(H) and -OB
Note: This is where, and only where I should have entered for the sells that I attempted near the midpoint. We had already traded pass 4H-FVG(MT). After the failed entry, you should wait for price to reach the 4H-FVG(H) and in this case the -OB as well.
ICT Power of 3 & Afternoon Session 2022 Mentorship ModelHere is a good example of power of 3 and how to trade the afternoon model according to ICT. Of course this is not to the tee, as I would not have traded the afternoon session until 1:30 if I followed it exactly. Nonetheless, nice profits and I hope this was helpful!
You Should Know Importance of Asian Range! Asian Range is very important when we want to talk about liquidity concepts in general.. Most importantly, Liquidity Grab ..
First have a daily bias .. then use Asian Range's high and low to determine sellside/buyside liquidity.. Wait for London Open Killzone and search for a FVG ..
Let me know your thoughts in comments 🤠
Asian Range | Liquidity Trap | FVG & London OpenHey folks I hope you're all good and making some good untraditional profits 😉
Here is a model that you will find few days every trading week!
{Terms used in this Idea}
Asian Range:
a time span from 19:00 to 00:00 NY Time that forms every day except for Mondays.. Usually price taking of Asian Range's high or low means liquidity is taken and price "could" reverse short-term if that agrees with our daily bias..
London Open:
Time span from 02:00 to 05:00 NY Time when the market is very acrive. Price usually forms high or low of day during London Open..
FVG:
Fair value gab is a gab that forms between two candles separated by a third candle forming the gab (blue-shaded boxes on chart)
If you found that useful give it a ♥️LIKE♥️
💙Thank You💙
Glad to hear from you in comments✍️
New York Open Killzone Explained | Real Trading Concepts8:30 in the morning NY Time is what your eyes
👁️👁️ should be on. This time of day unleashes huge volatility in the market that you can take advantage of if you know how to benefit from it.
Price at this time likes to entrap a lot of retailers to revers against them and take stoplosses.. Every day at this time..A Lot of news, a lot of volatility, and clear direction and price movements..
Don't Forget to LIKE ♥️ and make sure to FOLLOW if you want useful ideas straight to your email👌
Let me know your opinions in comments 😉
London Open Killzone Liquidity Build and FVG Hello Traders! What I shared with you happens on most days of the week and is a super easy way to get trdaes that are highly probable..
London Open Killzone time is: from 3:00 AM to 5:00 AM New York Time.. (though it could extend a bit further)..
What we should be looking for is this scenario:
We have a clear liquidity area..(single or double lows/relative equal lows) and time is London Open Killzone and we have reached liquidity area.. on this case we expect price to reverse and we look for a confirmation (in this case a "Fair Valie Gab")..
Note that:
I recommend using 15-min chart to spot liquidity area and for looking at how price is performing..
And once we get into a liquid area, we should go lower (5-min_1-min) charts to look for FVG..
Hope you find this helpful 😃
Let me know your thoughts in comments I would be happy..
Be Well All!
SPX bullish FVG example with pendings4H+FVG entry (pending order)
Entry at the high, middle, and low with risk on each set 0.25% for the high, 0.50% at the middle and 1.0% at the low.
Initial stop loss below the candle that created the FVG or below the last swing low. In this case I used the FVG candle low.
If the high failed to be taken out, close partials, make sure stop is in profit or BE, and look for the middle and low entry execution as long as news doesn't impacts price action.
High taken out with an impulse candle.
Low made within a bullish point of interest in the form of a fair value gap.
-FVG Example This candle creates the -FVG high. Use the low of this candle and extend out.
This candle breaks market structure to the downside in the form of an impulse candle, bearish engulfing.
The high of the candle following the engulfing candle sets the low of the -FVG and the candle should not trade back above through the candle high that created the lo.
You can look for setups at the -FVG high @3716.70, middle @3713.70 and low @3710.70.
Smart Money Manipulation 🥊Alkaline is back baby! 💣
As smart money concepts gain popularity, liquidity increases.
I have taken a month away from trading to study the new forms of market manipulation and have been pleasantly surprised by what I have found.
Here is my discovery:
1) The market is currently focusing on taking liquidity from breakeven positions over fixed stop losses.
This is because emotional traders put their stops to BE quickly to avoid pain, especially during indecisive markets.
2) Order blocks are the perfect manipulation areas.
If you take time out to backtest significant order blocks, you will notice price will tap and lure or simply sweep above/below the zone before going in the intended direction.
3) That tight stop loss you are using is doing more damage than good.
Scale into your positions, trust me when I say this will reduce your emotions and give you a more relaxed trading style.
4) Use your brain, even if you are in denial.
If the majority of traders lose money, and the majority of traders now use smart money concepts, do the maths.
It feels good to be back after a long month of studying, I have lots of new things to teach and share.
I will be taking on new students shortly, have a great weekend everyone 👋