Introduction Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth is a crucial economic indicator that provides insight into the overall health and performance of a country's economy. As a comprehensive measure of a nation's economic activity, GDP growth reflects the value of all goods and services produced within a country over a specific period. In this article, we will...
After completing my weekend research/videos, I wanted to create something that provided an anchor for traders/investors. This video is not focused on the short-term market trends - although it does discuss what I expect to see play out over the next 12 to 24 months. This video is more about preparing traders/investors for the global events related to Central...
Hello everyone! Here you have some information that I consider useful on how to interpret and use economic indicators and data to make informed trading decisions in the foreign exchange market: GDP (Gross Domestic Product) - GDP is a measure of a country's economic output and is considered to be one of the most important indicators of economic growth. A higher...
Historically, an inverted yield curve has been viewed as an indicator of a pending economic recession; hence the inversion of the yield curve might be perceived as a leading indicator. Once the yield curve is inverted, it may be several months before we see GPD contracting; and it is not guaranteed that we will see a sharp drop in GDP. First pane: You can see...
This chart illustrates the GNP of the USA compared with others over a period of several decades. The USA is on a much slower trajectory of growth than all the other countries on the chart except Russia and Ukraine. This includes the Eurozone, China, India, Mexico, and others. This trend has been in place for decades. It makes for a poor prognosis for the...
Japan, which today is the oldest country in the world, had a weird looking demographic "pyramid" 30 years ago, with a big bump in the 40s, there were 75% more japanese in their forties than 0-9 years old. What could possibly go wrong? Japan was the new superpower, everyone invested in Japan. And then it all collapsed. As usual it got so bad they actually ended up...
The goal of this article is to understand what really moves the markets. 1. Central Bank Decisions These organizations manage the countries monetary system and policy. They control the countries money supply and operate through specific mandates. Stable inflation is a common mandate applicable to the majority of central banks. Interest rates are a crucial tool...
🎈 Here are the most common economic recovery shapes and what they mean. While economic growth can be measured by any number of metrics—like the stock market or employment rates for example—we’ll focus on GDP. 📍 A V-shaped recovery means that the economy bounces back quickly to its baseline before the crisis, with no hiccups along the way. Growth continues at the...
It was 98 years that communists randomly drew the borders between Armenia & Azerbaijan (and Georgia and Turkey). And it's still a mess to this day. WW3 soon. Great time to take a look at the economy of the soviet union. This is a vast subject so I will only cover a tiny fraction of what can be said about it, but I will try to basically cover the general idea. I...
How effective are Fed's monetary policies and tools? Fed has three simple goals- Grow GDP, keep inflation rate steady and keep the unemployment rate low. Some argue that Fed's perceived power over the market was exposed during several occasions- #1. During the 2008 in the midst of sub-prime mortgage crisis, the market continued to plunge despite the Fed's...
It's actually disgusting that it would be so easy... Countries approaching socialism: Sell & Let them starve. Countries abandonning socialism: Buy & Hold. It's barely more complicated than this. Most African countries have been living in absolute misery probably because after the soviet union stopped sending them free stuff, the european union and americans...
When someone mentions Macroeconomics, they are automatically talking about the big picture of the economy. Macroeconomics is concerned with the large-scale view of an economy and there are usually four main factors that make up this subject: GDP, Inflation, Unemployment, and Interest Rates. In most cases, changes in these factors could drive the Forex market in...