AlgoTrading Basics for Beginners and Advanced StrategiesHello,
1 Introduction
Algotrading or Algorithmic trading has brought about a revolution in the financial markets: automation of trades with the help of complex algorithms. These algorithms execute trades according to predefined rules and are quicker in capturing market opportunities compared to manual trading. HFT in gold HFT-based algotrading has also greatly skewed the transaction volumes in recent years, but even though these trades are very short-term, they can tell us something about longer-term trading strategies.
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2 What is Algorithmic Trading?
Algorithmic trading is a method of executing orders using automated, pre-designed trading instructions that account for variables such as trade timing, price, and volume. The platform has found application in the work of large financial institutions, hedge funds, and individual traders to facilitate the ease of trading strategy selection and optimization.
One might be, a set of rules that tells it to buy the gold if it falls below a certain level and sells as soon as the price of that gold hits a specified level. Traders can take advantage of small price movements without sitting in front of their screens all day.
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3 Why use Algorithmic Trading?
There are various reasons as to why one would engage in Algotrading:
Speed: It is obvious that technology is used to carry out trades and computers do this faster than people. This proves extremely useful in fast markets like gold trading where prices may change in milliseconds.
Emotionless Trading: An individual does not deviate from the proposal; emotional elements like fear and greed that affect traders do not affect its operation.
Backtesting: Trading systems risk analyses can be done using test histories which access the performance of trading systems on historical figures, thus preventing any risk when trading.
Precision and Consistency: Algorithms maintain accuracy levels in trade initiation with almost never deteriorating without human intervention as only information is required regarding trading and no emotions.
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4 Core Principles of Algorithmic Trading
Apart from trading in shares, forex or even taking a position in gold (XAUUSD) there are a few primary principles common to all algorithmic trading:
a Data Mining And Data Management
Technical Indicators – Besides backtesting and strategy optimization, algorithms employ very prominent technical indicators such as Moving Averages (MA), Relative Strength Index (RSI), Bollinger Bands, or other indicators associated with detecting trends or momentum.
Price Patterns – Other factors that might be of influence include pattern recognition algorithms which can be trained to identify specific shapes such as heads and shoulders, flags, or triangles, and thereby predicting price movements.
Volume Analysis – Volume analysis can be instrumental in price movement validation. Volumes increase during up-trend or down-trend and their analysis is essential when confirming trends or reversals.
b Machine Learning Models
Machine learning models aim to work in this way in modern algorithms with a view to predicting price changes in the near future. Algorithms that one develops or wires are fed with data sets and they learn patterns and devise methods of trading faster or more efficiently anyway as the case might be. There are other strategies like SVM, Random Forests, and Neural Networks that one can use to enhance predictive power.
c High-Frequency Trading
HFT involves placing numerous orders and getting them executed in split seconds and on some occasions microseconds. That is particularly attractive in cash markets like a gold market where there are narrow price bands in which one can place determinants and capitalize on the fluctuations.
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5 Advanced Techniques in Gold (XAUUSD) Algorithmic Trading
Trading gold presents unique challenges and opportunities in the algorithmic trading world. Here are some advanced techniques tailored to the XAUUSD market:
Reinforcement learning has emerged as a powerful technique in gold trading. RL works as the trading systems interact with the market and improvise over the strategy by solving the problem by trying it in the market. This is useful for gold trading, as RL strategies are adaptable to external shocks such as economic news or investor sentiment changes.
They include sentiment predictions around precious metals.
Gold as an asset class has a unique character because it is a ‘safe-hoard’ asset and hence its price is subject to global and domestic conditions, military conflicts and general investor feel. Sentiment algorithms incorporate news, social networks, and reports on economics and stock markets to identify the mood of the investor's community. If there is a piece of news pointing to some uncertain or negative times ahead, then the algorithm predominantly directed by the sentiment may initiate purchases of gold.
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6 The Future of Algorithmic Trading
Although this form of trading has not yet reached widespread use, the potential of quantum computing in investment strategies including gold markets is promising. Quantum calculations have been demonstrated to outperform classical computation in solving combinatorial optimization problems and processing big data. This can allow the development of new and better trading strategies and more effective utilization of unnecessary.
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7 Practical Use of the Traders on Platforms like TradingView
With the inception of platforms like TradingView, algorithmic traders have been aided with a design, a test, and an automated strategy submission in the most reliant fashion.
a Algorithmic Strategies Implemented Using Pine Script
On its part, TradingView accepts user-written trading algorithms. Pine Script programming language is based on TradingView. These traders favor strategies resting on either technical indicators, patterns, or custom conditions. For instance, one can formulate a strategy to place a gold (XAUUSD) order whenever the price rises above its 50-day moving average and a closing order whenever the price goes down.
b Strategic Testing
Strategies (algorithms) are tested using back-testing methods incorporated in the trading software, this process is known as back-testing. A feature of the TradingView platform is that a trader can run their algorithms on record and see how those algorithms would have played out on historical data. This is important for adjusting the entry and exit plus the risk control parameters and further the performance of a strategy.
c Community Insights
Another benefit of using the TradingView platform is the community of traders around it who can post their strategies, exchange ideas, and learn from each other. You will be able to learn how other traders have taken to algorithmic trading with gold and other assets and be able to develop better strategies.
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8 Tactics to Consider for New and Intermediate Trading Positions
The strategies provided for algorithmic trading may vary from simple to complex in levels. Below are some typical strategies that every trader should consider implementing in their trading practice:
a Trend Following
This is perhaps the most basic type of algorithmic trading. The idea is very simple; one buys those assets that are on the uptrend (bullish) and sells those that are on the downtrend (bearish). For example, in gold trades, a strategy for a trader may be quite simple: moving averages. For instance, an algorithm could be designed in such a way that it buys gold whenever the 20-day moving average of gold crosses the 50-day moving average upwards and sells when this situation is reversed.
b Arbitrage
Arbitrage strategies, as the very definition suggests, enable traders to exploit all such situations which emerge, due to the mispricing corrects routinely. In gold trading, for instance, this would refer to the action of selling short shares in an exchange retrieved in one exchange, where that price, would include a premium orchestrated by other markets.
c Mean Reversion
Mean reversion strategies originate from the classic concept that there is a high likelihood of prices returning to their average or mean. For instance, an algorithm buys an asset such as gold if its average is lower than the over its certain period moving average and sells whenever it is above that average.
d High-Frequency Trading (HFT)
HFT although it calls for many resources, there are traders who have this kind of approach to gold markets in that they seek to benefit from price changes within seconds or rather milliseconds HFT. This strategy also calls for other aspects such as having very good network connectivity to enable very fast execution of trades as well as high volume trades.
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9 Conclusion
Algorithmic trading opens a world of opportunities for all kinds of traders. It doesn't matter whether you're a beginner looking into simple tactics such as trend-following or a seasoned trader putting more sophisticated approaches to work with gold (XAUUSD), there has never been a time that the tools and methods are more readily available to you for successful algotrading. Traders can use existing platforms such as our TradingView to develop, back & optimize their strategies to keep up with today’s fast-moving financial markets.
The financial world is evolving and staying up to date with these new breakthroughs in technology, including machine learning, sentiment analysis, and quantum computing will help give the traders the edge. Algorithmic trading can become everyone’s thing if one is patient, disciplined, and keeps learning.
Regards,
Ely
Guide
Basic terminologyIn this idea I would like to cover basic market/crypto terminology for beginners!
Trading is a speculation in various assets with the aim of making a profit.
Technical analysis is a type of market analysis that uses information from price movements on a chart.
Fundamental analysis is a type of market analysis that uses information about a project, segment and market as a whole to create trading hypotheses.
Liquidity is the ability to quickly execute a transaction.
KYC - “Know Your Customer” is a mandatory procedure for identifying users for financial institutions, exchanges, and brokers.
Fiat money is paper notes with several degrees of security, which are issued by the state for circulation within the country and abroad. This type of money also includes virtual funds, stored on a simple plastic card, and also accepted for payment for goods and services. P2P trading is the direct buying and selling of cryptocurrency by users without the participation of a third party or intermediary.
Ticker is a short name given to the project for identification in financial markets (in crypto, most often the name of the token).
Spot trading is real-time trading of a physical asset.
Order - an application to buy/sell.
Limit order is an order to buy/sell at a limit price you define, which is lower than the current one when buying and higher than the current one when selling. Such orders fall into the order book.
Order book is a list of limit orders on the market at the current moment.
Makers are traders who work with limit orders. Add liquidity to the exchange.
Market order is a buy/sell order that is instantly triggered at the current price at the current moment.
Takers are traders who work with market orders. They take away the liquidity of the exchange.
Stop-limit order is a limit order that, when the stop price is reached, is placed in the order book.
Take profit is a limit or market order with which profit is fixed.
Stop Loss is an order that will allow you to close a losing position so as not to incur a larger loss.
Futures trading is the trading of regular or perpetual contracts. This is an agreement that in the future one party will sell or buy something from the other party.
Long - Long position, work to increase prices.
Short - Short position, work to lower prices.
Stop market order is a market order that, when the stop price is reached, interacts with the nearest limit orders in the order book.
Hedging is a tool that allows you to reduce risks by trading on different markets. Leverage is a multiplier that allows you to open a position with a volume exceeding your deposit.
Margin is the minimum amount of equity in the account that ensures maintaining an open position. Isolated margin is a margin provision in which a limited amount of margin (allocated by you) is used.
Cross margin is a margin provision in which the entire futures deposit is used. Liquidation is the forced closure of a position with the loss of futures deposit funds (with cross margin) and the loss of the margin allocated for the transaction (with isolated margin).
ADL (auto deleveraging) is a method of liquidation that occurs only if the exchange's insurance fund ceases to function.
Last price - the cost of the last sold contract from the order book (order book).
The mark price is an average price that is calculated based on the latest prices of several major exchanges. Prices on exchanges are different.
TradingView is a web service for technical analysis of trading charts.
Backtest is work on the history of the chart, which is aimed at testing and getting used to the trading strategy, as well as collecting statistics. Statistics help you understand whether a trading strategy is working.
Bullish candle is a candle that indicates upward price movement.
Bearish candle is a candle that indicates downward price movement.
Price Action (PA) is a method based on analyzing a price chart using candlestick formations.
Candlestick formation is a graphical pattern of several candles that indicates the mood of the market.
Patterns are a graphical pattern, visible on the chart in the form of figures, indicating the mood of the market.
Time frame - the time during which one candle is formed on the price chart.
HTF - Higher Time Frame. MTF - Medium Time Frame. LTF - Lower Time Frame. H4 - 4 hour. H1 - 1 hour. M15 - 15 minute. M5 - 5 minute.
Trend is a market tendency that is formed as a result of purchases/sales of a sufficiently large volume of assets and capable of influencing price movements.
Uptrend is an upward price movement formed as a result of successive purchases of a large volume of an asset.
Downtrend is a downward price movement formed as a result of successive sales of a large volume of an asset.
Accumulation is a narrow price range in which a large player accumulates (buys) a position with the goal of selling an asset at higher prices. This creates an upward trend. Distribution - a narrow price range in which a large player distributes (sells) a position in order to make a profit. This creates a downward trend.
Market cycle is a chain of market phases during which a major participant accumulates/distributes a position, initiating an upward/downward movement.
Bulls are buyers.
Bears are sellers.
HH (Higher High) - higher maximum. HL (Higher Low) - higher minimum. LH (Lower High) - lower maximum. LL (Lower Low) - lower minimum.
Impulse movement is movement directed along the main trend.
Correction is a movement directed against the main trend.
Swing is a structural point.
Swing High - the highest structural point.
Swing Low - the lowest structural point.
Strong Swing - a price high/low that is key within a specific structural movement. Update of this point leads to a change in structural movement.
Weak Swing - a price high/low that has no impact on the structural movement.
Market Structure (MS) - market structure.
Bos (break of structure) - breakdown of structure.
Conf (confirmation) - continuation (update) of the structure.
Fake bos – formation of manipulation in the zone of a key structural high/low.
Liquidity (in the understanding of the concept) is the ability to buy or sell a large volume of assets without affecting the price. Large participants are exchanges, funds or wealthy traders (crypto market), central banks and their interbank algorithms which have a large amount of funds or assets, which makes it possible to manipulate the value of an asset.
Support level is a conditional price level for purchases, which acts as a zone of liquidity accumulation.
Resistance level is a conditional sales price level, which acts as a zone of liquidity accumulation.
Sweep/Raid - false update of highs/lows in order to remove liquidity.
BSL (Buy Side Liquidity) - liquidity as a goal for buyers.
SSL (Sell Side Liquidity) - liquidity as a goal for sellers.
EQH (Equal Highs) - equal price highs.
EQL (Equal Lows) - equal price minimums. Internal liquidity is an accumulation within a sideways movement or formed impulse, between a structural maximum and a minimum, on the corresponding TF.
External liquidity - accumulation outside the boundaries of the sideways movement and at the structural highs and lows of the corresponding TF.
Compression is liquidity that is formed as part of a corrective movement between key structural points.
Crypto market is a market where participants 24/7 trade assets associated with blockchain technologies on centralized and decentralized crypto exchanges.
Bitcoin is the first cryptocurrency payment system that laid the foundation for the entire crypto market and has maximum trust among the community.
Altcoins are cryptocurrencies launched as an analogue of Bitcoin with certain improvements in technology (speed, functionality, scalability).
Tokens are modern altcoins, which, thanks to technological development, have moved away from cryptocurrency payment systems to implement functionality for the decentralization of classic centralized services, organizations and services.
Stablecoins are tokens that are pegged 1:1 to fiat currencies.
On-chain analysis is a type of analysis that uses transaction data within a blockchain to predict future changes in price.
Lot is a unit of measurement for the value of a transaction.
Pip is a unit of measurement for changes in the value of currency pairs.
Spread is the difference between buying and selling.
Broker is an intermediary between the trader and the Forex market.
Prop company is a company that finances traders.
Trading sessions are the time frames for banks' work.
Fibonacci numbers are elements of a number sequence in which the first two numbers are 0 and 1, and each subsequent number is equal to the sum of the previous two numbers.
OTE (Optimal trade entry) – zone of optimal entry into a position, specifies the entry point into the position.
Premium/Discount - sales area and purchase area.
Balance - balance. Imbalance - disequilibrium. In the context of trading - price inefficiency.
Fair Value Gap (FVG) is a graphical pattern indicating a price imbalance.
Slippage is the difference in price that can occur between the time an order travels and its actual execution.
Rebalance is the process of covering market imbalances.
Fill - complete coverage of the FVG zone.
Order Block is a certain price area where large market participants leverage their large volumes of purchases / sales by capturing reverse orders (liquidity), which leads to a sharp acceleration in price.
Absorption is the closing of a subsequent candle or several subsequent candles (not necessarily the first) with a body below or above (depending on the direction) the body of a potential order block. It is the most important factor in validating a potential block. Breaker Block / BB (breaker) is an order block that breaks through and leads to a reversal of the price movement (BOS or Shift*), then becomes a breaker. In the future, it will act as a “support/resistance for price” zone during testing.
Rejection Block is a separate form of order block in the form of a large wick that removes liquidity.
Mean Treshold (MT) - the level of the middle (50%) of the OB body. 50% of the order block body is the second most important level that the price can test in the future. The level indicates the validity of the block. We must observe how price behaves with the MT level during the subsequent test.
Profit - profit from the trades.
Risk management is the process of making and executing management decisions aimed at reducing the likelihood of an unfavorable outcome and minimizing possible losses caused by its implementation. In trading, R is used to indicate possible risk. Discipline is strict and precise adherence to the rules accepted by a person for implementation.
RR - Risk to Reward - the ratio of risk and reward (RR 1:3 would mean that I risk 1 to get 3).
R is a conventional unit that the trader risks in a transaction.
WinRate is an indicator of a trader's success, calculated as a percentage.
Sideways movement (consolidation, sideways, Range, flat, range) is a market situation when the price of an asset is in a narrow range, without clear signs of an upward or downward trend.
Deviation is the price going beyond the lateral movement in order to remove external liquidity. Indicators are tools based on statistical indicators of trading: prices, trading volumes, etc.
Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a well-known indicator based on price momentum. It is widely used to measure the rate of price changes.
PD Array Matrix - Premium/Discount matrix. It is expressed in the sequential arrangement of areas of interest (POI) and problem areas FTA within the premium / discount range.
Point of Interest (POI) - area of interest. This is a certain price range on the chart from which a price reaction is expected and a position is entered.
First Trouble Area (FTA) - the first problem area. In essence, this is also a POI, but formed against our main structural price movement. Usually acts an obstacle to the delivery of prices to the renewal of the structure, which leads to a “complex correction”. Fractality is the ability of prices to repeat identical price movements on different timeframes.
Substructure is a full-fledged structural price movement on a lower timeframe, inside a senior impulse or corrective movement.
Long Term - long-term perspective. Intermediate Term - mid-term perspective. Short Term - short-term perspective.
ROI (Return on Investment) is an indicator of return on investment.
FOMO – fear of missing out (Fomo) - a feeling of lost profits.
Trading strategy is a set of rules that determine all the actions of a trader in the process of trading in financial markets.
Investing is making a profit by helping projects in the early stages, when they have not yet entered the market.
Medium/long-term speculation - making a profit by purchasing assets after the launch of the project.
Market cap of a project is the circulating supply of an asset * at the current price of the asset.
FDV (Fully Diluted Market Cap) - market capitalization at the current price when tokens are fully released to the market.
The maximum (total) supply of tokens is the number of tokens when fully unlocked. The circulating (current) supply of tokens is the number of tokens that have been mined to date.
Total market capitalization is the sum of all market capitalizations of projects. Dominance is an index that shows the ratio of the market capitalization of an asset and the overall market capitalization.
Cumulative delta - cumulative delta over a certain period of time. It combines the accumulated delta information and then displays this information visually in the form of a histogram.
Delta is the difference between market buy and sell orders.
Volatility is a financial indicator that reflects how much the price of an asset or product changes in a short period of time. In other words, this is the range in which the price fluctuates during the day, week, month, year. Imbalance is the state of the market during a period when demand prevails over supply or vice versa.
Transaction feed - detailed information on transactions, where you can see how much of an asset was bought/sold (volume), at what price, when bought/sold (time), which order was the initiating one, i.e. who sent the order from the market, buyer or seller (direction).
Pump and Dump - a sharp increase in the exchange rate in the markets followed by a strong collapse.
Mining is the process of processing transactions in blockchains using the Proof-of-Work consensus algorithm.
Validation is the process of processing transactions in blockchains using the Proof-of-Stake consensus algorithm.
The consensus algorithm is a technology that allows information to be added to the network without centralized intermediaries.
Smart contract is an algorithm that allows certain actions to be performed on the blockchain and acts as a decentralized intermediary.
Contracts, deferred payment systems, insurance - all this can be written in a smart contract.
Scam - any type of fraud/unforeseen circumstances that caused the loss of assets. X - received or potential profit, which is measured by multiplying the deposit.
Narrative is a market segment that receives a lot of attention and investment. For example, the AI sector.
Whitepaper is a technical document that describes the basic principles of the protocol. Hold - holding assets for a long time.
TGE (Token generation event) is the process of creating tokens, which most often starts when an asset is first listed on sites. The project announces its launch on a specific date and time. When this date and time is reached, a program is created with a predetermined number of tokens and operating parameters.
Lockup - period of freezing/blocking of tokens. For example, lock 1 year start after TGE - one year of token freezing, which starts after listing.
Vesting is a linear unfreezing of tokens. Usually you receive tokens once a month or quarter, in equal parts. For example, 10 month vesting starting on December 1, 2023 - 10 months linear vesting, we will receive tokens in equal parts over 10 months.
Cliff is the same lock, but is more often used when there is a period of unfreezing along with vesting, for example, 3 month cliff followed by a 10 month vesting starting on December, 2023 - 3 months - complete freezing, after which 10 months you will receive tokens linearly in equal parts.
Allocation is the amount per participant with which he can purchase assets. For example, allocation is $100-1500. This means you can purchase assets ranging from $100 to $1,500.
Listing - the process of placing an asset at the market.
Venture funds are organizations engaged in investments at the earliest stages. Most often, investments go into the idea, rather than the finished/working product.
Seed Round is a round for large funds and investors. The best profit potential, but the biggest risks.
Private Round is a round for smaller funds, or additional fundraising by large funds. The potential is worse, but the project already has some success.
Public Sale/Round - a public investment round, anyone can participate. The worst potential, but the product is already functional.
Tokensale - an event during which a Public Sale/Round is held. Tokens are sold to anyone. It is carried out to make a profit, as well as a more even distribution of tokens. ICO is a token sale on specialized centralized platforms.
IDO is a token sale on decentralized platforms.
IEO - token sale on exchanges.
IGO is a token sale of gaming-related projects.
Launchpad is a platform that helps projects launch a product. Assistance in marketing, economic model, initial investment and token sale.
Tokenomics is the internal economy of the project. Describes the economic relationship between elements of the system.
Supply/Token Supply - the number of tokens that the project issues as part of tokenomics. The supply can be: constant, inflationary and deflationary.
TVL (Total Value Locked) - the volume of assets blocked on the network.
CEX is a centralized exchange.
DEX is a decentralized exchange.
NFT is a non-fungible token. Technology that enables the digitalization of physical assets as well as images, videos and music.
PFP (Profile Picture/avatar) - NFT, which is used as an avatar on Twitter, Discord, Telegram. Minting (Mint/Mint/Mining) is the process of creating an NFT token. The best example is the creation of a new NFT collection by the project to develop its ecosystem.
Whitelist is a list of users who receive priority access to a specific action (purchase of NFTs, participation in a sale, access to a product, etc.).
Reveal is the process of opening a real NFT image. When participating in the launch of a collection of projects, very often you initially receive some kind of blurry image that opens after some time. After opening, you can see the characteristics of your NFT and its rarity.
Flip (Flip/flipper) - purchase of NFT for the purpose of subsequent resale. To put it simply, it's just speculation. People look for NFTs for less and sell them for a little more. Floor Price (Floor/Floor/flur) - lower price limit. Using this information, you can track the dynamics of interest in the collection. JPGs are NFTs that can be in the format of JPG, PNG, GIF, audio/video files or computer games.
Delist - the process of removing a token or NFT from an exchange/marketplace. Roadmap is an action plan that a project plans to implement to achieve its goals.
Gas - a sharp increase in the cost of gas (commission) in the Ethereum network, when a massive project enters the market in which everyone wants to participate. To participate in such projects, you need to conduct transactions from your wallets. A large number of such transactions loads the network and increases the transfer fee. DYOR (Do your own research/duor) - conducting your own research on the project. A person who makes such a note abdicates his responsibility for advice.
Airdrop is a crypto-activity in which a project distributes its tokens or NFTs for simple actions. Most often used for media purposes.
Retrodrop is a crypto-activity in which a project distributes its tokens for participation in the early work of the product. Most often used to increase on-chain parameters, test the service under load, and distribute tokens.
Testnet is a beta version of the project, which is intended to test the functionality and performance of the product.
Faucet is a service that allows you to obtain test tokens for working with the test version of the project.
Mainnet - launched version of the product.
Nodes - network nodes that allow the network to function.
Play-to-Earn/Play2Earn/P2E is a crypto-game concept that allows you to receive project tokens for playing time and activity.
Metaverse are ecosystems trying to develop the direction of virtual worlds.
DeFi (Decentralized Finance) - decentralized finance. A separate segment of the crypto market trying to create a decentralized analogue of the current financial system (TradeFi).
DAO (Decentralized Autonomous Organization) - decentralized autonomous organizations. A direction that develops solutions for decentralized management. Staking is the delegation of assets to validators.
Farming/Yield farming is the process of making profit through DeFi protocols. Pharming allows you to receive rewards in the form of protocol tokens for providing loans, receiving loans, participating in liquidity pools, as well as through other forms of interaction with platform protocols.
Landing - depositing one's funds in order to receive interest or a loan in order to receive third-party assets in return for one's own.
Oracles are decentralized applications whose task is to collect reliable information from the outside world and convert it into a form convenient for blockchain applications.
AMA session (Ask Me Anything) is an event held in text, voice and video format, at which the project team communicates with users and answers questions.
Crosschain is a decentralized application that allows you to connect different blockchains.
Hope you enjoyed the content I created, You can support with your likes and comments this idea so more people can watch!
✅Disclaimer: Please be aware of the risks involved in trading. This idea was made for educational purposes only not for financial Investment Purposes.
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• Look at my ideas about interesting altcoins in the related section down below ↓
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Guide to Altcoin Growth ExplosionsThe whispers of "altseason" echo through the cryptosphere, igniting the imaginations of investors with visions of explosive altcoin growth. But what exactly is this mythical period, and how can you navigate its thrilling (and potentially treacherous) waters?
Deciphering the Altcoin Landscape:
Imagine Bitcoin as the majestic oak, anchoring the crypto forest with its established presence. Altcoins, on the other hand, are the diverse flora teeming around it, each offering unique characteristics and purposes. From the DeFi tokens powering decentralized finance to the meme-fueled Dogecoin, the altcoin landscape is a vibrant tapestry of innovation and experimentation.
Understanding Altseason's cycle:
Think of altseason as the spring bloom of the crypto market. Just as flowers burst forth with vibrant colors, altcoins experience a surge in growth during this period. This happens when investors, having secured profits from Bitcoin's rise, seek new avenues for higher returns, shifting their focus to altcoins.
Catching the Altseason Wave:
While predicting the exact arrival of altseason is like trying to pinpoint the exact moment a flower blooms, there are key indicators you can watch:
The Bitcoin Dominance Symphony:
When Bitcoin's market share (dominance) starts to dip, it's often a sign of capital flowing towards altcoins. Track this metric closely, as it can be an early harbinger of the altseason melody.
The Altcoin Season Index: This handy tool (link provided in the original article) acts like a conductor, orchestrating an index that reflects altcoin performance against Bitcoin. A score above 75% might signal the start of the altseason concerto.
Choosing Your Altcoin Stars:
Don't be swayed by the allure of the season alone! Before diving in, carefully consider these factors:
Market Capitalization: Look beyond the current valuation and examine historical trends. Has the market cap experienced significant fluctuations? A stable market cap indicates a more established project.
Project Innovation: Does the project address a real-world problem or offer a unique value proposition? Don't get swept away by hype; true innovation has staying power.
The Orchestra Behind the Project: A strong, transparent team and an engaged community are essential for long-term success. Look for projects with a clear roadmap and a team that inspires confidence.
Tokenomics: Understanding the Score: This refers to the coin's supply, distribution, and release schedule. How will the release of new coins impact the price? A well-defined tokenomic model fosters trust and sustainability.
Trading Volume Harmony: Don't limit yourself to the major exchanges. Explore diverse platforms to potentially discover hidden gems with lower trading volume but high growth potential.
Learning from the Past, Embracing the Future:
While past performance isn't a crystal ball for the future, analyzing top gainers from previous altseasons (like Gala, Axie Infinity, and Solana in 2021) can offer valuable insights. Remember, the crypto market is a dynamic ecosystem, and new projects with groundbreaking ideas are constantly emerging.
The Power of Research: Your Guidebook to Altseason:
ETH-BTC pair :
The ETH/BTC pair is one of the most important indicators to watch when trying to determine when altseason will begin. This is because Ethereum is the second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, and it is often seen as a bellwether for the rest of the altcoin market.
When the ETH/BTC pair is rising, it means that Ethereum is outperforming Bitcoin. This is often a sign that investors are becoming more bullish on altcoins, and that altseason may be on the horizon.
Conversely, when the ETH/BTC pair is falling, it means that Ethereum is underperforming Bitcoin. This can be a sign that investors are becoming more risk-averse, and that altseason may be coming to an end.
Altseason can be a lucrative opportunity, but venturing in without proper research is like navigating a dense forest blindfolded. Utilize the wealth of information available in the crypto community, explore various tools and resources, and conduct your own due diligence before making any investment decisions.
Diving into 2021's explosive altseason: check out these top performers:
Gala (GALA) +10891.26%;
Axie Infinity (AXS) +10598.52%;
Solana (SOL) +7998.67%;
Fantom (FTM) +7155.14%;
Polygon (MATIC) +6805.13%;
Rari Governance Token (RGT) +5491.43%;
Terra (LUNA) +5071.23% (well, it was there);
Dogecoin (DOGE) +3855.02%;
PancakeSwap (CAKE) +2963.16%;
The Sandbox (SAND) +1896.16%.
*Data taken from coinmarketcap.
Remember, altseason is not a guaranteed path to riches. Invest responsibly, stay informed, and enjoy the journey! The crypto market is an ever-evolving landscape, and altseason offers a unique opportunity to witness and potentially participate in its growth. By understanding the fundamentals, making informed choices, and staying adaptable, you can navigate this dynamic season with knowledge and potentially reap the rewards.
P.S. Share this article with your crypto-curious friends and start your own discussions about altseason!
Mastering Risk Management: Guide from TOP investorWelcome to the comprehensive guide on mastering risk management in cryptocurrency trading. In this detailed tutorial, we'll walk you through the essential principles of calculating stop losses, determining risk percentage per trade, and strategically placing stops for optimal risk mitigation. Whether you're a novice or an experienced trader, understanding and implementing effective risk management is paramount for sustained success in the volatile crypto market.
Opening a Position on TradingView
Brief overview of TradingView and accessing the "projection" section for long positions.
A step-by-step guide on how to initiate a long position using TradingView.
The 5 Fundamental Principles:
Introduction to the five key principles of effective risk management.
1: Trend Following
2: Not Gambling but Trading
3: Entry after retest
4: Stick to your strategy
5: Don't overtrade
Calculating Stop Losses
2.2 Risk Percentage Per Trade:
Explanation of the concept of risk percentage per trade (e.g., 0.5% of the trading capital).
Position sizing is the process of allocating a specific percentage of your crypto assets for trading, with the goal of managing risk effectively. To calculate your position size:
Determine Your Risk Per Trade:
Decide the percentage of your total account value you're comfortable risking on a trade.
Typically advised to risk 1–3% of your trading balance per trade.
For example, with a $5,000 balance and a 2% risk, you'd only lose $100 per trade.
Set Your Stop-Loss:
Determine your stop-loss level, the point at which you exit a trade if it moves against you.
The stop-loss helps control losses and is crucial for risk management.
Consider Position Size:
Use your risk percentage and stop-loss to calculate the position size.
Position size varies based on the distance of the stop loss; it's smaller for wider stops and larger for tighter stops.
Proper position sizing ensures consistent risk, regardless of the trade amount.
By following these steps, you can strategically size your positions, balancing risk and potential rewards in your crypto trading endeavors.
Strategic Placement of Stop Losses
Hiding Behind Local Lows:
The rationale behind placing stop losses just below local lows for effective risk containment.Beneath Manipulation Zones:
Strategic placement of stop losses under zones susceptible to manipulation.
The importance of avoiding regions where price is unlikely to return if manipulation has occurred.
Practical Examples
The Anatomy of a Good Stop Loss:
Visual representation of a well-placed stop loss using real-life chart examples.
4.2 Pitfalls of Poorly Placed Stop Losses:
Analysis of common mistakes in stop loss placement and their consequences.
Conclusion: Empowering Your Trading Journey
As we conclude this in-depth guide, remember that effective risk management is the cornerstone of successful trading. From understanding the basics of stop losses to strategically placing them based on market dynamics, each step contributes to minimizing potential losses and maximizing gains. Implement these principles in your trading strategy, adapt them to your risk tolerance, and embark on a journey of informed and calculated trading decisions.
💡 Mastering Risk | 📊 Setting Stop Losses | ⚖️ Calculating Risk Percentage | 🎯 Strategic Placement | 📈 Empowering Your Trades
💬 Engage in the discussion: Share your experiences with risk management, ask questions, and join a community committed to fostering intelligent and secure trading practices. 🌐✨
Definitive guide to starting day tradingIntroduction:
Day trading is a controversial modality that involves short-term operations on the stock market. Many people are interested in this way of investing, but they do not know that it requires a very rigorous behavior and discipline. In addition, there are several myths and truths about day trading that need to be clarified. One of them is that large corporations do not make intra-day trades. Does that mean that day trading does not work?
To answer this question, it is necessary to understand a little about how the financial market works. There are different types of markets, such as the derivatives market and the spot market.
Spot market: It is the most popular among stock market investors, working in a relatively simpler way than other markets. The spot market represents the operations of buying and selling shares at the prices determined by the supply and demand of the moment.
Derivatives market: Derivatives are financial instruments whose prices are linked to another instrument that serves as their reference. For example, the oil futures market is a type of derivative whose price depends on the transactions carried out in the spot oil market, its reference instrument.
Within the derivatives market, we have:
Futures market: It is the environment where futures contracts are traded, a type of derivative. In a few words, futures contracts represent the commitment to buy or sell a certain amount of a certain good on a future date and at a pre-defined price.
Forward market : Is a negotiation in which two parties - buyer and seller - assume a long-term commitment. Thus, it is determined that today a number X of shares (for example) will be bought, and that the payment will take place on a future date.
Options market: Are investments that guarantee the investor the right, for a determined period, to buy or sell an asset - usually shares - for a pre-determined value on a specific date in the future. It is a type of derivative, because the price of the options varies according to the price of the assets to which they are linked.
The futures market is one where contracts are traded that establish the price and the date of delivery of a certain asset in the future. For example, a coffee producer can sell a coffee futures contract to guarantee their profit and protect themselves from price fluctuations in the spot market. The spot market is one where assets are traded now, such as the shares of a company. The futures market is one of the best markets for day trading, as it offers higher liquidity, leverage and volatility.
Large corporations, however, do not usually do day trading in the futures market, as they have other goals and strategies. They use the futures market to hedge, that is, to protect themselves from the risks of the spot market. They also have a very large volume of operations, making it difficult to enter and exit the market quickly. In addition, they need to follow rules and regulations that limit their investment possibilities.
This does not mean that day trading does not work for large corporations. They can do day trading in other ways, such as using the high-frequency market. This market is based on algorithms and automated systems that perform thousands of operations in fractions of seconds. This way, they can take advantage of the opportunities and fluctuations of the market with greater efficiency and speed.
Therefore, day trading is a modality that works for different profiles of investors, as long as they know how to use the appropriate tools and methods. Day trading is not an investment, but rather a form of speculating in the financial market. It involves risks, but it can also bring good results for those who have knowledge, discipline and emotional control. In a centralized market, all offers to buy and sell securities are directed to the same trading channel. In this system, the observable prices of different assets are the only prices available to the public. A notable example is the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), where all buy orders are matched with sell orders in a central exchange. This provides greater security to market participants, as transactions are carried out in an organized and regulated environment.
Let’s first understand how the centralized market works :
The centralized market is a way of organizing financial transactions in a single trading channel, where the prices of the assets are public and regulated. This type of market offers greater security to investors, by having various defense mechanisms that prevent fraud, defaults and extreme fluctuations. In this text, I explain how the centralized market works and what are some examples of defense mechanisms in the main stock exchanges in the world.
What is the centralized market and how does it differ from other types of market?
In a centralized market, all offers to buy and sell securities are directed to the same trading channel. In it, the offers related to the same asset are exposed to acceptance and competition by all parties authorized to trade in the system. In other words, in the centralized market of the stock exchange, the observable prices of different assets are the only prices available to the public. A well-known example is the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), where all bids (buy orders) are matched with sales (sell orders) in a central exchange. This provides greater security to market participants, as transactions are carried out in an organized and regulated environment.
A centralized market differs from other types of market, such as the decentralized market or the over-the-counter market. In a decentralized market, there is no single trading channel, but rather several locations where offers can be made. For example, the foreign exchange market (forex) is a decentralized market, where participants can trade currencies among themselves on different platforms, banks or brokers. In an over-the-counter market, transactions are made directly between the parties, without the intervention of an exchange or an intermediary. For example, the derivatives market is an over-the-counter market, where participants can trade customized contracts that are not standardized or regulated. These types of market can offer greater flexibility and privacy, but also involve higher risks and costs.
What are some examples of defense mechanisms in stock exchanges?
Stock exchanges are institutions that manage the centralized market and that establish the rules and procedures for trading. They are also responsible for ensuring the security and efficiency of transactions, using various defense mechanisms that protect investors from possible losses. Some of these mechanisms are:
Central Clearing: Or clearing House is an intermediary entity that acts between buyers and sellers in the financial market. Its role is to facilitate trading and ensure the integrity of transactions. It records, clears, manages risk and settlement of operations, requiring participants to deposit margins (guarantees) to cover possible losses. This reduces systemic risk. An example of an exchange that uses central clearing is the CME Futures (Chicago Mercantile Exchange), which trades futures and options contracts on commodities, indices, currencies and other assets.
Price Limits: Are maximum and minimum ranges that asset prices can vary in a given period. They prevent extreme fluctuations that harm investors or the functioning of the market. If the price of an asset reaches the upper or lower limit, trading is suspended or limited until the price returns to an acceptable level. An example of an exchange that uses price limits is the CME Futures, which sets daily limits for the prices of futures contracts.
Circuit Breakers: Are mechanisms that temporarily interrupt trading in case of excessive volatility. They aim to avoid situations of panic, manipulation or imbalance in the market, giving time for investors to reassess their positions and make more rational decisions. Circuit breakers can be triggered by different criteria, such as the fall or rise of an index, an asset or a sector. An example of an exchange that uses circuit breakers is the NYSE, which suspends trading if the S&P 500 index falls or rises more than a certain percentage in a day.
Opening and Closing Auctions: Are moments when operations start and end on the stock exchange. They help to stabilize the prices of the assets, by concentrating the demand and supply in a short time interval. During the auctions, buy and sell orders are recorded, but not executed, until a balance price is found that satisfies the largest number of participants. An example of an exchange that uses opening and closing auctions is the NYSE, which holds the auctions at 9:30 am and 4 pm (New York time).
Market Makers: Market makers (or market makers) are agents who commit to buy and sell certain assets at any time, providing liquidity and continuity to the market. They make money from the difference between the buy and sell prices (spread) and from the commissions they receive. They also help to reduce volatility and improve price formation. An example of an exchange that uses market makers is the NASDAQ, which is fully electronic and has more than 500 market makers who trade more than 3,000 stocks.
Electronic System: The electronic system is a way of carrying out financial transactions through digital platforms, without the need for a physical location or a human intermediary. This allows greater speed and efficiency in operations, as well as reducing costs and errors. The electronic system also facilitates access and participation of different types of investors, from institutional to individual. An example of an exchange that uses the electronic system is the NASDAQ, which was the first stock exchange to operate fully online, since 1971.
Margins : are values deposited by participants to cover possible losses in futures contracts. They help to reduce the risk of default and ensure the integrity of the market. The CME futures contracts have specific guarantees, which vary according to the traded asset, I will explain more later.
The price limits are maximum and minimum ranges that the prices of the assets can vary in a given period. They prevent extreme fluctuations that harm investors or the functioning of the market. If the price of an asset reaches the upper or lower limit, trading is suspended or limited until the price returns to an acceptable level. The CME establishes two types of price limits: Daily Price Fluctuation Limit: Prevents offers with prices that vary too much in relation to the previous day’s settlement price. Each contract has an upper (high) and a lower (low) limit. Fluctuation Limit: At the opening, there are fluctuation limits for each expiration month. If exceeded, trading is temporarily suspended. These mechanisms protect price formation and prevent extreme movements.
The New York Stock Exchange does not use margins like the CME futures contracts. On the spot market, assets are not subject to price limits. Instead, it uses a "circuit breaker", which temporarily suspends trading when prices fall. The circuit breaker is based on the S&P 500 spot index.
It also uses opening and closing auctions, times when trading begins and ends on the exchange. These help stabilize security prices by concentrating demand and supply in a short period of time. During the auctions, buy and sell orders are registered, but not executed, until an equilibrium price is found that satisfies the largest number of participants. Auctions take place at 9.30am and 4pm (New York time).
The technology exchange mainly brings together shares in technology companies. It has no daily price limits, but uses other mechanisms to safeguard the individual behavior of securities, such as auction tunnels and rejection.
It is completely electronic and has more than 500 market makers trading more than 3,000 shares. Market makers are agents who commit to buying and selling certain securities at any time, providing liquidity and continuity to the market. They make money from the difference between the buying and selling prices (spread) and from the commissions they receive. They also help to reduce volatility and improve price formation.
Explaining the stock exchange auctions
The stock auction is a protection mechanism of the Stock Exchange that occurs when there is a sudden change in the price of an asset. It aims to prevent large fluctuations in prices, protecting investors. In this text, I will explain how the stock auction works and what are its benefits and challenges.
What is the stock auction and how does it work?
The stock auction is a process that happens when the price of an asset undergoes a significant change in relation to its previous value. This change can be caused by various factors, such as news, events, rumors or speculations. During the auction, the shares leave the traditional trading floor and continue to be traded in a closed system of buy and sell offers. In this system, the orders are recorded, but not executed, until a balance price is found that satisfies the largest number of participants. The auction lasts a few minutes, but can be extended if there is a lot of demand or supply. The auction ends when the balance price is found or when the time limit is reached.
The stock auction is also important because it allows investors to have time to evaluate their decisions and trade their assets with more confidence. It also prevents the prices from being manipulated or distorted by malicious agents, or by irrational movements of the market. In addition, it ensures that transactions are carried out in a transparent and secure manner, following the rules and norms of the Stock Exchange.
What are the main types of auctions on the Stock Exchange?
There are three main types of auctions on the Stock Exchange, which occur at different times of the trading session. They are:
Extraordinary Auction: Activated in case of appreciation or depreciation from 10% in relation to the closing price of the previous day, or to the opening price of the day. This type of auction is used to protect investors from sudden changes in the prices of the assets, which can be caused by external or internal factors. For example, if a company announces a financial result much above or below the expected, the price of its share can rise or fall very quickly, generating an extraordinary auction.
Pre-Opening Auction : It happens 15 minutes before the opening of the trading session. This type of auction is used to test the prices and the formation of the assets at the beginning of the trading session, considering the information and expectations of the market. For example, if there is relevant news about the economy or politics, the price of the assets can change before the opening of the trading session, generating a pre-opening auction.
Closing Auction: In the last five minutes of the trading session. This type of auction is used to determine the closing price of the assets, used as a reference for the next day. Only the shares that are part of some index of the Stock Exchange can participate in this auction. For example, if a share is part of the S&P 500, it participates in the closing auction, which defines its final price of the day.
You already know how the centralized market works, where all buy and sell offers are directed to the same trading channel. This prevents the large participants from manipulating the prices of the assets as they please. This is because the market dynamics ensure that the game is fair to everyone.
But how to understand this market dynamics? How to know what other participants are doing and how it affects the prices of the assets? For this, you need to know the market microstructure, which is the study of the interactions between buyers and sellers, influencing the price formation of the assets. For traders, especially scalpers, understanding the microstructure is essential.
Here are the main points about the market microstructure:
Efficient Market: The efficient market theory suggests that all available information about assets is already reflected in the prices. This hypothesis does not consider human complexity and subjective interpretation of information. In practice, some participants have privileged access to information and use specific techniques. This creates momentary imbalances in supply/demand, generating price movements.
Market Reality: To understand the market reality, you need to observe three essential tools: the order book, the aggressive volume and the times and sales. We explain what they are and how they relate to the market microstructure.
Why are they so important?
To understand the dynamics of the financial market, you need to know three essential tools: the order book, the DOM (Depth of Market) and the volume of the trade history. We explain what these tools are, how they work and how they can help you in your operations.
Order Book: Is a record of all buy and sell orders of a financial asset at a given time. It allows you to track the liquidity of the market, that is, the ease of buying or selling a share. The order book shows information such as the name of the asset, the best buy and sell price, and the traded volume. Each asset has its own book, updated as new orders arrive. The order book helps to identify the supply and demand of the asset, as well as the support and resistance levels. For example, if there are many buy orders at a certain price, this means there is a strong demand for the asset, which can make the price rise. The opposite also applies to sell orders. The order book is essential for Tape Reading, which is a technique that analyzes the flow of aggression and liquidity in the market.
DOM (Depth of Market): Is an advanced version of the order book. It shows the depth of the orders at each price level, that is, how many orders there are in each price range. It allows you to visualize the available liquidity and the aggressors, the participants who execute the orders in the market. The DOM helps to identify the trend and the strength of the market. For example, if there are more aggressive buyers than sellers, this means there is a positive flow of money, which can make the price rise. The opposite also applies to aggressive sellers.
Volume of Trade History : Is the record of all transactions carried out on the stock exchange for a given asset. It shows the price, quantity, time and direction of each transaction. The volume of trade history helps to understand the dynamics of the market, as it reveals the intensity and speed of trading. It can also reveal important patterns and trends, such as breakouts, reversals and consolidations.
These tools are crucial for traders and investors who want to have a broader and deeper view of the financial market. They allow you to track the liquidity, supply, demand, trend and intensity of the market, as well as identify opportunities and risks in your operations. With them, you can make more informed and assertive decisions, increasing your chances of success.
bid/ask is the difference between the offer price and the sale price of the asset.
The ESZ22 is a derivative of the S&P 500 index that expires in December 2022. The order book of the ESZ22 is a record of all buy and sell orders for this future operation at a given time. Each value level in the book represents a buy or sell offer for a certain number of derivatives.
but before we understand how the futures contract works: the expiration letters
ES= asset code, Z expiration month letter and 22= 2022
Example of the expiration months of the contracts:
January (F)
February (G)
March (H)
April (J)
May (K)
June (M)
July (N)
August (Q)
September(U)
October (V)
November (X)
December (Z).
The S&P futures contract uses only 4 months, having a duration of 3 months each contract, using the letters H, M, U and Z
and between one expiration and another there is something called liquidity rollover:
Why does this happen?
This happens because large corporations are always building positions in futures contracts, since the main objective of a futures contract is hedging, so consequently there are large positions being made in these futures markets.
Imagine that you have a portfolio of stocks or cryptocurrencies, but unlike the futures market, these assets do not expire, they stay there until you get rid of them, now imagine that you paid a price for these assets, then your position will be where your participation in that paper was made. Unlike you, large corporations, investment banks, insiders in large companies have large buy or sell positions in papers, and also in futures contracts, but these futures contracts expire every 3 months in the American market. Every expiration happens always on Friday of the third week of the month of the letter that is in force, but the dismantling of positions takes a week due to the number of participants or the number of lots that are positioned.
In the example of the S&P the ESZ2 (for rithimic data) or EPZ22 (for CQG Continuum data) are this week migrating the positions, opportunities during the rollover are bad due to the toxic flow that enters these 2 contracts, since the 2 are in operations, what happens is that for sure you will lose money, energy or time.
The liquidity rollover in the American assets affects the world so much that European assets such as Dax and euro stoxx 50 futures contracts roll over the liquidity at the same time, which can harm operations even in markets that are not to expire like ibovespa futures or dollar futures.(excerpt from my article on liquidity rollover that is written in Portuguese), usually the recommended is to stay away from this week:
Margin and construction of the current order book
Each tick is the smallest possible variation in the value of the derivative. In the case of the ESZ2, each tick is equal to 0.25 points, equivalent to 12.50 dollars per derivative.
The volume consumption occurs when an order is executed in the market. When a buy order is executed, it consumes the volume of the sell offers in the book.
example of a scenario where the market was with spread 4571.75/4571.50 and walked to 4570.50 displacing consuming all price levels that follow. the lot consumed becomes volume and goes to the trade history. That is, it becomes volume in the market.
The Time and Sales is a record of all the transactions performed on a given financial asset at a given time. It is used in technical analysis to understand the market behavior. It can be accessed through a trading platform displayed in a separate window. The window shows a list of all the transactions performed for a given asset in a tabular format. Each main component of the Time and Sales is organized into columns, such as date/time, value/change and volume. The data lines are often color-coded to indicate whether the transaction occurred on the bid or ask.
Margin and construction of the current order book
The bid-ask spread of a financial asset is the difference between the offer price and the sale price. The first is the maximum value that a buyer pays for an asset, while the second is the minimum value that a seller accepts to sell the same asset. This information is very important in the price table, as it indicates how close or far the prices are. The smaller the bid-ask spread, the more trades occur and the orders are executed faster.
The way the market is made and developed is the reason why large players do not do day trading, because, in fact, they do not need to do that, because their priority is others.
We will understand what priority would be:
Priority is a term that refers to something that has more importance or relevance than another. In the area of medicine, priority is a situation that requires preferential or anticipatory attention. For example, heart attack, stroke and trauma are considered priority situations. On the other hand, emergency is when there is a critical situation, with the occurrence of great danger and can become an urgency if not properly attended. Dislocations, sprains, severe fractures and dengue are considered emergencies.
The order book is a record of all buy and sell orders for a given financial asset at a given time. Each value level in the book represents a buy or sell offer for a certain number of derivatives. Each tick is the smallest possible variation in the value of the derivative. In the case of the ESZ2, each tick is equal to 0.25 points, equivalent to 12.50 dollars per derivative. The volume consumption occurs when an order is executed in the market.
When a buy order is executed, it consumes the liquidity of the sell offers in the book. Likewise, when a sell order is executed, it consumes the liquidity of the buy offers in the book. The Time and Sales is a record of all transactions performed on a given financial asset at a given time.
It allows investors to track the liquidity of the market and the need for a large company to lock their positions on the stock exchange is usually based on factors such as volatility, movement and investment strategy. When an event or catastrophe occurs, the need can increase significantly, depending on the nature of the event and the impact it can have on the stock exchange.
For example, a natural disaster can affect the production of a company, which can lead to a drop in the value of the shares. In this case, a large company may need to act quickly to protect their positions on the stock exchange.
And within this need, it has to adapt to the limitations of the exchange's security mechanisms.
Knowing your place in the stock market:
My size and the size of a large corporation in the stock market are totally different, because I can at any time open my terminal and execute a transaction in the current bid/ask spread, but a large player cannot do that and if he, for example, needs to act with 5000 S&P 500 contracts he would need to move the value until he completes all his necessary transactions. The comparison of a price maker and a common investor is like comparing an Antonov plane with a person.
Price makers and market makers may face limitations when entering the bid/ask due to their size. When a large investor enters the exchange, he can have a significant impact on the value of the financial asset. The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) of the United States has strict regulations to prevent manipulation of the exchange. The CFTC closely monitors the activities of the exchange and can take legal action against anyone who violates its rules. Imagine the difficulty of a giant aircraft carrier passing through a canal, everyone will notice that he is there, so if he wanted to hide it would be difficult to go unnoticed. That’s how a giant in the market is.
Price makers and market makers use various strategies to enter the stock market without facing legal issues of price manipulation. One of the most common strategies is trade distribution, which involves splitting a large trade into several smaller trades and distributing these trades at different price levels in the order book. This helps to avoid the price of the financial asset being significantly affected by a single trade.
Another common strategy is algorithmic trading, which involves using algorithms to execute trades automatically based on specific conditions of the stock market. These algorithms can be programmed to execute trades at specific times or in response to certain events of the stock market.
Moreover, big players can also use other strategies, such as high-frequency trading and statistical arbitrage, to enter the stock market without attracting much attention.
Trade distribution is a strategy used by price makers and market makers to avoid significant impacts on the price of the financial asset. It involves splitting a large trade into several smaller trades and distributing these trades at different price levels in the order book. This helps to avoid the price of the financial asset being significantly affected by a single order.
Another common strategy is the use of iceberg trades , which are large trades split into several smaller and hidden trades, usually by using an automated program, aiming to conceal the actual amount of the trade. The term “iceberg” comes from the fact that the visible parts are only the “tip of the iceberg” given the larger amount of limit trades ready to be placed. They are also sometimes referred to as reserve trades.
Big player is can also use other strategies, such as algorithmic trading, high-frequency trading and statistical arbitrage, to enter the financial activity without attracting much attention.
Price makers and market makers can do day trading, but they usually focus on long-term investment strategies. This is because day trading involves buying and selling financial assets in a short period, usually within the same day. As big players usually trade large volumes of capital, they may have difficulty entering and exiting the activity quickly without significantly affecting the valuation of the financial asset.
Why long term?
Precisely due to the limitations that exist in the activity. The stock activity is already more attractive for long-term positioning, as it has many lots per valuation levels, but the protection auctions in the NYSE stock market are a mechanism that aims to prevent the valuations of the stocks from suffering excessive variations in a short period. They are triggered when the stocks reach a fluctuation limit, being a maximum or minimum variation in relation to the closing valuation of the previous day. When this happens, the negotiations are suspended for a few minutes and the transactions are grouped into an auction, which determines the new equilibrium valuation of the stocks. This process aims to protect investors from sudden movements of the activity and ensure the liquidity and transparency of the operations.
The maximum fluctuation of a paper per day depends on the type and liquidity of the stock. The NYSE establishes different levels of fluctuation limits for each stock, which can vary from 5% to 20%. These limits are adjusted periodically according to the conditions of the activity. You can consult the values of the fluctuation limits on the NYSE website or in the file “Daily Trading Fluctuation”.
So the fluctuation ceases to be a concern for the big players where they focus on the long term, thus ceasing to worry about the microstructure of activity to worry about more complex issues such as macroeconomics, and macro-founded information.
In addition, day trading has become competitive every day that passes, as big players in addition to the long term also manage to benefit from day trading using high-frequency algorithms entering and exiting the operation quickly.
Why is the complexity of Day trading so high?
We understand that today it involves several variables that we need to understand before we can start working with it. The first of these variables is a number of participants, of the market, these participants are divided into some profiles.
They are classified between:
Individual investors are ordinary people who allocate their own money in the market. They can buy papers, bonds and other financial products through intermediaries of values.
Legal entity investors are companies that allocate their money in the market. They can buy papers, bonds and other financial products through intermediaries of values.
Investment funds are groups of investors who pool their money to buy papers, bonds and other financial products. They are managed by professionals from the financial market and charge a fee for the services provided.
Investment clubs are groups formed by individuals who join together to invest jointly in the market. They are managed by their own club members with a maximum limit of 150 participants.
Investment robots are software that use algorithms to make investment decisions in the market. They are created by companies specialized in financial technology and can be used by individuals or legal entities.
In other words, there is not just one type of profile that is behind the market.
Now imagine
NYSE: according to B3, the Brazilian trading, in 2022 there were about 5 million individual investors in Brazil, representing 1.4% of the total investors in the NYSE. Assuming that the proportion of individual investors in the NYSE was similar to that of Brazil, it estimated that the total number of investors in the NYSE was about 357 million. Of this total, about 74% were institutional (funds, clubs, companies, etc.) and 26% were individual (individuals and legal entities). Therefore, it estimated that the number of institutional investors in the NYSE was about 264 million and the number of individual investors was about 93 million.
Nasdaq: in 2022 there were about 4,000 companies listed on the trading, with a total market value of more than 17 trillion dollars. It did not find specific data on the number of investors by type in the Nasdaq, but according to an from CNN Brasil, in 2020 about 55% of adults in the United States invested in the stock market. Considering that the adult population of the United States was about 209 million in 2020, it estimated that the number of individual investors in the Nasdaq was about 115 million. It did not find data on the participation of institutional investors in the Nasdaq, but assumed that it was similar to that of the NYSE, and estimated that the number of institutional investors in the Nasdaq was about 230 million.
CME Group: In 2022 there were more than 10,000 products traded on the trading, with an average daily volume of more than 19 million contracts. It did not find specific data on the number of investors by type in the CME Group, but according to a from the own trading, in 2020 about 35% of the traded volume came from North America, 28% from Europe, Middle East and Africa, 25% from Asia-Pacific and 12% from Latin America. Estimating that the total number of investors in the CME Group was about 54 million, being about 19 million in North America, 15 million in Europe, Middle East and Africa, 13 million in Asia-Pacific and 6 million in Latin America.
That is, there are several participants with different types of decision making.
Fundamental analysis: is a way of evaluating the financial health and growth potential of a company, using indicators such as profit, revenue, debt, equity, etc. This study will identify the intrinsic value of a stock and compare it with its market price, to find buying or selling opportunities1. P/E, ROE, revenue: are some of the indicators used in fundamental analysis.
P/E/ROE: P/E is the acronym for price/earnings, which represents the ratio between the price of the stock and the earnings per share. ROE is the acronym for return on equity, which represents the profitability of the investment in a company. Revenue is the total value of the sales of a company in a given period. Correlation: is a statistical measure that indicates the degree of relationship between two variables. In the financial market, correlation can be used to analyze the dependence between two assets, such as stocks, currencies, commodities, etc. Correlation ranges from -1 to 1, where -1 indicates a perfect inverse relationship, 0 indicates a null relationship and 1 indicates a perfect direct relationship.
Hedge: is a strategy that consists of performing a financial operation that aims to protect an asset or a liability against the variations of quotation, interest rate, exchange rate, etc. The hedge works as an insurance, that reduces the risk of losses in case of adverse fluctuations of the market.
Arbitrage: is a strategy that consists of taking advantage of the differences in quotation of the same asset or of equivalent assets in different markets, or moments. Arbitrage aims to obtain profits without risk, buying the cheaper asset and selling the more expensive one simultaneously. Lock: is a strategy that consists of setting up a combination of operations with options, aiming to limit the risk and the return of the operation. A lock can be bullish or bearish, depending on the expectation of the investor about the variation of the quotation of the underlying asset.
Based on greeks options: is a strategy that consists of using the greeks of the options to evaluate the risks and the opportunities of the operations with options. The greeks are measures derived from the pricing model of the options, that indicate the sensitivity of the options to the variables of the market, such as quotation of the underlying asset, time until expiration, volatility, interest rate, etc. The main greeks are delta, gamma, theta, vega and rho.
Technical analysis (trend follower Elliot): is a method of studying the behavior of the quotations of the stocks, using graphical and statistical tools. This method aims to identify patterns, trends, supports, resistances and other signals that indicate the future movements of the market. One of the techniques of this method is the Elliot wave theory, which proposes that the movements of the quotations follow a fractal pattern composed of impulsive and corrective waves.
Technical analysis (with indicators): is a way of analyzing the behavior of the stock prices, using graphical and statistical tools. This way aims to identify patterns, trends, supports, resistances and other signals that indicate the future movements of the market. One of the features of this way are the technical indicators, being mathematical formulas applied to the prices or the volumes of the stocks. Some examples of technical indicators are moving averages, Bollinger bands, MACD, RSI, stochastic, etc.
Technical analysis (mean reversion): is a way of studying the behavior of the stock prices, using graphical and statistical tools. This way aims to identify patterns, trends, supports, resistances and other signals that indicate the future movements of the market. One of the strategies of this way is the mean reversion, which consists of using the moving averages as a reference to identify entry and exit points of the operations. The idea is that the prices tend to return to the mean after moving away from it.
Technical analysis (price action): is a way of studying the behavior of the prices of the stocks, using graphical and statistical tools. This approach will identify patterns, trends, supports, resistences and other signals that indicate the future movements of the market. One of the techniques of this analysis is the price action, which consists of using only the prices as a source of information, without resorting to technical or fundamental indicators. The price action is based on the reading of the candles, being graphical representations of the opening, closing, high and low prices of each period. For example, a bullish candle indicates that the price closed above the opening price, showing the strength of the buyers.
Technical analysis (patterns of nature) is the use of numerical or geometrical sequences inspired by nature, such as the Fibonacci sequence, being a series of numbers that follows the rule that each term is the sum of the previous two. The Fibonacci sequence can be used to draw retracement and extension levels of the prices, which can work as reversal or continuation points of the trends. For example, if the price of a stock falls from R$ 100 to R$ 80, and then rises to R$ 89, it is making a retracement of 50% of the previous movement, which is one of the Fibonacci levels.
Besides the techniques based on charts, there are other ways of analyzing the financial market, such as the patterns and the seasonal behavior. These phenomena affect the fluctuation of the values of the stocks, related to the periodicity or the seasonality of some economic, social or natural factors.
They are repetitive and predictable movements of these assets, with variable durations, from daily to annual. The seasonal variation is the fluctuation of them according to seasonal factors, such as weather, holidays, events, etc. For example, some may perform better in the summer than in the winter, or in certain months of the year. A famous case is the January effect, being the tendency of the stocks to rise more in that month than in the others.
Cycles and seasonality: is the agricultural market, which trades agricultural commodities, such as grains, coffee, sugar, cotton, etc. The agricultural market is influenced by several factors, such as supply and demand, weather, pests, public policies, exchange rate, etc. Investors can operate in the agricultural market through futures contracts or options of these commodities. For example, if the investor believes that the price of coffee will rise in the next month, he can buy a coffee futures contract and profit from the difference between the purchase price and the sale price.
Quantitative analysis: is a way of evaluating the performance and risk of the financial assets, using mathematical and statistical models. Quantitative analysis aims to identify patterns and anomalies in the historical or current data of the assets, to create investment strategies based on algorithms. Quantitative analysis can involve the use of artificial intelligence, machine learning or big data. For example, a quantitative analyst can use a linear regression model to estimate the relationship between the price of a stock and its earnings per share, and use this information to decide whether it is worth buying or selling that stock.
Tape reading: is a way of following the flow of orders of the financial market in real time, using tools such as the order book and the times and trades. The tape reading aims to identify the intentions of the big players of the market, such as banks, funds and financial institutions, to follow the same direction or anticipate the changes of trend. For example, if the tape reading shows a large volume of buy orders of a stock at a certain price, this may indicate that there is a strong demand for that stock, and that its price tends to rise.
Macroeconomic analysis: is a way of analyzing the national and international economic scenarios, using indicators such as GDP, inflation, interest rate, exchange rate, trade balance, etc. Macroeconomic analysis aims to understand the impacts of economic policies and geopolitical events on the financial market and the sectors of the economy. For example, if the interest rate rises, this can negatively affect consumption, investment and economic growth, and consequently, the performance of the stocks of companies linked to these sectors.
Conclusion:
The financial market is not for amateurs, nor for aspirants. There is no point in taking away the merit of those who operate and do day trading, because that does not make you better than them. Those who are consistent in the stock market are because they understand the participants, the microstructure and the variables of the market. Because all this is only 10% of the trader’s formation in the financial market, because he still needs to combine all this with an intelligent decision making where he divides it into
Traders are athletes of the mind, who need to have discipline and psychological strength to operate and work with this every day. That’s why nature selects only the best, and they don’t have time to waste. Do you want to be one of them? Study, seek knowledge, learn the environment in which you operate, practice. A market professional takes years to evolve, that’s why day trading will never have pity on you. If the great minds of the world are in the market with the best technology available, why would you, who are a beginner, overcome them all?
With time, the trader will have gone through psychological evolutions over time, so keep firm and always seek knowledge.
For this, you need to know your size, know that you don’t move the price, know your place in the market. Also know that the market changes, and you should always swim towards the market and never against it.
8 Things I Wish I Knew When Getting StartedHere are some insights I've gathered over the years of trading experience
1. Position Sizing: A common issue for traders stems from taking positions that are too large. Emotional decision-making often takes over when you see your account balance decreasing. I've observed traders exiting trades prematurely to free up capital for what they perceive as a 'better opportunity'. Ideally, you should trade as if each share counts significantly. Emotion-driven decisions tend to lead to poor outcomes. While your goal is to make a profit, it's crucial to balance this with not trading from a place of fear.
2. Avoiding FOMO: The fear of missing out (FOMO) has led to the downfall of many trading accounts. We've all experienced moments of witnessing a stock, like CLOV, suddenly gaining traction in trading forums or chat rooms. The natural reaction might be to join in hastily, often abandoning solid trades for the allure of rapid gains. However, this usually leads to frustration as the market can quickly change direction. My advice is to steer clear of FOMO; assess trades on their merits rather than the hype.
3. Exit Strategy: One of the most common queries is about when to exit a trade. New traders often take profits too early and hold onto losing positions for too long. My key piece of advice is to focus on technical analysis rather than your current profit or loss. I exit a trade when the initial conditions that led me to enter it change. This approach requires a shift in mindset from profit/loss consideration to technical analysis. Interestingly, many experienced day traders prefer mental stops over hard stops, though they require experience and skill.
4. Journaling: Keeping a detailed record of your trades, whether through software or manually, is vital. This practice helps in analyzing your strengths and weaknesses. Understanding patterns in your trading, like the time of day when you're most successful or which types of trades work best for you, is crucial for improvement.
5. Buying Strategy: The common wisdom of 'Buy Low - Sell High' doesn't always hold. Sometimes, it's more effective to 'Buy High - Sell Higher', especially in the context of strong bullish momentum. Joining a trend can often be more profitable than waiting for the perfect low entry point.
6. Market Predictions: Avoid the trap of trying to predict market tops and bottoms. Following technical analysis is more reliable than going with gut feelings or trying to time the market.
7. Market Understanding: No one, not even economists, can claim complete market understanding. Trading based on market speculation or biases can lead to poor decision-making. Focus on the present market conditions.
8. Knowledge is Key: Lastly, don't trade what you don't understand. This seems straightforward, but many traders enter markets or trades without fully grasping the mechanisms at play, often leading to unnecessary losses. Understanding is crucial, especially in more complex trades like options.
These insights are drawn from my experiences and observations in the trading world.
Regards,
Demystifying Algo Trading: A Comprehensive Guide for Beginners
In the fast-evolving landscape of financial markets, algorithmic trading, commonly known as algo trading, has emerged as a powerful and accessible tool. Today we have created a comprehensive guide for beginners, breaking down the concept, exploring its benefits, and providing insights to facilitate a successful journey into algo trading. Are you ready? Let's dive in!
Understanding Algo Trading
The Role of Algorithms- Algo trading, at its core, involves using algorithms that have predefined sets of rules and instructions to automate the process of trading financial assets. Algorithms are the engines that drive trade decision-making. Trading algorithms execute trading entries and exits of varying complexity. Understanding how algorithms function and their role in the trading process is fundamental for beginners. If you are considering utilizing a trading algorithm, understand how it functions to the best of your abilities. Understanding how an algorithm will work can help limit downside risk or other unwanted results.
Key Components of an Algo Trading System- An algo trading system is a sophisticated ensemble of components. These include data sources, where information about financial instruments is gathered; the algorithm itself, which interprets data and makes decisions; and the execution platform, which translates decisions into actual trades. Knowing these components and their interplay provides a foundational understanding of algo trading systems.
Benefits and Advantages
Speed and Efficiency- The primary advantage of algo trading lies in its speed. Algorithms can execute trades at a pace impossible for humans, capitalizing on even the slightest market fluctuations. This speed is not just a luxury but a necessity in today's fast-paced market, where opportunities and risks can arise and vanish in milliseconds.
Complex Strategy Execution- Algorithms excel at handling intricate trading strategies involving multiple parameters and decision points. This complexity, which might overwhelm manual traders, is seamlessly managed by algorithms. They can simultaneously process vast amounts of data, identify patterns, and execute trades according to predefined criteria.
Error Minimization- Emotions and errors often go hand in hand in traditional trading. Algo trading removes the emotional component, ensuring that trades are executed based on logic and predefined criteria. This absence of emotional decision-making minimizes the risk of costly errors caused by fear, greed, or hesitation.
Access to Various Markets and Asset Classes- Algorithms can be set up to trade across different markets and asset classes simultaneously. This diversification is challenging for individual traders but is a strength of algo trading. By spreading trades across various instruments, traders can manage risk more effectively and seize opportunities in different financial arenas.
Choosing the Right Algo Trading Platform
Factors to Consider- Choosing the right platform involves more than just functionality. It encompasses factors like user-friendliness, asset coverage, and backtesting capabilities. A platform that aligns with your trading goals and preferences is essential for a seamless algo trading experience. TradingView is a notable platform. TradingView stands out for its social community and advanced analysis tools, providing a holistic trading experience. Trading algorithms can be launched from nearly any TradingView chart, and signals can be sent to various exchanges to execute trades via a third-party connector.
Risk Management in Algo Trading
The Importance of Risk Management- While the speed and precision of algo trading are advantageous, they can amplify losses if not managed properly. As a trader, we must remember that the algorithm will only do what it's told to do. Implementing risk management strategies, such as setting stop-loss and take-profit levels, is vital. This aspect of algo trading is not just about making profits; it's about safeguarding your capital and ensuring longevity in the market.
Diversification as a Risk Mitigation Strategy- Diversifying trading strategies and portfolios can spread risk and prevent overexposure to a single asset or market condition. While individual trades may carry inherent risks, a diversified portfolio minimizes the impact of adverse movements in a specific instrument or sector. Diversification is a fundamental principle for risk-conscious algo traders, and this is why it is important to have algorithms trading different assets.
Realizing Success in Algo Trading
Continuous Monitoring- Algo trading is a dynamic field and not a set-it-and-forget method of trading. Each algorithm a trader runs needs to be continuously monitored for performance and functionality. A runaway algorithm can easily hurt any trader's capital. Successful algo traders adapt their strategies to changing market conditions. Avoiding over-optimization and remaining flexible are keys to sustained success. The ability to tweak algorithms based on evolving market dynamics ensures that algo traders stay relevant and effective over the long term.
Conclusion
Algo trading is not reserved for financial experts. It's a realm open to anyone willing to learn and adapt. The journey begins with understanding the basics, choosing suitable strategies, and embracing continuous learning. As you embark on your algo trading adventure, remember: it's not about predicting the future but navigating the present while utilizing the past. Happy trading!
Mastering Crypto Trading with Fixed Volume Range Profile 📊🚀Fixed Volume Range Profile (FVRP) is a powerful tool for crypto traders seeking deeper insights into market dynamics. It allows you to visualize price and volume data in a unique way, helping you make informed trading decisions. In this comprehensive guide, we'll walk you through the fundamentals of using Fixed Volume Range Profile for trading cryptocurrencies.
Understanding Fixed Volume Range Profile (FVRP):
FVRP is a graphical representation of price and volume data within specific price ranges. It divides the trading range into equal volume intervals, providing a snapshot of where most trading activity occurred. Key elements of FVRP include:
Price Range: The trading range under consideration, typically from a few hours to several days.
Volume Intervals: Equal-volume increments within the price range.
Profile Bars: Vertical bars representing the volume distribution at each price level.
How to use it ?
1. You need to open any stock/crypto/indices that you want .
2. Look at screenshot to open this tool 👇
3. Attach first point to the start of impulse (Highest point before trend change) and second to the end of impulse (Lowest point of impulse) . Or identify biggest trading volumes in a range 👇
Some more samples 👇
Using FVRP for Crypto Trading:
Now, let's explore how to utilize Fixed Volume Range Profile for crypto trading:
1. Identifying Key Levels:
Start by selecting the cryptocurrency and the specific timeframe you want to analyze.
Plot the FVRP on your chart. This will create profile bars within the specified price range.
Pay attention to areas where the profile bars are the tallest or thickest. These represent high-volume nodes and are crucial support/resistance levels.
2. Trading Signals:
High-Volume Nodes: When the price approaches a high-volume node, it often acts as strong support or resistance. Look for potential buy/sell signals near these levels.
Gaps: Gaps between profile bars indicate a lack of trading activity in that range. Breakouts from these gaps can signal strong price movements.
3. Combining with Other Indicators:
To enhance your trading strategy, consider using FVRP in conjunction with other technical indicators like Moving Averages, RSI, or MACD.
Confirm your signals with multiple indicators to reduce false alarms.
4. Risk Management:
Always use stop-loss and take-profit orders to manage risk.
Determine your position size based on your risk tolerance and the distance to your stop-loss.
5. Monitoring Market Sentiment:
FVRP can provide insights into market sentiment. For example, a concentrated volume node near a resistance level may indicate strong selling pressure.
6. Backtesting:
Before trading with real capital, practice using FVRP on historical data to refine your strategy.
Conclusion:
Fixed Volume Range Profile is a valuable tool that empowers crypto traders with a unique perspective on market data. By identifying key support/resistance levels, gauging market sentiment, and combining FVRP with other indicators, you can make more informed trading decisions.
However, remember that no single tool guarantees success in trading. Always approach the market with caution, practice risk management, and continuously educate yourself to stay ahead in the ever-evolving world of crypto trading. 📊💹🚀
Meditations for the Modern TraderDrawing inspiration from the timeless wisdom of Marcus Aurelius, this guide distills ancient Stoic principles into modern trading strategies. Dive in to discover how to strengthen your trading mindset and unlock your unique edge.
1. On Emotion and the Markets
Remember: The markets are indifferent to your emotions. Anxiety, joy, desperation – these are constructs of your own mind and have no bearing on the ebb and flow of currencies or stocks. Allow your decision-making to be guided not by the heat of the moment, but by calculated, unbiased reasoning.
2. The Impermanence of Success and Failure
Today you may rejoice in your gains, yet tomorrow, you might lament your losses. Both states are transient, just as day turns to night. Strive, then, not for constant triumph, but for a balanced mind that remains unperturbed by these shifts.
3. Humility in Profit, Acceptance in Loss
Each transaction in the market offers an opportunity to learn humility and acceptance. When you profit, do not let arrogance cloud your judgment. When you lose, do not fall into the abyss of self-pity. Recognize that both are integral aspects of the trader's journey.
4. The Futility of Prediction
Remember that no man can predict the movements of the market with unerring accuracy. Do not let fear of the unknown cripple your actions. Instead, make educated decisions based on research and your understanding of the market, accepting the inherent uncertainty of the trade.
5. On Overindulgence
Excessive trading is akin to overindulgence in food or drink - it may bring temporary satisfaction but can lead to long-term harm. Moderation is key. Know when to act and when to remain still.
6. The Trap of Comparisons
Comparing oneself to others is a distraction and an invitation to distress. Your path in trading is your own and must not be dictated by another’s success or failure. Seek to better yourself and not simply to surpass others.
7. Learning From Mistakes
Each mistake is an opportunity for growth. Instead of fearing errors, embrace them as teachers. Learn from them, adjust your strategies, and forge ahead with newfound knowledge.
8. Acceptance of Market Forces
Just as one must accept the changing of the seasons, accept the cycles of the market. There will be times of plenty and times of scarcity. In both, stay steadfast and remember that this, too, shall pass.
9. The Power of Patience
Do not expect instant success in your trading endeavors. Mastery comes with time and experience. Be patient with your progress and do not rush the journey. The fruit of patience is often sweet.
10. The Mind as the Trader's Greatest Asset
Your greatest tool in trading is not a strategy or algorithm, but your mind. Cultivate it with knowledge, exercise it with practice, and keep it balanced with mindfulness. In a balanced mind, reasoned decision-making thrives.
Trade with wisdom, patience, and acceptance, and let not the waves of market tides disturb your inner peace. Embrace the journey with all its ups and downs, for this is the path of the enlightened trader.
Which Stoic principle resonates most with your trading approach?
🐼Mastering the Art of Forex Trading Strategies🐼
Key words:
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🐼The world of forex trading is as fascinating as it is dynamic. To thrive in this fast-paced market, developing a robust trading strategy is paramount. In this article, we will explore the key points that can help you identify and refine your trading strategy, bringing you closer to success.
🐼Identifying Market Trends:
Understanding market trends is crucial in making informed trading decisions. By analyzing moving averages, trend lines, and price patterns, you can identify the prevailing market direction and potential opportunities.
🐼Implementing Effective Risk Management Strategies:
Mitigating risks is a vital aspect of any trading strategy. Set appropriate stop-loss orders, determine suitable position sizes, and manage leverage wisely to protect your capital and minimize exposure to potential losses.
🐼Incorporating Technical Analysis Tools:
Technical analysis tools provide valuable insights into market behavior. Use oscillators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to identify overbought or oversold conditions, Fibonacci retracement levels to pinpoint support and resistance levels, and Bollinger Bands to gauge market volatility.
🐼Staying Informed about Market News and Economic Calendar Events:
Keeping up with the latest news and economic events can provide valuable context for your trading strategy. Monitor economic indicators such as GDP releases, central bank meetings, and geopolitical events to understand potential impacts on currency movements.
🐼Conclusion:
Crafting a successful forex trading strategy requires a comprehensive approach that covers market trend identification, risk management, technical analysis, and staying informed about market news. By incorporating these key points into your strategy, you can enhance your trading skills and increase your chances of long-term success in the forex market. Remember, forex trading is a continuous learning journey, so adapt and evolve your strategy as the market evolves.
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✅The DO’S And DON’TS Of Risk Management❌
❤️Risk management is a crucial component of forex trading to help minimize potential losses. In this article, we’ll explore the do’s and don’ts of risk management in forex trading.
🧡DO’S
💁🏼♀️Set a stop-loss order: A stop-loss order is a pre-set level at which a trade will automatically close, thus limiting the loss on an open position.
💁🏼♀️Diversify your portfolio: Spread your investments across multiple currency pairs to avoid exposure to a single currency’s risks.
💁🏼♀️Use leverage wisely: Leverage allows traders to invest more than their account balance. However, it also increases the potential risk. Only trade with leverage if you fully understand how it works.
💁🏼♀️Keep an eye on economic events: Economic events can impact forex markets. Keeping a close eye on them can help you adjust your trading strategy accordingly and avoid unexpected losses.
💁🏼♀️Use risk-reward ratio: It is essential to have a clear risk-reward ratio in mind before entering a trade. This ratio should be based on your established trading strategy and the probability of success.
💙DON’TS
🙅🏼♀️Don’t invest more than you can afford to lose: This is a fundamental rule of investing in any financial market. Never invest more than you can afford to lose.
🙅🏼♀️Don’t let emotions drive your trading: Emotions such as fear, greed, and hope can lead to impulsive decisions and cause significant losses.
🙅🏼♀️Don’t ignore fundamental analysis: Fundamental analysis helps traders understand a country’s economic and political situation, which can significantly impact forex markets.
🙅🏼♀️Don’t follow the herd: It is essential to have your own trading strategy and stick to it. Following others' trades blindly can lead to significant losses.
🙅🏼♀️Don’t trade without a strategy: A trading strategy helps you make informed decisions and minimize the risks of trading. Not having a strategy can lead to impulsive decisions and significant losses.
🖤 In conclusion , risk management is a crucial component of forex trading. It is essential to follow the do’s and don’ts mentioned above to minimize potential losses and make informed decisions. Remember, successful trading comes with experience, discipline, and patience. Happy trading!
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Stock Heatmap: The Ultimate Guide for Beginners (2023)How to use the Stock Heatmap on TradingView to find new investment opportunities across global equity markets including US stocks, European stocks, and more.
Step 1 - Open the Stock Heatmap
Click on the "Products" section, located at the top center when you open the platform. Then click on "Screeners" and “Stock” under the Heatmap section. Members who use the TradingView app on PC or Mac can also click on the "+" symbol at the top of the screen and then on "Heatmap - stocks".
Step 2 - Create a Heatmap with specific stocks
Once the Heatmap is open, you have the capabilities to create a Heatmap based on a number of different global equity markets including S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, European Union stocks, and more. To load these indices, you must click on the name of the current selected index, located at the top left corner of the screen. In this example, we have the S&P 500 heatmap loaded, but you can load any index of your choice by opening the search menu and looking for the index of your choice.
Step 3 - Customize the Stock Heatmap
Traders can configure their Heatmap to create highly custom visualizations that’ll help discover new stocks, insights, and data. In this section, we’ll show you how to do that. Keep on reading!
The SIZE BY: Button changes the way companies are sized on the chart. If we click on "Market Cap" in the top left corner of the Heatmap, we can see the different ways to configure the heatmap and how the stocks are sized. By default, "Market Cap" is selected with the companies, which means a company with a larger market capitalization will appear bigger than companies with smaller market capitalizations. Let’s look into the other options available!
Number of employees: It measures the size of the squares based on the number of employees in the company. The larger the square size, the more employees it has relative to the rest of the companies. For example, in the S&P 500, Walmart has the largest size with 2.3 million employees. If we compare it to McDonalds, which has 200,000 employees, we can see that Walmart's square size is 11 times larger than McDonalds. This data is usually updated on an annual basis.
Dividend Yield, %: If you choose this option, you will have the size of the squares arranged according to the annual percentage dividend offered by the companies. The higher the dividend, the larger the size of the square. It is important to note that companies with no dividend will not appear in the heatmap when you have chosen to arrange the size by Dividend Yield, %.
Price to earnings ratio (P/E): It is a calculation that divides the share price with the net profit divided by the number of shares of the company. Normally the P/E of a company is compared with others in its own sector, i.e. its competitors, and is used to find undervalued investment opportunities or, on the contrary, to see companies that are overvalued in the market. Oftentimes a high P/E ratios indicate that the market reflects good future expectations for these companies and, conversely, low P/E ratios indicate low growth expectations. Going back to heatmaps, it will give a larger square size to those companies with higher P/E ratio over the last 12 months. Companies that are in losses will not appear in the heatmap as they have an undetermined P/E.
Price to sale ratio: The P/S compares the price of a company's shares with its revenue. It is an indicator of the value that the financial markets have placed on a company's earnings. It is calculated by dividing the share price by sales per share. A low ratio usually indicates that the company is undervalued, while a high ratio indicates that it is overvalued. This indicator is compared, like the P/E ratio, to companies in the same sector and is also measured over the most recent fiscal year. A high P/S indicates higher earnings expectations for the company and therefore could also be considered overvalued, and vice versa, companies with a lower P/S than their competitors could be considered undervalued.
Price to book ratio: The P/B value measures the stock price divided by the book value of its assets, although it does not count elements such as intellectual property, brand value or patents. A value of 1 indicates that the share price is in line with the value of the company. High values indicate an overvaluation of the company and below, oversold. Again, as in the P/E and P/S Ratio, it is recommended to compare them with companies of the same sector. Regarding the heatmaps, organizing the size of the squares by P/B gives greater size to companies with high values and it is measured by the most recent fiscal year.
Volume (1h, 4h, D, S, M): This measures the number of shares traded according to the chosen time interval. Within the heatmaps comes by default the daily volume, but you can choose another one depending on whether your strategy is intraday, swing trading or long term. It is important to note that companies with a large number of shares outstanding will get a higher trading volume on a regular basis.
Volume*Price (1h, 4h, D, S, M): Volume by price adjusts the volume to the share price, i.e. multiplying its volume by the current share price. It is a more reliable indicator than volume as some small-cap stocks or penny stocks with a large number of shares would not appear in the list among those with the highest traded volume. Also available in 1-hour, 4-hour, daily, weekly and monthly time intervals.
COLOR BY:
In this area we will be able to configure how individual stocks are colored on the Heatmap. If you’re wondering why some stocks are more red or green than others, don’t fret, as we’ll show you how it works. For example, click on the top left of the Heatmap where it says "Performance D, %" and you’ll see the following options:
Performance 1h/4h/D/S/M/3M/6M/YTD/Year (Y), %: This option is the most commonly used, where we choose the intensity of the colors based on the performance change per hour, 4 hours, daily, weekly, monthly, in 3 or 6 months, in the current year, and in the last 12 months (Y). Tip: this feature works in unison with the heat multiplier located at the top right of the Heatmap. By default, x1 comes with 3 intensity levels for both stocks in positive and negative, as well as one in gray for stocks that do not show a significant change in price. This takes as a reference values below -3%/-2%/-1% for stocks in negative or above +1%/+2%/+3% for stocks in positive and each of the levels can be turned on or off independently.
As for how to configure this parameter, you can use the following settings according to the chosen intervals. For 1h/4h intervals, multipliers of: x0.1/x0.2/x0.25/x0.5 are recommended.
For daily heat maps, the default multiplier would be x1. And finally, for weekly, monthly, 3 or 6 months and yearly intervals, it is recommended to increase the multiplier to x2/x3/x5/x10.
Pre-market/post-market change, %: When this option is selected, you can monitor the changes before the market opens and the after hours trading (this feature is not available in all countries). For example, if we select the Nasdaq 100 pre-market session change, we will see the day's movements between 4 a.m. and 9:30 a.m. (EST time zone). Or, if we prefer to analyze the Nasdaq 100 post-market, we will have to choose that option; this would cover the 4 p.m. to 8 p.m. time zone. For heatmaps in after-hours trading we recommend using very low heat multipliers (x0.1; x0.2; x0.25; x0.5).
Relative volume: This indicator measures the current trading volume compared to the trading volume in the past during a given period and it measures the level of activity of a stock. When a stock is traded more than usual, its relative volume increases. Consequently, liquidity increases, spreads are usually reduced, there are usually levels where buyers and sellers are fighting intensely and where an important trend can occur. The possible strategies are diverse. There are traders who prefer to enter the stock at very high relative volume peaks, and others who prefer to enter at low peaks, where movements tend to be less parabolic in the short term. In the stock heatmap, relative volume is identified in blue colors. Heat multipliers of x1, x2 or x3 are usually the most common for analyzing the relative volume of stocks. Let's do an example: Imagine that we want to see the most unusual movements in today's Nasdaq 100 after the market close. We select the color by Relative Volume and apply a default heat multiplier of x1. Then, in order to be able to see only those stocks that stand out the most, we uncheck the numbers 0; 0.5; 1 at the top right of the screen. After this, we will have reduced the number of stocks to a smaller group, where we will be able to see chart by chart what has happened in them and if there is an interesting opportunity for trading.
Volatility D, %: It measures the amount of uncertainty, risk and fluctuation of changes during the day, i.e., the frequency and intensity with which the price of an asset changes. A stock is usually referred to as volatile when it represents a very high volatility compared to the rest of the chosen index. Volatility is usually synonymous with risk, since the price fluctuation is greater. For example, we want to invest in a stock with dividends on the US market, but we are somewhat averse to risk. To do so, we decide to look for a stock with a high dividend yield with low volatility. We select the index source "S&P 500 Index", then size by "Dividend yield, %" and color by "Volatility D, %". Now, we deactivate the heat intensity levels higher than 2%, but higher than 0% (those that do not suffer movement, usually have low liquidity). From the list obtained, we would analyze the charts of the 10 companies that offer us the best dividend.
Gap, %: This option measures the percentage gap between the previous day's closing candle and the current day's opening candle, i.e. the difference in percentage from when the market closes to when it opens again.
GROUP BY:
Here you can enable or disable the group mode. By default all stocks are grouped by sector, but if you select ‘No group’, you will see the whole list of companies in the selected index as if it were a single sector. It is ideal for viewing opportunities at a general level, you can sort directly by dividend percentage and see the companies in the index with the best dividend from highest to lowest or, for example, the best yielding stocks by market capitalization size.
Another important note is that when you have chosen to group stocks by sector, you can zoom in on a specific sector by clicking on the sector name. Doing so, you will be able to analyze the assets of that sector in more depth.
TOGGLE MONO SIZE:
Here you can split all the stocks in the selected index completely equally in size, while still respecting the order of the chosen configuration. That is, if we have toggled the mono size by market cap, all the stocks will have the same square size with the first ones being the ones with the largest capitalization, from largest to smallest.
FILTERS:
One of the most interesting settings, where it allows you to filter certain data to eliminate "noise" and have a selection of interesting stocks according to the chosen criteria. It is important to note that in filters we can see in each of the parameters where most of the stocks are located by vertical lines of blue color. It is especially useful in indexes where all stocks of a certain country are included, for example, the index of all US companies. Making a good filter will help you find companies in a heatmap with very specific criteria. The parameters are the same as those found in the SIZE BY section, i.e. market cap, number of employees, dividend yield, price to earnings ratio, price to sales ratio, price to book ratio, and volume (1h/4h/D/W/M).
Primary listing: When you work on an index with stocks that may be, for example, from another country or not traded within the main market, they will be categorized outside the primary listing.
STYLE SETTINGS:
Here you can change the content of the inner part of the heatmap squares:
Title: The company symbol or ticker (e.g., AAPL - Apple Inc.).
Logo: The company logo.
First value: Shows you the value you have chosen in the COLOR BY section (performance 1h/4h/D/S/3M/6M/YTD/Y, pre-market and post-market change, relative volume, volatility D, and gap).
Second value: You can choose between the current price of the asset or its market cap.
These values are also available when you hover your mouse over one of the stocks and hold it over its square for a few seconds.
SHARE:
On TradingView, we can easily share our trading analysis and our heatmaps! You can download your Heatmap as images or you can copy the link to share it across social networks like Facebook,Twitter, and more.
If you made it this far, thanks for reading! We look forward to seeing how you master the Heatmap and all it has to offer. We also want to hear your feedback!
Leave us your comments below! 👇
- TradingView Team
👻The Movers and Shakers: Meet the Big Forex Players👻
🍀The forex market is a dynamic and complex marketplace, with billions of dollars changing hands every day. At the center of this volatile financial landscape are a handful of key players who wield immense power and influence over the direction of global currencies. In this article, we'll introduce you to some of the biggest and most influential forex market players.
🌸The Central Banks: "We set the tone for the entire forex market."
Perhaps the most important forex market players are the world's central banks. These powerful institutions have the ability to control the supply and demand of their respective currencies, through interest rate policies and other monetary maneuvers. Whenever a central bank makes a move, traders around the world sit up and take notice.
🌺The Big Banks: "We are the gatekeepers of the forex market."
Big banks are another major group of forex market players, and they play a critical role in providing liquidity to the market itself. These institutions act as intermediaries, buying and selling currencies on behalf of their clients and helping to facilitate trades between different market players.
🌼Hedge Funds and Trading Firms: "We thrive on volatility and uncertainty."
Hedge funds and trading firms are a relatively new entrant to the forex market, but they have quickly become some of the most important players. These firms are often staffed by experienced traders and analysts who use complex algorithms and trading strategies to capitalize on short-term market movements.
🌹In conclusion, the forex market is a complex and ever-evolving landscape, but understanding the key players involved can help investors and traders make more informed decisions. Whether you're following the moves of central banks, working with big banks, or leveraging the insights of hedge funds and trading firms, the forex market is full of opportunities for those who are willing to take the risk.
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👻3 Steps To Become A Professional Trader👻
Becoming a professional trader is not an easy task. While trading may seem exciting and lucrative, it requires dedication, discipline, and a sound understanding of the markets. In this article, we’ll share with you three key steps to becoming a professional trader.
🌺Step 1: Build a Strong Foundation
Before beginning your journey as a trader, it’s essential to build a strong foundation. This involves educating yourself about the financial markets, including learning about different trading strategies, technical analysis, risk management, and market psychology. The good news is there are plenty of resources available online to learn about trading principles and strategies.
Another part of building a strong foundation involves studying the market and practicing with demo accounts. Demo accounts allow you to practice trading in a simulated environment that replicates the real market.
🌸Step 2: Develop a Trading Plan
Developing a trading plan iscrucial to becoming a successful trader. A trading plan should outline your objectives, risk management strategies, trading rules, and decisions about entry and exit points. It would help if you also identified what type of trader you are, whether that’s a day trader, swing trader, or a position trader.
A trading plan gives you a framework to base your trading decisions on, which can help you remain disciplined and make smart choices based on data, not emotions.
🌼Step 3: Consistency is Key
Consistency is key in trading. It’s not enough to have a single profitable trade; you need to be able to make profitable trades consistently. To achieve this, you need to have patience, discipline, and a strong mindset.
One of the essential aspects of consistency in trading is understanding and managing risk. This involves limiting potential losses and setting profit targets to ensure you don’t go overboard.
Lastly, you need to set realistic expectations and maintain good habits like keeping a trading journal, analyzing your trades, and continuously improving your trading strategies.
In conclusion, while there isn’t a specific recipe for success when it comes to trading, these three steps outline the fundamental elements of becoming a professional trader. With dedication, effort, and discipline, you too can make a living or even a fortune from trading!
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VWAP explanation, description and usage examples.Hello Traders:)
Enjoy this small tutorial about VWAP
1. Definition:
VWAP is a popular technical indicator used in trading to assess the average price at which a security has traded throughout the required time range, weighted by the volume of each trade. It provides a reference point for traders to evaluate whether they are buying or selling at a favorable price relative to the average market price.
2. Using VWAP:
- Trading Decisions: Traders use VWAP as a benchmark to make informed trading decisions. They may aim to buy when the current price is below VWAP, indicating a potential value opportunity, and sell when the price is above VWAP, suggesting potential overvaluation.
- Order Execution: VWAP can help traders with large orders execute trades efficiently. By splitting the order into smaller portions and executing them at intervals close to the VWAP, traders can minimize market impact and obtain more favorable prices.
- Identifying Trend Strength: VWAP can be used in combination with other technical indicators to assess the strength of price trends. When the price consistently stays above VWAP and VWAP slopes upward, it suggests a strong bullish trend, and vice versa for a bearish trend.
3. Different Types of VWAP and their purpose:
- Intraday VWAP: This calculates the VWAP over a single trading session, typically from market open to close.
- Rolling VWAP: It calculates the VWAP over a specified rolling time period, such as the past 20 days, providing a longer-term average.
- Volume Profile VWAP: It calculates the VWAP for specific price levels within a range, giving insights into the distribution of volume at different price levels.
- Additional option available on TradingView: Fixed Range Volume Profile. We can set the VWAP from literally any time and select only part of the intraday session. Useful, for example, to track your VWAP trade from the start of our trade. This allows us to determine the strength of the trend during our open trade.
4. Settings for Different Purposes:
- Timeframe: Traders can choose different timeframes for VWAP calculations based on their trading strategies. Shorter timeframes (e.g., 5-minute or 15-minute) provide a more granular view of intraday trading, while longer timeframes (e.g., 1-hour or daily) capture broader trends.
- Volume Weighting: Traders may consider using different volume types, such as total volume, buy volume, or sell volume, depending on their specific objectives and the information they want to incorporate into the VWAP calculation.
5. Visual Possibilities:
VWAP can be plotted on trading platforms as a line or a ribbon overlaying the price chart. It is often displayed alongside other indicators, such as moving averages or Bollinger Bands, to provide additional context and facilitate analysis.
6. Additional Ranges of VWAP:
- Standard Deviation Bands: Traders may add standard deviation bands around the VWAP line to identify potential overbought or oversold conditions. These bands help highlight when the price is deviating significantly from the average and can signal potential reversals or mean reversion.
- Multiple Timeframe VWAP: Traders may plot VWAP calculations for different timeframes on the same chart to gain insights into intraday and longer-term trends simultaneously. This allows for a comprehensive view of price dynamics across different time horizons.
Remember to adjust the settings and interpret VWAP in the context of specific trading strategies, market conditions, and the characteristics of the securities being traded. Additionally, it's recommended to backtest and validate any trading strategy before applying it in live trading.
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At the end example of how I am using VWAP with Heikin Ashi on BTC:
10 Things I Wish I Knew When Getting Started With TradingHere are ten key points I wish I knew 11 years ago
1. Position Sizing: Trade with suitable position sizes to minimize the emotional impact on decision-making. Ensure your trades are neither too small nor too large, balancing the potential for profit and the ability to make rational decisions.
2. Avoid FOMO: Don't trade based on the fear of missing out. Make informed decisions by analyzing the market and potential trades, rather than being swayed by others' excitement or panic.
3. When to Exit a Trade: Focus on trading based on technical analysis, not your profit and loss. Exit a trade when the conditions you entered the trade no longer apply. Consider using mental stops over hard stops, but only if you have enough experience.
4. Journal: Keep a detailed record of your trades to analyze and improve your performance. Track your wins, losses, and the specific conditions of each trade to identify areas that require improvement.
5. Buy High, Sell Higher: Embrace the concept of buying into strong trends for greater success. While "buy low, sell high" is a common mantra, buying into a growing trend can be a more effective strategy.
6. Different Types of Trades: Understand and become comfortable with various trade types, such as scalping, momentum trading, technical-based trades, and options trading. Each type requires different strategies and scanning techniques.
7. Resources: Choose educational resources wisely. Avoid get-rich-quick schemes and focus on informative materials that teach essential concepts like candlesticks, indicators, options, and scanner settings. Look for resources that acknowledge the difficulty of trading and offer well-rounded, sustainable strategies.
8. Stop Predicting Tops and Bottoms: Focus on following the charts and resist the urge to predict tops and bottoms. Counter-trend trading is a common reason new traders lose money.
9. You Are Not an Economist: Trade based on current market conditions, not long-term predictions. Avoid developing a market bias that could negatively impact your trades, even your day trades.
10. Don't Trade What You Don't Know: Gain sufficient knowledge before trading a particular instrument. Jumping into a trade without understanding the underlying mechanisms can lead to costly mistakes. Educate yourself before diving into new trading instruments.
Yours,
✅ THE ULTIMATE BEGINNER'S GUIDE TO INVESTING 👊There are a lot of myths surrounding investing. Some say that it is too complicated for a beginner, and you can't figure it out on your own. Others portray the image of a successful investor who travels all the time and does almost nothing. So, let's find out how things really are.
What Is Investing?
Investment is the long-term investment of funds, finances and other capitals in a variety of instruments in order to generate income in the future. Furthermore, there are two types of investments in relation to objects of investment. The first type is investment in the real sector (real investments). However, the subject of today's article is related to the second type of investment - financial investments, not investments in the real sector. Let's dot all the i's and and cross the t's to define with you what we mean by financial investments.
Financial investments are long-term investments of finances in securities, shares, bonds, mutual funds, precious metals and other derivative instruments of securities.
Financial investments are also called portfolio investments. Portfolio investing means that an investor can invest in several financial instruments at once, thus forming a specific "portfolio of investments. A portfolio helps an investor to diversify his risks, that is, even if there is a completely failed investment, the investor is able to offset his losses at the expense of more successful instruments from his portfolio.
Structure Of The Financial Investment Market
Before considering investing and financial instruments, it is necessary to understand how this market is structured. The structure of the financial market can be divided into three main segments:
-Stock market
-Debt market
-Foreign exchange market
The stock market is where shares of various issuers and other derivatives that give the right of ownership are traded. The debt market, also called credit market, is characterized by investments in debt instruments, such as government and corporate bonds. It is generally believed that the debt market is the most risk-free and conservative, but low-yielding way of investing, the yield on which will not exceed, and often coincide with the yield on a bank deposit. Here much depends on whose bonds you invest in and at what point. The third and extreme segment in this classification is the foreign exchange market, where it is possible to purchase contracts (both options and futures) for the purchase of currency in the forex market.
In addition, in recent years, a new market is beginning to take shape - the cryptocurrency market. Due to the popularity and rise in the value of Bitcoin, this market has expanded significantly in 2016-2017 and more and more types of cryptocurrencies are coming to the market.
Why Should You Invest Money?
The question of why to invest in various financial assets often arises in people who are just beginning to become interested in ways of making passive income. One could say that this skill belongs to the obligatory skills of a person who wants to come to success, just as one used to need to know how to speak French or ride a horse.
Another thing is that the vast majority of people spend almost all of their money on daily expenses - food, clothes, rent, and often credit as well. This is a kind of dependence on the bank, the state, and the place of work. And professionalism in one area or another is not yet a guarantee of good profits.
Everyone in the modern world just needs to learn how to manage their finances and how to multiply them. Almost everyone periodically thinks about saving and achieving financial freedom, providing a peaceful old age, and investing in the future of their children.
A certain role is played by the state, allocating pensions to elderly people from the pension fund, in which accumulated amounts of deductions from wages for a lifetime. However, the size of pensions is known to all - it is simply impossible to provide a decent old age for them. Many pensioners who have worked all their lives live on the brink of poverty.
Why is the situation different in developed countries? Older people travel around the world and live life to the fullest. And these are not celebrities or oligarchs - they are ordinary average people.
The answer lies in the fact that investments play a huge role in people's lives in developed countries. Up to 80% of Americans invest in shares of large companies and receive dividends on them.
The question of why they need to invest does not arise there - they start investing at a young age. It is enough to look at the figures:
In the US the volume of investments in investment funds is twice as much as the volume of bank deposits;
In Europe, the volume of investments in investment funds is five times less than the volume of bank deposits.
Moreover, do not forget that the investor gets an opportunity to receive dividends from shares - investment income, which in the long run may exceed salaries by several times.
Investing For Beginners: The Power Of Compound Returns
In simple terms, compound return is the re-investment of profits earned during previous successful investments. The process can be represented as the use of dividends, interest paid, and other income distribution options.
Depending on the share of reinvested funds from the total amount of profits, a distinction is made between full or partial reinvestment. It is impossible to predict in advance the profitability of reinvestment, but the investor can control the process by adjusting the timing, amount, selected instruments, and external circumstances.
Reinvestment is the practice of using dividends, interest, or any other form of income received as a result of investments, to obtain new profits through the purchase of shares, units, or other assets, instead of just spending what is earned.
Let's take a closer look at the principles of reinvestment and the factors that affect its result.
If you're planning to reinvest profits to increase your overall income, consider how to do so with minimal risk of loss while earning a steady income. To increase the chances of successful reinvestment, stick to three basic principles:
Use only available funds to invest. If you're not sure you'll need some or all of the money you're investing shortly, don't reinvest profits. For reinvesting, take as much money as you can set aside for the long term.
Diversify your investments. The golden rule for investors is to diversify their capital by diversifying their financial instruments. A balanced portfolio is the best protection against sudden market movements and losses. While one asset falls in value, the rest grow and generate income.
Make sure that investments generate income without exposing your entire capital to excessive risk. A professional investment manager can help with the selection of tools and investment strategies if there is no possibility to study the intricacies of stock trading independently.
As in the case of initial investment, reinvestment should be made competently, choosing the safest and most promising assets, and avoiding excessively risky transactions.
Any action by an investor must produce an ultimate return. You can receive dividends and spend them on your personal needs, or use the extra profits to multiply your invested capital.
Sometimes the external conditions for investments are not so favorable, and an investor prefers to wait out a dangerous period, withdrawing all assets into currency. Such behavior was demonstrated by Warren Buffett, 89, who decided in 2020 to get rid of assets, including investment bank Goldman Sachs, American carriers, and go into "cash", despite positive market dynamics and a relatively weak dollar. This decision analysts explain the preparation of the guru of investments to the stock crash, incomparable even with 2008 when Buffett has maintained an optimistic view of U.S. assets.
The decision on the advisability of reinvestment is based on some factors:
Inflation rate. If money is depreciating rapidly, reinvesting means trying to catch up with inflation while trying to maintain the same capital value. In a hyperinflationary environment, it makes no sense to wait for an investment to yield a limited return or to result in a loss due to the loss of value of the money invested.
Affordable financial instruments. The recent top assets for reinvestment include real estate, currency, and deposits. As the stock market develops, the center of attention has shifted toward stocks, bonds, and indices. U.S. stocks are growing in popularity, with different stock exchanges providing access to them.
Risk appetite. Some companies prefer to close their positions or limit investments to reduce possible negative consequences. Others are prepared to keep risking for the sake of profitability.
Every financial instrument has its profitability and risk limits. The higher the projected return on reinvestment, the more justified this step is.
The situation in the economy can facilitate or limit opportunities for investing and reinvesting. The worse things are in the country's economic sector, the less reason to reinvest profits.
In addition to objective factors that influence the decision to reinvest income, there are subjective features of a person and his circumstances that make him agree or refuse to make further investments.
A person invests his earnings where he can earn the most profit. As a rule, the decision to reinvest is made based on an analysis of alternative returns. If a person buys a car for $100,000 instead of opening a bank deposit with the profits he earns, it means that in addition to that amount over the 5 years the car will lose the amount of unaccrued interest - for example, 5% for each year. And instead of owning a car worth $100,000, one could earn $128,000.
Timing The Market: What Investment Returns Can You Expect?
On the whole, we can say that the world economy is growing at about five percent a year. Of course, in dollars.
Slightly lower should be the currency yield from investments in bonds, but their use is assumed only as a reserve, not strategic growth.
Is it possible to earn more? Yes, if something important happens: technological advances, breakthroughs in new industries - and the investor is at the root of it. Those who first appreciated the prospects of switching from coal to oil in the past are some of the richest clans on the planet today, such as the Rothschild clan. You do not have to go far, it was enough to assess the prospects for the development of electronics and, in particular, computer technology thirty years ago - and we can say a billion is already in the pocket.
Let's look at examples, of how much could be earned on different types of investments. The average annual return on the S&P 500 over the past ten years is about 13.6%. Thus, if an investor were to put into his portfolio the same securities that make up the index, he would get a much higher return than on a deposit in a bank.
During the same period, credit institutions attracted deposits at 4-5 percent. And in the bond market for government securities, the yield was, as we see from the previous example, 5.2 percent per annum. The yield on corporate bonds was even higher - 6-10 percent, depending on the reliability of the companies.
Thus, having placed money through a broker at the exchange, the investor could count on the bond market, if not twice, but one and a half times more than in the bank. At the same time, of course, such investments are not subject to deposit guarantees.
But, on the other hand, if you buy bonds from major companies, their existence is ensured at least access to raw materials. Behind them, unlike credit institutions, there are usually real production assets that generate stable revenues.
And what about other types of investments? Analysts of the real estate market say that properties have risen in price by more than 16% over the year. But these figures should be treated with extreme caution:
Firstly, realtors always, under all circumstances, claim that prices are going up, even if the trend is the opposite.
Secondly, the posted proposals - it is not the real price of an object, to sell something, the cost must be discounted, which remains at the level of non-public agreement between the seller and the buyer. The real estate market is much less transparent and not as liquid as the stock market.
In addition, the cost of admission varies significantly. Investments in real estate most often require at least a few hundred thousand, if it is not a collective scheme, while for the purchase of the same bond on the New York Stock Exchange just a thousand dollars is enough.
It must be said that one of the most profitable types of investment in 2021 was simply buying foreign currency. The dollars rose by more than 20% and the euro by almost 30%.
This suggests that those who invested money in instruments denominated in foreign currencies managed to make the most money on investments. Even though the interest initially looked more than modest.
How Much Money Should Beginners Invest?
The fact is that any investment activity involves a certain risk. Therefore, before engaging in investment activities, it is necessary to create the proverbial financial safety cushion.
This should include all mandatory payments, medicine, food, and even entertainment. Otherwise, an unsuccessful start in investing and the difficulties you will encounter in the absence of a "cushion" will most likely discourage you from continuing to learn to be an investor, and it rarely works out well for anyone the first time.
So, you already have a financial safety cushion. Now you need to invest the first sum of money. But the size of that amount will predetermine the type of instruments available to you. If the bonds have a face value of 50 dollars (please note that we will not take into account brokerage commissions, because our discussion is about the principle of approach to the first investment), then having this very $50, you can go and buy bonds? No, not really! The minimum investment required to purchase a single bond is about $1,000, though bonds are generally sold in $5,000 increments.
You can buy shares for $500 since their prices can start from $10. However, it would be rather unethical of us to recommend to a beginning investor to start investing in such a risky instrument as stocks. The dividend yield on them is not guaranteed, and no one can promise an increase in the price.
This is why our logic leads us to believe that one should begin investing with an amount of about $1000-$3000. Moreover, we advise such a trick. Put every "extra" amount of money on a separate account, not a brokerage account, but a time deposit account with the ability to deposit and withdraw partially, you can even do it on the same account where you "lay" a safety cushion. As soon as you manage to accumulate "extra" $3000, i.e. you don't need them for other vital necessities, you have to withdraw them, transfer them to the brokerage account and buy the next portion of the securities.
Yes, stocks are cheaper and sometimes sold by the lot, but we wouldn't recommend starting with them. Start filling your portfolio with corporate bonds, and try investing some in stocks, let's say 10% of your capital. 10% is an insignificant amount in case of loss, but in case of high returns, can significantly raise the average return of your portfolio.
How Can You Start Investing?
When you finally decide to start investing, you might be wondering what steps you should take. Here are our recommendations:
Decide on an investment horizon. When it comes to bonds, the stock market has a conventional division into short-term securities and long-term securities. For example, Federal Loan Bonds are limited to a specific term (3, 5, 7, and even 10 years). Shares, on the other hand, are considered indefinite assets. They exist as long as the company operates and remains public.
Choose an investment instrument. Decide where best to invest your money. An investor decides which securities he will buy, whether he will invest in business development, entrust his savings to a mutual fund and management company or simply open a deposit in a bank.
Be guided by risk and return. Fixed-income securities (like federal bonds) are considered less risky than stocks and bonds issued by businesses.
To make it easier for you to choose the right investment instrument, first determine your risk profile. This is the type of behavior you have in the financial market. It will take into account your goals, desired returns, investment horizon, and risk tolerance. Depending on your risk attitude, your risk profile may be conservative, rational, or aggressive. Conservative investors prefer low-risk instruments with small returns, aggressive investors are willing to risk capital for the sake of high potential returns, and rational investors choose the golden mean.
The Beginner's Guide To Where To Invest Your Money
By definition, it is necessary to invest in something. There are a great many options where you can invest your capital. Among the most common instruments, we should note the following:
-shares
-bonds
-investment funds
-real estate
-own business
Let us consider different ways to invest your capital according to the risk appetite.
Instruments for the conservative investor
A conservative investor who is not prepared for possible losses can include low-risk instruments in his investment portfolio: bonds, bond exchange traded funds (ETFs), real estate investment funds, deposits, as well as structured products with full capital protection and ISH.
Most often, it is recommended that beginning investors work with conservative instruments at first, and then add other instruments to their portfolios over time.
Instruments for the aggressive investor
Aggressive investors, i.e. investors who are ready to risk a considerable part of their capital for the sake of high potential profitability, invest their entire portfolio in stocks, derivatives (futures, options) and structured products without capital protection.
Such investors often have extensive experience in the stock market, a large amount of capital and will be able to survive a failure painlessly.
Instruments for the moderate risk investor
An investor with a moderate risk profile combines high-risk instruments with conservative ones. Adding conservative instruments to the portfolio reduces risks, while high-risk instruments allow for higher returns. The classic scheme: 50% of the portfolio in conservative instruments, 50% in high-risk instruments.
In addition to the above, the portfolio may also include precious metals in an investor-friendly form, equity ETFs (due to the greater number of shares in one ETF, equity funds are less risky), structured products and ISMs with partial capital protection.
With knowledge of all available financial instruments, each investor can choose the most appropriate ones for his level of expertise and experience, as well as for the comfortable riskiness. The main thing is to approach investments consciously, correlating each instrument to your financial plan and investment objective.
Potential Risks Of Investing
Risks can have an internal or external nature and are not always predictable. Their main types are:
Liquidity risk - the risk that interest in an asset will plummet and the value will be well below the purchase price;
Inflation - decrease in purchasing power and loss of liquidity of all assets;
Currency risk - decrease in the value of assets that are related to foreign currency;
Legal risk - change of risks as a result of changes in the regulatory framework.
There is also the possibility of force majeure, for example, man-made or natural factors. As a rule, they are stipulated in the contract with the investor as separate clauses. Other risks can be adjusted if you constantly monitor changes in the global and domestic financial markets. Another rule that can help reduce the likelihood of losses is the creation of an investment portfolio and its timely adjustment.
Still, there are some ways to reduce the possible risks.
It is easier to manage risks at the planning stage of a portfolio. It's impossible to reduce risks to zero, but a few simple principles will keep your investors and their capital as safe as possible:
Invest evenly in different types of assets. If you choose to invest in securities, invest in different areas.
Don't invest the last of your money. Always leave savings-a "safety cushion." If your assets depreciate, no one will pay you insurance.
Examine projects and assets carefully before investing. Invest in projects that have positive feedback from past investors.
Do not work with those who promise you huge earnings with no risk.
Do not give in to emotions. Act decisively and sensibly, without panicking at the slightest price movement.
Set yourself a limit on the maximum losses. Let's say you choose 25%. If your assets fall in price by 25%, you will sell them to avoid even greater losses.
The key to successful investing is to choose quality assets (reliable stable securities). You should not give in to gambling and invest all of your capital in risky projects.
What To Look For When Choosing An Investment Broker
Before deciding which broker will provide you with services, decide on your investment objectives: have you already decided what markets you are going to enter, and what assets would you like to trade? Before taking any step in investing, it is better to define your goals precisely. Now let's see what to consider when choosing a broker.
Step 1: Check the license
You need to start by checking if your broker has a license. Central banks regularly check the compliance of brokers and can revoke the license if any violations are found. If the license is revoked, the broker will suspend its work and must return the invested funds to the clients.
Step 2: Gather information from open sources
Familiarize yourself with the broker's website. It will be good to check the organization's data on financial performance. A little dive into the history of the company will not be superfluous. Check if there have been any legal proceedings, malfunctions, license suspensions - and for what reasons.
Check what has been written about the broker in the industry media, but do not forget to do fact-checking, i.e. pay attention to the reliability of the source and double-check the data.
Step 3: Check the fees and commissions
Brokers receive a commission on the amount of a transaction. Study the rates on the websites of different brokers. Large organizations usually offer several rate plans. To choose the most appropriate one, determine in advance what markets you plan to trade (stock, futures, over-the-counter) and how often.
Brokers may charge not only transaction fees, but also commissions for depositing and withdrawing funds, using a trading platform, submitting phone orders, and other fees. In addition, it is important to remember the existence of a subscription fee - if there is one, the broker will earn even in the absence of transactions. Consider custody services, which may be fixed and included in the brokerage fee or may vary depending on the number of securities.
Step 4 . Evaluate the convenience of the service
If you are planning to use a trading terminal, i.e. software for making transactions at the exchange - look at what kinds there are and how they work, which one is offered by the broker and whether you understand its interface.
Brokers now have mobile applications for trading. If they are available in the demo version - download and try it, in this way you will understand if the interface is convenient and if you feel comfortable working with the application.
Step 5: Check out the education and analytics sections
Training materials, investment ideas, analysis, and research articles and forecasts are useful for beginners and more advanced investors alike. Many brokers now offer articles, webinars, podcasts, video courses, and more to clients. This can be another factor that will make you pay attention to this particular organization.
Beginner's Tips To Get Started With Investing
It is impossible to completely avoid risk while investing in the financial market. Therefore, the investor is faced with the task - to minimize possible losses, at an optimal level of profitability concerning the goals and horizons of their achievement. For this purpose, studying the experience of famous investors and financiers is suitable. Here are a few tips to help avoid unnecessary mistakes.
Discipline
Even with minimal investments, a sequence of steps, analysis of the situation, and regular additions to the portfolio will lead to the desired income. Do not relax when you get the first earnings - it is better to reinvest them to achieve the goal as soon as possible.
Persistence and calmness
Everyone's journey is a series of ups and downs. Investors are no exception. A cool mind and control of emotions will not allow you to make mistakes in a critical situation. And the accumulated experience will help to avoid their repetition in the future.
The right environment
Communication with like-minded people will put you in the right mood, and monitoring market information and not only - will help you to navigate faster in the situation and make the right decisions. Reading professional literature, visiting topical forums and social networking pages - all will form your thinking.
Constant learning
The world does not stand still, and the world of investments is no exception. Self-education, observations of experienced colleagues, and reading financial literature will expand opportunities and open new promising directions.
Mistakes of beginning investors
It is not possible to avoid mistakes altogether - as in any business in which you are just starting. However, they can be minimized.
Lack of a safety cushion.
No one can guarantee your success in investing. If unforeseen circumstances arise, you must have a safety cushion of 3-6 months' salary.
Lack of funds for the beginning
Often brokers offer to begin from the minimum amount, say 300 dollars, however, such investments without additional permanent deposits will not be effective.
Lack of basic education
After studying, say, three books on the securities market and an economics textbook, many people start to feel self-confidence in the market. This is where the first serious errors begin, such as underestimating the risks or choosing sub-optimal instruments. Remember - knowledge must be gained, updated, and constantly expanded.
The desire to get rich quickly
In the search for super-profits, private investors can often meet crooks and all sorts of fraudsters on their way. A reasonable assessment of the prospects of income and the choice of well-known intermediary companies will reduce the risks as much as possible.
Using substandard sources
Sources of quality information are not difficult to find - to date has written many useful books and created a huge number of training materials.
1,2,and 3…Let it be TP/SLI want to speak about simply how to thrive in a future market. One must apply a strategy premeditated and followed through till revising once more. See the market is a dragon of chaos and as such we mortals need tools to manage it without being all banged up…Many excellent indicators exist but it’s most essential to find one that you understand and that is generally being stress tested by others as well. YouTube is a great resource and test out a few it’s actually quite fun and mostly they all win is applied correctly!
Bollinger bands We you you!
#MonaLisaSmile
ULTIMATE MACD GUIDE - ENTRY'S AND EXITS 📚The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Oscillator , otherwise known as MACD, is one of the most powerful and dynamic indicators, if you can learn to use it properly.
It is easily one of my personal favorite indicators, and one that I currently use when scalping and day trading.
Now before we get into how the MACD works on a technical level, let’s first go over how the MACD helps us fundamentally.
We can break it’s benefits down into 4 categories - in which it allows us to measure and predict the following:
The strength of a pattern
The momentum of a movement
The direction of a movement
The duration of a movement
Let’s breakdown each of those
-The Strength Of A Pattern-
Have you ever seen price approach the outer limits of a wedge, channel, or support / resistance and wondered, cluelessly whether or not it would actually break through or end up rejecting?
The MACD allows us to predict the pressure behind a certain sentiment, and therefore predict the odds of that pattern completing successfully. (possible example)
-The Momentum Of A Movement-
When trading, especially day trading, it is important to have almost impeccable timing for entries and exits. The MACD allows us to see and predict current and future momentum. This is powerful, as it allows us to enter a long before the rest of the market has gone long (essentially entering a long before the market pumps.)
This increases our profit/loss ratio - therefore decreasing risk and allowing for more sturdy stop losses.
-The Direction Of A Movement-
This one is quite obvious when looking at the MACD, but without the indicator, it can sometimes be quite difficult to even see which way the market is trending (periods of high consolidation for instance)
By utilizing the MACD on multiple time frames, we can have a glimpse of where the market is headed, even if it is unknown on the smaller time frames. (the opposite is also true, when the higher time frames are in periods of high consolidation, we can take a look at the lower time frames to get an idea of where it is heading)
-The Duration Of A Movement-
As mentioned previously, it is extremely important as a day trader to have very accurate entries and exits. Ironically, one of the most difficult things for a novice trader to predict is an accurate exit.
if you exit too early, you miss out on valuable profits and further decrease your profit to loss ratio. Yet, if you exit too late, you also lose valuable profits and decrease your P&L ratio. How do you find that sweet spot, to maximize your profits?
The MACD allows us to use past history to predict the duration of the current trend, and exit when it is most necessary.
-How To Apply The MACD And Gain Its Benefits-
Now that we have gone over exactly what the MACD offers, it is time to learn how to use it.
the MACD consists of 4 components:
The signal line (slow line)
The “MACD” line (fast line)
The baseline
The histogram (a visual, often color coded representation of both lines interacting)
These four components interact with each other in a very dynamic way, and allows for very versatile, wave-like movement (one of the only of its kind.) This is incredibly useful, as the market itself works in a very similar wave-like pattern of thrusts and rest, thrusts and rest and so on. there aren’t many other indicators (if any) that display the markets ebb and flow quite like the MACD. Let's break down what each aspect does.
-The Signal Line-
The signal line or ‘slow line’ is calculated based on the 26-period ema. This is the standard numerical value for the MACD, but can typically be adjusted in it’s settings to your preference. The signal line is the basis for whether a trend is overbought/ oversold and whether the momentum is bullish/ bearish.
-The MACD Line (fast line)-
The MACD line is calculated based on the 12-period ema. When the MACD line crosses above the signal line, this is considered the very beginning of a bullish movement. Why is this the case? Well, if the average price of the past 12 candles is moving higher than the average price of the past 26 candles, we can assume that in the short term, the momentum is bullish.
The opposite is also true. when the MACD line is below the signal line, this is the very beginning of a bearish movement.
-The Baseline-
The baseline is considered the very center of the MACD indicator. It is the line where the red and green bars of the histogram meet and where the scale on the right hand side reads zero. The purpose of the baseline is to further indicate the distance between the signal and MACD line.
the higher above the baseline the MACD and signal line go, the further the distance is between the two (meaning the 12-period ema is much higher than the 26-period ema.) This is useful in showing how overbought or oversold the equity is in that particular time frame.
The opposite is also true. the lower below the baseline these lines move, the further apart they are. However, in this case, the 12-ema is much lower than the 26-period ema. This indicates that the price may be oversold.
-The Histogram-
The histogram is the bread and butter of this entire indicator. As you become more familiar, the signal and MACD line will be very helpful in seeing the nuances of a movement and the market as a whole. As a beginner though, the histogram is your best friend. it takes all of the information mentioned previously, and compacts neatly into a color coded, numerical value system.
Each bar of the histogram corresponds to the above candle. This is useful as it allows us to predict future histogram bars, and where the MACD may be headed in the future.
Whenever the MACD line crosses above the signal, the histogram turns green. whenever the MACD line crosses below the signal, the histogram turns red. As the MACD approaches the signal line, the histogram weakens, and the bars grow smaller and smaller - closer and closer to the baseline. However, as the MACD line separates from the signal, the histogram bars grow larger and larger, further from the baseline.
-The Culmination-
All of this information can be combined, to assess the MACD on multiple time frames and make an educated decision on market direction.
A trading plan using the MACD could look something like this (using SPY):
-Before the market opens, check hourly MACD. wait until the hourly looks oversold, and the histogram appears to have peaked. (once the newest histogram bar is shorter than the previous, this marks the peak)
-Once peaked, this indicates that momentum for the next several hours should return to the baseline (spy is oversold)
-Now, you could go to lower time frames such as the 5 and 15 minute, keeping in mind that the hourly is oversold, so buying pressure should be at its heaviest now.
-Use the MACD on the lower time frames to judge the smaller thrust and rest periods, buy at the rests and sell at the thrusts.
Don't even get me started on how I view a chart as a collection of emotions, and how I believe the MACD displays these emotions better than any other indicator can (we'll save that for a separate post.) The MACD and its strategies/ nuances could be talked about for hours, but I hope this helped. I'll likely be doing another post, outlining more concrete examples of how to use it, so stay tuned!
Poor Reversals GuidePoor Reversals Indicator
This indicator finds Poor Reversals. Poor reversals are reversals in price with consecutive highs or lows that are close together. Look for the different types of highs and lows. Some say candle patterns don't matter, but they forget it's the orderflow that makes the pattern. Find poor, tweezer , and 1 tic rejections and study what happens next. We don't need to read the depth of market to see what the orderflow is saying. They are called poor because the auction didn't run its course. It didn't continue the direction until all activity in that direction was exhausted. Proper reversals create excess. Excess is a long tail/wick. A proper reversal leaves a long tailed excess unfilled.
The different highs and lows give clues to what kind of orderflow happened there. The difference between them is which high or low happened first. Price does often come back to these areas and clears them up with a proper reversal. We can see them on all timeframes. Knowing what they mean in the orderflow helps with reading charts.
The Poor Reversals are:
Poor
1 Tick Rejection
Tweezer
When looking at 2 bars that have very close high or lows, there are a few different types. They are each poor and can be further defined as each are price action clues.
If next low is higher, it's a poor low
If next low is lower, it's 1 tic rejection
If next low is equal, it's tweezer bottom
If next high is lower, it's a poor low
If next high is higher it's 1 tic rejection
If next high is equal it's tweezer top
Poor Highs and Lows:
The high or low comes first. The next bar does not go past it. Poor highs and lows are often created from price exhaustions. This means at poor highs buyers are trapped. At poor lows sellers are trapped. Price ran out of steam to continue in that direction. There wasn't enough activity/participation to continue the auction in that direction.
Poor lows are defined when 2 lows are very close, and the 1st bar is lower. The 2nd comes very close to a new low. It happens most when shorts, at the moment, "run out of steam". They were "too aggressive" and got themselves "short in the hole". When a poor low is made, price will bounce because shorts are buying to protect profits.
Poor highs are defined when 2 highs are very close. The 1st bar is higher. The 2nd comes very close to a new high. It happens most when longs, at the moment, "run out of steam". They were "too aggressive" and got themselves "long in the tooth". When a poor high is made, price will pullback because longs are selling to protect profits.
1 Tick Rejections:
The high or low comes last. The last bar goes just a little bit beyond the first bar. A "1 tic rejection" happens when a new low is made and quickly rejects. The name is misleading. It doesn't have to be "1 tic". Different markets have different measurements. For ES, it's less than 8 tics. For NQ, it's about 5-20 points. It varies depending on relative market volatility .
1 Tick highs are defined when 2 highs are very close, and the 1st high is lower. The second high is a small peek above. This happens when longs are aggressive and drive price up. Price makes a newer high and longs rapidly start taking profits. Their selling activity drives price lower. In the orderflow, longs likely closed at the same time new shorts sell. This competition to sell drives price lower. At the high, it says longs saw it wouldn't go higher and they took rapid exit.
1 Tick lows are defined when 2 lows are very close, and the 1st low is higher. The second low is a small peek below. This happens when shorts are aggressive and drive price down. Price makes a newer low and shorts rapidly start taking profits. Their buying activity drives price higher. In the orderflow, shorts likely closed at the same time new longs buy. This competition to buy drives price higher. At the low, it says shorts saw it wouldn't go lower and they took rapid exit.
Tweezer Tops and Bottoms
The highs or lows of the bars are equal. Tweezers most often mean that an aggressive trader is influencing price. They drove price in one direction and then quickly reversed sentiment. Tweezers most often happen in stop hunts. An aggressive trader found where the stops were located and then entered an aggressive order to turn the market.
Tweezer Tops are defined when 2 highs are equal. The first bar sets the high. The second bar matches the high. This happens when there is an active seller entering. It could be simple profit taking from longs or new aggressive shorts. In price action, price will move up to find short stops. When the stops are found, the market reverses sharply lower.
Tweezer Bottoms are defined when 2 lows are equal. The first bar sets the low. The second bar matches the low. This happens when there is an active buyer entering. It could be simple profit taking from shorts or new aggressive longs. In price action, price will move down to find long stops. When the stops are found, the market reverses sharply higher.
Poor Reversals can be Poor, 1 Tick Rejections, or Tweezers. They are all considered poor and upon further investigation we can see they are created from different conditions in the orderflow. They are not called Poor Reversals because they are weak. They are called poor because of the action that happened there. One side got caught in a bad position. Other sharks in the market smelled blood and ripped them apart.
This indicator is a work in process. While the concepts are great for real time trading, this indicator is not designed to be used in real time trading. It will repaint based on the bar close. The purpose of this indicator is to train our brains to see these nuances on candle charts. Some say candle patterns don't matter, but they forget it's the orderflow that makes the pattern. We must make split second decisions and knowing the context behind the orderflow reduces response time. These poor reversals don't have to retest, and the best ones won't come back. I use these concepts to find exits, where my trades might be wrong, confirmation I'm on the right side. It's amazing how these simple nuances can turn the markets. But sure enough, they do. Check them out in all time frames.
It's a fun indicator to play with. Some markets do require tweaks to the “Ticks” setting. Too big and charts will be noisy. Too low and not much will show up. A general rule of thumb is more volatile markets need higher tick values while less volatile need lower Tick values. Higher timeframes are also more reliable than lower time frames. I've included some customizable settings and I plan on adding more in the future. Enjoy!
The FULL Security Guide to keep your money SAFEEmail:
- Email Providers
- Any reputable email provider with 2FA will do
- If you want to get more into privacy and encrypting emails there is Protonmail or Preveil
- You can alternatively also hook up your current email with the Thunderbird email client (use to be managed by Mozilla Firefox) it is overseen by a volunteer board of contributors.
- 2FA - This is important, activating 2FA on your email is just as important as having it on exchanges.
- Create an email specifically for Crypto, but also avoid using crypto keywords / personal information in the email, treat your email address like its public information.
- Be on the lookout for Phishing emails, I made a post on how to identify phishing emails along with some useful tools here | How to spot a phishing email |
- Quick tips for emails:
- Don't trust email links
- Double check the address bar of login pages
- Know the levels of a domain
- Check to see if your crypto sites allow a anti-phish banner that displays a code with their emails that you set.
- Tracking pixels are also a thing, there not malicious in themselves, but they can potentially let attackers know if you have open an email / let them know the email exist and is active.
Passwords / PINs:
- Don't reuse them EVER
- Use strong secure passwords, passwords managers make these easy to manage and generate passwords.
- This includes your phone and 2FA app, if you have a weak pin (1234) for your phone and someone takes it, remember your 2FA app is then available (if same pin, or no pin/pass set), your email is automatically signed in (same for other accounts auto signed-in), and they can access your text messages.
- Don't use words relating to crypto or personal information in your passwords (or email), if they are compromised in a breach, assume they will search for these terms to target crypto users and try the same combo against crypto sites or figure who you based on the information (email & password) and pivot to finding public information that could lead to them answering challenge questions for password resets. (Your first pet, is it posted on Facebook? How about your car? Your first girlfriend/boyfriend?)
- Password Managers: These work wonders when managing passwords securely. They generate random strong passwords which can be adjusted, and its all kept in an encrypted database file, so even if a attacker gets access to it, they won't be able to access it without the password.
- KeePass
- BitWarden
- LastPass
- 1Password
- Don't save passwords in your browser
- Does it require verification for you to use the password? Also I tend to find extensions being more buggy as they have to interact with more 'moving' parts and changing configurations, and generally more people try to target and exploit browsers.
2 Factor Authentications (2FA):
- Enable on everything possible
- Use 2FA Apps instead of SMS whenever possible, SIM Swap attacks are real, and more common than you think.
- 2FA Apps
- Authy (Linux | Windows | macOS | Iphone | Android)
- Google Authenticator (iOS | Android)
- Microsoft Authenticator ( iOS | Android)
- LastPass Authenticator (Browser Extension | iOS | Android | Windows Phone)
-Hardware Keys
- These are physical 2FA device
- Backup codes:
- When you activate 2FA on any account you should have the ability to generate backup codes, these are used incase you lose access to your authenticator, TREAT these like your seed phrases. Use them by logging in with your user and pass, and use these backup codes in place of the 2FA code you usually enter.
- DO NOT take pictures of your QR codes, if you screenshot it, might end up syncing somewhere you don't want it to and if it ever gets compromised they have the ability to continually receive your 2FA code.
- Also, DO NOT sign up for your 2FA app or any crypto service for that matter using your work or school email address. You lose access to that email, then consider all accounts gone as you won't be able to access the codes if you switch devices.
Wallets
- Learn the difference between the different wallets
- Cold wallets will always be more secure than any hot wallets as they aren't connected to the internet
- Top trusted hardware wallets:
- Ledger
- Trezor
- Verify the details you are confirming on your hardware wallet device. the wallet app interacting with your cold wallet device could be compromised, but you would still be safe using it, as long as you verify each action on the cold wallet device, and reject the transaction if anything seems off.
Seed Phrases : Treat these as they are the keys to the kingdom (Keep offline and out of your notes app)
- Less Secure:
- Write down on paper and either break up the phrase and place in separate secure locations or hide them like the the FBI is going to come search your house
- Secure on USB
- Get a file shredder (securely deletes data, and overwrites it)
- Download password manager (optional)
- Disconnect device from internet
- Enter seed phrase into password manager / create encrypted file
- Put on a freshly reformatted USB / datalocker (Worms like to spread by USB)
- Save to USB, and shred the original using the file shredder software
- Hide USB
- Another device / old phone
- Factory reset
- Set Pin / Pass
- Download 2FA app and password manager / file encryption tool
- Disconnect from internet FOR GOOD (Treat this like a cold wallet)
- Back up 2FA and seed phrases
- Hide device
VPNs / TOR:
- Privacy vs Anonymity
- Privacy is the ability to keep your data and information about yourself exclusive to you (They know who you are, but not what you do).
- Anonymity is about hiding and concealing your identity, but not your actions. (They know what you do, but not who you are)
- Think about what your goal is, I commonly associate privacy with VPN and anonymity with TOR
- Both encrypt your data before leaving your device, then routes it through proxy servers to mask your IP/Location. VPNs you have to trust the provider (ensure they state there is a no log policy) while TOR runs through servers ran by volunteers (don't think governments don't run their own) and lets you access the dark web. Here is a more in-depth comparison on VPN vs TOR.
- Personally Its worth paying the few bucks a month for a paid tier of the VPN service.
- VPN Providers - Zero log VPN services:
- ProtonVPN
- Nord
- Mullvad
- TOR
- Brave offers TOR, but I would treat this more like a VPN
- If being anonymous is your goal the only real way to achieve this is running Tails off a USB.
Browsers (Excluding TOR):
- Top 3 Browsers built for privacy
- Firefox
- Epic
- Brave (I know Brave draws criticism but I made a technical post showing how the trackers didn't show up within the metamask extension through brave compared to Google Chrome.)
- Search Engine for privacy: DuckDuckGo
- Extensions
- One of the most dangerous threats I think that aren't taken seriously are extensions. These can start out legitimate, then through an update turn malicious. These will then be removed from the webstore, but not your browser.
- Some will be removed the store due to not being supported anymore which = no more updates, and no more updates = vulnerabilities that won't be fixed
- If you have Google Sync activated, these extensions will also sync to all those devices
- Remove any extensions you don't need, check to see there still available on the store, and even search them to see if some security article like this pops up about it.
- Check the privacy practice tab of the extension to see what data it collects.
Other General Safety Tips for PC and Phone:
- Harden your PC (Guide is for Windows 10, but can translate to other OS)
- Update OS and any software // turn on automatic updates - Everything you download is an attack vector
- Set firewall rules - Default deny, open only p855orts you need, disable rules you don't need
- disable remote access
- Install AV // Malwarebytes for removing malware
- Turn on encryption
- Setup user accounts // privileges'
- Strong password
- Whitelist addresses if possible (Some exchanges allow you to designate a address as 'safe' any other transactions besides those won't go through)
- If you use a encrypted messaging service, I highly recommend Signal, if you haven't seen their reply regarding a subpoena you should
- Lock down your social media accounts (go to security settings, turn off being able to be found via search engine, ad related settings, change who can view your posts, etc)
- Don't disclose your holdings and earnings
- Don't access your crypto on your work computer
- Don't answer PMs about winning some contest or some amazing opportunity
Phone:
- Unique pin / password for the phone
- download a password manager
- email account purely for crypto
- pin / password (different than getting into your phone) for your 2FA app.
- Don't lend phone out
- Avoid apps you don't need, read the 3 star reviews as they are the most honest)
- Download VPN / be aware of the wifi your connecting to
- Be aware of phishing
- Call your service provider and see if they can lock your SIM card and prevent SIM swapping.
Trend Key Points Guide And Best PracticesTrend Key Points indicator is a side tool for traders to specify the pivot points and key levels in trends. You can use this indicator in different ways, but I will tell you my own way. I got excellent results by going this way; I hope it will be useful for you as well.
Each trend has its high and low key points that are important in the next prices. Sometimes it’s hard to find out the points with a naked eye, this indicator marks these points and draws support and resistance lines from previous critical pivot points .
The indicator draws the last two support and resistances of the price by default but you can adjust it in the options. The best practice would be to include the levels drawn in the upper time frames in small timeframes.
I’ll explain it with an example. Let’s say I’m trading in the 4h timeframe. Starting from the above timeframe, I specify the key levels to the target timeframe I mean 4h. Assuming that the monthly levels are important in weekly, daily, and 4h timeframes. The weekly levels are important in daily and 4h timeframes and the daily levels are important in 4h timeframe.
Notice that I don't just settle for the levels drawn by the indicator, and I draw the flat and oblique trends I see myself.
If the key levels do not exist or are far away from the current price in the above timeframes you can rely on an important key point near or a level you think it's important. (w1 and w2 level drawn by myself from a key point)
If the level of higher timeframe overlapped the lower one, the level gains more importance.
After drawing multi-timeframe levels and trend lines, I’m going back to the 4h timeframe and I am looking forward to important price movements to be made at the drawn levels.
Which moves are important to me?
- If a new pivot high or a new pivot low appeared in the key levels or important trendline, I expect a return from there.
- If a new pivot high or a new pivot low appeared in the key level or important trendline and the volume confirmed the pivot, I expect a return from there. What I mean by volume confirm is that volume is greater than the volume itself. Volume confirmation means that the volume is bigger than the volume MA (20 in my case).
- If a candlestick pattern appears at the key level, the pattern will gain more importance. I use Abnormal Pin Bar and Common Candlestick Patterns Indicators for this.
Also, the indicator measures the length of each trend and calculates the average length of recent trends (15 by default). I named it movement step length (MSL). I use this info to predict the possible length of the current unfinished trend .
Usually, the length of the next trend is greater than the average length of the last trend specified by the indicator. Knowing this prevents me from exiting the unfinished trend early, which is quite possible when I'm nervous and have suspicions about the position.
I think the best part is that you can set an alert for the new key point crossing a price level. so you will not have to wait in front of the chart all day.
I am open to any improvement. If you have an idea or a suggestion, don't forget to leave a comment. Any feedback will be appreciated 😊
The Base & Quote Currency - What Are They?In forex the base currency is the first currency mentioned in the symbol (the first 3 letters). The quote currency is the second currency mentioned in the symbol (last 3 letters). The base currency is being given a 'quote' in the quote currency quite simply, saying that if you hold one base currency you will receive x amount of quote currency.
If you take a buy trade (long) then you are effectively purchasing the base currency, expecting it to rise in value against the quote currency. Likewise if you take a sell trade (short) you are effectively selling the base currency into the quote currency, anticipating that the base currency will fall in value against the quote currency.
With CFD's you don't need to own either of the currencies to trade them, as the contract makes you liable for the value of change of the forex rate based upon the contract size (lot size). The broker will calculate this value, convert the amount to your forex trading account's base currency, and issue you with the profit or loss.
For example, lets say your account is in GBP and you buy one contract (1.00 lots) of EURUSD. The EUR appreciates against the USD by 10 pips, and your profit is 100 USD. The broker then converts this to GBP using the USD/GBP rate (currently 0.7040), making your profit 70.4 GBP! The broker issues this profit into your trading account.