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J-DXY

gold dxy5.12.20 This video is the sequel to the previous video. In addition, I showed two ways to frame range boxes on the gold contract. I decided to give a closer look at the bear trap on the DXY and as I did this, I realized I had to look at a couple of time frames in order to add clarity. This was a bear trap on smaller time frame, but it is a retest of a breakout higher. It is what it is on different time frames, but it has value to do this in my opinion. As I was listening to the video before uploading, I took note of how bullish the whole pattern looks on the DXY on the daily chart... to the point that it looks likely that the price will move higher to an ABCD pattern... even though I am not a breakout buyer, and the market is still in arrange box which is the dominant behavior. If you don't understand this, I will come back and review it once we get a chance to see how the dollar plays out. The reason I bring this up is because of my conviction that higher time frames result in much more accurate assessment of the bullish or bearish nature of price action.
TVC:DXYEducation
by ScottBogatin
review3.17.20 GOLD SILVER DXY COPPER ENPH OIL: I think it's important to know why the dollars going higher, and gold is going higher. when markets have very large corrections lower this forces commercial funds and other traders to sell the good and the bad to meet margin requirements. In 2007 or eight when the market took a nosedive gold went lower and the dollar went lower. The reason for this is that large funds will sell their goal position, and countries will sell their gold position to meet margin requirements or other requirements that are transacted in the dollar. So you may want to buy gold when the markets correcting from a high in the markets moving catastrophically lower, but you may be perplexed why the gold is going lower when everything appears to be so unstable. I misstated the description that you could hear from the fund manager of Brent Johnson of Santiago fund. if oil is in a bear flag and makes a new low, I would be looking for a buying tail to get long. I think silver will reverse and go higher and that this is a capitulation move even though it has not impressively moved off the recent bottom. I believe the price of silver is near or below the production cost for many of the silver mines, it is ridiculously low, and gold retested at 382 and bounced off of that and looks like it might be heading higher to me. When in doubt, stay out... but you can follow the market anyway. Copper traded the pattern beautifully and came to the support; I think of Copper is one of those markets you don't have to trade frequently which means you don't have to spend all day looking at it. I think ENPH is going to move higher from here.
TVC:GOLDEducation
by ScottBogatin
DXY Oil11.27.19 Yesterday I uploaded a video suggesting that the dollar was going higher. Today is the follow-up in a quick review of that market. Next I discussed oil and talked about ways of taking profit and scaling entries and exits to make more money with less risk. And then I took an example using the oil chart of how markets are really much more likely to benefit buyers and sellers and not just one side of the market. But depending on how involved you want to be as a traitor, you may or may not want to see the algorithms for both buyers and for sellers as markets can benefit both sides, and it all depends on the trade location and an understanding of the set up and what you can expect for a reasonable target. I did not talk about one other aspect of this on the video, but in transitional periods in the market when markets are about to make significant changes, markets can actually burn buyers and sellers. This is why the market can be so difficult and why most traders fail a trading. I found in my own study of the market over the years is that I had to dig deep into the assumptions and the way that I processed information so that I could change my paradigm... and accept those changes... in order to benefit from the market. I had to change many things over the years.
FX:USOILEducation
by ScottBogatin
gold and dollar11.19.19 A look at that complex, currently ambiguous relationship ship between the dxy and gold. I did not have time to say that I think the gold probably will go lower based on the price action and the recent correction lower followed by a weak 382 correction higher, but it also has too much risk if you use structural stops. I didn't get to this because I spent time describing how coils ( non-directional markets and indecisive buyers AND sellers ) pick up interest through a series of wash and rinse patterns of buyers and sellers ( starting with either group )....and expand ( bars and swings ) producing more volatility and opportunity. There is also an interesting story you should Google about a lady that did it her way and turned about $1000K into well over $41M...and now has some of the best numbers in the industry with minimal risk at the time of that interview.
FX:XAUUSDEducation
by ScottBogatin