Psychological Levels and Round Numbers in Technical Analysis
When traders analyze the key levels, quite often then neglect the psychological levels in trading.
In this article, we will discuss what are the psychological levels and how to identify them .
What is Psychological Level?
Let's start with the definition.
Psychological level is a price level on a chart that has a strong significance for the market participants due to the round numbers.
By the round numbers, I imply the whole numbers that are multiples of 5, 10, 100, etc.
These levels act as strong supports and resistances and the points of interest of the market participants.
Take a look at 2 important psychological levels on EURGBP: 0.95 and 0.82. As the market approached these levels, we saw a strong reaction of the price to them.
Why Psychological Levels Work?
And here is why the psychological levels work:
Research in behavioral finance has shown that individuals exhibit a tendency to anchor their judgments and decisions to round numbers.
Such a decision-making can be attributed to the cognitive biases.
Quite often, these levels act as reference points for the market participants for setting entry, exit points and placing stop-loss orders.
Bad Psychological Levels?
However, one should remember that not all price levels based on round numbers are significant.
When one is looking for an important psychological level, he should take into consideration the historical price action.
Here are the round number based levels that I identified on AUDUSD on a weekly time frame.
After all such levels are underlined, check the historical price action and make sure that the market reacted to that at least one time in the recent past.
With the circles, I highlighted the recent reaction to the underlined levels. Such ones we will keep on the chart, while others should be removed.
Here are the psychological levels and proved their significance with a recent historical price action.
From these levels, we will look for trading opportunities.
Market Reaction to Psychological Levels
Please, note that psychological levels may trigger various reactions of the market participants.
For instance, a price approaching a round number may trigger feelings of greed, leading to increased selling pressure as traders seek to lock in profits.
Alternatively, a breakout above/below a psychological level can trigger buying/selling activity as traders anticipate further price momentum.
For that reason, it is very important to monitor the price action around such levels and look for confirmations .
Learn to identify psychological levels. They are very powerful and for you, they can become a source of tremendous profits.
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Keylevels
Support and Resistance VS Supply and Demand. Important Lesson
In the today's post, I will compare support and resistance levels with supply and demand zones.
I will explain to you the difference between them and share important tips and examples.
What are support and resistance levels?
We also call them key levels. These are particular levels on a price chart from where in the past we saw significant bullish or bearish movements.
Key support will be a one single level, that has a historical significance and from where a bullish reaction will be anticipated.
The all-time low on USDCHF will be a perfect example of a key support.
It is one single level that was respected one time in the past and from where a bullish reversal initiated.
Key resistance will be a one single level on a price chart that has a historical significance and from where a bearish movement will be expected.
The all-time high on Gold will represent a key horizontal resistance.
That level was respected one time in the past and from that level exactly the market dropped heavily.
What are supply and demand zones?
In comparison to support and resistance levels, supply and demand zones are the areas on a price chart. The zones that are based on multiple touches and consequent strong bullish or bearish reactions.
Demand zone will be the area that was tested at least 2 times in the past, and the price should strictly respect different price levels within that area.
A similar reaction will be anticipated from the demand zone in the future.
The yellow area above will a good example of a demand zone.
You can see that the price tested that area 3 times, and each time the market respected different levels lying within that.
These 3 tests compose the demand area.
Supply zon e will be the area that was tested at least 2 times in the past and the price should strictly respect different price levels within that area.
A similar reaction will be anticipated from the demand zone in the future.
In this example, a supply area on EURUSD is based on 2 touches of key levels, lying very close to each other.
On the chart above, I underlined 2 horizontal support levels - the single levels that were respected by the market multiple times, and a supply zone - the area that is based on tests of multiple levels lying close to each other.
Support and resistance levels give you SINGLE levels from where you can look for trading opportunities. While supply and demand zones represent the areas. After a test of a supply and demand zone, the market may react to a RANDOM level within that.
For newbie traders, it is highly recommendable to trade single key levels, while experienced traders can broaden their strategies and trade supply and demand zones as well.
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The power of the daily highs, lows and the VWAP!Hey Traders and Happy Monday!
In todays post on our Tradingview channel talk about the importance of the 3 main levels we focus on, which are,
VWAP
Daily high
Daily low
Based on what happens at these levels we usually take big action! The video explains more.
Enjoy and see you tomorrow!
#support #resistance #keylevel
Price action & key levels [Daily Primer 25.4/22]Hey Traders, a quick little video coming your way!
It is my 8 year anniversary with my wife, so I am rushing out of the door and cannot leave a detailed summary in text too.
The video goes over price action, key levels and some trades taken today on the DAX
Have a fab day and any questions are welcome!
The PIK Trading Strategy & Key Lessons for Day Traders!Hey Traders!
Happy Sunday!
In this video, which ends a little earlier as I didn't know videos have a limit, we go over a few key points, starting from the PIK trading strategy which you guys will hear about much more over the next few days, mindset, motivation and guidance is covered too!
When it comes to the PIK trading strategy, we go over the indicators that are used, price action and key levels!
The video isn't our best one, but it does have plenty of value and we hope you enjoy it!
Thanks and all the best!
Know Your LevelsTodays daily primer is all about key levels, Don't make trading harder than it needs to be. Know your levels, keep track of them, have a system that says BUY or SELL as quickly as possible and then just execute your trades!
All you needed to do was follow up, know the key levels and execute. It makes this job much easier when you are prepared and this type of preparation is easy. We are looking for an edge and keeping track of levels is KEY at making easy money (at least for our day trading system).
Every Sunday I sit down and map out important levels, I also review my trades for the previous week, for development purposes, and during that review of past trades I specicially check these levels and how price behaved at them.
I'd like to show you just how important levels are, but you should also checkout our VWAP video released just before this video.
What Are Key Levels? Learn To Identify Key LevelsIt's currently 12am and I thought why not drop a nugget.
So here it is... Finally, I dropped my supply and demand, support and resistance a.k.a Key levels tea.
Take this one seriously Cos' Nasdaq100 respects it a lot.
For better entries and exits you'll need to have a clear knowledge of key levels.
4 Types of Trading Confirmations"Wait for this confirmation!"
"Look for this confirmation!"
When I first began my trading journey, these are phrases that I kept seeing get thrown around and had no clue what it meant! What am I supposed to be looking for? What do these confirmations exactly mean? It quickly began to get frustrating and confusing...
Then eventually, things started to click one piece after another. Confirmations are a fundamental part of your trading and must be fully understood if you want to be successful in this game.
So, what is a confirmation? Well, it depends on many different scenarios, but in this post I will talk about 4 of the most common forms of confirmations with examples!
1️⃣ Price Action
When analysing many different instruments whether that is forex currencies, crypto projects or even stocks. You will often see when searching for trading opportunities that there are various confirmations that price will give clues about on the chart that we can trade from.
Price action & candlestick patterns are one of the strongest form of confluences as far as confirmations in trading go. They can be accurate reflections of the current market sentiment and gives you clues of what price is trying to communicate with you. Making them very reliable when used in the right hands of course.
Different types of price action confirmations such as doji's, pin bars, double top/bottoms & engulfing candlesticks have been proven by history time & time again to be a reliable method of identifying and predicting future market movements and is a major part of my technical analysis.
But, is it a good habit to instantly place a trade as soon as we see one of these confirmations? Short answer, NO! I wish it could be that simple... Trading with only one price action confluence will soon bring inconsistencies into your results and will negatively impact your overall success rate.
Instead, we need multiple confluences layered on top of one another to give us the best chance of predicting where price will head next.
2️⃣ Indicators
Whether you're purely a price action trader or an indicator heavy trader. From simple moving averages to complex computer algorithms, indicators play a big role in the trading industry.
Being 100% objective and removing all psychological aspects through providing real numbers, figures and data. They can be extremely beneficial to certain traders when it comes to carrying out their technical analysis.
For many traders, the various signals from indicators are considered to be accurate and reliable information. However, all indicators share one negative thing in common and that is that they are all lagging .
Meaning the data provided is not a live representation since it uses previous price action to pull its data and is unable to account for what is happening in the market in the right here, right now.
Often resulting in traders missing out on the big power moves, getting into positions too late or executing trades with bad risk:reward setups. Not to mention the potential for many traders to rely on indicators too much and begin to lose their own edge in the market (imagine a double edged sword if you will).
3️⃣ Fundamentals
Which are figures deriving from news events such as in an economic calendar, news & tweets etc. Actual fundamental news can become your best confirmation tool. However, the main obstacle right here is the promptness, validity and reliability of the data that you get.
The information shouldn't be delayed and it must be objectively true. The search for such a source is by itself is a very time-consuming and labor-intensive business not even mentioning its potential costs.
And that is not all. Knowing how to make sense of that data, its proper perception, and understanding requires a solid economical and financial background and experience.
At the end of the day, becoming an expert in fundamental analysis, the trader can easily sort the trading zones and trade only the ones that are confirmed by a decent fundamental trigger.
4️⃣ Key Levels
Us retail traders unfortunately don't control the market. There is an average of $5 trillion flowing in and out of the foreign exchange market every single day!
And the majority of this trading volume comes from the big institutional players such as banks & hedge funds etc. Therefore, it's important to know where these big players are buying/selling & why...
When analysing you pairs, you'll often see that price will naturally be magnetised to specific key levels. For example, key whole round figures that end in 0's & 50's such as 1.5000 or 1.5500. These are called psychological levels which the institutional market participants like to trade around purely for ease of mind.
These levels on various pairs have stayed the same for decades and for many years in the future and is one important form of a key level. Trading these key levels will allow you to find great liquidity zones, rejection areas and break + retest setups.
XAUUSD GOLD SUPPLY AND DEMAND ZONESXAUUSD GOLD SUPPLY AND DEMAND ZONES. Identifying high volume levels is very important. The reason behind this is because in high volume levels there are unfilled orders from the banks which are pending to be activated once price returns to that area. My trading is based off 4h with high level zones.