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Liquidation

Learn to identify liquidity levels. Before we begin, we need to understand what liquidity is. A market with high liquidity is one where there is a large number of buyers and sellers willing to trade in that particular asset. This means that there is a high availability of buy and sell orders, allowing transactions to be executed quickly and with minimal impact on prices. Where are the most liquid points located on a chart? These points are found at the highs and lows. This is because at these points, many people are waiting for the zone to act as support or resistance, or for the price to break the zone (breakout) to continue its direction. I always use daily, weekly, and monthly timeframes to identify these zones. Why the liquid points are importante on a chart? Liquidity is extremely important because it is the direction in which the price moves. The price will always move towards these points to attract liquidity to the market. Without liquidity, financial markets cannot function. Which indicator can you use to identify liquidity levels? Previous Days Week Highs & Lows by sbtnc Certainly, this indicator will facilitate the process of identifying these points, but it will not identify all of them. -----Remember, like everything in trading, this needs to be combined with other confluences. It won't work by itself.----- Explanation of the example presented in the chart. I had some strong confluences indicating that the price was likely to have a bullish move. As seen in the COT report, there was aggressive selling of JPY. One of the things that helped me take this trade with confidence is that, as you can see in the circle, there was a weekly and monthly high together without being cleared. This created a double top pattern. Since this was such a liquid point, it gave me the confidence that the price would move towards this point before changing direction. And it did exactly that after consolidating for several days. These liquidity points can be used as confluence in our analysis, as well as a potential take profit level.
Education
by Wiiso
3
$BTCUSD SOPR, BFX Longs and Shorts, Greed, Liquidations. This is one of the multi-chart evolving dashboards I use daily for crypto trading. This dashboard attempts to distill a broad scope of data and sentiment into glance value charts. The goal with such dashboards is to seek to stack probabilities to be on the right side of the percentages in every trade. -- The top panel chart shows the SOPR (Spent Output Profit Ratio, (grey line, using the symbol $BTC_SOPR) overlay vs $BTCUSDT (Binance, in blue). The SOPR is a very simple indicator. It is the spent outputs expressed as a ratio and shown as an oscillator on the chart. The Bitcoin SOPR is the realised dollar value divided by the dollar value at creation of the output. Or simply: price sold divided by price paid. SOPR showing under value 1 means that the on chain data has recorded a net realised loss for "spent" Bitcoin. SOPR showing over value 1 means net profit. Renato Shirakashi appears to be the inventor of SOPR for BTC, and he writes about SOPR: "In this analysis two important psychological turning points that significantly change the supply of bitcoin are going to be described by introducing a new oscillating indicator that signals when these major supply changes occur, using blockchain data." I interpret this reference to the psychology of "weak hands" getting flushed out of the market by selling at a loss as shown when SOPR sits below 1 for extended periods of time (bear), and when all the weak hands have left the market, we find a bottom. Because I am an impatient learner, I needed further examples to understand fully. If someone sells you 1 Bitcoin at $50,000USD, that transaction is recorded on the blockchain. If you then sell it for $25,000USD, that is now a spent output which is obviously a negative 0.5 ratio, and would contribute to a SOPR lower than the value 1. Interestingly the SOPR tends to be very close to the value 1 nearly always. Which means that the aggregated data of all spent outputs is nowhere near as extreme as the example I gave (although I'm sure there are plenty of retail traders who bought the high and sold the bottom at a 50% loss). If we rewind to extended periods of low points in the SOPR ratio, extended negative ratio periods coincide with low points. In the past 5 years the lowest ratio was around 0.88, which was December 2018, when the price of Bitcoin was heading lower than $4k USD. That particularly brutal bear market lasted 18 months and you can see that the SOPR was below value 1 for nearly the entire time, indicating that there was a long tail of weak hands realising losses the entire time. --- Also present on the top chart is a brilliant little free indicator called Liq.Levels , wtf is all I can say, this a masterpiece of long/short liquidation data based on market maker behaviour in this case Binance's perpetual BTC/USDT leveraged futures (one of the most active retail leverage platforms). On this layout I have hidden all but the 25x liquidation points both short and long as it captures the widest spread and for the simplest visual as this is a glance-dashboard, on a single panel layout you can view the 50x and 100x which are tighter spreads. Liq.Levels also filters for a minimum of one million USD, so this is real value the market makers are getting out of bed for, essentially these levels are where the market maker really wants to push the price to. If you're new to leverage (don't do it! just buy at spot!), the reason they do this is to hunt the longs and the shorts and cause maximum liquidations (are you still trading with leverage?!). --- The second panel is the famous Bitfinex Longs (green) and Shorts (red) . You can see currently the longs, since around the $39000 level went parabolic. The shorts are just tiny in comparison. The data from Bitfinex seems less erratic than those from other exchanges, so if you find looking at longs and shorts ratios useful, I'd suggest also looking at other websites to see the other major exchange long and short activity, liquidations, and ratios. This info is used to monitor large moves by leveraged traders. While Bitfinex is not the best measure here (ideally you would want all major exchanges aggregated longs vs shorts, but I have not found such indicators on TV, only Bitfinex), you can check the data by comparing it to another exchange, for example Binance you can see that parabolic move the Longs made from the 11th of July to around the 14th of July (while the BTC price fell off a cliff from $30k to $20k), where the ratio of Longs vs Shorts on Binance also skewed heavily to the Long side. This is another way to stack a probability. As the Longs level off and get flushed out (usually by mass liquidation!), this is another variable to find support or resistance. For example you can see the levelling off around 12 May 2022, Bitcoin's price found a short term bottom at $29k. Similarly and most recently you can see as the Longs levelled off from a hectic run up in the mid June 2022 selloff, the price found a short term bottom around $20k. You could say that recently or commonly this is a contrarian indicator, assuming that smart money is seeking to liquidate the maximum possible leveraged positions, so we can assume that generally these leveraged retail traders will largely make incorrect bets most of the time, hence historically as soon as Shorts leave the market, the price spikes up, and vice versa. So, another thing to watch. --- Next we have a Crypto Fear & Greed Index , which as you can see nearly always oscillates in a tight rhythm with Bitcoin's price action. Above 75 (green dotted line) is extreme greed, below 25 (red dotted line) extreme fear. There are quite a few websites that attempt to measure crypto Fear & Greed, and even a variety of different indicators on TradingView, but this was the clearest visually I could find here. The inputs on this version according to the coder are stable coin flows (flight to safety), coin momentum (top 18 coin price relative to 30 day averages), and top 18 coin price high over the previous 90 days. So, it's interesting that despite this being at face value a rather complicated set of data with many inputs, that it just looks like a carbon copy of the Bitcoin chart. Bitcoin has a gravity that is inescapable for all things crypto right now. The difference between looking at this indicator and simply looking at Bitcoin's chart is that it flattens out the action and has a set floor and a ceiling. You can see historically that the best buy times were when fear was at its "height" (where the yellow line is at its lowest). Another way to stack probabilities. At time of writing, is this a great time to buy? Fear appears to be leaving the market, we haven't had a commensurate price move up, so I'd be cautious. Like all these indicators, you can just overlay Bitcoin's price line and backtest the correlation in a few seconds. Buying when fear is at a maximum is usually easier said than done, though! --- Lastly we have Liquidations by Volume , as per the coder this "shows actual liquidations on a per-candle basis by using the difference in volume between spot and futures markets." Blue line is futures volumes, yellow are spot volumes. The code for this indicator shows that it is the same BTCUSDT Perpetual Future's contract from Binance that we have in the Liq.Levels indicator, perfect. Worth noting is that the community of coders at TradingView is a trader's dream. These sorts of customisable dashboards you can build are high value. Having worked for the largest international institutions I find many of these indicators are institutional grade and they have just a few hundred users sometimes, pretty crazy how early in the adoption curve we are with this. If you haven't experienced the "other side" of trading, compared to regular equities forex futures etc the TradingView tools and the crypto data and exchanges are just lightyears ahead. Back to why look at liquidations? As institutions come into the market, and retail wallets on exchanges like Binance and many others continue to use leverage, the action in the derivative (in this case $BTCUSDTPERP) can and often does drive the price of the underlying. Market makers hunt the maximum liquidations, always. The market context is highly relevant here. During volatile periods it is a swinging contrarian indicator. If there has been massive green bars showing short liquidations pushing the price up, then we could be forming/hitting resistance levels and can see reversal/selloffs, and vice versa if there are massive red bars showing long liquidations pushing the price down, this can be hammering out support levels and we look to bounce. The longs and the shorts really do seem to be taking turns getting liquidated right now. Also of relevance is the price action relative to the liquidations. Obviously if an institutional candle pushes the price up or down, there will be mass liquidations. But another scenario that occurs is when are light volumes on the derivatives such as $BTCUSDTPERP we have under the microscope here, but we have large Bitcoin price movements, then the reasons for the move can be understood differently, and we can use this and other contexts to draw conclusions such as for example a scenario where price goes up with light liquidations and derivative action, which could be interpreted as much stronger hands holding coins rather than simply margin calls. --- Good luck!
BEducation
by dreamalittle
10
How to not loose your life savings? Risk management☠️You've probably heard statistic that 90% of traders lose their deposit in the first 3 months. Sometimes it's pocket money, sometimes salary, and sometimes life savings. Once I saw a message in a traders group from a frustrated 55 year old man who had lost all of his savings of the last 20 years of working as a security guard in a supermarket just in ONE MONTH by trading crypto. There are plenty of stories like that, and I give you my word that most of them happen due to a lack of risk management . What is risk management? Risk management is the collection of rules that prevent you from losing substantial part of the deposit in a single day or week. Where there are no rules, there is chaos; where there are rules, there is order. When a trader has no rules, he's just gambling. That's what happens to most beginners - they hear that there's some cool coin worth buying, and in a month they'll be driving a Lambo and moving to a mansion on the Côte d'Azur. Such a newcomer may indeed be lucky at first, and he will attract dozens of other hodlers with his success, but there is a problem with such a strategy: Math There is never a 100% guarantee that any asset will grow; there is always a chance of failure. Question for you: if there is a 10% chance of losing, is it worth risking your entire deposit to double it with a 90% chance? In a vacuum Yes, but let's imagine that the same opportunity happens again. Would you take that risk? What about the next one? This is how we come to the rake that almost all beginners step on. Even if the chance of losing money is negligible, repeat this situation over and over again and you will once fail 100%. Go to Reddit WallStreetBets and you can easily find dozens of stories of people who were lucky in the beginning when they only had $20,000, and then they lost everything they gained in one day (sometimes it was millions of dollars). Even the smartest person gets dizzy from a huge sum, and without strict rules such a person will 100% lose his deposit in trading. What happens after a trader loses his deposit? In such a situation a trader experiences the “ 7 stages of accepting death ”. Let's take the example of, say, Joe (name changed). Joe got interested in crypto a month ago when his brother told him at a family dinner that he managed to buy himself a new car with bitcoin profits. He told Joe how to sign up for an exchange and helped him make his first deposit of $1,000. A month later Joe figured out how to open positions on Binance and learned how to use free trading ideas from TradingView. With their help he managed to double in the first week by buying a coin in the game and, believing in himself, he decided to play big, pouring the $10000 of family's savings into his account, of course, in secret from his wife. 1-2. Shock and Denial. Joe gets up in the morning, and, as usual, first thing in the morning he takes out his phone and checks his portfolio on Binance. It turns out that overnight his main asset, Luna, collapsed from $80 to $5. He has lost half of his deposit, but decides it's no big deal and it's a great opportunity to average out his position. He quickly decides to borrow money from relatives, promising to pay it all back in a week. After all, if the price goes back up, he'll be a millionaire. 3-4. Disappointment and Depression. All day long Joe stares at the screen and watches the price, but it is not going up. Moreover, it plunges and is already trading at $1 apiece. Toward evening, the veil finally falls from his eyes, and he begins to understand the reality of the situation: - His and his friends' life savings are lost. - Undermined trust of relatives. - An almost guaranteed divorce after the woman learns about the lost funds. - Years of work down the drain. He cannot help but cry under the weight of the real facts, though he has not done so for years. A woman leaves him, taking his children with her. His parents and friends stop communicating with him. He is left alone, without any support and with huge debts behind his back. 5-7. Experiment, solution, acceptance. Weeks, perhaps months, pass. Joe gets used to his new life. He made a mistake, paid for it, and will be paying for it for years to come. He realizes he has no choice, so he just accepts reality. All he can do now is learn from his mistakes and not make them in the future. What proper risk management looks like: Ten years later, Joe has paid off all his debts and is much wiser, as evidenced by his decision to take professional training in trading before doing it again. There he learns what risk management is and lays out his plan: - Risk per trade is 1%. You have to misjudge 100 trading situations in a row to lose your deposit, which is almost impossible. - The minimum ratio of risk to profit is 1:3. This means that every time he is right, he earns 3% to the deposit, and it is enough for him to be right in only one out of three cases, to be at breakeven. - You cannot lose more than 3% in a day. It forces you to choose trades more responsibly and levels out the possibility of tilt, having lost money due to emotionalism. - You must not lose more than 9% in a week. If the market is not going your way for a couple of days in a row, then the problem is with you and your inability to adapt. It's better to take a break and come back later with a fresh perspective. With this approach, Joe trades responsibly and learns from his mistakes effectively. In a couple of months he becomes a profitable trader and celebrates his first victories. Subsequently, he will become a successful trader and someday teach someone else the miracle of risk management 😉
Education
by Artem_Dishel
4
Only Strategy You Ever Need! .. Liquidity Build&SweepHello everyone! Liquidity is the main force that moves all markets, understand it well, and everything becomes clearer... Liquidity, simply, is "where orders are resting". Sometimes it is clear, other times not. So you have to look really well into where we have relative equal highs (sell-side) or lows (buy-side).Does that mean to jump into buying below relative equal lows/selling above relative equal highs right away? Of course no. As explained above, most of the time we have an indication as to whether the Market is responding as it shouldmd or not. Like a rejection or multiple rejections or a candle pattern or whatever.. you should see and indiction in price action, not indicators. Also pay attention to time frames. Equal highs/lows should not be treated the same way in small and big time frames... At least 15-min timeframe is recommended... Your comments are highly appreciated... Please don't forget to ▶️ FOLLOW & ▶️LIKE if you found my tutorial a help to you... Great content is to come yet.. hopefully.. Thanks Guys!
Education
by MST_Trader
2
Elevate Your Trading | How to Track Liquidity and How to TradeEver thought a price moves because it's on support level or below a resistance level? Or because your favourite indicators show a buy/sell signal and you want the price to see the same and move in you favourite direction? A Big No, dear. That simply won't happen... The main gyrator of the market is "Liquidity" What is liquidity? Liquidity, in very simple terms, is where stops are. And that's (mainly) below relative equal lows or above relative equal highs... So you're now maybe thinking, "well, that's why I get stopped out just before the price moves violently in my previous direction.." Exactly, that's it... Learn how to see where liquidity is resting and how to to become engaged in a good trade... That's exactly what I want you to do... And here is one lesson of many that I will post.. in addition to live calls when I see high-probability setups... I will turn your eyes to it... Ther are a lot more to come, so don't forget to ▶️ LIKE ▶️ FOLLOW to keep updated with everything I post.. Let me know in the comments what you wanna be the second lesson on.. Good Luck&Be Safe
Education
by MST_Trader
1