Setups, Planning and RISK: How to MANAGE your RISK vs REWARD📉Hi Traders, Investors and Speculators of Charts📈
For today's post, we're diving into the concept " Risk-Reward Ratio "
We'll take a look at practical examples and including other relevant scenarios of managing your risk. What is considered a good risk to reward ratio and where can you see it ? This applies to all markets, and during these volatile times it is an excellent idea to take a good look at your strategy and refine your risk management. Let's jump right in !
You've all noticed the really helpful tool " long setup " or " short setup " on the left-hand column. This clearly identifies the area of profit (in green), the area for a stop-loss (in red) and your entry (the borderline). It also shows the percentage of your increases or decreases at the top and bottom. It looks like this :
💭Something to remember; It is entirely up to you where you decided to take profit and where you decide to put your stop loss. The IDEAL anticipated targets are given, but the price may not necessarily reach these points. You have that entire zone to choose from and you can even have two or three take profits points in a position.
Now, what is the Risk Reward Ratio expressed in the center as a number.number ?
The risk to reward ration is exactly as the word says : The amount you risk for the amount you could potentially gain. NOTE that your risk is indefinite , but your gains are not guaranteed . The risk/reward ratio measures the difference between the entry point to a stop-loss and a sell or take-profit point. Comparing these two provides the ratio of profit to loss, or reward to risk.
For example, if you're a gambler and you've played roulette, you know that the only way to win 10 chips is to risk 5 chips. Your risk here is expressed as 5:10 or 5.10 .You can spread these 5 chips out any way you like, but the goal of the risk is for a reward that is bigger than your initial investment. However, you could also lose your 5 and this will mean that you need to risk double as much in your next play to make up for your loss. Trading is no different, (except there is method to the madness other than sheer luck...)
Most market strategists and speculators agree that the ideal risk/reward ratio for their investments should not be less than 1:3 , or three units of expected return for every one unit of additional risk. Take a look at this example: Here, you're risking the same amount that you could potentially gain. The Risk Reward ratio is 1, assuming you follow the exact prices for entry, TP and SL.
Can you see why this is not an ideal setup? If your risk/reward ratio is 1, it means you might as well not participate in the trade since your reward is the same as your risk. This is not an ideal trade setup. An ideal trade setup is a scenario where you can AT LEAST win 3x as much as what you are risking. For example:
Note that here, my ratio is now the ideal 2.59 (rounded off to 2.6 and then simplified it becomes 1:3). If you're wondering how I got to 1:3, I just divided 2.6 by 2, giving me 1 and 3.
Another way to express this visually:
In the first chart example I have a really large increase for the long position and you can't easily simplify 7.21 so; here's a visual to break down what that looks like:
If you are setting up your own trade, you can decide at what point you feel comfortable to set your stop loss. For example, you may feel that if the price drops by more than 10%, that's where you'll exit and try another trade. Or, you could decide that you'll take the odds and set your stop loss so that it only triggers if the price drops by 15%. The latter will naturally mean you are trading at higher risk because your risk of losing is much more. Seasoned analysts agree that you shouldn't have a value smaller than 5% for your stop loss, because this type of price action occurs often during a day. For crypto, I would say 10% because we all know that crypto markets are much more volatile than stock markets and even more so than commodity markets like Gold and Silver, which are the most stable.
Remember that your Risk/Reward ratio forms an important part of your trading strategy , which is only one of the steps in your risk management program. Dollar cost averaging is another helpfull way to further manage your risk. There are many more things to consider when thinking about risk management, but we'll dive into those in another post.
A little bit more in-depth explanation on Dollar-Cost-Averaging here:
And Finally, the last tool I'll give away today is an absolute MUST for all traders . Here's how to successfully set-up your own portfolio ratios:
If you found this content helpful, please remember to hit like and subscribe and never miss a moment in the markets.
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CryptoCheck
Longsetup
Mastering Risk Management: Guide from TOP investorWelcome to the comprehensive guide on mastering risk management in cryptocurrency trading. In this detailed tutorial, we'll walk you through the essential principles of calculating stop losses, determining risk percentage per trade, and strategically placing stops for optimal risk mitigation. Whether you're a novice or an experienced trader, understanding and implementing effective risk management is paramount for sustained success in the volatile crypto market.
Opening a Position on TradingView
Brief overview of TradingView and accessing the "projection" section for long positions.
A step-by-step guide on how to initiate a long position using TradingView.
The 5 Fundamental Principles:
Introduction to the five key principles of effective risk management.
1: Trend Following
2: Not Gambling but Trading
3: Entry after retest
4: Stick to your strategy
5: Don't overtrade
Calculating Stop Losses
2.2 Risk Percentage Per Trade:
Explanation of the concept of risk percentage per trade (e.g., 0.5% of the trading capital).
Position sizing is the process of allocating a specific percentage of your crypto assets for trading, with the goal of managing risk effectively. To calculate your position size:
Determine Your Risk Per Trade:
Decide the percentage of your total account value you're comfortable risking on a trade.
Typically advised to risk 1–3% of your trading balance per trade.
For example, with a $5,000 balance and a 2% risk, you'd only lose $100 per trade.
Set Your Stop-Loss:
Determine your stop-loss level, the point at which you exit a trade if it moves against you.
The stop-loss helps control losses and is crucial for risk management.
Consider Position Size:
Use your risk percentage and stop-loss to calculate the position size.
Position size varies based on the distance of the stop loss; it's smaller for wider stops and larger for tighter stops.
Proper position sizing ensures consistent risk, regardless of the trade amount.
By following these steps, you can strategically size your positions, balancing risk and potential rewards in your crypto trading endeavors.
Strategic Placement of Stop Losses
Hiding Behind Local Lows:
The rationale behind placing stop losses just below local lows for effective risk containment.Beneath Manipulation Zones:
Strategic placement of stop losses under zones susceptible to manipulation.
The importance of avoiding regions where price is unlikely to return if manipulation has occurred.
Practical Examples
The Anatomy of a Good Stop Loss:
Visual representation of a well-placed stop loss using real-life chart examples.
4.2 Pitfalls of Poorly Placed Stop Losses:
Analysis of common mistakes in stop loss placement and their consequences.
Conclusion: Empowering Your Trading Journey
As we conclude this in-depth guide, remember that effective risk management is the cornerstone of successful trading. From understanding the basics of stop losses to strategically placing them based on market dynamics, each step contributes to minimizing potential losses and maximizing gains. Implement these principles in your trading strategy, adapt them to your risk tolerance, and embark on a journey of informed and calculated trading decisions.
💡 Mastering Risk | 📊 Setting Stop Losses | ⚖️ Calculating Risk Percentage | 🎯 Strategic Placement | 📈 Empowering Your Trades
💬 Engage in the discussion: Share your experiences with risk management, ask questions, and join a community committed to fostering intelligent and secure trading practices. 🌐✨
Stock Market Logic Series #4The Puppet Master in his best work.
Once you see him, you can't unsee him.
Whether you are a day trader or a stock investor, you should know where the bigger player that plays the stock intends to buy or sell the stock.
If he intends to buy the stock, the stock will eventually go UP.
If he intends to sell the stock, the stock will eventually go DOWN.
You should always have in mind the following perspective:
The bigger player AKA the Puppet Master, has unlimited amounts of money.
He controls the market. If you view the market in this way, you will get the insight that if you think of yourself as having unlimited money to use, what would you do???
- You should make an experiment in TradingView Demo, and play as if you have unlimited money. You will get a lot of insight to the mind of the puppet master, just from this experience only.
- You would try to buy out, all the other players and seduce them to sell the stock to you.
- You buy out other people, by increasing the price up by pressing on the ASK, so people will take small profits.
- You would try to shake out, using fear, to make other players sell the stock to you.
- You shake people out by stopping buying on the ASK, and only willing to buy what other people willing to sell, you have time, you know you at any time can move the stock up, no matter how hard it went down. You move the stock up at any time by pressing hard on the ASK buy button.
- Having unlimited money does not create stocks, it has to come from someone else. You need volume, so you could buy stock from weak players. As stated you have your ways of doing the above.
-There is no selling and buying simultaneously, you have your campaign of buying and then of selling. Never do both at the same time. You thinking big, making serious money from the markup and the markdown of the stock.
Once you understand this perspective, by looking at the volume, you can have a very good guess of what the bigger player or Puppet Master is doing. You see where he creates volume and where he has no volume, so he needs to respond (by buying aggressively on the ASK, and pushing the stock up).
Chart is also self-explanatory
Follow for more
Stock market logic, volume analysis, chart patterns :)
Stock Market Logic Series #1The purpose of this series is to provide insight into what price is likely to do...
and more vital... what price is not likely to do... (since X is the cause and X is not existing, hence Y will not happen...)
The chart is self-explanatory.
IF no-one cares about the stock THEN no one will put money into it (no volume) THEN it will not rise.
The BIG question is, at a certain overextended place, the price is rising, even though, everyone is at a loss on this stock. why NOT crush into a price of $1 in one sharp move?
Can we "KNOW" that we are in an overextended place?
When you have stock market logic behind you, you will be more confident to take trades.
FTR Setup - LongWhat is FTR?
FTR in forex refers to fail to return. An important price action term used to do technical analysis of currency pairs in forex.
Simply by its mean, price broke an important level but failed to return from that level. It is called FTR (fail to return).
In the picture, I tried to explain this important trading setup simply and completely.
What Does the Inverted Hammer Candlestick Pattern Mean? Hello Traders!
Have you ever wondered when will a strong trend end? Do you struggle to spot candlestick patterns that potentially signal when the bulls or bears might take over?
Take a look at this example of EUR/CAD and let's see how the trade plays out! :)
About the Inverted Hammer Candlestick Pattern and Why It Forms:
The Inverted Hammer is a bullish reversal candlestick pattern. It occurs when the price has been falling and suggests the possibility of a reversal. Its long upper
shadow shows that buyers tried to bid the price higher. However, sellers attempted to push the price back down. Since the sellers weren't able to close the price any
lower, this is a good indication that everybody who wants to sell has already sold. And, if there are no more sellers, who are left? Buyers!
And just an important observation, the Inverted Hammer has a small real body, and has a large upper shadow with a small or no lower shadow (also known as "wick").
Would you like to receive more "live charting" tutorials like this?? Comment below and let us know! :)
Happy Trading!
Crucial Zones Testing In BankniftyLook at the bigger picture.
On the chart itself Banknifty is stuck between a significant support and resistance zone. For all those who are waiting for going long on banknifty, a close above this level might decide the future. Also, if you look at RSI it is in the key support zone . If RSI trends upward after taking support at this level long positions can be initiated. On lower time frame if the ascending triangle breaks successfully then upward momentum will be confirmed. ( There might be chances of triangle breakout failure for short term as seen in USDINR)
This setup might take a few weeks to occur or could never happen if the above zones break easily due to any reason. Wait for confirmations then initiate a long position in this scary bearish market only if you believe in your setup.
This explanation is only for educational purpose and isn't any kind of recommendation. Don't take any action based on this explanation itself. Consider your financial advisor before taking any trades.
Thanks for your time. Happy Trading
The Game of Charts: Trade setup BITFINEX:BTCUSD
My chart speaks louder than words.
Daily bitcoin technical analysis with fewer words and more information so that you can have maximum information just with a glance without wasting any time.
Disclaimer:
This is purely a technical analysis and it is to be used for entertainment purposes only. This is not a financial advise to buy or sell Bitcoin and I am not a financial advisor. Do your own research before investing.
AHEAD OF FOMC TRADE + CURRENCY CORRELATION EXPLANATIONHi traders,
I recently checked my long trade at EUR/GBP and got an interesting idea. I wanted to share with you not only about the mechanics & reason behind my trade but also about the currency correlation between USD, EUR & GBP that can some-how works in my favor. (Assuming we see some "Weakness" in USD when Market reacted to the Fed statements).
The Trade : In this particular trade I'm using a very simple strategy that I developed called S M Fibs, which basically a strategy that is using Structure, MA, and Fibonacci as its combination of rules. I also required a supportive higher time-frame bias (uptrend on daily chart) in order to take this trade. Entry, SL and TP are as seen on the chart.
The Currency Correlation : We know guys that USD and EUR overall correlated negatively (similar with the USD and GBP) that means we can expect the price of EUR and GBP to rise if the price of USD is going lower. Now, keep in mind that the level of negative correlation between EUR and USD is higher than the one on GBP and USD, because of that statistically speaking we can expect the EUR to move higher than the GBP when USD move lower. That would be translated into EUR/GBP going up which means helping me to reach my target.
So, that's it for today guys. Hope this one's helpful as well as educational.
Regards
Fedro Christian