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Dark Pool Buy Zones Explained with Pro Trader Nudge SignalsThis lesson is about how to identify when a hidden quiet accumulation of a stock is underway and how to prepare for the momentum runs that follow. NYSE:DIS is our example for today. Dark Pool activity is explained in detail. Alternative Transaction System (ATS) Venues are called Dark Pools of Liquidity. A Buy Zone is an extended period of hidden accumulation of often millions of shares of stock over several weeks to months. Professional traders use these buy zones to enter on the penny spread and instigate a trigger of HFT gaps to the advantage of the pro trader. Learn how you can profit from this activity for swing trading or position trading.
NYSE:DISEducation
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
1
What Is Money Flow In & Out of a Stock? And Why Should You Care?Professionals often speak of money flowing in or out of a stock, but how can that be if there is an equal number of buyers and sellers? It is because “Money Flow” comes from the balance of the lot sizes. There are four possible positions in any one stock: Buy Buy to Cover Sell Sell Short Each investor and trader in the stock has their own separate agenda. Each may come from a different Market Participant Group. There are now 9 Stock Market Participant Groups, starting from those who buy first, at the bottom of a new upward cycle: The giant Buy Side Institutions who invest Mutual and Pension Funds and/or create ETFs and other kinds of stock market derivatives. The Sell Side Institutions, aka the big banks and major market makers Wealthy Individual Investors Corporations Institutional/ Pro Traders High Frequency Traders (HFTs) Small Funds Individual Small-Lot Investors, Investment Groups and Individual Retail Traders Odd-Lot Investors Buyers are anticipating that the stock is going to move up. Their stock order types span the spectrum, for example: Market Orders, Limit Orders, Stop Orders. Buy to Cover Orders are placed by traders who sold short and are now taking profits. Those who are selling the stock are anticipating that the stock is going to move down. In an uptrending stock, this is profit-taking near the top of the run. It can also be similar in a downtrending stock because the seller is afraid that the stock is going to move down more, and they have been holding through what they thought was a short retracement. Most of these stock order types will be “Sell at Market” (SAM). Sell Short Traders are anticipating that the stock is going to move down, and they can place a variety of orders just like the buyers. Both Buyers and Sell Shorters are entering the trade, while Buy to Covers and Sellers are exiting the trade. It is the mix of these different types of buying and selling coupled with the kind of investor or trader and the size of their share lots that causes money to flow in or out of a stock. If the buyers are mostly large lots and the sellers are mostly small lots, who is in control? The buyers purchasing large lots . This is because, at some point, there will not be enough small-lot sellers, and those who are Selling Short will turn and start Buying to Cover, creating more of a shortage of sellers. Consequently, this will put more pressure on the buy side. There are always latecomers to a stock run, and they are usually small-lot buyers. As the stock moves up in price, more of the small-lot buyers will step in, pushing the price up even further. Most small-lot buyers typically use a “Buy at Market” Order, which is the worst kind to use to control the entry price. As the stock moves up further in price, the last of the Short Sellers will panic and Buy to Cover, causing the stock to gap up or jump even higher. This then triggers the large-lot buyers to start selling for profit. As profit-taking begins, the stock dips in price. This causes the odd-lot buyer, who is the last in the market participant cycle to buy, to rush into the stock and buy because they have been told to “Buy the Dip.” By now, the news media has been talking about this stock and its great run. Consequently, the odd-lot uninformed investor finds the dip irresistible and buys on pure emotion without any analysis of the stock. This causes the final gap up and exhaustion pattern. Now, while all of those odd-lot latecomers are buying, who is selling to balance the equation? Market Makers are Selling Short and the Smart Money, who were the first to enter, are selling to take profits. Suddenly, the large lots are now shifting to the downside, and what happens? The control switches to the sellers who are moving larger lots. Now, money is flowing out of the stock, yet the price may go up briefly before a downtrend develops. Large lots are usually wiser investors and traders who know more than the other investors and traders. So the giant Buy Side Institutions investing Mutual and Pension Funds, who have access to information often not yet available to Individual Investors and Retail Traders, are called the Smart Money. It can be assumed that the smaller the lot size, the less the investor or trader knows and understands about the market. As smaller lots move in, a shift of power occurs due to the large lots moving to the sell side, and thus money shifts to flowing out of the stock. As the stock collapses and reaches a price or equilibrium near a base or bottom, those smaller lots who held through the collapse reach an emotional point of extreme pain of loss and begin to sell in panic. In response, the Smart Money and Market Makers switch roles again, Buying to Cover their profitable shorts and buying to hold as the stock moves up again. Summary: Every time you take a position in a stock, there are also three other positions in that same stock. You need to be aware of each of these and make sure that you are with the right group. Most of the time, traders who are having problems with their trades are simply trading with the wrong group. It is important, then, to learn about today's stock market structure and what I call the "Cycle of Market Participants." When traders can trade with the flow of the Smart Money, they have a decided advantage.
NASDAQ:AAPLEducation
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
Find Your Trading Style: What Type Of Trader Are You ? Good morning, trading family! Ever feel overwhelmed by all the different trading strategies out there? You're not alone, and today we’re here to help you figure out exactly which trading style suits you. In this video, we’ll explore the four main types of trading—Scalping, Day Trading, Swing Trading, and Position Trading—and give you real-life examples so you can see which one fits your personality and goals best. Whether you’re someone who thrives on fast-paced, high-energy trades or prefers to take a step back and play the long game, this video will give you the clarity you need to trade with confidence. My goal is to help you tailor your strategy so it feels natural and aligns with how you want to trade. If you find this valuable, please comment below and tell me which type of trader you think you are! Don’t forget to like or share this video so other traders can benefit from it too. Your feedback can make a huge difference for someone else in our trading family! Happy Trading Mindbloome Trader
Education
by Mindbloome-Trading
How to Make Money in the Stock Market and Keep ItI have always said that making money in the stock market is easy. It is learning how not to lose money that is the hard part of trading. To that end, when you find yourself in the surprising and often disturbing position of having made a whole lot of profit, or more profit than you expected in a very short time, you may be feeling overwhelmed. This is when you need to remember some basics about the art of trading. The primary factor in making money and keeping it depends upon your ability to stop trading to get your emotions under control again. Stop trading for at least a few days to a week. This sounds ludicrous, but my experience with teaching traders for more than 20 years is that those who follow this rule keep their big gains while those who do not, lose them back to the market and then some. The reason behind this is emotion. You are in a state of emotional flux, not thinking logically. You are thinking, “I’m brilliant, I’m invincible, I am going to be rich!” Well, sure, but not at this moment. At this moment, you are overly exuberant, you are thinking you can do no wrong, so you are likely to miss the parts of your analysis that would keep you out of high-risk setups. So, take a few days to cool off. The Stock Market is not going anywhere. Great trades present themselves over and over again. While you are recovering from the shock of a large gain, these steps can help bring you back down to Earth : Review your notes from some of the courses you have taken. Reading back over rules and the reasons behind them for making sounding trading decisions helps a lot to keep you grounded. Review your trading plan and your goals. If you don't have this written out somewhere, do it now. Most people refuse to write down their goals because of “fear of failure.” They are so afraid that they are not capable of reaching those goals that they do not try. Try to write down realistic goals, and adjust them as you see the need. We have a calculator that we provide to our students for help with this. Once you do the task of setting goals, you will find that they are achieved much of the time. Consider if you need to increase your goals. Continually pushing yourself to reach higher and higher levels of efficiency and profit helps to both dispel the fear of failure and propel you forward with perhaps stricter rules to achieve those higher goals. Trading is 50% skill which, in short, includes understanding your Trading Style and using proper Strategies for the current Market Condition. The other 50% is controlling emotion, which includes setting goals, keeping calm and centered, using discipline in your trading rules, having the determination to keep working until you are successful, maintaining your personal parameters while expanding them, and using logic rather than emotion. These are the major components of making money and keeping it.
NASDAQ:AMZNEducation
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
1
Top 4 Strategies for Position TradingPosition trading is a time-tested approach to the financial markets, allowing traders to profit from long-term trends. In this article, we’ll explore the top four strategies for positional trading, discuss the features of successful position traders, and briefly examine three essential indicators that can help with your position trading journey. What Is Position Trading? Position trading is a type of trading where a trader holds onto their positions for an extended period, typically ranging from weeks to months or even years. In contrast to day traders, who attempt to profit from intraday price fluctuations, or swing traders, who hold their positions for days or weeks, position traders adopt a more patient approach, allowing their trades to develop over a longer period. This can lead to potentially greater profits, as well as reduced transaction costs and stress associated with constant monitoring of the markets. The main goal of position trading is to capitalise on long-term trends in a given market, such as stocks, forex, or commodities. Position traders typically rely on a combination of fundamental analysis, technical analysis, and market sentiment to make their trading decisions. They use this analysis to identify and participate in trends on the daily, weekly, and monthly timeframes. Features of a Position Trader Successful position traders often exhibit unique characteristics that set them apart from other types of traders. Some of the key features are: - Patience: Position trading demands patience as traders wait for opportunities to arise and positions to develop over weeks, months, or years. Remaining calm and focused during market uncertainty is essential. - Discipline: Position traders must maintain discipline in their approach. This includes sticking to their trading plan, managing their risk effectively, and resisting the urge to exit their positions prematurely. - Long-Term Focus: Successful position traders concentrate on overall market direction, not short-term price movements, enabling them to identify opportunities that short-term traders might overlook. - Strong Fundamental Analysis Skills: Since fundamental factors often drive long-term trends, exceptional fundamental analysis skills are crucial for gauging where the market may be headed next. Positional Trading Strategies Now that we have an overview of position trading let’s examine four effective positional trading strategies. Support and Resistance Trading At the heart of many positional trading strategies are support and resistance. Support refers to a price level where buying interest is strong enough to overcome selling pressure, leading to a pause or reversal in a downward movement. Resistance is the opposite: a price level where sellers overtake buyers, prompting a stall or reversal in an upward trend. Support and resistance can be identified through various methods, including: - Examining historical turning points in the market - Identifying broken support/resistance, which may now act as resistance/support, respectively - Using trendlines - Using technical indicators, like Fibonacci retracements or moving averages. Position traders will usually highlight areas of support/resistance on the daily, weekly, or monthly charts in the direction of the broader trend, then enter a position when the price reaches the area. They may take profits at an opposing significant support/resistance level and set their stop losses beyond the area they entered at. Breakout Trading Breakout trading, as the name suggests, involves taking positions once these key areas of support or resistance are broken through. This approach can be particularly effective since it allows traders to potentially catch the start of a substantial move. Position traders will wait for a higher timeframe support/resistance level to break. To confirm breakouts, position traders often look for an increase in volume, which may indicate a surge in market interest and momentum. It’s also best to wait for the candle to close before entering the position, as this helps to confirm the breakout. Stop losses are usually set beyond a nearby swing point, while profits can be taken at a significant opposing level. As breakouts are generally part of a larger trend continuation, some traders may prefer to trail their stop losses at swing points to maximise profits. Pullback Trading Pullback trading is effectively an extension of breakout trading. However, instead of entering when the level is broken, traders wait for a retracement, allowing them to optimise their entry points and risk/reward ratio. A pullback occurs when the price temporarily moves counter to its broader trend before resuming its original direction. Position traders commonly look for a retracement to a previous area of support in a downtrend (expected to act as resistance) or resistance in an uptrend (expected to act as support). Alternatively, they may use the Fibonacci retracement tool. For confirmation that the area will hold, traders will often look for reversal candlestick patterns like hammers or shooting stars. For instance, position traders wait for a support/resistance level to be broken. However, they then observe the price action until a retracement occurs, watching for a reversal candlestick pattern. Once the pattern forms, they enter at the close of the candle. Profits can be taken at the high or low that originated the pullback or at a significant support/resistance level. Conversely, traders may prefer to trail their stop loss as the trend progresses. Triple Moving Averages Moving averages (MAs) are technical indicators that smooth out price data to reveal underlying trends. By combining multiple MAs, position traders can better understand where the price may be headed next. In this position trader’s strategy, we use the exponential moving average (EMA), which is slightly more responsive to recent price action. Simple moving averages (SMAs) are a good alternative. Want to see the difference for yourself? Hop over to FXOpen’s free TickTrader platform to find EMAs, SMAs, and a whole host of versatile trading tools. There are three components: a short-term EMA (20 periods), an intermediate-term EMA (50 periods), and a long-term EMA (200 periods). Combining the three allows us to account for both recent price changes and long-term trends. They are coloured blue, orange, and red, respectively, on the chart above. Trades can be taken when the short-term EMA crosses the long-term, but it’s best to wait for both the short-term and intermediate-term EMAs to break through the long-term in the same direction. In doing so, we have confirmation that trend momentum is picking up. Traders open a long position when the short and intermediate-term EMAs cross above the long-term one and open a short position when they cross below the long-term one. Stop losses can be placed just beyond the long-term EMA. The theory states that a profit can be taken when MAs cross over again. Position Trading Indicators Alongside the strategies listed, position traders use a variety of technical indicators to help identify and improve entries. Some of the most popular indicators employed by positional traders include: - Relative Strength Index (RSI): RSI is a momentum oscillator that shows overbought and oversold areas, helping traders spot potential reversals. - Bollinger Bands: Bollinger Bands are a volatility-based indicator that plots standard deviations of price. They can be used to identify impending trend reversals and periods of increased volatility. - On Balance Volume (OBV): OBV is a volume-based indicator that measures buying and selling pressure, allowing traders to confirm potential breakouts and trend reversals by analysing changes in volume. Final Thoughts In summary, position trading is a unique approach that removes much of the stress of intraday styles. If you’re ready to find the best positional trading strategy for you, consider opening an FXOpen account. You’ll be able to put these strategies to the test in over 600 markets, safe in the knowledge that you’re partnering with Traders Union’s Most Innovative Broker of 2022. Good luck! This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Editors' picks
Education
by FXOpen
8
What Is Position Trading? Definition and ExamplesIf you’re interested in trading but don’t have the time to day trade, position trading might be for you. In this guide, we’ll dive into the topic, answering the question, “what is position trading?” and providing some examples so you can develop your own strategy. Position Trading Definition To start, we need to define position trading. Position trading involves holding a trade for weeks, months, or even years to profit from a long-term price trend. Unlike day trading, which involves opening and closing positions within the same trading day, position trading requires a broader perspective and a more patient approach. There are similarities between swing trading and position trading, but it’s important to be aware of a few key distinctions. Swing traders also stay in positions for weeks or sometimes months, but they’re more concerned with capturing a move from one key technical area to another. As such, you may find swing traders that open and close a position over several days. In contrast, position traders are effectively trend-followers and look to capitalise on long-term trends until they reverse. Many trends in forex pairs, stocks, commodities, and other markets are driven by fundamental factors. Consequently, position traders emphasise macroeconomic and fundamental analysis more than short-term traders. Components of a Position Trader’s Strategy While position trading strategies are often unique to the individual trader, there are some commonalities between most positional traders. Fundamental Analysis As mentioned, position traders use fundamental analysis to guide their decision-making. This may involve analysing a company’s financial statements, examining interest rate differentials between two economies, and assessing the overall economic picture to determine the potential for an asset’s long-term growth or decline. Technical Analysis Technical analysis still plays a crucial role in a positional trader’s strategy. Technical analysis tools, like moving averages or oscillators, can help gauge the strength of a trend or provide insight into when a trend is reaching its peak. Other forms of technical analysis, like Fibonacci retracements and chart patterns, can help a position trader identify optimal entries. High Timeframe Charts As position traders hold trades for an extended period, they tend to look to the daily, weekly, and monthly charts to guide their trades. They may pay attention to lower timeframes, especially if looking for an entry, but their priority will be the higher timeframe charts. At FXOpen, we understand that you need the flexibility to assess the markets across many timeframes. That's why we offer charts ranging from 1-minute to monthly in our free TickTrader terminal, making it an ideal platform for position trading and more. Risk Management Risk management is an essential aspect of position trading. As a natural consequence of taking a long-term view of the market, position traders often use stop losses far wider than a day or swing trader to account for more significant price fluctuations. Some position traders also hedge their trades to mitigate their risk exposure further. Patience Lastly, position trading requires the patience and discipline to hold a trade through short-term market volatility and avoid impulsive decision-making. Usually, a position trader will create a clear plan of how and when they want to exit to keep themselves accountable. Advantages of Position Trading - Time Commitment: Positional trading is less active than other strategies, making it a suitable option for traders with other time commitments. - Reduced Market Noise: By taking a long-term approach and focusing on fundamentals, position traders can avoid the volatility and unpredictability of short-term trading styles. - Lower Costs: Position trading also has reduced transaction costs, as traders make fewer trades in a given year. This can result in lower commissions, fees, and taxes. Disadvantages of Position Trading - Opportunity Cost: Position traders hold trades for a long time, so they may miss out on short-term trading opportunities that can result in quick profits. - Higher Capital Requirements: Position trading often requires more capital investment than short-term trading styles to make the trade worthwhile, given that the stop losses are usually wider. - Emotional Control: Position traders need strong emotional control and discipline to avoid making impulsive decisions based on short-term market movements or emotions. This can be challenging for some traders, leading to losses or missed opportunities. Position Trading Examples Let’s look at two position trading examples in the forex and indices markets. USD/JPY Following runaway inflation in the US, the Federal Reserve began hiking interest rates in March 2022, pushing them to 0.5% after the constant 0.25% rate since March 2020. Meanwhile, Japan had relatively low inflation, and the Bank of Japan committed to its dovish interest rate stance. As a result, demand for the US dollar picked up and simultaneously dropped for the Japanese yen. While USD/JPY had been in an uptrend since the start of 2021, the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision in March and the following hikes kickstarted a strong bullish trend in the pair. Position traders could have used this interest rate differential to identify that USD/JPY would likely continue trending upwards and enter a long position to profit from the appreciating dollar and weakening yen. They could have used a simple trailing stop below key swing points, exiting when the trend reversed. Nasdaq 100 Similarly, the hawkish stance of the Fed led to a tumble across many US-based indices, but it particularly hurt the tech-focused Nasdaq 100. Tech companies are growth-focused and rely heavily on financing to achieve their goals. When interest rates rise, the cost of borrowing increases, resulting in restricted growth and reduced valuations. High inflation preceding the first interest rate hike had already prompted expectations of higher interest rates, leading to a fall in the Nasdaq 100 prior to the first hike. However, subsequent hikes led the index to around -30% from the end of March 2022 to November 2022. Anticipating that interest rates would continue to climb higher, a position trader might have used this expectation to their advantage, taking a short position as the market pulled back after the first decision. As with the USD/JPY example, a trailing stop here would have worked excellently. Embark on Your Position Trading Journey With FXOpen Now that you have a solid overview of what position trading is and how it works, you can put your knowledge into practice. After backtesting a few position trading setups, you may want to open an FXOpen account. With dozens of markets to pick from and the powerful TickTrader platform, you can start your position trading journey with confidence. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Education
by FXOpen
5 MOST POPULAR TRADING STRATEGIES OANDA:XAUUSD HI TRADER'S : I ALWAYS SAY THAT (90% TRADER'S LOSS 90% CAPITAL IN 90 DAY'S) The reason is that Lack Of Knowledge , Lack of Patience , Lack of proper Risk management You can Be among Those 10% Trader's , Those Are earning regularly From Market But For That You Need To be Disciplined Trader THERE ARE 5 MOST POPULAR TRADING STRATEGIES : 1. SCALP TRADING : Scalping is a trading style that specializes in profiting off of small price changes and making a fast profit off reselling. Scalping requires a trader to have a strict exit strategy Because one large loss could eliminate the many small gains the trader worked to obtain. 2. INTRA-DAY TRADING : Intraday trading means buying and selling stocks on the same trading day. Intraday trading is also known as Day Trading. Share prices keep fluctuating throughout the day, Intraday traders try to draw profits from these price movements by buying and selling shares during the same trading day. 3. SWING TRADING : Swing trading refers to the practice of trying to profit from market Swings of a minimum of 1 day and as long as several weeks. 4. TREND TRADING : Trend trading is a trading style that attempts to capture gains Through the analysis of an asset's momentum in a particular direction. When the price is moving in one overall direction, Such as up or down, that is called a trend. Trend traders enter into a long position when a security is trending upward. 5. POSITION TRADING : Position trading is a popular long-term trading strategy​ that allows individual traders to Hold a position for a long period of time, which is usually months or years NOTE : I HOPE YOU LIKE THE EDUCATIONAL POST , REMEMBER TO USE PROPER RISK MANAGEMENT WHILE TRADING.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by INVESTRONE
Position & Swing Trading: Weekly ChartsIf you're position or swing trading, it is a MUST to study weekly charts to confirm: 1. IF a bottom is developing 2. WHERE the bottom will complete ...to plan trades with strong reward/risk ratios. For example, let's take a look at EGLX, which had a gap up at open on its earnings release: 1. Note that today's gap up is from a lower low in the downtrend. This particular bottom is not confirmed just yet. When it makes a higher low is when there will be lower risk for an entry. 2. The first resistance is at 3.27, but there's stronger resistance at 4.44--once the stock's price sustains that level, then the bottom will be complete, which is the best time to consider position trade entries. Both resistance levels should be considered for swing trading potential... First ask: "Are there enough points to gain from your entry point to warrant the risk of the trade?" If no, then move on to the next opportunity; maybe put an alert at the next resistance level to revisit. If yes, then which resistance levels are likely to cause profit-taking? A step-by-step checklist that looks further than the entry is important for not giving back profits just as soon as you make them. Learn more at my website.
EEducation
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
Some of the most famous Soros investmentsHere are some of the most famous bets by the man that had years where he single-handedly made profits comparable to the annual GDP of countries like Chad, Zimbabwe, Haiti, and that is held responsible by many (delusional dunning kruger sufferers) for bringing down entire countries. ==> Thai Baht short right before the Asian financial crisis: SEA tried to abuse the system and paid the price Soros loves to look for dumb governments putting their hairy little hands into a country own business, such as with tariffs & capital controls. He also is (well maybe was) always on the lookout for dumb central banks pegging their currency, having forced floors. South East Asian countries did such things. The socialist governments helped out exporters with stimulus packages and a peg of their currencies to the USD to make it more favorable to exporters, to gain competitiveness against foreign countries. During the years leading up to the crisis they also accumulated huge foreign debt, I do not mean as assets but liability, they had massive debt. In 1995 governments of the USA (hey Bill Clinton years), Germany & Japan agreed to let the USD get stronger against the mark & yen. SEA banks/governments/economies were subject to more and more pressure, and in 1997 the ponzi scheme ended up collapsing under its own weight. Malaysian Prime Minister-Baghodler angrilly atacked Soros making crunchy anti-semitic comments, Soros explained that he shorted them months earlier and was actually a buyer during the price fall. Not sure politicians are intelligent enough to comprehend that subtility tbh. I think this is when Philippines banned him for life. Not very smart people probably think successful speculators are "wizards" that practice dark arts and some other silly supersticions 😏 This is when the west gave all kinds of lessons to asian countries on why they should not have too much debt, print imaginary money, take the pill, not do QE, etc... Everything those countries did themselves a few years later. ==> Yen & Nikkei: Ridiculous media & government fear mongering about Fukushima meant discounts on Japan Back in 2011 there was a nuclear leak in Japan (Fukushima) and oh boy here we go. All the dum dums making nuclear fallout calls. Fukushima was a JOKE, I can already hear "noo huge deal how dare you downplay bla bla bla" by idiots that cannot admit they were wrong. "The truth is finally coming out. Fukushima was a maximum radioactive event the worse possible level 7 let me come at you with my technical terms to make you scared and scientists agree you are not a science denier are you? The gov tried to hide it but we know the truth now it is much worse than Chernobyl and there will be a nuclear winter" yawn this aged well 😏 www.independent.co.uk www.sortirdunucleaire.org What I am calling a joke/hoax is all the pathetic claims made around it, not calling the accident itself a hoax duh. We are still all around and the yen got inflated and the nikkei is in a bull market since 2012. When the US & global economy will crash it will prob still remain above that bottom. ==> Herbalife: Same as CDO & MBS bears, Tesla bears, they get ran over. Soros knows this and so he bought Another crowded short story. Hordes of angry bears went heavy short on the MLM scheme, what they failed to realize is only idiots invested in it, and they cannot make money off of each other maybe. It is what it is, noobs never sell. In 2018 or 2019 Herbalife ended up getting in trouble with the SEC, and the share price crashed into a straight line 45% (.618) and then crashed again. And angry herbalife bagholders were featured on @bagholderquotes. As we are in a robinhood bubble the price went back up strongly again. Dumb retail is celebrating "hurray we showed them who boss" proud they won the battle of "who is the dumbest sucker out there to buy & hold worthless garbage". Terminal phase of every bubble. Druckenmiller has only made a few percents since the market bottom hahaha this guy sure painfully learned his lesson in 2000. I wonder if Dave Portnoy the self proclaimed "greater than Buffet" new stock captain has herbalife in his favorite stocks list? Sold the bottom and bought the top like a bawss. When this guy is wrong he is REALLY wrong. He lobbyed governments to shut down the economy right after he went short and he made money, people are blaming him. They might be right, maybe cheating is the only way he makes money. He is probably trying hard to get fame for a really big win, only way to wash away the shame of his enormous mistakes. ==> I do not know much about Soros losses, but there are other ones to look (laugh) at Bill Ackman most famous failure was his absolutely disastrous Valeant bagholding episode, which I described back in this idea in 2018. Yes, I remember every single one of the 763 ideas I posted. You need good memory in this game. All the updates too, of course. Price keeps falling but hey "I am right" (he was very very wrong too). Charts says bye bye and he holds the bag and hold and adds and holds. By the way both Druckenmiller & Ackman are billionaires so there is place for mistakes even awful ones. Do they deserve to be billionaires? Probably not. But they got there. Somehow. Probably being good at marketting and at the right place at the right time and leeching off great investors like Soros Icahn etc. And alot of leeching fees off investors by just shadowing markets and being slightly right in a normal distribution :/ Or every one else is so emotional, dumb, bad, that anyone that isn't a complete dog can make money 🤷‍♂ Ackman apologized for losing his investors money (ah so this is how, he takes 20% from the wins but investors eat the losses what a stupid system) and he said he "learned his lesson". Just look at the returns, he really just shadowed the S&P with leverage from 2004 to 2012! Then he started speculating at first as usual it went straight up and he probably got hyped, and then it went to zero xd (back where it started), it went straight up since 2019 maybe he learned how to trade after 20 years, or maybe the stock market will not go straight down like in 1930 but rather sideways and he will get bled out. It is amazing that some people manage to amass billions in investors/suckers money while doing nothing, until 2012 the returns were not uncorrelated returns, just shadow but higher with leverage. I guess that gets the attention of all the greedy people. "More number go up = better!". He probably has a good understanding of stocks and has some qualities (other than marketing/investor seduction). Or can just be bad do nothing and just got lucky not to blow up yet. In 2004-2012 when he was shadowing the market he did not lose as much when it went down, but this is just 1 thing, can easilly just be luck. 1 decision = random luck. Many = not luck. Since 2012 his PNL really just looks like a random myfxbook noob. We'll see. They are at 41% ytd and made 50% last year. Luck not luck? Him? His PMS? You really can't tell. Anyway there is no shortage of people to point & laugh at 🤭 Davey Global Day Trader... Delusional Dunning Kruger to the max "I am a legend the master the captain of the ship". static.seekingalpha.com I wish there was a video of Soros wrath when Druckenmiller got excited by the dot com bubble and messed up and then got kicked out. I just want to see an angry Soros get all verbal and all.
Education
by MrRenev
2
LTC / BTC Positional Trading The long-term trading channel 190%It is also worth noting that the coin is relevant for trading now! Now we are in an important zone from which long-term movement is decided! I chose the LTC / BTC pair as an example for positional trading. This coin works perfectly technically. To Bitcoin, the coin is held in a horizontal channel from the very beginning of trading. I think you understand that this is not an accident. In the crypto market of several thousand scam coins there are several such technical highly liquid reliable coins. Litecoin is one of them. It is the impressive profit for those who work in large sums. The ideal ratio of profit and risk. Clear trade. It is easy to predict further price movements. Positional trading is suitable for those who have already traded an impressive depot and are already tired of staring at the monitor and burning their time, spoiling their eyesight. For those who no longer get high from the excitement of management and so on. Because a large depot can in most cases be dispersed only by such methods. A person must have iron patience and an understanding of the market cycles. Because profits need to wait a long time. As you can see from the graph, for example, only one trend can last up to a year. Positional trading is the work on the trend on a long-term basis, on charts covering a large time scale. For its implementation, fundamental and technical analysis is often used. Position trading is suitable for all types of markets: cryptocurrencies, stocks, goods, Forex. In other words, position trading refers to a relatively long-term holding of a position in the direction of a global trend. Thus, position trading is an independent style, significantly different from others. Market participants can use this approach to hold short-term and long-term positions. Maintaining a position in the trend, and not work on small weekly fluctuations. This is the main difference from swing, which involves working on the basis of market cycles of several days. In positional trading, you can hold a trade for months or even a year or more (Dow Jones index), it all depends on the trend. Coins for positional trading are selected very carefully, they must be reliable, be closer to TOP or be this top as an example of Litecoin. There should be a real development of the project in the long term, with a strong team that really does something, and not only has a promise legend. It is very important that the coin you choose for positional trading be highly liquid. You can work (or rather need) as in long and short. In any direction the price you earn. If you are not working in short, then most of the position is HOLD on a WALLET! In such a trade where transactions are conducted 1-2 times a year, it makes no sense to risk a huge amount and keep coins on the exchange. Even if you are doing risk diversification through several liquid exchanges. Only the large time frame is important, we do not pay attention to small price fluctuations. The purchase / sale of an asset is made only upon confirmation of a change in trend. No hai and loy! Minimum prices and maximums will be left for hamsters. ____________________________________ Position Trading Rules: 1) A signal to enter a position is the beginning of a trend on a large timeframe (with a timeframe of 1 day or 1 week). 2) Exit from the transaction is carried out only if there are sufficient grounds for the end of the trend (trend change). _________________________________________ The advantages of positional trading. 1) Does not take into account small price changes, that is, does not require constant monitoring of the situation. 2) There is no need to be near the computer all the time. In positional strategy, the most important thing is a deep and thorough analysis, on the basis of which a further decision is made. 3) An open position simply needs to be monitored if there is a situation that can change the position or price. Positional trading strategy is an analysis of daily, weekly and monthly timeframes; holding an open position for at least a few days to several months. In simple terms, positional trading is a meaningful and balanced entry into a transaction based on holding a position in a trend. ____________________________________ The disadvantages of positional trading. 1) a long expectation of results that can actually be measured only after months or years; 2) high responsibility for each forecast and analysis, since it can take many days and weeks to hold the wrong position; 3) slow progress in trading (holding positions is good if the trader already has experience, but you won’t be able to gain it quickly by opening deals once a year); 4) the need for significant investment (you can get a tangible income from position trading only if you have a decent amount of money in the account). As a result, holding a position in certain cases is a significant advantage for an experienced trader, but fatal for beginner speculators.
Education
by SpartaBTC
3
Paper Portfolio vs S&P500 - IntroThis is the introduction to the video series here to grow the paper portfolio on TradingView in an attempt to beat the S&P500 in real time. The reasoning behind this is that it is usually difficult to start trading stocks especially because you don't know what you don't know. It generally takes a couple of years for a trader to make a whole bunch of mistakes, before reaching a level of understanding to see right vs wrong, and even then the trader still learns something new every day. It took me a couple of years to make even the tiniest sense of what was going on in the market and all along I thought was going to beat the slim odds and master the stock market in 3-5 months! I decided to make this as a way to further challenge myself and to show other traders who are struggling with the process. This will not be a one time "get rich quick" process with excessive risk-taking or gambling, but a more disciplined approach to trading without all the bs that floods the internet these days. Hopefully, the portfolio beats the S&P500, but if not we will live to fight another day (many large funds cannot beat the S&P500 so it's totally fine). Trades based on my personal trading strategy (detail about when and why certain trades are placed) including concepts about sticking to a trading plan, risk management and trading psychology. Monthly updates on the current state of the portfolio will be made starting from 09/06/18 and every month from that point onward . The goal is mainly to help other traders learn good things and do away with bad habits, and secondarily attempt to beat the S&P500 in real time Starting capital - $10,000 Risk per trade - 1% Max. positions at a time - 20 Investment style - Equities long only (no short-selling, only stocks >$7, technical analysis > fundamental analysis) Again, the stocks that will be shown will not be shown as investment advice but rather shown as a form of education only. Comment on what you would like to see or hear more about! Thanks and stay tuned (will try to keep videos 5-7 mins long)!
AMEX:SPYEducation
by themdtrader