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Battle-tested through the ups and downs of Etherium historyA trading strategy that's been battle-tested through the ups and downs of Eth's history. This strategy doesn't blink in the face of market chaos or get swayed by emotions. It's a calculated game plan that knows when to step in and when to step back. Compare that to emotional investing, where fear and greed call the shots. Imagine making decisions when you're on an emotional rollercoaster—buying high in excitement and selling low in panic. That's a recipe for disaster. A backtested risk-managed strategy, though, is like a cool-headed coach that sticks to the game plan no matter what. It's about discipline, rules, and consistency. So, do you want to ride the emotional wave or play the long game with a strategy that has been consistently profitable year on year since 2016 (start of Eth - substantiated by backtest data). Average annual net profit (substantiated by the backtest) 196% (No Leverage) & 661% (3x leverage) This year (Jan 2023 to Sep/15th/2023) has already generated 45.21% (no leverage) 144.93% (3x leverage) in net profit. This strategy does Not re-paint, No-look ahead bias. and 100% forward tested. Tradingview has a default caution for strategies that use the multitimeframes data. This does not apply to this strategy as all calculations are based on closed bars. So how does it work? Postions are entered based on RSI Divergence on Higher Timeframes and confirmed by the ATR. Stop Loss and Trailing ATR-based Take Profit:The strategy incorporates a risk management mechanism with a built-in stop loss set at 8%. Additionally, it employs a trailing take profit mechanism based on ATR. This means that as the trade moves in the desired direction, the take profit level adjusts itself based on the current volatility, allowing for gains to be secured as the trend progresses. SMI-based Re-entry after Stop-out: Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) is used as a re-entry signal if the trade is stopped out (i.e., the stop loss is triggered). This re-entry is contingent on higher timeframes and ATR still supporting the original trend, indicating that the initial stop-out may have been a false signal. Portfolio Reinvestment for Compound Growth: The strategy allocates 95% of the portfolio's capital to each trade. This approach maximizes the potential for compound growth, as a significant portion of the available capital is reinvested in each trade, provided that risk management rules are satisfied. This approach is appropriate for this strategy as strict risk management is applied and the winrate is almost 50% Accounting for Exchange Fees: Exchange fees, set at 0.1%, are factored into the strategy's calculations. This ensures that trading decisions take into account the cost of executing trades on the exchange. Avoiding Lookahead Bias and Repainting: The strategy is designed to prevent lookahead bias by making calculations based only on closed bars of price data. Lookahead bias occurs when future data is used to make past trading decisions, potentially leading to unrealistic expectations.
BITFINEX:ETHUSDEducation
by TradingAlgorithms
Ways to achieve greater profits It's not necessary to use heavy positions or hold onto trades in order to achieve greater profits. I want to emphasize the dangers of these two approaches again. Heavy positions - the most direct manifestation of this in the market is that even if you are in a relatively good position, once you are stopped out, the heavy position can lead to significant losses. Of course, it must be acknowledged that if you can correctly predict the direction, it can also bring significant returns. However, when weighing the two approaches, preserving capital should always be the first principle. Holding onto trades is even riskier. Once you encounter a one-way market, if you keep adding to your position, the result will be huge losses or even blowing up your account. Therefore, both approaches are not advisable. The correct approach is twofold. First, operate in markets with larger formations, using staged profit-taking and setting trailing stops to take advantage of greater market space with zero risk. By holding for the long term, you can maximize profits. Second, as the market continues to move, add to your position appropriately in situations where you already have profits, and then set stop-loss orders to protect your capital. For example, if you sell at the upper bound and the market later falls below the lower bound, the entire formation will turn downward. We understand that there is still a lot of room for the market to run, so if you have profits from your sell order at the upper bound and the formation begins to turn downward, you can use additional orders and stop-loss orders to hold onto the position with zero risk, thereby maximizing profits. Follow me for more interesting ideas that will greatly help your trading.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDEducation
by EagleEyeStrategy
Pro Tip: Trading Ichimoku Signals Confluence on Forex!Here's a great example of a clear uptrend using the Ichimoku cloud indicator. Popularized by the Japanese, I really like the clear trend-following visual that Ichimoku provides especially on the daily and weekly time frames for each it was originally designed by its creator, Goichi Hosoda. Once you have confirmed trends on the higher time frames via Ichimoku, the next step is to confirm entry timings by zooming in to the lower time frames, using your favorite trend-following signals (mine is Trend Pro). This provides great confluence and extra confidence when entering your trades.
Education
by Exponential-X
Quotes of a winning traderHi everybody! today we gonna focus on what is the mindset of a winning trader. what does he think and what differentiates him from a looser based on his way of thinking. We gonna check a non-exhaustive list of several quotes that may be interesting to know and remind. These quotes are all written on my notepad, I advice you to do the same: have a notepad with all the trading knowledge learn over the years. at first ----------> Dont forget to put a like and follow me if you want more content let's go ! 1)Trade what you see: its important to not have bias on trading, technical analysis allow you to have an idea of where the price may be heading and allow you to make a quick decision based on it. Your bias will only make you more confuse and may make you miss plenty of opportunities (as well as leading you to ruin). When you are going to analyse the market, dont forget to let your emotions behind you. 2)Plan your trade and trade your plan: as simple as it sounds. just draw a chart and trade it, if you dont have a plan you dont have rules and if you dont have rules you wont win money. 3)Trend is your friend + dont fight the FED: setups that follow the trend have more probabilities to be winners, therefore its better to favor bullish setups when trend is bullish and bearish setups when trend is bearish . Trend reversal setups are pleasing( a good ego booster) but keep it exceptional. also the "don't fight the fed" part correspond to stock market, when you know there is economical measures like Q.E just follow the movement. dont expect to be the top shorter, you'll need a lot of luck. 4)Trading is 80% psychology and 20% technical analysis: you surely listened to that one somewhere, its very famous. The winning trader have adquired strong rules of psychology and a solid mindset(they respect it) that brought them to become winners. these rules make them confident and peasible, they feel safe when working because they know odds are at their side as long they respect the rules. 5)Buy low and sell high: Buy low, sell high is a strategy where you buy stocks or securities at a low price and sell them at a higher price. This strategy can be difficult as prices reflect emotions and psychology and are difficult to predict. Traders, thus, use other tactics, such as moving averages, the business cycle, and consumer sentiment to help decide on when to buy and sell. 6)Cut your losses, let run the profit: The basic idea behind this particular saying is to encourage traders to get out of losing positions quickly, but have the patience to stay in winning trades and resist the tendency to sell winning positions early. Assuming the trader follows a sound trading strategy that has an edge over time, following this rule allows profits to accumulate over time, while drawdowns are kept at a minimum – resulting in a much more enjoyable trading experience. 7)Patience is key: One of the best cardinal rules and day trading advice is to be patient. Patience is key, during the day, there may be many opportunities. It is best to wait for the right opportunity pursuant to your specific rules and trading plan. Sometimes you won't make any trade at all, that's why it's not always easy being patient. Most of the time you will find yourself in profitable trades as long as your patient and vigilante. 8)Good trading habits + good trading plan + good trading rules: i think its clear, there is no need for more explnation to this one 9)Set and forget: is whereby you open a position with a pre-defined stop loss, take profit and entry location, and once the trade is activated, you let it go with no trade management. This means you let the trade run until it hits your take profit, or your stop loss. Hence the name ‘set and forget‘. you have an entry, an SL and a target so just let the price fluctuate, it'll give you a result at the end (loss or profit) there is no need to interact since you already have the parameters. 10)Trading is a game of probabilities: know your probabilities by heart. every winning trade know very well how to play with probabilities in order to achieve his goal of becoming successful. Dont forget to put a like and follow me if you want more content Thats all, I wish you the best. Have a nice week !
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by UnknownUnicorn41061907
5
Consistent Profitability, how long does it take?How long does it take to become consistently profitable as a trader? This is one of the most searched questions in the Internet when it comes to trading and the beauty is there's no right answer. When you do receive an answer, it's miss leading to beginners and everyone gets confused. There's a solid chance that you've looked at this before, or perhaps you just seen the title of this post and clicked on it. How long this is going to take you to master the arts of the market. There's a good chance you sat there and questioned, "what am I doing? how long are we going for? What should I be goal setting in terms of time with trading?" if you see yourself in this position or you've seen it previously, I finally have the answer you need to hear. How long does it take you to become consistent and profitable trading? As long as it takes. There's so many different sources which claim so many different time limits that it takes to master Forex trading or crypto trading or industry, trade, whatever it might be your embarking on. All of them say the same around two to three years to become a consistent and experienced professional. Yet, where are they getting this data from? I know traders that master trading within six months. I also know other traders that traded for six years and couldn't get the look of it. There's no time frame to put on trading in terms of success and consistency. It isn't a university course, we don't sit down and do all the course procedures and even if we do, the bare minimum, still graduate in three years. That's not how trading works. The question you should be asking isn't how long is this going to take me to master, but rather how many hours are you going to put into it. Day in, day out, how much work are you going to do? That is what will determine how long it takes you to become successful in this industry. There's so many people that will see 2 and a half years to become successful trader, then they trade half heartedly as if it is a hobby. They don't concentrate too much. They just trade here in there. Two and a half years pass and they'll call themselves seasoned professionals because they have been in the market for 2 1/2 years. Yet they couldn't show a single piece of consistency within their trading. Then there's other traders that put in hard work. I'm talking 8 hours a day of pure grueling backtesting, trade management, risk management, analyzing everything, and they put an exponential amount of work in and in six months they can outperform anyone else who's ever step foot in the market. Time is not an important factor. The amount of work you are putting in is the important factor. Yes, time will tell whether or not you can be successful in this industry, but if you're measuring time based off of when you've been interested or when you've been trading a little bit and rather than the actual hard, grueling hours that you're putting into trading. Then you will never get to that level you want to get too. You have to put in the hard yards. This industry is very advertised as easy, simple and the money making machine. There's a number of different factors in which we can blame for that, but we're not going to dive into that today. What I want to share with you is this is not easy. This is actually one of the hardest professions you could ever do, because work doesn't just stop, we don't just clock off and get paid the same amount every week. It's all dependent on the amount of time and effort you put into the market. Do you want to be profitable and consistent in trading? Then put in the hard work. Stop Googling how long it's going to take. Stop having a look at other people's success stories. Knuckle down and put in the hard work. Then in two years, three years, six years, 10 years, whatever it's going to take. Look back and be proud. When someone asks you how long did it take you? Don't answer about six years or two years, be honest. How many hours did you have to invest? How hard was the work?
Editors' picks
Education
by the5erstrading
74
GANN Theory Finally Completed StrategyI took a couple of months off to read a book i found on Amazon on Andrew Gann the inventor of GANN theory. After finishing his article i theorized that it could be transformed in these modern times. This will a Membership to perform, Alerts mean allot to people that want to automate the thought process behind this. Please note that i am not a paid person posting this, i been trading for 16 years ever since i graduated from High School, I went to college to understand Pattern Recognition. Believe it or not there is a pattern to every aspect of our Lives. I have the MTF Support and Resistance from Annan Set to Daily . Poor Mans Volume Profile ___ this is critical for plotting the GANN BOX onto the Charts with little to no thought process. To plot the GANN BOX (not the GANN fix Box or the GANN angles) You are taking the Gann Box Placing it on the Poor Mans Volume Profile DAILY chart. For an Uptrend you go UP 2 and right 2 , you'll understand when you plot it. For Down Trend down 2 right 2 . Sideways (rangebound) oddly special one. Up 1 Right 2 Down 1 Right 2 . When your plotting on the charts LOCK the Gann on the chart. I use Daily Right 2 because i set it at the beginning of the MONTH and its good for until the NEXT month. you set alerts on the GANN FIB LINES. (ENTRYS) BASED... If you are having issues with plotting this LET ME KNOW... its gets very automated when you plotting it. The Poor Mans Volume Profile takes the calculations out of the picture. Posting a picture of the Points your going up or down 2. How you Plot it on the Poor Mans Volume Profile. last step is to LOCK it on the Daily CHART. Alerts need to the be set on the 2 of the Gann Lines. ( set to Crossing ) Subscription premium allow you to set an unexpired alert. If you want to Swing with this strategy. You have to do something different by Anchoring on the Weekly and trading on the 30 min or 1hr you can swing with this. But as yourself are you going to swing or are you going to Day-trade this. Stop loss is a very touchie subject that everyone should think about doing... Personally i use 4 different methods Count 5 bars back, last Swing point, or Halfway between the two fibs of entry. if i am feeling lucky just on the other side of the Fib Entry point. * the Lucky part of this one is if it goes bad you have a very LOW LOW risk of loosing allot of hard earned capital. Generally I will use the 5 bars back method. CM- Slingshot set to Conservative. Next 2 will be the Exits on the Trades and Indicators to take the Trade. DYNAMIC RSI - DRSI for short just tweak the color on this one, from DreadBlitz. ____ MTF RSI from Chris Moody 14 70 30 D D 30 ___ set a color where you can see the MidPoint. NOTE: When Entering you are looking at the Chart___ when it crosses the GANN FIB line. after the Bar completes, look at the DRSI and MTF RSI midpoint cross. (after the Cross has Happen and you can Confirm it on both u can now Enter the Trade.) The exit point is when the DRSI goes Solid Filled color, secondly this effect will be happening on the MTF RSI. I take all of my trades on the 15min timeframe with an Anchor on the Daily Chart. Anchor meaning MTF MTF MTF MTF all of them are set to the daily. I want to make thoughtful readings based on the Daily Overall proceedings of the market direction.
Editors' picks
NASDAQ:AMGNEducation
by Mnbrass549
20
Who makes money playing the markets directionally?> Retail & Day Gamblers: Absolutely no one day gambling profitably has been found to this day, and we keep looking for them. There might be a handful of DAX & Dow Jones traders that make some money, I don't think they outperform the indices. Compare day gambling to regular predation: Ever heard of an apex predator going for tiny prey over and over? Tiger goes for prey at the bare minimum 10% of its size, up to 10 times its size. Also a tiger has a winrate of 5-10%. Same for polar bears. High risk reward is universal. The exception would be grizzlys that found a niche with salmon jumping in their mouths. The hyper massive apex predator going for small prey would be blue whales: They go for lots and lots at once, like a quant fund, not like a day gambler. Traders at banks that have some liberties and hold some positions have an exposure limit at the end of the day. They can't hold Citibank with 10 billion usd just because they want to for example. Intraday they execute orders for clients and you can't stalk them non stop so they have some liberties during the day. So to go around their limits, because they all think they are the wonderboy who will be the next Jesse Livermoore if only the bank would give them their chance, they day gamble. As long as at the end of the day their exposure is below the limit all good. Wonderboys... One of these legends is Jerôme Kerviel. He didn't even day gamble he wanted to make big money so he cheated the system to hide his exposure. And lost 5 billion. Well that's what the bank said, and the government that sent them a big check of taxpayer money never bothered to audit them. Needless to say to this day humanity has not found a single institutional day gambling wonderboy that makes money. It's like looking for life on Mars. In Forex at least 90% of retail "traders" are day gamblers. In stocks a part of retail is made of passive holders, of course hedge fund clients, ETF too, and then there are lots of bagholders chasing the worst possible investment and holding to zero, and lots of day gamblers too. Retail investors in FX have a success rate of close to 0%, and in stocks passive holders underperform the indices at about 99%, retail stock day gamblers either lose money (~95-99%) or underperform the indices. At any given time ~75% of FX retail loses money but this is taking all the ones lucky in the short term plus doesn't account for turnover (winners stay longer). Overall in FX at least 95% of retail will lose, but when you know they almost all day gamble, sometimes with "EA and robots", you are not surprised. The ones that do not day gamble hold losers for ages and get out of winners asap, just check brokers retail positions. At least 80% do this. No day gambling and not holding losers is not even step 1. I would call it step 0. In nature not a single predator holds losers. Videos of predations show almost only the success, but pay attention they'll say "this tiger hasn't made a kill in 4 days" and also sometimes show them "losing", these top predators give up so quickly I am amazed, they ambush, jump, and if the prey starts running away immediatly the hunter just doesn't even try. It's like a law of the universe: losers insist on holding losers. That simple. If speculating had an elo then 95% of retail would have 200 elo, being naturally bad and then add all the bs thrown around the internet and the scams... ==> 200 elo. They're just that bad. Don't even have the nuts and common sense to cut losses which is not even a goal to have it's not even a step. Herbivore prey instinct. Remove all the extremely bad trolls and then it's just a regular business the ropes of which you have to learn. You just can't fix stupid I guess? > Hedge funds: They are (very) public, we hear about them most. Stocks versus Forex: They all go into stocks, in the US there has to be maybe 10 funds dedicated to FX, and their phone never rings. Investors think stocks are magical money machines, they have all sorts of stereotypes about FX the "negative sum game", and also think stocks are better because they can be more diversified with a portfolio of 100 stocks that are all correlated. You can add quants, arbitrage, and all sorts of strategy denominated funds we hear about in here I guess. Most hedge funds mainly hold stocks to make their clients happy, and will do a bit of everything. Even Warren Buffett had a position on USDMXN a few years ago. 1 "different" hedge fund we heard about in 2018 was legend manager James Cordier. He had a good 100 leverage on volatile commodities. You can't say "we never hear of these guys", he had a public fund like all hedge funds, and he even posted ideas on an investing website (I think he did so for 15 years).   1 client with a $1MM account with the guy linked his positions: NatGas, Crude Oil, Gold, Silver, Soybeans, ICE Coffee. JC had positions on dozens of contracts for each of these, on only a 1MM portfolio. > Private equity, family office, venture capital, and individuals you never hear about: Michael Burry started being heard about when 25 or 30 years ago he was posting stock picks on a forum. But he really got famous when he did "the big short". His clients were so mad with him after he made money, I think it is why he decided to leave and start his own thing. I am not sure exactly as I heard his positions were public. There is a private equity guy that posts about economics & geopolitics on a social network, I forgot the name, he manages the money of a single billionaire. Recently we heard about Bill Hwang, another legend. We heard about him because he got liquidated and crashed certain stocks he had massive positions in. Prior to that he started working for an institution, left with a few millions, started his own private business, and turned those millions into billions making 60% a year. Too concentrated and leveraged, he got too big, if he was smaller he would have gotten out without problem. Should have thought about it. You also have some politicians that make record profits... I have an idea on how they make these profits. Clearly they are the ones generating the highest returns. Note that none of these individuals are doing any day gambling. > Pension/mutual funds, sovereign funds, etc: They are running safer, more passive strategies so no one really cares. We care when Norway says they are going to sell 500 million krona, or when China says they're going to dump 1 billion usd on the market. Other Corporate for example. They simply buyback shares with their profits. I think that's it. If you have something to add let me know. We could add funds of funds if we wanted to. What else? That's it pretty much. 60% a year for Bill Hwang is pretty great, too bad he didn't take it easy when he got very big.
TVC:DJIEducation
by MrRenev
1
Profitable RSI optimizes 3 parameters!Well, it's just a small public announcement. I went to this for a long time and now it has become possible. Profitable RSI now handles 3 parameters of the standard RSI indicator to find the best tuple of settings. So, additionally to period setting, the optimizer takes under consideration different Overbought (from 60 to 70 ) and Oversold levels (from 30 to 40 ) for each RSI period. Four main conclusions from my research (if you gonna trade with RSI): The OB/OS levels are not necessary to be the standard 70/30 ones. With all my respect to J. Welles Wilder, but those bounds cannot be considered optimal. The OB/OS levels can be asymmetric. So OB can be 65 while OS is 39. Not 70/30, not 60/40 and not 75/25. Asymmetric ones. There is no efficient trading with period setting higher than 50. We can make a feast even from the old indicator And the last thing I wanted to add - let's not live in the old paradigms. The world is changing, trading is changing and we must change too. Don't be afraid to experiment with something new for you. The tool I talked about, the Profitable RSI, is here Good luck, Good health, God bless you
Education
by everget
11
Tired of Losing?"The Market cannot hurt Me. I can only hurt my Self!" - Josh Ridenour There is a Time for Losing - The 29th verse of the Tao Te Ching is about how there is a time for everything in life. A time for being ahead, a time for being behind. In the market, there is also a time for everything. A time for large profits, small profits, break even trades, losers, and consecutive losers which lead to a draw down. It is easy to get caught up in the heat of the moment depending on where you currently are. But it does not really matter what part of the cycle you are in, it is all part of a traders life and the cycle of a trading performance. Stop Predicting! It is a false belief to believe prices and markets can be predicted. If it were possible eventually the majority of market participants would figure it out and there would be no one left on the other side of the trade, and the market would cease to exist entirely. If it were possible to predict markets, you could avoid losing trades and only take winners. Anyone who has been trading for very long knows this is simply not the case. The problem with making predictions is you then shut your mind off from the information the market gives you. Instead of being open to what is happening, your mind becomes rigid and can only take in what confirms your beliefs. This prevents you from being able to flow with the market, and open your self to the opportunity in front of you. The best traders admit when they are wrong, get out, and even reverse if necessary. If you dont believe this - listen to a stock analyst on Mad Money or any other TV show about stocks. They are often so confident in what they say that they might even convince you! But there is a reason why he is on TV talking about markets, and not trading them. If he could trade the markets and make money he would have no reason to go on TV as the financial rewards are miles apart. In fact, analysts make the worst traders because they are so caught up in their thoughts and beliefs about market direction that they cannot trade effectively! Cease efforts "Wu Wei" In Eastern Philosophy there is a term "Wu Wei." It cannot be fully understood or explained in words, only experienced. At the essence of its meaning is to "Let be" to "allow" or "flow like water down a stream." The point is to stop resisting, and stop trying so hard. The harder you grasp at something, the harder you try to succeed, the more you fail. If you are constantly trying to make money, and constantly trading, you are probably not making a consistent return. Rather than trying so hard, let trading come naturally. Profitable trading is effortless. It does not require thought, only action. In fact, I try to do as little as possible, and trade as little as possible. My most profitable weeks I hardly trade at all! This has become a fundamental aspect of my trading system. Instead of constantly trying to make money all the time, I simply wait for a pot of gold to be in front of me before I do anything. Then, I take it. Again if you dont believe me; try as hard as you can tomorrow to make as much money as possible and see what happens! Stop Trying to Remove or Control Emotions - Most traders who have been trading for a while come to the idea that emotions prevent them from success and are standing in their way. I know, as I have been there. And so we try as hard as we can to remove emotions from our trading. There is a problem with this concept. You are a human right? As long as you are human, you will have emotions; no matter how hard you try to remove them. It is simply not possible. So removing emotions or attempting to do so is the wrong approach. Instead; use your emotions to your advantage! They are warning signs; listen to them. Then there is the negative internal dialogue which the market often brings out. After a series of losing trades, many traders get upset and feel bad. They blame the market for taking from them, and feel like a loser. How do you think a trader will perform after feeling this way for a few days or longer? His performance suffers as he tries to take back what was once his and he compounds his mistakes by trading out of a negative mindset. You have to learn to recognize and become aware of your internal dialogue. It is very important to your trading career, and your every day life. Most of us live our lives without the slightest idea as to what we are doing to our selves. Your mental structure is a choice. This is what I mean when I say "The Market cannot hurt me, I can only hurt my Self." My Trading Psychology book "A Traders Mentality - The Path of Self Discovery and Being a Trader" is all about these ideas and how to free your mind and better your trading performance. If you found this helpful, please like! Feel free to comment or ask questions.
Education
by tradersmentality
Bitcoin Trade Signals Review - 1H Since 2018 January To 20190730BITMEX:XBTUSD COINBASE:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT Timeframes on Ribbons: 1H -> 45H Indicator: 9 Seasons Rainbow Multi TimeFrames Pattern This Tutorial Idea Indicates some important trading signals of Bitcoin given by the indicator since 2018 January, in order to help users of the indicator learn how to identify opportunities. Some Typical Trigger Signals: Long: Yellow -> Lime: Breakout Blue -> Green: Reverse Purple -> Blue: Fading Breakout downward Short: Blue -> Purple: Breakout downward Yellow -> Red: Reverse Lime -> Yellow: Fading Breakout Signals Pattern Trigger in Short Term: Ribbon 1 - Ribbon 3/4 Context: Ribbon 3/4 - Ribbon 12, which is the most outstanding ribbons with priority: Yellow-Blue, Lime-Purple, Red - Green, else. I appreciate your like or comment. Welcome to share your idea here. PM the author for a one-week free trial of "9 Seasons Rainbow Multi TimeFrames Pattern". DISCLAIMER This idea is only a personal opinion and does NOT serve as investing advice NOR as trading advice. This idea, "9 Seasons Rainbow Multi TimeFrames Pattern" indicators, and all related contents are for the purpose of trading strategies studying or paper trading. If a user or a customer uses any of these related contents for live trading or investment, she/he should take all risks.
BITMEX:BTCUSD.PEducation
by go8686
7
The Hardest Part of Trading (Not what you Think)Seeking More information - When first introduced to markets, every beginner immediately thinks he must learn the rules of the market in order to succeed. He initially believes there is a "holy grail" a system, a leader, or a mathematical equation like Fibonacci levels. He believes these will protect him in the market, and will lead him to a profit once he understands them. The problem is, there are no set rules which work consistently in the market. If there were, the institutions and everyone else would simply use them. What would happen then? Well, there would be no one or institution to take the opposite trade, and the market would cease to exist altogether. And so the new trader changes from one system to another, from one guru to another, and constantly thinks he must learn more information in order to succeed. What he believes to be preventing his success is a lack of knowledge, a lack of information. But you see, the more information you have does not necessarily lead to better decisions. There is a lot of evidence to support the contrary, and suggests that too many choices actually impair decision making skills. On top of this, most of the information in the trading world is quite simply wrong. There are 10 x more scam artists who claim to "know" and will take your money to teach you how to trade than there are profitable traders. These people do not understand markets them selves, and cannot make money in the market, so instead they prey on new market entrants. This is the primary reason I started my trading website; to provide high value information at a low cost. And to give those who are serious about trading an actual chance to make it in the markets. Dealing with Uncertainty - The reason most traders seek new information is because they are afraid of uncertainty and want certainty. They seek something to protect them in the market. Something to protect them from themselves. A system that will guarantee a profit. But there is no such thing. Markets constantly change and evolve through the market cycle. And there is no system that works across all three parts of the market cycle. The sooner you realize this, the closer you will be to making a profit. It is very hard to learn how to deal with uncertainty. But you do it every day. When you wake up in the morning are you certain you will live through the end of the day? No, and you can never be completely certain of this. Certainty is an illusion. There is no certainty in this life. The only certainty is... uncertainty! Patience and Discipline (Ability to Do Nothing) - Every profitable trader uses these two terms (patience and discipline) when asked how they are profitable. When a beginner hears this, he rarely understands what this means. Discipline means doing something even when you dont want to do it, or doing something you dont want to do. Patience means waiting for your turn, or waiting for something to happen. In other words, when the time is not right you must do nothing. This stokes a fear in most people, especially in today's give me distractions, social media world. They say "Well what am i supposed to do if i am doing nothing?" Doing nothing seems contrary to getting what you want, getting somewhere. In and outside of the trading world everyone believes in order to be a "trader" you must trade - constantly. This is why most lose money. Because they do not understand that there is a time for doing nothing. And that time is most of the time! See more on understanding markets (Price Action Trading) and yourself (Trading Psychology) at my website below. If you found this helpful please like! Feel free to comment or ask questions.
SP:SPXEducation
by tradersmentality
Lessons from an Experienced Trader Lessons from an experienced trader. Lesson 1. Never scalp. Although scalping seems to be the most profitable and best method in today's market, it is certainly not. Scalping is the hardest method to achieve a consistent performance. High frequency trading firms scalp, but they have many advantages over the retail trader including direct access to exchanges, highly developed algorithms with no emotions, and extremely low costs to name a few. When you are scalping you are competing against these firms or trying to manually do what they do with a computer. This above is only one problem. The bigger issue is the risk involved. When scalping, you must use a wide stop and be willing to scale in. One bad trade will erase 20 or more good trades. You must be extremely proficient at reading price charts, and be able to act without hesitation. This is virtually impossible for anyone who has not been trading for at least 3 years and has done extensive work on himself to develop the ability to flow with the market, constantly, without any internal conflict. And worst of all, scalping leads to bad habits. Once you get into the mindset of "get out quick" it is very hard to correct down the road. This makes swing trading more difficult later on after you realize it is a better method. Lesson 2. Swing Trade the best setups Swing trading is much more forgiving than scalping, offers a larger reward, and allows for a smaller risk (usually). This makes it much easier to make money long term. When swing trading you only have to win on around 40% of your trades to make a profit. If you can develop the patience to wait for strong setups, you can increase the winning percentage to anywhere from 50-70% and greatly increase your traders equation. A swing trading approach is also more forgiving when it comes to reading price charts. Some of those who discuss Price Action would lead you to believe you can predict what the markets are going to do next. This is simply not true, no matter how good you are at reading a chart. There is always a degree of randomness in the market, with any edge, any setup, or any context. When swing trading, you can afford to be wrong and make mistakes. So what setups should a swing trader take? Well, it depends if you want to always in trade or swing trade with signal bar stops. Either is fine, although an always in approach takes more practice and is harder to get right until you are good at reading charts. An always in trader has two choices. One to take every logical reversal (hardest to accomplish), and constantly reverse when necessary. Or two; wait for the always in direction to be clear and enter any in any fashion until the market flips. The second method is easier, although still tough, and slightly less profitable. An always in trader does not trade when prices are in a trading range. The reward is simply too low, and there are too many reversals to take and that fail, resulting in repeated losses and increased commission costs. What about a swing trader? A swing trader typically uses a signal bar stop, but can also use a swing stop to increase his probability. A swing trader does not have to take every trade he sees (unlike the first always in trader). In fact, it is best to wait for the best and clearest setups. What setups are these? High 2's, Low 2's (large) reversals and flags, Wedge reversals and flags, failed breakouts, and failed reversals. The first two are much easier to identify correctly for someone with less experience. The later two often trick newer traders, or fail once or twice before succeeding, making it a bit harder to get right. Lesson 3. Work on your self Like discussed before, most new traders and even those who have been around but haven't reached consistency believe that eventually you can read prices well enough to predict what will happen next. It does not matter how long you have traded, you will never predict the market. If it were possible to do so, the market would cease to exist! So instead of only focusing on reading charts and price action, you must work on your self. You must understand your strengths and weaknesses. You must be aware of your emotions and how they affect your performance. If you do not believe your emotions are directly related to your performance, you will not achieve consistency long term. We are all humans, a computer cannot do what I do. And you cannot remove emotions, no matter how hard you try to do so. So what is the alternative? Develop awareness of them, and use them to your advantage! It is as plain and simple as this. Trading requires you to understand your self, on a deep and internal level. You must be in tune with your self and the market. If you chose to ignore this fact, you may succeed temporarily, but it is only a matter of time before your performance diminishes. In order to make a lot of money, you must feel you deserve it. If you do not work on yourself, this simply will not happen. Does a professional athlete become a star by waiting around for his coach to tell him what to do? No. He dedicates himself in every possible way to his sport, including conditioning his mind to outperform his competition. Rather than waiting 2 or 3 years before realizing this, start working on your self from the very beginning. Not only will you become a better trader faster, you will become a better person; a better you.
AEducation
by tradersmentality
4
stochastic rsi + 100 ema strategyi have tried this strategy and i find it profitable with this rules: stochastic rsi: K = 5 D = 10 rsi length = 14 stochastic length = 14 Ema: 100 Rules: if the prise moves above the ema, then you are looking for a long positon. when the stochastic rsi is moving above the 80, look for a pull back. when the pullback comes you want the rsi to go below the 20 zone withoute eny crosses on the way down from the 80 zone. When the rsi then makes a cross below the 20 open a buy position. the risk reward shoud be 1:1 on first target and 2:1 on second. set the previos structure high as first targets. Dont trade if the prise closes below the 100 ema before the cross, this would make it unvalid. One more is that the structure high before the pullback must be higher than the previos stricture high. The same rules apply when the prise moves below the ema, just opposite. This is my first article and i hope you found it educatinal.
Education
by lusaa001