Harmonic Pattern with Multiple Confluence for Point X and DThis is an example of regression channel with harmonic pattern.
By using Simple OHLC Custom Range Interactive, we able make confluence point (blue) to get Point X of Bullish Butterfly.
There are many confluence points (orange flag and teal table), which shows Point D of Butterfly starting to complete.
For Point D, best to monitor price changes using RSI or other similar RSI (Cyclic RSI, etc).
Indicator used :
1. Regression Channel Alternative MTF
2. HH-LL ZZ
3. XABCD Harmonic Pattern Custom Range Interactive
4. Simple OHLC Custom Range Interactive
5. Cyclic RSI High Low With Noise Filter
Regression-trend-channel
Channel Up and M Pattern (Bullish Bat)This is an example of Channel Up and M Pattern (Bullish Bat).
Found that M Pattern (Bullish Bat) within Channel Up.
Pattern already touches PRZ (orange) and completed TP1 and TP2 (lime).
Indicator used :
1. Regression Channel Alternative MTF
2. HH-LL ZZ
3. XABCD Harmonic Pattern Custom Range Interactive
Using Linear Regression ChannelsLinear Regression Channels are a great way to identify potential key levels of future price action by graphing the normal distribution of a trend.
When using the Regression Trend tool (located in the drawing panel under the “Trend Line Tools” group) two points on a trend are chosen, generally at the beginning of the trend and the end of the trend.
When the two points on the chart are chosen, the normal distribution of the dataset is calculated between the two chosen points and displayed in the form of a linear regression channel.
The center line in this channel is the Linear Regression Line or Mean, and the upper and lower lines are the Upper and Lower standard deviations from the mean as set in the tool’s settings (default settings are +2 and -2 standard deviations from the mean).
The correlation of this linear relationship is displayed as Pearson’s correlation coefficient , or Pearson’s R. This can be displayed or hidden on the chart by selecting it within the tools style menu.
Pearson’s R shows the strength of the correlation as well as its direction, with values moving between -1 and 1. As Pearson’s R moves further away from zero, the strength of the linear relationship between price and time increases. When using the Regression Trend tool, Pearson’s R will always be set as an absolute value (positive), but the direction of the trend can be visually identified.
Mean reversion
When a regression trend has a high correlation, this is due to the consistency of price action laying along the mean (center line), with fewer points moving above and below the mean line to the upper and lower standard deviation levels.
One way to trade using a linear regression channel is to trade the price action as it moves away from, and back to the mean.
As this tool is used, it is important to note that a channel graphed containing more bars and having a high correlation is more likely to have price continue in that trend than one that is graphed with only a few bars and having a high correlation.
The length of the trend should be considered when trading these channels.
With the Regression Trend tool, you can start utilizing statistical analysis in your trading strategy with only the click of a few buttons!
USDJPY Longer-Term View with Regression Trend ToolI have added in another regression trend channel going back to the late 2016 high. That longer-term channel shows the potential upside target for a breakout above the medium-term channel if that were to occur.
At this particular juncture, the medium and short-term channels are the ones in play, with a potential or bounce or break of the short-term channel on the radar right now.
This is a follow-up post. See related ideas for the original.
Use the tool if you like it, discard if it doesn't help you.
Using the Regression Trend Tool to Analyze USDJPYCurrency charts (or any chart) can look rather chaotic sometimes.
Grabbing a regression trend tool may help. You select the tool and the pick the two points...usually a major high and low.
The regression tool then finds the line of best fit through the data. You can also add standard deviations above and below the regression line, resulting in a channel.
The result will be slightly different than a drawn channel because it is essentially highlighting the average price action between two points in time.
I have used the tool twice on the USDJPY chart. The larger one shows the price is near the top of a larger channel. The smaller shows the price is near the bottom of a short-term channel.
This helps highlight some potential trading opportunities. If the price consolidates here and moves higher (would use 4-hour chart), it is a buy trade into the top of the small and larger channels. But if that occurs, once the price reaches the upper channel, watch for a potential short (or break to the upside).
Alternatively, if we head lower from here, that will break the short-term rising channel, and indicate a pretty big downward move based on the larger channel.
You could freehand draw these channels as well, but sometimes a crazy one day move will obscure a pattern that the regression highlights. For example, the regression filters out that one day drop on Jan 2 2019....without the regression (or without ignoring that long candle wick) it is hard to see the channel.
You could also go back further in time and add in additional regression channels to provide a larger insight into where the currency pair is within its cycle.
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