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RIVN

Quantitative Models or Analysts Ratings???In these charts, you can see the performance of Tesla, Lucid, NIO, and Rivian in 2022, which is -22%, -36%, -43%, and -59% respectively..! In the below analysis I added the Technical rating and Analysts ratings from the overview page of these tickers: My observations: 1- Technical rating show "Sell" for all 4 tickers! 2- Analyst ratings show Strong buy for NIO, buy for Tesla & Rivian, and Neutral for Lucid. It seems this new feature "Analyst Rating" completely indicates the opposite direction..!?!? Questions: 1-Who is/are the analyst(s)? 2-Why their opinion is so different from numbers and indicators/Oscillators? 3- What are the metrics these analysts use??? 4- How should users interpret these contradictory ratings? 5- Do contradictory make trading easier??? As a user who use this platform for more than a decade, I think this is not good to add non-quantitative ratings to a platform that should move toward quantifiable trading/investing models..! Why? Because in the past decade Quantitative funds beat the performance of the market, hedge funds, and asset managers..! Conclusions: 1- Indicator ratings are closer to the reality of the performance of the underlying assets because they are not emotional..! 2- Analyst ratings is far far far away from markets reality Best, Dr. Moshkelgosha M.D DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
NASDAQ:LCIDEducation
by Moshkelgosha
5
Human vs MachinesChart patterns detection needs an extensive learning process and experience, no matter if you are a human or a machine! Machine Learning Workflow: There are five core tasks in the common ML workflow: 1. Get Data 2. Clean, Prepare & Manipulate Data 3. Train Model 4. Test Model 5. Improve Since the chart patterns, beta version indicator has been released, I started working with it to find out how it works. In the following examples, you will see the comparison between my pattern (left side) and platform pattern (right side)! I activate the triangle, pennant, and wedge pattern indicator..! 1- Daily chart: machines did not detect anything: 2- 4 hours chart: machines did not detect anything: 3- 4 hour charts: I changed the regular time to extended hours! Finally, the machine detects something..! Educational point: There are hundreds of thousands of indicators and oscillators out there, some work, some don't! The question is: Are you able to use them correctly and increase their performance??? Think about it..! Best, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
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NASDAQ:RIVNEducation
by Moshkelgosha
30
How to know BULLISH or BEARISH next day to CALL or not?I tried trading on some tickers with my logic to determine the Stock Direction BULLISH or BEAR. I looked at timeframe 2H and 4H (mainly 4H), logic: 1. Determine 4H Price > SMA20 then next day is BULLISH, should be CALL (conjunction EMA20 cross up EMA50 then strong market to CALL) 2. Determine 4H Price < SMA20 then BEARISH, don't CALL, should follow before PUT I have been monitoring for 2 weeks and this logic satisfies about 80%.
NASDAQ:MSFTEducation
by binancash
Story of Bubbles! George Soros: Stock market bubbles don't grow out of thin air. They have a solid basis in reality, but reality as distorted by a misconception. I started my article with George Soros's quote and will continue with his great wisdom about bubbles! I think he was the one who benefitted from stock market bubbles the most! and this happened because of his approach to identifying and trading these bubbles! George Soros: “When I see a bubble forming, I rush in to buy, adding fuel to the fire,” Most people rushed into buying RIVN or LCID because they think this could be the next Tesla, and they did not want to miss this opportunity! This story is very similar to Workhorse's story in the past 3 years! I published 14 articles about workhorse between September 8th, 2020, and May 6th, 2021. 7 Bullish articles when the price was between 19.78-28.5, and target price of 40-42! WKHS reached 42.96 and closed at 41.32 on Feb 4th, 2021, priced made a top formation, and on Feb 11, 2021, I published a Short analysis when the price was 37.21. My first target price for WKHS short was 20-21 and then modified it to 10-11 and after that 5-4 in my last analysis! WHKS reached 4.92 and closed at 5.01 after 6 months! I wrote about this practical example because I want to mention: 1- The Bubble story repeats based on the same or different misconception that seems real! 2- The price Pattern moves Exponentially in both directions, either the inflation phase or the deflation phase! 3-Less experienced investors think prices will always be back at the previous highs or lows, which is not the case in many cases! 4- If you can not distinguish the different phases of a bubble, you will lose a big percentage of your trading capital! 5- Average Volume Price is the best tool to monitor speculative bubbles. 6- I strongly recommend reading about Reflexivity What Is Reflexivity? Reflexivity in economics is the theory that a feedback loop exists in which investors' perceptions affect economic fundamentals, which in turn changes investor perception. Conclusion: Please review Lucid and Rivian plans for the future! The Lucid goal is to manufacture 400K cars each year! BUT Casa Grande, AZ, is operational with a production capacity to deliver up to 34,000 vehicles per year. Rivian: The company says its factory in Illinois has the capacity to produce up to 150,000 vehicles per year. About 65,000 of those should be R1T pickup trucks and SUVs, and about 85,000 should be the company's RCV commercial delivery vans, Rivian said in financial filings. Delivery so far 154 ..! If you are looking at these numbers, you easily understand that they even don't have any plan to be the next Tesla..! Best, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site. Reference articles: www.investopedia.com
NASDAQ:RIVNEducation
by Moshkelgosha
9