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Shortsetup

Using Multi-timeframe analysis to make better trading decisionsTrading on multiple timeframes can significantly improve your risk-reward ratio, regardless of what TA technique, you are using. Let’s look at the recent example (SPY ETF) Third week of February started with a strong sell-off (Monday-Tuesday 13th). Price retraced >50% of the previous move, signaling potential trend reversal. At this point market Bears started scouting for daily low high to enter short trade. They received signal on Friday 16th when price broke previous day low. A short trader, who trades only daily chart, would enter this trade at Friday close with stop-loss slightly above daily high and 1st profit target near Tuesday low. This setup provides a decent risk-reward ration >2. There is also a chance that previous low will be broken and price will fall even further, adding to profit. So taking this trade makes a lot of sense. On the main graph to this post you can see how it developed. Price has not reached our profit target, reversed and made new high. Trade got stopped-out. Even if trader was using trailing stop (stop moved slightly above each new day high) this would not have saved him from huge overnight price jump Could have the trader done better? Yes, if he had zoomed into lower timeframe and monitored price action there. Here is what we can see on the 15m chart. (boxes show hourly candles, color coding matches hourly wave direction, you can read about how waves are constructed here ) Bearish reversal pattern shaped on Thursday- Friday. It is not an ideal triple top but there was a clear weakening of upthrust. Also, on Friday morning price broke previous day low, a sign of an increased bearish strength. Basically, at 21.30 (UTC+1) short trader already had enough evidence to enter trade. He could have done it w/o waiting for day closure. This would have already been a better entrance than in the first scenario. After entering the trade, trader could start monitoring for continuation. Tuesday was clearly bearish but on Wednesday there were multiple signs of shift of control. Firstly, price was able to set hourly higher low. Secondly, bearish wave was progressing very slowly. Finally, there was a 15 m equilibrium (end of Wednesday RTH) that resolved convincingly bullish. At this point a reasonable trader should have closed his trade without hesitation. This would not be a great trade still, but it will be a profitable one, with risk-reward 1.7 . It is nearly impossible to achieve same results looking just on the daily chart. Disclaimer I don't give trading or investing advices, just sharing my thoughts
AMEX:SPYEducation
by hermes_trisme
Setups, Planning and RISK: How to MANAGE your RISK vs REWARD📉Hi Traders, Investors and Speculators of Charts📈 For today's post, we're diving into the concept " Risk-Reward Ratio " We'll take a look at practical examples and including other relevant scenarios of managing your risk. What is considered a good risk to reward ratio and where can you see it ? This applies to all markets, and during these volatile times it is an excellent idea to take a good look at your strategy and refine your risk management. Let's jump right in ! You've all noticed the really helpful tool " long setup " or " short setup " on the left-hand column. This clearly identifies the area of profit (in green), the area for a stop-loss (in red) and your entry (the borderline). It also shows the percentage of your increases or decreases at the top and bottom. It looks like this : 💭Something to remember; It is entirely up to you where you decided to take profit and where you decide to put your stop loss. The IDEAL anticipated targets are given, but the price may not necessarily reach these points. You have that entire zone to choose from and you can even have two or three take profits points in a position. Now, what is the Risk Reward Ratio expressed in the center as a number.number ? The risk to reward ration is exactly as the word says : The amount you risk for the amount you could potentially gain. NOTE that your risk is indefinite , but your gains are not guaranteed . The risk/reward ratio measures the difference between the entry point to a stop-loss and a sell or take-profit point. Comparing these two provides the ratio of profit to loss, or reward to risk. For example, if you're a gambler and you've played roulette, you know that the only way to win 10 chips is to risk 5 chips. Your risk here is expressed as 5:10 or 5.10 .You can spread these 5 chips out any way you like, but the goal of the risk is for a reward that is bigger than your initial investment. However, you could also lose your 5 and this will mean that you need to risk double as much in your next play to make up for your loss. Trading is no different, (except there is method to the madness other than sheer luck...) Most market strategists and speculators agree that the ideal risk/reward ratio for their investments should not be less than 1:3 , or three units of expected return for every one unit of additional risk. Take a look at this example: Here, you're risking the same amount that you could potentially gain. The Risk Reward ratio is 1, assuming you follow the exact prices for entry, TP and SL. Can you see why this is not an ideal setup? If your risk/reward ratio is 1, it means you might as well not participate in the trade since your reward is the same as your risk. This is not an ideal trade setup. An ideal trade setup is a scenario where you can AT LEAST win 3x as much as what you are risking. For example: Note that here, my ratio is now the ideal 2.59 (rounded off to 2.6 and then simplified it becomes 1:3). If you're wondering how I got to 1:3, I just divided 2.6 by 2, giving me 1 and 3. Another way to express this visually: In the first chart example I have a really large increase for the long position and you can't easily simplify 7.21 so; here's a visual to break down what that looks like: If you are setting up your own trade, you can decide at what point you feel comfortable to set your stop loss. For example, you may feel that if the price drops by more than 10%, that's where you'll exit and try another trade. Or, you could decide that you'll take the odds and set your stop loss so that it only triggers if the price drops by 15%. The latter will naturally mean you are trading at higher risk because your risk of losing is much more. Seasoned analysts agree that you shouldn't have a value smaller than 5% for your stop loss, because this type of price action occurs often during a day. For crypto, I would say 10% because we all know that crypto markets are much more volatile than stock markets and even more so than commodity markets like Gold and Silver, which are the most stable. Remember that your Risk/Reward ratio forms an important part of your trading strategy , which is only one of the steps in your risk management program. Dollar cost averaging is another helpfull way to further manage your risk. There are many more things to consider when thinking about risk management, but we'll dive into those in another post. A little bit more in-depth explanation on Dollar-Cost-Averaging here: And Finally, the last tool I'll give away today is an absolute MUST for all traders . Here's how to successfully set-up your own portfolio ratios: If you found this content helpful, please remember to hit like and subscribe and never miss a moment in the markets. _______________________ 📢Follow us here on TradingView for daily updates📢 👍Hit like & Follow 👍 CryptoCheck
Education
by CryptoCheck-
ES Morning Shorts From Last Nights IdeaGood Afternoon everyone, I will show in depth order entries in this post, read the updates to see. This idea was formed last night around 10PM NY Time. I originally was hoping to trade up into the most recent Order Block (green path arrow) during the London session and end at the Terminus -4 around 8:00AM NY time. I then would've liked to see accumulations followed by a Turtle Soup or sweep of that low at the Terminus -4 during market open. I wanted to take countertrend longs in that area into the Order Block resting above the Liquidity Void, this move is denoted by the orange path arrow. However we ended up going straight to Terminus -4 during London and we rallied above Asia accumulation into the Bearish Order Block sitting right above (green path arrow). We took shorts from this area and we were looking to target the Sellside Liquidity below to complete our MMSM (Market Maker Sell Model) on the 15M chart. We were able able to bank 2.1% off the move just by taking profits at the short term low 4507.5 and holding a few more contracts to a slightly lower price once we noticed price wasn't wanting to break the low at the Terminus -4 just yet. The Sellside Liquidity is still a viable target, we have just been choppy since right after open so taking profits is worth the time spent waiting for price. Hopefully this was more insightful on how to form an idea for the next trading day. I will commit to making more informational posts like this. Please read the updates for a 5M look at the entries and a reference to the MMSM.
CME_MINI:ES1!Education
by blackoakcapital
Stock Market Logic Series #1The purpose of this series is to provide insight into what price is likely to do... and more vital... what price is not likely to do... (since X is the cause and X is not existing, hence Y will not happen...) The chart is self-explanatory. IF no-one cares about the stock THEN no one will put money into it (no volume) THEN it will not rise. The BIG question is, at a certain overextended place, the price is rising, even though, everyone is at a loss on this stock. why NOT crush into a price of $1 in one sharp move? Can we "KNOW" that we are in an overextended place? When you have stock market logic behind you, you will be more confident to take trades.
NASDAQ:MDXHEducation
by ZoharCho
2
A Dive Into My Swing Trading Approach (+setup) This video was a short synthesis of my swing trading approach. For the amount of information I presented, I'm not expecting to successfully being able to convey my means and ways in one short video, but I'm glad if I could at least show a different perspective. Some important things I forgot to mention: - The tolerance for identifying a visual weak liquidity pattern is 2 ticks, 3 ticks during highly volatile days (for the ES). This can change from one market to another. Anything more than 2/3 ticks is considered a move of conviction supported by strong liquidity, a market that has the confidence to see what's beyond a certain point to then either sharply reverse or move forward. - Using this method I CANNOT know what the market makers are exactly doing, there is no way to know, they will always be a step ahead of any brilliant retail trader. However, we can understand their logic and the weak traders' logic, the latter is the type we want to trade against. SETUP As I said, I favour a short trade, but as of today I have to remain on the sidelines. During this times is important to be flexible and change ones bias if that's what the market is suggesting. I will post my set up (if any) in due course.
CME_MINI:ES1!Education
by LionLazzari
How to find THE BEST SHORT entry in a Range bounding market !!!!Welcome to this tutorial This is my personal take from multiple resources and +20 hours of research and my own experience with trading in a range-bound market. Range-bound trading or in this case shorting in a range-bound market contains 5 simple phases: phase A Range High + Range low forms which lead us to have a Range market. phase B Price tends to deviate above the Range High or simply sweep (upthrust) above it. Reasoning and psychology behind that= in order to catch the liquidity above the range high and trap breakout traders who just opened a long above the high before nuking to the Range Low. phase C BOS happens in ltf , triggering a trend reversal. Supply forms below the resistance, that's where we would like to build our short position later on. phase D ltf Range forms after the first sell-off, creating our base to revisit the supply that previously formed above it. (Ideally, you can enter a scalp long trade in this phase and close right at the supply) phase E Price finally revisit the supply in order to test it as resistance. Any bearish price action at the supply or ltf BOS triggers our entry, targetting the Range Low as our take profit point. There you can have a nice +4 R/R short setup, remember to place your invalidation above the newly made local high just to be safe from stop hunters ;) Make sure to leave a like and a comment if you find this small article useful I will share 2 more topics about range bound market and how to trade it in near future so follow me on Tradingview so you don't miss them xoxo
Education
by CryptoSep
9
Supply and Demand - AUDJPYThis is a good example of the relationship between supply and demand, accumulation and distribution (see the 1m chart insert from Friday 17th September). Price is constantly fluxing between the two forces deciding who has control of the market. At the point where the recent high fails to break, this is a strong signal that sellers could be in control and shorts become the more likely play. Eventually we see that demand is over-powered and at that point, price gives way and bearish momentum kicks in. Study price at the weekends when the market is closed and eventually you'll see this unfold live before your eyes
Education
by Black_Magic_Capital
Benefits of short term investment📊 Benefits of Short Term Investment 📊 ━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🔴 Short-term investing offers flexibility to the investor as they do not need to wait for the security to mature in order to get cash. On the other hand, long-term investments can be liquidated by selling in the secondary market, but the investor earns lower profits. 🔴 Investors can make substantial profits in a very short amount of time. 🔴 It is less risky as money invested per transaction is substantially lower. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━
BSE:SENSEXEducation
by dsp21486
Descending Triangle as Continuation and Bilateral patternDescending Triangle Pattern Tutorial : Descending Triangle is a bearish pattern and sometimes it also act as bilateral pattern. (about bilateral pattern in the previous post : "https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSDT/vYen5wAu-Ascending-Triangle-as-Continuation-and-Bilateral-pattern/") A Descending Triangle Pattern can be easily identified if you see a falling upper trendline along with a flat support. Also descending triangle have some shortcomings like it can occur false breakout and the price reverses same as Ascending Triangle. You need to see how strong the breakout was with the help of volume indicator at the time of breakout.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by tapasdhanadana
1
AMZN AMAZON Potential shorting opportunity When certain stocks have unfilled/un-traded areas (gaps) in the market, often the market going to revisit those areas later on. So these are areas can be targets for your trades. But in order to target those areas, we need a reason to get in. The most profitable/common method is waiting till the market exhaust and put a reversal signal. AMAZON is most likely to make a end to the BULL run and head back to fill those unfilled areas in the market. So waiting for a strong reversal signal or make another higher high with confluence to get SHORT. Good Luck Trading
NASDAQ:AMZNEducation
by sk_investments
S&P500 A short in the 6Hour time Frame chart"SPX500USD" Analysis:based on trading view script LongBuyLongSellIndicator (LBLS indicator in short). To understand completely about the LBLS indicator ,the script link is given below at the bottom.Simply click the LBLS image that will take you the latest revision. I was going through all the time frame chart of "SPX500USD" to identify the right entry. Currently I think ""SPX500USD"" will have a minor retracement here to retest the level before taking off to our predicted move. There is no myth to use several indicator to be good trader ,Use simple and effective Indicator of your choice which can help getting the right spot to trade and invest.Whatever it may let it be very simple to use. with the help of LBLS indicator , i check three basic yet effective rules for Entry. Long: Make sure the candle color transitioned from Black to Blue / Red to Green . The Strength-meters Here is the example of Strengthmeters with Open Pine code ,it is nothing but group of top performing indicators,Used 7 indicators to predict this.Minimum 4 or above showing in charts in the current candle or within two candles in Green Color (Red for Short). Background Color changing from Red to Green is the added advantage. Short: Opposite of the Long Logic's. In General in chart we have to see a pattern the price is moving HH for Long or LL for short. Please study the price action techniques to understand the HHHL,LLLH for predicting the market. This is key to success in market. Remember : The LBLS indicator analysis is one of the easiest methods to recognize the price moves and usually quite reliable. In General no trade occurs the way we want it to touch 100% right. if we can predict entry 6 out of 10 correctly ,we will win the Game whatever be the indicator used. MONEY MANAGEMENT is the secret to make money and create wealth over a period of time. Every drop count makes ocean ,Every right choice you make creates a Rich. If you are winning an average of 60% of your trades with strict money management, you are going to win the Trading Game for Sure! Take out the emotion ,Practice disciplined trades. with the rules of the indicator and price action ,This looks to be a good short at this point of time. Share your views in comments section. Remember for right entry point Remember for Stop Loss Remember for partial take profit Remember for closing the remaining profit The Main Script behind the Analysis: I would be happy if you give me a like ,that way you get updates without miss as I post :) Please don't forget to like if you appreciate this :) ;You can follow me to get updates. "
OANDA:SPX500USDEducation
by MarxBabu