VOLUME INDICATORS, PART 2. SEVEN COMMON VOLUME INDICATORS.Understanding Volume Indicators:
Volume indicators are essential tools for traders and analysts, providing insights into market activity and sentiment. In this guide, we'll explore seven common volume indicators and how you can use them to enhance your trading strategies.
1. Volume
Volume is the simplest volume indicator, representing the total number of shares or contracts traded over a specific period. It's like the crowd size at a Super Bowl game—when the stadium is packed and roaring, it indicates a lot of interest and activity. Similarly, high trading volume suggests significant buying or selling activity in the market. Traders often use volume to confirm the strength of price movements and identify potential trends.
Volume, the bedrock of volume analysis, represents the total number of shares or contracts traded over a specific period. Common parameter values range from 20 to 50 periods for short-term analysis and 100 to 200 periods for long-term trends. Remember, volume precedes price movements, so significant changes can hint at impending shifts in direction.
2. On-Balance Volume (OBV)
On-Balance Volume (OBV) adds a cumulative total of volume when the price closes up and subtracts it when the price closes down. It's akin to keeping score of how loud each team's fans are cheering during the Super Bowl game. If one team's supporters get louder as the game progresses, it suggests growing momentum for that team. Likewise, OBV helps traders gauge buying and selling pressure, providing insights into potential price movements. A rising OBV indicates bullish momentum, while a falling OBV suggests bearish sentiment.
On-Balance Volume (OBV) tracks cumulative volume based on price movements. Set your period length typically between 14 to 20 periods for optimal results. A rising OBV confirms bullish trends, while a falling OBV suggests bearish sentiment. Divergences between OBV and price often foreshadow reversals.
3. Accumulation/Distribution Line (A/D Line)
The Accumulation/Distribution Line (A/D Line) combines price and volume to show how much of a security is being accumulated or distributed. It's like a tug-of-war between the two teams during halftime at the Super Bowl. The team with more supporters pulling harder gains ground. Similarly, the A/D Line measures the battle between buyers and sellers. If it's trending upwards, it suggests that accumulation (buying) is outweighing distribution (selling), indicating potential upward price movement.
The Accumulation/Distribution Line (A/D Line) gauges the flow of funds into or out of a security. Optimal period lengths range from 14 to 30 periods. Rising A/D Line values signal accumulation and potential price appreciation, while declining values indicate distribution and possible downturns.
4. Chaikin Money Flow (CMF)
Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) measures the flow of money into or out of a security based on both price and volume. It's akin to checking the enthusiasm of the fans after each touchdown at the Super Bowl. If the fans are still hyped and buying team merchandise, it suggests sustained enthusiasm and support. CMF helps traders assess the strength of buying or selling pressure. A positive CMF suggests buying pressure, while a negative CMF indicates selling pressure.
Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) measures buying and selling pressure relative to price movements. Common period lengths vary from 10 to 30 periods. Positive CMF values indicate buying pressure, while negative values suggest selling pressure. Look for divergences between CMF and price for early reversal signals.
5. Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP)
Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) calculates the average price a security has traded at throughout the day, weighted by volume. It's like a buffet at a Super Bowl party where each dish is labeled with the average popularity rating from all the guests. The more popular dishes have a higher average rating. Similarly, VWAP gives traders a sense of the average price level where most trading activity has occurred. Traders use VWAP to assess whether their trades were executed at favorable prices relative to the day's average.
Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) calculates the average price weighted by volume. Period lengths typically range from 20 to 50 periods. VWAP acts as a dynamic support or resistance level, guiding traders on optimal entry and exit points. Monitor deviations from VWAP to identify potential trend shifts.
6. Money Flow Index (MFI)
The Money Flow Index (MFI) measures the rate at which money is flowing into or out of a security based on both price and volume. It's akin to fans at the Super Bowl game exchanging team merchandise and tickets. The more transactions happening, the more money is flowing between fans. MFI helps traders gauge market sentiment. A high MFI suggests strong buying pressure, while a low MFI indicates selling pressure. Traders often look for divergences between MFI and price movements to anticipate potential reversals.
The Money Flow Index (MFI) evaluates the rate of money flow into or out of a security. Optimal period lengths usually range from 10 to 20 periods. High MFI values indicate overbought conditions, while low values suggest oversold conditions. Watch for divergences between MFI and price for reversal signals.
7. Volume Rate of Change (VROC)
Volume Rate of Change (VROC) measures the rate of change in volume over a specific period, showing whether volume is increasing or decreasing rapidly. It's like measuring the acceleration or deceleration of the crowd's excitement level during different parts of the Super Bowl game. If the crowd gets louder and louder as the game progresses, it indicates increasing excitement and momentum. Similarly, a rising VROC suggests increasing buying or selling activity, while a falling VROC suggests waning activity.
Volume Rate of Change (VROC) measures the rate of change in volume over a specific period. Common period lengths vary from 10 to 20 periods. Rising VROC values signify increasing volume momentum, indicating potential price continuation. Falling values may precede price reversals.
GME and VOLUME? Let's go back and see GME on the Weekly
In conclusion, volume indicators provide valuable insights into market sentiment and potential price movements. By understanding and incorporating these indicators into your trading strategy, you can make more informed decisions and improve your overall trading performance.
REMEMBER, no one indicator on it's own tells you much, but a lot of different indicators all telling you the same thing at the same area... pay attention to that kind of confirmation.
Hope this helps!!
I've linked PART 1, 10 COMMON INDICATORS.
This post is all Volume related.
You can go in depth with all of these, I don't find it necessary for most traders, but the option is there, however, you'll need someone more advanced than myself to help you through that.
Simple
K.I.S.S or Keep it simple stupid In the markets, traders and investors frequently search for the optimal software tool that will produce reliable profits over the long term. Many traders believe that in order to get the best and most reliable signals they need to, find the perfect tool would need to include as many indications as feasible. The truth, however, is far different. let's explore this subject in more detail.
More is not better
Technical analysis is not a magical science that can provide traders with precise entry and exit signals with immediate gains. Trading is not an easy industry. Being a continuously effective trader needs persistence, fortitude, and frequently the capacity to endure times when things are not going well. It is just unavoidable for traders to avoid loses, and even a long-term lucrative approach cannot shield them from these situations. There is no such thing as trading with zero losses, as any seasoned trader is aware. Despite this, a lot of traders are still searching for the one simple answer that will, in their opinion, guarantee the most transactions that are successful while decreasing the number of trades that are losses.
Some people fear losses like the devil and would stop at nothing to prevent them. They believe that adding additional indicators and other tools with the primary objective of eliminating losing trades is the best course of action rather than starting from the beginning and attempting to comprehend what is really happening in the markets.
The individual indicators themselves are not problematic, but if traders begin mixing an excessive number of them with various lines and curves, things can quickly spiral out of control and produce a disorienting jumble.
Why traders do this ?
The desire to discover some "holy grail" solution, which will invariably result in winning trades with little to no losses (preferably none), is, of course the most popular motivation. Another factor could be the variety of seminars and training sessions available, or the current craze for social media videos. And after a few losses, novice traders start adding more and more indicators that should "improve" the original strategy but ends up leading to more loses down the line
The concept is that the more market indicators that support an entry signal, the more probable it is that the trade will be profitable is completely false.
Understand that the only "holy grail" that can assist a trader get greater results is to become adept at the psychological, fundamental and technical aspects of trading and to approach these activities as uncomplicatedly as possible. Inexperienced traders are typically duped by a variety of indicators and oscillators, which are meant to give the appearance that they are sophisticated tools made for experienced traders. They might function, but only to a certain extent. The price itself, which represents what is taking place in the market, should serve as the basis for a trader's decisions. As a trader you are better off keeping it simple(KISS)using robust and proven methodologies
Education Excerpt: Simple Moving AverageSimple Moving Average
The origin of inventing the Simple Moving Average (MA) is not clear. Although, some of the first documented cases of its use date as far back as the early 20th century. Implementation of moving averages in technical analysis is one of the most successful methods of identifying trends. Moving averages are simply constant period averages - usually of prices, that are calculated for each successive period interval. The result of calculation is then plotted on the chart as a smooth line that represents successive average prices. Thus, the calculation of the moving average dampens fluctuations of price of an asset, making it easier to spot an underlying trend. Though use of the moving average goes beyond identifying trends. Support, resistance and price extremes can be anticipated by correct interpretation of the moving average.
Crossover
Generally, when the moving average with a lower period interval crosses above the moving average with a higher period interval it is considered a bullish signal. On the other hand, when the moving average with a longer period interval crosses above the moving average with a lower period interval it is considered a bearish signal. These crossovers can serve as specific buy and sell signals in markets that are trending. However, moving average crossovers tend to produce many false signals in non-trending markets. Furthermore, these same crossovers can act as support or resistance levels.
Illustration 1.01
Picture above depicts daily graph of PepsiCo (Ticker:PEP) with 20-day SMA (blue) and 35-day SMA (red). With implementation of these two moving averages it is easily observable that prevailing trend is bullish. Crossovers between these two simple moving averages reveal where trend began (10th February 2017) and where it ended (7th July 2017). In addition to that analyst can identify price extremes when price deviates too far from its 20-day SMA.
Length of the period
Different lengths of moving average directly translate to the amount of data used in the calculation. Including more data in the calculation of the moving average makes each data per time interval relatively less important. Therefore, a large change in one particular data would not have as large an impact on the overall result of the calculation in comparison to if the moving average with a shorter period was employed. Hence, the longer moving average produces less false signals at the cost of revealing underlying trend sooner rather than later. Usually, the use of two moving averages with different period intervals is encouraged as opposed to use of a single moving average. This comes from the premise that when two moving averages with different period intervals are plotted on a chart, they tend to show two separate lines converging and diverging.
Illustration 1.02
Picture above depicts daily graph of XAUUSD with 3-day SMA (blue) and 6-day SMA (red). Viewer can see that 3-day SMA copies price move more agressively than 6-day SMA.
Illustration 1.03
Picture above depicts exactly same graph as is showed in Illustration 1.02. However, length of SMAs differs. Blue line represents 10-day SMA while red line represents 20-day SMA. It is clear that when length of SMAs was extended then SMAs produced less mechanical signals (crossovers) as opposed to SMAs used in Illustration 1.02.
Calculation
The calculation of the moving average usually involves use of the close price. Normally, 10, 20, 50, 100 or 200 periods are used and the calculation is conducted by creating the arithmetic mean of a dataset.
SMA = (A1 + A2 + An) : n
A = average in period n
n = number of time periods
Illustration 1.04
Picture above shows daily graph of Coca Cola (Ticker:KO). In this particular example trend was neutral and it is visible that crossovers between two simple averages produced many false signals.
Disclaimer: This content is just excerpt from full paper that will be published later. It serves educational purpose only.
How “SIMPLE” it is to Trade for a LivingWe just reached +1K followers here so This article/post is a thank you for each and every one of you.
Short answer: not easy but doable if done the proper way (my story at the end)
Long answer: trading for a living is a fantasy every trader has. however, to be accomplished it requires a strong mindset, a proven record with an objective well-defined trading plan, a trading journal to learn from your mistakes and keep improving, financial stability, consistency…
Forget about these gurus taking pictures driving a Ferrari and partying all year, traveling the world, and trading on the beach. (these so-called gurus use it as a marketing plan to attract people on their pages)
Before I tell how you can trade for a living, let us consider these two aspects:
Psychological Aspect: you shouldn’t depend on your forex account as your main income (to pay your monthly bills) as you will get emotional, make irrational mistakes, and you will end up not following your trading plan objectively. consequently, you will be afraid that you won’t profit this week/month, thus won’t be able to pay your bills.
Technical Aspect: you shouldn’t withdraw from your account frequently (every month/year for example). Let’s say your account is 10 000$ and you managed to make a 100% growth by end of the year. so your account is now 20 000$.
Because you need to pay bills, you will have to withdraw the profits, so you are left with 10 000$ once again. To make another 100% next year to pay your bills again. so you are not getting any further and still stuck in the rat race.
The right way is to keep your profits for your account to grow exponentially. For example, if you have 10 000$ and you make a 100% return this year, your account is now 20 000$, you keep the profits, and your 1% per trade is now 200$ instead of 100$, by end of the second year you also make 100%, now you have 40 000$ and so on…
As per the above two aspects, you shouldn’t withdraw from your account frequently ☝️
how to treat forex then? and how to be able to trade for a living? 👇
You have two options:
1- Have another source of income: like a job or a business that you depend on to pay your monthly bills. This way you won’t get emotional in trading and you won’t withdraw from your account for it to grow exponentially
2- Savings / my story: I quit my job on July 5th, 2018 to trade for a living. My plan was to save an amount of money, enough for me to live the same lifestyle I am used to for 2 years from now, without the need to withdraw from my account.
For example, if my usual monthly expenses are 1000$, then I need to save 24 000$ before I quit my job. this way, I can survive for two years without withdrawing from my account or depending on it.
In conclusion, trading as a career is doable but it requires a lot of dedication and planning in order for it to be successful. The most important aspect you need to focus on is being emotionally stable at all times in order to follow your trading plan in an objective manner.
All strategies are good; if managed properly!
~Rich