Ninja Talks EP 13: Monk ModeA Bambi's biggest trading obstacle in 2023 will be over trading in a bear market, especially the crypto kiddies looking for their next pump.
This is why you have to restrain from whoring yourself out to the market in the hopes of making a quick buck.
We call this, monk mode.
Not the whoring, the opposite.
Monk mode is abstinence from indulgence and has been the theme of a couple of our past episodes - and for good reason, it's what 99% of tiktok traders these days suffer from, so as a public servant and your local connoisseur of fine trade ideas I give you the following guidance.
Create a fatal funnel of filtration.
Filter trades through a strict process.
Example;
Potential
Potential high quality
Triggered high quality
Triggered+ confirmation on lower timeframe high quality
You can use tradingviews watchlists and flag function to get the job down easy.
This process will ensure you (1) Take only A+ setups (2) Remove all unnecessary trade setups (3) Maintain a higher win rate (4) Improve confidence and reduce anxiety and most importantly (5) Eradicate over trading.
Does this make sense what I'm saying?
Tldr version;
Create a very strict filtration system to ensure you don't chase weak trades and only profit from A+ setups.
Hope this helps.
Follow me here and on Twitter for more.
See you in the next episode Ninjas!
Nick
SPCE
Psychological Roots of Failure in TradingI write this article to shine a light on the importance of the learning process and increasing your knowledge in trading.
Unfortunately, many new traders start trading during the bull cycle without knowing the basics of the market, and the result is almost always the same.
They do not know Bullish trends will not last forever, and this coin has another side!
I remember when I published my RIOT analysis on Nov 5th, 2020, the price was 3.81 USD/share and my target was 55 USD/share!
I relieved many comments that is a scam or some others made fun of me!
RIOT skyrocketed to 79.50 and then I published my first short analysis on Feb 18, 2021, this time everyone oppose me that it is a buying opportunity at 62 USD/share!
I experienced the same situation over and over again:
NASDAQ:WKHS
NASDAQ:TLRY
NYSE:SPCE
Now for those who like to know the underlying cause of Boom-Bust cycles in the market, I would like to explain more:
Soros’ boom-bust cycle, explains the three phases of price change as:
1- The “far-from-equilibrium” upswing,
2-The phase transition turning point, and
3--The downswing and return to “near-equilibrium” conditions.
I believe we can evaluate the participants psychological condition as well:
Charles Darwin wrote in his book The Descent of Man, "Ignorance more frequently begets confidence than does knowledge."
We can consider darwin's quote the basis for the psychological researches by psychologists David Dunning and Justin Kruger.
The Dunning-Kruger effect
The Dunning-Kruger effect is a type of cognitive bias in which people believe that they are smarter than others and more capable than they are. Essentially, low ability people do not possess the skills needed to recognize their incompetence. The combination of poor self-awareness and low cognitive ability leads them to overestimate their capabilities.
A Little Knowledge Can Lead to Overconfidence
Another contributing factor is that sometimes a tiny bit of knowledge on a subject can lead people to mistakenly believe that they know all there is to know about it. As the old saying goes, a little bit of knowledge can be a dangerous thing. A person might have the slimmest bit of awareness about a subject, yet thanks to the Dunning-Kruger effect, believe that he or she is an expert.
Other factors that can contribute to the effect include our use of analytical or mental shortcuts that allow us to make decisions quickly, and our tendency to seek out patterns even where none exist. Our minds are primed to try to make sense of the disparate array of information we deal with daily. It is perhaps not surprising that we sometimes fail to accurately judge how well we do.
Is There Any Way to Overcome the Dunning-Kruger Effect?
Keep learning and practicing
Instead of assuming you know all, there is to know about a subject, keep digging deeper.
Ask other people how you're doing
Another effective strategy involves asking others for constructive criticism.
Question what you know
Seek out information that challenges your ideas, as you learn more and get feedback, it can be easy to only pay attention to things that confirm what you think you already know. This is an example of another type of psychological bias known as confirmation bias.
Dunning and Kruger suggest that as experience with the subject increases, confidence typically declines to more realistic levels. As people learn more about the topic of interest, they begin to recognize their lack of knowledge and ability. Then as people gain more information and become experts on a topic, their confidence levels begin to improve once again.
Conclusion:
you should keep updating your knowledge about the market and accept that as a never-ending process regardless of your experience.
Best,
Moshkelgosha
Reference Articles:
www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
psycnet.apa.org
www.britannica.com
www.verywellmind.com
www.psychologytoday.com
Market Manipulation, a Conspiracy theory or a Provable fact?Those who run this show using the same technique over and over to benefit from beginner traders' sense of FOMO..!
They are ready before the news comes out already bought their options, and run the show.
look at other examples:
1- NYSE:SPCE
2- NYSE:RBLX
The price pattern and the Price*Volume patterns are very identical..!
Clear example of Market ManipulationThis could be done by:
Algorithms
Hedge Funds
Individuals
Most Probable Scenario : Hedge Fund using Algorithmic trading
Trading value at the top of the channel is 11.1 million dollar in both case and happened in first 30 minutes of the market..!
Only a fool would not consider this as market manipulation!
Moshkelgosha