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US FEDERAL interest rate, ImpactionsThe Federal Reserve announces it frankly. We don't know if raising the interest rate will lead to an economic recession, and this is the only way to stop inflation! The probability of a recession is 99.9%, -According to the Head of Fixed Income in the Fund Management Division at Bank of Montreal, BMO. - Bank of Montreal this month, expected inflation to be 8.3%, and in fact, the inflation data came out the same as its prediction. The US Federal Reserve is the most tight-lipped among central banks and the preference for the dollar 🛑 Gold prices continue to decline with the rise of the dollar and expectations that the Federal Reserve will continue to raise interest rates. Powell: How much pain depends on the timeline for the 2% inflation target P owell: In the housing market, we have to undergo a correction to return to normal price growth Inflation forecasts according to the Federal Reserve: 2022: 5.4% 2023: 2.8% 2024: 2.3% 2025: 2.0% best regards [/b ]Srosh Mayi
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by SroshMayi
2
Support and Resistance Basics + Trend LinesSupport and Resistance Basics: The concepts of trading level Support and resistance are undoubtedly two of the most highly discussed attributes of technical analysis . As part of analyzing chart patterns, these terms are used by traders to refer to price levels on charts that tend to act as barriers, preventing the price of an asset from getting pushed in a certain direction. At first, the explanation and idea behind identifying these levels seem easy, but as you'll find out, support and resistance can come in various forms, and the concept is more difficult to master than it first appears. KEY TAKEAWAYS: 1-Technical analysts use support and resistance levels to identify price points on a chart where the probabilities favor a pause or reversal of a prevailing trend. 2-Support occurs where a downtrend is expected to pause due to a concentration of demand. 3-Resistance occurs where an uptrend is expected to pause temporarily, due to a concentration of supply. 4-Market psychology plays a major role as traders and investors remember the past and react to changing conditions to anticipate future market movements. 5-Support and resistance areas can be identified on charts using trendlines and moving averages. Support and Resistance Defined Support is a price level where a downtrend can be expected to pause due to a concentration of demand or buying interest. As the price of assets or securities drops, demand for the shares increases, thus forming the support line. Meanwhile, resistance zones arise due to selling interest when prices have increased. Once an area or "zone" of support or resistance has been identified, those price levels can serve as potential entry or exit points because, as a price reaches a point of support or resistance, it will do one of two things—bounce back away from the support or resistance level, or violate the price level and continue in its direction—until it hits the next support or resistance level. The timing of some trades is based on the belief that support and resistance zones will not be broken. Whether the price is halted by the support or resistance level, or it breaks through, traders can "bet" on the direction and can quickly determine if they are correct. If the price moves in the wrong direction, the position can be closed at a small loss. If the price moves in the right direction, however, the move may be substantial. Trendlines: The examples above show a constant level prevents an asset's price from moving higher or lower. This static barrier is one of the most popular forms of support/resistance, but the price of financial assets generally trends upward or downward, so it is not uncommon to see these price barriers change over time. This is why the concepts of trending and trendlines are important when learning about support and resistance . When the market is trending to the upside, resistance levels are formed as the price action slows and starts to move back toward the trendline. This occurs as a result of profit-taking or near-term uncertainty for a particular issue or sector. The resulting price action undergoes a "plateau" effect, or a slight drop-off in stock price, creating a short-term top. Many traders will pay close attention to the price of a security as it falls toward the broader support of the trendline because, historically, this has been an area that has prevented the price of the asset from moving substantially lower. For example, as you can see from the chart above, a trendline can provide support for an asset for several years. In this case, notice how the trendline propped up the price of Newmont's shares for an extended period of time. On the other hand, when the market is trending to the downside, traders will watch for a series of declining peaks and will attempt to connect these peaks together with a trendline. When the price approaches the trendline, most traders will watch for the asset to encounter selling pressure and may consider entering a short position because this is an area that has pushed the price downward in the past. The support/resistance of an identified level, whether discovered with a trendline or through any other method, is deemed to be stronger the more times that the price has historically been unable to move beyond it. Many technical traders will use their identified support and resistance levels to choose strategic entry/exit points because these areas often represent the prices that are the most influential to an asset's direction. Most traders are confident at these levels in the underlying value of the asset, so the volume generally increases more than usual, making it much more difficult for traders to continue driving the price higher or lower. Important: Unlike the rational economic actors portrayed by financial models, real human traders and investors are emotional, make cognitive errors, and fall back on heuristics or shortcuts. If people were rational, support and resistance levels wouldn't work in practice! 👀 Follow us here on TradingView for daily updates and trade ideas on Stocks and Forex and cryptocurrency, and commodities 💎 👍Hit like & Follow 🔔 We thank you for your support! SROSH
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by SroshMayi