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Stochastic Oscillator

A simple long-term T/F Stochastic Trick You Will Only Learn Here Cast your minds back to the end of 2015 guys. I know you probably have no recall on the Gold-price. So let me tell you how the Gold price was behaving at the end of 2015. For several years prior (approximately) 2012-2015 the Gold Price was trending down to a support level around December 2015. Now, take a look at the 3 MONTH-Chart for XAU USD. What do you see when looking at the 2nd bottom of chart indicator the Stochastics. Scan from left to right from 2007 to 2024. How many times does it get over-sold under the crucial 20 level. Do you get my drift? Just prior to December 2015 the Stochastic on the 3M chart crossed-down below the 20 level. But it would've been pressing-down-hard at the floor so you would not be buying yet. But now, look what happens to price around December 2015 when the 3-MONTH-STOCHASTIC INDICATOR crosses up the Green-20 line. You are correct, price starts to rally-hard. Forget the so-called gurus selling the b.s. indicators guys. Stochastics and especially on the Higher-Time-Frame is the "KING" of all indicators. It's only let-down is that it does tend to give you a road-map of when to exit your trade. That road-map can be achieved tracking the MACD, which incidentally, the MACD got you into a trade here in Gold not long after the Stochastic crossed-up the 20, there was a Bullish cross-up of the MACD lines. The lower under the zero line this MACD cross occurs. Following the MACD and RSI can actually create a road-map like you are driving a car and trying to avoid an interest, I might explain this another time. But again, nobody will teach you this trading secret on the Highertimeframes, you will only learn it from the 100% free subscription service delivered by me here at easy_explosive_trades. Just imagine buying 1 lot in XAU USD and capitalising on that 138% move. I have not done the maths. These are the big trades I look for on the highertimeframes. I started investing and trading during the GFC in 2008 but in 2015 I did not know about this very insider high-time-frame trick using the number 1 indicator, the King-Stochastics, it get you into trades on HTF with needle point accuracy. Nobody showed me this trick. I work these things out myself. I wanted to share it with you. As I am proud to have you part of my channel. Cheers, Chris easy_explosive_trader * Trading is risky. Don't rely solely on my investment advice. Monday's trades: We are bidding up the Silver price & Palladium. Both of these and especially Palladium are bullish on the HTF. Hey..... forget these gurus with their 72 day moving averages & 171 day moving averages. You make money sticking to the basics in trading. Finally, I encourage you to, if you take my trades, to always risk no more than 0.25% to 0.50%. I endeavour always to give you fantastic RR not this 1:1 crap that the expensive subscriptions in Gold and Currency's charge. I make enough money trading, I don't need to make money out of you.
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSDEducation
by Easy_Explosive_Trading
1
Beating the S&P500 (SPX) Buy&Hold strategy by 16 timesS&P500 (SPX) strategy using Stochastic RSI Min-Max, normalized Volatility and Trailing Stop signals, beats the Buy&Hold strategy by 16 times Embarking on the quest to time the market accurately, the 'Holy Grail' of strategies, led me to create a script to approach this goal. Unlike other strategies that I tested, this one not only surpasses the long-term S&P500 Buy&Hold approach but does so by a remarkable 16.38 times! Initially, I employed an A.I. program based on an LSTM Neural Network using TensorFlow. Despite achieving a 55% next-day prediction accuracy for short/long positions, I sought improvement using a heuristic pine-scripting approach, incorporating stochastic RSI oscillators, moving averages, and volatility signals. With default parameters, this strategy, freely available as "XPloRR S&P500 Stock Market Crash Detection Strategy v2" delivered a staggering 2,663,001% profit since February 1871. In the same period, the Buy&Hold strategy "only" generated 162,599% profit. Picture this: a $1,000 investment in 1871 would now be worth $26,630,014 by February 2024. Check it out for yourself loading this strategy. The script operates as a Stochastic RSI Min-Max script, automatically generating buy and sell alerts on the S&P500 SPX. What sets it apart? The strategy detects "corrections," minimizes losses using Trailing Stop and Moving Average parameters, and strategically re-enters the market after detecting bottoms using tuned Stochastic RSI signals and normalized Volatility thresholds. Tailor its parameters to your preference, use it for strategic exits and entries, or stick to the Buy&Hold strategy and start new buy trades at regular intervals using buy signals only. In the pursuit of minimizing losses, the script has learned the effectiveness of a 9% trailing stop on trades. As you can clearly see on the upper graph (revolving around 100), the average overall green surfaces (profits) of all trades are much bigger than the average red surfaces (losses). This follows Warren Buffets first rule of trading to "Never lose money" and thus minimizing losses. Update: Advanced S&P500 Stochastic RSI Min-Max Buy/Sell Alert Generator I have also created an Alerter script based on the same engine as this script, which auto-generates buy and sell alert signals (via e-mail, in-app push-notifications, pop-ups etc.). The script is currently fine-tuned for the S&P500 SPX tracker, but parameters can be fine-tuned upon request for other trackers or stocks. If you are interested in this alerter-version script or fine-tuning other trackers, please drop me a message or mail xplorr at live dot com. How to use this Strategy? Select the SPX (S&P500) graph and set the value to "Day" values (top) and set "Auto Fit Data To Screen" (bottom-right). Select in the Indicators the "XPloRR S&P500 Stock Market Crash Detection Strategy v2" script and set "Auto Fit Data To Screen" (bottom-right) Look in the strategy tester overview to optimize the values "Percent Profitable" and "Net Profit" (using the strategy settings icon, you can increase/decrease the parameters). How to interpret the graphical information? In the SPX graph, you will see the Buy(Blue) and Sell(Purple) labels created by the strategy. The green/red graph below shows the accumulated profit/loss in % of to the initial buy value of the trade (it revolves around 100%, 110 means 10% profit, 95 means 5% loss) The small purple blocks indicate out-of-trade periods The green graph below the zero line is the stochastic RSI buy signal. You can set a threshold (green horizontal line). The vertical green lines show minima below that threshold and indicate possible buy signals. The blue graph above the zero line is the normalized volatility signal. You can set a threshold (blue horizontal line) affecting buy signals. The red graph above the zero line is the slower stochastic RSI sell signal. You can set a threshold (red horizontal line). The red areas indicate values above that threshold. However real exits are triggered if close values are crossing below the trailing stop value or optionally when the fast moving average crosses under the slow one. The red areas above the threshold are rather indicative to show that the SPX is expensive and not ideal to enter. Please note that in bullish periods the red line and areas can stay at a permanent high value, so it is not ideal to use as a strict sell signal. However, when it drops below zero and the green vertical lines appear, these are strong buy signals together with a high volatility. These Parameters can be changed Buy Stochastic Lookback Buy Stochastic Smoother Buy Threshold Buy Only After Fall Minimum % Fall Sell Stochastic Lookback Sell Stochastic Smoother Sell Threshold Sell Only With Profit Minimum % Profit Use Sell MA Fast MA Sell Slow MA Sell MA Sell Threshold Use Buy Volatility Volatility Smoother Volatility Threshold Use Trailing Stop Use ATR (iso of a fixed percentage for the trailing stop) ATR Lookback Trailing Stop Factor(or fixed percentage if "use ATR" is false) Trailing Stop Smoother Important : optimizing and using these parameters is no guarantee for future winning trades!
SP:SPXEducation
by XPl0RR
Stochastic RSI in detail and how to use it.The Stoch RSI (Stochastic Relative Strength Index) is a technical analysis indicator used to identify overbought or oversold conditions in financial markets. It is a combination of two popular indicators: the Stochastic Oscillator and the Relative Strength Index (RSI). The Stoch RSI applies the Stochastic Oscillator formula to the RSI values, aiming to provide a more sensitive and faster signal for potential trend reversal. The Stoch RSI is calculated as follows: Choose the time period for which you want to calculate the Stoch RSI. The most common period is 14 . Calculate the RSI: (Detailed post on this in the link below) Determine the highest and lowest RSI values: Identify the highest and lowest RSI values over the same time period (e.g., 14 days). Calculate the Stoch RSI: Use the following formula to calculate the Stoch RSI: Stoch RSI = (Current RSI - Lowest RSI) / (Highest RSI - Lowest RSI) The resulting Stoch RSI value will range from 0 to 1 (or 0% to 100%). A value above 0.8 (or 80%) typically indicates an overbought condition, suggesting a potential price correction or reversal, while a value below 0.2 (or 20%) indicates an oversold condition, which may represent a buying opportunity. What does Stoch RSI tell us ? Stoch RSI is a measure of how fast the RSI is changing. As an analogy. Imagine you are driving your car and have foot on the accelerator which will cause increase in the speed of your cat at every moment, now the rate at which your car's speed increases is acceleration. The bigger the more powerful engine your car has the more acceleration you get and the faster you get to the top speed of your car. So, in this analogy speed of your car at any instant is RSI , acceleration is Stoch RSI and top speed of your car is overbought condition of an asset. RSI measures who is relatively more aggressive among buyers and sellers at a given instant. Stoch RSI measures how aggressive the buyers or sellers are at a given instant. So just like in a fight if someone is too aggressive, they are going to spend themselves too quickly and even though they want to fight more they won't be able to until they ease up and relax a bit, this is similar to Stoch RSI of an asset getting to overbought condition and then asset either retraces or takes a pause as buyers are exhausted and need to regain strength by taking profits which turns them into sellers and the asset starts moving in opposite direction. Why is 80 considered overbought? The number 80 is chosen based on empirical evidence, suggesting that when the Stoch RSI reaches these extreme values, there is a higher probability of a price reversal or correction. When the Stoch RSI is above 80, it indicates that the asset's price has risen significantly over a short period and could be overextended. In this situation, the asset may be overvalued, and traders may consider selling or taking profits as the price could reverse or correct. How to use Stoch RSI to enter a trade? How to enter a Long Trade: ======================= Step 1. Always use Stoch RSI along with RSI to make a decision: Step 2. Use it on mid to high term time frame (4h and higher). Step 3. Make sure both RSI and Stoch RSI are in oversold zone. Step 4. Make sure the asset is resting on a key support level and holding it. Step 5. Fearlessly enter the trade. How to enter a Short Trade: ======================= Step 1. Always use Stoch RSI along with RSI to make a decision: Step 2. Use it on mid to high term time frame (4h and higher). Step 3. Make sure both RSI and Stoch RSI are in overbought zone. Step 4. Make sure the asset is rejected from a key resistance level and is not able to breach it. Step 5. Fearlessly enter the trade. What happens if Support or Resistance is broken in Step 3 above: ======================================================= That's where divergences come into play. What is a divergence? =================== Divergence is a technical analysis concept that occurs when the price of an asset and RSI/Stoch RSI indicator move in opposite directions, indicating a potential trend reversal. There are two types of divergences: bullish divergence and bearish divergence. Bullish divergence occurs when the price of an asset makes a new low while the RSI/Stoch RSI indicator makes a higher low. Remember from explanation provided in sections above, this suggests that even though the price is going lower there are more buying activities than selling and the assets are becoming stronger, and a potential trend reversal may be imminent. Bearish divergence, on the other hand, occurs when the price of an asset makes a new high while the RSI/Stoch RSI indicator makes a lower high. I have highlighted bullish divergence in chart with purple line. Shown in Red line is bullish Divergence in Stoch RSI, when RSI is not fully oversold, this can happen when a new support is being formed on the chart due to changes in fundamentals of the underlying asset or some news events. Bullish and Bearish Divergences are even more powerful signals for taking trades, but we must make sure price is holding a support or rejecting from a resistance before taking the trades, otherwise divergences can easily disappear. Why do traders fail to effectively use RSI? The primary reason is lack of experience in trading. Which leads to impatient behavior. Not knowing how to mark key support/resistance levels. No risk management skills. (Taking too much risk) Lack of trust in self when taking trades, (Keep stopping losses too tight which knocks them out of the trades). I have shown several instances where RSI generated long signals and all of them were successful, the only reason a trader would not be able to use RSI effectively is because of the above reasons.
SP:SPXEducation
by zakoraio
Overbought & OversoldIf you can identify overbought or oversold conditions, as a trader, this can be highly profitable. In particular, these are two definitions that refer to the extreme values of the price in addition to their intrinsic value. So, when these conditions appear, a reversal of the direction of the price is highly expected. What is Overbought? When something is ‘overbought’, it means that the price is thriving for a long peri. Because of this, it’s trading at a higher price than it actually should be. In other words, the asset is overly expensive and a sell-off is about to happen. What is Oversold? When something is ‘oversold’, it means the price is in a negative momentum for an extended period. Because of this, it’s trading at a lower price than it actually should be. In other words, the asset is overly cheap and an upward rise is about to happen. Indicators Moreover, there’re plenty of technical indicators which you could use in technical analysis. To confirm the Overbought and Oversold conditions the three indicators commonly used are: Bollinger Bands, Relative Strength Index and Stochastics Bollinger Bands The Bollinger Bands appear as a channel. Specifically, the middle line is often a twenty-period moving average. On the other hand, the upper band is the moving average plus two times its standard deviation. Furthermore, the lower band is the moving average minus two times its standard deviation. As a result, the price seems to fluctuate in this channel and normally doesn’t move out of the bands. However, when the price tends to move out of the upper band the price can be considered as overbought. Likewise, the same thing happens when the price moves out of the lower band, the price can be considered oversold. Relative Strength Index The Relative Strength Index is a momentum oscillator where the horizontal axis appears as a function of time and the vertical axis as on a scale of 0 to 100. In addition, the standard amount of periods used for this indicator is 14. So, the Relative Strength Index measures the magnitude and the speed of recent price action. The indicator compares a security strength on days when prices go up to its strength on days when prices go down. Yet when the Relative Strength Index has a value higher than 70 the price can be considered as overbought. When the opposite happens and the price drops down a value of 30 the price can be considered as oversold. Stochastics Stochastics is like the Relative Strength Index, a momentum oscillator where the horizontal axis appears as a function of time and the vertical axis is displayed on a scale of 0 to 100. However, the stochastic oscillator is predicated on the assumption that closing prices should move in the same direction as the current trend. Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index is measuring the magnitude and the speed of the current price action. The Stochastic oscillator does calculate this value and expresses this value into a %K. In addition, the standard amount of periods used for this indicator is 14. When the %K crosses a value of 80 the price can be considered as overbought. When the opposite happens and the price drops down a value of 20 the price can be considered as oversold. Combined One indicator that matches the criteria for being ‘overbought’ or ‘oversold’ can suggest a small trend reversal. But once all 3 indicators combined are matching the criteria, the assumption of a trend reversal is very likely to happen. Therefore, for trading in general this can be a profitable and low-risk strategy.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by vf_investment
3
LTCUSD- Trading The Stoch RSIHi all, I would like to present to you an educational piece regarding a particular trading methodology. This involves using the Stoch RSI indicator as your primary utility. This trading strategy is only as good as your money management strategies are. Everyone employees different money management strategies, so how you approach this is up to you. This can be used for any coin/stock, so long as you set stop losses that you are comfortable with. This trading style requires you to be fairly liquid, and it's akin to a fast pace version of swing trading, depending on the time frame. This trading style works best on the smaller time frames (5m, 15m, 30m, etc.), and it's advised you set proper stop losses every time. The trading strategy is quite self-explanatory- when the Stoch RSI enters the oversold territory, you get ready to open a long. When it enters overbought territory, you exit the trade or open a short. The reason this trading style may be seen as favorable is because it allows you to circumvent extreme volatility, therefore minimizing extreme downside. Remember, the best traders are okay with losing trades, so long as they win on average. By employing this trading strategy, you are less concerned with the current price of the coin, or where it may be headed over the course of the next few days/weeks/months. What you are ultimately interested in is riding a 1-3% rally up, then promptly exiting. The beauty of this trading strategy is that you can find a multitude of coins that will go through this process, and if you get a good rhythm going, you can constantly find trades to set up and win. You must accept the fact that you won't win every trade you enter, and you must accept that you WILL lose money, but as long as you have a consistent strategy to follow that works, you will succeed. Just be aware that this particular strategy requires a level of attention similar to that of scalping. You can of course do this on larger time frames, but you will obviously be trading far less waves. In the example I've charted, for example, if someone traded all those intervals successfully, they'd have earned 45% over 9 days, which is obviously a great gain. No one is able to actually trade that accurately, but it's clear that the potential is there. Remember, successful trading is just as much a complementary positive psychology as it is anything else. If you get yourself into a winner's mindset, you will begin to win far more. Happy trading!
COINBASE:LTCUSDEducation
by NickPadovani
Trading Applications: How To Use Oscillators Correctly! You need to read the tutorial first before this post. Here is the tutorial : This is an example of how to apply the concepts I explained in the oscillators tutorials. I have numbered the text boxes so that you read them in the correct sequence. Start from the left hand side and move along the chart. In this example we have applied some basic concepts like support and resistance and candlestick patterns as an additional tools to the oscillators. It is always important to use more tools to support your view (but not too many). Also it's always important to put things in context of the the price action. Whether it is trending up or down or sideways. In addition, remember to look at the bigger picture, as an uptrend on the daily chart , might be merely an upwave in a sideways market on the weekly or monthly chart. Best Technician
Education
by Technician
18
Trading Fundamentals: How To Use Oscillators Correctly!Note: A prerequisite tutorial about trends is posted in the related links below. Oscillators can be a very useful indicators in trading if used correctly. However misusing them will only return disappointing results. Some of the most popular examples of oscillators are the stochastics, and relative strength index . I will use stochastic in this tutorial, but the same logic applies to most other oscillators. Definitions: What are oscillators: Oscillators are indicators that derive their value from the price . The price is an input for the oscillator formula. The formula is usually a simple calculation that compares the latest close value for the price to a the range of price over a specific period of time( u can change this period in the oscillators settings). Then give the result in a percentage format(0 to 100). The main purpose of this calculation is to show whether the price is overbought or oversold compared to that period range. For example: if stochastic reading is at 80% or above, its said to be overbought. And if at 20% below it is oversold. Divergence: When the price is making new highs and the oscillator fails to make a new high, this is called a bearish divergence. The opposite is true, when the price is making new lows and the oscillator fails to make new lows this is called a bullish divergence. Bullish divergence is a buy signal and bearish divergence is sell signal. If you follow the overbought and oversold signals and divergences as a sell and buy signals without taking in consideration the price trend, the results will be catastrophic. ill explain why shortly How to use oscillators to maximize your chances: 1) In TRENDING MARKETS Rule #1: Oversold signals in uptrending market is a reliable buy signal. Overbought signals in downtrending market is reliable sell signal. Look at the chart, start from the left, you can see that the price broke above the latest swing high for the prior down trend, And that signalled a potential reversal. Accordingly, a trader should had looked to buy new oversold signals on stochastic. Afterwards, every time the stoch. was oversold in this uptrending market, we witnessed a rebound and resumption of the uptrend. Same logic should be applied to downtrending market. Rule #2: Overbought doesn't mean sell if occurs in an uptrend, and oversold doesn't mean buy if in downtrend. Rule #3 : Bearish divergence doesn't mean sell if occurs in an uptrend, and bullish divergence doesn't mean buy if occurs in a downtrend. This might be counter intuitive, but the chart above gives a clear example: As you can see on the chart, when the market is up-trending, overbought, and bearish divergences signals are very common due to the fact that there is a strong demand. Therefore these signals are NOT RELIABLE and should be ignored. UNLESS there are other major multiple technical indications of reversal such as a major resistance level, and a bearish candlestick formation, or trend structure break. Same logic goes for down-trending market, where you should ignore oversold signals and bullish divergences. At the end of the chart, another example of a bearish breakout below the uptrend structure. That was an early signal of a new downtrend. After that breakout, traders should look to sell new OB signals on stochastic. 2) In SIDEWAYS MARKETS Overbought and oversold are reliable on a sideways market. Have a look at the image below If you spot a side-ways market, look to buy oversold signals and sell overbought signals. As the price tends to reverse direction near the top and bottom of the range. If the range is broken, you should exit your trade and stop applying the the logic of sideways market. instead look to apply the logic of the trending market explained above. Hope this will help you trade better Best Tech
Education
by Technician
29