7 points to check before investing in any companyStock picking is the core of value investing. Legends like Warren Buffet, Rakesh Jhunjhunwala, and Vijay Kedia are Masters of It.
In this post ,l will teach you how to analyze stocks like a professional.
Stock picking plays a pivotal role in identifying undervalued companies with significant growth
potential.
Here are 7 points to check before investing in any company.
Let’s start...
(Last one is the most important)
Business profile:
How does the company make money?
If the business profile doesn’t look attractive or money-making system is complex for you to
understand, you can stop looking into the company right away.
Always invest in companies whose business is easy to understand and within your circle of
competence.
Management and Promoters structure:
You want to invest in companies with good management who are focused on long-term growth. Look at the track record of current management. Look whether insiders are heavily buying into their own stock, it’s a great sign.
I have seen many promoters who are just dumping their shares to retailers and exiting. Avoid such companies.
Moat:
Just like strategy provides an edge in trading to a trader. A moat is a unique competitive advantage that a company has over its competitors.
Invest in clear market leaders with strong pricing power.
For eg:
e Titan in Jewelry
e BSE in stock exchange
Growth capital:
Good companies don’t require much capital to grow. Check their annual report and seeing which companies are growing in revenue and profits, but the increase in expenses are very less.
CAPEX/Sales and CAPEX/Operating Cash Flow are 2 great metrics to look at the capital efficiency of a company.
Capital usage:
The most important task for company management is to use the capital wisely.
We want a company that is re-investing in its business and buying their own shares. You want to invest in companies with a ROIC > 15%
Balance sheet & profitability:
Only invest in companies which are in good financial health. Don’t trust what their management is speaking , see their results in balance sheet.
We want companies with low debt, high cash flow & high gross margins.
Outlook:
This is most important. Good past records don't gurantee future growth. So it iss very important to invest in a company with a good outlook.
Seek companies which are active in a secular trend. Invest in the Future.
Renewable Energy, EV, Ecommerce, Digital Payment, Luxury Etc.
Stockpicks
How The Economy Affects The Stock Market ? How The Economy Affects The Stock Market ?
There are many factors that affect how the stock market is doing, and whether it’s moving up or down: the political climate, social factors, interest rates, trends and shifts in what investors prefer.
So how does the economy affect the stock market?
If the general population feels as if the economy will soon be taking a turn for the worse, they tend to sell stock because bonds and treasuries offer a safer return. On the flip side, when people are feeling confident and optimistic about the economy, they tend to buy stock, taking more risk for greater reward.
From a high-level approach, when people feel good about the economy, they tend to buy more stock. When things are happening in the world make them feel unsure, they will be more conservative, and might gravitate toward lower-risk investments such as bonds and Treasury bills.
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Barrelin 2.0 - Without Rules There Is Chaos!I am now about 4 weeks into sharing my #Barrelin pattern and associated trading strategy mostly on Twitter.
In that time I have developed more regimented rules in hopes of automating the hunting if not the trades themselves. Here is the strategy as it stands today:
————-
Entry
4hr close above 75% on RSI (14)
Continuation
Hold EMA (8) on 4hr close
OR
1D close above 75% on RSI (14) (aka ‘Handoff to 1D’) AND Hold EMA (8) on 1D close
OR
1W close above 75% on RSI (14) (aka ‘Handoff to 1W’) AND Hold EMA (8) on 1W close
OR
1M close above 75% on RSI (14) (aka ‘Handoff to 1M’) AND Hold EMA (8) on 1M close
Exit
Close below EMA (8) on current timeframe that is #Barrelin
———
These handoffs are ideal but I am also starting to see, especially in stocks, the 4hr time frame is not only awkward with the limited trading but there are entries all the time on the higher timeframes without handoffs. The lower timeframes give an idea of momentum and personal preference can be used what timeframe to enter. This brings context to if you are “late” or not.
I have posted over 650 tweets in those 4 weeks so searching through #Barrelin will help give a better idea of the ridiculous gains with it.
Obviously there are fails and losers as well. I try to post these as well in order to see where the strategy can grow and evolve.
The biggest evolution I am currently working on is a trailing take profit with a re-entry. Not sure how hard that part will be to automate but might as well fine tune the idea as much as possible and see what comes of it.
Just with the shear volume of crypto and stocks I am following I have narrowed things down to just BTC pairs on Binance for crypto and no longer monitoring timeframes below the 4hr. It is personally impossible to still have any sort of life at that level.
As for stocks I have been transformed into a fanboy!!! I can’t believe it. The gains seem to be more consistent and much more explosive - at least in the current atmosphere. There is still crypto popping off but I recommend crypto lovers to give my timeline a visit to see the crazy gains.
I am loving the engagement with me and my strategy and I feel it is helping people which os my ultimate goal. I look forward to what the next 4 weeks brings as I try to scale this.
Thanks for reading all the way through. Time is precious and I appreciate you investing some of your time here.
AMZN AMAZON Potential shorting opportunity When certain stocks have unfilled/un-traded areas (gaps) in the market, often the market going to revisit those areas later on. So these are areas can be targets for your trades.
But in order to target those areas, we need a reason to get in. The most profitable/common method is waiting till the market exhaust and put a reversal signal.
AMAZON is most likely to make a end to the BULL run and head back to fill those unfilled areas in the market.
So waiting for a strong reversal signal or make another higher high with confluence to get SHORT.
Good Luck Trading