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What Traders and Rock Climbers Have in Common!This post is inspired by @TradingView's rebranding in 2021 and the recent Leap competition. At first glance, trading and rock climbing might seem worlds apart. One involves analyzing market trends, while the other requires physical strength and agility. However, both pursuits share surprising similarities, highlighting unique skills and mindsets. Here’s a look at what traders and rock climbers have in common. ⚙️ Risk Management: Both traders and rock climbers excel at managing risk. Traders use strategies like stop-loss orders and portfolio diversification to protect their capital. Rock climbers assess risks, use safety equipment, and plan routes to avoid danger. Effective risk management is crucial in both fields to prevent catastrophic outcomes. 💡Mental Toughness: Traders face market fluctuations and must make quick decisions under pressure. Rock climbers need to stay focused and composed while navigating challenging routes. Both activities demand mental resilience to overcome fear, maintain focus, and make calculated decisions. 📊 Strategic Planning: Success in trading and rock climbing involves strategic planning. Traders develop strategies based on market analysis and economic indicators, while rock climbers meticulously plan their ascents, studying routes and assessing conditions. Strategic planning helps achieve goals efficiently in both areas. ⚖️ Adaptability: Adaptability is key for both traders and rock climbers. Market conditions can change rapidly, requiring traders to adjust their strategies. Rock climbers face changing conditions like weather and rock quality, adapting their techniques to overcome obstacles and reach their objectives. 📜 Continuous Learning: Both traders and rock climbers are committed to continuous learning. Traders stay updated on market trends and new tools, while rock climbers seek to improve their skills and stay informed about gear and safety practices. The pursuit of knowledge drives success in both fields. 🧘‍♂️ Focus on Execution: Execution is crucial in trading and rock climbing. Traders need precision, timing, and discipline to execute trades effectively. Rock climbers must execute their moves with precision and confidence to progress safely. The ability to execute under pressure is essential for success in both activities. 🔄Passion and Commitment: Passion and commitment are integral to both trading and rock climbing. Traders have a deep interest in financial markets, while rock climbers are driven by their love for the sport and adventure. This passion fuels their dedication, driving them to invest time and effort into their pursuits. 🧗‍♀️ Conclusion: Despite their apparent differences, trading and rock climbing share many commonalities. Both require effective risk management, mental toughness, strategic planning, adaptability, continuous learning, focus on execution, and a deep-seated passion. Recognizing these parallels can provide valuable insights and inspiration for those engaged in either pursuit, highlighting the universal qualities that drive success in diverse fields. 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
Education
by TheSignalyst
10
Trading with RSI: The Bad, The Good and Even BetterIn this video I explain how to use RSI (Relative Strength Index) to make trading decisions. You'll learn how to properly use RSI oversold condition, combining low timeframe price action signals with high level context analysis. Besides of explaining three different strategies (the bad, the good and even better) I'll do back-testing on historical data to demonstrate how those strategies translate into real trading results. Disclaimer I don't give trading or investing advice, just sharing my thoughts.
AMEX:SPYEducation
by hermes_trisme
Trend Trading Strategy for the Heiken Ashi Algo v6Knowing when the RSI and price are in a ranging phase even in the short term can be a difficult process. You are either #Ranging #bullish or #bearish. At least in the Algo v6 you can get a clear vision of exactly whats happening. In this video im going to give you a VERY simple strategy on: 1. How to know if the RSI and price are ranging 2. When do i break away from Ranges 3. Am I trending 4. Im trending but whats my confluence to take a long or short 5. Is my range getting bigger or smaller Enjoy this quick vid and ask questions below. Thanks everyone.
Education
by CoffeeshopCrypto
4
Price overextension: misconceptions and common mistakesPrice overextension remains a widely misunderstood concept in trading, causing both novice and seasoned traders to make errors in their decision-making. This misinterpretation often leads to placing trades in the wrong direction or, equally detrimental, overlooking profitable opportunities. In essence, price overextension signifies that the market has undergone a rapid and excessive movement in one direction. Such movements are often perceived as unsustainable. Numerous indicators, such as Stochastic, RSI, Bollinger Bands and many other, attempt to identify such "abnormal" price movements so traders could capitalize on them. Despite variations in statistical methods and calculations, their common goal is to detect instances where price went or down too much and is likely to reverse. In this discussion, I will use Relative-Strength-Index (RSI), a popular indicator, to convey my perspective on price overextension. While some traders argue for customization, the elusive question of "how" often remains unanswered. From my experience, there are no universally perfect settings that consistently yield optimal results. I’ll draw my examples from the recent SPY bar chart (February 2024). The first misconception The first misconception is that if price is overextended it is time to immediately start looking for a trade in the opposite direction. The most important phrase here is “start looking”. Many beginners misinterpret this as an invitation to commence trading, leading to the premature initiation of short positions during perceived market "overextension" and vice versa. So, the first and foremost important advice is to never try guessing top/bottom based on one indicator or gut feeling. Simple as it seems I remember many times breaking this rule myself because the temptation was too strong. It rarely ended up well. On the graph, I've highlighted three recent instances where the RSI exceeded 70 (indicating overbought conditions). What stands out is that, following each occurrence, the price surged significantly before consolidation set in, inflicting losses upon short traders. Even experienced traders, who look for confluence of signals, may fall into this trap. In the first two examples, bearish candlestick patterns failed to prevent subsequent price increases. Most likely, those candles were “created” by weak hands traders, who tried to short market, while it was actually controlled by strong buyers. These instances could have been avoided by considering the daily graph, revealing a robust bullish context – price was in an uptrend, one-time-framing up on weekly. There were couple of moments when bears gained short term control (Tuesdays 13th and 20th) but they never could take the previous week low; bulls always confirmed their control. The second advice is to avoid trading against higher level context. While sometimes those trades might work the result is usually mediocre and most of the times you’ll simply lose. If you really wish to trade against context you need to construct a solid dossier of evidence, supporting your trade. The second misconception What is the second misconception? It is that when price overextended it is not time to go with the market. In this scenario, traders refrain from initiating long trades after RSI indicates overbought conditions, potentially causing them to miss profitable opportunities. It might not hurt your account but who likes missing good opportunities? Surprisingly, seizing these trades correctly is not much harder than any other trade. It simply requires prudence and discipline and getting rid-off cognitive biases. For example, in the second example on the graph a trader could win up to 1% if he played off gap-up open after seeing that the new price has found acceptance. Conclusion It is possible to build a profitable strategy that relies on “price overextension” concept. However, it demands more than a cursory examination of a single indicator and adherence to textbook candle patterns. Personally, I reached a point where I entirely abandoned the use of RSI and similar tools because, instead of providing clarity, they seemed to cloud my thinking. Opting for a more effective approach involves keenly observing actual market behavior, which often defies conventional expectations. Study of high-level contexts, understanding key levels, and discerning confluence in price action signals on lower timeframes consistently prove invaluable. This method helps steer clear of common pitfalls and contributes to enhancing overall trading results.
AMEX:SPYEducation
by hermes_trisme
Beating the S&P500 (SPX) Buy&Hold strategy by 16 timesS&P500 (SPX) strategy using Stochastic RSI Min-Max, normalized Volatility and Trailing Stop signals, beats the Buy&Hold strategy by 16 times Embarking on the quest to time the market accurately, the 'Holy Grail' of strategies, led me to create a script to approach this goal. Unlike other strategies that I tested, this one not only surpasses the long-term S&P500 Buy&Hold approach but does so by a remarkable 16.38 times! Initially, I employed an A.I. program based on an LSTM Neural Network using TensorFlow. Despite achieving a 55% next-day prediction accuracy for short/long positions, I sought improvement using a heuristic pine-scripting approach, incorporating stochastic RSI oscillators, moving averages, and volatility signals. With default parameters, this strategy, freely available as "XPloRR S&P500 Stock Market Crash Detection Strategy v2" delivered a staggering 2,663,001% profit since February 1871. In the same period, the Buy&Hold strategy "only" generated 162,599% profit. Picture this: a $1,000 investment in 1871 would now be worth $26,630,014 by February 2024. Check it out for yourself loading this strategy. The script operates as a Stochastic RSI Min-Max script, automatically generating buy and sell alerts on the S&P500 SPX. What sets it apart? The strategy detects "corrections," minimizes losses using Trailing Stop and Moving Average parameters, and strategically re-enters the market after detecting bottoms using tuned Stochastic RSI signals and normalized Volatility thresholds. Tailor its parameters to your preference, use it for strategic exits and entries, or stick to the Buy&Hold strategy and start new buy trades at regular intervals using buy signals only. In the pursuit of minimizing losses, the script has learned the effectiveness of a 9% trailing stop on trades. As you can clearly see on the upper graph (revolving around 100), the average overall green surfaces (profits) of all trades are much bigger than the average red surfaces (losses). This follows Warren Buffets first rule of trading to "Never lose money" and thus minimizing losses. Update: Advanced S&P500 Stochastic RSI Min-Max Buy/Sell Alert Generator I have also created an Alerter script based on the same engine as this script, which auto-generates buy and sell alert signals (via e-mail, in-app push-notifications, pop-ups etc.). The script is currently fine-tuned for the S&P500 SPX tracker, but parameters can be fine-tuned upon request for other trackers or stocks. If you are interested in this alerter-version script or fine-tuning other trackers, please drop me a message or mail xplorr at live dot com. How to use this Strategy? Select the SPX (S&P500) graph and set the value to "Day" values (top) and set "Auto Fit Data To Screen" (bottom-right). Select in the Indicators the "XPloRR S&P500 Stock Market Crash Detection Strategy v2" script and set "Auto Fit Data To Screen" (bottom-right) Look in the strategy tester overview to optimize the values "Percent Profitable" and "Net Profit" (using the strategy settings icon, you can increase/decrease the parameters). How to interpret the graphical information? In the SPX graph, you will see the Buy(Blue) and Sell(Purple) labels created by the strategy. The green/red graph below shows the accumulated profit/loss in % of to the initial buy value of the trade (it revolves around 100%, 110 means 10% profit, 95 means 5% loss) The small purple blocks indicate out-of-trade periods The green graph below the zero line is the stochastic RSI buy signal. You can set a threshold (green horizontal line). The vertical green lines show minima below that threshold and indicate possible buy signals. The blue graph above the zero line is the normalized volatility signal. You can set a threshold (blue horizontal line) affecting buy signals. The red graph above the zero line is the slower stochastic RSI sell signal. You can set a threshold (red horizontal line). The red areas indicate values above that threshold. However real exits are triggered if close values are crossing below the trailing stop value or optionally when the fast moving average crosses under the slow one. The red areas above the threshold are rather indicative to show that the SPX is expensive and not ideal to enter. Please note that in bullish periods the red line and areas can stay at a permanent high value, so it is not ideal to use as a strict sell signal. However, when it drops below zero and the green vertical lines appear, these are strong buy signals together with a high volatility. These Parameters can be changed Buy Stochastic Lookback Buy Stochastic Smoother Buy Threshold Buy Only After Fall Minimum % Fall Sell Stochastic Lookback Sell Stochastic Smoother Sell Threshold Sell Only With Profit Minimum % Profit Use Sell MA Fast MA Sell Slow MA Sell MA Sell Threshold Use Buy Volatility Volatility Smoother Volatility Threshold Use Trailing Stop Use ATR (iso of a fixed percentage for the trailing stop) ATR Lookback Trailing Stop Factor(or fixed percentage if "use ATR" is false) Trailing Stop Smoother Important : optimizing and using these parameters is no guarantee for future winning trades!
SP:SPXEducation
by XPl0RR
How RSI Alerts Can Supercharge Your Long-Term Crypto PortfolioBuilding a long-term portfolio demands a strategic approach that goes beyond random buys and impulsive decisions. Instead, savvy investors employ tools like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to identify advantageous entry points and navigate the market cycles effectively. 💜 If you appreciate our guides, support us with boost button 💜 Here’s a step-by-step guide on how to harness RSI alerts to fortify your long-term crypto holdings. Step 1: Spotting Entry Opportunities with RSI < 35 When aiming for long-term crypto accumulation, the goal is to buy assets at opportune prices. Setting up your charts with the RSI indicator and adjusting the lower band to 35 enables you to pinpoint instances where cryptocurrencies in your portfolio might have experienced an unwarranted dip. This can be a golden opportunity to acquire assets for the long run, aligning with the principle of buying low. Step 2: Steering Clear of Overbought Zones with RSI > 70 Conversely, an RSI reading surpassing 70 signals potential overbought conditions. In such instances, it's prudent to exercise caution. Holding off on new purchases during these periods or even considering exiting certain positions that have seen significant price surges allows you to safeguard your returns. Converting gains into stablecoins during overbought phases enhances liquidity, positioning you strategically for future opportunities. Step 3: Confirm with Other Indicators & DYOR RSI functions most effectively when complemented by other indicators. Incorporating tools like Moving Averages, Bollinger Bands, and MACD provides a more comprehensive view of market conditions. Remember, thorough research is crucial. Rely on multiple indicators to reinforce your decision-making process and mitigate risks associated with single-point analyses. Step 4: Get Timely RSI Alerts On Your Email & TradingView App Time is of the essence in the volatile crypto market. Instead of constantly monitoring prices across various platforms, set up RSI alerts on TradingView to receive timely notifications. This ensures you don’t miss critical market movements and can respond promptly to favorable conditions or potential risks. How to Create RSI Alerts on TradingView Open TradingView: Log in to your TradingView account. Select the Chart: Open the chart of the cryptocurrency you're monitoring. Add RSI Indicator: Click on "Indicators" at the top, search for RSI "Relative Strength Index", and add it to your chart. Set RSI Levels: Adjust RSI levels by clicking on the RSI label on the chart, then edit the Upper and Lower Band levels to your preferred values (e.g., 35 for Lower Band, 70 for Upper Band). Create Alert: Click on the alarm bell icon at the top of the chart, then select "Add Alert." Choose the condition (crossing above/below RSI level), set the desired RSI level, and customize the notification settings. Save Alert: Confirm and save your alert. You’ll now receive notifications via email or within the TradingView platform when the specified RSI conditions are met. Effectively utilizing RSI alerts is a game-changer for long-term crypto investors. By intelligently identifying entry points, avoiding overbought conditions, confirming signals with other indicators, and staying informed with timely alerts, you position yourself for success in the dynamic world of cryptocurrencies. Enhance your portfolio strategy with RSI – a tool that brings precision and efficiency to your crypto investment journey.
Education
by Vestinda
5
Tips on Adjusting the RSI (Part 2) Although the standard setting for the RSI is 70 (overbought) and 30 (oversold), I prefer to adjust the levels to 80 and 20. The purpose of this is to identify the extremely overbought/oversold regions. In addition to adjusting the levels, I would pay attention to the chart when the RSI enters in the overbought/oversold region (but would hold back on entering a trade) I would only enter a trade when the RSI turns down/up from the overbought/oversold region. This would signal that the price is likely to fall/rise as the RSI reverses from the extremes and back within range.
Education
by JinDao_Tai
Learning to use the RSI (Part 1)The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a popular momentum oscillator used in technical analysis to identify overbought or oversold conditions in the market. The RSI is measured on a scale from 0 to 100, RSI values above 70 are often considered overbought, suggesting that the price may be due for a reversal or pullback. RSI values below 30 are often considered oversold, indicating that the price may be due for a bounce or recovery. A common mistake most traders will make is to assume that once RSI signals an overbought/oversold condition, the price should drop/rise, hence leading to a sell/buy decision. In the 2 examples highlighted (solid blue lines), you will notice that although RSI signaled an overbought/oversold condition, the price continued to climb/drop despite being overbought/oversold. Remember: Prices can be overbought/oversold for an extended period of time When using any indicator, always remind yourself of what it is measuring and remember that it is just math (not magic). The indicator is supposed to help quantify and help you see things clearer on the chart (rather than numbers). Check out Part 2 for Tips on Adjusting the RSI
Education
by JinDao_Tai
How we have been trading Bitcoin D1How we have been trading Bitcoin (Daily chart) with our indicators + hand-drawn trend lines. After 10 years of R&D (we have been testing different indicators every day for a decade), we have developed our own Suite of 26 indicators. Here are just a few of them. Indicators names (from top to bottom): - Strength Shows the strength of the market, the direction, pullbacks, equilibrium, and flats. - Bear&Bull Powers Shows the battle between the bears and the bulls. - Angle Indicates the direction and angle of the trend and the pullbacks. - Template Our main central indicator simplifying charts and bringing clarity. - Steepness Displays how steep the trend is and comments: Going Up/Down | Trending | Strong/Weak | Pulling Back | Retracement | Flat | 75% Blue Background | ... - Odds 11 indicators calculating the odds. - Probability 75 indicators calculating the probabilities.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by ascension
Super Swing Strategy - Bollinger Bands, RSI, and ADX Strategy"Super Swing Strategy" - Bollinger Bands, RSI, and ADX Strategy Indicators Used: - Bollinger Bands - Relative Strength Index (RSI) - Average Directional Index (ADX) Bollinger Bands for volatility, RSI for overbought and oversold conditions, and ADX for strength of the trend. How it Works: Add Bollinger Bands, a 14-period RSI, and a 14-period ADX to your chart. When the price touches the upper Bollinger Band, the RSI shows overbought conditions (above 70), and the ADX is above 20, it's a potential bearish signal. A bullish signal occurs when the price touches the lower Bollinger Band, the RSI shows oversold conditions (below 30), and the ADX is above 20. You can use additional indicators or price action analysis to confirm signals.
TVC:DXYEducation
by Bullwards
Relative Strength Index/RSI Made SimpleThe RSI (Relative Strength Index) is like a tool that helps people who buy and sell stocks and other things to figure out how strong the price of something is. It works by looking at the prices of that thing over a certain period of time, like 14 days, and then putting those prices on a scale from 0 to 100. 🔸When the RSI is high, like over 70, it means the price has gone up a lot and might be too high. When the RSI is low, like under 30, it means the price has gone down a lot and might be too low. But just looking at the RSI by itself is not enough. While many traders do use the RSI to buy at the 30 level and sell above the 70 level, this is not the only way to use the indicator. (As shown below) 🔸The RSI should be used in conjunction with other technical indicators and fundamental analysis to make informed trading decisions. In fact, relying solely on these levels can lead to missed opportunities and suboptimal trading decisions. 🔸It's also worth noting that the RSI can be used to identify bullish and bearish trends. When the RSI is above 50, it is considered bullish, indicating that the market is trending upwards. When the RSI is below 50, it is considered bearish, indicating that the market is trending downwards. 🔸While the 70 and 30 levels are popular levels to buy and sell, traders can also use other points based on how price reacts at those levels. For example, if the RSI reaches 80, it may indicate an especially strong upward trend, while a drop to 20 may indicate an especially strong downward trend. Traders should use their own judgment and analysis to determine which levels are most appropriate for their trading strategy. You can also find that as the name suggest (Relative Strength) traders should look for levels in price action where there is a strong reaction and then check to see at what level on the RSI this occurred because it might happen again once we got to that RSI value. (As seen below ) So as you can see in the image above you do not need to wait for price to go to levels 80 or 20 in order to look for reactions you can look at how price has reacted at previous levels before and monitor those levels in the future. Finally lets talk about divergence. 🔸RSI divergence is a trading strategy that involves looking for differences between the movement of the price of an asset and the movement of the RSI indicator. When there is RSI divergence, it means that the price of an asset is moving in a different direction than the RSI indicator, which can signal a potential change in trend. There are two types of RSI divergence: bullish and bearish. Bullish divergence occurs when the price of an asset is making lower lows, but the RSI indicator is making higher lows. This can suggest that the price of the asset is oversold and may be due for a rebound. Conversely, bearish divergence occurs when the price of an asset is making higher highs, but the RSI indicator is making lower highs. This can suggest that the price of the asset is overbought and may be due for a correction. Traders can use RSI divergence to help them make trading decisions. For example, if they see bullish divergence, they may consider buying the asset, while if they see bearish divergence, they may consider selling the asset. However, traders should always use RSI divergence in conjunction with other technical indicators and fundamental analysis to make informed trading decisions. Example is shown below: 🔸Settings of the RSI: Traders can customize the settings of the RSI to suit their trading style and preferences. They can adjust the number of periods used in the calculation, which can range from as low as 2 to as high as 200 or more, depending on the timeframe being analyzed. In addition to the default settings, traders can also adjust the overbought and oversold levels of the RSI. By default, the RSI is considered overbought when it is above 70 and oversold when it is below 30. Traders can adjust these levels to suit their trading style and the specific asset being analyzed. Traders can also add other indicators on top of the RSI to help them analyze the market. For example, they may add a moving average to the RSI to help them identify trend direction and potential areas of support and resistance. ______________________________________________ Also keep in mind that the RSI can be used as a reversal tool and also a trend trading tool. For example, when the RSI reaches extreme levels of overbought or oversold, it can signal a potential reversal in the price trend. When the RSI reaches these levels, traders can look for other confirming indicators or price action to help them decide whether to enter a trade in the opposite direction. On the other hand, as a trend trading tool, traders can use the RSI to identify the strength of a trend and to help them decide when to enter or exit a trade. When the RSI is above 50, it can indicate a bullish trend, and when it is below 50, it can indicate a bearish trend. Traders can use the RSI to help them identify potential areas of support and resistance within the trend and to enter trades in the direction of the trend. It's important to note that traders should not rely solely on the RSI to make trading decisions. The RSI should be used in conjunction with other technical indicators, such as moving averages, and fundamental analysis to get a complete picture of the market. By using the RSI as both a reversal tool and a trend trading tool, traders can better identify potential trading opportunities and make more informed trading decisions.
Education
by ChristopherDownie
8
Cyclical Characteristics of Market Performance IndicatorsFrom "Cyclical Characteristics of Performance Indicators", IFTA Journal 2020. "Linear Momentum and Performance Indicators", IFTA Journal 2019. Indicators Integral Force Index (Linear Momentum Index) Integral Pressure Index Integral Strength Index Phase 4 It is not necessary that price levels increase till the end of the phase. * This technique blends the market adjusted momentum, market pressure, market strength and time cycles. Akram
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Akram01
DXY THEORY YOU HAVEN'T HEARD YET!THE DXY IS ONLY MADE UP OF 6 MAJOR CURRENCIES MEASURED AGAINST THE DOLLAR: EUR (57.6% OF THE WEIGHTING), JPY (13.6%), GBP (11.9%), CAD (9.1%), SEK (4.2%), CHF (3.6%) A MISTAKE MANY PEOPLE MAKE WHEN PREDICTING THE DOLLAR'S STRENGTH IS USING THE DXY AS A GAUGE FOR ALL CURRENCIES' PERFORMANCES AGAINST THE DOLLAR! EMERGING MARKET AND MANY OTHER MAJOR CURRENCIES ARE NOT INCLUDED IN THE DXY! RECENTLY, PETER SCHIFF PLACED A BET WITH BRENT JOHNSON ON THE DIRECTION OF THE DXY, STATING THAT THE DXY WOULD BE WEAKER THAN 99 IN JANUARY 2021, WHILE BRENT JOHNSON PREDICTED IT WOULD BE HIGHER! PETER'S THEORY CLAIMS THAT THE CURRENCIES OF PRODUCTIVE COUNTRIES WILL STRENGTHEN AGAINST THE DOLLAR FOR MANY OBVIOUS REASONS, WHILE BRENT CLAIMS THAT THE MASSIVE SHORTAGE OF U$Ds WORLDWIDE WILL ACT AS DEMAND ON THE DOLLAR, INCREASING IT'S VALUE AGAINST OTHER CURRENCIES! I BELIEVE THEY COULD BE BOTH RIGHT, AND THAT PETER MAY HAVE MADE A MISTAKE IN USING THE DXY AS A BAROMETER: BRENT JOHNSON IS RIGHT BECAUSE: THE WESTERN FINANCIAL SYSTEM WILL ABSORB ALL U$Ds CREATED, AND EUR, GBP, CHF AND CAD WILL ESPECIALLY SUFFER BECAUSE OF THE EURODOLLAR SYSTEM! WESTERN ECONOMIES COULD ALSO WEAKEN SEVERELY WHICH WOULD DEVALUE THEIR CURRENCIES IN ADDITION TO A EURODOLLAR SQUEEZE! PETER SCHIFF IS RIGHT BECAUSE: AS COUNTRIES NOT INCLUDED IN THE DXY DIMINISH THEIR TRADE WITH THE U.S.A., AS THEY CEASE USING THE EURODOLLAR TO SETTLE FORMS OF TRADE NOT INVOLVING THE U.S.A. (MAINLY OIL), AND AS THE AMOUNT OF U$Ds' CREATED IN EXCESS OF THEIR DEMAND FOR DOLLARS INCREASES, PRODUCTIVE ASIAN AND EMERGING MARKET CURRENCIES WILL ABSOLUTELY STRENGTHEN AGAINST THE DOLLAR, BUT THIS WILL NOT APPEAR IN THE DXY! IT IS ALSO POSSIBLE THAT THE FEDERAL RESERVE MEETS THE GLOBAL DEMAND FOR DOLLARS, AND THEN SOME, WHICH WOULD DEVALUE THE DOLLAR AGAINST ALL CURRENCIES, AND I BELIEVE THIS IS THE CASE, BUT I DO NOT DISCOUNT THE POSSIBILITY EXPLAINED ABOVE!
INDEX:DXYEducation
by UnknownUnicorn4195243
How to Infer Currency Strength Without ANY IndicatorsToday I received a question regarding what indicators or websites to use to infer and compare the strength between related currencies. I responded with a long winded explanation as to why it is not necessary to use indicators or websites to infer such information because it can be realized solely through price action. If we look at the daily range today on GBPUSD, EURUSD, and EURGBP which resulted from the huge miss on the NFP numbers, we can gauge the strength between the EUR and the GBP versus the dollar as well as the EUR vs the GBP. In looking at the daily ranges of these pairs we will first notice that they all had a strong move to the upside. This of course being due to the weakness and downside movement on the dollar ultimately resulting form the miss on the NFP number. Therefore right off the bat we can infer that foreign leading currency pairs should be strong against the dollar today and we can expect to see pairs like the GBPUSD and EURUSD moving to the upside. That is exactly what we see here... price moved as expected. Now... what if you want to compare the relative strength of the GBP vs the EUR as it relates to the dollar weakness. Well then we will need to bring the cross pair EURGBP into the picture. The EURGBP cross pair will tell you how strong the EUR is vs the GBP. We see that the daily range of the EURGBP cross pair is roughly 90 pips and as of right now this pair has held that range indicating the EUR strength that we see clearly on the EURUSD. The daily range of the EURUSD is roughly 215 pips and it too has held this range indicating its strength. Since most of the day's trading is done for being that it is a Friday we can expect to see these prices hold through to the close of the day. So we have concluded now that the EUR is for sure strong right now against the dollar and we are thinking since EURGBP is so strong as well that this rally in the GBPUSD might be misleading and the GBP might not be all that strong right now. By looking at the GBPUSD we can see that it's daily range was roughly 160 pips but as of right now it has already give up roughly 1/3 of that range and price is showing signs of continued downside movement. Seeing this we can conclude that the EUR is certainly stronger than the GBP right now and going into next week if we continue to see upside movement on EURUSD and EURGBP we can expect to see downside movement on GBPUSD. We hope you found this to be insightful and if you did you should definitely check out our YouTube channel goo.gl/g8sWn3 where we do live streams every Monday Wednesday and Friday at 7 p.m. eastern standard time. Enjoy your weekend!
Education
by UnknownUnicorn261897
5