Example of Conditions for Starting Trading
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I will publish in advance due to an external schedule tomorrow.
Accordingly, I will take time to provide additional explanations on the ideas published today.
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I will talk about the basis for indicating the direction of progress shown in the chart above.
In order to differentiate from other people's analyses, I am trying to explain the basis for indicating the support and resistance points or sections on the chart.
I think that if you understand why those points and sections were set, you will eventually be able to understand them without having to read the explanation all the way through.
For this, more support and resistance points are needed.
This is because we can select the volatility period by additionally drawing the trend line.
However, since all of these processes are displayed on the chart, there are many complaints that the chart is messy and confusing, so we are trying to reduce them as much as possible.
Therefore, there are cases where the chart is displayed in two versions.
The chart below is a chart that shows many support and resistance points and draws a trend line to select the volatility period.
Therefore, since the support and resistance points may be displayed differently, it is recommended that you refer to the points or sections that I have written.
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The conditions for starting a transaction are simpler than they look.
However, when these conditions are met, the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts must be displayed.
Therefore, even if the conditions for starting a transaction are met, if the support and resistance points are not displayed at the corresponding price, you cannot start a transaction.
Please read this carefully and thank you.
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(It would be good to see this as an example of how to find the conditions that fit you and how to utilize them.)
Conditions for starting a transaction are
1. Buying time conditions
- When the StochRSI indicator rises in the oversold range and maintains the state of StochRSI > StochRSI EMA
- When the BW indicator forms a horizontal line at the lowest point (0)
- When the OBV indicator rises below the 0 point
- When the DMI indicator rises below the 0 point
2. Selling time conditions
- When the StochRSI indicator falls in the overbought range and maintains the state of StochRSI < StochRSI EMA
- When the BW indicator forms a horizontal line at the highest point (100)
- When the OBV indicator falls above the 0 point
- When the DMI indicator falls above the 0 point
When the above conditions are met, check whether there is support at the support and resistance points drawn near the price. Confirmation is used to proceed with the transaction.
The current price position is 60672.0-61099.25.
Therefore, you can proceed with the transaction depending on whether there is support in this section.
Since it is currently falling below 60672.0, there is nothing you can do in spot trading other than cutting losses.
In futures trading, you can enter with a sell (SHORT) position.
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It is rare for all the conditions for starting a transaction mentioned above to be met.
Therefore, it is recommended to basically check whether the BW indicator forms a horizontal line at the lowest point (0) or highest point (100), and then proceed with the transaction by checking the movement of the StochRSI indicator.
Also, it is recommended to select a split sell section to make a profit by calculating the fluctuation range while checking the strength of the rise or fall with OBV and DMI.
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In summary of the above,
Since the StochRSI indicator has not yet risen from the oversold zone and StochRSI < StochRSI EMA, it is recommended to check whether a reversal is occurring.
Also, you should check whether the BW indicator has fallen to the lowest point (0) and formed a horizontal line.
If the OBV and DMI indicators rise below the 0 point without meeting these conditions, you should proceed with an aggressive purchase (a transaction that requires a quick response similar to scalping or day trading).
If you do not proceed with an aggressive purchase, you should wait.
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It is not a good idea to enter a current sell (SHORT) position in futures trading.
However, if you proceed with an aggressive transaction (scalping or day trading), you can start trading.
The reason why it is not a good condition for trading is because the price is located in the 1. purchase timing condition section among the conditions for starting a transaction mentioned above.
Therefore, the profit is small or you may even suffer a loss.
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If you are not currently trading, I think the section where you should trade is when it rises around 61K.
Before that, it is highly likely that you will not be able to purchase because it seems like it will fall further.
I think this point, or the section where you actually trade, is the psychological volume profile section.
This psychological volume profile section is the section where psychology applies that you must trade even now.
Since this point is ultimately a low or high point, it is a section where you are likely to incur losses if you purchase.
The 61K section that I mentioned earlier is a section where it is highly likely to be a low point, so it is a section where you are likely to incur losses if you cut your loss or enter a sell (SHORT) position.
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If it shows resistance near 60672.0, there is a possibility that a sharp decline will occur momentarily and touch 59K and then rise.
This phenomenon can be a fake or a sweep movement, so you need to be careful.
In order to avoid losses from this phenomenon, auxiliary indicators are necessary.
Since auxiliary indicators are lagging, they are unlikely to show large movements in sudden price fluctuations.
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What I am talking about is not a method of chart analysis, but an example of how to set a standard for trading.
Therefore, I hope you do not misunderstand the above as about chart analysis.
Since chart analysis and trading are different, what you see on the chart is also different.
In order to complement this difference, what is needed is the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
Since charts without support and resistance points are likely to be for chart analysis, there is no need to try to find a trading point on these charts.
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Have a good time.
Thank you.
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- Big picture
It is expected that the real uptrend will start after rising above 29K.
The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to be encountered in the future. We need to see if we can break through these points.
We need to see the movement when we touch this section because I think we can create a new trend in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start by creating a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
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Supportandresitance
Entry Types Simplified: The Essential Guide for New Traders!Key Structures and Formations:
Ascending Channel:
The price has been moving within this channel for a while. An ascending channel indicates an uptrend but also signals that the price is forming higher highs and higher lows, which can later break either direction.
Bull Flag:
A classic continuation pattern where after a strong bullish move (flagpole), the price consolidated before continuing upwards. This was a great entry point for traders watching for bullish momentum.
Failed Flag:
It appears there was a bull flag that failed to continue upwards and instead reversed direction. This type of failure is a strong indication for traders to reconsider their long positions or take partial profits. Often when a flag fails, it can lead to an aggressive move in the opposite direction.
Zones:
4HR, 1HR, 15M LQZ (Liquidity Zones):
These zones mark areas where liquidity is expected to be high, which means these are key levels to watch for price reactions.
The 4HR LQZ around 2,622 and the 1HR LQZ around 2,639 are critical areas for price retracement or reversals, particularly in a trending market.
Current Price Action:
The price is currently hovering near the 15M LQZ (2,655.443), which could act as a short-term support/resistance level. Watching how the price reacts to this zone will provide insight into the next move.
If the price continues to drop, the 1HR LQZ around 2,639 may provide support. If that fails, the next likely target is the 4HR LQZ near 2,622.
Recommendations Based on Confluence:
Check for Multi-Touch Confirmation: If the price interacts with the 4HR or 1HR LQZ zones multiple times and forms a base, this could serve as strong confirmation of a potential reversal or continuation.
Comprehensive Patterns: The failed flag within the larger ascending channel provides a great example of how smaller patterns (failed flag) can give clues about larger moves (channel break).
Follow the Trinity Rule: As per the Trinity Rule, wait for multiple confirmations across different structures before entering a trade. The liquidity zones and patterns within patterns provide a good basis for this.
The key to starting a trade is support and resistance points
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As you study candles, you will learn about trend reversal sections.
Therefore, rather than learning the shapes or patterns of candles, when you study them, you will be able to see the support and resistance points and sections made up of the selling area and trend reversal sections in a big picture.
Therefore, rather than trying to memorize the shapes or arrangements of candles, it is important to see whether support and resistance points and sections are formed when such shapes, arrangements, and patterns appear.
The same goes for other studies related to charts.
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As you study candles, you will find that what you have studied appears in the sections where candles are gathered.
These areas are drawn as horizontal lines to indicate support and resistance points.
However, objective information is needed to conduct trading on the horizontal lines drawn like this.
Otherwise, even the support and resistance points you drew will likely become useless lines if you conduct barrack trading because you don't trust them.
Be careful because your psychological state will interfere with analyzing the chart.
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The easiest way to obtain this objective information is the Heikin Ashi chart and the Renko chart.
The Heikin Ashi chart and the Renko chart help you check the trend because they show fewer fakes and sweeps.
(Heikin Ashi chart)
(Renko chart)
Among these, you can immediately see that the Renko chart is a bit easier to find support and resistance points.
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You can think of the points near the end of the blocks on the Renko chart as having strong support and resistance points.
Therefore, among the horizontal lines drawn on the chart above, the 2800.0 and 4000.0 points are the end points of three blocks, so they can be seen as strong support and resistance points.
If you change the Renko chart to a regular candle chart, you can clearly see that it will form support and resistance points or sections.
However, since the Renko chart changes the price in blocks, it is difficult to trade at this point.
Therefore, the Heikin Ashi chart or Renko chart is good to use when analyzing the chart, but it is difficult to trade.
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To compensate for this, we created a horizontal line at the price position using indicators (StochRSI, OBV, CCI, RSI) that have been used for a long time.
The horizontal line connected to the current candle position plays the role of the current support and resistance point.
And, since the longer the horizontal line, the stronger the support and resistance role, you can see that it plays the role of support and resistance even if it is not connected to the current candle.
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The support and resistance points drawn on the Heikin Ashi chart or Renko chart are difficult to use for trading, but you can easily check the support and resistance section by looking at only the 1D chart.
However, in order to display support and resistance points with a general candle chart, support and resistance points must be displayed on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
And, the order of charts with strong support and resistance is 1M > 1W > 1D charts.
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When you look at the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts using the HA-MS indicator, horizontal lines like the above are displayed.
You can display them by changing the line type or line thickness to make them easier to see and then proceed with trading.
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The above content corresponds to the method of finding support and resistance points included in general chart-related books.
Of course, it is different from the explanation in the chart-related book, but I explained how to use indicators to more clearly indicate support and resistance points.
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Even if you trade with the support and resistance points above, it will not work well when you actually trade.
This is because you are not familiar with the most important trading strategy in trading.
In conclusion, the most important thing is to create a trading strategy, rather than finding the support and resistance points explained above, looking at the trend line, or looking at indicators.
However, it is very difficult to create a trading strategy that fits your investment style from the beginning.
So, you should practice creating a trading strategy that suits you while trading based on the information of the objective chart.
In order to trade, you need to decide on the following three things:
1. Investment period
2. Investment size
3. Trading method and profit realization method
The above three things must be determined.
No. 1 and 2 are determined according to your investment style.
Therefore, it is recommended not to change No. 1 and 2 after you start trading.
3. Based on the information of the actual chart, the buy section, sell section, and stop loss point are determined.
In addition, the profit realization method can be determined according to the investment period.
The profit realization method is:
1. How to get cash profit
2. How to increase the coin (token) corresponding to the profit
There are methods 1 and 2 above.
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In order to create a trading strategy, it is important to display all the information you want on the chart before starting the transaction.
If you do not, and then display lines on the chart after starting the transaction, psychological factors will be added and displayed, so the possibility of not trusting the lines drawn after starting the transaction increases.
To prevent this, it does not matter if you use the indicator added to the HA-MS indicator.
The reason is because it is objective information.
You should increase profits or reduce losses by adjusting the investment ratio while conducting the transaction using this objective information.
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Have a good time.
Thank you.
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Chart Analysis: Establishing Trading Strategies
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When you start studying charts, the first thing you learn is about candles.
However, you start studying about the Open, Close, High, and Low of candles.
When you start studying about the Moving Average, you start to think that you understand the charts.
However, when you actually start trading with the Moving Average, you realize that nothing works properly.
So, you start studying other indicators.
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The above is based on my experience. When you study various charts, you may think you know them, but when you actually start trading, you realize that they don't apply at all.
Where on earth did I go wrong?... What I learned after a long time is that I was wrong from the very beginning.
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In other words, I realized that my subsequent chart studies were not done properly because I lacked understanding of candles.
When you start studying candles, you study candles of various shapes and patterns.
At this time, you should not be too obsessed with the names of candle shapes or patterns or the conditions that occur and try to memorize them.
It is important to read it repeatedly several times until you can grasp the concept of the arrangements formed by the combination of candle shapes or patterns, that is, the support and resistance points.
Eventually, when the candle shapes or patterns are combined, you can find the volume profile section formed around it, that is, the section where trading volume occurs.
By drawing and marking the support and resistance points you find in this way on 1M, 1W, and 1D charts, you can create a trading strategy on the charts you mainly trade.
That's all the experts in chart analysis say.
In the end, everything is about looking at the combination of candles that make up the chart, finding the corresponding support and resistance points, and trading according to your trading strategy.
A trading strategy is to create a response strategy at the corresponding support and resistance points based on the three things above:
1. Investment period
2. Investment size
3. Trading method and profit realization method
However, since most books do not include trading strategies, you will only learn about the timing of trading and closing of trading using various indicators.
Because of this, there are many cases where you cannot respond to the volatility that occurs after starting trading and end up losing money.
Even so, it is difficult to specifically define the contents of trading strategies.
This is because the investment period, investment size, and trading method are different depending on the individual's investment style.
Therefore, what I can tell you is that you need to set the buy, sell, and stop loss points according to the support and resistance points obtained through chart analysis and wait for a while.
Due to price volatility, you may not touch the buy, sell, and stop loss points or may move past them.
You should learn how to create a trading strategy by modifying the way you respond to these things according to your investment style.
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One important thing here is that you should mark the support and resistance points in advance through chart analysis before starting trading.
Otherwise, if you start trading and then mark support and resistance points, psychological factors will come into play, which will likely lead to an unexpected transaction.
Don't forget this, and you should practice marking support and resistance points in advance before starting a transaction.
Also, you should avoid analyzing charts after listening to various articles, news, or community content.
The reason is that psychological factors can come into play.
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I think trading is a response to the movement of prices that fluctuate in real time.
Therefore, waiting and determination are necessary.
If you wait too long or do not make a decision and pass it by, there is a high possibility that you will suffer losses or make little profit, so you need something to refer to when waiting or making a decision.
That is the support and resistance points I mentioned above.
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However, support and resistance points alone do not solve everything.
Therefore, you should add trend lines and various indicators to ask for a method of responding to price fluctuations.
However, since the trend line is formed by a diagonal line, there is a lack of countermeasure strategies using the trend line.
Therefore, the trend line is used to literally find out what the current trend is.
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Therefore, when it deviates from the trend line, the movement at the support and resistance points is checked and the corresponding response is made.
When trading with a chart consisting of the above two support and resistance points or only the trend line, there are often cases where the transaction cannot be properly conducted due to fakes or sweeps.
Therefore, in order to counter these fakes or sweeps, various indicators are added to the chart.
The most commonly used of these is the price moving average.
Even if you add the price moving average, you realize that it is a curve, just like the trend line, and is therefore not suitable for countermeasure strategies.
So, the price moving average is also used to check the trend, just like the trend line.
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In that regard, the indicator I recommend is the StochRSI indicator.
The default settings for the StochRSI indicator are 14, 7, 3, 3 (RSI, Stoch, K, D).
The value of the Signal line (EMA) of the StochRSI indicator is 7.
If the StochRSI indicator rises in the oversold zone and maintains the state of StochRSI > StochRSI EMA, it is a buying period.
On the other hand, if the StochRSI indicator falls in the overbought zone and maintains the state of StochRSI < StochRSI EMA, it is a selling period.
However, you should trade depending on whether there is support or resistance at the support and resistance points formed at that location.
Even if there is movement in the StochRSI indicator, it is recommended not to trade if you do not have support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
The reason is that you may feel psychologically anxious, so there is a possibility that the trade will proceed incorrectly.
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If you can trade with only what I mentioned above and make an average profit, it is because you have established a trading strategy according to your investment style.
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We need objective information to establish a trading strategy according to your investment style.
We think that this is the only way to minimize the psychological factors that arise when starting a trade.
If you can add various indicators to the chart to obtain objective information and receive support and resistance point information according to them, you can create a trading strategy according to them at any time.
To do this, we used the StochRSI, OBV, CCI, and RSI indicators to display support and resistance points on the price candle part.
And, we added the StochRSI and BW indicators as auxiliary indicators.
The StochRSI indicator added as an auxiliary indicator is not the StochRSI indicator provided by default, but an indicator with a modified formula, so you can share the chart and use it or copy and paste the TS-BW UP indicator to your own chart and use it.
There is no problem using the basic StochRSI indicator.
However, there is a slight difference from what I said, so there may be a slight problem in understanding.
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As above, since the support and resistance points of the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts are drawn on the chart to create a trading strategy, my chart is very confusing and not easy to understand when you first look at it.
And, since there are many indicators that I have not explained, it may be even more difficult to see the chart.
Therefore, to resolve the difficult parts, share the chart, hide the indicators added to the chart, and activate them one by one while looking at them, and you will be able to understand the chart.
If you share the chart, you can use it normally, so you can check the chart from various angles.
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Have a good time.
Thank you.
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Psychological Levels and Round Numbers in Technical Analysis
When traders analyze the key levels, quite often then neglect the psychological levels in trading.
In this article, we will discuss what are the psychological levels and how to identify them .
What is Psychological Level?
Let's start with the definition.
Psychological level is a price level on a chart that has a strong significance for the market participants due to the round numbers.
By the round numbers, I imply the whole numbers that are multiples of 5, 10, 100, etc.
These levels act as strong supports and resistances and the points of interest of the market participants.
Take a look at 2 important psychological levels on EURGBP: 0.95 and 0.82. As the market approached these levels, we saw a strong reaction of the price to them.
Why Psychological Levels Work?
And here is why the psychological levels work:
Research in behavioral finance has shown that individuals exhibit a tendency to anchor their judgments and decisions to round numbers.
Such a decision-making can be attributed to the cognitive biases.
Quite often, these levels act as reference points for the market participants for setting entry, exit points and placing stop-loss orders.
Bad Psychological Levels?
However, one should remember that not all price levels based on round numbers are significant.
When one is looking for an important psychological level, he should take into consideration the historical price action.
Here are the round number based levels that I identified on AUDUSD on a weekly time frame.
After all such levels are underlined, check the historical price action and make sure that the market reacted to that at least one time in the recent past.
With the circles, I highlighted the recent reaction to the underlined levels. Such ones we will keep on the chart, while others should be removed.
Here are the psychological levels and proved their significance with a recent historical price action.
From these levels, we will look for trading opportunities.
Market Reaction to Psychological Levels
Please, note that psychological levels may trigger various reactions of the market participants.
For instance, a price approaching a round number may trigger feelings of greed, leading to increased selling pressure as traders seek to lock in profits.
Alternatively, a breakout above/below a psychological level can trigger buying/selling activity as traders anticipate further price momentum.
For that reason, it is very important to monitor the price action around such levels and look for confirmations .
Learn to identify psychological levels. They are very powerful and for you, they can become a source of tremendous profits.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
The Wash and Rinse To See True Support/ResistanceTrue support and resistance is found in the meat of the move, not at the extreme highs and lows. To find it, Simply draw a zone or box and look for the place that price touches the most, and then pay attention to what happens afterward.
In this lesson, I set up a trade plan and show how a Wash and Rinse structure at the pivot of a swing uses the most touches to find true support in a market. I then show how to identify it.
The Wash and Rinse has a process that we can follow in real-time.
1. Multi-Pivot Line (MPL)
2. Zoom through the MPL
3. Come back and retest the MPL
4. Zoom back through the MPL the other way
What happens in this process, is that buyers are holding some level. Price then busts that level triggering stops and at the same time encouraging shorts to enter. Then price rips back up essentially cleaning the book of orders and showing where the true support is (at least for the time being).
Once you can recognize this structure, you can begin making your own observations and use these levels to read a market or begin to build a setup around it. The most important part is to learn to design a plan with objective rules around what you observe.
Shane
Mastering Fibonacci Retracement :Navigating Bitcoin's VolatilityMastering Fibonacci Retracement :Navigating Bitcoin's Volatility
Navigating the volatile landscape of Bitcoin trading can be a daunting task for both novice and experienced traders alike. However, equipped with the right tools, traders can identify potential support and resistance levels, make informed decisions, and capitalize on market movements. One such tool that has stood the test of time is the Fibonacci retracement tool, a staple in the arsenal of many traders due to its uncanny ability to forecast potential price reversals with remarkable accuracy.
Understanding Fibonacci Retracement
Fibonacci retracement is based on the idea that markets will retrace a predictable portion of a move, after which they will continue to move in the original direction. The concept draws from the Fibonacci sequence, a series of numbers where each number is the sum of the two preceding ones (0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, and so on). In trading, these numbers are translated into percentage levels that traders use to identify potential reversal points on price charts.
Key Levels to Watch
The most commonly used Fibonacci retracement levels are 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, and 78.6%. These percentages represent potential support and resistance levels where the price of an asset like Bitcoin could experience a reversal or consolidation. The 61.8% level, often referred to as the "golden ratio," is particularly noteworthy for its reliability in predicting price movements.
Applying Fibonacci to Bitcoin Trading
When applying Fibonacci retracement levels to Bitcoin's price action, traders often look for significant highs and lows to place their retracement lines. From there, the tool provides a visual representation of potential areas where the price may stall or reverse. For instance, during a downtrend, a retracement to a higher Fibonacci level like 61.8% could indicate a potential area of resistance where traders might consider taking profits or entering short positions.
The Significance of the 78.6% Level
Recent discussions among traders have highlighted the 78.6% retracement level as a crucial point for Bitcoin, suggesting that reaching this level often precedes significant corrections. This phenomenon underscores the importance of Fibonacci levels in anticipating market movements, allowing traders to adjust their strategies accordingly.
Real-world Application
Consider Bitcoin's historic rally and subsequent corrections. Traders have observed that significant pullbacks often align with key Fibonacci levels. For example, during a bullish phase, if Bitcoin's price retraces to the 61.8% or 78.6% levels before bouncing back, this could be seen as a strong signal for trend continuation.
Conclusion
The Fibonacci retracement tool is more than just a mathematical curiosity; it's a reflection of human psychology and market sentiment. By identifying levels where price action may change direction, traders can make more informed decisions, manage risk more effectively, and potentially increase their chances of success in the market.
As with any trading tool, it's important to use Fibonacci retracements in conjunction with other indicators and analysis methods to validate potential trading signals. Remember, no tool can predict market movements with absolute certainty, but by understanding the tendencies and patterns, traders can navigate the Bitcoin market with greater confidence. BINANCE:BTCUSDT BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P
Don't forget to check our latest publications
Mastering Support & Resistance This video dives into the fundamentals of support and resistance, the cornerstones of technical analysis.
We'll cover:
** Identifying trends:** Learn how to spot bullish and bearish trends using higher highs/higher lows (HH/HL) and lower highs/lower lows (LH/LL).
️** Support & Resistance Levels: Discover how to pinpoint key price levels where the market may bounce or reverse, creating potential trading opportunities.
** Fibonacci: Unlock the power of the Fibonacci retracement to identify high-probability trade entry points at the 61.8% level.
Navigating Support and Resistance with Renko ChartsToday we continue our deep dive into support and resistance levels and explore how traders can effectively utilize Renko charts and Donchian channels to identify these price zones. Renko charts, known for their simplicity and ability to filter out market noise, provide a unique perspective on price movement. We'll discuss how Renko charts work and demonstrate their effectiveness in pinpointing support and resistance levels with the help of Donchian channels. Donchian channels are a popular technical analysis tool that maps out the highest highs and lowest lows over a given period.
By combining the insights from Renko charts and Donchian channels, traders gain a comprehensive approach to detecting key support and resistance areas in any market condition. Whether you're a novice trader or an experienced professional, we hope this video aids anyone seeking to enhance their ability to define support and resistance for any asset.
[Price Action#1] What is the Breakout and Breakdown?What is the Breakout?
Breakout is a price moving outside a defined resistance level with increased buying volume. The breakout traders enter the long positions after the price breaks the resistance level.
What is the Breakdown?
Breakdown is a price moving outside a defined support level with increased selling volume. The breakdown traders enter the short positions after the price breaks the support level.
📈 Charting Lesson: What do I even look for in a chart?!Full-time trader here. Sharing some knowledge for free . If this helps you, show some love: follow me for more and like this idea. 👍
Why do I need a chart anyway?
First, we need to convince you of why you need a chart. No problem. Let's say you're a fundamental analysis investor. The stock has to make sense. The stock has to last forever. It needs to be a growth stock. Let's say... NASDAQ:AAPL NASDAQ:GOOG NASDAQ:NVDA NASDAQ:TSLA is a good example over the last few years. Now that you found a good candidate, when are you going to buy? At an all-time high? At an all-time low? One share a day? One share a week? No. Buying a stock without looking at the chart is like driving with a blindfold. Don't do it.
Pull up a chart.
Observe past price action.
Try to find a trend.
Plan your entry.
Do this even if you're going to hold for 20 years.
When I pull up a chart, what do I look for? I just see a bunch of lines.
Let's first make sure you are looking at the correct view. On the top left corner of your screen, you'll see your user icon. Next to it is the ticker. Next to it is the interval. Next to THAT is the chart type. Make sure you select "CANDLES". Not "hollow candles". Here's how it should look:
Mine may look a bit different because I changed my theme. But the candles is what we care about.
Now the juicy part.
Support and Resistance are Key Reversal Levels.
When you open a chart, the first thing you want to do is look for areas where the price has reached in the past and reversed or got rejected or bounced. For example, every time SPY reached 443.37 in the chart above, it reversed. Let's call this a, "key level".
If the price is ABOVE that key level, the line is called SUPPORT.
If the price is BELOW that key level, the line is called RESISTANCE.
Using the horizontal line tool, make sure you have these key support and resistance levels on your chart. Try to ONLY buy near support and sell near resistance.
If the stock is choppy, do your best. If you can't, skip it and go to another stock. There's thousands!
Stocks, Currencies, and Cryptos Move in Trends. Up or Down.
Next, try to find a "trend". A trend is something where if you connect the dots, the price jumps right from that straight line.
Pull out your trendline tool and try to connect some dots. Don't go through any candle bodies. Going through wicks is okay. It's actually recommended.
Three touches are required to make a valid trendline. If you see only TWO touches? Is the price going TOWARDS the trendline if you were to extend it? There's a good chance it's going to head towards that TL and bounce! Good job. You found a good trade potential.
Identify Reversal or Continuation Patterns.
Look for known patterns. In the example above, there is a "head and shoulders" pattern. This is a bearish reversal pattern.
Know that not all patterns will come true.
It's good to know the overall signal the market is giving.
If every trader sees it, it's likely not going to happen.
In the above example, a looming H/S pattern is scary given already bad economic conditions and recession/ inflation worries. In this case, the market may be trying to tell you something.
Understand that these patterns are not just nice-looking drawings on a chart. They work because they display some sort of buyer/ seller psychology.
I will post more examples of known patterns on my TradingView profile soon. Be sure to follow if you want to learn more.
If you benefitted from this, you are welcome to follow me, comment any questions, or share this with your friends. Good knowledge should be free. I'll post more insight soon. Thank you for reading and for your continued support. 👍
What is Support & Resistance (S&R)? What Types of S&R?Support & Resistance (S&R) is one of the basic topics that we need to know in trading, whether trading forex, shares or cryptocurrency.
Support & Resistance can show the upper and lower limits of price movement in a certain time.
*) Resistance is the upper limit to limit prices from rising further.
*) Support is the lower limit to limit prices from falling further.
The market moves because of differences in demand and supply.
When demand is greater the price will rise, if the supply is greater the price will move down.
Types of Support & Resistance:
1. Classic S&R
The way to determine S&R in Classic S&R is using previous swing high and swing low as referece (picture no.1)
The advantage of using this method is we can know previous S&R and we can use that as our reference to determine target profit, or stop loss area.
The weakness of using classic S&R is when the price break S&R we don’t know the next S/R
2. Dynamic S&R
The way to determine Dynamic S&R is using moving average. We determine high point & low point when price touch moving average diagonal line. (picture no.2)
4. Harmonic S&R
Harmonic S&R Is useful to determine S&R when price in all time high.
The weakness of Classic S&R is when the price break S&R we don’t know the next S&R, because of that we use Harmonic S&R to analyze the next target profit or loss area.
We use Fibonacci methode (picture no.3) to determine S&R
How we know this is a strong S/R or not?
That is a strong S/R when the price touch the S/R area and the price have a strong movement.
Function of Support & Resistance
Support & Resistance makes us know if this area can be a price target area, so we understand if the price doesn’t always go up or down, so we must to take profit and we have to put a stop loss.
In stock market activity, support & resistance prices indicate certain psychological levels, like:
*) Support is the level where people buy shares at the lowest price and make a profit when the price rises.
*) Resistance is the level where people have bought shares at the highest price and experienced losses because the price fell.
That activity becomes a repeating pattern.
People tend to buy at the support price because they know the price will rise and when the price is almost or already in the resistance area they will sell.
In the Forex market, we can have 2 positions in the same time,
So when the price is at the support we can make a purchase, and when the price is at resistance we can sell the previous position and in the resistance area we can also look for a selling position with a profit target in the previous support area and a stop loss area above the resistance area, because if price breaks through the resistance, price will continue to rise and create a new resistance.
Notes:
1. The source of this writing comes from several ideas that I have read, heard, or experienced personally. So if those of you reading this post & feel this is your idea, Please allow me to share again, because maybe I also learn from you.
2. The topic of Fibonacci and Moving Average will be discussed at another time
Thank You.
28 Sep 2023
Look for support and resistance lines to help with daytradesI'm looking for a DT entry here on AMD but instead of entering prematurely and hoping it goes up, I'm waiting for bullish confirmation that will happen if bulls reclaim the resistance and use it as support. Meaning, it should shoot above resistance, then dip down to that line as SUPPORT. That would be my ideal entry.
Watch to see what happens here. Good learning experience even if you are not in the trade. You are welcome to use volume and moving averages to assist you with your entries.
NASDAQ:AMD
UNVEILING THE COMPREHENSIVE ARSENAL OF TRADING TOOLS
The trading landscape in the 21st century is characterized by a revolutionary fusion of cutting-edge technology and financial acumen. As the accessibility of trading increases, traders wield a versatile suite of tools that encompass chart patterns, Fibonacci retracements, Andrews' pitchfork, and the Zig Zag indicator. This in-depth exploration delves into the profound significance of these tools, unraveling their collective potential to empower proactive traders with precision, insight, and strategic advantage.
The Evolution of Modern Trading Tools:
The digital age has ushered in a new era of trading prowess, where rapid data flows and advanced software solutions redefine the boundaries of trading. Enabled by the synergy of computers, high-speed internet, and sophisticated charting software, traders enjoy real-time access to data analytics and market trends. Within this realm, a rich repository of tools is available, catering to traders' diverse needs with heightened precision and predictive power.
Chart Patterns : Deciphering Market Sentiment:
Chart patterns occupy a pivotal role as visual conduits of market psychology and price action trends. From classic formations like double bottoms to iconic patterns like head and shoulders, these visual representations encapsulate historical price movements and inform future price dynamics. Proactive traders leverage chart patterns to anticipate pivotal reversals and breakout points, weaving together historical trends and human behavioral insights into actionable trading strategies.
Fibonacci Retracements: Unveiling Harmonious Ratios:
At the nexus of mathematics and trading, Fibonacci retracements harmonize the natural ratios discovered by Leonardo of Pisa, known as Fibonacci. These ratios, including the Golden Ratio (0.618) and its derivatives, echo natural proportions that echo throughout nature and financial markets. Traders utilize these retracements to identify potential support and resistance levels, choreographing entry and exit points with a mathematical precision that complements market intuition.
Andrews' Pitchfork: Sculpting Market Trends:
From the annals of technical analysis emerges Andrews' pitchfork—a tool that imparts structure to market trends. Crafted by Dr. Alan Andrews, this method employs three pivotal price points to map out potential trend channels, identify support and resistance zones, and navigate the ebb and flow of market movements. Proactive traders harness this tool's prowess to create strategies that thrive within these discernible channels.
Zig Zag Indicator : Distilling Price Trends:
Navigating the labyrinthine price chart is simplified by the Zig Zag indicator—a tool designed to eliminate market noise and elucidate significant price movements. This indicator employs precise highs and lows to create lines that showcase trends with clarity, ensuring that traders are privy to substantial trends while disregarding minor fluctuations. In this manner, the Zig Zag indicator becomes a beacon amidst market complexity.
A Synergistic Trading Arsenal:
The amalgamation of chart patterns, Fibonacci retracements, Andrews' pitchfork, and the Zig Zag indicator engenders a holistic trading approach of unparalleled potency. While chart patterns unveil market psychology, Fibonacci retracements contribute mathematical precision, Andrews' pitchfork orchestrates trend analysis, and the Zig Zag indicator distills trends from noise, thus harmonizing a comprehensive trading strategy.
Conclusion:
In an era marked by unceasing innovation, success in trading is predicated upon the adept utilization of a multifaceted toolset. The amalgamated prowess of chart patterns, Fibonacci retracements, Andrews' pitchfork, and the Zig Zag indicator constitutes a comprehensive arsenal that empowers traders with foresight, precision, and strategic edge. As the 21st-century trading milieu continues its evolution, mastery over these tools remains pivotal, transforming the intricate dynamics of financial markets into a realm of opportunity and achievement.
TCPLTP
Support and Resistance- Flipping Roles⚡In simple terms, support is a level where demand overcomes supply, while resistance is a level where supply overcomes demand. In the market, different types of traders participate, and I have broadly categorized them into four groups based on their behavior.
⚡You may have heard that once a support level is broken, it tends to act as a resistance level, and vice versa. This phenomenon occurs because the roles of support and resistance flip, influenced by the psychology of traders at these levels.
⚡Let's illustrate this with an example. Consider Group A, a set of buyers who bought a stock at 80. The stock price rises to 100 but faces some resistance. At this point, Group B, consisting of short sellers, enters the market and starts selling the stock near 100, with their stop-loss orders placed just above 100. Thus, there is supply present at this level.
⚡The price consolidates within a narrow range and eventually breaks out above 100. Group A is delighted as they bought at a good price, but Group B becomes unhappy. Some members of Group B exit the trade as their stop-loss orders get triggered, while others continue to hold in hope of a favorable outcome.
⚡Now, another group of traders, Group C, known as breakout traders, becomes active above 100. Their buy orders, combined with the buy-stop orders from Group B, add momentum to the upward movement, pushing the price up to 110.
⚡As the buying pressure eases, and short-term traders take profits, the market starts to pull back, eventually reaching the old resistance area around 100.
⚡Many pullback traders look for buying opportunities near this level. Additionally, members of Group B, who shorted at 100, realize their mistake and start buying to close their short positions at breakeven. Some of them also reverse their positions. Other buyers who were waiting on the sidelines also start entering the market. All these buy orders create a strong demand.
⚡Notice that once there was significant supply at 100 and now there is significant demand. If this demand is substantial enough, the price resumes its upward movement, illustrating how changes in market sentiment impact a participant's psychology and consequently affect the nature of support and resistance levels.
⚡The reverse is true for how a support level, once broken down, turns into a resistance level.
⚡I hope you found this tutorial helpful. Please stay tuned for more educational content in the future. Feel free to show your support by liking this post.
Disclaimer: Practical knowledge
TOMMY XAU | BASIC MARKET STRUCTURE Good afternoon gold gang!
Thought id jump on here to talk to you about basic market structure, as its the basis for any strategy and super important to learn.
We can identify that the market moves 3 ways ..
up trend
down trend
sideways (consolidation)
I prefer to trade when the market is trending in either direction. I determine this by looking at the monthly and weekly candles.
In a trending market, i am looking to identify areas that the market can reverse from. If we are making a higher high for example .. I can identify that price is likely to pull back down to the key level it started its ascent from. From there i can wait for confirmations on the lower time frame to take a trade in the direction of the trend.
obviously this doesnt work everytime .. news etc .. but its always good to have it in the back of your mind the phase of the market you are currently in.
you will find with my strategy .. that price will make new structure points around my key levels ( the ones i place on my chart)
Hope this helps some of you out .. back to basics is sometimes the way to go if you are getting overwhelmed with information
Have a great sunday and see you tonight for the outlook
tommy
Market Direction - Trend StrengthThe strength of a trend can be a key factor in predicting future price movements. This post will specifically cover how to identify trends, how to determine trend strength, and how to use it to your advantage when trading the markets.
Characteristics of a Trending Market
To begin, let us understand how to identify a trending market.
A trending market is a market that is either making higher highs followed by higher lows (UPTREND) or lower lows followed by lower highs (DOWNTREND).
What does this typically look like? Let's see:
Uptrend
Downtrend
Now that we understand how to identify uptrends and downtrends, let's delve further and discuss how to use trend strength to your advantage when trading the markets.
Fibonacci Retracement Tool
The Fibonacci retracement tool is used in trending markets to determine how strong the trend is. It uses natural numbers to determine the high-probability price levels that the market will hit and continue in its initial direction. This method will use four Fibonacci levels: 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, and 78.6%.
One thing to mention is that in a trending market, the chart is made up of two waves: impulsive and retracement. After an impulsive wave, a retracement wave will usually form; after a retracement wave, the impulsive wave will usually form.
The impulsive wave represents the strong momentum of buyers and sellers. The retracement wave shows the weakness of buyers and sellers.
Therefore, we must look at the retracement wave when it comes to deciding the strength of a trend. For example, in an uptrend, the impulsive wave will be bullish; therefore, the retracement wave will be bearish. In a downtrend, the impulsive wave will be bearish; therefore, the retracement wave will be bullish.
The retracement wave shows the strength of the opposite side of the market. For example, if the impulsive wave is bullish, buyers are stronger. Then, in the retracement wave, sellers will try to dominate the buyers.
Therefore, the deeper the retracement goes, the stronger sellers will be than buyers, and the weaker the bullish trend strength will be.
With the Fibonacci retracement tool, there are three scenarios to determine trend strength:
Strong Trend Strength: 38.2% Fibonacci Retracement
Moderate Trend Strength: 50%–61.8% Fibonacci Retracement
Weak Trend Strength: 78.6% Fibonacci Retracement
The above examples show why the Fibonacci retracement tool can be extremely effective in determining not only how strong a trend is, but also how likely it is to continue past the beginning of the impulsive wave.
Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands are very effective in reading trend strength. Bollinger Bands are based on price volatility, which means that they expand when the market is trending and there are big prices, and they contract during sideways consolidations when the market ranges.
Bollinger Bands consist of two outer bands (top and bottom bands) on each side and a moving average in the centre between the outer bands (middle band).
One of the main reasons Bollinger Bands are so effective in reading trend strength is that they do not lag as much as other indicators because they always change automatically with the price.
Three important points to note when using Bollinger Bands to read trend strength:
If price pulls away from the outer band and heads towards the middle band as the trend continues, this is a key indication that the trend strength may be weakening.
During strong trends, prices stay close to the outer band and significantly away from the middle band.
Repeated pushes into the outer bands that do not actually reach the band indicate a lack of trend strength.
Let's see a chart example of Bollinger Bands reading trend strength:
As you can see, using Bollinger Bands can provide traders with very useful information about trend strength and the balance between bulls and bears.
Price Rejection
We do not always need indicators or tools to read trend strength; it is possible to do this just by looking at a naked chart. The way rejected continuations or reversals happen on charts can be a huge indicator of being able to read trend strength. Before understanding the price rejection, it is important to know about the wick or shadow of the candlestick.
Upper wick
The upper shadow shows that the price went up and then came down again. This indicates that buyers wanted to increase the price, but sellers dominated the buyers to push the price back down.
Lower wick
The lower shadow represents that the price went down and then came back up. This indicates that sellers wanted to lower the price, but buyers dominated the sellers to push the price back up.
Identifying price rejection
Traders should first wait for the price to reach a strong support or resistance level. Then, at the support or resistance level, candlesticks will likely make wicks opposite the trend due to the strength of the level. For example, wicks or shadows will form on the upper side at the resistance zone, while at the support zone, wicks or shadows will form on the lower side of the candlesticks.
These wicks or shadows are identified as price rejections in the market.
Price rejections are very important, especially in identifying trend strength, because they accept or reject the identification of key levels in the market. For example, if you are unsure whether a support zone will hold or break, you can see whether price rejection will occur at that level.
Let's see a chart example of price rejection and how you can use it to identify trend strength:
The chart above is proof alone that trend strength can be identified by just looking at the price action of a chart.
Understanding the strength of a trend does not have to be complex. Trend strength can be identified simply by using the three different techniques we have covered in this educational post.
The best thing we can all do as traders is to be simplistic and not overcomplicate things; this becomes especially easier when you accept that nothing in the market is certain.
Each market has its own unique market conditions and will not trade rationally all of the time. Therefore, when a trade does not go your way even though your trend strength signals were high and you followed the market, understand that it is just one trade and that the market is completely neutral. It is neither personally on your side nor personally against you.
Trade safely and responsibly.
BluetonaFX
⭐️ Support And Resistance | Definition & Strategies ⭐️Support and resistance levels are fundamental aspects of trading, holding significant importance in various financial markets, including the dynamic forex market. These critical levels signify specific price zones on a chart where buyers and sellers actively participate, exerting influence on market movements. Consequently, comprehending the impact of support and resistance levels is crucial for traders seeking to make well-informed decisions and capitalize on trading opportunities. This comprehensive article aims to explore the significance of support and resistance levels, delve into methods of correctly identifying and drawing them, outline effective trading strategies, and present techniques for filtering out false signals. Armed with a comprehensive understanding of these concepts, traders can elevate their trading proficiency, potentially leading to improved profitability and success in the forex market.
Support and resistance levels act as psychological barriers, reflecting the collective behavior of market participants. Support represents a price level where buying pressure tends to overcome selling pressure, causing prices to reverse direction and rise. On the other hand, resistance signifies a price level where selling pressure typically surpasses buying pressure, leading to price reversals and declines. These levels are formed based on previous market reactions, such as historical highs and lows, trendlines, and chart patterns. Traders consider support and resistance levels as critical reference points, as they help identify potential entry and exit points, define risk and reward ratios, and anticipate market reversals or continuations.
To accurately identify and draw support and resistance levels, traders employ various techniques and tools. One popular method is the swing high and swing low approach. Traders identify significant peaks (swing highs) and troughs (swing lows) on a price chart and draw horizontal lines connecting them. These lines act as reference levels, indicating potential areas of support and resistance. Additionally, trendlines can be utilized to identify dynamic support and resistance levels, providing insights into the overall market trend.
Once support and resistance levels are identified, traders can implement effective trading strategies to capitalize on these market dynamics. One common approach is to buy at support and sell at resistance. When prices approach a support level, traders anticipate a price bounce and look for buying opportunities. Conversely, when prices approach a resistance level, traders expect a potential price reversal and consider selling or shorting the asset. This strategy allows traders to enter trades with favorable risk-reward ratios, aiming to capture price movements away from support or resistance levels.
What is it exactly a Support and Resistance ?
Support and resistance levels represent crucial price clusters where buyers and sellers engage in competition.
A support level denotes a specific price point where the demand for an asset becomes sufficiently strong to halt further declines in its value. As the price approaches the support level, it is reasonable to expect an increase in buyer activity and a decrease in seller activity, resulting in higher buying volume and reduced selling volume.
When the price reaches the support line, there is a high likelihood of a rebound occurring, as this line establishes a significant psychological low within the market.
Support levels essentially "support" the price, preventing it from continuing its downward trajectory.
It's important to note that support and resistance levels are not fixed points. Prices may approach these levels with slight deviations, either falling just short of reaching them or temporarily dipping slightly below the line.
If the price successfully breaks through the support line and proceeds to decline, it undergoes a transformation and assumes the role of a resistance level.
Use of the Resistances on Bearish trend.
Use of The Supports on Bullish trend.
Use of Support and Resistance on Sideways / Range market.
Resistance levels are the opposite of support. These marks appear when supply becomes equal to demand. The logic here is that as the resistance level is approached, the volume of buyers decreases, while the volume of sellers gradually increases. At the point where the balance is reached, the price will stop, and further growth will stop.
The resistance level is always above the price. The name also speaks for itself. This mark is as if restraining the price from further growth by resisting it.
How To Trade On Support And Resistance Levels:
Trading based on support and resistance levels is a popular approach within the forex trading community. These levels represent specific areas on a price chart where the market tends to reverse or consolidate, presenting potential opportunities for buying or selling. To effectively trade support and resistance levels, follow these steps:
- Identify significant support and resistance levels: Analyze historical price data to locate areas where the price has previously reversed or encountered difficulty in breaking through. This can be done by observing swing highs and swing lows, trendlines, Fibonacci retracement levels, or horizontal price levels.
- Mark the identified levels on your chart: Once you have identified key support and resistance levels, mark them on your chart. This visual representation helps you recognize the areas where potential trading opportunities may arise.
- Monitor price reactions: Keep a close eye on the price as it approaches the support or resistance levels. Look for indications of a potential reversal or a breakout from the level. These indications can include candlestick patterns, chart patterns, or the signals from indicators that suggest a shift in market momentum.
- Confirm with additional indicators: While support and resistance levels can be traded on their own, it can be beneficial to use supplementary indicators or tools to validate your trading decisions. For instance, you can employ oscillators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) or the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) to assess overbought or oversold conditions.
- Define your entry and exit points: Once you have identified a potential trading opportunity based on support and resistance levels, establish your entry point, determine a suitable Stop Loss level (to limit potential losses), and set a take-profit level (to secure profits). Technical analysis, such as considering the distance between the entry point and the nearest support or resistance level, can help determine these levels.
Manage your risk: Proper risk management is crucial when trading support and resistance levels. Consider implementing appropriate position sizing, setting Stop Loss orders to protect against excessive losses, and maintaining a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. This approach ensures that even if some trades are unsuccessful, your overall trading strategy remains profitable.
Practice and refine your strategy: Mastery of support and resistance trading comes with practice and experience. Begin by testing your approach on a demo account or using backtesting software to evaluate its performance based on historical data. Refine your strategy based on your observations and gradually build your confidence.
Support And Resistance Trading Strategies
Support and resistance trading strategies offer various approaches to capitalize on price dynamics around these key levels. Here are several common strategies employed by traders:
Breakout Strategy:
This strategy involves trading the breakout of support and resistance levels. When the price surpasses a resistance level or falls below a support level, it indicates a potential continuation of the prevailing trend. Traders can initiate a long position after a resistance breakout or a short position following a support breakdown. Setting a Stop Loss order below the breakout level helps manage risk.
Bounce Strategy:
With the bounce strategy, traders anticipate price bounces off support and resistance levels. When the price approaches a support level, traders can enter long positions, placing a Stop Loss order below the support level. Conversely, when the price nears a resistance level, traders can go short, setting a Stop Loss order above the resistance level. The expectation is that the price will reverse from these levels, presenting profitable trading opportunities.
Range Trading:
Range trading occurs when the price fluctuates between a support and resistance level. Traders can exploit this by buying near the support level and selling near the resistance level. To enhance range trading, traders identify the range boundaries and employ technical indicators such as oscillators to assess overbought and oversold conditions within the range.
Pullback Strategy:
In this strategy, traders wait for the price to retrace to a support or resistance level after a breakout. The idea is to enter trades in the direction of the breakout once the pullback is complete. For instance, if the price breaks above a resistance level, traders wait for a pullback to the support-turned-resistance level before initiating a long position.
Confluence Strategy:
This strategy combines support and resistance levels with other technical indicators or chart patterns to increase trading probabilities. Traders search for instances where multiple factors align, such as a support level coinciding with a trendline or a Fibonacci retracement level. This convergence of factors strengthens the signal for potential trading opportunities.
How To Filter False Signals ?
Filtering out false signals when trading support and resistance levels can indeed be challenging. However, there are several strategies you can employ to increase your accuracy and minimize the impact of false signals. Here are some helpful tips:
- Confirm with multiple indicators: Relying on a single indicator can lead to false readings. To enhance the reliability of your analysis, consider using multiple indicators that complement each other. Look for indicators that align with your support and resistance levels, such as trendlines, moving averages, or oscillators. When multiple indicators converge and provide consistent signals, it strengthens the confirmation for potential trading opportunities.
- Analyze price action: Study how the price behaves around support and resistance levels. Look for clear and decisive price movements, such as strong breakouts or bounces, accompanied by significant volume. False signals often exhibit choppy or erratic price action, lacking conviction. By analyzing price action, you can gain insights into the strength or weakness of support and resistance levels.
- Consider multiple time frames: Analyze support and resistance levels across different time frames. Levels that hold on higher time frames carry more significance. Focus on levels that align and hold on multiple time frames, as they are more likely to attract market participants and generate reliable signals. The confluence of levels across different time frames increases the validity of the signals.
- Monitor the market context: Consider the broader market context, including the overall trend, market sentiment, and significant news or events. Support or resistance levels that align with the prevailing trend and market sentiment are more likely to generate valid signals. Conversely, levels that conflict with the trend or market sentiment may produce false signals or indicate potential reversal points. Understanding the market context can help you filter out false signals.
- Be patient and selective: Avoid jumping into trades based on every touch of a support or resistance level. Exercise patience and wait for strong confirmation signals before entering a trade. Look for price rejections, candlestick patterns, or breaks with high volume and momentum. Being patient and selective in your trades increases the probability of accurate signals and minimizes the impact of false signals on your trading.
- Implement proper risk management: Effective risk management is crucial to mitigating the impact of false signals. Set appropriate Stop Loss orders to limit potential losses if a trade goes against you. Consider using Trailing Stops to protect profits as the trade moves in your favor. By managing your risk properly, you can protect your trading capital and minimize the adverse effects of false signals on your overall trading performance.
By incorporating these strategies into your trading approach, you can enhance your ability to filter out false signals and increase your accuracy when trading support and resistance levels. Remember to practice, adapt to changing market conditions, and continuously refine your trading strategy.
Conclusion :
Support and resistance levels are crucial elements in the forex market, exerting a significant influence on price movements and market dynamics. These levels represent areas where supply and demand imbalances occur, leading to trend reversals, consolidations, breakouts, and impacting market psychology.
Correctly identifying and drawing support and resistance levels is vital for traders as it helps them identify potential buying and selling opportunities. Traders can utilize various trading strategies to capitalize on these levels. Breakout strategies involve trading the breakouts of support or resistance levels, while bounce strategies focus on trading price bounces off these levels. Range trading strategies take advantage of price oscillations within established support and resistance boundaries, while pullback strategies involve trading in the direction of the breakout after a price retracement.
However, it's essential to filter out false signals to avoid erroneous trading decisions. This can be achieved by using multiple indicators that complement each other and provide confirmation signals. Analyzing price action helps in understanding the strength or weakness of support and resistance levels. Considering different time frames allows traders to identify levels that hold significance across various intervals. Assessing the broader market context, including the overall trend and market sentiment, helps to avoid false signals that conflict with the prevailing market conditions.
Additionally, exercising patience and selectivity when entering trades ensures that traders wait for strong confirmation signals before taking action. Implementing proper risk management techniques, such as setting appropriate Stop Loss orders and employing position sizing strategies, protects traders from excessive losses and manages risk effectively.
By incorporating these principles into their trading approach, traders can navigate the complexities of support and resistance levels and increase their chances of success in the forex market.
The Best Odds within a Consolidated MarketEvery pattern of the market has precise areas where the probabilities can play in the most favorable way for you, if you trust the pattern (until it expires). Of course, we trust patterns... that's what we do: we drink and trust patterns .
This example on the XRPUSDT pair is a good example of this. As a day trader (or a FTT trader), your hope here would be to catch a meaningful impulse, a long movement of the price that could give you profits. If you want that, where would you place your entry?
The basic knowledge tells about "zones", but all zones are not equally safe and important in every pattern.
For example, we know that the average zone in a consolidated market (the midrange between its resistance and support) is important... but is it safe? Let's think about it:
By definition, an established market that goes sideways is bouncing between its resistance and support zones. It also tends to bounce against the midrange, of course (or, at least, it tends to struggle in that place); but normally you would expect the price to break the middle of the channel in order to reach its margins. Why? Because that's the very nature of the pattern! Duh!
If the price surpass the midrange, the pattern stays vigorous, healthy and reliable. But what happens if the price exceeds markedly the channel's resistance or support? That would be an apparent or definitive breakout of such pattern... its closure: There's no trustable pattern anymore and you must be careful because your previous analysis now belongs to the past.
This reflection is meant to warn you about one of the common mistakes we commit –perhaps because of the nature (a fault?) of our system or because of our unwise decisions–: Not waiting for the price to come up to the best spot for our entry. Not being selective enough when deciding the best settings of the market.
In my series about trading psychology I expect to delve more into this attitude of not caring too much about our best chances, which is a way of not protecting our capital –although there is also a problem in caring too much , to the point of inertia–. But, for now, let's just reflect about the significant disadvantage of placing our bets into forecasts that objectively lack the best odds within a known pattern! Surely those are not the most educated bets we are capable of... and a profitable trader is person who makes educated bets.
📊 6 Examples of Rejections at S/R Areas📍Support and Resistance 101
Support and resistance are two foundational concepts in technical analysis. Understanding what these terms mean and their practical application is essential to correctly reading price charts. Prices move because of supply and demand. When demand is greater than supply, prices rise. When supply is greater than demand, prices fall. Sometimes, prices will move sideways as both supply and demand are in equilibrium. Like many concepts in technical analysis, the explanation and rationale behind technical concepts are relatively easy, but mastery in their application often takes years of practice. S/R level areas can develop inside different candlestick patterns as well as trend trading patterns. The Resistance being the top of the pattern and the support being the bottom of it.
🔹Technical analysts use support and resistance levels to identify price points on a chart where the probabilities favor a pause or reversal of a prevailing trend.
🔹Support occurs where a downtrend is expected to pause due to a concentration of demand.
🔹Resistance occurs where an uptrend is expected to pause temporarily, due to a concentration of supply.
🔹Market psychology plays a major role as traders and investors remember the past and react to changing conditions to anticipate future market movement.
🔹Support and resistance areas can be identified on charts using trendlines and moving averages as well as different types of patterns.
👤 @AlgoBuddy
📅 Daily Ideas about market update, psychology & indicators
❤️ If you appreciate our work, please like, comment and follow ❤️
Trading Psychology 101 | FEAR (1/2)A bit of a different video for you..
Thought i should talk about a sensitive subject here..
Psychology in trading and the key factors that you may need to finally BECOME a better trader..
In this part, I talk about FEAR and FOMO. Also, I added a more sensitive part, which is feeling burnt out and ways to overcome that.
Hope you find this helpful!
Why you should only think about charts when looking at chartsHello?
Traders, welcome.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Boost".
Have a nice day.
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When looking at the investment market, the first thing to do is to analyze the chart, and I wanted to say that the most important thing is how to create a trading strategy that suits your investment style with that chart.
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Most people try to predict the movement of the investment market by looking at the announcement of various economic indicators and the contents of global issues (war, corona, etc.).
A big issue must be something that can cause great volatility in the investment market, but it is also clear that when such an issue accumulates, it can no longer create volatility.
So, you should be careful that trying to predict the movement of the investment market with such issues can make a wrong prediction.
Sudden big issues For example, in the case of a global shock due to an issue such as the 9/11 terrorist attack, it may cause great volatility without time to respond.
Other than these issues, most of the chart's price movement will react first.
In order to see this pre-reflection in advance, you need to look at the chart without reflecting factors that can change your psychological state, such as the announcement of various economic indicators or global issues.
I don't think this kind of work is a big deal, but it is a very important factor that occupies a fairly important part of investing.
We need to think a lot about how to figure out the trend only with the movement of the chart, away from the announcement of various economic indicators and thoughts about global issues.
As it rises above the indicator called Low, which was created on June 19, 2022, we can see that it is splitting the flow of the chart in half.
A change in the -100 indicator has always completed a low.
Although it is currently showing a different look than before, it will form a low as long as the -100 indicator is created.
The +100 indicator is an indicator that starts generating when a high is formed.
Therefore, a rise above the +100 indicator means that the uptrend to break the high is likely.
Therefore, in order to show a full-fledged uptrend from the current price position, it must rise above 38K.
The high point has been holding for a long time now.
However, the low point has not yet formed a clear point due to the change of the -100 indicator.
However, as the -100 point is moved near the current price range, the possibility of forming a low is very high.
This shows that we are facing a new trend.
Keeping the price above 17941.69 is most important from a short-term perspective to create this new trend.
The next most important thing is to keep the price above 20552.75.
Then, it completes the appearance of a trough (a phenomenon in which the price drops more before making a bigger rise) before showing an uptrend.
The StochRSI indicator is showing a fairly rapid decline.
We will verify what we said above by looking at where the Stoch RSI indicator finds support and resistance when it turns upside down.
This change in support and resistance points can tell you which direction the movement of the current chart is about to head.
You may think my explanation is inconclusive, but the conclusion has already been drawn.
We live in a flood of information.
It is quite difficult to infer an objective conclusion by synthesizing such a large amount of information.
Therefore, it is necessary to objectify all information using objectified tools and indicators.
Many celebrities' chart analysis methods and trading methods are introduced on the Internet or in books.
In order to make the contents of these people my own, it can only be acquired through numerous transactions and numerous experiences.
Over time, trends change and all patterns change and evolve.
In order to read the chart in line with these changes, I think it is better to use a simpler and faster way to analyze.
This is because you can keep up with the ever-changing trends.
It is more important to make your own mental state stable due to volatility by investing more time in the trading strategy than the time used for analysis.
What do you guys think?
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** All descriptions are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.
** If you share this chart, you can use the indicators normally.
** The MRHAB-T indicator includes indicators that indicate points of support and resistance.
** Check the formulas for the MS-Signal, HA-Low, and HA-High indicators at ().
** SR_R_C indicators are displayed as StochRSI (line), RSI (columns), and CCI (bgcolor).
** The CCI indicator is displayed in the overbought section (CCI > +100) and oversold section (CCI < -100).
(Short-term Stop Loss can be said to be a point where profit or loss can be preserved or additional entry can be made by split trading. This is a short-term investment perspective.)
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Imaginary levels: wave exhaustion priceCan't explain this 4 real until I explain how to properly locate levels & distinguish buying & selling waves. I KNOW I'M MESSING UP WITH ORDER OF INFO SUPPLY, SORRY.
Still...
Pretty soon you'll understand that 3393.52 and 2191.86 are the levels, and there's one buying wave between em.
Point 1 is the wave start.
Point 2 is the wave end.
When 3393.52 get cleared, another buying wave starts originating @ 3393.52 & point 2.
All the details & questions will be explained & answered later.
Now just focus on the wave exhaustion prices.
Every wave becomes exhausted in terms of price when it's range exceeds the range of the previous wave in the same direction. Not a lil bit before, exclusively past the threshold value.
So after getting past this level and considering the other conditions that would be explained later the current wave becomes prone to end and consequent start of another wave in the opposite direction.
Just as with partition levels (that are imaginary as well), these levels don't make much use any more when the real price activity start to emerge there. Imaginary levels are used when there's no alternative, but a decision has to be made.