Fighting the need to be right in the marketsIn most industrial countries the educational system was created not to truly teach students, but to generate good workers for factories and other companies. Yes, we want these highly trained individuals to be able to think critically and generate new ideas. However, we want them to be excellent employees who follow the boss's instructions. So, how do we do that? We do it through our educational process where children learn that the teacher is always right.
Children attend school for 12 to 16 years, and it is often reinforced that the instructor is always correct. For example, as a student, you are required to take tests. You learned that if you get fewer than 70% of the questions correct, you are a failure. "Why didn't you receive 100?" your father asks when you show it to him. So, your father expected you to be correct as well. As a result, we have a strong desire to be correct. If you don't get it correctly at least 70% of the time, you're labeled a failure. However, you want to be correct 100% of the time so that your father does not criticize you. As a result, you begin to criticize yourself first in order to solve the problem before your dad does.
Let's take that and apply it to the stock market, futures market, or any other investment you could make. You want to be correct, and that to you means making money. Let's assume you buy a stock for $100 and know how to establish a stop loss: if it drops below $95 per share, you'll sell.
Let's assume the price falls to $95 per share. You really want to be right, so you'd be wrong if you got out, or at least feel like you were. Your mind races with ideas such as, "It's simply a temporary setback." "Analysts expect a significant boost in earnings this quarter; I'm reluctant to sell at this time." "What if a few traders are manipulating the downturn?"
So you hang onto the stock and watch it fall even further. It drops to $90. Now you have a 2R loss. If it was hard to take a 1R loss, it’s even harder to take a 2R loss. And all the same, arguments apply. Thus, you hold onto your stock. Now the stock drops to $85 and you have a 3R loss. You know you really should get out, but now your portfolio is down $4k and you can really write off $3k in losses, so you’d better keep this stock. You know it will turn around.
Now you know why a psychologist and an economist won the Nobel Prize in economics for basically showing that it was very hard for people to take losses. People according to those Nobel prize winners become much more “tolerant of risk” when they are behind. The Nobel winners also showed that people tend to tolerate little risk when they are ahead, making it difficult to let profits run.
People tolerate risk more when they are behind (i.e won’t cut their losses) and tolerate risk less when they are ahead (i.e they won’t let their profits run).
So what can you do about your need to be right?
Instead of focusing on being right, focus on not making any mistakes, whereas a mistake occurs when you don’t follow your rules. Your rules should be the golden rules of trading (previous article material).
If you consider breaking these rules as being wrong (i.e., making a mistake), you’ll find that suddenly you can make money in the stock market or any other investment field.
In short, you must think in terms of probabilities and statistics. As a result, you can pay attention to just following your system, and making as few mistakes as possible, because when you do that, you “know” what your results will be in the long run (knowing the expectancy of your system).
Trade with care.
If you like our content, please feel free to support our page with a like, comment & subscribe for future educational ideas and trading setups.
Trade Management
Trade ManagmentLast nights price action is a perfect example of the importance of correct risk management. All 3 entries taken last night ran to roughly 3% and then reversed.
Due to correct risk management all 3 of these trades resulted in Break even results instead of full losses.
Finishing the night at break even instead of -3% is not a huge difference $ wise but also a massive difference mentally.
By closing 0.25% of your position at 3% profit you are essentially Break evening your trading while still leaving your stop open and 75% of the position still running.
Risk ManagmentLast nights price action is a perfect example of the importance of correct risk management. All 3 entries taken last night ran to roughly 3% and then reversed.
Due to correct risk management all 3 of these trades resulted in Break even results instead of full losses.
Finishing the night at break even instead of -3% is not a huge difference $ wise but also a massive difference mentally.
By closing 0.25% of your position at 3% profit you are essentially Break evening your trading while still leaving your stop open and 75% of the position still running.
How To Trail Stop Loss Effectively | Capture All day's ActionMaximise your Day Trading Profits 5X | Apply this trade management system to hold trades all day without much effort
In this video I'm going to share with you a trade management idea which would allow you to trade and hold the trade from the start to the end of the day trading session.
The Chart I'm using is US30 / DOW30. The Time frame for day trading would be the five minute chart.
The idea is to make entries on the 5 minute chart and then use a few swings to add on.
This can become part of your Trade Plan and you can apply to any time frame or symbol of your choice. It's a great way to maximise your profits using nothing but the data provided by the market itself.
Price Action is surely The King!!! I bow....
📚 Creating A Trading Plan and Executing A Trade 📚As with all great trades, we require a trading plan. This is a perfect example of how to analyse, execute and manage your trade. See linked chart for the initial trade idea.
See below for a step by step guide on how we entered this trade and what we looked for.
Goodluck and trade safe!
[Risk Management trick] Tilting the "Math" in your favor!We all try to find the strategies which offer best possible win probabilities.
Yet, we often overlook another crucial component of increasing your odds of winning => risk management.
Today, I am going to show you how you can use a simple risk management trick to tilt the "Math" in your favor.
Would you like to increase the output of your strategy by 25% without doing anything extra?
Imagine a 3R win suddenly increasing to 3.75R with no change in the strategy at all.
Consider this trade...
We are trying to setup a sell trade with a very defined -1R risk and +3R profit.
If we were to loose this trade, we will loose 1% of our capital - and if we win, we will make 3% in return (3RR).
Here, we assumed that we'll exit the trade when price moves -1R completely against us.
What if, we pivot our thinking and assume the trade is lost when price has moved -0.8R : because if the trade goes that much against you, there's a very high probability that it'll hit your stop loss too. There is no reason to pretend that it can still turn around at the last moment. Murphy's law truly applies here - "Anything that can go wrong will go wrong".
If we do really pivot our thinking, lets see how it works in our favor!
The Stop loss is now updated and set at -0.8R
So a win will still give us the same 3%, but the loss will only wipe out -0.8% from our account.
Now because our profit targets are still setup as per the original 1% trade, you can now see that we now get this extra reward if our trade hits its original 3R target
The moment we draw 3R as per our new -0.8R stop loss, we get this - You can see how the 3R with -0.8R stop loss is achieved much before than the 3R with -1R stop loss (obviously)!
That means, the extra reward you got when the trade reached your original 3R - is additional profit which you now have - without ever changing your trading strategy!
3/0.8 = 0.75 (which is 25% of your original 3R target)
0.75/3 = 25%
You now have extra an 25% reward for free!
New RR = 3.75
This is a very beautiful math equation for yet another reason!
Imagine you lost your trade with a -0.8R => the additional 0.75R you will achieve (for free) from another trade will extremely quickly cover up anything you lost.
As you can see, we can really use sound risk management techniques & Math to our benefit.
This is called : Tilting the "Math" in your favor!
Gold - Trade setups to avoidWe have been posting potential bullish trading signals on Gold and the ways in which to enter this trending market of late, as the probability for these has been very high.
Now, the market doesn't trend in a straight line, so when we saw the price in Gold make its way to the $1900.00 level we looked to see if we could get any confirmation selling signals for a potential profit taking opportunity.
Its easy for anyone to show profitable trades but we believe that showing examples of why you wouldn't take a trade or what to look for to avoid a potential losing trade is just as important.
As you can see from the 15 Minute chart, price started to form a bearish selling 3 drive pattern at the highs just above the 1900 level. When we saw the 3rd and final drive high reject a little lower this sparked our interest.
With any price pattern we look to trade we don't want to enter right at the 3rd drive because we have no proof that price will stop there and do what you want it to do. Instead we drew a lower trend line in the hope that price could continue lower and break this to the downside. Until this happens, we are sitting on the fence and staying away.
What happened in the end was that the momentum in Gold was still very strong and price actually used the higher 3 drive trend line to retest this on the topside to propel price higher.
No break of the lower trend line, no trade. Sometimes its better to walk away and live to trade another day then to let ego get the better of you.
Swing Trading Stocks Trade ManagementThis is a Long Swing Trade I have open using the Elliott Wave Indicator from W5T on the TradingView Platform.
The setup and entry for this 5th wave trade was text book in that:
1. The Elliott Wave Oscillator pulled back between 90% and 140% during the 4th wave profit taking pullback
2. The False break out stochastic crossed over in the over sold zone during the 4th wave profit taking pull back against the yellow false breakout bar in the over bought zone during the 3rd wave.
3. The Wave 4 profit taking pullback found support in the amber zone of our automated pullback zones, which represents an 80% probability of our automated 5th wave target zone (in blue on the chart) being reached.
4. The Risk to Reward was over our minimum required 1:1.6 - This include sensible entry and stop loss strategy - This can be seen on the chart.
To manage this trade is pretty straight forward:
The point of control for us is the price closing above the 50% Reward line (cyan on the fib extension on the chart). Then we move our stop just above the entry to make the trade "Risk Free"
Then we Trailing the Stop "Two Candle Behind". So as Yesterday's candle closed above the 100% profit line (yellow fib extension on chart), I adjusted the stop just below the low of the 2nd candle back. In this case locking in 50% profit x Risk. So if you Risked $10,000 on this trade, you would have $5000 profit locked in!
We are at a critical point in this current trend as we will be testing the previous wave 3 high and in some market conditions, this is too much and the price turns back down and corrects. This is why we lock in profit. However we have an 80% probability of the price pushing through and reaching our 5th wave target zone and will continue to manage this trade with our "2 candles behind" trade management strategy into the 5th wave target zone, if the price breaks through the previous wave 3 high!
WHY CAN´T I BE PROFITABLE??!!Every trader has got himself into a loosing trade. This is simply the part of this game. You will never be able to predict every move correctly. The biggest thing that separates a profitable trader from an unprofitable trader is actually not better technical analysis or more experience. The biggest factors in my opinion are trade management and risk management. These two components will have immense effect on your profitability. With good risk management you can be profitable even if you are right on less than 50% of your trades. Good risk management means you know where you should get into a trade so you can set a stop loss (which upon hitting it should invalidate your entry) relatively close to your entry. This makes your losing trades much smaller than your winning ones. And the result of this ratio will be seen in your profitability through time.
On the picture above you can see how one of my last trades went. I got in on the close of the candle marked with a green arrow. The trade then quickly went against me. But with my risk management i minimized the loss by closing the position when it closed below the red support line. I also put a stop(white support line) at a level that would upon breaking very likely invalidate my my long entry. Even though i took a loss i do not regret taking that trade since taking losses here and there is a part of my strategy and it can not be otherwise.
Yesterday i also posted about another trade i was playing on the s&p 500. That trade turned out perfect. And with 50% winning rate for that day i made some really nice profit simply thanks to my risk management.
Here you can check out how it went
You can also go check out my posts from yesterday on why i was taking those trades.
⭐ STAGES OF TRADER's FORMING ⭐ Hello, friends, today we are talking about STAGES OF TRADER's FORMING 👊🏻👊🏻
💡() - Link for good view!!!
Professional growth involves going through several stages.
🔥 1. Unconscious incompetence
💡 randomly opens and completes transactions without a specific trading system;
💡 doesn't care about risk management;
💡 often changes the direction of trade on the spot, following the price;
💡 keeps afloat only for small successful deals and doesn't care about losses at all;
💡 but as soon as loses, motivation immediately runs out.
🔥 2. Conscious incompetence
💡 Do you change your trading system several times in half a year without ever exploring a single one?
💡 You are actively looking at your trading history trying to figure out what you are doing wrong.
💡 Are you still making impulsive mistakes that cost a lot of money?
💡 Do you repeat the same trading mistakes again and again?
🔥 3. The moment of "EURECA"
💡 No longer changes the system, but focuses on main and works with it.
💡 Begins to maintain a trading plan and a trading journal.
💡 The understanding comes, that trade is a daily routine.
💡 Understands, that in order to earn money, he needs to work on all the components of his system.
🔥 4. Conscious competence
💡 Understood the rules of the game and stopped losing money.
💡 Begins to make a steady profit.
🔥 5. Unconscious competence
That's a stage of mastery 👊🏻. You follow your trading plan on autopilot.✈
Just one question will help you to verify have you reached the highest level or not: ❗do you feel stress, when you're trading ? If so, then you have not reached this stage.❗
💡() - Link for good view!!!
✍🏻If you liked my post, put me like, write comments, reviews ...
Guys, I'm so happy with your message in PM about your love for me. 😍For me it is priceless!😍
I'll try for you continue to be useful!!! 😘
Together we're a great team !!!👊🏻👊🏻
Always Your Rocket Bomb🚀💣
Projack's Trade Management Tutorial (5 STAR)This is something about Trades Management (How to manage your existing position)
1. If the trade went well ( You are in profit ) , When Reward / Risk Ratio hit 2:1, Close Half position. (You can also close all, if you feel good enought to take all the Floating Profit, but you will have the opportunity Cost of not be involved in the next trend , Hard to decide? Then Close Half! )
Why? Coz by doing this, even the market goes back and hit your SL, you are still winning?
Calculation:
0.5 * 2R - 0.5 * 1R = 0.5 * R , If R is set as 2% of your capital,
then Minimum Result it 0.5*2% = 1% (Congratulations! Now you have a 100% Winning Trade with 1% Result, and you are still holding half position with RiskFree)
2. If trend is in your favor, and price hit 4:1 or 6:1 , or maybe 0.618 pull back, or opposit Resistance or Support , Feel free to close another half , which is 1/4 position.
3. If hit 8:1 RR, close all profit, or Move SL to the latest Pivot to trail your profit.
You can use 8ema or 21 ema to trail as well. or close all profit when you see price action shows reversal pattern .
Introduction to the BEST Trade ManagerHello traders
Let me highlight what the BEST Trade Manager can do for you.
The Trade Manager adds another layer to your own systems, enabling custom user-defined stop-loss/take-profits and real-time analysis with risk-to-reward ratios.
We made it as such the visual rendering is also very nice on mobile devices.
Reviewing:
- How to connect your own indicator(s)
- How to read the graphical elements
- The 8 Stop-Loss options
- The 4 Take-profit options
- The alerts and dynamic alerts for trading automation
Links are in my signature for more information about it
Wishing you all the BEST for your trading using it.
Dave
THE BEAUTIFUL RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN CHART PATTERNSBefore I get into this it is important that you know the points A and B are not valid wave tags but are only on the chart for illustrative purposes.
When I first got into the markets, I found myself sticking to a bias based on any first sign or pattern I found on the chart. The beginning of my forex journey is a story full of losses and blowing of accounts. But that is a story for another day.
As time went on I observed and realized that the market is dynamic and hence different patterns develop as time proceeds and most time these patterns interact with each other. Since this revelation, I've been able to effectively know when to exit a trade and when it's safe to hold a position until it hits my target.
Citing an example above with the CADCHF. I took a short trade from point A about two weeks ago following the rejection of the upper weekly trendline and a break of a lower timeframe ascending channel. Riding to point B I realized I was approaching an area which has previously served as support and is in confluence with a lower daily trendline yet to be confirmed . But I decided to hold on bearing in mind that there was a possibility to break those barriers at the time.
As you can see price bounced from Point B and naturally one would panic and dump their position, but not if you know your stuff. Instead of leaving I moved my stop loss right above the suppl zone as you can see on the chart because a break above that would indicate a move to the upside. Observe how price rejected that level and formed a right shoulder right at the supply zone showing that the market wants to move lower.
This is how I effectively manage all my position- constant analysis to check for confirmation and invalidation levels. This is how every trader should treat their positions...with care and attention :)
Hope you all take something out of this.
STAR TREK CAPTAIN JEAN-LUC PICARDCaptian Jean-Luc Picard is a character from the series Star Trek.
He is many Star Trek fans favorite Captain because of his combination of class, wisdom and wit.
This particular statement was spoken to the Android Data who was failing in his attempts to be more human.
Tim has found this encapsulated his early trading experiences to a tee.
Early in Tim's attempts to be a profitable trader he traded index futures.
He had his strategy and was paper trading. He would get four or five winning trades in a row.
He felt he knew what he was doing and felt he was ready to try real money.
So the next trade setup he took on his real money account and lost, so he returned to paper trading.
This cycle repeated itself several times.
Losers are part of the statistical game in trading.
If he stuck to the real money account those paper winning trades would have been real money winners.
These winners would have easily offset the losers.
The whole time he felt he was making mistakes. If he did it right it should have been a winner.
Understand this, you can get all the rules right and still lose a trade.
That's ok, that's life. That's trading.
Trading is never a sure thing, it's always about statistic and probability.
Just because you had a loser doesn't mean tht you did something wrong.
Just because you had a winner doesn't mean you did everything right either.
The important thing is to follow your strategy rules, your trade management rules, your risk management rules.
If you followed all your rules then you did it right, winner or loser.
Trading Maxim's help control your emotional impulses and keep you on the straight and narrow path.
A maxim is a general truth fundamental principle, a rule of conduct or a proverbial saying.
The purpose of Tim's Maxim's is to motivate you to discipline and trading as well as other areas of your life.
We suggest that you start your own list of Maxim's.
Things you can say to yourself while you are trading or doing life to make sure you always do the right thing.
Feel free to borrow from Tim's list.
Algorithm Builder - INDICES - SPX500 - Review Oct 18th, 2019Hello traders
I. Daily tutorial publishing challenge officially begins
Starting today, I'll be publishing every night what were the setups given by the Algorithm Builder Indices .
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You'll find more information about that script in this script signature.
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II. Wisdom of the day
Last Friday was the Triple witching hour day. That is the day where the US contracts come to expiration on the US market - this event happens once a month.
Hopefully, only once a month, because this day is often particularly hard for traders to trade.
Those days are the expiration of three kinds of securities:
1. Stock market index futures;
2. Stock market index options;
3. Stock options.
The simultaneous expirations generally increases the trading volume of options, futures and the underlying stocks, and occasionally increases volatility of prices of related securities.
III. Why a 1-minute chart?
The indicator won't give more than 3/5 trades per day even. This is not a scalping trading method, it's intraday and based on smoothed indicators for entering in a strong trend only.
Those are the most secure trades possible because:
- the Algo Builder waits for a strong confirmation and will avoid the fakeouts
- the 1 minute allows to enter very early. This point is crucial.
We made it so that to enter early but with a minimum of security.
IV. SPX500 - Signals of the day
2.1 Morning trade
1. 8:45 am
We had a difficult move to take because in front of multi-timeframes resistances. and US stocks opening 45 min later.
What I usually do, is to wait for a pullback near the EMA 20 which has a few huge benefits:
- generally gets me a better entry price (lower for a long, higher for a short)
- reduce the distance between my entry price and stop-loss - hence reducing the risk of the trade
The Algorithm Builder - INDICES calculates the stop-loss internally, based on the price where the signal appears
2. 10:12 am and 11:45 am
The IDEAL scenario for the Algorithm Builder. Leading trend is red, short signal, no supports near, a great setup with a decent risk-to-reward ratio.
When we're in the same direction as the leading trend and the next algorithmic SMAs are a bit far, those are the moments where I know that my reward is far greater than my risk.
Would I overleverage or increase my position size drastically anyway knowing this is the Triple witching hour day? Maybe not :)
The three morning trades gave about 270 pips
2.2 Afternoon trades
1. 1:05 pm
We now see a BUY against the leading trend in red. Which means, the trend is not too strong to go crazy yet.
The method tells to wait for a pullback near the EMA 20 to enter with more security
2. 3 pm
In the same direction as the leading trend but in front of MTF resistances. Even waiting for a pullback allowed to grab the last 30 pips of the day
To quote Ice Cube - it was a good day :)
All the best,
Dave
Algorithm Builder - INDICES - DOW JONES - Review Oct 18th, 2019Hello traders
I. Daily tutorial publishing challenge officially begins
Starting today, I'll be publishing every night what were the setups given by the Algorithm Builder Indices .
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You'll find more information about that script in this script signature.
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II. Wisdom of the day
Last Friday was the Triple witching hour day. That is the day where the US contracts come to expiration on the US market - this event happens once a month.
Hopefully, only once a month, because this day is often particularly hard for traders to trade.
Those days are the expiration of three kinds of securities:
1. Stock market index futures;
2. Stock market index options;
3. Stock options.
The simultaneous expirations generally increases the trading volume of options, futures and the underlying stocks, and occasionally increases volatility of prices of related securities.
III. Signals of the day
2.1 Morning trade
We had a difficult move to take because in front of multi-timeframes resistances. What I usually do, is to wait for a pullback near the EMA 20 which has a few huge benefits:
- generally gets me a better entry price (lower for a long, higher for a short)
- reduce the distance between my entry price and stop-loss - hence reducing the risk of the trade
The Algorithm Builder - INDICES calculates the stop-loss internally, based on the price where the signal appears
2.2 Afternoon trades
1. 8:45 am
The first SHORT was given against the leading trend. Around 2:45 pm the background is green, meaning the leading trend is still bullish but as we got a short trade, we had to take it.
Plus we were just below a ton of supports which tells us that a pullback near the EMA 20 is really required.
Before getting invalidated by the brown vertical bar, we had an 84 pips opportunity .
It's usually a good practice to set the stop-loss to breakeven or exit completely a position before the opening at 9:30 am.
We often see violent and unpredictable wicks a few minutes before and after the US stocks open.
2. 4:05 pm (UTC+2)
The IDEAL scenario for the Algorithm Builder. Leading trend is red, short signal, no supports near, a great setup with a decent risk-to-reward ratio.
When we're in the same direction as the leading trend and the next algorithmic SMAs are a bit far, those are the moments where I know that my reward is far greater than my risk.
Would I overleverage or increase my position size drastically anyway knowing this is the Triple witching hour day? Maybe not :)
Maybe I should have (kidding) :( ... it was a 162 pips move :)
All the best,
Dave
How to connect your indicator with the Trade ManagerHi everyone
On Today's tutorial, I wanted to highlight how you can upgrade your own indicator to work with the Trade Manager
Let's take the dummy example of the double MM cross
Step 1 - Update your indicator
Somewhere in the code you'll have a LONG and a SHORT condition. If not, please go back to study trading for noobs (I'm kidding !!!)
So it should look to something similar
macrossover = crossover(MA1, MA2)
macrossunder = crossunder(MA1, MA2)
What you will need to add at the very end of your script is a Signal plot that will be captured by the Trade Manager. This will give us :
// Signal plot to be used as external
// if crossover, sends 1, otherwise sends -1
Signal = macrossover ? 1 : macrossunder ? -1 : na
plot(Signal, title="Signal")
The Trade Manager engines expects to receive 1 for a bullishg signal and -1 for bearish .
Step 2 - Add the Trade Manager to your chart and select the right Data Source
I feel the questions coming so I prefer to anticipate :) When you add the Trade Manager to your chart, nothing will be displayed. THIS IS NORMAL because you'll have to select the Data Source to be "Signal"
Remember our Signal variable from the Two MM Cross from before, now we'll capture it and.....drumb rolll...... that's from that moment that your life became even more AWESOME
The Engine will capture the last signal from the MM cross or any indicator actually and will update the Stop Loss, Take Profit levels based on the parameters you set on the Trade Manager
I worked the whole weekend on it because I wanted to challenge myself and give you something that I will certainly use in my own trading
Please send me some feedback or questions if any
Enjoy
Dave
You get to experience 5 type of tradesEvery time it is different, but in general I would say there are 5 type of trades:
1- Just nosedives and never goes into your favor. Straight down (up). The ones to avoid, which you want to get out of as quickly as possible. Will destroy your account really fast if you do not cut it.
Not much you can do about this type. Obviously you get stopped and that's it. I see people hold on and even congratulate themselves for it "expert educators" telling people to "let their losers recover", and brokers say that most clients do this. It is so stupid I won't talk about it. You get stopped, end of story.
Here are examples:
2- Baghodler favorite. Check Tesla and Robinhood bagholders for an example of this one. Slowly goes against you, and more, and more. Baggies absolutely love to hold onto those ones. "Oh well it is going to bounce eventually". Literally going against the trend. It is so stupid to anyone that understands a tiny bit...
Trends are awesome. Spot a nice diagonal trend, enter, trail your stop, stay in. move with the market. Markets do not trend that often but when they do it is easy money. Holding against that is emm well like stabbing a wound to make it go away.
Might be a good idea to cut your losses early. If it just slowly keeps going against you...
An example where it was slowly going up & I gave up but came back with a short idea later. Should have given up faster tbh:
And then there was a new opportunity:
3- The one that does not go anywhere. Just consolidates, or goes slightly in your favor/against you and then the other way.
Paul Tudor Jones has a rule "If it takes too long I get out". Might want to follow that one.
I guess you can take almost any Bitcoin trade as an example. Gosh this stupid thing is boring.
I cannot think of any trade that was not Bitcoin that was a number 3. It usually goes up or down.
4- The one that goes midly in your favor. They can either slowly go up (/down) or go back agaisnt you then double bottom and rip up.
Depends on the strategy, and you will be able to tell how to deal with those with experience normally.
It is complicated every case is different. No simple rule here. Can trail stop, move SL to breakeven and maybe re-enter later, or just stay in and wait and see (but if it takes too long thought...). Plenty of possibilities to do this.
This one is an example, not great:
This is a stinky one that goes way down, then up then down again.
5- The ripper. Goes strongly in your favor and keeps going. Never comes back into your risk area.
These are the kind of ones that make accounts grow and the one we are looking for. The other 4 types are irrelevant. They are just failed attempts to get these big winners.
This amazes me, but according to brokers, this is the one that traders get out of quickly -.-
And the disgusting ones (number 2) are the ones that people hold onto because "it is not falling too fast it will come back eventually".
Cannot help but want to "secure" your profit? Then simply move your stop loss to breakeven. If you have a really big winner, it should not go back against you the vast majority of the time.
Here is an example:
Here is another example:
And 1.5 month later it is still going down, stronger than ever (I should have stayed it, but at the same time beloved intelligent regulators won't let me):
Catching the curve (educational)This is shared experience, on how curves can be exploited. It requires much experience timing and trading management.
Curves don't rule the markets - obviously. The markets will do their own thing. Generally though, there are some probabilities that emerge, which can be exploited.