Why Nailing the Perfect Entry Won't Make You a Winning TraderWhen I first started trading, I spent an absurd amount of time obsessing over the “perfect entry.” I believed if I could just pinpoint the exact right moment to enter, my trades would take off like clockwork. I’d spot my pattern, line up my indicators, and wait for that split-second trigger. But as my journey evolved, I found that success in trading hinges far more on how you exit than on the entry itself.
Aggressive Entries: Simple and Straightforward
Let’s be clear—there is no “perfect entry,” no mythical timing trick that’ll guarantee success. Aggressive entries, for example, are straightforward: you spot the trigger candle, recognize the pattern, and take action at the close. That’s it. No endless analysis or hesitation, just decisive entry. This type of entry is powerful because it’s intentional, capturing the setup in real time rather than waiting for confirmation that could lead to a delayed entry.
While aggressive entries get you in at an ideal price, focusing on entry alone doesn’t cover the full picture of trade management. Without a plan for managing the trade after entry, you’re just hoping the market follows through—and hope is not a strategy.
Exits Matter More Than the Entry
Successful traders don’t just focus on getting in; they put more thought into getting out. If the goal is to grow and protect capital, then exits are the difference between locking in profit or watching it evaporate. After countless hours in the market, I learned that getting the exit right, or at least having a disciplined exit plan, is what shapes your profit curve.
For example, some traders aim for a certain percentage of profit or wait for the price to hit a key level. Others may use stop-loss strategies to protect gains by trailing the stop along the way. The exit strategy you choose is personal, but having one at all is non-negotiable. Think of it this way: without a solid exit plan, even a perfect entry is likely to unravel at some point.
Practical Tips for Developing a Strong Exit Strategy
Define Your Exit Before You Enter: Every trade should begin with a clearly defined exit plan. Before you even click “buy,” know exactly where you’ll exit for both a win and a loss. Setting realistic profit targets and stop losses not only protects you from over-trading but also keeps you focused on executing your plan.
Set Alerts and Automate: Using tools like TradingView’s alert feature is a lifesaver. Alerts allow you to step away from the charts without stressing over every price movement. Let’s be real—the market can be a hypnotic place, and constantly watching it can lead to impulsive decisions. Set your alerts and detach; you don’t need to be glued to your screen for every tick.
Use Incremental Exits: Instead of going all in or all out, consider taking partial profits at different stages of the move. For instance, you might exit half your position at a certain level and let the rest ride to maximize your gains. This approach allows you to capture profit while giving the remaining position room to potentially yield a larger win.
Review and Refine Your Exits: One of the best ways to improve your exit strategy is to backtest it. Use TradingView’s replay feature to “replay” past market conditions and test out various exit strategies. This is invaluable as it gives you a chance to fine-tune your approach based on actual data, not just theoretical setups.
Create Realistic Expectations: The reality of trading is that the market doesn’t always move according to plan. Stay flexible. Some trades might require a quick exit, while others might reward you for holding on. Don’t be afraid to adapt based on the conditions and price action unfolding in front of you.
Why Traders Fail Without an Exit Plan
For many traders, focusing solely on entries becomes a crutch. They mistakenly believe that if they just find the right entry, the trade will manage itself. But the market is unpredictable. Even the best entry can’t secure a win if the trader doesn’t know how to get out.
The hard truth is, obsessing over entries often masks a lack of strategy or confidence in the bigger picture. I’ve seen traders who hit excellent entries repeatedly, but without disciplined exits, they end up handing their profits back to the market. Don’t let your gains evaporate because you didn’t think about your way out.
Trading Success Is Built on Execution, Not Perfection
In the end, what separates successful traders from the rest isn’t a “perfect entry.” It’s a systematic approach to execution. The best traders don’t need flawless timing—they need consistency, discipline, and a clear plan that includes both entries and exits.
So, next time you’re studying a chart, ask yourself not just “Where would I enter?” but also, “Where and how would I exit?” It’s the exit, not the entry, that ultimately decides how much you keep—or give back—to the market.
So, how do you handle exits? Are you still chasing perfect entries, or have you found a balance? Share your strategy below—your insights might be just what another trader needs.
Trading Plan
The Rookie Mistake of Timeframe Mismanagement: Avoid This!As a full time forex trader, I’ve seen my fair share of both triumphs and missteps. One of the most common pitfalls that can plague even the most seasoned investors is the rookie mistake of managing trades across different timeframes. It may seem innocuous at first, but failing to align your analysis can lead to confusion, frustration, and ultimately, poor trading decisions.
Understanding the Timeframe Disconnect
In the world of trading, charts come in all shapes and sizes. Whether you’re examining a daily chart to gauge the overall trend or an hourly chart to refine your entry and exit points, the timeframes you choose can significantly influence your trading strategy. The mistake often arises when traders analyze a longer timeframe, such as the daily chart, to identify a potential trade setup, only to switch to a shorter timeframe like the hourly chart to manage their positions. This inconsistency can lead to conflicting signals and erratic decision-making.
The Daily Chart: A Macro Perspective
The daily chart serves as a vital tool for understanding the broader market context. It reveals trends, support and resistance levels, and overall momentum. By focusing on the daily chart, you can identify high-probability setups and determine the prevailing sentiment. For example, if you notice a bullish trend on the daily chart, you might decide to enter a long position based on a breakout or a pullback.
The Hourly Chart: A Micro Perspective
On the other hand, the hourly chart provides a more granular view of price action. It helps traders refine their entry and exit points, offering insights into shorter-term fluctuations and volatility. While the hourly chart can help you capitalize on intraday movements, it can also introduce noise and lead to a focus on minor price changes that may not matter in the broader context.
The Mistake: Conflicting Signals
The rookie mistake occurs when traders attempt to manage their daily chart positions by referencing hourly charts without considering the potential for conflicting signals. For instance, imagine you spot a bullish setup on the daily chart, indicating a solid entry point. However, as you switch to the hourly chart, you notice some bearish price action—a couple of lower highs and lower lows—which may prompt you to second-guess your original thesis.
This disconnect can lead to unnecessary anxiety and erratic trading decisions. You might find yourself prematurely exiting a position or missing out on an opportunity because the hourly chart paints a picture that doesn’t align with your higher-timeframe analysis.
The Impact on Performance
In my early days as a trader, I fell victim to this very mistake. I would analyze a promising setup on the daily chart, only to find myself second-guessing my decision based on hourly price fluctuations. This led to whipsaw trades and emotional exits, ultimately impacting my profitability.
The emotional toll of constantly reacting to the noise of shorter timeframes can be detrimental. Instead of executing a well-thought-out plan, you may find yourself making impulsive decisions driven by fear or frustration.
Solutions: Aligning Timeframes
To avoid falling into the trap of conflicting signals, it’s essential to align your timeframes and establish a coherent trading strategy. Here are a few key strategies to consider:
Top-Down Analysis: Always start with a higher timeframe to set the context. Use the daily chart to determine the trend and potential trade setups, then drill down to the hourly chart for precise entry and exit points.
Avoid Overreacting to Noise: Understand that shorter timeframes can introduce volatility that may not reflect the overall trend. Stick to your original analysis unless there’s a compelling reason to change your viewpoint.
Set Clear Rules: Establish rules for managing trades based on the timeframe you used for your initial analysis. For example, if you entered a trade based on a daily chart setup, consider using the daily chart for exit signals as well.
Stay Disciplined: Remain patient and trust your analysis. If your daily chart setup is valid, give it time to unfold without being swayed by short-term fluctuations.
Conclusion
I’ve learned that managing trades across different timeframes requires discipline and a clear understanding of the market context. Avoiding the rookie mistake of conflicting signals can enhance your trading performance and help you navigate the complexities of the market with confidence.
By maintaining a consistent approach to your analysis and execution, you’ll be better positioned to capitalize on high-probability setups while minimizing the emotional turmoil that often accompanies reactive trading. Remember, the key to success lies in your ability to stay true to your trading plan, regardless of the noise surrounding you. Happy trading!
Strategic Gold Plays: Maverick-Rabbit Precision in Key PatternsBased on your archetype, a combination of the Bold Maverick and the Analytical Rabbit, you have a natural tendency to take calculated risks while also ensuring that those risks are backed by thorough analysis. This hybrid nature likely drives you to engage in trades that have high potential rewards, but only when they meet specific analytical criteria.
Chart Analysis and Coaching on Your Positions
Overview:
Context: This is a 15-minute chart of XAUUSD (Gold vs. USD).
Structure: The chart shows a clear bullish trend with higher highs and higher lows. There are multiple channel formations, liquidity zones (LQZ), and key levels identified (including a 4H Over Ride/LQZ level).
1. Position Analysis:
First Entry - Inside the Ascending Channel:
Entry Reasoning: You likely identified the ascending channel as a bullish continuation pattern and entered within it.
Archetype Reflection: As a Bold Maverick, you're comfortable entering before a full breakout, assuming the trend continuation. However, as an Analytical Rabbit, you probably also considered the channel support before entry.
Coaching: This entry aligns with your dual archetype. You took the position inside the channel, expecting price to continue its upward momentum. However, consider tightening your stop loss in case of a fake breakout to protect your position.
Second Entry - Near the LQZ:
Entry Reasoning: You likely saw price approaching the Liquidity Zone (LQZ), expecting a bounce or reaction at this level.
Archetype Reflection: Analytical Rabbits love analyzing levels like LQZ, while Bold Mavericks might anticipate a reaction before confirmation.
Coaching: Good job recognizing the importance of the LQZ. You probably set a trailing stop to capture profit while letting the trade run. Just be cautious with overconfidence—always have a plan if the price moves against you.
Third Entry - At the 4H Over Ride / LQZ level:
Entry Reasoning: This level is crucial as it represents a 4H Liquidity Zone (LQZ), a significant potential reversal point.
Archetype Reflection: This is a classic Bold Maverick move—anticipating a strong reaction at a higher timeframe LQZ. The Analytical Rabbit side of you likely analyzed the 4H timeframe and identified this as a high-probability zone.
Coaching: This is an aggressive yet well-informed entry. Ensure your stop loss is adjusted to below the LQZ to minimize risk in case the market turns against your position.
2. Trailing Stop Loss (SL) Usage:
Position: You’ve used trailing stop losses, which is a smart move, especially given the bold yet analytical approach.
Coaching: Trailing stops can help lock in profits as the price moves in your favor. Ensure that the trailing distance is neither too tight (to avoid premature exit) nor too wide (to protect against significant pullbacks). This aligns with the Analytical Rabbit’s cautious nature.
3. Key Levels and Patterns:
Ascending Channel: The price is respecting the channel boundaries, which validates your initial entries.
LQZ & 4H Override: Price has shown reactions at these levels, indicating they are well-chosen.
4. Risk Management:
Balance Between Risk and Reward: Your trading strategy seems to balance the Bold Maverick’s appetite for risk with the Analytical Rabbit’s focus on minimizing unnecessary exposure.
Coaching: Given your dual archetype, keep refining your entry and exit points. Use the rule of three (waiting for confirmation after three touches on key levels) to align with your analytical side.
Conclusion:
Your trading approach is a robust mix of intuition and analysis. You're combining bold entries with a solid understanding of market structure. Continue to refine your strategy, especially in the context of multi-timeframe analysis and liquidity zones, to maximize your trading effectiveness. Make sure to always have an exit strategy and avoid letting the Maverick side take over without sufficient backing from the Rabbit’s analysis.
Determining Which Equity Index Futures to Trade: ES, NQ, YM, RTYWhen it comes to trading equity index futures, traders have a variety of options, each with its own unique characteristics. The four major players in this space—E-mini S&P 500 (ES), E-mini Nasdaq-100 (NQ), E-mini Dow Jones (YM), and E-mini Russell 2000 (RTY)—offer different advantages depending on your trading goals and risk tolerance. In this article, we’ll dive deep into the contract specifications of each index, explore their volatility using the Average True Range (ATR) on a daily timeframe, and discuss how these factors influence trading strategies.
1. Contract Specifications: Understanding the Basics
Each equity index future has specific contract specifications that are crucial for traders to understand. These details affect not only how the contracts are traded but also the potential risks and rewards involved.
E-mini S&P 500 (ES):
Contract Size: $50 times the S&P 500 Index.
Tick Size: 0.25 index points, equivalent to $12.50 per contract.
Trading Hours: Nearly 24 hours with key sessions during the U.S. trading hours.
Margin Requirements: Change through time given volatility conditions and perceived risk. Currently recommended as $13,800 per contract.
E-mini Nasdaq-100 (NQ):
Contract Size: $20 times the Nasdaq-100 Index.
Tick Size: 0.25 index points, worth $5 per contract.
Trading Hours: Similar to ES, with continuous trading almost 24 hours a day.
Margin Requirements: Higher due to its volatility and the tech-heavy nature of the index. Currently recommended as $21,000 per contract.
E-mini Dow Jones (YM):
Contract Size: $5 times the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index.
Tick Size: 1 index point, equating to $5 per contract.
Trading Hours: Nearly 24-hour trading, with peak activity during U.S. market hours.
Margin Requirements: Relatively lower, making it suitable for conservative traders. Currently recommended as $9,800 per contract.
E-mini Russell 2000 (RTY):
Contract Size: $50 times the Russell 2000 Index.
Tick Size: 0.1 index points, valued at $5 per contract.
Trading Hours: Continuous trading available, with key movements during U.S. hours.
Margin Requirements: Moderate, with significant price movements due to its focus on small-cap stocks. Currently recommended as $7,200 per contract.
Understanding these specifications helps traders align their trading strategies with the right market, considering factors such as account size, risk tolerance, and market exposure.
2. Applying ATR to Assess Volatility: A Key to Risk Management
Volatility is a critical factor in futures trading as it directly impacts the potential risk and reward of any trade. The Average True Range (ATR) is a popular technical indicator that measures market volatility by calculating the average range of price movements over a specified period.
In this analysis, we apply the ATR on a daily timeframe for each of the four indices—ES, NQ, YM, and RTY—to compare their volatility levels:
E-mini S&P 500 (ES): Typically exhibits moderate volatility, offering a balanced approach between risk and reward. Ideal for traders who prefer steady market movements.
E-mini Nasdaq-100 (NQ): Known for higher volatility, driven by the tech sector's dynamic nature. Offers larger price swings, which can lead to greater profit potential but also increased risk.
E-mini Dow Jones (YM): Generally shows lower volatility, reflecting the stability of the large-cap stocks in the Dow Jones Industrial Average. Suitable for traders seeking less risky and more predictable price movements.
E-mini Russell 2000 (RTY): Exhibits considerable volatility, as it focuses on small-cap stocks. This makes it attractive for traders looking to capitalize on significant price movements within shorter time frames.
By comparing the changing ATR values, traders can gain insights into which index futures offer the best fit for their trading style—whether they seek aggressive trading opportunities in high-volatility markets like NQ and RTY or more stable conditions in ES and YM.
3. Volatility and Trading Strategy: Matching Markets to Trader Preferences
The relationship between volatility and trading strategy cannot be overstated. High volatility markets like NQ and RTY can provide traders with larger potential profits, but they also require more robust risk management techniques. Conversely, markets like ES and YM may offer lower volatility and, therefore, smaller profit margins but with reduced risk.
Here’s how traders might consider using these indices based on their ATR readings:
Aggressive Traders: Those who thrive on high-risk, high-reward scenarios might prefer NQ or RTY due to their larger price fluctuations. These traders are typically well-versed in managing rapid market movements and can exploit the volatility to achieve significant gains.
Conservative Traders: If stability and consistent returns are more important, ES and YM are likely better suited. These indices provide a more predictable trading environment, allowing for smoother trade execution and potentially fewer surprises in market behavior.
Regardless of your trading style, the key takeaway is to align your strategy with the market conditions. Understanding how each index's volatility affects your potential risk and reward is essential for long-term success in futures trading.
4. Conclusion: Making Informed Trading Decisions
Choosing the right equity index futures to trade goes beyond personal preference. It requires a thorough understanding of contract specifications, an assessment of market volatility, and how these factors align with your trading objectives. Whether you opt for the balanced approach of ES, the tech-driven dynamics of NQ, the stability of YM, or the volatility of RTY, each market presents unique opportunities and challenges.
By leveraging tools like ATR and staying informed about the specific characteristics of each index, traders can make more strategic decisions and optimize their risk-to-reward ratio.
When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies.
General Disclaimer:
The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
Taking On Discipline In StagesOnce you have decided that you need discipline in your trading, knowing where to start can be difficult and overwhelming. There are many pieces to a trading plan, and it's easy to feel overwhelmed.
You can break the task into manageable sections and master one discipline at a time, or focus on the the discipline you need. This approach makes the process more manageable and ensures that each aspect of your trading strategy is given the attention it deserves.
Trading Plan Components: Each of these sections should have objective rules so there isn't any escape room.
Method Rules
Entry Rules
Stop Rules
trailing Stop Rules
Exit Rules
Journaling
Trade Plan for TME, COIN
Shane
TradingView Masterclass: The power of Bar Replay🚀 Unlocking Your Trading Potential with Bar Replay on TradingView
In the whirlwind of trading, having ace tools up your sleeve can dramatically shape your strategy and success. The spotlight shines bright on TradingView’s Bar Replay feature, a gem that offers a rewind on market movements, setting the stage for strategic mastery. Let's dive into what makes Bar Replay a must-use for traders eager to refine their game.
🕒 Understanding Bar Replay on TradingView
Bar Replay is one of TradingView's standout features, allowing traders to select any point in history on their chart and watch the market's movements replay from that moment. It's a game-changer for visualizing price actions and volume changes without the stakes of live trading. Whether you're aiming for an in-depth analysis or a quick market recap, the adjustable speed of Bar Replay caters to all your needs with unmatched flexibility.
🤿 Why Dive into Bar Replay ?
The magic of Bar Replay lies in its exceptional ability to simulate market scenarios, offering a practice ground for strategy testing and gaining insights from historical market behavior. Newcomers find a safe space to learn and experiment, while the pros get a robust tool for refining strategies. Our tutorial video steps it up by walking you through practical uses on a top company's chart—marking crucial levels, applying indicators, and making trade decisions, all within the Bar Replay environment.
✨ Conclusion: ReplayYour Path to Trading Excellence
Bar Replay isn't just another tool; it's your companion in the quest for trading excellence, turning theory into actionable insight. Whether you're just starting or fine-tuning your strategy, it bridges the gap to more informed and decisive trading.
Ready to explore Bar Replay 's power and make each session a step closer to your trading goals? Let's embark on this journey together.
❓ Ever tried Bar Replay in your trading adventures?
We're all ears! 📢 Whether it's been a strategy game-changer or you're navigating its integration, drop your stories below. Let’s navigate the market's waves together.
💖 TradingView Team
PS: Check out our other Masterclasses in the Related Ideas below 👇🏽👇🏽👇🏽 and give us a 🚀 and a follow if you don't want to miss any of our future releases!
How to: Dynamic DCA with Risk Metric [Live Backtest]Hi Everyone,
This tutorial is a live backtest demonstration of a basic Dynamic DCA strategy using my Bitcoin Risk Metric and how it performed in the 2018-2021 BTC market cycle.
The risk metric quantifies the risk of buying BTC at any given time, highlighting periods of overvaluation and undervaluation. A Dynamic DCA strategy allows the user to:
Accumulate BTC during periods of undervaluation.
Lock in profit during periods of overvaluation.
Grow a cash position (undeployed capital) to take advantage of periods of extreme undervaluation.
I hope this tutorial is informative and gives a clear picture of how the @panpanXBT Bitcoin Risk Metric indicators can be utilised to guide decision making.
Please refer to the ideas linked below for information on how to gain access to these private indicators and strategies.
Price Channel TradingPrice Channel + RSI trading
Price channel trading involves identifying a range of prices in which is trading and buying when the price hits the lower end of the range and selling when it hits the upper end of the strategy to trade within the range and that the price will eventually revert the mean.
RSI trading involves using the Relative Index (RSI) identify overbought and oversold in a stock. When the RSI is above 70, is considered overbought, and when the RSI is 30, the stock is considered overs Traders may buy when the stock is oversold and it is overbought, assuming the price will eventually revert of these strategies can be used to make money trading stocks, but careful analysis and to be successful. It's important to do your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Know when you have trading edge, and know when to clean housebull trades when over sold,
bear trades when overbought,
and tidy up the house when in the middles.
when you know you dont have edge, trade small and clean up. wait for you setup scenario.
dont be in a rush to lose money
the market will always take your money, dont rush it. wait for you sweet spot for better reward to risk.
audio book link if you want: www.youtube.com
This Pivot Point Supertrend Strategy has up to 90% Success!Traders,
I'll review the Pivot Point Supertrend Trading Strategy in this video. This strategy has up to a 90% success rate with an avg. of 80-100% profits weekly. I think it's well worth our time to review and potentially implement or even automate going forward. Enjoy.
Stew
How to create simple web-hook to send alerts to TelegramHello Traders,
In this video, I have demonstrated how to create a simple web-hook which can send your Tradingview alerts to Telegram channel or group for zero cost.
⬜ Tools Used
▶ Telegram Messenger
▶ Replit - Cloud platform for hosting small programs
▶ Postman - To test web-hooks before going live (Optional)
▶ Cronjob - To set health-check and keep bot alive
⬜ Steps
▶ Create Telegram Bot
Find BotFather and issue command /newbot
Provide bot name
Provide bot username - which should be unique and end with _bot
Once bot is created, you will get a message with token access key in it. Store the token access key.
▶ Prepare Telegram Channel
Create new telegram channel
Add the bot @username_to_id_bot to it as admin and issue /start to find chat id
Store the chat id and dismiss @username_to_id_bot from channel
Find the bot created in previous step using bot username and add it to channel as admin
▶ Setup replit
Create a free Replit account if you do not have it already.
Fork the repl - Tradingview-Telegram-Bot to your space and give a name of your choice.
Set environment variables - TOKEN and CHANNEL which are acquired from previous steps.
Run the REPL
▶ Test with postman
Use the URL on repl and create web-hook post request URL by adding /webhook to it.
Create post request on postman and send it.
You can see that messages sent via postman appearing in your telegram channel.
append ?jsonRequest=true if you are using json output from alerts.
Json request example:
▶ Set alerts from tradingview to web-hook
Use web-hook option and enter the webhook tested from postman in the web-hook URL
And that's all, the webhook for Telegram Alerts is ready!!
Thanks for watching. Hope you enjoyed the video and learned from it :)
PS: I have made use of extracts from the open github repo: github.com
Always factor in the possibility of the market’s developmentHello Traders:
First educational video since I went away 8 months ago :)
This topic has been brought up many times, and I wanted to prepare this video for those who are still struggling with the concept of possibility in the market.
Many inconsistent traders, when taking losses, often look at their strategy as the reason why the losses occurred.
They often fail to see that the real problem often lies with emotion, psychology, risk:reward, rather than strategy.
A good rule of thumb when approaching the market is to have a clear mind and expect anything can happen, regardless of technical analysis.
That means, even if a certain setup is developing, there is still probability that you will take a loss after entering. No strategy can give you 100% win rate.
No matter how clean the setup is, or how it mimics the past price action or setups, the market can still not go with what you wish it to go.
So, when we are waiting for a setup to happen before taking the trade, try to think on the other side as well.
If you are looking for a long setup, also think about whether there is a possibility of a sell, and does sell also make sense.
As an example, here on USDJPY, I have seen traders share their bullish view and bias.
Certainly nothing wrong to follow through with your own view and forecast, however, I would suggest to also look into the possibility of a sell potential. Does the sell potential also make sense ?
What if both bullish and bearish outlook exist ? then does it make sense to execute the trade ?
My Backtesting Results on NZDCHFHolding trades is what I want to get better at and backtesting is going to help me do it.
I've backtested NZDCHF today and found that it was a remarkable session.
I was able to enter 4 trades in the span of 3 months gaining over what would have been 15% from the trades, but one trade hit my break even point so I gained around 12% from my trades.
I used the monthly, weekly, and daily timeframes with most of my entries coming from the daily timeframe.
I used my own strategy known as TMP. It stands for Trend, Market Structure, Price Action(or, pending orders).
I identify the trend first, then set my estimation zone, then place my pending order. In that order, thats it.
I don't use support and resistance, trend lines, or indicators for the most part. I like using price action. Its my preference that has changed throughout my trading career.
I've noticed I a few reasons why I don't enter my best setups are due it
1) Money trauma( family had poor money management)
2) Time limit( pressure from showing results)
To get over those, I have set parameters to take partials, move my trades to break even, and set pending orders to eliminate myself not entering my own trades.
This helps in the long run and has helped since collecting data on myself since the start of me using prop firms.
I can only pray that through my backtesting and trading journey, this can help you too.
Please let me know if you have questions regarding my backtesting or found something unique that helped you.
Safe trading❤️
What I've learned after backtesting So, I love backtesting. Recently I've found my self in a 3% drawdown and needed to figure out what the cause of it was and trading at this moment won't give me that answer.
So, I decided to backtest.
Here is what I found:
1. I'm overtrading my system
I am a proud swing trader who got back into scalping the market in December 2022. It was mot my idea, but I thought I could handle it. I started out great, but then the market reminded me why I left the lower timeframes.
2. I'm not holding my trades long enough. Thanks Prop Firms!
Since joining a prop firm my mind has been changed to holding trades for less time than I normally would. I don't mind holding trades for weeks or months, but prop firms give you time limits during evaluation periods.
That was and still is a huge adjustment for me. Being a swing trader means I have to let my profits run. So, now, I've found a prop firm that will allow me to hold my trades with no time limits.
3. Not holding trades to my weekly and monthly targets.
I need to see past my daily targets. Normally my daily risk to rewards are between 1:1 and 1:2. I'm in drawdown because I'm not recovering from my losses with these risk to rewards.
So now, I'm only taking trades with RR over 1:2 and better. This way I'm trading less, holding longer(sometimes), and getting the best bank for my buck.
Backtesting helped me see my mistakes and how to correct them. This is called fixing your strategy.
Notice how I'm not changing my strategy. I'm tweaking my strategy to fit my mental capacity and trading style.
If you find you're in a drawdown and can't see, stop trading and backtest what you're currently doing and find a way to stop the behavior thats causing your drawdown. Then, stop doing that particular thing so you can see better results.
I pray this has helped you.
Let me know your key takeaway by commenting below.
Strategy Coding E01: Adding a custom Trailing-StopIn my experience there are phases to creating a strategy. In this episode we will cover one of the most important steps: establishing an exit strategy. Exiting a position is crucial to risk management. If your entries are terrible but you have a good exit strategy, you might get by and not lose a lot of your capital. And vice-versa, if your entries are great, but your exit strategy is terrible, you my not make any profit.
Concepts we will cover in this episode:
Integrating an indicator value as a trailing stop.
Lowering the trailing stop sensitivity by using the Average True Range (ATR).
Customizing the ATR value.
Brief introduction to 'modules'.
Trading Psychology 101 | FEAR (1/2)A bit of a different video for you..
Thought i should talk about a sensitive subject here..
Psychology in trading and the key factors that you may need to finally BECOME a better trader..
In this part, I talk about FEAR and FOMO. Also, I added a more sensitive part, which is feeling burnt out and ways to overcome that.
Hope you find this helpful!
How To: Find Good Traders To Follow & Who Picked the BTC Crash !Just thought I would show you an interesting way to see who is making the right calls before a stock or (crypto)currency makes a significant bullish or bearish move.
With so many people posting on TradingView it can sometimes be hard to know who to follow.
This is a way to see very simply who is making more accurate calls and best of all it IS NOT influenced by their number of posts or followers or reputation points etc.
It is a great way to discover new users brand new to the site - or more established ones who have been on here for years. You can have one post or 100 and still stand out.
If you find the same person consistently making the "right" calls and you like their analysis and how they trade then you can very easily follow them.
(PS not really a crash, more of some profit taking and a pullback to support. Be interesting to see what happens over the next few days though.)
How to double your small ($250) trading account trading Bitcoin How to Double your Small ($250) Trading Account Trading Bitcoin
I started a degen account with $250 and almost doubled it in 4 days making about 6 trades. This strategy is not Financial advice and I'm only illustrating what I have learnt trading this way. This is the first video in the series and I'll be continuing the series , updating you on progress, winners, losses, my trading journal and some live trading, so make sure to Sub, like comment and share.
I show you how I entered my current trade, where I am looking to take profits and show you my pnl on Bybit.
Not Financial Advice. DYOR. Papertrade before trading with real money.
Hope you have a profitable trading day!
Shawn
How to Adjust Your Stock Chart for Inflation, Dividends, and TaxUsing a pretty simple formula involving CPI , we can adjust the stock chart to show real returns instead of nominal returns. Real returns represent a more accurate picture of the return of the stock over time. In addition, we can easily adjust returns for dividends and estimated taxes.
Swing-Trading: Real-Time Signals ✅Our swing-trading strategy is based on the timeless and success proven strategies developed by stock market legends like Jesse Livermore, William o' Neil and Mark Minervini - 3x US investing Champion 🍾🍾🍾
In this video, I go through the details of our swing-trading strategy and explain how to get free access to Real-Time-Trading signals.
TradingView & Trend-TemplateIn this video I explain how to integrate Minervini' Trend-Template into your daily stock screening routine.
This concept can be applied to all other securities including Commodities, FOREX and Cryptos.
The links to other relevant tutorials in this context (Stage-Analysis and Trend-Template criteria) are shown below.