Ascending ChannelKEY TAKEAWAYS
An ascending channel is used in technical analysis to show an uptrend in a security’s price.
It is formed from two positive sloping trend lines drawn above and below a price series depicting resistance and support levels, respectively.
Channels are used commonly in technical analysis to confirm trends and identify breakouts and reversals.
Understanding Ascending Channels
Within an ascending channel, price does not always remain entirely contained within the pattern’s parallel lines but instead shows areas of support and resistance that traders can use to set stop-loss orders and profit targets. A breakout above an ascending channel can signal a continuation of the move higher, while a breakdown below an ascending channel can indicate a possible trend change.
Ascending channels show a clearly defined uptrend. Traders can swing trade between the pattern’s support and resistance levels or trade in the direction of a breakout or breakdown.
Trading the Ascending Channel
Support and Resistance: Traders could open a long position when a stock's price reaches the ascending channel’s lower trend line and exit the trade when price nears the upper channel line. A stop-loss order should be placed slightly below the lower trend line to prevent losses if the security’s price abruptly reverses. Traders who use this strategy should ensure there is enough distance between the pattern’s parallel lines to set an adequate risk/reward ratio. For example, if a trader places a $5 stop, the width of the ascending channel should be a minimum $10 to allow for a 1:2 risk/reward ratio.
Breakouts: Traders could buy a stock when its price breaks above the upper channel line of an ascending channel. It is prudent to use other technical indicators to confirm the breakout. For example, traders could require that a significant increase in volume accompanies the breakout and that there is no overhead resistance on higher time frame charts.
Breakdowns: Before traders take a short position when price breaks below the lower channel line of an ascending channel, they should look for other signs that show weakness in the pattern. Price failing to reach the upper trend line frequently is one such warning sign. Traders should also look for negative divergence between a popular indicator, such as the relative strength index (RSI), and price. For instance, if a stock’s price is making higher highs within the ascending channel, but the indicator is making lower highs, this suggests upward momentum is waning.
Envelope Channels
Envelope channels are another popular channel formation that can incorporate both descending and ascending channel patterns. Envelope channels are typically used to chart and analyze a security’s price movement over a longer period of time. Trend lines can be based on moving averages or highs and lows over specified intervals. Envelope channels can use similar trading strategies to both descending and ascending channels. This analysis will typically be based on a stock price movement over an extended period of time while ascending and descending channels can be beneficial for charting a security’s price immediately after a reversal.
Usdjpyshort
USDJPY Selling Signal Patterns.Taking a look at the recent price action on USDJPY, we can see how the use of patterns and structure can be used to increase the probability for any potential trade setup.
As you can see from the 15 Minute chart, USDJPY was on the rise until it ran out of steam and started to trade into an ascending channel. This ascending channel completed a bearish (selling) 3 drive pattern at the highs which can indicate price exhaustion.
Once we saw this pattern complete and start to break down, we still don't look to enter the market until we locate a lower inner trend line to also break to the downside as this can help increase the strength of the pattern holding enough to extract pips from the market. Once the trend line breaks we can look to enter on the retest on the other side.
As we saw continued weakness in USD, we were given another opportunity to enter the market for a potential continuation play, this time in the form of a bearish head & shoulders pattern. Just like the 3 drive pattern we don't look to enter the head & shoulders until we see a lower inner trend line also break to the downside on the retest.
We would look to minimise our risk to the downside in both setups by placing a stop loss not to far above the 3rd drive high of the 3 drive pattern and just above the head of the head & shoulders pattern.
Can You Trade Forex With Our Strats, Absolutely! (USDJPY)Hello forex traders! 😁
I get a lot of questions lately about our strategies about using them to scalp in smaller timeframes / markets other than cryptocurrency.
All markets go up and down and our job is to identify the turning points in any market with our signals.
You can clearly see the buy and sell opportunites on this example of USDJPY 15 minute timeframe.
When they all line up we look to go long or short the market for a quick scalp.
It all comes down to how active you want to be in the market and what your goal is per trade.
Obviously in the smaller timeframes you will have more noise to fight and have to be quick on your trades to get in and get out.
If you want to be a daytrader or a swing trader our strategies can help you make it a smoother experience.
I specifically trade larger position swing trades in crypto and stocks, but you can use on any timeframe and any market!
I hope this helps answer some of your questions if you have been curious about how we trade the markets and which markets we can trade with this setup.
Have an awesome day, happy trading! 💰
🥇MLT | PRO TRADERS
USDJPY shortInitial buy order hit stoploss, and price broke through the zone.
We have a sell setup pending right now:
How I will be entering:
- I will wait for one more lower low to form and upon the next lower high in the lower time frames i will enter short
- Stoploss will be above the previous high
How to trade Forex using a supply and demand strategyUSDJPY shows what price action areas we expect price to react from on USDJPY Forex Cross pair. USDJPY is dropping strongly reacting to previous weekly supply imbalances in a big picture downtrend. New supply levels have been created around 114, 112.69 and a brand new one around 111.60. This USDJPY cross pair analysis is done on the weekly timeframe for those interested in a Forex strategy to help them in their swing trading.
These strong impulses become often times a new imbalance where we can plan our trades based on very specific rules. By reading a series of price action patterns you will be able to identify certain price areas that become supply and demand imbalances where you will be able to plan your trades. One of the most important characteristic for an impulse to become an imbalance is its strength as can be seen in the imbalances drawn on USDJPY Forex cross pair weekly timeframe. Price action together with a mechanical supply and demand strategy will help you locate areas of imbalance where new trades can be taken.
USDJPY has fallen short of retracing to last supply imbalance around 112 but has continued to drop strongly creating another supply level around 111.60. There are many Forex trading strategies that work, you just have to master one of them by trading it over a long period of time until you are number one doing the same boring thing every day. If you start skimming around and jumping between different strategies you will be auto-sabotaging yourself.
The Dilemma With Technical Analysis- USDJPY This is the dilemma with technical analysis, here we have a situation where we have technicals supporting a move upward and downwards. This situation is very common with technical analysis, in most cases there are technicals supporting both the bulls and the bears and hence making decisions solely based on technicals is 50/50 in most cases.
We have the 50 fib bounce and the trend line break suggesting a higher USDJPY while on the other hand we have a head and shoulder pattern and also a 50 fib bounce suggesting a lower USDJPY. So which way will the market move?
This is where knowledge of the fundamentals will prove beneficial, analyzing the fundamentals can help in deciphering which way the market will most likely go. Understanding what is driving the USDJPY and what the market is currently focused on combined with the technicals is one of the safest ways to trade.
Now for this trade if you are trading based on the technicals it would be best to wait for the USDJPY to break above or below the broken lines in the chart before looking to place a trade. If you understand how to read volumes then you can base your entry on signs of supply/demand.