How to read the VIX properly
This video explains the VIX indicator, how I use it to guide my trading decisions, and my perspective on the market. You can download the TradingView indicator for free, as it is open-source. Additionally, I'll provide a link to my Thinkorswim version in the YouTube video description. The VIX is an excellent tool for market guidance, based on options trading activity 30 days out on the S&P 500. It indicates market fear when it rises due to increased options buying and selling. Thank you for watching! If you have any questions or comments, feel free to share them—I enjoy discussing these topics. No indicator is perfect, but I use this one daily to gauge the market.
Volatility
Understanding Volatility and How Traders Can Use It to Their BenWhat is Volatility?
Volatility refers to the degree of variation in the price of a financial instrument over time. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns for a given security or market index. In simpler terms, volatility represents the amount of uncertainty or risk related to the size of changes in an asset’s value. High volatility means the price of the asset can change dramatically over a short period in either direction, while low volatility implies more stable prices with fewer and smaller fluctuations.
Measuring Volatility
Historical Volatility: This measures past market prices and their fluctuations over a specific time period. It is calculated by taking the standard deviation of returns over that period.
Implied Volatility: This is derived from the market price of a market-traded derivative (e.g., an option). It reflects the market's view of the likelihood of changes in a given security's price.
Volatility Indexes: Tools like the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) track market expectations of near-term volatility conveyed by S&P 500 stock index option prices.
How Traders Can Use Volatility to Their Benefit
Identifying Trading Opportunities:
High Volatility: Traders often seek high volatility environments as they provide more opportunities to capture significant price movements. This is particularly beneficial for day traders and short-term traders who can capitalize on rapid price changes.
Low Volatility: During periods of low volatility, traders might focus on strategies like mean reversion, where they anticipate that prices will return to their average.
Risk Management:
Understanding volatility helps traders manage risk better. By using tools such as stop-loss orders, traders can limit potential losses during volatile periods.
Position sizing based on volatility can help in adjusting exposure. For instance, smaller positions might be taken during high volatility to mitigate risk, while larger positions could be considered during stable periods.
Volatility-Based Strategies:
Options Trading: Traders can use volatility to their advantage in options trading. Strategies like straddles and strangles profit from significant moves in either direction, which are more likely during high volatility periods.
Market Timing:
Hedging: Traders can hedge their portfolios against volatility by taking positions in assets or derivatives that are negatively correlated with their current holdings.
Volatility can provide insights into market sentiment and potential turning points. For instance, a spike in volatility often precedes significant market corrections or rallies.
Traders can use technical indicators like Bollinger Bands, which adjust for volatility, to identify overbought or oversold conditions in the market.
Conclusion
Volatility is a fundamental concept in trading that can both pose risks and offer opportunities. By understanding and measuring volatility, traders can enhance their risk management practices, identify profitable trading opportunities, and employ volatility-based strategies to improve their overall trading performance. Whether dealing with high or low volatility environments, a keen awareness of market fluctuations is essential for successful trading.
Visualize $TSLA CALL pricing skew due to the upcoming earningsLet’s take a look at our new tradingview options screener indicator to see what we observe, as the options chain data has recently been updated.
When we look at the screener, we can immediately see that NASDAQ:TSLA has an exceptional Implied Volatility Rank value of over 100, which is extremely high. This is clearly due to the upcoming earnings report on July 23rd.
As we proceed, we notice that Tesla's Implied Volatility Index is also high, over 70. This means that not only the relative but also the absolute implied volatility of Tesla is high. Because the IVX value is above 30, Tesla’s IV Rank is displayed with a distinguishable black background. This favors credit strategies such as iron condors, broken wing butterflies, strangles, or simple short options.
Next, let’s examine how this IV index value has changed over the past five days. We can see it has increased by more than 6%, indicating an upward trend as we approach the earnings report.
In the next cell, we see a significant vertical price skew. Specifically, at 39 days to expiration, call options are 84% more expensive than put options at the same distance. This indicates that market participants are pricing in a significant upward movement in the options chain.
The call skew is so pronounced that at 39 days to expiration, the 16 delta call value exits the expected range. This signifies a substantial delta skew twist, which I will show you visually.
We see a horizontal IV index skew between the third and fourth weeks in the options chain. This means the front weekly IVX is lower than the IVX for the following week, which may favor calendar or diagonal strategies. Hovering over this with the mouse reveals it’s around the third and fourth week.
In the last cell, we observe that there’s a horizontal IVX skew not just in weekly expirations but also between the second and third monthly expirations.
Now, let’s see how these values appear visually on Tesla’s chart using our Options Overlay Indicator. On the right panel, the previously mentioned values are displayed in more detail when you hover over them with the mouse. The really exciting part is setting the 16 delta curve and seeing the extent of the upward shift in options pricing. This significant skew is also visible at closer delta values.
When we enable the expected move and standard deviation curves, it immediately becomes clear what this severe vertical pricing skew in favor of call options means. Practically, market participants are significantly pricing in upward movement right after the earnings report.
Hovering over the colored labels associated with the expirations displays all data precisely, showing the number of days until expiration and the high implied volatility index value for that expiration. Additionally, a green curve indicating overpricing due to extra interest is displayed. Weekly expiration horizontal IVX skew values appear in purple, and those affected by monthly skew are shown in turquoise blue.
The 'Lite' version of our indicators is available for free to everyone, where you can also view Tesla as demonstrated. Pro indicators are available more than 150 US market symbols like SPY, S&P500, Nvidia, bonds, etfs and many others.
Trade options like a pro with TanukiTrade Option Indicators for TradingView.
Thank you for your attention.
Understanding Market Volatility and Its Impact on BitcoinIntroduction
Market volatility is a crucial aspect that every Bitcoin investor and trader must understand. In this section, we'll explore what market volatility is, how it affects Bitcoin, and strategies to manage it.
What is Market Volatility?
Market volatility refers to the rate at which the price of an asset, such as Bitcoin, increases or decreases for a given set of returns. High volatility means that the price of Bitcoin can change dramatically over a short period, both positively and negatively.
How Does Volatility Impact Bitcoin?
Price Swings:
Bitcoin is known for its significant price swings, which can be driven by various factors such as market sentiment, regulatory news, macroeconomic trends, and technological advancements.
Investor Behavior:
Volatility often influences investor behavior, leading to increased buying or selling pressure. This can result in rapid price movements, creating opportunities and risks.
Market Sentiment:
Positive news can lead to a surge in Bitcoin prices, while negative news can result in sharp declines. Understanding market sentiment is crucial for predicting these movements.
Managing Volatility
Diversification:
Spread your investments across different assets to reduce risk. Diversification can help cushion the impact of volatility on your portfolio.
Risk Management:
Use stop-loss orders to limit potential losses. Setting predetermined exit points can protect your investments during periods of high volatility.
Stay Informed:
Keep up with the latest news and trends in the cryptocurrency market. Being informed allows you to make timely decisions and react appropriately to market changes.
Long-term Perspective:
Focus on the long-term potential of Bitcoin rather than short-term price fluctuations. A long-term perspective can help you stay calm during volatile periods.
Conclusion
Understanding market volatility is essential for navigating the Bitcoin market. By recognizing how volatility impacts prices and adopting strategies to manage it, you can better position yourself to take advantage of opportunities while minimizing risks. Stay informed, diversify your investments, and maintain a long-term perspective to thrive in the ever-changing world of Bitcoin.
Tutorial TOP DOWN Entry/ Exits DKLs ...Good morning,
I took the time to show you my analysis and how I work.
- Top Down D1 to H1
- Intraday through scalping
- DKLs / HKLs
- Important Zones
- Zone to Zone
- Specific asset volatility
- Entries
- Stop Losses and Exits
Hope you like it so far and could catch some pips. Let me know in the comments below.
Introducing the Volatility Adjusted ADX (VADX)In this video, Stock Justice introduces you to the Volatility Adjusted ADX (VADX), a powerful tool that combines trend strength and market volatility. Learn how to customize your settings for optimal analysis and how this indicator, with its proprietary mathematical formulation, offers a nuanced perspective on market dynamics. Discover the benefits of normalized data and how to read and interpret the VADX line in conjunction with other indicators. All of this, delivered in Stock Justice's engaging style, will empower your technical analysis toolkit. Be ready to trade safe, trade smart!
ADX: How to use this under-the-radar tool.Hey everyone! 👋👋
In this video, we're taking a look at the ADX Indicator. We break down how it works, how to interpret its output, common uses for it, and ways that it can help you find and screen for opportunities you like.
Feel free to drop some questions below in the comments!
Remember - nothing in this video constitutes advice, our only goal is to educate you about the markets and how to use our platform more broadly.
Cheers!
-Team TradingView ❤️❤️
Check out more information about the ADX in our help center here .
Supply & Demand patterns on the market + Ultra High Volume ZonesIn this video I am presenting the approach of identify and trade incoming supply and demand signals, as a modification of VSA methodology. I explain more also about importance of spotting places, where unusual high volume takes place. Enjoy!
Gamma Levels StrategyHello Traders!
I am presenting in action how I trade intraday using Gamma Levels in Intraday trading. I discuss setups, SL and TP placement as well as market behaviour, including positioning of Smart Money from Options & Darkpool markets. I also introduce my personal Money Management approach, as this is key step in order to be successful (profitable) trader.
CSC-HARSI with Alerts for GO long or Short and when to BUYWelcome to the coffee shop everybody I am highly highly highly excited about the new developments taking place with the CoffeeShop Crypto HARSI 2022
Don't let the name of the indicator fool you it can be used on more than just crypto you can use it on all markets or any markets that you choose to use it on.
As you know the indicator was released sometime ago and I really want to give a big thank you to all the people who come through Boost the script as well as use it on their charts it's really nice to see you guys doing that and I want to let you know that I get information I get indications of that taking place and I do make sure to follow you because I want to know what it is that you're up to and I want you to see what I'm up to.
okay now that we're done with the introductions and all the salutations and make you feel good about yourselfes let's get into what's happening with the CSC-HARSI.
Make sure to take a look at the attached video above because you're going to see and hear me discussing the new implementation of 2 types of alerts and indications that show up on the indicator itself.
One indication is when it is going to be telling you to Bi-Lo another indication is going to be when it tells you to go long. That is related to people who want to go bullet in the market and Buy Low sell High. "Bi-Lo" Means that the trend is about to reverse or that if you're in a ranging Market you can buy at this very low price. Shortly after that you'll end up getting another indication saying "Go long". This means that you've already bought at the lowest possible price in a safe place and now when it says go long you can set your trade and take profit levels. So "Buy Lo" does not mean enter into the market and set your take profit it simply means that you buy shares at a low price.
The other indications that will show up will be simply the reverse of that. One would say "Buy Hi" which means you just accumulate shares or coins or what have you so that you can short them later on. A little while after that you'll get another Indication that says "go Short". This means that you've already accumulated shares at a high value and now you're going to "short" them.
In the attached video you'll be able to see how to use the coffee shop crypto and when and how do you use these two separate alerts for example "Bi-Lo" and "Go-Long" or "Buy-Hi" and "Go-Short"
As of the recording of this video in the publication of this idea do not look for the information related to that in the coffee shop crypto heart see this is simply an idea to let you know what's coming up next.
So in the meantime go ahead add to your favorites from this link
and add it to your chart and when I published the new version of the code which will be with somewhere in the next 24 hours I hope you'll get an indication from tradingview and it'll say hey has been an update to this script go and get the new one. At which point you would simply delete the coffee shop crypto from your trading chart, then you would end up going to the Community Scripts and typing in CoffeeShop Crypto 2022 And re-add it to your chart.
So again make sure you watch the video that's attached and if you have any questions go ahead and drop them below if you just simply excited about it go ahead link a comment about that below as well.
How To Use Bitcoin Futures To Hedge Your CryptoYou are either a trader or a HODL'er. Since I am a trader I don't like to sit in massive swings in my spot Bitcoin positions, I like to use Micro Bitcoin Futures to hedge my spot position to minimize the risk and also maximize my long position in spot. In this video I explain how I am currently hedging my long Spot Bitcoin position using Micro Bitcoin Futures, Symbol MBT.
Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Derivatives trading is not suitable for all investors.
Bollinger Bands Explained, All you need to know Hello everyone, as we all know the market action discounts everything :)
_________________________________Make sure to Like and Follow if you like the idea_________________________________
In today’s video we are going to be talking about the Bollinger bands , How are they constricted and how to use to try to identify trades in different financial markets.
Some people think about the Bollinger bonds as a complicated indicator but after you watch this video you will see how easy it is to use.
Lets start with the theory before we see a real life example :
The Bollinger bands were developed by a man called John Bollinger, so no surprised where the name came from.
So the Bollinger breaks down to a Moving average and some volatility bands around that, What we have first is a moving average and on the top and bottom of that moving average we have our bands and they usually are located 2 standard deviations away from the Moving Average.
The idea here is to describe how prices are dispersed around an average value, so basically, these bands are here to show where the price is going and how it's moving for about 95% of the time.
So how do we use this indicator :
1) The first way people use this indicator is when the market price reaches the edges of the Bands, The upper end for example shows that it's possible that the market is overextended and a drop in price will happen, if the price reached the lower end then the market will be oversold and a bounce in price is due.
2) The second way to use this indicator is called Targets, It simply allows us to set up targets for the trade, if we buy near the lower Band then we could set a target above the Moving average or near the higher Band.
Because these bands are based on price volatility they won't stay at the same place from the MA, That means if the volatility drops then the bands will get tighter (Squeeze) , and if the volatility goes up then the bands will go further away from each other (Width).
People use this method to try to understand what's going on with the current trend, so basically if the bands are really far away then it’s a sign that the trend is currently ending, and if they are really close then we could be seeing an explosive move in the trend
IMPORTANT
I always say that you always need to use different indicators when you analyze any chart, this way you will minimize your risk and have a better understanding on how the market is currently doing.
I hope I’ve made the Bollinger Bands easy for you to understand and please ask if you have any questions .
Hit that like if you found this helpful and check out my other video about the Moving Average, Stochastic oscillator, The Dow Jones Theory, How To Trade Breakouts, The RSI and The MACD, links will be bellow
3x ETF SOXL vs other 1x semi ETFs over various time horizonsI compare SOXL returns with SOXX, SMH, and PSI, all ETFs in the semiconductor space.
CONCLUSIONS AND FINDINGS:
YTD 2021 SOXL has not provided any net benefit over it's peers. And if you use stop loss orders you've probably lost money on it due to its extreme volatility. Smaller quant ETF fund PSI is the better performer on most/all time horizons YTD or more recent, especially from a risk/reward perspective. Only when comparing SOXL against the others on a time horizon of 1 yr or longer does SOXL outperform it's peers.
Importantly however, charts mimic real life only to the extent we make the purchase the entire position at once and don't touch it over the entire time frame. But this is not what most traders do. Thus, I recommend holding SOXL only if you're going to buy it and not set any stop loss orders, touch it, trade it, or even look at it for a year or more. But you probably can't handle that. I can't either. Thus the better, more realistic strategy for most traders is to get PSI or one of the other primary ETFs covering this space.
Bollinger Bands Width Squeeze - Script ReleaseThis video idea is the tutorial for the script I just released that can be used to filter out meaningful Bollinger Bands Squeezes. If you use this indicator pattern to trade this additional filter will help you filter out and set alerts for contractions in the Bollinger Bands.
You can search for this script under indicators as "Bollinger Bands Width Donchian" or see linked script below to add to your Favorites.
Bitcoin Dip Buying - Part 2: Risk ManagementSo we finally got a signal today! The alert conditions of the indicator worked as intended for me and others that DM'd me. Having a signal to trade is the start but it is worthless without having a proper trade structure around it to build a strategy.
To that end I have updated the indicator with an automatically drawn entry, stop, and target that can be user defined to personal risk profiles.
This video talks about today's dip and explains how to use the new functionality of the indicator. Once again and always this is free for people to learn and hopefully profit. Any questions just leave comments below!
Bitcoin Dip Buying - Part 0: Coding the IndicatorThis is a prequel video for a series on how to identify and buy liquidation dips in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. Most aspiring traders do not have time to dig into the full process of becoming a successful trader and instead want to skip straight to making millions of dollars so this video is labeled as Part 0; it is optional. This video is for those that want an overview of Tradingview's Pine Script coding so that they may better understand what it takes to build a trading strategy from scratch.