XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on GOLD?
Gold remains in a strong uptrend, reflecting buyers' dominance in the market. However, at current levels, the risk of buying is high, and a price correction is likely.
The best approach in this situation is to wait for a pullback and enter at optimal levels for a better risk-reward ratio.
If the correction occurs and stabilizes at the identified level, the price is expected to rise at least to $3,000.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Community ideas
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 2872 and a gap below at 2851. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2872
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2807 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2885
2898
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2898 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2911
2923
BEARISH TARGETS
2851
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2851 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
2841 - 2819
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2819 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2807 - 2794
SECONDARY SWING RANGE
2782 - 2764
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing ema5 and price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 2867 and a gap below at 2833. We need ema5 to cross and lock above or below the weighted Goldturns to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2867
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2867 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2894
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2894 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2924
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2924 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2958
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2958 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2979
BEARISH TARGETS
2833
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2833 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2800
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2800 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2771 - 2743
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
Please see update on the weekly chart idea we have been tracking for over a month now and still playing out, as analysed.
After hitting and completing 2729 target 2 weeks ago, we then stated that we had a candle body close above 2729 opening long range/term gap at 2856 and will need ema5 lock to further confirm this.
- We got the ema5 lock to further confirm this and this was then hit perfectly last week completing this target. We now have a very small body close above 2856 leaving 2896 open and will need ema5 lock to further confirm this.
This is the beauty of our channels, which we draw in our unique way, using averages rather than price. This enables us to identify fake-outs and breakouts clearly, as minimal noise in the way our channels are drawn.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Lingrid | GOLD Weekly Price Action AnalysisOANDA:XAUUSD market shows strong bullish momentum, with a streak of 6 consecutive weekly bullish closes and a +4% gain this week. The price is pushing higher, but has yet to reach the 2900 level, which may lead to a period of consolidation below this level or deep pullback. Markets often consolidate below or above strong levels before breaking through them.
On the daily timeframe, a pinbar has formed, indicating potential level rejection and a possible correction. The double top pattern suggests a pause in the bullish momentum, and the fake breakout of the previous resistance zone further supports this view. Given these signs of a pullback, it's likely that the market will form a trend continuation pattern, such as a triangle.
If a pullback occurs, the support area between the January high and last year's high would be a great spot to consider a long trade. This area provides a strong foundation for a potential bounce, making it an attractive entry point for a long position. Overall, I expect the market to pull back before potentially continuing its upward movement, as long as the price action supports this scenario.
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
February Altcoin Requests Hey everyone,
Surviving the Bloodbath & Finding market Opportunities! As we know the market has been brutal with relentless drops, liquidations, and many portfolios deep in red. The current conditions are shaking out weak hands, and it’s frustrating watching investments get drained daily. But this is when smart traders prepare, adapt, and position for the inevitable turnaround.
That’s why we’re opening up our February Alt Requests! Let’s identify potential recovery setups and navigate this market with strategy and patience.
📅 Submission Deadline: February 12th, 2025
🔹 Request Guidelines:
✅ Each member may submit one altcoin for analysis.
✅ Use the format: ETHBTC, ETHUSDT, or ETHUSD.
✅ Ensure you include the coin’s ticker symbol or full name.
Despite the harsh conditions, we’re committed to analyzing at least 30 altcoins and providing clear, unbiased insights to help everyone make informed decisions.
⚠ Important Reminder:
All analyses are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.
💡 The market is ugly right now, but this is also where the biggest opportunities are born. Stay focused, stay disciplined, and let’s work through this together! 🚀
Are you ready for $180,000 Bitcoin?BTC remains firmly bullish, and the market structure continues to align with the Elliott Wave framework, despite short-term volatility. The rounding bottom formation is still in play, and its full potential has yet to unfold. Price has completed sub-wave 4, and we are now awaiting the final leg to complete this mini-cycle before the emergence of the larger macro waves.
The broader expectation remains a rally towards $180,000, a level that will likely be reached when market sentiment is at its weakest, as institutions and whales continue accumulating retail sell-offs.
Patience is key—stay ahead of the market and play smart.
Bitcoin Seasonality - Best Month (October) and Best Day (Monday)It's very important for every Bitcoin trader to know its seasonality because this will significantly increase the probability of successful trades. I have been trading Bitcoin for almost 10 years, and I successfully use seasonality patterns to predict Bitcoin price movements. For example, you don't want to go long on Bitcoin during August or September; that's probably a very bad idea. The biggest market crashes usually happen in September. But you definitely want to go long in October or April, as these months are the most promising. Knowledge of these patterns will give you an advantage over standard retail traders. Every trade matters.
Average return by Month (%)
January: +5.1%
February: +12.1%
March: +4.8%
April: ˇ+18.7%
May: +14.2%
June: +4.4%
July: +6.1%
August: -3.1%
September: -8.4%
October: +22.2%
November: +17.9%
December: +7.3%
Average return by Weekday (%)
Monday: +0.63%
Tuesday: +0.18%
Wednesday: +0.54%
Thursday: +0.40%
Friday: +0.37%
Saturday: +0.45%
Sunday: +0.10%
Currently I am bullish on Bitcoin as the price is in an uptrend and the bear market is not confirmed; I expect Bitcoin to hit 115k probably at the end of February. What I also expect is an alt season - alt season is starting right now! So it's time to buy some altcoins. Ethereum should outperform BTC in the next weeks as well.
Write a comment with your altcoin, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Also, please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
GOLD DAILY CHART MID/LONG TERM UPDATEHey Everyone,
Please see our new daily chart idea after completing our last daily chart idea last week.
We have now drawn a new channel in our unique way to establish the trend range and currently seeing price play between 2827, the channel half line support and 2904 axis resistance level.
We will need to see 2904 level broken for a continuation to test the channel top and we also have the channel half line below to establish floor to provide support for the range. A break below the half line will open the lower part of the channel to establish floor on the channel bottom.
]This is the beauty of our Goldturn channels, which we draw in our unique way, using averages rather than price. This enables us to identify fake-outs and breakouts clearly, as minimal noise in the way our channels are drawn.
We will use our smaller timeframe analysis on the 1H and 4H chart to buy dips from the weighted Goldturns for 30 to 40 pips clean. Ranging markets are perfectly suited for this type of trading, instead of trying to hold longer positions and getting chopped up in the swings up and down in the range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up using our smaller timeframe ideas.
Our long term bias is Bullish and therefore we look forward to drops like this, which allows us to continue to use our smaller timeframes to buy dips using our levels and setups.
Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings rather then chasing the bull from the top.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD MONTHLY CHART LONG TERM/RANGE ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
Please see update on our monthly chart idea for our long term/range analysis.
Our Monthly chart idea is now finally complete from candle body close above 2702 leaving 2825 axis target open, which is now hit and complete.
Please review all the historical updates below to see how we have been tracking this chart over several months. We will share a new long range monthly chart idea from next month.
LAST UPDATES OVER THE PREVIOUS MONTHS
Previous month in December we stated that the month started with a detachment to ema5 below for a correction, which was highlighted with a small mini circle on the chart for visual purpose.
- This detachment to ema5 was completed perfectly.
We also stated last month in December that the area above 2589 is a strong level of support with ema5 providing dynamic support now for a bounce.
- This also played out perfectly with ema5 providing dynamic support and above our 2589 support level for the push up, perfectly hitting our axis target 2702.
We then stated that we had two days for month end and will need a body close above 2702 for confirmation for a further continuation or a body close below 2589 to confirm the channel top test below. We also stated that if price closes this month in this range without the body closes, then we are likely to see play between this range for another month with not much detachment on the next monthly candle to ema5, which means the likely dynamic support should be provided by ema5 from the beginning of the month.
- This played out perfectly in January as the the ema5 provided the dynamic support right from the start, which followed with a nice push up. We now also have a candle body close above 2702 leaving a gap to 2825 Axis our long term target that we have been tracking over the months.
We will continue to use all support structures, across all our multi time frame chart ideas to buy dips also keeping in mind our long term gaps above. Short term we may look bearish but looking at the monthly chart allows us to see the bigger picture and the overall long term Bullish trend.
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
THE KOG REPORTTHE KOG REPORT:
In last week’s KOG Report we said we would be looking for the market to open, test the high and then give us the short trade into the lower red box levels. We gave the levels of 2775 and 2755-60 to traders for potential RIPs of which the 2775 region gave us the tap and bounce that we wanted to get that long trade.
We mentioned our target level of 2828 which was active and as we saw, it not only completed but was surpassed. During the week, we updated traders with the plans for pull backs and red box target levels, of which again, nearly all were completed. That along with another 8 Excalibur targets just on Gold!
An extremely decent week on the markets in Camelot, not only on gold but the numerous other pairs we trade and analyse.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
For this week we’re in a similar situation to the last two weeks, price has close high and it’s too risky for us to attempt long trades up here unless we’re scalping the red boxes. We have the immediate resistance level above of 2865-8 which is a potential opening target if they take this upside from the open. This is a key level and needs to be watched, if rejected this could be the first opportunity to short again into the lower levels of 2855-50 and below that 2830-35. If broken, we’ll look higher at the 2895-2902 (target region) level for another attempt.
On the flip, ideally we want to see this go down into the first region 2830-5 for the bounce, and then flip the resistance to continue the move downside into the lower support and red box levels which is where we will be waiting again to swing this long.
In summary, expect ranging first part of the week, potential for 2885 resistance and 2855 support which are the levels that need to break to determine the next move. Don’t get carried away with trading it to the moon or shorting it to the core of the earth. Trade it how you see it on the day, follow KOG’s bias of the day and the red box targets which are proven to be effective for day traders and scalpers.
KOG’s Bias for the week:
Bearish below 2875 with targets below 2855, 2850, 2845 and below that 2835
Bullish on break of 2875 with targets above 2890, 2897, 2899 and above that 2902
RED BOXES:
Break below 2850 for 2847, 2844, 2839, 2835 and 2826 in extension of the move
Break above 2860 for 2865, 2872, 2874, 2890 and 2902 in extension of the move
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Gold next move (weekly forecast)(10th Feb -- 14th Feb-2025)Go through the analysis carefully, and do trade accordingly.
Anup 'BIAS for the week (10th Feb -- 14th Feb-2025)
Current price- 2862
1st scenario (bearish move)
"if Price stays below 2875, then next target is 2851, 2840 and 2822 and above that 2890"
if price violates the 1st Scenario (i.e. close above 2875), then next target is 2885, 2890 and 2910.
-POSSIBILITY-1
Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening )
-POSSIBILITY-2
Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening)
Best of luck
Never risk more than 1% of principal to follow any position.
Support us by liking and sharing the post.
Bitcoin may drop to support line before reboundingHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. We can observe how the price entered a range when analyzing the chart. It initially dropped to the support level, aligning with the buyer zone at the lower boundary of the range. After spending some time trading near this level, the price dipped further into the buyer zone but quickly rebounded, rising to the upper boundary of the range. Following this, the price reversed and fell back into the buyer zone, where it consolidated for a while before climbing back into the range. Shortly afterward, Bitcoin rallied to the resistance level, corresponding to the seller zone, breaking out of the range and eventually surpassing the 104600 level to reach a new all-time high (109000 points). However, BTC then began to decline within a downward channel, where it broke below the 104600 level again and dropped to the channel’s support line. Although the price attempted to recover, it failed and rebounded from the seller zone back to the buyer zone. Subsequently, the price moved back into the channel, creating a false breakout, and continued its downward movement within the channel. Given the current structure, I anticipate that BTC might drop to the channel's support line before initiating a new upward movement. Based on this outlook, I’ve set my target price (TP) at 101300 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
CRASH - CRASH - CRASH - Don't believe a word of it...I created this video because I'm seeing a bunch of content/videos where everyone is suddenly calling for a CRASH. and I laugh about it.
If you want to believe the markets are going to CRASH - go for it.
Sell everything. Bet the farm on the CRASH. Leverage your house and everything you own to bet on the CRASH.
It's not going to happen soon.
My research is very clear. I believe the first opportunity for a deep (more than 25-35%) market pullback will happen after late 2029 and into 2030.
Until then, we are going to see moderate pullbacks in a very solid uptrend.
Watch this video and learn why real research and modeling systems don't react to the Crash-Dummies that continually push out CLICK-BAIT.
It's time to get real about your trading and investing.
If you are following someone who continually calls for a market crash - good luck.
At some point, you are going to come to the realization they are wrong 90% of the time. Try to find someone you trust who provides clear, timely, and ACCURATE forecasts.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
XAU/USD (Gold) Triangle Breakout (07.02.2025)The XAU/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 2890
2nd Resistance – 2904
🎁 Please hit the like button and
🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post !
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING
Thank you.
Timing? Trump Set To Grow 1,000,000% By Next Week (Read Now!)Tell me something, do you think the timing is right?
Is this the right timing?
Good evening/morning my fellow Cryptocurrency trader, I hope you are having a very wonderful day.
What do we have here?
The greatest memecoin ever to be launched, ever, period.
Let's see if it can grow by 100, 200 or even 300% in the coming days.
Let's see what the chart has to say.
TRUMPUSDT went through the classic boom and bust.
When a new project is launched, it tend to be received with much hype. After some initial growth, it tends to enter a correction but, after this correction, a new cycle develops and it is possible TRUMP is entering this new cycle. Only time will tell.
This trading pair, from top to bottom, corrected by a massive 80%. That is, -80% from a peak price of 78 to a low price of 16. Normally, this much correction tend to be enough to produce a bottom low. Once the bottom is in, we tend to see growth and yes, the chart is saying that growth is possible and soon to follow.
After the initial bearish impulse we have some sideways consolidation. This sideways isn't much but considering how strong the down-wave was, sellers must be satisfied.
The chart shows multiple levels as targets for the short- to mid-term. This is expected to happen within 1-3 months. Do you agree? Hit follow.
So TRUMPUSDT is turning bullish but trading volume is still low.
These signals are early; not confirmed, it is really early to be honest but by the time the signals are confirmed prices will be trading high up.
As with anything, there is always risk involved when buying this or any other coin. Just know that prices can drop further down, but we are aiming up.
We are live, we are good, we are love and we are blessed.
Knowing this, we are going ALL-IN hoping for a big win. No stop-loss.
Let the market take care of the rest.
You do your thing and I'll do mine.
We are going to win big if the timing is right.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
BITCOIN → Down to $90,000. Downside risks are risingBINANCE:BTCUSD feels the change of mood and continues to form set-ups hinting at a possible continuation of the correction. Another retest of the 90K risk zone is possible.
On the medium-term timeframe bitcoin failed to hold near ATH, in the upper consolidation range and entered the local selling zone, under the level of 99800. A negative note is felt in the cryptocurrency market, as well as a change in sentiment. Altcoins continue to break through bottom after bottom without any positive prospects. Bitcoin at this time is most likely resentful of the US governing apparatus due to the fact that no promises from Trump have been kept so far, and the price is moving into a protracted correction in the local perspective
Briefly, here's what's going on:
Expectations: Bitcoin reserve, cryptocurrency market support, transparent regulation, pumping the market ...
Reality: new scam coins created before the US election that sucked all liquidity, market manipulation, trade war with almost every country on the planet, dumping the market into the abyss.
Support levels: 95.8 (trigger), 91300, 90K
Resistance levels: 100.2, 102.67
Technically, the situation is that bitcoin may continue its decline and test 90K again, from which the risks around 90K will grow.
At the moment, the price is in consolidation between 95.8 - 100.2. A pre-breakdown consolidation is forming near the support, foreshadowing the support breakdown and further fall to 90K. But, due to the dependence of the asset before the actions of politicians in the U.S., the price may shake out to 100.2 before further falling
Regards R. Linda!
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) Analysis – Divergence and Bearish Setuphello guys!
Divergence Between Price and RSI:
The chart shows a clear bearish divergence between price action and the Relative Strength Index (RSI).
Price made higher highs, while the RSI formed lower highs, signaling weakening bullish momentum and the potential for a reversal.
Price Action Analysis:
The price reached the QML2 zone (~$103,000), and there is a clear rejection, suggesting selling pressure.
The price is now heading toward QML1, located at around $95,600.
If the price breaks QML1 and holds below, the next support target is around $93,455, where further downside could be expected.
Support and Target Zones:
Support Area 1: QML1 (~$95,600) – key level to monitor for possible breakdown.
Support Area 2: QML2 (~$93,455) – potential next stop if QML1 breaks.
Resistance Zone: Around $103,000 – the price has been rejected from here, acting as a strong resistance level.
RSI Analysis:
The RSI is showing signs of bearish divergence, which often precedes a price correction or reversal.
RSI Below 50: If the RSI drops below the 50 mark, it could indicate increasing bearish momentum.
Trade Setup:
Bearish Setup:
Entry: Short position below $95,600 (if price breaks QML1 and retests it as resistance).
Take Profit: First target at $93,455, then possibly lower towards $91,000.
Conclusion:
Bearish Bias: The combination of price rejection at the upper resistance level and RSI divergence points to a potential price decline.
Key Levels to Watch: The immediate breakdown below $95,600 and subsequent test of $93,455 will be critical for further downside.
"The Dragon's Wick Wars: Bitcoin's Fiery Battle for $100K" 🔥 **The Dragon Awakens: Bitcoin Battles Fire and Fury at Critical Levels!** 🔥
This isn’t just another candlestick chart—it’s a battlefield! The dragon has taken flight, spewing fire across the market as Bitcoin wages war at pivotal levels. With every move, the stakes grow higher, and the market burns brighter! 🐉🔥
📌 **Key Wicks, Key Clues**:
The arrows point to crucial wick action—these aren’t just random shadows; they’re the market’s battle scars! Each wick tells a story of intense rejection, fierce resistance, or bold support. The first wick ignites the firestorm, showing where buyers and sellers are clashing with brute force.
📊 **$100,701 Breakout Drama**:
The breakout at $103,308 was no quiet escape—it roared with intensity! A downward-sloping trendline marked the dragon’s fiery descent, dragging Bitcoin into a zone of uncertainty. Now, the $100,701 level stands as a battlefield, with $99,887 below as a critical fallback point. Can the dragon hold the skies, or will it be forced to retreat?
🚨 **The Zones of Fire**:
Highlighted zones show where the heat is strongest. Buyers are building their defenses around $95,665 and $94,197, while sellers rain fire from above. This is the heart of the action—the no-man’s-land of market chaos.
💥 **The Wicks That Speak**:
Every rejection wick blazes with meaning, every confirmation wick fuels the narrative. Will Bitcoin find support in the flames of $91,194, or is the dragon preparing for another fiery breakout?
**This is no ordinary market moment. This is the stuff of legends, where every candle burns with intensity and every wick reveals the story of survival. Buckle up, traders—this dragon isn’t done breathing fire yet.** 🐉🔥
TradeCityPro | Deep Search: In-Depth Of AAVE👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
In this analysis, I will thoroughly examine the AAVE coin. The project information is provided in full, followed by a technical analysis at the end.
What is Aave❓
▪️Aave is a decentralized lending protocol that allows users to deposit crypto assets to earn interest and borrow against their crypto collateral. It operates on lending pools, providing instant access to liquidity. Aave is known for stable interest rates, flash loans (collateral-free loans for a single transaction), and being one of DeFi’s largest lending protocols, with over $5 billion locked in total value.
🗾 Protocol Architecture:
▪️Aave's ecosystem is built on smart contracts that manage deposits, loans, and interest rates. The key components include:
1) Lending Pool Core: Manages asset storage and reserve states.
2) Lending Pool Data Provider: Calculates user balances and lending metrics.
3) Lending Pool: Enables deposit, redemption, borrowing, repayment, and liquidation.
4) Lending Pool Configurator: Allows governance to modify protocol parameters.
5) Interest Rate Strategy: Adjusts interest rates dynamically based on pool utilization.
6) Governance: Users can vote on protocol updates using the AAVE token.
🔑 Key Features and Functionality:
▪️Lending Pools: Users deposit assets into pools and receive aTokens, which accrue interest over time.
▪️Borrowing: Users must provide collateral exceeding the borrowed amount, ensuring protocol security.
▪️Interest Rates: Variable rates fluctuate based on market liquidity. stable rates provide consistency but can be adjusted under extreme conditions.
▪️Health Factor & Liquidation: A health factor below 1 triggers liquidation, ensuring the system's stability.
▪️Flash Loans: Uncollateralized loans that must be repaid within a single transaction, offering arbitrage and refinancing opportunities.
🪙 Tokenization & Revenue Model:
▪️aTokens: Earn interest automatically, reflecting deposits.
▪️AAVE Token:
◽️Governance participation and voting rights.
◽️Fee discounts for users using AAVE.
◽️Staking in the Safety Module for additional rewards.
📊Revenue Sources:
◽️Flash loan fees.
◽️Borrowing interest payments.
◽️Protocol fees used for reserves and development.
🔧 Security and Stability Mechanisms:
▪️Loan-to-Value (LTV): Determines borrowing capacity based on collateral.
▪️Liquidation Thresholds: Prevents undercollateralized loans from destabilizing the system.
▪️Rebalancing Mechanism: Adjusts stable interest rates to maintain equilibrium.
🎯 Roadmap and Future Developments:
▪️Governance Evolution: Further decentralization through Aave Improvement Proposals (AIPs).
▪️Aave V3: Enhancing risk management and capital efficiency.
▪️Multi-Chain Expansion: Reducing transaction costs and increasing accessibility.
▪️Institutional Adoption: Aave Arc for regulated entities.
▪️New Lending Markets: Expanding supported assets and features.
What is GHO❓
▪️GHO is a decentralised, overcollateralised stablecoin that is fully backed, transparent, and native to the Aave Protocol.
▪️Unlike many stablecoins, the oracle price for GHO is fixed. Decentralised stablecoins such as GHO are transparent and cannot be changed. Interest rates are defined by Aave DAO and repaid interest is redirected to the DAO instead of the asset suppliers. Discounts are available to borrowers staking AAVE in the Safety Module.
💰Fundrasing: $49.30 M
💵 Some of its major investors:
▪️Standard Crypto
▪️Blockchain.com Ventures
▪️Framework Ventures
▪️Blockchain Capital
▪️DTC Capital
▪️Defiance Capital
▪️ParaFi Capital
◽️The staking platforms of AAVE:
▪️aave.com
▪️Defiserver
▪️Stakingcrypto.io
◽️The Lp platforms of AAVE:
▪️Balancer
▪️Pancakeswap
▪️Uniswap
▪️Defiserver
▪️KyberSwap
▪️HoneySwap
▪️SquadSwap
👥The Team:
▪️Aave was created by the team behind ETHLend, led by CEO Stani Kulechov. The team transitioned from peer-to-peer lending to the pool-based system, which has contributed to Aave's success. It has a strong commitment to decentralization, having moved to community governance.
📈 TVL and Staking:
▪️Aave Protocol's TVL Sees Significant Growth Since Late February 2024
The Total Value Locked (TVL) in the Aave protocol has experienced a sharp upward trend since late February 2024, reaching 7.65 million Ethereum. Additionally, the amount staked in 2024 has tripled, which could reduce the currency's inflation within the network and potentially lead to a long-term price increase
🔗 On-Chain Data Analysis of AAVE:
▪️From the perspective of the volume of coins in profit and loss, the $228 zone with 1.67 million AAVE coins in profit can be considered a support level. Additionally, the $257 zone with approximately 700,000 AAVE acts as a resistance level. However, the number of coins in profit remains higher.
▪️The size of large transactions increased as the price reached resistance zones, reflecting selling pressure from this group. However, at present, no significant changes in large transactions are observed. Moreover, active addresses remain neutral.
▪️On the other hand, we find that whales hold about 55.3% of AAVE tokens, which indicates that whale movements are of great importance. In this regard, examining the inflow of AAVE into large holders' wallets, we observe that they have been accumulating as the price declined.
📅 Weekly Timeframe
In the weekly timeframe, not much has changed compared to the previous analysis. After the price reached the $371.48 support and was rejected from this area, the corrective phase continued until the Minor Support zone at $202.63. However, the bullish momentum in this coin was strong enough that the price only wicked down to this support and has now returned above this area.
🔍 The parabolic trendline still exists and could act as an important level in case of further corrections. Breaking this trendline would weaken bullish momentum, making the uptrend slower.
✔️ If the $371.48 resistance breaks, we can expect the price to move towards the ATH at $532.60. If the $543.60 resistance is also broken, I will update the analysis to determine potential new targets for AAVE.
🔽 On the bearish side, if the trendline breaks and a candle closes below $202.63, the market's bullish momentum will weaken, and the price could experience deeper corrections, potentially reaching $130.24 and $77.45. The primary support level is at $51.76, but for now, reaching this area seems unlikely.
📊 The candle volume has been increasing since the price started its bullish trend from $51.76, aligning with the uptrend. The RSI is also in a good position for an uptrend, with no visible divergence. As long as this oscillator stays above 50, the bullish momentum will remain intact.
📅 Daily Timeframe
In this timeframe, we can observe price movements in more detail over the past few weeks. As you can see, after breaking below the $282.15 low, the price has corrected to the 0.5 – 0.618 Fibonacci retracement zone.
✨ Currently, it seems that the price is forming a base. If it can establish a strong support in this area, the next bullish leg will begin with greater momentum and strength.
⚡️ The candle volume is decreasing during the correction phase, indicating seller weakness. Since selling volume has not significantly increased, if buyers re-enter the market, the price could move upward.
🔼 If the price returns above $282.15, the bullish scenario will become more likely, and breaking $382.61 will confirm the next bullish leg.
📉 On the bearish side, if the correction continues and the price reaches the $194.97 support, a break of this support would confirm a trend reversal and shift the market to a bearish outlook. A break of RSI 30 would strongly support this bearish scenario.
📝 Final Thoughts
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
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