#gbpusd#forex
GBP/USD Breaking Key Fib Level, Bulls Eye September HighsThe British pound surged through the 78.6% Fib retracement near 1.3149, extending its post-breakout rally with a +0.77% daily gain. Price is now on track to test the September swing high at 1.3440 — the next major resistance zone.
📈 Price has reclaimed both the 50- and 200-day SMAs
📊 MACD is showing bullish momentum above the zero line
📍 RSI sits at 64.98 — bullish, but nearing overbought territory
As long as GBP/USD holds above 1.3149, the path of least resistance remains higher. A clean break above 1.3440 would confirm a major trend reversal and open the door to a broader bullish cycle.
-MW
GBPUSD. Weekly trading levels 14 - 18.04.2025During the week you can trade from these price levels. Finding the entry point into a transaction and its support is up to you, depending on your trading style and the development of the situation. Zones show preferred price ranges WHERE to look for an entry point into a trade.
If you expect any medium-term price movements, then most likely they will start from one of the zones.
Levels are valid for a week, the date is in the title. Next week I will adjust the levels based on new data and publish a new post.
! Please note that brokers have a difference in quotes, take this into account when trading.
The history of level development can be seen in my previous posts. They cannot be edited or deleted. Everything is fair. :)
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I don’t play guess the direction (that’s why there are no directional arrows), but zones (levels) are used for trading. We wait for the zone to approach, watch the reaction, and enter the trade.
Levels are drawn based on volumes and data from the CME. They are used as areas of interest for trading. Traded as classic support/resistance levels. We see the reaction to the rebound, we trade the rebound. We see a breakout and continue to trade on a rollback to the level. The worst option is if we revolve around the zone in a flat.
Do not reverse the market at every level; if there is a trend movement, consider it as an opportunity to continue the movement. Until the price has drawn a reversal pattern.
More information in my RU profile.
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Gold Closes the Week Strong – Breakout Toward $3300 Coming?📊 XAU/USD Daily Technical Outlook – April 11, 2025
Gold rebounded strongly during Friday’s session, climbing from early lows around $3,177 to reach a high of $3,237. This bounce followed a brief correction the day before, as buyers stepped back in near key psychological levels. The move was partially driven by ongoing geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for safe-haven assets.
At the moment, gold is trading around $3,212, holding its gains firmly into the weekly close. The broader market remains bullish, with the uptrend still intact unless key supports are breached.
📈 Current Market Structure:
After Thursday’s pullback, Friday’s strong bullish candle suggests renewed momentum. Price is still moving within an ascending structure, and the sharp recovery could be an early signal of a continuation toward new highs.
🔹 Key Resistance Levels:
$3,237: Immediate resistance. Friday’s high. A break above this level could trigger further bullish continuation.
$3,280: Potential upside target if momentum continues.
$3,300: Psychological resistance and potential long-term target.
🔸 Key Support Levels:
$3,177: Intraday support. If gold pulls back again, this level may provide a bounce.
$3,150: Near-term support and a key structural level.
$3,095: Deeper support, marking the bottom of the previous breakout area.
📐 Price Action Patterns:
Friday's bullish engulfing candle signals strong buying pressure, especially after Thursday’s correction. If buyers defend current levels early next week, we may see a bullish continuation. However, failure to break $3,237 may trigger another consolidation phase.
🧭 Potential Scenarios:
✅ Bullish Scenario:
If gold breaks and holds above $3,237, this could trigger a move toward $3,280 or even $3,300. Buyers remain in control as long as price stays above $3,177.
❌ Bearish Scenario:
If gold fails to push above resistance and breaks below $3,177, we could see a retest of $3,150, and possibly deeper toward $3,095 if bearish momentum increases.
📌 Conclusion:
Gold showed resilience on April 11, recovering sharply from a brief dip and closing the week on a strong note. The market structure remains bullish, and a sustained break above resistance could lead to fresh all-time highs. Traders should continue to monitor geopolitical news and dollar strength for clues on short-term direction.
💬 What’s your take on gold heading into next week? Will bulls take control again, or are we in for more consolidation? Drop your thoughts below!
Let me know if you want a version ready for TradingView or with hashtags and emojis for social media!
GBP_USD SUPPORT CLUSTER|LONG|
✅GBP_USD is going down
To retest a strong support
Cluster of the rising and
Horizontal support levels
So a local rebound is to be
Expected but its a risky
Setup given the general
Volatility on the market
So use small lot size
LONG🚀
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EUR/USD Approaching a Key Decision Point – Breakout or Pullback📊 Daily Technical Analysis – EUR/USD (April 2025)
The EUR/USD pair is approaching a critical resistance zone on the daily chart, with price action showing signs of both trend continuation and potential exhaustion. Traders should brace for volatility as the pair hovers near a multi-month high.
📈 Trend Overview:
Since rebounding from the 1.0700 support area in early March, EUR/USD has maintained a steady bullish trend, forming a clean structure of higher highs and higher lows.
The overall sentiment remains bullish in the medium term, but the pair is now pressing into a strong resistance zone near 1.0980 – 1.1050, where price previously stalled multiple times in late 2023.
🧱 Key Resistance Levels:
1.0980 – 1.1050: A major resistance block; a clean daily breakout above this zone could trigger renewed buying pressure and open the door for a move toward 1.1200.
1.1270: A key swing high from July 2023, and a likely target if bulls maintain control.
🛡️ Key Support Levels:
1.0870: A short-term support level and previous consolidation zone.
1.0740: A key higher low and critical structure — losing this level could suggest a shift toward a broader range-bound market.
1.0700: March’s reaction low and a major psychological level for euro bulls.
📐 Technical Structures:
Price action is showing signs of forming a rising wedge pattern — typically a sign of weakening bullish momentum, especially when it appears near strong resistance.
That said, if buyers manage to break through the upper boundary with strong conviction, this setup could transform into a bullish continuation — invalidating the wedge as a reversal pattern.
Also, the pair remains inside a bullish price channel, which has guided the trend since mid-March.
🧭 Potential Scenarios:
✅ Bullish Breakout:
A strong daily close above 1.1050 would likely confirm the breakout, targeting 1.1200 and possibly 1.1270 as bullish extensions. This could align with further dollar weakness or positive eurozone data.
❌ Bearish Rejection:
If the pair fails to break the resistance zone and forms reversal candlesticks, a pullback toward 1.0870 or even 1.0740 becomes likely. A break below 1.0700 would be a strong bearish signal, opening the path toward deeper retracement.
📌 Conclusion:
EUR/USD is pressing into a decisive resistance zone after a sustained bullish rally. Price action is king here — a breakout above 1.1050 may confirm bullish continuation, while rejection could trigger a healthy correction. Keep a close eye on daily closes and candle structure in the coming sessions.
💬 How do you see EUR/USD playing out from here? Are we in for a breakout or a top? Share your thoughts 👇
GBP-USD Strong Breakout! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-USD made a bearish
Breakout of the key wide horizontal
Level of 1.2851 then made a
Pullback so we are bearish
Biased and a further bearish
Continuation is to be expected
Sell!
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GBP_USD LONG SIGNAL|
✅GBP_USD made some crazy
Moves last week and was eventually pushed
Back down to the horizontal support of 1.2874
From where we will be expecting a local
Rebound, therefore we can go long on
The pair with the TP of 1.2946
And the SL of 1.2849
LONG🚀
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GBP/USD Stalls Beneath 1.30 – Breakout or Bull Trap?The British pound continues to grind higher against the U.S. dollar, now trading at 1.2982 (+0.46%), but price action remains capped within a tight consolidation box just below the psychological 1.30 handle.
🔹 Price is holding above the 200-day (1.2809) and 50-day (1.2704) SMAs, maintaining a bullish structure.
🔹 RSI is at 62.90, comfortably in bullish territory but not overbought.
🔹 MACD is flat but still positive, suggesting momentum is stalling but not yet reversing.
The range between 1.2875 and 1.30 has held for over two weeks. A confirmed breakout above 1.30 could set the stage for a rally toward the 0.786 retracement at 1.3148, while a downside break might trigger a retracement toward the 200-day SMA or even 1.2700.
This range won’t last forever — the bulls and bears are coiling for the next big move.
-MW
GBP-USD Risky Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-USD is growing now
But a horizontal resistance
Level of 1.3000 from where
We will be expecting a local
Pullback and a local move down
Sell!
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EUR/USD: Ready for another Fall? (READ THE CAPTION)By examining the EUR/USD chart on the 3-day timeframe, we can see that the price has moved exactly as expected since our last analysis. After reaching the supply zone between 1.083 and 1.093, the pair began a correction and is currently trading around 1.079. Keep in mind, only if the price stabilizes below the 1.080 level can we expect further downside from this pair.
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Best Regards , Arman Shaban
GBPUSD: Channel Up still intact but keep an eye on the 4H MA200.GBPUSD is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 59.951, MACD = 0.008, ADX = 32.444) as the dominant pattern remains a Channel Up and despite the consolidation in recent days, the market remains supported over the 4H MA200. If it crosses over the LH trendline, go long in a similar manner as the Feb 13th break out and aim for the 2.382 Fibonacci extension (TP = 1.3200). If on the other hand the price fails and crosses under the 4H MA200, go short and aim for the S1 level (TP = 1.2555).
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$GBIRYY -U.K Inflation Rate (February/2025)ECONOMICS:GBIRYY
February/2025
source: Office for National Statistics
- The annual inflation rate in the UK fell to 2.8% in February 2025 from 3% in January, below market expectations of 2.9%, though in line with the Bank of England's forecast.
The largest downward contribution came from prices of clothing which declined for the first time since October 2021 (-0.6% vs 1.8%), led by garments for women and children's clothing.
Inflation also eased in recreation and culture (3.4% vs. 3.8%), particularly in live music admission and recording media, as well as in housing and utilities (1.9% vs. 2.1%), including actual rents for housing (7.4% vs. 7.8%).
In contrast, food inflation was unchanged at 3.3% and prices rose faster for transport (1.8% vs 1.7%) and restaurants and hotels (3.4% vs 3.3%).
Meanwhile, services inflation held steady at 5%.
The annual core inflation rate declined to 3.5% from 3.7%.
Compared to the previous month, the CPI increased 0.4%, rebounding from a 0.1% decline but falling short of the expected 0.5% increase.
$GBINTR - U.K Interest Rates (March/2025)ECONOMICS:GBINTR
March/2025
source: Bank of England
- The Bank of England voted 8-1 to keep the Bank Rate at 4.5% during its March meeting,
as policymakers adopted a wait-and-see approach amid stubbornly high inflation and global economic uncertainties. The bank highlighted that, given the medium-term inflation outlook, a gradual and cautious approach to further withdrawal of monetary policy restraint remains appropriate.
CPI inflation increased to 3.0% in January, and while global energy prices fell,
inflation is expected to rise to 3¾% by Q3 2025.
Also, the MPC noted that global trade policy uncertainties and geopolitical risks increased, with financial market volatility rising. source: Bank of England
"A big move is coming! GBP/USD just broke structure—Price action on the GBP/USD (3H timeframe) has shown a Change of Character (ChoCH), indicating a potential bullish reversal. After forming a strong base, buyers have stepped in, pushing the price above the recent structure.
Key Highlights:
ChoCH Breakout: A shift in market structure suggests bullish momentum.
Targeting Supply Zone: The next key level of interest is around 1.2750 - 1.2800, where sellers may step in.
Wave 3 to Wave 4 Transition: Aligning with Elliott Wave Theory, this move could be part of a corrective structure before further upside/downside.
GBP/USD is heating up! A major shift is coming—are you ready?"Analysis:
The correlation between DXY & GBP/USD is playing out perfectly! As the Dollar Index (DXY) approaches key resistance in the 112-113 zone, GBP/USD is reacting inversely, showing signs of a potential drop toward 1.14.
Elliott Wave patterns confirm a high-probability reversal setup, aligning with macroeconomic factors and liquidity zones. If DXY gains strength, expect a bearish breakdown on GBP/USD.
📈 Key Levels to Watch:
GBP/USD Resistance: 1.32-1.34
GBP/USD Support: 1.14
DXY Resistance: 112-113
DXY Support: 102.5
💡 Will GBP/USD hold or break down? Drop your predictions below! 👇
GBPUSD: Day 3 breakout traders long in the market!Hello traders and welcome back to my profile, as always don't forget to hit the like button and comment if you enjoy this analysis, and feel free to share your own thoughts!
Trade setup, don't chase movement, neither don't guess what the market is going to do next.
I know it looks like I'm trying to predict a move, but actually I'm just showing what setup I'm looking for in order to partecipate in the market, eventually it's going to move in my direction.
GBPUSD is currently on my watchlist, day 3 long in the market can be a strong signal of reversal (when setup properly) and I can see a potential weekly pump and dump setting up for today (waiting for news to be released), or it can be a move that can be completed on tomorrow, eventually the market will close as first red day at the end of the day.
Let's go a little bit deeper:
Monday, opening range of the week was a strong pumping day, clean, clear, which triggered long breakout traders in the market and closed in breakout above the previous weekly level, other time frame traders are involved and the market may be in play!
Tuesday, initial balance, the market slightly expanded the range higher and the end of the day it closed in breakout triggering breakout long for the second time, decreasing, however, the momentum of this move.
Wednesday, the market stayed inside the previous daily range, barely touching the weekly high and the end of the day, which I consider a day 3 long traders triggered up high.
Now, to me, this scenario look pretty much a 2 days of consolidation up high into the weekly high after Monday pumping day, and I would be interested in shorting a potential dump, targeting the weekly low.
Thesis:
- Short, is my main thesis, going to complete the weekly pump and dump, it can setup today or tomorrow, and what I will be looking for is an intraday pump and dump blowing off during NY session.
- Long, not really interested today, but however, I cannot know if the market will proceed to go higher, because overall, we can see a strong bullish trend from January 2025 and I wouldn't expect the market dropping down till that level where such a huge move started.
Follow me to get update about this market!
Gianni
EURUSD Bullish Continuation Potential BUY OpportunityThe EUR/USD has been on a strong bullish run, consistently breaking key resistance levels. We have now surpassed major highs, and a potential pullback could be on the horizon. If a retracement occurs, it may present a strategic buying opportunity to align with the prevailing uptrend.
My target remains the resistance zone around 1.10000, where we could see a potential reversal. If bearish signals emerge at that level, a short position might offer a favorable setup.
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GBP/USD is leaning in favor of the dollar.GBP/USD is leaning in favor of the dollar.
Since 2008, we've seen five waves down, and now a correction is forming, potentially targeting the $0.98 - $1.036 range or even lower, given the bullish outlook for the DXY.
Right now, shifting into USD seems like the smartest move.
GBP-USD Resistance Ahead! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-USD keeps growing
In a strong uptrend but the
Pair is locally overbought
So after it hits a resistance
Of 1.3048 from where we
Will be expecting a local
Bearish move down
Sell!
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.