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GBP/USD: Pound Sterling Bounces Back as Market Sentiment ShiftsThe Pound Sterling (GBP) is showing resilience at the start of the week, bouncing back against its major peers. This surge can be attributed to multiple factors, with a notable influence from the recent developments in the UK government bond market. As the market digests the weak UK Retail Sales data for December, there has been a notable uptick in demand for UK gilts, signaling confidence among investors despite the bleak economic indicators. At the same time, the broader market is experiencing heightened interest in risk assets as anticipation builds around U.S. President-elect Donald Trump's upcoming inauguration. This event has been a focal point for traders, leading to a reassessment of positions across various currencies, including the GBP. From a technical analysis perspective, the Pound appears to be finding support at a crucial demand zone, indicating a potential rebound. If this area holds, it could signal a retracement that may provide traders with an attractive opportunity to enter long positions. This should be monitored closely, as price action around this demand area can reveal market sentiment and lead to further buying pressure. Looking ahead, the next key event to influence GBP's trajectory is the release of UK employment data for the three months ending in November, set to be published on Tuesday. Investors will be keenly analyzing this data to gauge the health of the UK labor market in the face of ongoing economic challenges. Positive results could further bolster the Pound's position, while disappointing figures may lead to a recalibration of expectations. As traders position themselves ahead of these economic releases, we are particularly bullish on the Pound Sterling. If the UK employment figures align positively with market expectations, it could fuel further momentum, allowing the GBP to extend its gains in the upcoming sessions. For those looking to capitalize on the potential upswing, a long position in GBP seems to be a prudent strategy, as the current technical setup and changing market dynamics suggest an advantageous window for entry. In summary, the Pound's recent bounce is a product of both technical factors and broader market sentiment. With critical economic releases on the horizon, traders should remain vigilant and prepared to respond to evolving conditions as they unfold. ✅ Please share your thoughts about GBP/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Long
by FOREXN1
1
GBPUSD - ANALYSIS👀 Observation: Hello traders! Here's my analysis for the GBP/USD pair. Currently, I anticipate the price to continue its downward movement towards the target of 1.19872 . However, if GBP/USD breaks above the 1.23220 level on the 1H timeframe and consolidates, I expect a potential bull market scenario to unfold. 📉 Expectation: Downward trend to 1.19872 unless 1.23220 is broken. If the 1.23220 resistance is breached, a bullish movement may start. 💡 Key Levels to Watch: Target 1: 1.19872 Resistance to break: 1.23220 💬 What’s your take on GBP/USD this week? Let me know in the comments below! Trade safe
Short
by PouyanTradeFX
USD/JPY : Ready for more Fall?! (READ THE CAPTION)Upon analyzing the USD/JPY chart in the daily time frame, we see that the pair is currently trading around the 157.060 level. Given the recent price action, I anticipate a significant correction in USD/JPY in the near future. The first potential target for this decline is 156.25, so keep a close eye on this level! Stay tuned for updates as we track this movement together. Let me know your thoughts in the comments below! Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Short
by ArmanShabanTrading
41
GBP/USD: Potential Bearish Continuation Amid Economic IndicatorsFollowing the successful attainment of our profit target in the demand area, the GBP/USD currency pair has shown a modest recovery, reclaiming some ground from the 1.2400 level. As this article is being written, the price has retraced into a prior supply zone situated around 1.2541. This development indicates a potential resistance area where the pound may struggle to maintain its upward momentum. As we move into the latter part of the day, market participants will be intently focused on significant economic reports from the United States, specifically the ISM Services PMI for December and the JOLTS Job Openings data for November. These reports are crucial in gauging the health of the US economy, particularly in the services sector, which has a substantial impact on overall economic performance. The ISM Services PMI is anticipated to provide valuable insights into business conditions, and a reading that falls below 50 could suggest contraction in the sector. Such a scenario may trigger renewed selling pressure on the USD, potentially offering some support to the GBP/USD pair. On the other hand, if the report shows a strong uptick, it could further solidify the USD's position. In tandem with the PMI, the JOLTS Job Openings report will also be closely examined. A decline in job openings might indicate a softening labor market, adding further downward pressure on the dollar. However, a notable rise in job openings could bolster confidence in the labor market and affirm the Federal Reserve's commitment to maintaining its current monetary policy stance, providing added strength to the USD. Given the current price action and the anticipated economic data, our outlook leans toward a potential bearish continuation for the British Pound. As the market digests this key information, we are likely to see an increase in dollar strength, which would further challenge the GBP/USD pair. Traders and investors should remain vigilant in monitoring these developments, as the interplay between the pound and the dollar will be critical in shaping the currency pair's next movements. Previous Forecast: ✅ Please share your thoughts about GBP/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Short
by FOREXN1
1
GBPUSD Ultimate buy signal at the bottom of the 2year Channel UpThe GBPUSD pair brutally reversed this week's early gains and the 1W candle will most likely close in red after making a new Low. The trend has been bearish since the September 23 2024 High and has been accelerated after the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) rejection in early December. This is however the ultimate long-term buy opportunity as the price is almost at the bottom of the 2-year Channel Up. On top of that, the 1W RSI is almost on the oversold barrier (30.00), a level intact since October 2022. As long as the price is closing within the Channel Up, we see a rebound towards the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level very likely, as it happened in November 2023. Our Target is 1.2950. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
6
GBP/USD Descending Channel Dominates Bearish OutlookChart Analysis: The GBP/USD pair continues to slide within a well-established descending channel, with bearish momentum intensifying as it tests key support levels. 1️⃣ Descending Channel: The pair remains firmly within the red-shaded descending channel, reinforcing the dominant downtrend. Price is approaching the lower boundary of the channel, a critical area to watch for potential rebounds or further breakdowns. 2️⃣ Key Support Levels: Immediate support lies at 1.2290, currently being tested. Further downside could target the next key support at 1.2037 if bearish pressure persists. 3️⃣ Moving Averages: 50-day SMA (blue): Trending downward at 1.2664, reflecting short-term bearish sentiment. 200-day SMA (red): Sloping lower at 1.2804, confirming a broader bearish trend. 4️⃣ Momentum Indicators: RSI: At 32.8, nearing oversold conditions but still aligned with the downtrend. MACD: Bearish momentum remains strong, with the MACD line deeply negative and extending lower. What to Watch: A break below 1.2290 could pave the way for a decline toward 1.2037. Any corrective rallies within the channel may face resistance at the midline or upper boundary. Oversold RSI levels could signal a temporary pullback, but momentum remains bearish. GBP/USD remains under intense selling pressure as it trends lower within the descending channel. Traders should monitor key levels for potential breakout or continuation signals. -MW
by FOREXcom
Conquered 250 Pips, What's Next in the Wave? Swingers!Let's keep it simple, As Always! As of today, GBP/USD has delivered a solid 250-pip move following our analysis shared on October 9th, 2024. Our forecasted move materialized as expected, with the pair continuing its upward momentum after a brief consolidation phase. For those who took the trade, congratulations on securing some solid profits! Now, the question on everyone's mind is, what's next for GBP/USD? Let’s break down the structure and identify the potential move within the wave. Keep an eye on price action around these levels for the next wave. A pullback to 1.2300 could offer an entry for the next rally. Stay cautious and wait for confirmation before jumping in. Let's see how the market unfolds over the coming sessions. -Zak Happy Trading! 🔥
by blamezak_trades
GBPUSD, swing of the year. FOREXCOM:GBPUSD / 1D Hello Traders, welcome back to another market breakdown. FOREXCOM:GBPUSD is showing strong bearish momentum after the dollar index TVC:DXY broke above the 2 years range. However, the price is oversold for now. Hence, instead of jumping in at current levels, I recommend waiting for a pullback into the middle of the range zone for a more strategic entry. If the pullback holds and sell off confirms, the next leg higher could target: First Resistance: Immediate levels formed during prior consolidation. Second resistance: Yearly lows. Stay disciplined, wait for the market to come to you, and trade with confidence! Trade safely, Trader Leo.
Short
by BTM-LEO
7
GBP/USD Breaking Below Key SupportChart Analysis: The GBP/USD pair has extended its decline, breaking below the 1.2487 support level, with the current price at 1.2378. The bearish momentum is intensifying as the pair approaches further key levels. 1️⃣ Key Support Breakdown: The breach of 1.2487 indicates increased selling pressure. The next major support level lies near 1.2300. 2️⃣ Moving Averages: 50-day SMA (blue): Positioned at 1.2723, acting as a strong dynamic resistance. 200-day SMA (red): At 1.2810, further reinforces the bearish outlook as the price trades well below it. 3️⃣ Momentum Indicators: RSI: At 31.71, nearing oversold territory, which may result in a short-term consolidation or relief bounce. MACD: Deeply negative, confirming strong bearish momentum with no clear signs of reversal. What to Watch: Immediate downside targets: Watch for price action near 1.2300 as the next significant support level. A break below this could open the door to 1.2200. Upside potential: For any recovery, the price must reclaim 1.2487 and move above the 50-day SMA, which is currently unlikely given the bearish momentum. GBP/USD is firmly in a downtrend, with key levels breaking and indicators signaling continued selling pressure. Oversold conditions could lead to a short-term pause. -MW
by FOREXcom
GBP/USD: Anticipating Market Movements Amid Holiday TradingAs the holiday season approaches, many institutional traders are taking a break for Christmas, leading to a unique trading environment in the financial markets. Today marks the reopening of Forex markets and selected indices, but traders should anticipate lower trading volumes due to the absence of many market participants. This reduced activity often results in heightened volatility, as fewer traders can lead to larger price swings when trades are executed. Turning our attention to the GBP/USD currency pair, it opens the week with a rather narrow candle range, currently trading around the 1.2531 mark. This level underscores the bearish trend that we’ve previously discussed, suggesting a continuation of downward movement in the near term. Traders should closely watch the significant support level at 1.2500, which may come under pressure as we approach the end of the year. There is a legitimate possibility that this demand zone could be breached, particularly with the unique market conditions prevailing during the holiday period. If the 1.2500 support does fail, the next area of interest for bearish traders would likely be around 1.2400. This level represents another critical support point, which, if broken, could indicate a strong bearish impulse in the market. As we navigate through the remainder of December, it's essential for traders to be prepared for unexpected moves. Currently, we find ourselves in a cautious position, opting to hold off on any trading activity at the moment. Our strategy is to wait for the price to reach our ideal demand area around 1.2500 before considering the next trade. It’s crucial to have a clear plan in place, especially in a market characterized by low liquidity and potential volatility. Monitoring the price action closely will be key to identifying optimal entry points that align with our trading strategy. As the year draws to a close, it’s vital to remain vigilant and adaptable. The interplay between reduced market participation and potential volatility could create opportunities, but it also necessitates prudent risk management. Whether we see a bearish momentum take shape before year-end or have to wait for the new year, patience and a disciplined approach will be critical to navigating this unique trading environment. Previous Idea ✅ Please share your thoughts about GBP/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Short
by FOREXN1
1
GBP/USD: Navigating a Bearish Trend into 2025As 2024 closed, the GBP/USD currency pair finished firmly in the red, mirroring our earlier forecasts that anticipated this outcome due to the strong performance of the broad-based US Dollar (USD). Entering the new trading year, the pair has broken out of a sideways range, suggesting a readiness for a new bearish impulse as market participants react to a confluence of economic indicators and sentiment shifts. At the forefront of the upcoming economic landscape is the United States Department of Labor's release of weekly Initial Jobless Claims data. Analysts project a rise in claims to 222,000 from the previous count of 219,000, indicating a potential uptick in unemployment. A figure that surpasses market expectations could exert downward pressure on the USD, creating a short-lived window for GBP/USD to correct its bearish trajectory. Traders will closely monitor this release and its immediate impact on market sentiment. In the broader scope of the market, risk perception remains a crucial aspect for currency movements, especially for the GBP/USD pair. If Wall Street opens with strength and experiences a subsequent risk rally, the USD could weaken. Such bullish sentiment in equity markets generally encourages investors to shift away from safe-haven assets, potentially providing the GBP/USD with the momentum it needs to mount a recovery. However, as of now, our outlook remains predominantly bearish, with eyes set on the next demand area that could serve as a potential support level. Meanwhile, developments in the UK economic calendar are rather muted, particularly on a Friday that lacks any major high-tier data releases. This absence of impactful data could limit the GBP's ability to capitalize on any potential USD weakness, reinforcing the bearish bias that has characterized the pair recently. Looking ahead, there's also keen anticipation surrounding the ISM Manufacturing PMI data for December, which will be released from the US. This key economic indicator will provide insights into the health of the manufacturing sector, and a reading that deviates from expectations can significantly impact both the USD and the GBP. A stronger-than-anticipated PMI could further bolster the USD, solidifying the bearish momentum for GBP/USD. In summary, as we step into 2025, the GBP/USD pair is poised in a precarious position that reflects broader market dynamics and economic fundamentals. With the immediate focus on US jobless claims and manufacturing data, investors must be agile in their strategies. While there is potential for a recovery rally should the markets react favorably, the prevailing sentiment leans toward bearishness, and any significant barriers to recovery will likely be tested as the pair seeks support in the forthcoming sessions. As always, staying attuned to both economic indicators and risk sentiment will be vital for navigating this evolving landscape. Previous Idea: ✅ Please share your thoughts about GBP/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Short
by FOREXN1
1
GBP/USD Analysis: Pair Recovers from 7-Month LowGBP/USD Analysis: Pair Recovers from 7-Month Low The GBP/USD pair dropped below the psychological level of 1.25 today, a level last seen in early May. Over the past two days, the pair has declined by more than 1.5%, driven by central bank decisions. On one hand, the US dollar strengthened after the Federal Reserve chair's comments on Wednesday, hinting at potentially higher interest rates in 2025. On the other hand, the pound weakened on Thursday after news from the Bank of England (BoE). According to media reports: → The BoE kept the interest rate unchanged. → Market expectations for the BoE's February decision are putting additional pressure on the pound. Technical analysis of the GBP/USD chart reflects a continuation of bearish momentum, with the pair moving within a descending channel: → In mid-December, the price broke below the lower boundary of a narrowing triangle (highlighted in blue), signalling the potential resumption of the downtrend. → Around the same time, trading was concentrated near the 1.265 level. Despite repeated tests of this level, it seems that the bears took control. Looking ahead, the pair may consolidate near the channel’s median line as the year comes to a close, with this zone acting as a balance point between supply and demand. Stronger directional moves might materialise in 2025. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
2