#sp500
SP500: SELL ON OUR TARGET 3?Before take position, look at our Analysis & Setup:
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Before to take a short position, we will evaluate the context and go looking for reversal pattern on 30 ' time frame.
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FED can take SPX 500 to 1700 by doing nothing....1. SPX 500 is making new highs as expected earlier, but this is not sustainable, if Central Banks will not give a rate cut or further QE then markets will undo all the gains.
2. My Sell patterns have started to show up in the charts.
3. SPX is making third mountain in weekly charts.
4. Crude is looking to go around $40 and Below.
5. Volume is not showing any Followup Buying.
News event profit 2000% profit 20 bagger SPY 212 CALLIf you had bought the SPY 212 CALL at $.04 at the end of the day yesterday
and sold at the high so far today of $.92
you could of had a 2000% profit that's with 3 zeros
A 20 bagger in one day.
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Options involve risks and are not suitable for everyone. Option trading can be speculative in nature and carry substantial risk of loss. Only invest with risk capital.
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SPX testing resistance, Watch out for Bearish Price ActionSPX is testing strong resistance zone 2100-2112, Watch out for bearish evidence and a potential move to the downside from this major zone.
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SP500 : HS Pattern Confirmed. Target 1810 Been Watching this sell setup for long time and the right shoulder appeared in very timely manner. I believe we may see some bounce back but eventually we will see trigger to breakout neckline. We may hopefully test February 2016 lows 1810.
I believe there are lot of fundamentals in favor for this sell off and the Macros are getting battered with economic mismanagement. US might not hike IR forwarding BREXIT as reason. Coming 3-4 months we might see huge volatility due to currency wars and we just might start new recessive cycle by end of 2016.
SP500: MONEY MANAGEMENTThe waves' study, can help us to manage our position.
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SignalSwiss
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SPX500 bearish indicators on weekly chartWhile there has been some bullish sentiment regarding the 50ma crossing up above the 100ma on the daily chart this past week, on the weekly chart we see the 50 crossing setting up to cross downward over the 100.
The last time this happened was 6/23/08.
The saving grace of this chart is that it seems the price has moved up above the bearish channel it was previously in (in yellow on the chart), but not by enough to make me think it will stay there. There are some other things to consider.
Volume is diminishing (red arrow), while price is advancing upward at a rate that is unreasonable to expect to last for very long. This is an indication that buyers and sellers are diminishing (trade volume). This could be an indication that there are those waiting to sell because they are hesitant to pull the trigger until they can claim the highest profit possible, so the price action moves upward still with a smaller number of bullish investors buying despite the warning signs. Without volume to confirm the price action this is considered weak market movement, whatever the reason actually is. Investors willing to buy are trailing off despite vastly outnumbering the sellers. I believe a sell-off is inevitable. Such a spike in price begs for people to take profit at some point. No economy, especially not one that seems to have so many economists and the IMF preparing for the worst, can sustain that level of growth.
There is bearish divergence in the MACD. For those unfamiliar with the MACD indicator, it indicates bullish (convergence) and bearish (divergence) price movement. On the MACD indicator you can see the divergence setting in.
As far as what this might mean, there are three scenarios I see as probable. The pink arrow pointing downward is likely. A pullback will happen and there are three different levels I see as likely it to be stopped.
First is the the red dotted line. This is a continuance of the most optimistic trend of Obama's economy. It can be followed back along confirmation points to the lowest point of our current president's run in early March 2009. Not many people talk about this trendline as a major point of support, but there are plenty of confirmation points to allow one to regard it as such. The black arrow points to an approximate point for the pullback to end (if it does).
I placed the pink arrow indicating a more severe approximate pullback point. This blue trendline started back at that same beginning in 2009, but it only has a few confirmation points. It’s not a line that indicates a huge level of support. It would be far better if price action reversed before getting anywhere near this trendline.
The last line of support is the orange line below the blue one. There is only one other confirmation point along this line dating back to 2009 along this trendline. That is to say that this is the weakest line of support of the three.
Taking into account the fact that the price war over oil rages on, China's growth is slowing, new home sales in the US are at a 12 month low, and the IMF is forecasting a dramatic slow-down in the growth of the world economy, the situation is precarious to say the very least. The current S+P rally started on oil production freeze rumors, but persists despite oil production fact. There are fundamental and technical reasons to fear this market.