Good Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr oil - Continues to be wild. Got stopped out too many times today and wanted to hurt myself. Huge tails on daily bars above and today a 350 (5%) tick ripper. Bulls just melted through the bear trend line. Can absolutely be a bull trap and we see another giant pullback but for now I would not short it. If anything, I am...
Last week (August 06, see chart below), we made a strong bullish case on WTI Crude Oil (USOIL) and why on the 1M time-frame, the long-term target is $110.00, a symmetric approach on the 10-year Super Cycles: Today we shift back to the shorter term 1D time-frame, as the price went from $73.00 to $80.00 within a week, and we are looking for potential...
Good Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Good follow through by the bears and a clear break below the bull channel. If we continue down from here, I would be surprised. More likely is another retest from the bulls to 83/84. Selling is strong enough that we have a decent chance of 84.52 being the high of this bull trend that’s now over and we are in a...
Good Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr Bears last stand is 84 and my choppy outlook was drawn 3 or 4 weeks ago. My outlook is the same as last weeks. More sideways movement under 84 needed until bears give up or bulls strongly break above again and we will then most certainly see 86 fast and decent chance this time they get to 90 again. I lean slightly...
WTI Crude Oil shows promising bullish momentum as it consolidates above a key static support zone, indicating potential for further gains. The price action demonstrates two major bullish legs, with the current position in the middle of the second major leg, suggesting continued upward movement. Additionally, the presence of a second minor leg forming suggests...
Good Evening and I hope you are well. wti crude oil comment: Trading range at the highs but bears printing bigger bars and they broke out of the bull channel that started 2 weeks ago. Measured move down would bring us to around the breakout retest price area 78.5 / 78.8. Bulls still want to break above 82 for 83/84 and test the bear trend lines again. current...
In the past hours, OIL (WTI) experienced a sharp rise driven by news of Iran's president's death, which significantly impacted market sentiment. This surge allowed OIL to break above the bearish channel and catch the liquidity over the resistance zone, as illustrated on the chart. However, despite this upward spike, the price action suggests that OIL may continue...
Good evening and i hope you are well. wti crude oil bull case: Amazing day by the bulls. They broke strongly out of the bear flag and made the market always in long on the daily so i expect follow through to 78 or higher. bear case: Bears see this as a trading range and they want the market to form a lower high below 78. After such a strong move on the...
Overview on daily timeframe (same analysis of the previous one, with more details)
After tensions escalation i'd say that crude oil is definitely bullish at least to 84.5 $/barrel. Then we'll see.
WTI appears set tor a cheeky retracement. Volumes were falling during its leg higher from $68, and Wednesday closed with an exhaustion candle. Note the strong trading activity around $70 which indicates some bears were caught short and bulls initiated, which assumes short-covering helped fuel the rally and any retracement towards $70 could also be supported....
The American Petroleum Institute's latest report indicates a significant draw in U.S. oil inventories – a larger-than-expected decrease of 5.2 million barrels. But what does this mean for the market? This drop in inventories typically signals a tightening supply, which, in theory, should push oil prices up. However, the data also showed an increase in gasoline...
WTI Oil (USOIL) got emphatically rejected yesterday on the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) and formed another Lower High on the emerging Channel Down. The price is now approaching the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) on an additional sell signal as the 4H MACD just completed a Bearish Cross, the first since the one that started this correction at the top on August 10. As a...
For Friday, the 81.49 - 81.64 area can contain selling through the balance of the year, above which 86.15 remains a 2 - 3 week target, 102.96 attainable by the end of the year. In the more immediate vicinity, 84.14 can contain session strength, while closing above 84.15 indicates 86.15 within several days, able to contain weekly buying pressures - once tested...
For Thursday, the 81.49 - 81.66 area can contain selling through the balance of the year, above which 86.28 remains a 2 - 3 week target, 102.96 attainable by the end of the year. In the more immediate vicinity, 84.18 can contain session activity, above which 86.28 is attainable intraday and able to contain weekly buying pressures, once tested the market...
For Tuesday, the 81.49 - 81.71 area can contain selling through the balance of the year, above which 86.54 remains a 2 - 3 week target, 102.96 attainable by the end of the year. Upside Tuesday, 84.17 can contain session strength, while closing above 84.17 indicates 86.54 within several days, able to contain weekly buying pressures and the point to settle...
For Monday, the 81.49 - 81.73 area can contain selling through the balance of the year, above which 86.67 remains a 2 - 3 week target, 102.96 attainable by the end of the year. Upside Monday, 84.17 can contain session strength, while closing above 84.17 indicates 86.67 within several days, able to contain weekly buying pressures and the point to settle above for...
For Friday, the 80.50 - 81.61 long-term resistance area can contain buying through summer activity, below which 76.77 is likely by the end of next week, 62.14 attainable over the next 3-5 months. On the other hand, a weekly settlement today at or above 82.42 (1% above 81.61 – page 2) would set off a meaningful buy signal into later year, 87.27 then expected within...