Ethereum 8-Year Rising Wedge: Bearish Break Out!In previous ETH analyses I talked about this huge 8 year wedge pattern on the ETH chart. Where my initial takes were bullish, we've seen a bearish break out as of last week.
From a neutral point of view, this is 100% bad news. ETH will likely fall more and move towards the 1000$-1500$ area (yellow).
Might be a hot take, but most alts have been performing extremely poor recently and are down 60%-80% from their 2024 tops. Bitcoin is holding up relatively well, but that's because the BTC dominance increased by a factor of ~1.4x this year. Money is flowing out of alts (including ETH) and moving to stables and BTC.
What do you think? Will ETH drop more, or go back up?
1-2-3-pattern
GBP-JPY Bullish Triangle Pattern! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-JPY is trading in an
Uptrend and the pair has
Formed a bullish triangle
Pattern so IF we see a
Confirmed bullish breakout
Then a further bullish
Continuation is to be expected
Buy!
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Dop1 / Usdt BYBIT:DOP1USDT
Dop1 is currently trading at $0.003317 and is forming an inverted head and shoulders pattern, which is often interpreted as a bullish reversal signal. In this pattern, the current price is at a critical resistance zone. If the price successfully holds at this level and breaks through, the next resistance targets to watch are $0.00399 and $0.00500.
The inverted head and shoulders pattern typically suggests that after a downtrend, the price may be poised for an upward move if it confirms the pattern by surpassing the resistance levels. However, since Dop1 is described as a risky coin, it's essential to approach with caution.
**Disclaimer:** This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Investing in volatile assets like risky coins involves significant risk, and you should conduct your own research (DYOR) and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
SOL Waiting For The BEST Entry: Bullish TriangleSOL has been trading inside this triangle pattern since practically forever. I'm not calling for a bearish move here, I'm only sharing my view from where I will enter if we continue to go down.
The bottom support has been holding on 4 seperate ocassions, my assumption is that it requires a lot of power to fall through, since bulls will be buying from there.
Ideally, SOL will move back up to the top resistance, or even better break out of it.
GOLD - Big Move Pending...Gold is trading at KEY AREAS.
It is currently in a key RESISTANCE box/level with an ascending trend line supporting the bottom of the candles, which helps to present LONG opportunities.
For LONG opportunities i'd like to see XAUUSD break the key RESISTANCE LEVEL, or bounce on the ascending trend line where it would then look to retest the resistance zone.
For SHORTS i'm looking to see a strong large VOLUME rejection off the RESISTANCE zone, then a BREAK OF TREND LINE.
Ethereum: Watch This Channel!ETH has been trading inside this channel for over two years now. After the recent touch of the support, the support has solidified itself even further. Note that the support is a more clear-cut line, while the resistance is more an area.
Another touch of the bottom support would potentially be great news for the bulls, hence the signal on the chart. Seeing that we already touched it recently, we can use the wick as a clear stop level. Target placed at the top of the channel, $5000. This will create a great trade with a RR of 8.5.
Keep in mind that the support could potentially also break down. This would indicate a long-term bearish shift in trend.
Bitcoin Quick Bullish Channel Set-Up: Trade The Wave!In this analysis I want to take a look at the bullish channel that BTC has been trading in for around 3 weeks. The bottom support and top resistance are perfectly matchin price action, so my guess is that a lot of traders are looking at this set-up.
I anticipate that BTC will reverse from this point. Unless the stock markets break down, the chart is clearly suggesting a reversal.
To minimize potential losses we keep a tight stop. Target at the top resistance. When doing this we can create a decent trade with a good R/R ratio as seen on the chart.
Bitcoin Is Perfectly On Track This CycleIn this analysis I want to take a closer look at Bitcoin's current bull-cycle and compare it with the previous cycles. I count from December 2011 onwards.
As seen on the chart, the first cycle (yellow) is an outlier in both duration and growth. We will likely never experience something like that again.
The most interesting cycles to compare the current cycle to ar the second (blue) and the third (purple).
As Bitcoin matures as an asser, it will likely experience diminishing returns. In other words; lower total gains from bear bottom to bull top.
However, cycle 4 is outperforming both previous cycles at their respective times. The most logical explanation would be that we had the BTC Spot ETF this year, which caused massive bullish pressure from institutional investors. Chances are that we have to endure a couple more neutral/bearish months in order to get below the blue and purple lines before we can see any substantial growth to >100k.
All in all, this cycle is on track with the previous cycles. If it were to follow the last two, we can expect BTC to top somewhere in the last quarter of 2025.
Happy to hear your thoughts!
USB Stock Short All timeframes are massively overbought
There is a pattern on H4 and H1
This is a weekly high where there is a lot of resistance
Since it is against the trend I would normally not go for such a trade but stocks look like they need to come down so this could be a trade
tight stop loss and take profit when it hits the H4 trend as this is still very uptrend
ID Parallel Channel: Huge Risk RewardID has been trading inside a parallel channel for well over a year. The channel got confirmed after the price bounced from the lower support at the start of August.
With a stop just below the August lows and a target at 2.50 we can construct a very strong trade with a high risk-reward. Naturally, this trade assumes that the bottom is in for now.
Risky, but the potential pay-off is huge.
Technical Outlook on XAU/USD: Rising Wedge and Ascending Channel1. Daily Chart (D1)
Pattern Observed: There is a noticeable ascending channel forming. The upper boundary is marked by a series of higher highs (HH), and the lower boundary is marked by higher lows (HL).
Resistance Zone: The chart indicates a key resistance around the 2,540–2,560 level, highlighted by the upper trendline of the ascending channel.
Support Levels: Key support zones are marked around 2,267 (Weekly LQZ) and 2,353 (4HR LQZ), which coincide with significant price action in the past, potentially serving as strong support areas in case of a pullback.
Market Behavior: The market is currently testing the upper trendline resistance of the ascending channel. A rejection from this level could indicate a potential reversal or a pullback to the lower boundary of the channel.
2. 4-Hour Chart (H4)
Pattern Observed: The 4-hour chart also shows a more defined rising wedge pattern, which is typically a bearish reversal pattern when it forms in an uptrend. The price is trading near the upper resistance line of this wedge.
Liquidity Zone: An important liquidity grab/rejection area is marked around 2,476, which aligns with previous price consolidations and rejections. This area could serve as a strong inflection point where price could either rebound or break below, leading to a deeper correction.
Highs and Lows: A series of higher highs (HH) are visible, but the formation of a recent lower high (LH) could signal the start of a potential reversal if the price fails to create a new higher high above the previous peaks.
3. 1-Hour Chart (H1)
Pattern Observed: The 1-hour chart presents a more detailed look into the price action within the wedge. The price action is currently within a tightening range, reflecting indecision and possible consolidation before a breakout.
Support and Resistance: Near-term support is identified at the liquidity zone around 2,476, and the resistance aligns with the upper boundary of the wedge pattern.
Potential Setup: A bearish divergence could be developing, given the price action nearing resistance while momentum indicators (not shown here) might start to flatten or decline.
4. Multi-Time Frame Analysis
Higher Time Frame Influence: The weekly flag pattern identified on the daily chart is influencing the overall bullish bias. However, the rising wedge pattern on both the daily and 4-hour charts suggests caution as a potential bearish reversal could occur.
Key Decision Zones: If the price breaks above the upper boundary of the wedge, it would likely aim for the next resistance levels around 2,560 and possibly beyond, towards 2,600+. Conversely, a breakdown below the wedge's lower boundary could accelerate selling towards the 2,353 and 2,267 levels, where major liquidity zones reside.
5. Trading Strategy Insights
For Long Positions: Consider entries upon a confirmed breakout above the upper boundary of the ascending channel/wedge, targeting the next significant resistance levels. Utilize tight stop losses to minimize risk in case of a false breakout.
For Short Positions: Look for bearish confirmation such as rejection from the upper boundary or a breakdown below the support trendline. Potential targets would be the 4HR LQZ and the Weekly LQZ, with stops above recent highs to protect against unexpected volatility.
Conclusion:
The current price action suggests a critical juncture where the Gold Spot (XAU/USD) is at a significant resistance area. Traders should watch for a breakout or breakdown from the wedge pattern on the 4-hour and daily charts to determine the next directional move. Keep an eye on volume and momentum indicators for confirmation, as well as news events that could influence gold prices.
XAU/USD Technical Analysis: Ascending Channel with Multi-TouchThese charts depict an evolving market structure for XAU/USD (Gold Spot) and highlight significant zones and patterns across multiple timeframes.
1. Key Patterns and Channels:
Ascending Channel:
A dominant ascending channel is visible on multiple timeframes. This is a classic continuation pattern, suggesting that as long as price remains within this channel, the prevailing trend (upward) is intact.
The channel's lower boundary has been tested multiple times, reinforcing its validity as a support level.
Weekly Flag:
The “Weekly Flag” mentioned is a larger pattern that might suggest a continuation of a broader trend. Flags typically form after strong moves and consolidate before a potential continuation in the direction of the initial move.
The flag is being “correctively broken,” which hints at a potential retest of the lower boundary or a reversal if the flag fails to hold.
2. Liquidity Zones (LQZ):
15M LQZ / Reversal Zone:
This zone is near the current price and is a high-probability area for a reversal or significant price reaction. The price reacting to this level could determine the short-term direction.
1HR and 4HR LQZ:
These zones are lower and represent potential targets or areas where the price might find support if it breaks down from the current structure.
Daily and Weekly LQZ:
These are even broader zones of interest. Their distance from the current price indicates that if the price moves toward these levels, a significant trend change or a large corrective phase could be unfolding.
3. Potential Scenarios:
Bullish Continuation:
If the price holds within the ascending channel and breaks above the “corrective break” in the weekly flag, this could lead to a continuation of the upward move, targeting new highs.
Bearish Reversal:
If the price breaks below the ascending channel and breaches the 15M LQZ, it might move towards the lower liquidity zones (1HR, 4HR), indicating a deeper correction or a trend reversal.
Multi-Touch Confirmation and Advanced Pattern Recognition:
Multi-Touch Confirmation :
The chart shows multiple touches on the trendlines, especially on the ascending channel's lower boundary. These touches reinforce the trendline's validity and increase the likelihood of a significant move upon the next touch.
ADVANCED Pattern RECON:
The "corrective break" within the weekly flag and the smaller internal channels within the larger ascending channel provide a "pattern within a pattern" scenario, which often precedes significant moves.
Conclusion:
Monitor the 15M LQZ closely as it's a crucial area that could determine the short-term direction of the market. If price reacts strongly at this level, consider the implications for either a continuation (bullish scenario) or a breakdown (bearish scenario).
The REAL Bull-Market Has Yet To Come: Here's Proof!In this analysis I want to talk about the M2 Global Money Supply indicator. This indicator basically shows how much money there is in circulation and how much is being printed.
The indicator itself is not that usefull since it's just going up (more money is printed over time). However, the rate at which money is printed is more interesting, hence I slapped an RSI indicator on top of it.
As seen on the chart, the RSI of the Global M2 shows that Bitcoin tops around the time that the RSI tops. It's not accurate enough for day-trading, but at least useful for to detect long-term moves.
The RSI of the Global M2 has always topped around the 70-75 points. It's currently sitting at 60.3, so there's quite some room left to grow (last time it took almost a year to go from 60 >75).
Furthermore, we can see that the "real" bull-market or Hype Phase starts once the RSI is above 65 and continues to climb.
In short, the "real" bull-market has not started yet and BTC has much more room to grow over the next 1-2 years.
Happy to hear your thoughts on this analysis.
Weekend Technical Analysis Fiesta - Name Your Crypto!Has been too long since the last time that we had a crypto fiesta!
Short-term view:
As discussed in my last few analyses, BTC remains in a gray area. Bullish above the top yellow resistance and bearish below the bottom purple support. Stocks are breaking out bullish, so I'd expect BTC to follow.
Very choppy market.
🎉CRYPTO FIESTA🎉
Comment your favorite crypto below and I'll do my best to make an easy to understand technical analysis on it. Will be making these analyses all weekend!
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Bullish W - pattern Between 19th and 31st of July a bearish M-pattern was created, followed by massive drop.
In the recent days we see a bullish W-pattern building and once it is finished the probability for a long entry is high, with a profit target at 72K.
Additionally BTC is building the pattern after the RSI has already broken the 14 days SMA.
An additional RSI-divergence with the double bottoms of the W-pattern would be nice though.
EURGBP BUYAs we can see we have broken the trendline from the previous trend hinting at a potential trend change. We also created a higher high after breaking the previous lower high. We got a retest of our zone and now we got confirmation. Now we are looking for a TP1 and TP2 at our 1:1 and 1:2 respectively.