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Bitcoin's Best Worst-Case ScenarioPreface: BTC's long-term trend is till bullish, so most likely scenario at this point is a continuation of the trend. Still, it's important to consider different views. Bitcoin has been trading within the 70k-60k area for the better part of three months at this point. This came after making a (minor) new all-time high. This is the first all-time high that occured before the halving, so rather special. Worst-case scenario for the bulls would be that we lose the long-term uptrend. Best worst-case would be a strong reversal from the bottom support. This support has been holding for >5 years, so I'd assume that a lot of buyers will be waiting around the support. If we extrapolate history, Bitcoin should top out somewhere in Q4-2025. A move towards the support during the next few months and then a year of straight bull would fit this view. More info on how I came to Q4-2025 here: Do you think Bitcoin is going to make a new all-time high soon? New bear market? Share your thoughts.
Short
by FieryTrading
2
Bitcoin Potentially Forming An Inverse Head & Shoulders: Dump?After yesterday's sell-off I started to wonder what would happen if BTC would fall again and how the price action would look like. If BTC were to go down again I'd look for a retest of the 61k-60k area (purple dotted line). This area has proven to offer strong support, and can be a stepping stone for an inverse head & shoulders pattern. Keep in mind that BTC going down to 60k is (in my eyes) less likely than making a new all-time high soon. The pattern has yet to be confirmed. However, if we go down you are prepared.
Short
by FieryTrading
15
Altcoins Still In A Bear Market? This Indicator Says YESIn this analysis I want to take a look at an indicator that is not often mentioned, but can say a lot of interesting things about the current state of the market. Note: we only have a population of 2 (N=2) to look at and deduce information from, so take it with a grain of salt. The indicator in question is the value of TOTAL3 (total crypto marketcap minus ETH and BTC) divided by the price of Bitcoin (BTCUSD). This indicator measures the strength of altcoins compared to BTC. In other terms: Indicator goes up = altcoins outperforming BTC, often during altseasons. Indicator goes down: BTC outperforming alts, often during bear markets. In the last 6 years there have been 2 strong alt seasons, which occured at a later stage during the Bitcoin bull-market. The indicator touched the bottom support and shot all the way up towards the top resistance. This caused a massive bull-run in alts, where many did a 10x or more in a matter of weeks. Looking at the past, it seems that there's still more value to be lost in alts relative to Bitcoin. Assuming we have to touch the bottom support, of course. Furthermore, nothing about this chart suggests that altcoins are a good investment at the moment. They're only losing more value against BTC, even during the latest move from 30k > 70k. For now, I'd put an alarm around the bottom support. Once the indicator touches that area it's historically an AMAZING time to switch your Bitcoin to alts. Happy to hear your thoughts!
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3Short
by FieryTrading
10
RNDR - A long term trade opportunityBINANCE:RNDRUSDT (1D CHART) Technical Analysis Update RNDR is currently trading at $9.39 and showing overall bullish sentiment. Price has broken out from resistance multiple times and now it has hit the support again and bounced back from the support line. This is showing overall bullish momentum and we have a good long term trade opportunity here. Entry level: $ 9.43 Stop Loss Level: $ 6.55 TakeProfit 1: $ 10.7598 TakeProfit 2: $ 12.3494 TakeProfit 3: $ 15.6090 TakeProfit 4: $ 19.4590 TakeProfit 5: $ 27.9267 TakeProfit 6: $ 35.9265 Max Leverage: 5x Position Size: 1% of capital Don't forget to keep stop loss. Follow Our TradingView Account for More Technical Analysis Updates, | Like, Share and Comment Your thoughts. Cheers GreenCrypto
RLong
by GreenCryptoTrades
Bitcoin On-Chain: Is The Cycle Over Already?In this analysis I want to discuss a (most likely) unpopular view on the market. Namely, that the "cycle" is already over and that the peak is in for now. Preface This is not my most likely outcome for the markets. You can find my most likely outcome below: Still, it's always advised to keep an open mind and explore different potential outcomes. Overview When we look at the last 7-8 years of Bitcoin's newly created addresses we can see that this value follows a clear boom-and-bust pattern. It peaks (green) during mania when everyone wants to step into the market and it declines after the market has topped (red). For the people who are wondering about the November 2021 peak: on-chain data peaked in Q1-2021. What this chart suggests is that the "mania" phase of the market cycle is over and that the top is either in or very close. Once the mania phase is over, crazy gains are more rare and trading is more difficult. I'm interested to hear your thoughts on this idea. Like I said, it's not my most likely outcome, but it's possible that we've topped after the ETF mania.
BShort
by FieryTrading
35
AXSIt seems that according to the maintenance of the upward trend line (we do not have a LL on the price chart), if the resistance range of $8.7 is completely consumed; The probability of the continuation of the upward trend similar to the scenario is high. If this specified resistance area is not completely consumed, we expect a downward trend and the bullish scenario is invalid. At the moment, we do not have a signal for a bearish trend on the price chart. On the other hand, a relatively attractive candlestick pattern tangential to the upward trend line has been formed for us. What do you think?
Long
by BiTBingo
4
AUDCHF - Wait For The Next Impulse!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈 AUDCHF has been overall bullish, trading within the rising wedge in blue. Currently, AUDCHF is undergoing a correction phase and it is currently approaching the lower bound of the wedge. Moreover, it is retesting strong support zone marked in green. 🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for trend-following buy setups as it is the intersection of the green support zone and lower blue trendline acting as a non-horizontal support. 📚 As per my trading style: As #AUDCHF approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
by TheSignalyst
3
Bitcoin's LAST Hurdle: Short-Squeezing To New Highs!Bitcoin has shown that it's ready for a new all-time high by printing relatively big green candles over the last 3 days. However, the 73k-74k area remains an area of big resistance. Previous buyers are looking for an exit, whilst patient bears wait for the perfect short. My best guess is that Bitcoin is going to trade around the purple area for a couple of days, flushing out over-leveraged bulls and bears. However, the break out that will follow will likely be violent. With all the short-stops lying above the current all-time high, it's more than likely that the new all-time high break out will take us multiple percentages above the current ATH. I'm personally aiming at 80k within the first 1-2 days, potentially even 90k in the first week after the break out. Be patient and dont trade small fake-outs.
Long
by FieryTrading
PEPE - Breakout or Fakeout ? $BINANCE:1000PEPE (1D CHART) Technical Analysis Update PEPE is currently trading at $0.0081162 and showing overall bullish sentiment after the breakout, if this breakout hold then we have good chance a price pumping. If this is a fakeout then the price can break the support zone and fall more. Overall we are looking at solid breakout with potential a for a good long trade. Entry level: $ 0.0081479 Stop Loss Level: $ 0.0074780 TakeProfit 1: $ 0.0096355 TakeProfit 2: $ 0.0119873 TakeProfit 3: $ 0.0158114 TakeProfit 4: $ 0.0210186 Max Leverage: 3x Position Size: 1% of capital Don't forget to keep stop loss. Follow Our TradingView Account for More Technical Analysis Updates, | Like, Share and Comment Your thoughts. Cheers GreenCrypto
Long
by GreenCryptoTrades
GJ Rising Wedge Break!Here I have GBP/JPY on the 1 HR chart! Price has been following what looks to be a Rising Resistance and Rising Support forming a RISING WEDGE!! Early this morning on disappointment of GBP strength, we seen price BREAK BEARISH strongly on the pattern!! I believe price is now retracing to the Rising Support of the Wedge to test as a VALID BREAK for confirmation that price will CONTINUE DOWN!! *Currently waiting on the Re-Test of the Rising Support Break! Upon VALIDITY, I will be looking to SELL!
Short
by Novi_Fibonacci
2
HelenP. I Gold can break trend line and continue fall to $2290Hi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. A not long time ago price little declined and then made impulse up higher than the resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone, but soon turned around and declined below this level, making a fake breakout. Then Gold reached the 2400 resistance level again, but at once rebounded and fell to the support zone, which coincided with the 2310 support level, and then rebounded and tried to grow. Price failed and in a short time declined lower the 2310 level, breaking it and later even reaching the trend line, after which rebounded up and broke the 2310 support level one more time. The Gold made a strong impulse up, an even higher resistance level to 2450 points, but soon turned around and started to decline. In a short time price fell to the trend line, thereby breaking the 2400 level again and now it continues to trades near this line. For my mind, XAUUSD will make a small move up and then rebound down to 2290 points, thereby breaking the trend line and also the support level. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FirstNameHelen
3
ONE - Looking like a moon trade #ONE/USDT #Analysis Description --------------------------------------------------------------- + The price has reached the broadening wedge pattern and is currently trading within the support zone. + I anticipate this support holding and the price rebounding from this zone. (However, if this support fails, our trade is invalidated.) + I'm initiating a short position at this point and will consider adding more once the rebound is confirmed. --------------------------------------------------------------- VectorAlgo Trade Details ------------------------------ Entry Price: 0.01983 Stop Loss: 0.01595 ------------------------------ Target 1: 0.02251 Target 2: 0.02560 Target 3: 0.03124 Target 4: 0.03931 ------------------------------ Timeframe: 1D Capital Risk: 1-2% of trading amount Leverage: 5-10x --------------------------------------------------------------- Enhance, Trade, Grow --------------------------------------------------------------- Feel free to share your thoughts and insights. Don't forget to like and follow us for more trading ideas and discussions. Best Regards, VectorAlgo
Long
by VectorAlgo