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BTCUSD 19.05.2025 Bitcoin Navigator: BTC Update (May 2025)So the offline tournament is over, I took third place, and I just got back into work mode In my previous publication ( link ), I outlined possible scenarios for Bitcoin’s price action, leaning towards a correction from around the $98-101k zone down to approximately $88k. However, the current market situation demonstrates the most optimistic scenario (highlighted in yellow on the chart). At the moment, we're seeing Bitcoin consolidating within a clear range, likely preparing for an upward breakout without a significant correction. This scenario is certainly the most bullish one, yet my inherent skepticism doesn't exclude the possibility of a correction before we reach a new all-time high (ATH). 📌 Key points in the current market situation: The main question now is not whether we'll achieve a new ATH (as this seems almost inevitable) but rather how we'll get there. Two scenarios are on the table: a smooth upward trajectory without substantial corrections, or an initial correction followed by a strong breakout. 🔖 Profit Maximization Strategy: Many traders are shifting their attention towards altcoins, tempted by potentially greater returns. However, it's crucial to remember that higher upside potential also means significantly higher risks (low liquidity, increased manipulation, higher volatility). I have already chosen the tokens that I am interested in for long time Also now a new narrative has appeared, Internet Capital Markets (ICM) tokens. If you are interested, write in the comments "interesting ICM" Best regards EXCAVO
Long
by EXCAVO
54
Bitcoin: Top Altcoins Choice —Your Pick (Session 7)We've identified Bitcoin's strongest support in this current cycle thanks to some long-term numbers I extracted when calculating the size of the 2021-2022 bear market. These numbers have been working great on a long-term basis so we can continue to use them moving forward. You could extract these numbers right on November 21 2022 and see how good they have been working: — The August 2024 low matched perfectly the 0.618 Fib. on the chart. — The new All-Time High, final resistance and now support matches perfectly the 1.618 Fib. level on this chart. — Bitcoin's next strong resistance zone sits at 2.618 Fib. or $155,601.73. If you really need an intermediary level before 155K, you can consider $137,000. This is another relevant resistance. — We know now for certain that the strongest support ever for this moment now is $102,000. As long as Bitcoin trades above this level, ultra-bullish confirmed. Wow, if it moves and closes below. Top Altcoins Choice —Your Pick (S7) This time, let's do it differently. I only need your choices to find some interesting pairs, to look at something different. Go to the comments section and share ALL your favorite Altcoins. Can be the ones you like most, the ones you trade, the ones you hate, the ones you love, the ones you see with huge potential or the ones you want me to look at for any purpose. I will pick and choose and publish in my profile those that look good. I will also reply in the comments with an analysis if I reach my publishing limit for the day. I need your support. Which one is your TOP ALTCOIN CHOICE? (TAC!)... Comment below! Namaste.
Long
by MasterAnanda
31
BTC - Will BTC revisit $102k or is a pump imminent?Bitcoin (BTC) has been in a consolidation phase for an extended period, marked by a lack of strong directional momentum and characterized by ranging price action. This type of market environment often leads to both liquidity grabs and choppy movement, and traders need to remain especially vigilant about key levels and structure shifts. Liquidity grab Yesterday, BTC managed to sweep the recent highs, grabbing liquidity above a short-term resistance zone before reversing and moving lower. This move appears to have been a classic stop-hunt or liquidity sweep, which was followed by a strong rejection. As price moved down from those highs, it left behind an unfilled gap on the 15-minute chart, what many refer to as a Fair Value Gap (FVG). This gap now acts as a magnet for price and is a key area to watch as we approach it again. Market structure On the 1-hour timeframe, BTC has now printed a lower low, suggesting a short-term shift in market structure to the downside. This structural break opens up the possibility for a lower high to form, setting up a classic trend continuation scenario. From a technical standpoint, the expectation would be for BTC to now create a lower high and then push lower, potentially targeting the range lows from yesterday and today. This provides an opportunity for a short setup with a favorable risk-to-reward (RR) ratio, estimated to be around 3:1, if the entry and stop are managed around the key resistance and structural levels. Fibonaccy that aligns with the FVG Currently, BTC is sitting at the Golden Pocket, the region between the 0.618 and 0.65 Fibonacci retracement levels. This area often serves as a reaction zone for price, and we are seeing some hesitation here. Interestingly, this Golden Pocket sits just below the aforementioned 15-minute FVG, and price appears to be gravitating toward this inefficiency, potentially looking to fill it before making a more decisive move. What adds to the confluence at this level is the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement, which aligns almost perfectly with the top boundary of the Fair Value Gap. While many traders look to enter short positions at the 50% mark of the FVG, this added confluence makes the 0.786 + FVG top zone a more compelling entry point. This would allow for a tighter stop just above the gap or structure high, and thus improves the risk-to-reward ratio slightly compared to a more conservative FVG entry. Conclusion In summary, the plan would be to wait for BTC to either fill the FVG and reach the 0.786 level or show strong rejection signs there. A rejection from this zone would confirm the lower high thesis and offer a solid short setup aiming for a move back to the range low. With the current setup, market structure, and confluence levels lining up, this trade idea presents a tactical opportunity with clear invalidation and high RR potential.
Short
by Youriverse
31
HelenP. I Bitcoin can drop to $99500, breaking support levelHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. Price is currently testing a crucial area where multiple technical factors converge. After an extended period of consolidation between 101500 and 105100 points, the price failed to break the upper boundary and instead reversed, showing increased bearish momentum. The recent move has brought BTC right to the lower edge of the consolidation range, which aligns with the ascending trend line, a level that has held multiple times before. This time, however, the setup looks weaker. Price pierced through the trend line slightly, and while there was an initial reaction from buyers, the overall structure suggests a loss of bullish strength. The market has been forming lower highs, and this recent failure to hold above the trend line could be a signal that sellers are beginning to dominate. Given this context, I expect that BTCUSDT will soon break decisively below the ascending trend line and move through the 101500 - 100800 support zone. If this zone is lost, the next logical target lies at the 99500 level, which aligns with the broader structure and the base of a previous impulse. My outlook remains bearish for now, with 99500 as the next key objective. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Short
by FirstNameHelen
10
BITCOIN This Cycle's peak zone is $150k - $200k.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is extending its gains week after week since the April 07 bottom on the 1W MA50, which as we've analyzed extensively its a new Higher Low launchpad for the new (current) Bullish Leg, the way it's been consistently doing on the Higher Lows trend-line since the start of this Bull Cycle. It's in fact the very same Higher Lows trend-line it had during both previous Cycles, which ended up peaking on the Logarithmic Growth Curve's (LGC) top 2 zones (red), breaking also above the 2 SD above band (orange) of the Mayer Multiple Bands (MMB). This time the price has 'only' broken above the 1 SD MMB (grey), while having breached into just the lower pink LGC zone. This highlights the theory of Diminishing Returns but at the same time also shows the strong upside potential of the market while subject to these conditions. So assuming it won't hit by the end of this Cycle the 2 SD MMB nor the top 2 zones of the LGC, the bad case scenario seems to be topping the lower pink LGC zone and the good case scenario topping the upper pink LGC zone. Those two give a profit taking range of 150 - 200k respectively and based on the Sine Waves, we should peak around October 2025. Is that your profit taking zone as well for this Cycle? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
5
Bitcoin vs Resistance Zones | Fake Breakdown Below the Channel!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) has been moving up and down with high momentum over the past 24 hours and finally fell below the lower line of the ascending channel . Is this break of the lower line of the ascending channel valid? Bitcoin is trading near the Resistance zone($105,100-$104,140) , Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($104,478-$103,941) . Since the volume of breaking of the lower line of the ascending channel is NOT high, the probability of a fake break is very high (in my opinion). In terms of Elliott Wave theory , the structure of the main wave 4 seems to be an Expanding Flat(ABC/3-3-5) . The main wave 5 could lead to the formation of a new All-Time High(ATH ). One of the reasons why I think we saw a Fake Break below the lower line of the ascending channel is that I think the S&P500 Index ( SP:SPX ) will trend upward , and given the high correlation between Bitcoin and S&P500 Index these days, we can expect Bitcoin to increase . I expect Bitcoin to start rising again AFTER breaking the Resistance zone($105,100-$104,140) and touch the targets I have indicated on the chart. Note: If Bitcoin touches $101,800, we can expect more dumps. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
10
Bitcoin can continue grow in channel, after small correctionHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. In this chart, we can see how the price remains inside a clear upward channel, respecting both support and resistance boundaries. After breaking above the 93400 - 92400 support area, the price continued to grow and formed a new support zone between 101700 - 102700 points. This area has been tested several times, showing strong buyer interest and keeping the bullish structure intact. Right now, BTC is hovering just above this support area. A minor correction down to this zone would be healthy and could provide fuel for the next upward leg. The market structure shows higher highs and higher lows, typical of a stable channel-driven trend. As long as the price stays above 101700 points, I expect it to move toward the upper channel boundary. That’s why my current target is set at 109000 points, which is the next key resistance and the top of the channel. This move would align with the current trend and follow the previous impulse-retracement pattern we’ve seen throughout this structure. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Long
by LegionQ8
10
Altcoins: Bitcoin Daily Turns Bullish, New All-Time High But...New All-Time High but how high? How high is Bitcoin set to move in this breakout as a the new All-Time High? How high is Bitcoin set to continue in May that still has 12 days left and what about June and July 2025? What happens after June-July 2025 and what happens in late 2025? What's the map? How high comments section below—yes?! Bitcoin is now challenging the "final resistance." This is truly the final resistance because we are in the 2025 bull market. There are many things happening around this final resistance. For example, the Altcoins market. The Altcoins market goes bullish when Bitcoin grows above 100K yes? Yes it did/does and has been growing for an entire month many pairs are up 70% to 100% some are up 400% and this is only the start but, think of this... What happens when Bitcoin hits a new All-Time High? For Bitcoin this isn't much, the ATH is at $109,588 and a new All-Time High is $110,000 but what about the Altcoin? Magic! When Bitcoin hits a new ATH it goes on all media all screens and nobody can deny it is happening because it is happening and the market is full green. This creates boom, interest and many people trade only when resistance breaks. The Altcoins will boom growing 2-3 levels up within days. The bottom forever gone massive profits, lives changing and this is only the start. The first level of importance as Bitcoin moves in price discovery eventuality and territory and market conditions—change, grow, win—sits around $120,000 and $130,000. This is the level to watch for. Some people are saying a massive correction at this point more like a normal correction or maybe nothing for a few reasons that I will explain below. The next range is $150,000 and $160,000 and here is the thing. If Bitcoin is going to $180,000-$220,000, then the correction cannot happen at 120/130K. It needs to happen on the second level around 150/160K, do you understand? If the strong mid bull market correction happens at $120,000-$130,000 this is bad news because the final market cycle top gets lowered. If it happens later we have $180,000, $200,000, $220,000 or more. And this is the interesting part and what we want. We are still in May month #5 and the minimum we can expect growth is until November month #11 which gives us 6 months. 6 months of straight up is a very long time. With a 2-3 months correction now it isn't that long. These are the things that we need to consider but aim high because Bitcoin will always surprise. Minimum, you can aim for $180,000 as the cycle top—minimum. Go higher leave a comment and with the excitement, euphoria and the first time since 2021 seeing so much growth, institutional adoption, Trump, Saylor, El Salvador think $220,000 can you see how that works? Comment below. Things are bright for Cryptocurrency holders know why now think in this way. Your life can change forever if you take the right action following the right steps in the next 6 months. Imagine a lifetime of profits secured in this bull market bull run. The choice is yours. It can happen of course, it has happened many times and will continue to happen but we have to be smart. It is happening now but we are early this time we have experience and we know exactly what will happen. It is not a question of if but when. When? In late 2025. Thank you for reading. Your comments show your continued support and helps activate the bots to do the same. Show them some love! Namaste.
Long
by MasterAnanda
40
EURAUD BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISEURAUD is currently presenting a textbook bullish setup with a well-defined falling wedge formation on the daily chart. After a strong impulsive rally in April, price has been consolidating within this wedge, forming consistent lower highs and lower lows—typical of a corrective pattern. Now, with price testing the upper trendline of the wedge, we are positioned for a potential breakout, supported by increasing bullish momentum and clean structure. With the current price around 1.75, the next leg higher toward the 1.85 resistance zone is well on the radar. From a fundamental perspective, the euro is gaining strength on the back of improving Eurozone macro data, with recent PMI figures showing resilience and inflation staying moderately sticky—making the ECB cautious about aggressive rate cuts. Meanwhile, the Australian dollar continues to face headwinds amid declining commodity prices and weakening consumer sentiment. The Reserve Bank of Australia remains relatively dovish, especially as wage growth plateaus and inflation expectations cool. This EURAUD divergence sets the stage for a broader move in favor of the euro. Technically, the breakout from this wedge structure would signify the continuation of the prior bullish trend, and given the size of the previous impulsive move, a breakout target of 1.85 is both conservative and well-aligned with market structure. The bullish divergence forming on oscillators such as RSI and MACD also confirms the slowing momentum in the downward move. A clean break and close above 1.7550 would be the trigger point for long positions, with invalidation below 1.7220. This is a high-probability breakout setup with strong confluence across technical and fundamental indicators. With euro strength coming into play and AUD fundamentals remaining weak, I’m favoring the long side here. A move toward 1.85 is well-supported, and a break above the wedge could trigger significant upside in the coming sessions. This is a setup worth watching closely.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
2
BTC at a Critical Crossroad – Red Channel is the Last Standhello guys! let's review what happened in btc and what could happen! 📉 1. Blue Ascending Channel Broken: Bitcoin has decisively broken below the blue ascending channel, signaling a shift in momentum from bullish to neutral/bearish. 🟥 2. Red Channel Holding as Support (For Now): Despite the drop, the red ascending channel is still intact and currently acting as support. Price is consolidating right at its lower boundary. ⚠️ 3. If Red Channel Breaks – Expect Strong Downward Move: A confirmed breakdown below the red channel would likely trigger a significant bearish move, potentially pushing BTC towards the GETTEX:97K - $96K support zone and possibly lower. 🧭 Conclusion: We’re at a decision point. If bulls fail to hold the red channel, it could open the door to deeper correction.
by melikatrader94
5
BTCUSDT - Smart InvestorPrudent investors observing BTCUSDT will note the blue box I have highlighted on the chart. It represents a particular juncture where, should market action decisively penetrate this upper boundary, we might witness a rather substantial appreciation in price. Retracement will be lower but I think risk reward is very good. Now, the intelligent investor does not engage in speculation based merely on lines drawn on a chart. However, such zones can serve as important indicators of potential shifts in market sentiment and buying pressure. A breakout above this defined area, accompanied by what one might term 'significant volume' a confirmation of genuine interest and not mere fleeting enthusiasm would suggest a possible continuation of an upward trend. It is crucial, of course, to await confirmation. A breach of this resistance level that is not sustained, a 'false breakout' as some call it, can be a trap for the unwary. Therefore, diligent observation of subsequent price action, particularly on shorter timeframes, is warranted. A successful retest of the broken resistance as a new level of support would lend further credence to the bullish thesis. One should also consider the underlying fundamentals, to the extent that such a nascent asset class allows. However, in the realm of technical analysis, these zones of potential breakout offer a visual representation of where supply may be overcome by demand. Therefore, should BTCUSDT indeed break through this blue box with conviction, it would suggest a potential for a robust upward movement. But remember, the intelligent approach is one of caution and confirmation, not impulsive action. We observe, we analyze, and we act only when the evidence supports a calculated move.
Long
by UmutTrades
1
$SPY Daily Chart Taz Plan - May 2025 into June-July Breakdown📉 SPY Daily Chart Trading Plan — May 2025 Thesis: Price has returned to the exact level ($594.20) where the February impulse breakdown began. This zone is acting as a Lower High rejection within a broader bearish structure. A clean rejection here opens the door to multiple inefficiency fills below. 🔍 Structure Breakdown: Feb High (ATH): $613.23 Feb Open: $592.67 Feb Close (last green candle before impulse): $594.20 Current Price: $594.20 Marked LH: $592.50 This is a rally back into rejection, not strength. 📉 Key Zones & Gaps: 🔺 Gap Supply: $566.48 – $578.50 🔺 Wick Gap: $558 – $566 → Needs a full-body candle to initiate fill 🟥 FVG (4/22): $528 – $541.52 🧱 Major Support: $481.80 🧠 Trade Plan: Short Entry 1 (Confirmation-Based): 🔻 Red candle rejection under $592.50 = starter short 🔻 Watch RSI and MACD for momentum fade Short Entry 2 (Gap Breach): 🔻 If $578 is broken and retested → scale in 🔻 Gap fill expected quickly once triggered Short Entry 3 (Wick Gap): 🔻 Body close through $558 = last add 🔻 Sets up for final flush to FVG 🎯 Targets: $578.50 → $566.48 (Gap Fill) $558 → $541.52 (Wick Gap & FVG Top) $528 – $530 (FVG Close) $481.80 (Long-Term Panic Target) ❌ Invalidation: Daily close > $595.50 = Pause thesis Weekly close > $600 = Structural shift, short squeeze zone 🧠 Final Thoughts: This isn’t just a gap fill play — it’s a structural fade from a lower high back into memory. The Feb impulse wave left behind layers of inefficiency, and price just tapped the origin of the breakdown. Momentum is peaking. If this is a trap, the downside should begin immediately. Let the chart prove it.
AMEX:SPYShort
by TazmanianTrader
3
Hanzo / Btc 15m Path ( Confirmed Breakout Zones )🔥 BTC – 15 Min Scalping Analysis (Bearish Setup) Bias: Waiting For Break Out Time Frame: 15 Min Entry Type: Confirmed Entry After Break Out 👌Bullish After Break Out : 105770 👌Bearish After Break Out : 105140 ☄️ Hanzo Protocol: Dual-Direction Entry Intel ➕ Zone Activated: Strategic Reaction from Refined Liquidity Layer 🩸 Momentum Signature Detected: Displacement candle confirms directional intent — AI pattern scan active. — If upward: Bullish momentum burst. — If downward: Aggressive bearish rejection.
Short
by Path_Of_Hanzo
BITCOIN → Consolidation in a triangle amid a BULLISH TRENDBINANCE:BTCUSDT is consolidating. A symmetrical triangle is forming against the backdrop of a bullish trend. Given the current technical nuances, we can bet that this consolidation is forming with the aim of continuing growth... Fundamental nuances have gradually improved over the past few weeks, and the cryptocurrency market has revived slightly. Technically, I like the market structure on D1. After strong growth, the price is not going to fall, consolidation is forming. The market is bullish, after 2-3 weeks of consolidation, a bullish distribution is forming. The cycle has repeated itself twice. On D1, you can see how long tails are forming downward within the consolidation, indicating that whales are buying up all attempts to fall, keeping the market away from risk zones. Accordingly, at the moment, I would say that consolidation may continue for some time, and I do not rule out an attempt to retest the triangle support before growth, or entry into a deeper zone to retest the distant liquidity zones of 101400 and 100700 before continuing growth. Resistance levels: 103.6, 104.4, 105.0 Support levels: 102.5, 101.4, 100.6 A decline can be considered if the price breaks the triangle support and sticks to 101400, forming a pre-breakdown consolidation (if there is no upward rebound). However, at the moment, intraday trading can be considered, i.e., from the consolidation boundaries. A signal to exit the consolidation upwards and continue growth will be consolidation between 103.5 and 105.0 and compression towards the upper boundary. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
21
PENDLEUSDT → Resistance retest. One step away from distributionBINANCE:PENDLEUSDT is preparing for distribution after a prolonged consolidation. The price is testing a key resistance level, which, if broken, will trigger a rally... The coin is breaking through the flat resistance and consolidating above the upper border of the range. The key level is 4.400. If the bulls hold their ground above this level, the growth may continue. Bitcoin is showing bullish dynamics, which supports the altcoin market. The bullish trend may continue in altcoins as well. Pendle may move from consolidation to distribution. Resistance levels: 4.32, 4.400 Support levels: 4.024, 3.622 If the coin manages to consolidate above the key resistance level, thereby confirming the breakout, the price may move to aggressive growth. In this case, the target could be 4.800. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
2
BITCOIN forming 1st 1D Golden Cross in 7 months! New ATH ahead??Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is about to form its first Golden Cross on the 1D time-frame in 7 months (since October 27 2024). This comes with the price very close to its $109k All Time High (ATH), following a relentless rebound and recovery from the Trade War correction. Within the Bull Cycle's 2.5-year Channel Up, all 1D Golden Crosses have delivered higher prices instantly and the minimum % rise one has given before a new 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) pull-back, has been +33.11%. This gives us an immediate Target of $135000 and is very much in line with a number of previous projections that the date show within this Target Region. Notice also how on all 3 last 1D Golden Crosses, a 1W MACD Bullish Cross precedes it. Basically that is the double confirmation of the medium-term bullish extension. So do you think this 1D Golden Cross is such a strong buy signal and if yes, is $135k the bare minimum Target short-term? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
1
History Repeats: Bitcoin Bounces from Weekly 50 EMA-$150K Next!!MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN continues to show exceptional strength and bullish momentum. If we look back at the charts from 2023 and 2024, a clear pattern emerges — every time BINANCE:BTCUSDT touched the 50 EMA on the weekly chart, it led to a significant rally and eventually new all-time highs. That same setup seems to be unfolding again right now. Recently, COINBASE:BTCUSD tested the 50 EMA around the $75,000 level and has since bounced strongly. The price has reclaimed the $100,000 mark and is now challenging previous all-time high resistance. Historically, after a successful bounce from this key moving average, Bitcoin hasn’t just recovered — it’s exploded to new highs. Based on this repeating pattern, our current cycle target is set at $150,000. A clean breakout above the current resistance zone could be the catalyst that propels BYBIT:BTCUSDT Bitcoin into uncharted territory once again. The structure remains bullish, momentum is building, and the trend clearly favors the upside. This is a classic “Buy and HODL” moment. The technicals are aligning, the market psychology is shifting, and all signs point toward a continued bull run. Buckle up — it looks like we’re in for another legendary Bitcoin rally.
Long
by GreenCryptoTrades
Check support near 104984.57 Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- (BTCUSDT 1D chart) OBV indicator is showing signs of rising above High Line. Therefore, the candle body color has changed to dark green (#00332a). Therefore, the key is whether it can be supported near StochRSI 80 (104984.57) and rise above 10613.74. If it falls, 1st: 104463.99 2nd: 102302.08 You should check whether it is supported near the 1st and 2nd above. - If it is supported near 104984.57, it is likely to rise, but since the volatility period continues until May 20 (up to May 28), it is recommended to check whether it is supported. Therefore, the point of observation is whether the price can be maintained above 102302.08 even after the volatility period. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful trade. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​Explanation of the big picture. I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC. I rewrote it to update the previous chart by touching the Fibonacci ratio range of 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10). (Previous BTCUSD 12M chart) Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015. In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year upward trend and faces a 1-year downward trend. Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025. - (Current BTCUSD 12M chart) Based on the currently written Fibonacci ratio, it is displayed up to 3.618 (178910.15). It is expected that it will not fall again below the Fibonacci ratio of 0.618 (44234.54). (BTCUSDT 12M chart) Based on the BTCUSDT chart, I think it is around 42283.58. - I will explain it again with the BTCUSD chart. The Fibonacci ratio ranges marked in the green boxes, 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10) and 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83), are expected to be important support and resistance ranges. In other words, it seems likely that they will act as volume profile ranges. Therefore, in order to break through these ranges upward, I think the point to watch is whether they can receive support and rise near the Fibonacci ratios of 1.618 (89126.41) and 2.618 (134018.28). Therefore, the maximum rising range in 2025 is expected to be the 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83) range. In order to do that, we need to see if it is supported and rises near 2.618 (134018.28). If it falls after the bull market in 2025, we don't know how far it will fall, but based on the previous decline, we expect it to fall by about -60% to -70%. Therefore, if it starts to fall near the Fibonacci ratio 3.14 (157451.83), it seems likely that it will fall to around Fibonacci 0.618 (44234.54). I will explain more details when the bear market starts. ------------------------------------------------------
by readCrypto
Bitcoin Hourly Analysis (2H)Given Bitcoin's rapid movement near previous highs, along with quick pump-and-dump action and liquidity grabs, it's expected that the liquidity pool below the price will be swept, collecting orders from the green zone, and then price may reverse back to the upside. A 4-Hour candle closing below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management Comment if you have any questions Thank You
by behdark
Bitcoin: 106K Breakout To 113K Resistance.Bitcoin is attempting to break out of a minor consolidation which is a typical momentum continuation pattern. The updated wave count illustrates the potential (113K area) IF this breakout follows through over the coming week. While the structure is clearly bullish, I suspect this is a 5th of a 5th wave relative to the wave structure dating back to the 2017 peak (weekly chart). For traders this offers plenty of opportunities particularly on the long side, BUT for investors this means the higher it goes, the GREATER the risk. In other words, a break out to new highs should be considered an opportunity to take profits or reduce risk. Wave 5's typically appear to be the "best" time to get involved in a market, but offer the LEAST potential and the greatest risk. I was not able to write my analysis over the previous week because I was hosting the ICTC 2025 (link in signature). My analysis the week before that was still bullish but I was anticipating a broader retrace which never materialized. Again the key in this game is ADJUSTING, not getting stuck on opinions. IF the 106K is compromised, and the daily candle closes strong, the breakout is more likely to follow through. This can lead price back to the 109K all time high. Since Wave 5's typically go higher than the Wave 3 peak, the next price objective is the 113K area which is proportional to Wave 1 on this impulse (similar length) when projected from the consolidation breakout (see illustration). It is possible that Wave 5 can extend further, because the broader price structure is bullish. The mistake to avoid is thinking "it's just getting started". The further it goes, the greater the risk. Longer term investors are MOST vulnerable in situations like this because they are more likely to follow the "hype" that surrounds such moves while be completely ignorant to the shrinking shorter term potential. Wave 5's often characterize the idea that the majority of participants who were going to buy have bought, which means there will be much less potential demand in the near future. This concept is NOT to be confused with long term fundamentals which often don't change. What changes is the sentiment and sentiment is what motivates price. The recent corrective move to the 76K low also illustrates this phenomenon. Fundamentally there was no reason for price to be pushing such lows. Such a move was provoked by the "perceived" risks brought on by the tariff drama which we know now was nothing more than a knee jerk reaction and an enormous buying opportunity for those who have the ability to see through the hype (read my analysis of that time). In my opinion the best way to navigate this market is on smaller time frames. Anywhere from 1 minute to 4H offers more precise price references to mitigate risk from. Another consideration is if you plan to trade the broader time frame, use smaller than usual sizing if you plan to dollar cost average into higher prices. The trend is clearly BULLISH which means support levels are more likely to hold while resistances are likely to break. Expect more from longs and LESS from shorts. Short setups, while tempting are going to be lower probability. This should only be done by more experienced traders who understand how to manage the elevated risk. This is the mindset I will maintain UNTIL the market proves otherwise. Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by MarcPMarkets
12