Bitcoin Elliott Wave possibilities. If you find this information inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow! Any questions or comments, please leave a comment!
The move from
69.5k looks 3 wave.
Ideal for Short-term bulls.
BUT, a single complete Zig Zag does not necessarily mean the correction is complete. Context could help.
Here are some possibilities I am considering if it is not complete atm.
Trade Safe,
Trade Clarity.
1-BTC
ATCryptoScan : BTSUSD at that time againLooking back at the BTCUSD weekly charts, there appears to be similar, if not the same, technical conditions before the start of a massive BTCUSD rally.
Marked out by time lines, the Green lines are the most similar to current (yellow), and the orange has only a differing VolDiv. All are breakout points and appears to be great accumulation start points for the next year or two.
Just weeks ago, a similar technical set up was made, and today is a couple of weeks after...
Clear correlation here, so we know what the most probable for the next year going forward...
Bullish BTC
Bitcoin, rising wedge abcde patternRising wedge on btc, forming an abcde pattern (corrective). If it's corrective, then it's not impulsive, so I would expect a downturn searching the long term rising trendline (around the first weeks of November) to form a very extended ABC pattern from the 2024 highs.
If that trendline should fall, I would be very cautious due to the ferocity of the volatility spikes in this asset.
Bitcoin: Hasn't Reached Optimal Price.Bitcoin showing a higher low consolidation just above the 64K area support. Relative to the previous bullish structure, this signifies a higher likelihood that a higher high will follow, it's just a matter of catalyst. In the mean time, price can fluctuate either way from the current point (random). While the trend may be obvious in this situation, timing it effectively has everything to do with recognizing high probability price locations, setups etc. Otherwise you can make the mistake of assuming greater risk than you realize. In this article, I will describe the high probability, lower risk scenario that the market MAY OR MAY NOT present in the coming week.
One thing I recognize is that price continues to flirt with a resistance zone which makes this a tricky play for swing trades (at the time of writing current candle is inside bar). The 67K to 70K area is still a resistance zone (blue rectangle) and a higher risk location for long swing trades. In such scenarios when location is high risk but buy signals appear (break of inside bar high for example), it is more effective to assume risk on smaller time frames like 4H or 1H, and attempting to participate for a smaller bite. The risk that you are minimizing in this situation is the possibility that the 65K minor support is tested again and/or broken (see arrow).
The higher probability and lower risk scenario would be IF price can test the 64K support, followed by a reversal confirmation. The location is much more attractive since the potential profit is greater (3K+ points) coupled with much lower RISK (1 to 1.5 max) compared to 3K+ points of risk at the moment relative to this time frame. The illustration on the chart summarizes the ideal scenario that IF the market shows, would be a high probability swing trade long opportunity (which requires entry confirmation).
These scenarios that I present are dependent on the price action confirmation otherwise risk cannot be justified. Even having a confirmation process (like the Trade Scanner Pro) does NOT guarantee the trade idea will produce a positive outcome. After all, markets are HIGHLY random and outcomes are often the result of unexpected information being priced in. This is why technical analysis cannot be relied upon over longer time horizons, but can be helpful for quantifying risk.
Managing a position effectively no matter the time frame has everything to do with having properly aligned market expectations. First you uncover an idea, LET the market confirm the idea, from there it goes the right way or the wrong way. Your expectations will then shape how you manage the position as it fluctuates. The key to effective management is having an open enough mind to let the market pay you more when IT wants to, while being decisive enough to get out the moment you recognize what "wrong" looks like (or using other risk control methods like a stop). All of this information can be acquired from price charts or tools developed to simplify this process. Without any "process" you are most susceptible to relying on intuition and "hope" which will result in the typical retail trader experience: win sometimes but the account never grows for some reason.
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
BTC/USD H4 Update BTC is finding support on the .382 level of the most recent impulse on the H4 timeframe. The price action is also finding support on the H4 100 simple moving average. RSI is 44 at time of publishing. Price is also near a local rising support. I think anything at or above the .382 retracement level is a good buy for the weeks to come. We might have a few days of sideways as the bull flag forms.
Not financial advice. Do your own DD.
Thanks for viewing the idea.
BTC - Quick UpdateHello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 As long as the structure marked in red holds, BTC will remain bullish.
📉 If the $65,500 level is broken to the downside, a bearish correction toward the demand zone at $63,000 is expected.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
BTC DOM- Quick Update.
- If you're still standing and holding onto your cryptos, you’ve earned a medal.
- Not much to see in this monthly chart, just one key detail :
- Take a look at the RSI and notice how much BTC dominance has surged.
- The next move could be altcoins skyrocketing out of nowhere.
One word: HODL !!!
Happy Tr4Ding !
Bitcoin Still Targeting New ATHHey there,
Just wanted to share an update on Bitcoin. Since March 2024, it has been trading within a 30% range, showing significant consolidation. I'm leaning bullish because Bitcoin has left a lot of untouched liquidity behind, and I believe it's only a matter of time before we break the all-time high.
If you've been trading the long side swings, you've likely taken profits from previous order blocks. Interestingly, most traders are ready to go long on Bitcoin above $70,000 instead of taking positions within the current range (if we break immediatly, I would also long it on my Futures Account). Personally, I'll be looking to catch two separate spot buys with different position sizes if the market breaks down. It would be great to see a new low for a better risk-reward ratio.
Best regards
BTC PRICE ANALYSIS AND NEXT POSSIBLE MOVES !!CRYPTOCAP:BTC 4H Chart Update !!
• From last 6 days #btc consolidating now in a range.
•untill btc price holding it current support area 66500$ we are safe.
• if current support break then next support is 65.5k$ & 64.200$$.
• Right now i am not building any side trade on CRYPTOCAP:BTC 🚨
$BTC marketcap critical point, signaling the alt season coming.CRYPTOCAP:BTC has reached a critical 60% dominance level, which in the past has often signaled the start of an alt season. While history doesn’t always repeat itself, several other indicators confirm this signal:
- Stochastic RSI is highly overbought
- Bearish divergence
- MACD is also in overbought territory
Based on my analysis, altcoins are likely to see some relief in November, potentially pumping and outperforming $BTC.
$BTC - Possible retest at 64.7k (nPOC)If we don’t break above 67.5k (previous day’s POC), which remains as resistance, I expect a retest of 65.8k (previous week’s VAL).
However, I won’t be looking to long at the previous week’s VAL as we head into the weekend.
I’d prefer waiting for a price to test 64.7k (nPOC) , or ideally, a tag down to 62.8k to clear imbalances at the lows.
BTC/USDT short setupBTC/USDT short setup
Date: 10/24/2024
Author: Crypto Rado ( Rhino Aka Bear )
Timeframe: 15M & 4H
Following the rejection from $69,566, Bitcoin experienced a 3-leg movement down to the $65,200 zone. From there, we saw another 3-leg upward correction, indicating that the short zone lies within the 0.61-0.7 Fibonacci retracement level, which has now been reached.
From this point, my strategy is to short BTC, targeting the 1.272 Fibonacci extension, located between $64,200 and $63,700. On the 15-minute timeframe, a bearish divergence has already formed, and on the 4H timeframe, this divergence is in the process of forming, which would likely be confirmed if BTC reaches the 0.786 Fibonacci level.
Key Levels to Watch:
Bullish breakout: $69,566
Bearish breakdown: $66,750
Disclaimer:
⚠️ This is not financial advice! All information provided is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Trading carries a high risk and may result in the loss of capital.
Second section is an attractive buy section (confirm support)
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
It seems to have met resistance in the 68393.48-69031.99 section and fallen below 67414.39.
Accordingly, we need to check for support near 67414.39.
If it meets resistance at 67414.39 and falls, we need to check for support near 65602.01-65920.71.
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BW (50) is showing signs of being newly created at 66668.65.
Accordingly, the key is whether BW (50) can be supported near the newly created point and rise above 67414.39.
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Since the StochRSI indicator has currently entered the oversold zone, the decline is strong.
Therefore, if it fails to maintain the price by rising above 67414.39, it is likely that an additional decline will occur and it is recommended to consider a countermeasure.
When the StochRSI indicator rises above the oversold zone and maintains the state of StochRSI > StochRSI EMA, the upward trend is likely to begin.
Therefore, the 2nd zone (65920.71-67414.39) is an important support and resistance zone.
In addition, since the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart is passing the 65920.71-67414.39 zone, it is even more important.
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Checking for support is a difficult and tedious task.
Therefore, it is also good to refer to the location of the StochRSI indicator or BW indicator to help confirm the direction when checking whether there is support.
I think that you can create a much better response plan than drawing a trend line and checking whether it goes up or breaks away from it.
Trend lines are used for chart analysis, but they are not very helpful in conducting actual trading.
The reason is that they are made of diagonal lines.
Therefore, I think that it is good to use trend lines in combination with support and resistance points drawn on 1M, 1W, and 1D charts to confirm the period of volatility.
Since a pattern is meaningful when it is completed, you should not try to think in terms of fitting it into a pattern.
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After all, the purpose of everything displayed on a chart should be to conduct trading.
Therefore, you should check what kind of movement is shown at the support and resistance points drawn on the chart and trade accordingly to make a profit.
Since the StochRSI indicator has currently fallen below 50, we should look at the chart with the purpose of finding a time to buy.
For that purpose, the 2nd section (65920.71-67414.39) is an attractive buying section.
If it falls in the 2nd section, the next buying section is likely to be 61099.25-62791.03.
The reason for this is that the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart is passing around 62791.03.
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Therefore, we should know how to wait when we wait, and when it is time to start trading, we should start trading boldly.
I think it is time to wait because it is still confirming support and resistance.
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Have a good time.
Thank you.
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- Big picture
It is expected that the real uptrend will start after rising above 29K.
The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are the points where resistance is likely to be encountered in the future. We need to see if we can break through these points.
We need to see the movement when we touch this section because I think we can create a new trend in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start by creating a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
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$BTC.D Near 60% - Cue Altseason?Bitcoin Dominance continues to rip nearing its target of 60%
You can see the 2 major trendlines about to converge, similar to what we saw in March 2020 which was followed by more rate cuts.
We could expect CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D to break trend, and fall under the 50WMA, cueing a short-term Alt season, and then Bitcoin stealing the show again with more institutional buying on the horizon.
This could bring one last shakeout to the Altcoin market, before BTC.D completely falls off a cliff and the entire market goes parabolic.