The opportunity for Bitcoin to grow to 100KToday we are at another important point in choosing the further direction of the market, I want to consider the picture that has been created. First of all, I want to note the opening levels of the quarter as a key trigger of the market at the end of the year. According to the cue, the quarterly candle opened above 62.5k, which is a signal to hold the trend above 60k and gives an opportunity to try to continue the trend. When the level of 64k is overcome, the road will open for a sharp increase to 75. On a larger scale, at the moment there is a question of further movement from the key level of 60k to 90-100 by spring, or a rollback over the five-year plan up to 45-50 k. At the moment, given the weakness of the dollar, growth prevails with a probability of up to 70% in my opinion. A good opening of the quarter provides additional support for purchases.
According to the ether, the opening of the quarter is also in a good zone, above 2500, which ensures the maintenance of purchases in the long term and so far supports the probability of a trend of 5000. On a smaller scale, an opening above 2600 gives a signal for new attempts to exit above 2750, where the road will open immediately to 3500.
In the absence of negative factors in the form of powerful statistics on the United States and the departure of the euro below 1.09, it is quite likely that the cue ball trend will resume with an output above 75k this month. In this case, even with an increase in the dominance of the cue ball, the ether will be able to overshoot the last weekly candle, forming an inverted head and shoulders on the weekly chart and a high probability of going to 3500.
In case of pressure on the crypt from the foreign exchange market and the departure of the euro below 1.09 and even more so 1.075, the pressure of the bears will significantly increase. To push the cue ball to 75k+, the viola market can be squeezed with an increase in the dominance of the cue ball up to 75%+. In this scenario, from the middle of this week, a reversal of the weekly candle into a bearish one and sales on the air up to the 2250-2100 test is likely. The opening levels of the half-year and quarter will smooth out sales and insure against a sharp collapse, but it will become extremely difficult for coins to break through to growth in such a scenario.
The current weekly candle is highly likely to help consolidate the trend, and against the background of an attempt to surpass the last weekly one on the air by the middle of the week, such an attempt can be expected for individual coins.
Given the complexity of the market situation and delisting on the binance every month instead of one per quarter, as previously, I closed positions on weak coins with the monitoring tag ooki oax and pros, increasing positions on vib gft ast troy. According to these coins, there are still the largest growth targets among all binance coins, but I will take them into work after the announcement of delisting, if they remain in trade.
To date, OG has worked perfectly, which I recommended as a very liquid tool for saving money in the medium term. Given the current market picture, everywhere above 3.5-4.0$ OG is quite overbought and the probability of a deep pullback prevails. The goals for growth to $ 9-11 remain open, but I think they will not be fulfilled this year.
To date, gft and vib have remained a good alternative to OG to save funds in the medium term. As I wrote earlier, gft has a lot of liquidity, similar to OG, which makes it possible to trade even with a monitoring tag. For vib, liquidity is much lower, but signals for growth to 0.15-25 are left on the chart. It also remains, along with troy, the most oversold outside the monitoring tag among all coins on the binance. Just as interesting are the extremely oversold ast and troy, which are more suitable for scalping, because The ast is under pressure from incomplete emission and after an impulse of 50-70% it can roll back, while troy shows sluggish dynamics and inspires less confidence. However, I left signals for growth to 0.035-40 on a weekly basis.
Of the fantokens, only OG was considered for work because it has sufficient liquidity. For the rest of the group's tokens, the probability of additional drawdown prevails in the current market. Given the incomplete issue, many tokens can give a break.
1-BTC
Bitcoin ($BTC) to Dip Below $60K Amid Hotter US CPI DataBitcoin’s price could soon slip below the $60,000 mark following the latest U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, which showed inflation at 2.4% for September, slightly higher than market expectations of 2.3%. The hotter-than-anticipated inflation report has sparked concerns among investors, weighing on the broader crypto market and pushing Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) into a bearish outlook. Combined with growing macroeconomic uncertainties, including Federal Reserve rate decisions and geopolitical tensions, Bitcoin could face further downside pressure.
Impact of US CPI Data
The latest inflation data revealed that the US CPI held steady at 0.2% on a monthly basis, while annual inflation cooled to 2.4%, down from the 2.5% recorded in August. Despite this cooling, the figure surpassed market expectations, triggering concern among investors who now anticipate a more hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve. With inflation running higher than anticipated, fears of tighter monetary policy have intensified, particularly as the Fed is widely expected to implement a smaller 25 basis point (bps) rate cut in November, down from an earlier prediction of 50 bps.
These developments are contributing to widespread risk aversion in the market, with investors turning cautious ahead of the Fed’s next move. A more restrictive monetary policy could reduce liquidity in the market, further pressuring risk assets like Bitcoin.
Adding to this, the release of gloomy U.S. job data and the rising US 10-year bond yield, which hit 4.073%, have intensified negative sentiment. The crypto market has not been immune, with Bitcoin down 1.3% following the CPI data release. BTC briefly crossed below the $61K mark, touching a low of $60,314, and is currently trading at $60,449 as of this writing.
Macro Factors at Play: Global Concerns Weigh on Sentiment
Bitcoin’s downward trajectory is not just a result of inflationary pressures but also a broader set of macroeconomic uncertainties that continue to weigh on sentiment. Several key factors are contributing to this cautious outlook:
1. Geopolitical Tensions: Ongoing tensions in the Middle East are creating volatility in global financial markets, which in turn is impacting the crypto market. Any escalation could lead to further risk aversion, potentially dragging Bitcoin lower.
2. US Presidential Election: With the upcoming 2024 presidential election in the United States between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump, markets are bracing for increased political volatility. The uncertainty surrounding the election outcome could add another layer of risk for investors, keeping Bitcoin under pressure.
3. Federal Reserve’s Stance: As inflationary concerns remain, the market is now pricing in an 84% probability of a 25 bps rate cut by the Fed in November. Any hawkish surprises from the Fed could exacerbate the already fragile market sentiment, potentially leading to further selloffs in Bitcoin.
Technical Outlook
On the technical front, Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) is showing signs of weakness following the CPI data release. The daily chart reveals that Bitcoin is trading within a falling wedge pattern, a bearish formation that could signal further downside unless there is a breakout to the upside.
Key Technical Indicators:
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently in an anomalous zone, indicating that Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) may not yet be oversold, but downward pressure is mounting. Bitcoin is trading within a falling wedge, which often indicates further downside unless there is a strong breakout. A break below $60,000 could send Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) towards the ceiling of the trendline at $50,000 which will be very bad for $BTC.
Immediate support lies at the $60,000 psychological level. If broken, the next key support level is the $50,000 mark, which coincides with the lower trendline of the falling wedge. On the upside, Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) would need to clear resistance around the $61,500 mark to attempt a reversal.
If negative news continues to dominate the macro landscape, such as additional inflationary pressures, escalating geopolitical tensions, or unexpected hawkish moves from the Fed, Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) could see a sharper decline, possibly dipping toward the $50,000 level.
On the flip side, favorable developments like easing inflation, de-escalation in global conflicts, or a more dovish stance from the Fed could provide Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) with the momentum needed to break out of the falling wedge and move higher. If Bitcoin manages to clear $61,500, it could attempt a surge back toward the $65,000 resistance level.
Bitcoin Analysis==>>Risk-To-Reward:4.40Bitcoin started to rise after the UAE exempted cryptocurrency transactions from Value Added Tax (VAT) .
The UAE exempts crypto transactions from VAT starting November 15, aiming to attract more investments and solidify its position as a crypto hub.
Bitcoin is currently moving near the Resistance zone($67,400-$65,000) , the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , and above the ascending channel .
Regarding Elliott wave theory , Bitcoin has restructured a bit since my previous post . Bitcoin seems to be completing wave C inside the ascending channel.
Also, Regular Divergence (RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
I expect Bitcoin to decline to at least the Support zone($62,860-$62,110) again, and because there is still a high possibility of tension between Israel and Iran , it is very likely that Bitcoin will come back below 21_SMA(Weekly) and 200_SMA(Daily) .
⚠️Note: This analysis is valid until Bitcoin does not touch $66,500.⚠️
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My position: Of course, I manage this position with price changes.
BTCUSDT
🔴Position: Short
✅Entry Point: 64347.0 USDT (Limit Order)
⛔️Stop Loss: 65283.0 USDT [ You can open a Short position where the Stop Loss(SL) is $66,500 ]
💰Take Profit:
🎯62493.0 USDT ===>>>Risk-To-Reward: 1.98
🎯60229.0 USDT ===>>>Risk-To-Reward: 4.40
Please don't forget to follow capital management ⚠️
Please pay attention to the style of opening the position.⚠️
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Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BITCOIN Risky Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
BITCOIN is trading in a
Local uptrend and the coin
Is now retesting a local
Horizontal support of 60k$
After a local correction move
So as we are bullish biased we
Will be expecting a further
Move up from support
Buy!
Like, comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
The BTC/USDT 1-day chart shows the following key technical pointBitcoin is currently trading within a descending channel, which indicates a continuation of the bearish trend unless there is a breakout.
There is a crucial resistance area around the $66,000 to $70,000 range. BTC may struggle to break above this level without strong bullish momentum.
The chart shows a lower trendline acting as support, which is currently located around the $50,000 level. If BTC breaks below this level, it could lead to a more significant decline.
The purple line on the chart represents a moving average that has acted as both support and resistance in the past. BTC is currently trading below this moving average, indicating a bearish sentiment.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes and is not financial advice. Always stay updated with market movements and adjust your trading strategies as needed.
You can DM us for information on any other altcoin.
@Peter_CSAdmin
62K for entry 57.8K for targetMorning folks,
So BTC has failed to break the vital 64.5K resistance that we've talked about last time. It means that context remains bearish and chances on downside AB=CD have increased. Especially on the back of outstanding rally in USD and US yields.
It makes us to consider no long positions by far, treat former 64.5 top as invalidation point and watch south. Nearest downside target seems to be around 57.8K.
For position taking it is possible to consider 62K intraday resistance, if you have plans to sell.
For long position taking we need to get either failure of current bearish scenario and rally above 64.5K top or deeper standing support areas. We have nothing yet, so let's wait with any longs by far.
BTC in the lower time frame analysisIn smaller time frames, Bitcoin has reached a support on the chart.
It seems that this support will reject the price up to a supply.
Bitcoin is in the trading range
Closing a 4-hour candle below the invalidation level will violate this analysis
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
10/9 Good news and bad news...Overview:
Which would you prefer to hear first? Let’s start with the good news: the AMEX:SPY has updated its all-time high. If you have a 401k or any other pension fund, you’re likely seeing gains. Also, it's hard to argue that a recession is looming when the stock market is booming.
Now for the bad news: crypto is down. Normally, this wouldn’t be alarming, as all markets fluctuate. But it's concerning when we see a divergence between the stock market and crypto. Even riskier tech stocks, like those in the NASDAQ:QQQ index, climbed 0.79%. If traders are eager to buy equities, why not crypto, or at least BINANCE:BTCUSD ?
Tomorrow, all eyes will be on Jerome Powell as he delivers the CPI and Core CPI data along with initial jobless claims. Given that recent job reports nearly doubled expectations, we predict fewer jobless claims. The question is: will positive macroeconomic data help? On one hand, it means people have money to spend, which could benefit crypto. On the other hand, it could reduce the chances of aggressive rate cuts, keeping liquidity constrained, and preventing speculative assets from soaring.
BlackRock continues dollar-cost averaging into Bitcoin but hasn’t touched its ETH ETF. When did ETH become so hated?
CME fedwatch tool shows an increase in the probability of no rate cut in November, up to 17.2%, while the chances of a one-base-point cut sit at 82.2%.
BTC TA:
W: BTC needs to close above $61.4k to keep bulls in the game. Unfortunately, after today's drop, BTC fell below this crucial level, breaking the bullish structure it had been building since September 7th. Another important level is $62.7k, the point of control for the entire 2024 bull run, which was rejected yesterday. This week is shaping up to print another red candle, following the previous week.
D: While the weekly levels are invalidated, the daily levels still offer hope. BTC bounced from the $60.6k support level, and we haven’t seen four consecutive red days since August. If tomorrow's CPI data hints at a bullish sentiment, we might see a small rally back to $62.1k.
4h: Price is currently closer to the lowest Bollinger Band, indicating it needs to catch up with its moving average.
1h: BTC has reached the Bollinger Bands' moving average, but for a stronger recovery, it needs to break beyond this level on the 4h chart to confirm a bounce.
Alts Relative to BTC:
TAO, SUI, and APT have reached higher highs, but with lower volumes, suggesting that the bullish trend is losing steam. These gains were likely driven by retail investors, FOMOing into the rally. Meanwhile, FTM is showing bearish MACD divergence on the 4-hour chart and was rejected at its weekly resistance of $0.69.
Bull Case:
At $60k, BTC is relatively cheap, considering how much adoption and recognition crypto has gained in 2024. Since we didn’t experience a massive sell-off in September and have held up into October, this might be your last chance to buy BTC at a sub-$100k price. Additionally, we’re in the Fear territory on the Fear and Greed Index, which historically offers an 83% chance of profitability if bought during this phase.
Bear Case:
From a technical perspective, things look bearish. Many key support levels have been invalidated, and the likelihood of the Fed not cutting rates in November continues to rise.
Fear and Greed Index: 37 (Fear).
Prediction: BTC may rebound to $62.1k before resuming its decline. Expect TAO, SUI, and APT to follow BTC's movements, with a potential drop back to pre-BTC ETF levels, which could see declines of 55-60%.
Opportunities:
Short TAO, SUI, APT, FTM.
Bitcoin technical analysis + trade plan by BFTechnical Analysis for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) by Blaž Fabjan
Overview of Current Market Structure:
Descending Trading Channel: The Bitcoin price is currently trading within a descending channel, marked by parallel lines of resistance and support. The price has respected both boundaries and continues to oscillate between them.
Support: The current support level within the descending channel is approximately 60,000 USDT, as shown by the lower green line.
Resistance: The resistance level is around 61,758 USDT, as indicated by the upper green line.
Potential Breakout: A potential breakout to the upside is indicated by the analysis. If the price breaks through the resistance zone, we may see a rally towards the 64,591 USDT mark, which is a key resistance level in the broader time frame.
Indicators Analysis:
RSI (Relative Strength Index, 14 periods): The RSI is currently around 39.25, which indicates that the market is in a slightly oversold condition. This suggests a potential buying opportunity if momentum shifts to the upside.
Stochastic Oscillator (14, 3, 1): The stochastic oscillator shows a value of 27.09, signaling that the market is near the oversold region. A bullish crossover between the %K and %D lines could trigger an upward move.
VMC Cipher B Indicator (Divergences): The VMC Cipher B Divergences are currently showing bearish momentum, but the price appears to be bouncing off a significant support level. We are awaiting confirmation for a reversal.
HMA Histogram (40, 44): The HMA Histogram shows a value of 91.97 in the short term, indicating that bearish momentum is starting to slow, and a potential bullish reversal could occur soon.
Key Levels to Watch:
Immediate Support: The key support level lies around 60,000 USDT. If the price drops below this level, further bearish movement towards 58,000 USDT could be expected.
Immediate Resistance: Resistance stands at 61,758 USDT, the upper boundary of the descending channel. A breakout above this level could trigger a bullish rally.
Key Target Level: The next major target on a breakout would be the 64,591 USDT resistance, where the price is likely to face significant selling pressure.
Trading Plan:
Bullish Scenario:
Entry Point: Look for a breakout above the 61,758 USDT resistance level. Confirm the breakout with increasing volume and price closing above the channel.
First Target: 64,591 USDT, which is a major resistance zone in the upper range.
Stop Loss: Place the stop loss slightly below the support level of 60,000 USDT to manage downside risk.
Second Target (Aggressive): If bullish momentum continues, a potential extension towards 65,500 USDT is possible, aligning with previous highs.
Bearish Scenario:
Entry Point: If the price fails to break above the 61,758 USDT resistance level and starts rejecting at this point, consider a short position with a breakdown below the 60,000 USDT support.
First Target: A drop towards 58,000 USDT could be expected if bearish momentum accelerates.
Stop Loss: Set the stop loss above 62,000 USDT, just outside the resistance of the descending channel to account for volatility.
Neutral Scenario (Sideways Trading):
If the price consolidates between 60,000 and 61,758 USDT, wait for a clearer breakout or breakdown before entering any trades. The current channel suggests potential opportunities, but patience for confirmation is key.
Risk Management:
Position Size: Use proper risk management by not risking more than 1-2% of your capital on any trade.
Risk-Reward Ratio: Maintain a favorable risk-reward ratio of at least 1:2 or higher to ensure the profitability of your trades.
$150,000 - $200,000 By Year End Possibilities.
If we use the time Bitcoin had a full cycle without any global economic problems in 2016 to 2018. We see the faint white line is painting a very similar movement of price. The variation outside of the norm would tell us Bitcoin has to make a very large move by year end to stay on track.
MVRV Z Score - Is also indicating Bitcoin is undervalued and no where near a top. We also have global rate cuts + liquidity injections, Gold has appreciated to the debasement including the SPX. Bitcoin? yet to see inflows of this while having broke all the Spot ETF records this year.
There's still a massive bull flag that has formed on Bitcoin while people get bored and sell coins institutions continue to launch new products and allocate right before Bitcoin options are going to be launched on the Spot ETFs.
Blackrock is actively marketing the push for Bonds to rotate into Bitcoin note this market is 130T of face value capital. Other institutions have already started launching strategies involving Bitcoin & Bond rotations.
With the new pro Bitcoin president about to be elected. Rates will be cut MMF's will start rotating into assets for more return, MSTR will be added to the QQQ and SP500 allowing a spiral of Bitcoin buying from portfolio weight increases.
222 Days people had to think hard about where this all leads while the biggest sideways bull flag on Bitcoin has formed.
Let's see how this plays out.
Bullish bounce off pullback support?Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which is an overlap resistance.
Pivot: 59,378.90
1st Support: 57,833.43
1st Resistance: 61,888.24
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Support around 61099.25 is the key point
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
It is showing a decline below the important section of 61099.25.
Accordingly, it is important to see whether it can rise above 61099.25 and receive support.
If not, and it falls below 60672.0,
1st: 59053.55
2nd: 56150.01-56950.56
We need to check whether there is support near the 1st and 2nd levels above.
This volatility period is until October 11th.
-
(Chart under test)
We are testing a new tradable chart by changing the existing DMI+OBV indicator to the BW indicator format.
We will provide a detailed explanation after the test is completed.
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USDC is showing a short-term downtrend as a gap decline occurs.
--------------------------------------
(NAS100USD 1D chart)
It is supported near 19582.4 and then rose again to near 20313.8.
We need to check whether there is support near 20313.8.
(Chart under test)
-
Have a nice time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
The real uptrend is expected to start after rising above 29K.
The expected range to touch in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
BTC LONG The chart right presents the pre bullmarket btc chart in 2020.
Strategy:
Potential long setup from the consolidation zone. The price action indicates a demand zone around the current levels, with a potential for reversal towards higher levels, as shown in the shaded blue area. The right-hand chart supports this bullish bias.
Entry: Around the current price levels (consolidation)
Stop-loss: Below the local support (recent swing low)
Risk management is essential, considering the current volatility and broader market correlation.
BTC ANALYSIS (4H)The internal structure of Bitcoin is still bearish and the price has not risen from the cheap ranges of the previous wave.
It seems that in order to sweep the buy orders, more of this supply will move to the lower areas.
Closing a daily candle above the invalidation level will violate this analysis
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
BTC-USDT 4h chart reviewHello everyone, let's look at the current BTC situation considering the four-hour interval. In this situation, we can see the price rebounding from the downtrend line.
Let's start by setting goals for the near future, which include:
T1 = $61,847
T2 = $62,571
T3 = $63,602
AND
T4 = $64,370
Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case the market continues to decline:
Sl1 = $60,389
Sl2 = $59,248
Sl3 = $57,822
HelenP. I Bitcoin will drop from resistance level to $59100Hi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. Some days ago price entered to wedge and at once rebounded fromresistane line and started to decline. In a short time, BTC fell lower then support level, which coincided with the support zone, but then it tried to back up and failed. Next, the price dropped to the trend line, which is the support line of the wedge also, and then started to grow. BTC quickly rose to the 57500 level, broke it, and later made a retest and continued to move up. Later, the price reached the resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone, and some time traded near this level. Then BTC broke the 63600 level and later rose to the resistance line of the wedge, after which turned around and made an impulse down, thereby exiting from the wedge and breaking the resistance level as well. After this movement, BTC little declined more and not long time ago rose back to the 63600 level. So, now I expect that BTCUSDT will rebound from the resistance level and drop. Therefore I set my goal at 59100 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Bitcoin 1W chart and you will find answer for all your questionsCRYPTOCAP:BTC 1W chart;
I said we would update the #Bitcoin chart if something important happens, but I want to show you the situation from a wider time frame.
What do you see when you look at it like this, please comment. Please write your own thoughts in the comments section, independent of mine or anyone else's.
From this level, do you think #Btc will say, 1 minute brother, I don't want to go down, this channel can't hold me and go up?
The level I indicated as OB below is also the IMB zone. 2 birds with 1 stone are waiting for retest at $46k.
That level is also the base of the channel and the support/contact level of the much older uptrend line (green).
I have been sharing what I see when I put all the puzzle pieces side by side for a long time.
I am curious about your thoughts as well.
By the way, if those who think like me can also like and share, it would be a great support and this chart will reach many more people. ✨
Margin Zones SetupOn the D1 chart, an accumulation with a Point of Control (POC) at 63246 is forming. This is key for predicting the following swings. The marginal zones outline two trading areas:
Buying in the range of 54183-57204.
Selling in the range of 67777-69287.
Considering the previous accumulation at POC 59604, the realization of the first scenario is more likely, as the second marginal target has not been met.
The advantage of the second scenario is the possibility of forming a Diagonal wave pattern, which would increase predictability for the coming months.
DOGEUSD Are you people ready??We have recently viewed Dogecoin's (DOGEUSD) Cycles and mentioned why we expect it to start rising parabolically soon. What we haven't done but it's what we bring you today is those Cycles compared to the Cycles of the flagship of the crypto world, Bitcoin (BTCUSD).
We will keep it simple, because that's what the chart is, no need to complicate what's obvious with added terms and info.
As you can see, every time Bitcoin broke above its All Time High (ATH), Dogecoin was on a medium-term correction (though well within its Bull Cycle) under Lower Highs and marginally above the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level. Once Bitcoin broke out, Doge did also only though much more aggressively and within a few weeks it reached its previous ATH.
Needless to say, it didn't stop there but went on to peak much higher. Once more, the market finds itself in the exact same position as before in history. Are you ready??
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10/8 Market Tensions as S&P500 Wobbles Ahead of CPI, BTC Holds.Overview:
The AMEX:SPY is hovering around its all-time highs, showing limited movement as investors await Thursday’s CPI report. Anticipation is building, but it seems the U.S. market may not make any significant moves until inflation data provides clearer direction.
BTC TA:
W: When examining the volume profile of this year's entire bull phase, the point of control—where the most trading volume occurred—stands at $63 K. This explains why BINANCE:BTCUSDT might consolidate at the current price range for longer than expected. Despite a second false breakout attempt, Bitcoin remains trapped between the crucial monthly support level of $61.4K and resistance at $64 K. On one hand, geopolitical tensions are escalating in the Middle East, while on the other, China's government has announced a $28 billion investment package. The SSE Composite Index surged 30%, though it recently corrected by 11% over the last two days. Notably, some of the significant green candles can be attributed to Asian market open times.
D: The daily chart paints a clear picture of the price struggling to escape bearish pressure. It’s hovering just below the Bollinger Bands’ moving average. Monday presented a bearish hammer, and Tuesday ended with an indecisive doji.
4h: No divergences are evident on the MACD or CVD. The RSI sits around 45, indicating balanced buying and selling pressure.
1h: Price is oscillating around the $62.2K point of control level without any strong signals for bullish or bearish momentum.
Alts relative to BTC: Major altcoins are moving in line with Bitcoin, with little divergence. However, SUI and TAO, after their impressive runs to all-time highs, have begun to correct.
Bull case: If Trump is re-elected, accompanied by more interest rate cuts, this could boost the bullish narrative. The bull flag on the weekly chart is becoming more apparent and, if it breaks out, could signal a further upward trend. The formation of a reverse head and shoulders at the beginning of July, August, and September also supports a bullish outlook.
Bear case: However, bears point out that we’re still in a pattern of lower highs and lower lows. The double fake bull breakouts in recent upticks further signal caution. The market lacks new narratives, and regulatory crackdowns continue. Major CEXs now require strict KYC compliance, cutting off trading access for users in China, the UK, the U.S., and other key markets. While VPNs offer a workaround, the risks of locked accounts on exchanges registered in jurisdictions like the Cayman Islands add significant risk for traders.
Fear and Greed Index: 41.71 - Neutral.
CHAINLINK - WYCKOFF ACCUMULATIONLINK/BTC looking a lot like accumulation over here.
The market is very uncertain at the moment, with BTC being very much in no-mans land.
It could go either way.
But the technicals along on LINK/BTC indicate we may be testing areas where demand is too much for supply.
Bitcoin Cry LevelWe've wicked up to 64.4k region and faced a strong rejection at wVWAP/wPOC
Immediate resistance remains at 62.8k
The nearest support level is at 59k coincides with yVWAP and previous Monthly Open
It's a critical level to hold, a breakdown of 59k might lead us back below the equilibrium of this multi-month range