Heading into pullback resistance?Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 1st support which. is also a pullback support.
Pivot: 108,391.05
1st Support: 98,383.98
1st Resistance: 119,108.79
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1-BTC
BITCOIN Free Signal! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
BITCOIN keep growing in a
Strong uptrend but the price
Will soon hit an an all-time-high
Price around 109,400$ which
Is also a resistance from where
We can go short with the
Take Profit of 103,900$
And the Stop Loss of 109,739$
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
ADA (Cardano) – Long Swing Setup from Major Support ZoneADA is currently trading within a critical support area ($0.71–$0.73), offering a compelling higher low opportunity. With BTC holding strength, ADA may be gearing up for a rebound, particularly if it maintains structure above the support.
🔹 Entry Zone:
$0.71 – $0.73
🎯 Take Profit Targets:
🥇 $0.80 – $0.84
🥈 $0.98 – $1.02
🛑 Stop Loss:
Daily close below $0.66 (loss of higher low and structural invalidation)
BTC UpdateLooking at historical data, we’re at a similar point as in 2021 — diverging RSI, declining volume, and signs of exhaustion. The key difference now is the level of institutional involvement: hedge funds are heavily in, MicroStrategy keeps buying, and even nation-states have exposure.
Despite the bullish narrative, I believe we’re heading down.
Price action isn’t convincing — we're still trading below the January monthly candle close, volume is drying up, and RSI continues to diverge. Each 5–10% pump is followed by a sharp spike in open interest (OI), then a brutal liquidation cascade wiping out $500M–$1B. This is starting to look like a leveraged casino, not a healthy uptrend.
That said, I wouldn’t rule out a final wick toward $120K to trap late longs and suck in liquidity before the real move down.
I called the top after the January rally — they called me a madman. Still, I was right.
Mastery tends to be a funny thing, seems like on a long enough timeframe you cant lose.
Stay safe everyone.
Fancy a cup of tea luv?This is the story of how Susan convinced her husband Frank to buy 3 Bitcoins at 105k..
Plus the story of Bitcoin going to a minimum of 126k before the end of May!
A giant Cup & Holder beginning way back in 2021 is a 75% sure prove of that!
What more do you need Frank!?
That's good odds right there for ya!
19/05/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $105,46
Last weeks low: $100,751.75
Midpoint: $103,372.10
In my weekly outlook post from last week I mentioned how there was a clear pattern of consolidation with a tight range for a week with a week of expansion that followed, and that if the pattern were to continue we would see BTC consolidate around the weekly high. The theory was proven correct on this occasion with a tight range between weekly high and the 0.75 line, as theorized with only momentary dips below the 0.75 line. Now if the pattern were to continue this week would be expansion week, but for me this time it's slightly different as BTC approaches ATH there is a massive level of resistance just above this weeks weekly high. We've seen an initial early attempt to breakout above weekly high and that attempt has so far failed quite aggressively, which leads me to believe there will be volatility this week as both bulls and bears contest this very important area of the chart.
For the bulls maintaining momentum and breaking into price discovery with acceptance above $109,000 would be incredibly, the headlines will read new ATH, FOMO kicks in and retail follows etc, we know the drill. For the bears the objective is to hold the line and reject weekly high ($106,000) at all costs and print a strong SFP and unfortunately this does seem viable with $97,000 being the target area IMO. RSI on the daily is around the overbought level, combined with key resistance level a pullback would make sense.
For me this week I want to see how ETH and other major alts react to any pullback, do they get bought up with purpose? Is the structure strong to maintain this move or is this a HTF lower high? An interesting week coming up I'm sure.
Good luck this week!
Bitcoin Not Looking Good At AllSome degree of 5 waves completed yesterday and reversal signs are there. Now, this 5 waves up could be just 1st leg of larger 5th or the 5th itself since this leg was 2.6 times of leg 1. Either way, we are heading towards 90K and if this was larger 5th that got complete then it's time for "serious worry", specially if you are a HODLer.
BITCOIN CORRECTION AHEAD|SHORT|
✅BITCOIN keeps growing in a
Strong uptrend in a narrowing
Bearish wedge pattern and the
Coin has reached a horizontal
Resistance level of 108000$
So IF we see a breakout from
The wedge a local bearish
Correction is to be expected
SHORT🔥
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Bitcoin Retests Ascending Trendline After BreakoutBTCUSD daily chart shows price action respecting a rising trendline, following a successful breakout from previous pattern. This ascending trendline now acts as a key dynamic support and serves as a central guide for the medium-term bullish structure.
Currently, price is consolidating just below the $107,000 resistance area. There are two primary scenarios to consider:
Bullish Scenario:
A confirmed breakout and daily close above the $107,000 resistance could trigger another bullish leg, targeting the next level near $120,000.
Mild Bearish / Pullback Scenario:
If the price gets rejected again, it may retrace towards the ascending trendline around $95,000, which aligns with previous horizontal support and could serve as a solid buy-the-dip zone.
Trade Plan:
Buy Entry Option 1: On a breakout above $107,000 → Target: $120,000
Buy Entry Option 2: On a bounce from the trendline near $95,000
Bitcoin Analysis: Bullish Bias, But Waiting for a Smart Entry!🚀 BTCUSDT Outlook: Bullish Momentum, But Waiting for Value 📉💰
Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) continues to push higher, showing strong bullish momentum across the daily and 4H timeframes. That said, current price action appears to be overstretched—in my view, it’s trading well into premium territory 📈⚠️.
💡 Although I maintain a bullish outlook, I’m now eyeing a pullback toward a more balanced zone—ideally between the 50% to 61.8% Fibonacci retracement levels. This would bring BTC closer to equilibrium and offer a more strategic opportunity to engage with the trend.
🔎 In this video, we break down:
- The dominant trend and current structure
- How to identify potential market structure shifts
- My buy scenario, which depends on a retracement forming a bearish short-term move (e.g. on the 30-min chart), followed by a bullish break of structure 📊✅
🕒 Timing is everything. Let price unfold—we’re not predicting, we’re preparing. Entries should only be considered when price action confirms the scenario laid out in this video.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This content is intended for educational purposes only and reflects my personal analysis and opinion. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and use proper risk management.
Bitcoin Hits New ATH on Candle Close & New 2025 ATH ProjectionsThis week Bitcoin produced its highest weekly candle close ever at $106,454. 12-May 2025 weekly session.
The previous ATH based on candle close happened on the 9-December 2024 weekly session at $104,464.
The current high is 1.91% higher than the previous one. Volume is still basically zero on this chart...
Good evening my fellow Cryptocurrency trader—likely to be morning by the time you read this—how are you feeling in this beautiful day?
Bitcoin actually did better than expected but this is not surprising, because Bitcoin is always a surprise on the positive side. This already tells us that the new bullish cycle top can turn out being something completely unexpected, the institutional wave.
The volume...
There are many ways to extract targets so don't mind me using different methods and showing the different possibilities. It is good to have a broad market perspective. Instead of just one option, we can look at all the possible scenarios.
The standard All-Time High based on the previous cycle sits at $155,601. Four years later, hyper hidden inflation, etc., we know this is not it. This same level based on dollars value, $155,000, would be something like $189,000 or $206,000 today, so we are not going to consider this level to be the end of the 2025 bull market.
There is no 180K in this setup. The next target is the 3.618 Fib extension and goes to $209,125. This is more like it. This is a very strong level and there is possibility that Bitcoin can peak right below it.
The next one and last one is the 4.618 Fib extension at $262,649... Let's consider this number for a few minutes. Close your eyes, breathe... Think of Bitcoin, late 2025 or early 2026 and consider this number. Do nothing and just let any impressions come to you. Can be visual, auditory, kinaesthetic or just mental chatter, logical. Yes, it is possible! We keep beyond $250,000 on the cards. Share your impressions in the comments section by the way.
Low volume is natural. If you look at this chart from March 2020 through November 2021 there is no significant spike in volume. It is neutral. So this signal has no use for us at this point. The data-based conclusion is the fact that Bitcoin has been going up for six weeks and volume continues to be low. It was only high when the market hit bottom in 2022 and when it broke up above the 2017 peak in early 2023, that's the highest volume.
Look at this black line:
This is the golden ratio, 1.618 Fib extension in relation to the previous market cycle. It is very interesting. This same level from years ago worked as resistance in late 2024/early 2025.
Last week Bitcoin closed above this level and this week it wicked below and finally closed above. Definitely the action happening here around $102,000. So these numbers are good.
We have a certain price of $155,601 in the coming months, this will be a very strong resistance, the midterm bull market correction can happen here. After the correction bottoms, we will have wave 5 and this one must go beyond this level in order to be real, so this opens up $209,000. Unless $155,000 is the cycle top and ATH, we are set to experience Bitcoin trading above 200K.
My friend, it is my pleasure to write for you again today. Its been so long, I cannot believe we are still seeing each other, exchanging, talking, chatting, trading, reading, writing, fighting and making up just to keep on growing together. Where were you 7 years ago? Where are you now?
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Namaste.
Bitcoin Hits Highest Prince Since JanuaryThis is a pattern breaker. Volume is rising together with prices.
There was a rejection right below 106,000 but rather than a rejection a bear-trap & shakeout.
The move higher now confirms this.
Bitcoin is now trading with a full green candle and continues to challenge resistance. As prices move to $106,000, this is the highest since January 2025. A full recovery and a challenge of resistance leading to a new All-Time High.
It seems the new week, 19-May, will be the week when Bitcoin makes history again. This is all positive.
This is a short-term chart; 1H.
Many shakeouts are happening now, both bears (LONGs) and bulls (SHORTs) are being liquidated. Liquidation can only happen with positions using too much leverage. Everybody with 5X or lower is extremely safe long-term and can rest easy. Only the gamblers are having a hard time right now.
The market will continue to shake. Volatility can go up. Regardless of the short-term, Bitcoin is set to grow.
Namaste.
The point to watch is whether it can rise above 106133.74
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
In order to distinguish which time frame chart the line was drawn on, it is divided into 3 types of lines.
You can create a trading strategy by responding to the support and resistance points or sections drawn on the chart depending on whether there is support or not.
-
The left is an example of when the support and resistance points were first created, and the right is an example of what it looked like after that.
To draw support and resistance points, you need to understand the arrangement of candles.
By checking how the candles are arranged, you can draw support and resistance points or sections like the example chart.
To draw support and resistance points or sections on a time frame chart like this, you need to check the arrangement of candles while minimizing the chart as much as possible.
-
Indicators are used to draw this work using more objective information.
That is, lines are drawn at the DOM(60), DOM(-60), HA-High, and HA-Low indicator points.
In this way, you will be able to reduce your subjective thoughts as much as possible.
Reducing your subjective thoughts will ensure the reliability of the drawn support and resistance points or sections.
-
Going back and drawing support and resistance points or sections with the arrangement of candles means that there must have been movement of candles in the past.
Therefore, if the candle moves to a point where there is no trace of the past, you can no longer draw support and resistance points or sections.
In terms of compensating for this shortcoming, it may be more useful to use indicators to display support and resistance points or sections.
-
The DOM indicator is an indicator that comprehensively evaluates the DMI + OBV + MOMENTUM indicators.
If the DOM indicator is 60 or higher, it means that all indicators have risen above their highest value.
If the DOM indicator is -60 or lower, it means that all indicators have fallen below their lowest value.
The fact that the DOM(60) indicator was created means that it is likely to enter the high point range.
The fact that the DOM(-60) indicator was created means that it is likely to enter the low point range.
Therefore, the DOM(60) indicator is likely to correspond to the resistance point, and the DOM(-60) indicator is likely to correspond to the support point.
Since the DOM indicator is displayed on the Close value, it has the disadvantage of being difficult to respond immediately when the actual DOM indicator is created.
However, once it is created, it will faithfully perform the role of support and resistance.
-
The HA-Low and HA-High indicators are indicators created to determine the trading point from the Heikin-Ashi candle.
Accordingly, the plotted point corresponds to the average value.
Therefore, the HA-Low and HA-High indicator points have the disadvantage of being expressed differently from the candle's value.
As you can see from the formulas of the HA-Low and HA-High indicators, the RSI value is included in the conditions of the formula.
The fact that the HA-Low indicator was created means that the price rose from the low point range.
Therefore, the HA-Low indicator corresponds to the support point.
The fact that the HA-High indicator was created means that the price fell from the high point range.
Therefore, the HA-High indicator corresponds to the resistance point.
Therefore, we basically have a trading strategy of buying when the HA-Low indicator is created and selling when the HA-High indicator is created.
-
It is not clear whether the actual support and resistance points or sections are supported or resisted.
However, as time passes, we can see whether it is supported or resisted.
To help determine whether it is supported or resisted, we use the StochRSI indicator and OBV indicator as auxiliary indicators.
-----------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
It is showing an upward trend above the DOM (60) indicator displayed at the current candle position.
And, if StochRSI rises above 80 and maintains the price, the possibility of an upward trend will increase.
If the auxiliary indicator StochRSI indicator rises in the oversold zone and OBV rises above the High Line, the upward trend will be guaranteed.
The previous DOM (60) indicator is formed near the Fibonacci ratio 2 (106178.85).
Therefore, the point of observation is whether it can rise above that.
If it rises and maintains the price, it is expected to renew the ATH.
If not, and it falls below the HA-High indicator or the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart,
1st: 97226.92
2nd: M-Signal on the 1W chart
You should check for support near the 1st and 2nd above.
-
This volatility period is expected to continue until May 20.
However, volatility may also occur around May 23 (May 22-24) and around May 27 (May 26-28), so you should be careful of volatility until May 28.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- This is an explanation of the big picture.
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
I rewrote the previous chart to update it by touching the Fibonacci ratio range of 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10).
(Previous BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015 and has been rising.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year uptrend and faces a 1-year downtrend.
Accordingly, the uptrend is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(Current BTCUSD 12M chart)
Based on the currently written Fibonacci ratio, it shows up to 3.618 (178910.15).
Fibonacci ratio 0.618 (44234.54) is not expected to fall again.
(BTCUSDT 12M chart)
I think it is around 42283.58 when looking at the BTCUSDT chart.
-
I will explain it again with the BTCUSD chart.
The Fibonacci ratio ranges marked in the light green boxes, 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10) and 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83), are expected to be important support and resistance ranges.
In other words, it seems likely to act as a volume profile range.
Therefore, in order to break through this section upward, I think the point to watch is whether it can rise with support near the Fibonacci ratios of 1.618 (89126.41) and 2.618 (134018.28).
Therefore, the maximum rising section in 2025 is expected to be the 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83) section.
To do that, we need to look at whether it can rise with support near 2.618 (134018.28).
If it falls after the bull market in 2025, we don't know how far it will fall, but considering the previous decline, we expect it to fall by about -60% to -70%.
So, if the decline starts near the Fibonacci ratio 3.14 (157451.83), it seems likely that it will fall to around Fibonacci 0.618 (44234.54).
I will explain more details when the downtrend starts.
------------------------------------------------------
Bitcoin 6th Consecutive Week Green? Not Yet But...Wait! We are not there yet but I will explain this is good even if this turns out not to be the final outcome.
The last time that Bitcoin produced 6 weeks green in a row was October 2023. Yes, you guessed it, when Bitcoin moved above ~$30,000 for the first time after the bear market and this led to now, a new All-Time High of $110,000.
The same development now, in May 2025, sends a very strong warning for the bears and a super strong signal for the bulls. This means that a rise can continue to happen—because it is already underway with 5-weeks green—toward $200,000 or higher.
Even if the week were to close red the truth is that Bitcoin is rising with strong bullish momentum and a red week within the uptrend is nothing more than consolidation.
The current week has a long lower shadow which is bullish. The candle body being red or green would be irrelevant as the candle would still be a Doji which in this case means neutral. Neutral on the rise means that the previous candle and market dynamics is the predominant factor; in short, the uptrend continues.
Now, the possibilities are in our favor being right 100% choose to follow Bitcoin will keep on growing and now for more than 1.5 months and this is great. The Altcoins will BOOM! as soon as Bitcoin hits $110,000 and the best news is that this is not the end, only the start.
We are looking at the strongest bullish signal since October 2023. Bitcoin closing six consecutive weeks green. This would only confirm what is already happening and what we already know. The 2025 bull market is on.
Let's add a little bit more of support to our analysis because some people are lost. Leave comment with your thoughts.
The RSI, weekly, reads 64.64 this is super strong. Basic.
A strong RSI is needed for a massive rise and at the same time, read this, there is plenty of room available for additional growth and we are back to the terminology we used back in December 2017. Nice isn't it?
Here is the chart:
The weekly MACD is ultra-hyper bullish:
The MACD bullish cross came in just now and this with the MACD reversing above zero, within the bullish zone. Basically, the MACD hit bottom and is ready to grow. "Plenty of room available for growth." Literally, in front of a major advance.
The last time the MACD looked like this was in October 2024. Before the major new ATH everything my people... This is it! Bitcoin LONG only bullish.
Ok, let's continue.
The short-term doesn't matter it is up-confirmed until late 2025. $200,000 more or less confirmed. Who cares about the noise?
Finally, Bitcoin is easily trading above ALL moving averages.
Comment & follow...
Namaste.
btc . recap . w3 . maymon to eager . wait mon to show its hand - cw!
. early LONG compound because of the bullish outlook
- tp2 108462
tue didn't ride momentum - blind bullish
. tp1 HIT
. missed SHORT at 10pm (UTC+2)
- should have traded the momentum of mon looking to form support during the week later . for more compound LONG
wed mid of range . cw
. no trade zone
thu
. waiting for run of aLow during ny
. compound LONG - 101485
. tp1 HIT
fri didnt catch enough upward momentum
. tp1 HIT
. last limit order for bullish continuation . tpo - 102862.5
wknd
. tp1 for weekly LONG idea finally hit
. duration 5d 22h
. +4.33%
conclusion :
trade what you see, go with momentum, but have a narrative.
outlook :
america downgraded from AAA to AA+ . People will turn hardcore bearish, once the price starts falling. this could be the trigger to find the long awaited drop - while having retail call out a bearmarket . massive potential here, to both sides. wOpen and monday full data (while keeping an close eye on tpo and footprint charts), are key .
Bitcoin tests 105,000 with a view to breakout Bitcoin continues to consolidate. A sure sign of a strong bull market.
The market is not allowing the price to approach the key support 101400 and is forming a strong limit level in the 102500 area.
Scenario: I am waiting for a retest of 105000 resistance and if bitcoin remains consolidated above 103500 - 103800 and continues to test 105000, another retest of consolidation resistance could lead to a breakout and a rise towards ATH
An additional condition may be the consolidation of the price above 105000.
Bitcoin: 106K Breakout To 113K Resistance.Bitcoin is attempting to break out of a minor consolidation which is a typical momentum continuation pattern. The updated wave count illustrates the potential (113K area) IF this breakout follows through over the coming week. While the structure is clearly bullish, I suspect this is a 5th of a 5th wave relative to the wave structure dating back to the 2017 peak (weekly chart). For traders this offers plenty of opportunities particularly on the long side, BUT for investors this means the higher it goes, the GREATER the risk. In other words, a break out to new highs should be considered an opportunity to take profits or reduce risk. Wave 5's typically appear to be the "best" time to get involved in a market, but offer the LEAST potential and the greatest risk.
I was not able to write my analysis over the previous week because I was hosting the ICTC 2025 (link in signature). My analysis the week before that was still bullish but I was anticipating a broader retrace which never materialized. Again the key in this game is ADJUSTING, not getting stuck on opinions. IF the 106K is compromised, and the daily candle closes strong, the breakout is more likely to follow through. This can lead price back to the 109K all time high. Since Wave 5's typically go higher than the Wave 3 peak, the next price objective is the 113K area which is proportional to Wave 1 on this impulse (similar length) when projected from the consolidation breakout (see illustration).
It is possible that Wave 5 can extend further, because the broader price structure is bullish. The mistake to avoid is thinking "it's just getting started". The further it goes, the greater the risk. Longer term investors are MOST vulnerable in situations like this because they are more likely to follow the "hype" that surrounds such moves while be completely ignorant to the shrinking shorter term potential. Wave 5's often characterize the idea that the majority of participants who were going to buy have bought, which means there will be much less potential demand in the near future.
This concept is NOT to be confused with long term fundamentals which often don't change. What changes is the sentiment and sentiment is what motivates price. The recent corrective move to the 76K low also illustrates this phenomenon. Fundamentally there was no reason for price to be pushing such lows. Such a move was provoked by the "perceived" risks brought on by the tariff drama which we know now was nothing more than a knee jerk reaction and an enormous buying opportunity for those who have the ability to see through the hype (read my analysis of that time).
In my opinion the best way to navigate this market is on smaller time frames. Anywhere from 1 minute to 4H offers more precise price references to mitigate risk from. Another consideration is if you plan to trade the broader time frame, use smaller than usual sizing if you plan to dollar cost average into higher prices. The trend is clearly BULLISH which means support levels are more likely to hold while resistances are likely to break. Expect more from longs and LESS from shorts. Short setups, while tempting are going to be lower probability. This should only be done by more experienced traders who understand how to manage the elevated risk. This is the mindset I will maintain UNTIL the market proves otherwise.
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
BTC/USD 4H Chart targets and stoplossHello everyone, let's look at the 4H BTC to USD chart, in this situation we can see how the price has come out of the downtrend channel on top, and the upward movement after leaving the channel is close to the height of the downtrend channel.
Let's start by defining the targets for the near future that the price has to face:
However, at the beginning we can see how the price is struggling with a strong resistance zone from $103882 to $108349. Next, we have potential targets:
T1 = 112,740 USD
T2 = 116,525 USD
Т3 = 120,000 USD
Now let's move on to stop-loss in case the market continues to fall:
SL1 = 100,551 USD
SL2 = 97,446 USD
SL3 = 92,525 USD
SL4 = 88,286 USD
The RSI indicator shows that in the 4H interval, the movement is at the upper limit of the range, which clearly affects the sideways movement on the chart.