According to the BTC/USDT 1-day chart !According to the BTC/USDT 1-day chart, the strong resistance level around $67,800 is an important area to watch for the following reasons:
The $67,800 level historically serves as a significant resistance point, closely aligning with the upper boundary of the recent supply zone. Many traders and investors have likely placed sell orders or profit-taking levels around this price, increasing the chances of BTC hitting resistance when it approaches this area.
The price currently respects the descending trendline and the $67,800 level is aligned with this trendline resistance. This convergence of factors strengthens the resistance, making it an important area to monitor for potential selling pressure.
Based on recent price action, trading volumes usually decrease when BTC reaches higher resistance levels, but strong volume rejection around $67,800 could trigger bearish momentum. On the other hand, a breakout above this level with strong volumes could signal a significant bullish momentum.
As BTC approaches the $70,000 mark, levels like $67,800 become psychologically important, where traders may turn cautious, and large sell orders may accumulate, acting as a barrier.
If BTC breaks above $67,800 decisively with strong volumes and momentum, it could signal a trend reversal and a potential move toward the $72,000 – $75,000 range.
Rejection at this level and other bearish signals (such as overbought conditions or trendline resistance) could lead to a retreat to lower support levels around $60,000 or $55,000.
Do you want me to adjust the analysis or add more details on a specific aspect?
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes and is not financial advice. Always stay updated with market movements and adjust your trading strategies as needed.
You can DM us for information on any other altcoin.
@Peter_CSAdmin
1-BTC
Bitcoin Enters ‘Uptober’ After Exiting Q3 Flat: What to ExpectCrypto traders are keen to see another ‘Uptober’ — a term coined by the community to describe the outsized gains in Bitcoin prices for October. Historically, in eight of the last 11 Octobers the original cryptocurrency has pulled ahead big time. So what’s it gonna be this time? There’s a lot to unpack — let’s ride.
Bitcoin prices BTC/USD signed off for September at just over $63,000 per coin, with a modest (by crypto standards) 8% rise . But if you zoom out to wrap up the third quarter, you’ll see that prices stayed flat, tight-lipped and straight up boring. Bitcoin barely realized a gain — it went up by less than 1% for the September quarter but seesawed like there’s no tomorrow.
In true crypto fashion, the fire-breathing beast feeding on volatility went as low as $49,600 and as high as $70,000 — a wide gap of 40% from top to bottom. All who’ve been in crypto long enough are familiar with the stomach-churning volatility that can make even the most disciplined traders doubt their choices.
Speaking of volatility, traders are now bracing for what’s historically shaping up to be a solid month for Bitcoin gains. October, dubbed by crypto faithful as “Uptober,” is already here and brings with it a whole new wave of expectations.
Here’s why that is:
October 2023 — Bitcoin was up 27% .
October 2022 — Bitcoin was up 6%.
October 2021 — Bitcoin was up 40%.
October 2020 — Bitcoin was up 30%.
October 2019 — Bitcoin was up 10%.
October 2018 — Bitcoin was down 5%.
October 2017 — Bitcoin was up 50%.
October 2016 — Bitcoin was up 15%.
October 2015 — Bitcoin was up 38%.
October 2014 — Bitcoin was down 12%.
October 2013 — Bitcoin was up 69%.
What you see is that October performance is a thing — traders are already on the edge of their seats in anticipation of the next leg up. But before that, there’s a mosaic of data that needs to pan out.
Nonfarm payrolls (NFP) data (drops October 4): The good old jobs report will show how many new workers joined the US economy in September. Fairly low expectations this time — Wall Street is eyeballing 144,000 new jobs, about the same as the previous month . The NFP figure will be complemented by the unemployment rate, expected to stay flat month-on-month at 4.2%.
Consumer price index (drops October 10): US inflation is another big report that is likely to shake up the crypto landscape . For September, prediction gurus expect inflation to keep moving toward the Federal Reserve’s 2% target from an August clip of 2.5% . Lower inflation is good for solidifying prospects of interest rate cuts. And that is super good for the broader investment world, cash flows and overall liquidity across markets.
Retail sales (drops October 17): retail sales are a solid measure of consumer spending. The more people buy expensive watches and things they don’t necessarily need, the better reading this report will carry. In other words, a strong retail sales figure will breathe more confidence in investors looking to jam cash into risk assets (yes, crypto included ).
All that good stuff is likely to shape the trajectory of Bitcoin prices. But — and maybe even more important in the long run — these three data dumps will help the Federal Reserve decide if it’s a good idea to chop down the interest rate and how much, following the super-sized 50-bps slash . Rate moves and broad monetary policy decisions are likely to have an impact on Bitcoin, which has been increasingly sensitive to macroeconomic winds.
For the technical minds, there is an interesting technical analysis pattern that might be worth looking into. A descending parallel channel is in the works, tracing its origins back to March 14, 2024. Fun fact: that’s the all-time record high for Bitcoin when prices peaked at more than $73,000 a pop .
Since then, prices have been gradually losing their momentum, painting lower highs and lower lows. The latest bottom (September 6), which has provided enough resistance for a solid bounce, is sitting at $52,500. The next potential leg up is expected to take the price all the way up to around $67,000 in the short term, while the next potential leg down could pressure prices to a fresh low of $51,500 in the medium term.
As traders set their sights on "Uptober," excitement is in the air, but it's not all confetti and moon rockets. October has a track record of delivering some big numbers, yes. But keep in mind that it’s not just a monthly performance number — behind it is an underlying force that has powered the price. So, should you blindly trust in historical performance? You could. But more importantly, you’ll likely be better off by preparing for what’s coming.
Potential bullish rise?The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) has reacted off the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could rise to the 38.2% Fibonacci resistance.
Pivot: 60,560.68
1st Support: 59,460.98
1st Resistance: 62,628.12
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The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
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Support zone: 16.02-17.52
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-------------------------------------
(BITO 1M chart)
As a spot ETF chart, the HA-Low indicator is formed at the 16.02 point.
Therefore, the key is whether it can receive support near or above 16.02 and rise above 19.50.
It seems that StochRSI will enter the oversold zone and the slope will change.
Accordingly, the area around 16.02 is expected to be an important support and resistance zone.
-
(1W chart)
The point where the BW indicator of the 1W chart forms a horizontal line from the lowest point (0) is around 19.50.
Therefore, I think that it is likely to turn into an uptrend if it rises above 19.50 and is supported.
Since the M-Signal of the 1W and 1M charts is passing above 19.50, I think it supports the fact that it is an important point.
-
(1D chart)
The BW line of the 1D chart is created at the 19.13 point.
Therefore, the key is whether it can be supported near 17.52, the HA-Low indicator point of the 1D chart, and rise above 19.50.
If not, you should check if it can be supported around 16.02.
If it shows support in the HA-Low (16.02) of the 1M chart ~ HA-Low (17.52) of the 1D chart, it is a time to buy.
The reason is that the HA-Low indicator has been created, which means that a low point has been formed.
-
If it falls below 16.02, it is expected to rise around 13.79 or higher.
-
Based on the current price position,
- In order to turn into a short-term uptrend, it must rise above 19.50,
- In order to turn into a medium- to long-term uptrend, it is expected to rise above 25.19.
- In order for a full-fledged uptrend to begin, the price must rise above the HA-High indicators of the 1D, 1W, and 1M charts and maintain the price.
Currently, the HA-High indicator of the 1D chart is created at 32.12.
-
Have a nice time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that the real uptrend will start after rising above 29K.
The area expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are the points where resistance is likely to be encountered in the future. We need to see if we can break through these points.
We need to see the movement when we touch this section because I think we can create a new trend in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start by creating a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
The key is whether there is support near the M-Signal on the 1W
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(BTCUSDT 1M chart)
It has entered the 2nd section (56K-61K) again.
The key is whether it can receive support near the 2nd section.
-
(1D chart)
The key is whether it can receive support near 60672.0-61099.25 and rise above 61759.99.
When a new candle is created around 60672.0-61099.25, it is necessary to check whether StochRSI enters the oversold zone.
If it has entered the oversold zone, it seems likely to receive support near 59053.55 and turn upward.
If not, it is likely to continue to decline further.
-
The volatility period is around October 5-10 (maximum October 4-11).
Therefore, the point of observation is whether it falls below 56150.01-56950.56 or rises above 66676.87-68249.88 after passing this volatility period.
---------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT.P 1h chart)
As it fell below 5EMA on the 1D chart, HA-Low on the 1h chart was newly created.
However, it is showing a downward trend without being supported by HA-Low.
It is currently below 5EMA and M-Sigal on the 1D chart, and is located near M-Signal on the 1W chart.
Accordingly, based on the 60651.2-61149.5 section,
- Check for support near 5EMA or M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart when rising
- When falling
1st: 59409.3
2nd: 56975.0
Check for support near the 1st and 2nd above
You can create a trading strategy like the above.
If it rises above 61149.5, there is a possibility that HA-Low on the 1h chart will be created again.
At this time, whether HA-Low is supported is important.
-
Currently, the point where the HA-High indicator on the 1D chart was created is 64716.7, so it is expected that the upward trend will continue if it rises above this point.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that a full-scale upward trend will begin when it rises above 29K.
The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
BTC: Oops!tober Just Getting StartedFrom the previous chart of BTC the correlation of down trend in this bull market is a norm matter. Just watch how the market would create decision for more interest rate cut revival.
If BTC is doing its Head and Shoulders pattern. It would attract more buyers at the bottom.
The Diamond Shape in blue color is a Mini Diamond in the previous Big Diamond drafted.
Bitcoin Head and Shoulders PatternInversed Bitcoin chart to showcase this thesis. Not much to this idea but I would recommend saving this chart for the trendlines and levels that I have highlighted. Happy trading and happy charting my friends. We are almost there.
Here are my price predictions:
End of September - $58,000~61,000
End of October - $66,000~69,000
End of Year - $80,000~100,000
BTC Downtrend Scenario and Key LevelsBTC seems like it is following this daily downtrend channel, and seems to be reversing from the top of the channel.
All the timeframes (Daily, 4H, 1H, and 15 Min) are screaming downtrend.
We saw that it retested the downtrend resistance at 61125 level and looks like it might retest it. We have 5 minutes left in 4H timeframe so will need to wait for it to close and see how price reacts to it.
Will wait for short long entry if the price breaks the 15 min key level and will have the target at the 1 Hour Key Level. (But chances are low).
I feel like we will go down further till 59200 area where the 1 Hour strong demand zone is. If we break that, then we might see 54000 - 50000.
Waiting on the sidelines until I see any clear structure or pattern forming. I feel safe that way.
Good luck and happy trading!
BITCOIN → False breakout of $ 65,000. What's next ↓ ?BINANCE:BTCUSD entered a strong buying zone (above 65K), but the bulls failed to realize the potential. The price returned in the channel boundaries, eliminating the positively-minded... A false breakout is forming relative to 65K.
After the liquidation and strong impulse, a small correction is formed, directed to the imbalance zone. The retest may end with the bears holding the defense below 65K, in this case the price may start a gradual decline due to the lack of opportunity to break through 65K (in this case the all-time favorite pattern “Head and Shoulders” may form here). The focus is on the support 62745, below which an ogrom pool of liquidity is formed, if the price enters this zone, the market may spill down.... The global range of 65K - 55K is still relevant. It is not excluded that the resistance can be broken quickly, but for the moment the fight for 65K is still going on... Bears will be able to confirm their victory provided the price consolidates below 62800.
Resistance levels: 65K, 66K
Support levels: 62745, 61320
As the fight for 65K continues, the bulls may make another attempt on the background of the retest. If they will be able to consolidate above the 65-66K zone, the price will head to the global resistance - 68-69K, where a more serious, fierce struggle will develop...
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:BTCUSDT ;)
Regards R. Linda!
BTC - Daily, a Pullback before the bullish rallyI’m bullish on BINANCE:BTCUSDT for the higher timeframes and expect a new all-time high (ATH) by late 2024 or early 2025. However, in the short term, my strategy signals a potential pullback. I’ll take a short at the $66K zone and look to add to my crypto assets if the price drops to the $60K zone again, just like in my previous trades. This could be a great scalp opportunity while still preparing for the longer-term rally.
Bitcoin drops as risk appetite take a hitRisk assets took a tumble on reports a a senior US official has revealed that Iran may soon launch a ballistic missile attack against Israel. The US is helping Israel prepare its defenses, warning that such an attack would have serious consequences for Iran. This development comes after Israel escalated its military operations against Tehran-backed Hezbollah in southern Lebanon.
Along other risk assets, Bitcoin fell and broke a key short-term support level around $63,000. This level marked the most recent before BTC/USD bulls launched another attempt to push price above the 200-day average at $64,000 and resistance around $65,000. While Bitcoin breached this zone to briefly climb above $66,500, it couldn't hold onto those gains, falling back relatively sharply in the last two trading sessions. As a result, BTC has now broken its short-term bullish trend line.
If BTC now stays below the broken $63K support level, this could potentially lead to further follow-up technical selling towards the next key support around $60,000.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
MYRO Long Spot Position (Reversal with 21 EMA Reclaim)Market Context: MYRO is showing signs of reversal by reclaiming the 21 EMA for the first time since July and turning a key resistance line into support. This offers a promising risk-to-reward trade if the price continues moving upward.
Trade Setup:
Entry: Around $0.082.
Take Profit:
First target: $0.115
Second target: $0.16
Third target: $0.22
Fourth target: $0.26
Stop Loss: Daily close below $0.074.
This setup has a favorable risk-to-reward profile if the upward momentum holds. #MYRO #CryptoReversal
APT Long Spot Position (Inverse Head and Shoulders Breakout)Market Context: APT is breaking out from an inverse head and shoulders pattern, holding the 200 EMA as support while flipping previous resistance. The key resistance level to clear is $9.8, which could trigger rapid price expansion.
Trade Setup:
Entry: Dollar-cost average (DCA) between $8 and $6.8.
Take Profit:
First target: $9.8
Second target: $12
Third target: $14
Stop Loss: Daily close under $6.
This setup looks solid for a breakout continuation if resistance is cleared. #APT #Crypto
BTC can Reach $125k If It Manages to Break this ... !!As I mentioned last year, Bitcoin could return to its peak, and it has. Now, as you can see, Bitcoin is in a cup and handle pattern on the weekly timeframe. This can be an incredibly strong signal for a price increase. If the breakout happens, Bitcoin's price could reach $125,000 in the new year, which is not far-fetched, just like the AB=CD pattern.
previous Analysis
Bitcoin - Time to buy again!
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The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
October, ScenariosIn the previous update, we presented the Triangle scenario in wave . It is shown on the left. This scenario is supported by the robust structure of the Triple Three wave pattern and the traditionally positive seasonality for Bitcoin in the October-December period. For instance, the average monthly growth of BTC in October is 19.6% (since August 2017).
Are there potential corrective alternatives? Perhaps the most promising one is the formation of a Diagonal from 49000. This is also a bullish scenario but requires much more time to develop and suggests significant fluctuations in the 50-68k range over the next two months. The scenario will start to become relevant if the pullback from 66498 does not conclude at the current levels and evolves into a full-fledged correction. Crossing 57493 would invalidate the Triangle scenario, switching us to the Diagonal.
The weak point of the Diagonal scenario is that the preceding segment is hard to decompose into quality waves. Meanwhile, market operators have a strong temptation to hit the "weak hands" of margin buyers, driven by FOMO and the expectation of an ATH.
Bullish Surge or Bearish Breakdown? The Key Zones to Watch for BThe chart displays a critical support zone marked in Blue, ranging from $61,800 to $62,605.62. If the price of Bitcoin stays above this zone, it signals strength in the market, and we could see buyers stepping in, leading to a potential rally. In this case, the next target would be the descending Red trendline, which indicates the area of resistance where sellers might push the price back down. A breakout above this trendline could open the door for further bullish movement, possibly toward higher levels beyond $69,000
On the other hand, if Bitcoin fails to maintain its price above the Blue support zone, the next level to watch is the minor support at $59,791.23. This could become the next line of defense for buyers, but if the selling pressure persists and the price falls through this level, the market could target the broader Green support zone between $57,061.68 and $57,738.70. This area has previously served as a strong support, meaning it could potentially halt the decline. However, if this zone also breaks, the market may face a deeper correction.
According to our analysis, the price of Bitcoin will bounce back from the Blue support zone but if the price fails to hold the support zone Blue and drop from here the price might bounce from the Green support zone and not go further deeper.
ETH breakout??Ethereum has generally been falling behind this Bullrun with some disappointing PA. Currently RTH finds itself able to prove some LTF strength with a breakout play on the 15m timeframe.
After trending to the downside over the weekend ETH has hit a bullish OB and reacted well off that level that coincided with the bottom of the channel. Price has now broken out to the upside, retraced to test that level as new support and it's here where R;R is strong should ETH show some strength and push upward.
Some points of confluence would be the 200ema now trending up and is at the same support level as the trendline, I'd like to see good support here.
Easy invalidation would be a break in structure at the local low, along with a loss of the 200ema & trendline support. BTC's behaviour also a factor in this move too as it always is when HTF chop occurs.
9/30 Market Surge: SP500, Crypto, and Whale AccumulationOverview:
The AMEX:SPY closed strongly today, spurred by dovish remarks from Jerome Powell during a press conference. Powell signaled that the economy is cooling and reiterated the Federal Reserve’s commitment to achieving 2% inflation. As a result, 61% of traders now anticipate a 1 basis point rate cut in November, while 39% expect a 2 basis point cut. The AMEX:SPY had been gradually sliding earlier in the day, but Powell’s comments fueled a rally, allowing the index to engulf Friday’s red candle. Trading volume for the SPY ETF more than tripled during the press conference, reaching levels similar to Wednesday, September 18, when the recent rate cut was announced. Bullish.
The tech ETF NASDAQ:QQQ didn’t manage to engulf Friday’s candle but still saw a solid rally, accompanied by trading volume that was 10x higher than usual.
BlackRock continued its buying spree, acquiring $72.2 million worth of BTC, which is below their usual $118 million purchases. Over the past six days, BlackRock has accumulated nearly half a billion dollars worth of BTC and an additional $100 million of ETH. Is this how whales are dollar-cost averaging into the market?
BTC TA:
W: BINANCE:BTCUSD saw a sharp sell-off originating from Asia early Monday. Despite this, it remains above the Bollinger Band MA at $62.8k. The point of control for the current bull move is at $63k, with key weekly and daily resistance at $64k. BTC must hold within the $63k-64k range to maintain the bullish trend; failing to do so could signal one of the year’s largest bull traps.
D: The recent correction has halted precisely at the point of control, where the most trading activity occurs. However, the RSI remains overbought at 73.4, and the MACD shows bearish histogram divergence. Bearish.
4h: On shorter timeframes, RSI has moved into oversold territory. Additionally, the VWAP oscillator has crossed above the 0 line, signaling short-term bullishness. A rebound to the $64.7k Fibonacci 0.618 level is possible. Bullish in the short term.
1h: Price broke through the weekly and monthly resistance at $64 k but is struggling to maintain this level due to significant selling pressure. Neutral to bearish.
Altcoins Relative to BTC:
Top altcoins have started pumping again after Monday’s correction. Coins like SUI, APT, and FTM posted gains of more than 7% by early Tuesday. These altcoins have proven that the recent correction was not a bull trap and are leading the market in this cycle. Even if BTC remains range-bound, altcoins could continue to pump, interpreting the situation as a non-bear market scenario.
Bull Case:
The bull trap has been avoided, and the market has resumed its uptrend. With additional liquidity expected from future rate cuts, the correction is seen as a temporary pullback. The Federal Reserve's dovish stance increases the likelihood of more liquidity flowing into speculative assets like crypto.
Bear Case:
The market may still be caught in a massive bull trap. Altcoin buyers at these levels could find themselves overexposed if the broader market falters.
Fear and Greed Index:
Currently at 47.89, the index has pulled back from the "Greed" area and is now just below the midpoint of 50, indicating a neutral sentiment in the market.
Prediction:
If BTC fails to reclaim $64 k , sentiment may shift bearish in the near term. Conversely, reclaiming this level could pave the way for further upside, with a first target of $67k.
Bitcoin acting like a little brat.There are a lot of diverse opinions about Bitcoin, right? The only issue is, I don't know how they are completely certain that they are right! Perhaps I am overly doubtful.
----- There was a bullish flag formation on the Bitcoin *weekly* chart. To finish the flag pattern, Bitcoin needs to end September with a monthly close between $68,000 and $70,000. This is the optimal outcome. If it falls within the range of $65,000 to $68,000, it is likely to proceed but caution is advised.
----- However on the same time , a bearish triangle was formed on the *monthly* chart of Bitcoin. so if monthly close below $62,000 is considered bearish.
-----if it ends from $62,000 to $65,000, the irritating consolidation will persist.
For the benefit of altcoins, Bitcoin needs to hit $68,000. For what reason? Due to the fact that many of them have passed away and been interred! The crypto market needs $68,000 to continue operating.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
I believe BTC will hit (only hit, not closing!) $68,000-$70,000 within the upcoming days. Following that, I would patiently await the market's decision. Do not touch BTC and focus on altcoins with both eyes. TAO, FTM, SUI, CKB, and RSR appear to be in a positive trend. Some individuals like TIA,CFX,NEO,NEAR,IMX and etc have the ability to increase their daily movement by 30% to 50%. However, cash out your earnings and be patient for Bitcoin.
BTC/USDT Analysis Update 01.10.2024BTC has completed wave 3 of wave 1 (or wave A). Currently, it is progressing through wave 4, which typically retraces to the 0.382 - 0.5 Fibonacci levels. In this area, the hourly MA200 acts as a resistance level and a potential rejection zone. Moreover, there is a potential bearish divergence forming between wave 2 and wave 4, suggesting a likely decline after testing the MA200. If BTC breaks and holds above 66,200, it would invalidate this trading idea.
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BTC [1W] Cup with Handle is formedHello friends!
We have prepared an analysis of the BTC chart based on the "Cup with a handle" pattern.
At the moment, all the conditions for working out this pattern have been formed.
1. There was a bullish trend before the pattern was formed
2. The deflection in the cup is not more than 80% of the previous trend
3. The length of the handle is not more than 50% of the length of the right side of the bowl
4. All this is on a high time frame of
5. The EMA 200 enhances the pattern when the handle is located at the bottom