1-BTC
The same 100-102K target in focusMorning folks,
So, our suggestion that BTC is aimed on 100K and will keep going to it directly seems was correct. J. Yellen resigned, and it was another positive news for BTC.
Anyway, currently we see no reasons to change our trading plan. On daily chart we have bullish grabber, suggesting upward continuation.
So, it is just a few steps until the target. We suggest that some pattern could finalize this action. It might be either butterfly or 3-Drive - they have different shape but the same target. Invalidation point for this setup is 95K lows. THis is for those who trade on intraday charts.
For, greater setups we need to wait for reaction on 100K target. We do not exclude the chance of moderate pullback, so something bearish might be formed there. Let's keep watching.
Bitcoin - Will Bitcoin stabilize above $100,000?!Bitcoin is above the EMA50 and EMA200 in the 4H time frame and is trading in its ascending channel. Risk On sentiment in the US stock market or investing in Bitcoin ETF funds will lead to its continued upward movement. We will look for bitcoin selling positions in the range of the channel ceiling (weekly).
Capital withdrawals from Bitcoin ETFs or risk OFF sentiment in the US stock market will pave the way for Bitcoin to decline. The break of the charted channel will pave the way down for Bitcoin. Bitcoin buying positions can be looked for in the two specified demand zones.
It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and compliance with capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important.
Michael Saylor, founder of MicroStrategy and a prominent Bitcoin advocate, is set to present a Bitcoin investment strategy to Microsoft’s board of directors next month. On November 19, Saylor announced that he would have three minutes to outline the investment plan to the board.
This development follows Saylor’s headline-making proposal last month, where he offered to help Microsoft generate $1 trillion in revenue through a Bitcoin-based treasury strategy. In an October post on X, Saylor urged Satya Nadella to reach out if he wanted to secure the next trillion dollars for Microsoft’s shareholders.
The proposal came after reports that Microsoft shareholders would vote on a proposal to consider Bitcoin as a reserve asset. However, the board of directors blocked the proposal. Nevertheless, market observers noted that major shareholders like Vanguard, BlackRock, State Street, and Fidelity will play a critical role in the company’s final decision.
With $78 billion in cash reserves, Microsoft has made significant investments in companies such as Skype and OpenAI but has yet to allocate any funds to Bitcoin or related assets. Saylor argues that this approach is short-sighted and urges tech giants like Microsoft, Apple, and Google to consider Bitcoin as a superior alternative to cash reserves. According to Saylor, if Apple had invested $100 billion in Bitcoin, it could have grown to $500 billion, and the company would now have a $500 billion business growing at 20% annually.
Last week, altcoin trading volumes surpassed $300 billion for the first time since 2021.
Meanwhile, lawmakers in Pennsylvania have introduced a bill in the state’s House of Representatives that would allow the state treasury to allocate up to 10% of its funds to Bitcoin. If passed, the law would enable the Pennsylvania Treasurer to invest part of the state’s $9.7 billion general fund and its nearly $7 billion “rainy day” fund in Bitcoin.
Bitcoin itself has surged past $99,000, marking its largest monthly candle in several years. So far, the cryptocurrency has recorded a 40.67% monthly gain.
Donald Trump, the president-elect, has nominated Scott Bessent, a prominent hedge fund manager and cryptocurrency advocate, as the next Treasury Secretary. Bessent, founder of Key Square Group, is expected to play a pivotal role in shaping Trump’s economic policies and has supported the president-elect’s plan to establish a strategic Bitcoin reserve.
Bessent’s nomination will require Senate confirmation. If approved, he will oversee the administration’s economic agenda, including tax reforms and cryptocurrency-related policies. His extensive experience in finance and investment is expected to influence the Treasury Department’s approach to emerging financial technologies.
Google searches for Bitcoin have reached their highest level in a year.
Meanwhile, Republican Senator Cynthia Lummis of Wyoming told CNBC, “The proposal I’ve put forward, and one that President Trump has discussed, involves creating a strategic Bitcoin reserve.” She added, “This digital asset acts like a gold standard, and a strategic Bitcoin reserve is a way to integrate it into our system.”
She explained that the Federal Reserve’s 12 banks currently hold reserves that include gold certificates, which can be revalued at fair market value. Senator Lummis proposed converting these gold reserves to Bitcoin, thereby eliminating the need to print new dollars to establish this reserve.
BTC’s logarithmic bullflag targets on the monthly chart Shown here are the two bull flags that have formed since the last bull market top. Since this is on the logarithmic chart, there’s no guarantee that we can hit any of these breakout targets in the current bull market, however the smallest flags breakout target of around 199k has a much higher probability of being reached in the current bull market than the others. That being said, there is still a chance we could hit one of the 2 potential targets for the 2nd bigger flag, and even hit the highest target shown here as well which is a breakout target from a flag from 2 full bull markets ago that hasn’t yet hit its full target. Considering that logarithmic chart patterns from the higher time frames (monthly and higher) usually tend to take 2 bull markets to be reached so that does slightly raise the probability that we could hit that highest target this bull run as it is 2 bull runs after that flags breakout occurred. This probability is bolstered also by the fact that the bull flag prior to that one only took 2 bull rackets to reach its target as well.Whatever the outcome, I feel fairly confident that if not this bull run we should definitely be able to reach the 280k target by the next bull market and also very likely to reach the highest target by ext bull run as well since then it would be 3 full bull markets since that flag confirmed its breakout. Patterns worth keeping an eye on anyways regardless of how long it takes for them to reach their full targets. *not financial advice*
Bitcoin’s entire history is just a series of bullflag fractalsOn the entire bitcoin history index monthly logarithmic chart we can see how Bitcoin is nothing but bullflags. The second bullflag we broke up from took 2 bull runs to hit its full breakout target. The first one however because of how insanely long its pole is, has still yet to hit its full breakout target. It is now the 4th consecutive bull market since it broke out of the first flag though so perhaps it will reach that target this bull market, if not this market I’m confident the 1st flag will finally reach its full target next bull market. The second bull flag in the fractal series was able to hit its full target within 2 bull markets which is typically about the pace the huge macro patterns on the logarithmic chart tend to take. The other Flags since that second flag also are yet to hit their full targets but if the next flag in the series is also able to hit its full breakout target within a 2 bull market timeframe, the flags after it will also have to hit their targets as well on the way yo hitting that 3rd flags breakout target. We can see each flag seems to be getting progressively smaller as the fractal continues so odds are good the time it takes each flag to reach its full breakout target should also be getting progressively smaller as well so that would make sense. Anyways I just wanted to post a new version of the entire bitcoin history’s bullflag fractal so i could easily reference t and follow its progress for the current bull run *not financial advice*
Is Bitcoin on the Verge of a Major Crash? Warning Signs Ahead!👀👉 Bitcoin (BTC) has recently surged to all-time highs, but is the rally about to reverse? On the 1M monthly timeframe, a key horizontal resistance level is flashing warning signals. BTC appears heavily overbought, and the trend shows clear signs of overextension.
📉 Using advanced trading concepts like Wyckoff theory and ICT methodology, this video breaks down:
- How historical price action reveals similar overextended moves that led to significant pullbacks.
- Why the Fibonacci tool suggests a potential retracement to equilibrium after a parabolic price swing.
- The lack of smart money accumulation since the last major price breakout, signaling potential vulnerabilities.
🔍 We’ll examine two key scenarios:
1. Bearish Opportunity: If price action breaks structure and takes out existing range lows, it could signal a deeper correction.
2. Bullish Opportunity: If BTC trades into a discounted zone below equilibrium, this could present a strong buy opportunity for longer-term positioning.
📊 This analysis is for educational purposes only and highlights the importance of managing risk in a market known for its volatility. Past performance is no guarantee of future results—trade wisely and always assess your risk tolerance!
👉 Don’t miss this critical breakdown. Learn how to read the charts like a pro and prepare for what’s next in Bitcoin’s journey!📊
Getting closer and closer to the bullflag targetsTwo of the biggest patterns bitcoin has broken upwards from this year are both bull flags and they both have a bullish confluence measured move breakout target of around $99,999. The first one that’s been forming the longest from we actually broke upwards from all the way back n February or March, and here is what it looks like: it was all the way back then I knew we would eventually reach this target and it’s extremely satisfying to click play and watch price action go directly to the target. You can see the price target for that one shown at the chart on the top of this page at the top of the dotted purple line. The other big bull flag of this year we only just recently broke upwards from in October, and it has also had beautiful priceaction unfold perfectly shown here: Clicking play on this chart also is amazing to watch it seemingly go up and hit the exact target with the dotted red line acting as a magnet. That same dotted red line can be seen on the chart image above on this current chart idea. Even though on both of those charts it looks like we have already hit the exact target, when you zoom n on the daily time frame here you can see that we came within a whisker of hitting the $99999 target but still have only gotten just below it. IN the process recently we have been consolidating in a rising wedge (as indicated by the diagonal pink trendline) and a rising channel (the ascending red trendline + the dotted red trendline). The rising wedge also can qualify as a bullish pennant and when you factor in the pink flagpole to where price has broken above the top trendline of the wedge, the measured move target for a breakout of such a pennant is around $116k. Rising wedges default mode is to break down instead of up, but in a parabolic bull phase many of them can consecutively break upwards, I do believe at the very least price action will finally reach both the dotted red and dotted purple targets. However, since that was the full target for two of the most pivotal bullish chart patterns of the year that may actually be a good time for it to make a solid correction. We also have the psychological resistance of 100k where many people would likely take profit at which could add to the liklihood of a correction in that range. Usually once price gets this close to a psychological level it tends to hit it so it would not surprise me at all if we hit 100k before the correction, there’s also a chance we could hit the little pennants 16k breakout target before the correction too but if we correct right after 100k, right after the 115-116k target zone, or just above that at the next big resistance area around 120-130k which is the top green trendline of this series of channels on the log chart: My belief is the correction will go down to fill the gap that was created in the CME bitcoin futures chart shown here: . I think it could likely retest that zone right around the 1day 50ma (in orange) rises up to meet that zone. My goal is to wait for a pullback back around there or back to the neckline (in yellow) of the big cup and handle we broke up from just recently, I will look for those levels as potential zones to make any additional entries into the market. The cup and handle has been by far the absolute biggest chart pattern of the entire year, however the channel of the red bullflag is also the handle of the cup and handle. Will be interesting to see how much of the above plays out how I anticipate it will. *not financial advice*
$BTC Daily Update#BTC CRYPTOCAP:BTC Nicely holding given support area $95,878, resistance at $99,361, more expected resistance areas could be $100,334, $103,093, $107,461, & $112,255. As it climbs to new ATH(s), we shall discover new S/R areas. Previous 4H close showing strength to bulls, so does previous 1D close! On 1D $97,780 holds good support, current sideways movement is a very good sign for more ATH(s) to come!
Bullish momentum to extend for the Bitcoin?The price is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the pullback resistance.
Pivot: 91,689.26
1st Support: 86,579.45
1st Resistance: 99,638.15
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BTCUSD to $115K EOYUsing the Magic Linear Regression Channel by @mwrightinc, we can create a channel on the weekly chart that shows that BTC has broken out of the channel. Using the Outer Fibonacci band from the indicator, we can see where this channel break could lead to. By using a start time from a 2018 pivot low, we can see a price target of $115K with a prior retracement to the top of the channel at around $92K. With a closer pivot low start time from November of 2022, we can see that the outer fibonacci channel calls for a bounce down from around $102K, with a retracement back to GETTEX:92K at the top of the channel before heading back up.
Support near the HA-High indicator is the point of observation
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
The HA-High indicator is showing signs of being created at the 94264.99 point.
Accordingly, if the HA-High indicator is newly created, whether there is support near it is the key.
Since the HA-Low and HA-High indicators touched the indicators most of the time when they were newly created, it is expected that the HA-High indicator will be touched this time.
Therefore, the price is expected to fall.
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What we need to look at is whether it can rise when it touches the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1D chart) indicator.
If it doesn't rise, it can lead to a decline until it meets the M-Signal indicator or the HA-Low indicator on the 1W chart.
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Since the BW(100) indicator is currently created at 98892.0, it will eventually have to rise above this point to continue the upward trend.
Therefore, for now, the picture that touches the HA-High indicator and rises above the BW(100) indicator is the best picture.
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Have a good time.
Thank you.
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- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.
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(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, we can see that the increase is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we do not expect to see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
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The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.
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No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to it.
Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci.
Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
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An updated look at BTCUSD’s pi cycle If I was a betting man, it seems to me like the top white line of the pi cycle indicator (350ma) is very likely to reach the full breakout target price of the cup and handle pattern bitcoin has broken up from (at $133282) long before the lower yellow line of the pi cycle (111ma) has a chance to catch back up to it and cross above it for the pi cycle top. In fact I have a feeling we won’t even be close to the yellow one even being near the white line by the time the white line reaches that level, suggesting that we have far more upside left to go in this bull cycle. In the past most if not all pi cycle tops have happened after price action gets above the white line, so if that trend should continue we can look at whatever the white lines price action is and know theres a high probability that that means the top price bitcoin reaches this bull run wll be even higher. *not financial advice*
Why FARM Could Be the Next Big Opportunity in the MarketFARM is an asset worth paying attention to. With approximately 672,183 tokens in circulation and a market cap of around $34 million, the conditions are set for significant movement. Its low supply and potential for expansion make FARM a rare opportunity. Looking at the history of similar assets, the potential for appreciation in a scenario like this cannot be overlooked. This is an exciting moment for those looking to closely follow the growth of its market cap. BINANCE:DOTUSDT BINANCE:BTCUSD COINBASE:ETHUSD
BTCUSD - A Realistic Target? Showing a run that is very alike the 2017 one, which was an 8000% move from the low.
A move towards the top of the channel from the 2023 low is 4600% putting the price at over 770K
The blue area is just the 200MA which shows consistent support
Is this realistic? Leave comments below
Bitcoin: 100K Psych Barrier To Low 90s?Bitcoin 99,860: missed 100K by less than 200 points so far (on Coinbase). 100K is going to most likely serve as a psychological barrier which should be considered when evaluating RISK. My previous week's scenario failed to play out because the momentum from the election results is still driving order flow. Price has YET to REALLY exhibit a healthy retrace (while maintaining overall strength). The purpose of these weekly observations is NOT to forecast the future, but instead to identify the RISK and evaluate a higher probability scenario to anticipate. From there Bitcoin either delivers the attractive scenario or it does NOT. I don't control the market, I control RISK.
The arrow on the chart points to the bearish inside bar that has established a new leg of bearish momentum. Realize that this retrace has not violated any major supports and can reverse at any moment. It is also important to realize that IF this retrace persists, the 95K to 92K area is the NEXT support. IF that is cleared this week, that will open the possibility of retesting the 85 to 82K support. Such a retrace can take a week or two to unfold, all while the broader bullish structure would still be intact.
I don't have the wave counts on this chart, but from a quick glance, the recent surge appears to be a Wave 3 of a broader 5. This is inline with a greater chance of retrace (Wave 4), even if its minor before one more test of high which can test or break the 100K level at least briefly. Once a broad Wave 5 is complete, the chances of a sustained corrective cycle increase. Such a move can take a year or more to complete. This is a tendency, NOT a forecast and I don't bet on wave counts or structures, I bet on CONFIRMATIONS.
A key point to take away from this is: I look to gauge risk and evaluate how a situation can be capitalized on. I will always highlight ELEVATED risk at highs, especially all time highs when it comes to investing or swing trades. Make no mistake, I am not bearish, I am simply cautious. Low risk high probability opportunities are RARE and also relevant to the time horizon of choice. If you can't handle the possibility of Bitcoin retracing 10 to 15K points, you either need to adjust your position size or avoid altogether and wait until a higher quality opportunity appears.
My decision making process and strategies are based on typical repetitive behaviors that I have observed over years of playing this game. Outliers look glamorous BUT they cultivate bad habits. You may win this time because you bought at 95K, but over time, that same rational will cost you. Even if you leave some money on the table, it is cheaper to learn this lesson from me than it is to learn it from the market.
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.