Bitcoin can make small correction and then start to move upHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Looking at the chart, we can see how the price some time ago declined to the support level, which coincided with the buyer zone and even soon broke this level. After this, price declined a little more and then moved up inside the upward channel. In a short time, BTC broke the 56200 level again and then made a retest. After this movement, BTC rose a little more and even almost reached the resistance line of the channel, after which it turned around and declined to support line of the channel. Some time later Bitcoin rebounded from this line to the resistance line, which coincided with the resistance level with the seller zone, and tired to break it, but failed. Later, the price some time traded near this level, and a not long time ago made a fake breakout of the 63700 resistance level. Now BTC trades very close to this level, therefore I think that the price can correct almost to the support line and then start to grow to the resistance line of the upward channel, thereby breaking the resistance level. For this case, I set my TP at 67250 points, which coincides with the resistance line. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
1-BTC
GOLD H4 Analysis And Route Map For Next Move - BullishPair Name = XAUUSD
Timeframe = H4
Analysis = technical + fundamentals
Trend = Bullish
Please see the Above chart To see The Gold Next Moves.
We are currently in new Price Ranges. But we are also using our previous analysis and data to Follow the exact Path.
Currently We Can see between two strong support and Resistance levels. As we can see at chart 2650 Gold Price level and 2670 Gold Price level.
EMA 5 is indicating the trend of the market. EMA Cross over can range between 2655 to 2650. That indicates if Price breaks this level. Then we will see a small retesting period.
This kind market allow us to buy the dip and cash another next trend move.
Strongest retesting zone exists between the price level 2615 to 2600 price level.
EMA 5 Crossing levels:-
2650 To 2655
Retracement Zone:-
2600 To 2615
Bullish Gold Levels:-
2673
2690
Bearish Gold Levels:-
2650
2615
2600
2589
Stay tune we Will update again when market will give up another good direction move. With Different different time frame we check the market to get the Accurate analysis according market next move.Happy trading.
9/24 Markets on Edge: Is the Bull Run Here to Stay?Overview:
It might seem like the markets have been rallying for the last four trading days, following the recent interest rate cut. The AMEX:SPY formed a bullish spinning top candlestick pattern on Friday and Monday, followed by another green candle on Tuesday. We remain in a bullish trend with no clear signs of reversal. However, it's worth noting that we still haven’t reached a new all-time high and haven't posted a solid green candle engulfing previous ones. The AMEX:SPY hasn’t even surpassed the highest trading price recorded last Thursday. Essentially, we're hovering at the market's peak, deciding whether to kick off a new bull cycle or face a potential downturn.
NASDAQ:QQQ also closed positively, but the candlestick pattern is similar to SPY. On Tuesday, the Federal Reserve reported the S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Index, which tracks housing price increases in 20 major U.S. cities. While housing is still appreciating, it’s doing so at a slightly slower pace than anticipated. In July, it rose by 5.9% year-over-year, compared to an expected 6% and the previous reading of 6.5%. The primary driver of home prices is borrowing costs, particularly reflected in mortgage rates. Typically, a 1% increase or decrease in mortgage rates correlates with a 10% change in property values. As interest rates decrease, so do mortgage rates, influencing home prices.
Average 30-year fixed mortgage rates dropped from 7.22% in May to 6% in mid-September, translating to a 12.2% increase in housing prices. Therefore, the Case-Shiller Index could see a significant rise, especially if the Fed cuts rates twice more by year-end.
The Consumer Confidence Index, distinct from the Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index, also dropped to 98.7 in September, nearing the bottom of its narrow range over the past two years. This is the steepest decline since August 2021, with all five components of the index deteriorating. Consumers’ views on current business conditions and the labor market have turned negative. Additionally, expectations for future labor market conditions, business conditions, and income have all worsened. While this drop is significant, it’s not as severe as during the Dotcom Bubble or the Subprime Mortgage Crisis.
Fidelity and Bitwise are slowly dipping their toes into the BTC ETF market, while Grayscale and BlackRock remain on the sidelines. The ETH ETF remains untouched. It’s possible that the recent surge in buying is driven by retail investors. We might need to reconsider the importance of ETF metrics, as they’ve become just another market participant without any apparent insider knowledge. For instance, BlackRock made its largest BTC ETF purchase between February 27th and March 14th when BTC's price ranged from $51K to $73K. On March 12th, they purchased $849 million worth of BTC at a closing price of $71.4K, leaving them in a loss since then.
Weekly : This week’s BINANCE:BTCUSD candle is above the Bollinger Band moving average, but it’s still intersecting the $64 k weekly level. If this price holds, it could signal a major bullish trend. For now, it’s still leaning bearish.
Daily : Tuesday’s price action pushed us above the weekly $64 k level. The daily candle appears stronger compared to the previous four spinning tops. RSI is approaching overbought territory but hasn’t crossed the 70 mark, and there are no MACD divergences.
4-Hour : The bearish MACD divergence persists, now visible in RSI as well. Three consecutive candles are holding above $64K. Lower timeframes will reveal how many attempts were made to break this level and if previous resistance has turned into support. The price is at the top of the Bollinger Bands.
1-Hour ): On Tuesday, September 24th, at 10 AM, there was a decisive candle indicating an unsuccessful attempt by American bears to break the $62.9K level. The VR VP point of control is precisely at this level, with significant bullish buy orders absorbing the selling pressure. Volume nearly doubled to 1.1 million on Coinbase, compared to an average of 278k. Subsequent candles showed higher volume and a higher low. Once the selling pressure was absorbed, the price began to rise and broke the resistance level. Since the breakout, the price has tested the old resistance level three times but successfully rebounded, closing higher above the Bollinger Band moving average.
This breakout was confirmed by a CVD (Cumulative Volume Delta) bullish divergence, available on TradingView. It shows the difference between buying and selling pressure in the market, especially on the 1-hour timeframe. During the 10, 11, and 12 AM candles, a higher low was formed compared to the previous price low, but the CVD indicated a lower low. This suggests that even with immense selling pressure, buy orders were absorbing the sell orders, pushing the price higher.
Alts Relative to BTC:
While major market indices and BTC might appear flat and indecisive, altcoins are experiencing explosive growth. Since the rate cut, the following alts have surged:
TAO: +70% SUI: +50% APT: +37% NEAR: +30% RNDR: +30%
Alts had ample room for growth as many collapsed faster than BTC. In early September, SUI and NEAR reached their "BTC ETF approval" price levels from January 10th, while APT hit its 2023 bottom price. It still has another 9% to go before reaching its BTC ETF price.
Bull Case: BTC holds $64 k, all selling pressure is absorbed, and liquidity floods the market, especially after China joined the rate-cutting spree, reducing their rate from 2.3% to 2.0%.
Bear Case: It could all be one big bull trap, with deeper economic issues globally leaving people with less disposable income to gamble on speculative assets.
Fear and Greed Index: 52.83. Increasing but still in the neutral zone. There's a notable divergence: check the Fear and Greed Index chart on CoinMarketCap. The last two lows were on August 5th and September 6th, yet BTC posted a higher second low, indicating irrational fear in the market. Keep an eye on this divergence for future reference.
Bitcoin (BTC) Technical Analysis and Trade Idea👀 👉 Bitcoin has been range-bound for a while, recently reaching a key resistance level. The bullish momentum appears to be weakening. In this video, we dive into the trend, price action, and market structure, exploring various possibilities for a potential trade setup.
Disclaimer: The information provided in this video is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. 📊✅
BTC/USDT 1DAY CHART UPDATE !The chart uploaded for BTC/USDT on the 1D timeframe shows a crucial resistance level of around $64,000, as marked by the downward-sloping trendline. The chart indicates that Bitcoin has recently approached this resistance level again and is at risk of a pullback, similar to previous rejections from May and August (highlighted by the yellow circles). This trendline, combined with a bearish engulfing pattern, suggests that Bitcoin could soon face another correction, possibly dropping toward the $51,000-$52,000 support area, which aligns with the green trendline on the chart.
The descending resistance trendline supports this short-term bearish outlook, with broad downward pressure visible on both the 1D and 4H charts. If a correction occurs, the $51,000-$52,000 range would be the key support area for a potential bounce or reversal.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes and not financial advice. Always stay updated with market movements and adjust your trading strategies as needed.
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) 1-hour price action + trade planTechnical analysis for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) 1-hour price action with multiple indicators and a descending triangle pattern by Blaž Fabjan
Chart Patterns
Descending Triangle: This is a classic pattern that typically suggests consolidation, and in many cases, a breakout (especially when formed in an uptrend). The triangle seems to be nearing the apex, indicating that a breakout could happen soon.
Breakout potential: Since it's forming within an overall uptrend, the triangle suggests the possibility of a continuation of the uptrend after the consolidation.
Indicators
VMC Cipher B: The VMC Cipher B shows wave-like movements indicating market momentum and divergences. It looks like the waves are approaching a positive curve, indicating a potential bullish movement if confirmed by momentum.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI is hovering around 50.49, which shows a neutral trend at the moment. No overbought or oversold conditions are present, leaving room for upward or downward movement depending on the breakout direction.
Stochastic (14, 1, 3): The stochastic shows a level of 43.32 (blue) vs 56.91 (orange), indicating a slight bearish momentum, but it could reverse if price continues consolidating and breaks upwards.
HMA+ Histogram: The histogram appears to show bearish pressure with negative values such as -55.9, though it looks like it may start to shift upwards if there's enough buying momentum.
Volume:
The volume appears lower during consolidation, which is typical before a significant move. Watch for an increase in volume as the price approaches the end of the triangle.
Support and Resistance:
Support: Around 63,800 USDT (marked by the bottom of the triangle).
Resistance: Immediate resistance appears at around 64,200 USDT, the upper trendline of the descending triangle.
Trading Plan:
Breakout Strategy:
Bullish scenario: If BTC breaks the triangle to the upside, enter a long position after confirmation (e.g., after the price breaks above 64,200 USDT with volume). Place a stop-loss slightly below the triangle's bottom at around 63,500 USDT.
Target price: A potential upward target could be around 67,000 USDT (previous high) based on the size of the triangle.
Bearish scenario: If the price breaks below the triangle’s bottom (around 63,800 USDT) with volume, a short position can be considered. In this case, place a stop-loss just above the upper trendline of the triangle (around 64,500 USDT).
Target price: A downside target would be around 62,000 USDT, depending on how strong the downward momentum is.
Risk Management:
Set a risk/reward ratio of at least 1:2, considering the uncertainty of the consolidation period.
Adjust your position size to risk no more than 1-2% of your capital on the trade.
In summary, BTC is consolidating in a descending triangle within an uptrend, and a breakout in either direction is likely. Watch for volume and confirmation before taking a position, and stick to a disciplined risk management plan.
Bitcoin Breakout Imminent: $125k Target in Sight!Hey everyone!
Appreciate a like and follow if this analysis helps!
BTC is currently trading around GETTEX:64K level and as you see in the chart, it is forming a bull flag-like structure. A real bullish rally will start once it breaks out from this bull flag.
Currently, many Altcoins are up 50-100% so do not FOMO now. Wait for a pullback to open any futures trade and not sell your spot holdings. They will give you amazing returns in this bull run.
Breakout level:- Weekly close above FWB:67K
Target:- 125k by the end of the bull run.
Strategy:- Take entries when the market gives a pullback not when everything is up 100-200%
What are your thoughts on BTC's current price action? Share your analysis in the comments!
RUNE: Poised for an Imminent SurgeI’m waiting for this setup as it still shows strength. CRYPTOCAP:RUNE
There are two demand zones at the bottom, with a breaker and an S/R flip in play.
I’m anticipating that everything will become clearer after the FOMC meeting, so adjust your entry risk accordingly. Be prepared for potential whipsaw action before the market settles in any direction.
My initial target is towards the most recent highs, but if conditions improve, I’ll keep a substantial portion of the position running.
XRP Dying Star?! Or Rising Again!?XRP has been dying for years
Relative to the space XRP has been a bad hold. In the last bull run it underperformed BTC and of course many others. It also underperformed its own previous high.
Pattern is similar to previous mega run
The lower high pattern is similar to what it made before its last mega run in 2017. It did top out late and was a market topping signal overall.. so even if not an XRP fan its worth keeping an eye on.
How StochRSI is initialized is the point of interestHello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Boost".
Have a nice day today.
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(USDT.D 1D chart)
USDT dominance is showing a decline below the important section.
Therefore, we need to check whether the M-Signal on the 1D chart can follow and create a state where the M-Signal on the 1M chart > M-Signal on the 1W chart > M-Signal on the 1D chart.
Since the StochRSI indicator has entered the oversold section, if it rises, the key is whether it can meet resistance near the M-Signal on the 1D chart.
In order for the coin market to start an upward trend, it is expected that the USDT dominance will have to fall below 4.97 and be maintained.
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
In fact, even if the current price position, that is, 63118.62-64000.0, is supported and rises, I don't think it's a good idea to make new purchases.
From the perspective of a breakout trader, it is a position worth challenging, but it is a position that requires a quick response and decision.
StochRSI has not yet initialized.
Therefore, it is showing that it is not strange for a decline to occur at any time.
I have talked about the entry point to start trading several times, so I will not talk about it here.
-
If it is supported and rises near 63118.62-64000.0, it is highly likely to turn downward while touching near 65920.71-67614.25.
However, if StochRSI is initialized, it may show an upward trend as it continues to a new trend.
Therefore, what is important to look at now is how to initialize StochRSI.
Initializing StochRSI means that if StochRSI has entered the overbought zone, it must touch the oversold zone.
This initialization does not necessarily mean that it will lead to a large decline.
Therefore, it means that StochRSI may be initialized while showing support near 63118.62.
-
Therefore, the area near 61099.25 is an important support and resistance zone.
This is because the M-Signal of the 1D, 1W chart is currently passing by and the BW line is formed.
Therefore, the entry area is around 61099.25, that is, when it shows support near the BW line or the M-Signal of the 1D, 1W chart.
-
This volatility period is until September 29.
The next volatility period is around October 11.
Therefore, the point of interest is what kind of channel (rising channel or falling channel) the currently drawn trend line will create in the 'X'.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that a full-scale uptrend will begin when it rises above 29K.
The area expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
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(BTC) bitcoin "triangle"The directional triangle pattern on BTC looks as it does from the image included. Each day the triangle slightly changes towards progress either positive or negative depending on the unusal observations studied by traders wealthy and poor. Whether or not people care to note about the subject of the traditionally poor trader and the impact millions of poor traders have on the study of investments compared to one sole giant bank, hedge fund, or other considering how many poor traders follow trends more than super wealthy traders. The rich do not need to care about trends as much as poor traders hypothetically due in part in the way the superrich creates hypermarket bubbles that poor traders follow, study, and observe. BTC is now falling trap to the conversations by many to be considered lost to the hedge funds, i.e. Blackrock, etc.; why not a poor man's trade instead of the million-dollar man, the millions of dollars by many humans all directly influencing the drive and spirit of investments through small exchanges of money that amounts to large increases and decreases in trend. When market studies are done on the largest investor trades it is easy to answer all the questions using one super trader investment type compared to the millions of individual trades all happening in smaller increments being much harder to study. As with all cryptocurrency trades BTC is worth many thousands of dollars per share yet the trades people make do not have to equal the amount of that per share amount and the price does not need to split to allow for more investments to reach the price. This factor in cryptocurrency is what makes cryptocurrency special compared to the traditional stock markets and reason for why cryptocurrency is not a security, commodity or any other traditional revenue building stock. The reason people are lost on stock trading is due to the fact that the most successful companies often cost the most per share and this makes it more difficult to invest in. When comparing this to cryptocurrency any cryptocurrency traded as available to any person of any amount of investment given they pay the transaction fee with doing so using defi services like Uniswap, or otherwise, if using a centralized exchange with reduced fees for transactions then the outcome is the possibility of trading a multitudinous of cryptocurrency coins and tokens without the concern over the price per share being more in tune with the amount being physically spent allocated directly to the buyers own holding value with investment over the restrictions found in traditional stock industries that hold the buyer to bid at a price strictly on the study of price per share. In more recent years Robinhood exchange unveiled the feature to trade microshares of large industry stocks from the NYSE and NASDAQ. This feature did unlock some greater reaches to the best DJI companies and since then the companies known to be DJI companies continue to gain in popularity, trend and momentum. True, cryptocurrency has seen better days in the past and in the past two years found a poor man's bog so why give all the credit to investment firms, hedge funds, and banks a plenty as a matter fact knowing fully well the losses incurred during the past two years following the greatest rise in cryptocurrency history all groups were involved. There is no reason to put the blame on the people and give all the credit to the bankers, hedge funds, and wealth class of people. When the price of cryptocurrency lost all groups lost. As the cryptocurrency trades rise and the prices increase all groups succeed, all those involved that is. Anyone who has ever traded has surely had the feeling of wishing they would have invested more in the past based on what they see in the present. Well guess what, today is the present and one day today will be the past, so what is your move?
Bitcoin Analysis==>>Bull Trap==>>Short termBitcoin is moving near the Resistance zone($64,140-$63,820) and 200_SMA(Daily) .
I expect Bitcoin to at least drop to the Support zone($62,720-$62,350) after it passes a Bull Trap. And if the Support zone($62,720-$62,350) breaks, we should wait for Bitcoin to attack the lower line of the ascending channel .
Note: If Bitcoin breaks the Resistance zone($64,140-$63,820), we can expect more pump to the next Resistance zone($66,130-$64,900)
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Weekly Cup and Handle Targeting 124kJust noticed this, no drawing here - TradingView's built-in cup and handle indicator is drawing a bullish cup/handle on the weekly Bitcoin chart, targeting 124k approx.
Neckline is around 67k, which should be our next target if Bitcoin can hold a local support level between 60-62.5k and not lose 56.5k on the weekly.
Here's what that looks like on the linear chart, chart above is log:
Good luck!
BTC Weekly ReviewMonday
- AMD (Accumulation, Manipulation, Distribution): The week starts with a classic AMD setup. Price begins with accumulation in a range, leading to manipulation and eventual distribution later in the week.
- Accumulation Zone: During Monday, BTC consolidates in an accumulation zone, moving sideways before a larger move.
- London High (0415): The London session’s high is marked, showing where the market hits a peak during the early session.
- Turtle Soup (1030): A Turtle Soup pattern appears on Tuesday at 1030, indicating a reversal after a false breakout. This is a liquidity-taking strategy.
Tuesday - Wednesday
- Sunday High: The chart references the high from Sunday as an important level of resistance.
- Wednesday Continuation: Price continues the trend from Tuesday into Wednesday, following a bullish expansion.
- Expansion: After the Monday-Tuesday accumulation, price breaks upward in an expansion phase, forming a new high.
- 0930 Turtle Soup: Another Turtle Soup setup appears at 0930 on Wednesday, signaling a short-term reversal before the price continues its uptrend.
Wednesday
- BISI (Buy-Side Imbalance): There’s an imbalance in the market, where buy-side liquidity is dominant, causing price to react and continue its upward momentum.
- Failed MSS (Market Structure Shift): A potential market structure shift happens but fails to break down, and the market continues moving higher.
- Accumulation Below Opening Price: On Wednesday, BTC accumulates below the opening price, indicating a potential bullish breakout later in the day.
- MSS (Market Structure Shift) at 1330: A market structure shift occurs at 1330, breaking previous highs/lows to indicate potential trend changes.
- NY Session Low: The low of the New York session is highlighted as a key level of support.
---
Thursday
- Failed Market Structure Shift: Another failed market structure shift, where the market attempts to break lower but holds support.
- 1000 Turtle Soup: A Turtle Soup pattern appears near the week’s end, signaling another reversal after liquidity is taken.
- Price Continuation: The chart indicates the price stabilizes after these setups, moving into a tight range toward the end of the week.
Key Concepts Used
- Turtle Soup: This pattern represents liquidity grabs where the price hunts stops before reversing.
- AMD (Accumulation, Manipulation, Distribution): The market follows the classic cycle of accumulating orders, manipulating retail traders, and finally distributing.
- MSS (Market Structure Shift): These shifts signal potential reversals when a key high or low is breached, but not all follow through.
This analysis highlights the cyclical nature of the market, showcasing accumulation zones, liquidity hunts, and trend continuations. Traders can use this framework to predict market behavior and structure their trades accordingly.
PEPE Long Spot Position (EMA Support Retest)Market Context: PEPE is currently finding support at the 21 and 200 daily EMAs. A close above the 200 EMA would serve as confirmation for entry.
Trade Setup:
Entry: Long spot position at $0.0000082.
Take Profit:
First target: $0.00000970
Second target: $0.000011
Third target: $0.0000125
Stop Loss: $0.0000075 (daily close)
⚡ This setup aims to leverage EMA support for a high-probability trade.
#PEPE #Crypto #EMAs
Chart Analysis and Trading StrategyHello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(Trend-related)
The M-Signals on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts have converged and are showing an upward trend, and are currently showing signs of converging again.
Therefore, if it falls this time, the key issue is whether there is support near the M-Signal on the 1M chart.
Currently, the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart is passing around 52K.
Before that, we need to check whether there is support near the M-Signal on the 1D and 1W charts, which are passing around 60K.
-
(Trading-related-1)
HA-Low, HA-High indicators are indicators created to conduct trading on the Heikin Ashi candle chart.
The creation of HA-Low means that a low point range has been formed.
Therefore, if it shows support near HA-Low, it is a time to buy.
If it falls below HA-Low, there is a high possibility that the low point will be renewed, so a step-down trend is likely to occur.
The creation of HA-High means that a high point range has been formed.
Therefore, if it shows resistance near HA-High, it is a time to sell.
If it rises above HA-High, there is a high possibility that a step-up trend will occur, so a step-down trend is likely to occur.
Therefore, you can receive a basic range to start trading.
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(Trading-related-2)
In order to conduct a transaction, support and resistance points drawn on 1M, 1W, and 1D charts are required.
To do this, we used various indicators to display support and resistance points.
The support and resistance lines provided in this way indicate that the longer the horizontal line, the more faithfully it can perform its role as support and resistance.
The horizontal line displayed on the bottom chart among the three charts above is displayed by the BW indicator.
The BW indicator is an indicator that comprehensively evaluates the MACD, StochRSI, CCI, PVT, and suerTrend indicators.
Therefore, I think it is highly reliable.
-
(Trading-related-3)
The BW indicator mentioned near Trading-2 is actually an indicator included in the TS-BW DMI indicator.
This BW indicator is designed to draw a horizontal line on the price candle when it forms a horizontal line at the lowest point (0) or highest point (100).
Therefore, you can proceed with trading depending on whether there is support at this horizontal line.
If the BW indicator is created at the lowest point (0), it is likely to form a bottom section, and if it is created near the highest point (100), it is likely to form a high section.
At this time, you can check whether the StochRSI indicator is in the oversold or overbought section and the correlation between StochRSI and StochRSI EMA to gain time to respond to an uptrend or downtrend.
Since the BW line is currently created below the candle, it must fall below the BW line in order to turn into a downtrend.
Therefore, when it falls below the BW line, you need to check whether the StochRSI indicator has fallen in the overbought zone or is maintaining the state of StochRSI < StochRSI EMA.
If so, you need to determine that there is a higher possibility of a downtrend and create a response strategy.
-
(Trading-related-4)
The auxiliary indicators added this time are DMI and OBV.
However, it is not easy to check these two indicators separately.
When interpreting the two indicators, subjective thoughts are constantly added, leading to incorrect interpretations or taking a long time to interpret, making it difficult to respond quickly in real time.
Therefore, we have comprehensively presented the important interpretation methods of the DMI and OBV indicators.
If it rises from the 0 point, it means that the upward trend is strong, and if it falls, it means that the downward trend is strong.
Among them, the -2 ~ 2 section can be interpreted as forming a box section, that is, a sideways section.
Therefore, the newly added DMI+OBV can be considered as a method of interpreting the CCI indicator.
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Looking at the above, you may think that you can trade well, but when you actually trade, you may feel that it is not going well.
I think this is because you do not have a trading strategy that fits your investment style.
To create a trading strategy that fits you, you must have a concept of the three things above:
1. Investment period
2. Investment size
3. Trading method and profit realization method.
In other words, you start trading thinking that you will conduct day trading as the investment period, but as the trading time passes, the problem is that the investment period is gradually extended to the short term and beyond, not day trading.
In addition, you should distribute your investment funds according to your investment period, but if you do not do so, investing a lot of investment funds in one coin (token, stock) and creating an imbalance in your trading is also a problem.
The investment scale of scalping or day trading and the investment scale of the mid- to long-term are bound to be different, but by using the same concept, you will create a situation where you can no longer proceed with the transaction.
In other words, this refers to the phenomenon where you end up with 0 cash, which prevents you from proceeding with the transaction you intended and ends up proceeding with the wrong transaction.
To do this, you need to think about how to buy, sell, cut losses, etc. when trading and how to make a profit.
To do this, you need support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
Then, you use various auxiliary indicators or chart tools to check whether there is support at these support and resistance points and whether it is a time for trading.
The most commonly used ones are the price moving average, trend line, and Fibonacci ratio.
Since these indicators and chart tools are created after the price movement, they can all be considered lagging.
So, I would not say that auxiliary indicators such as RSI, StochRSI, MACD, CCI indicators are lagging indicators and therefore do not need to be used.
Ultimately, the decision to proceed with a trade is determined by how well it reflects your investment style.
Therefore, even if the chart analysis is interpreted in a completely different direction, you can reduce losses or even gain profits depending on your trading strategy.
Therefore, rather than investing a lot of time in chart analysis, you should figure out how it fits your investment style and think about how to reflect it in your trading.
So, rather than worrying about whether the current price will rise or fall, you should think about how to respond when you start trading at the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
-
Have a nice time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
The real uptrend is expected to start after rising above 29K.
The area expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
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ONDO BREAKOUT Since the beginning of June ONDO has been in a downtrend that saw a -66% move to the downside. Now 111 days later price has broken out of the trend channel, showing a +15% move from the breakout.
The daily candle is currently trying to close above the 1D 200EMA, a convincing close above the MA would be extremely bullish having now cleared the major resistances and the trend is flipping bullish.
Bullish targets would be:
- Local high (LTF) $0.808
- Daily resistance (1D) $0.901
- Key S/R level (1D) $1.048
- ATH $1.50
Stop Loss:
- Local low (downtrend continuation) $0.58
ONDO being one of the standout RWA projects has a great R:R here for the next 6-12 months. Definitely a coin worth keeping an eye on.
Sep.17-Sep.23(BTC)Weekly market recapLast week, the Federal Reserve kicked off the rate-cutting era with a hawkish 50 basis point cut. Although the CME had previously predicted a high probability of a 50bp rate cut, the fact that only one committee member voted for a 25bp cut while all others opted for 50bp was beyond market expectations. Following the announcement, almost all financial assets, except for the U.S. dollar, showed bullish trends.
After the rate cut, the value of the U.S. dollar will decrease, which will make stablecoins in the crypto industry more sensitive. They will either hold BTC to mitigate the impact of dollar depreciation or opt to hold other financial assets. Therefore, we anticipate that market volatility will significantly increase in the future.
Last week, BTC ETFs experienced net inflows for a period, but as the rate cut event cooled down, traditional capital inflows gradually declined. The ETH ETFs performed even more sluggishly, showing significant net outflows as of yesterday. If traditional funds fail to continue flowing into the market, it could lead to capital outflows within the market.
BTC saw further rebound last week, with the price breaking through the established support level. However, last week's trading volume was not significant. This can also be seen in the WTA indicator, where the blue bars representing whale activity are sparse. The ME indicator maintained a bearish signal, but the continuous rise is gradually narrowing the yellow zone.
In conclusion, we believe that BTC may fluctuate this week, with a higher likelihood of an upward trend than a downward one. We raise the support level to 68,000 and maintain the resistance level at 52,500.
Disclaimer: Nothing in the script constitutes investment advice. The script objectively expounded the market situation and should not be construed as an offer to sell or an invitation to buy any cryptocurrencies.
Any decisions made based on the information contained in the script are your sole responsibility. Any investments made or to be made shall be with your independent analyses based on your financial situation and objectives.