BTC BULL to $101k - $125kIf the Bearish chart of Bitcoin won't play out, this is the bullish possibilities.
It does look like we will go up. Indicators on Daily timeframe just reset indicating bullishness.
Altcoins look very bullish and are ready for another 100% leg up or even bigger run this time.
Th only thing that doesn't let me freely believe this bullish chart is that BTC have not crashed yet and usually it does crash before thee big run, but this cycle is already different having new ATH before the halving which did not happen previously.
1-BTC
Btcusdt → a scalp positionhello guys.
I see a double hunt!
you can get a long position as a scalp one!
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10/2 Friday will decide your crypto fate.Overview:
The AMEX:SPY opened lower than yesterday's close, continuing its bearish trend, but managed to recover and end the day in the green. However, the MACD on both the daily and 4-hour charts shows a bearish divergence, indicating potential weakness ahead. Tesla took a significant hit, dropping by 3.5% and ranking among the day's biggest losers.
NASDAQ:QQQ also saw a decline, though less severe, as it isn’t facing the same pressure from all-time highs as other sectors. Tomorrow, the FED will release the latest initial jobless claims data. If claims come in below the expected 220,000, this could indicate an improving labor market, which would make it harder for the FED to aggressively cut interest rates. So, if you want that rate cut, maybe submit that jobless claim!
BlackRock ended its 7-day Bitcoin ETF buying streak, selling $13.7 million worth of Bitcoin today. This is roughly half of the largest amount they have sold in one day, which was $38.9 million.
BTC TA:
W: The situation remains unchanged from yesterday. BINANCE:BTCUSD is still sitting below critical levels that could have shifted the trend to bullish. Geopolitical tensions and a strengthening U.S. job market are likely to keep the weekly candle in the red.
D: Wednesday's candle formed a red doji, with both the open and close below the crucial $61.4k weekly level. Early Thursday price action briefly touched this level before pulling back, confirming it as a resistance. The MACD and RSI are still working through the aftermath of the divergence seen during the bull trap, showing no signs of trend reversal. A short-term pullback to the $62.5k-$63k level is possible but more evident on lower timeframes. Neutral.
4h: RSI is in the oversold zone, and the MACD histogram shows the downtrend is losing momentum. It took significantly less volume to push the price lower to $60k, suggesting a potential short-term bullish move toward the BB MA at $62.5k.
1h: London traders triggered a mass sell-off in the last two hours, pushing BTC down 1.46% and rebounding from the $61.4k resistance level. Have you copied these key levels to your chart? The next question: Will $60k hold, or will it break in the next few minutes?
Alts Relative to BTC:
Major altcoins like SOL, NEAR, and ETH have all broken their lows and are heading toward their early September levels. TAO and FTM, which performed well last week, are not immune, declining by 7%. Only SUI is holding steady for now, but for how long?
Bull Case:
If Jerome Powell reports on Friday that inflation has cooled, it would confirm a slowing economy and pave the way for further interest rate cuts. This could spark the 6th bull wave, sending crypto prices soaring once again.
Bear Case:
This week could continue to see prices fall further, potentially marking the end of the 2024 crypto bull run.
Fear and Greed Index:
The index stands at 36.22, well into the Fear territory. Historically, when the index dips below 40, it's a signal to start buying some blue-chip altcoins, even if you're a day or swing trader. We recommend having a separate account for long-term investments. Remember: Be greedy when others are fearful.
Prediction:
If we can dodge the bullet of World War III and the market remains unaffected by major macro events, we could see a correction to the $62.5k-$64 k level.
Opportunities:
Short the last standing king of altcoins - SUI.
BTC is a victim of liquidity problemsMorning folks,
So, we've planned just perfect last time, and BTC actually has dropped but much faster than we thought. It was not even able to form the right arm of H&S pattern and collapsed.
But don't search the explanation on cryptomarket. The reasons are more pragmatic - short-term liquidity fall in the US. First is BofA collapse yesterday, then SOFR rate has jumped above RRP. Sea ports are under strike, which also bring a mess in mutual relations of all counterparts.
So, current BTC drop is a pure run into liquidity. We do not know when it will be over, hopefully soon. But now we do not consider any longs and prefer follow to the market and see what reaction will be around strong support areas. Next one is 58K
Next Volatility Period: Around October 5th - 10th
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
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The BW indicator is currently leveling off near the midpoint (50).
Therefore, I think it is not suitable to trade around 60672.0-61099.25.
If you want to trade around 60672.0-61099.25 depending on the support, you will need a short and quick response.
-
When the BW indicator is leveling off at the lowest point (0) or highest point (100), a BW line is created on the price chart.
I think you can trade more stably by using this BW line as a support and resistance point.
Therefore, you can wait until the next BW line is created or check whether it is supported when touching the previous BW line (61759.99) and then trade.
At this time, the StochRSI indicator is also worth looking at.
Since the StochRSI indicator creates waves in any case, I think it is an indicator worth referring to when trading.
Therefore,
- If the StochRSI indicator rises in the oversold zone and maintains the state of StochRSI > StochRSI EMA, it is a time to buy,
- If the StochRSI indicator falls in the overbought zone and maintains the state of StochRSI < StochRSI EMA, it is a time to sell.
However, you should be aware that since you cannot know the size of the fluctuation range, you may see little profit or even a loss.
To prevent this, you need the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
Based on these support and resistance points, you should proceed with the transaction depending on whether the movement mentioned above is supported or not.
Then, since you can calculate the approximate fluctuation range, it will be a reference for deciding whether to proceed with the transaction.
Accordingly, if you display the rise and fall range based on the 60672.0-61099.25 section, it will be as shown in the chart above.
-
When a new candle is created,
- Whether it will definitely enter the oversold section
- Whether there is a change in the slope of the StochRSI indicator
- Whether the StochRSI EMA falls below the midpoint (50)
You should check whether the above is satisfied and create a response strategy according to the next movement.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
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- Big picture
It is expected that the full-scale uptrend will start when it rises above 29K.
The next expected range to touch is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points that are likely to receive resistance in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this range is touched because it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting range.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
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BTC/USDT Short term long📈 BTC/USDT Analysis Update
The market just touched the bottom, completing wave 5 🔽, but it was very short, almost truncated ✂️. A bullish divergence formed on the 1H chart 🐂📈, and we saw a nice bounce. Currently, the horizontal resistance has been reclaimed, turning it into a support flip 🔄.
💡 Target for this move should be somewhere between the 0.5 - 0.65 Fib levels, which range from 63,300 USD to 64,500 USD.
However, the major resistance remains the light blue diagonal trendline ⚠️, along with the yellow resistance line at 61,900 USD.
🚨 Not financial advice!
$BTC - Make or BreakBitcoin is testing the 200 EMA on the daily chart. Can we expect a bounce?
We've already lost the value area at 62,000, with price now consolidating underneath signaling weakness.
For any bullish momentum, resistance at 61,800 needs to be reclaimed.
Support is currently at 59,500. Losing this level could open the path toward imbalances in the 56k to 54k range.
BTC/USDT 4h chart reviewHello everyone, let's look at the 4h BTC to USDT chart, in this situation we can see how the price has bottomed out from the local upward trend line.
Let's start by setting goals for the near future, which include:
T1 = $63,325
T2 = $65,379
T3 = $68,641
Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case the market continues to decline:
SL1 = $58,825
SL2 = $56771
SL3 = $54082
BITCOIN The 'March-October' effect kickstarting an insane rally.Back in August we were first to discover and bring to you the 'March - October' effect (see chart below) on Bitcoin (BTCUSD), which is what every one is talking about now as we've started the month of October yesterday and the final quarter (Q4) of the year:
As you can see, this is nothing more than a consolidation that the market tends to make within this 6-month range that ends on October, which kick starts an aggressive rally. That was the case in 2020 (would be more flawless if the COVID crash hadn't distorted the chart) and more recently in 2023. Note that historically October shows gains of around +21.00%.
What we can additionally keep from this chart is that the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) held on three 1W candle tests since the August 05 Low and that provides the base for a potential October 2024 - March 2025 rally.
March 2025 has high chances of forming the peak of the rally as it historically tends to tops such Bullish Legs and then starts consolidation phases. That was the case on March 2024, March 2023, March 2021 and (as mentioned) if it weren't for the COVID flash crash, would have been most likely the case for March 2020.
All in all, even though the first two days haven't been ideal, we expect October to prepare the foundation for an incredible rally, especially on its last 2 weeks, a rally that might very well reach as high as $150000 before it enters a correction again.
But what do you think? Will October start such a rally? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTC Update (2H)On small time frames, Bitcoin is a bear.
A liquidity pool has been swept but the price has not yet reached cheap ranges.
Considering the bearishness of the substructure and the price not reaching the main support range, we expect such a movement from Bitcoin
Closing a candle above the invalidation level will violate the analysis
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
AR Long Spot Position (Support Entry)Market Context: AR has retraced to a significant area of support between $18.00 and $20.00, creating a favorable opportunity for a long trade. This setup looks promising if the support holds.
Trade Setup:
Entry: In the current $18.00 - $20.00 area of support.
Take Profit:
First target: $24.00 - $26.50
Second target: $32.00 - $35.00
Stop Loss: Around $16.00.
This trade aims to capitalize on the bounce from support, providing a structured risk-reward profile. #AR #SupportTrade
Corrective Phase and RegainOur current outlook for Bitcoin suggests that, over the coming days, the asset may experience a short-term correction down to the key support level of $59,500.
This level has previously acted as a significant zone of buying interest, and we anticipate it could serve as a strong foundation for Bitcoin to establish new upward momentum.
Such a correction would allow for consolidation, enabling market participants to accumulate at a lower price point, which often leads to a healthier and more sustained uptrend.
Following this corrective phase, we expect Bitcoin to regain bullish momentum and start a new upward move. The initial targets for this movement are projected in the range of $64,000 to $66,000.
Bitcoin Drops Over 10% After Rejection at $67,000Market Update:
In the last few days, Bitcoin's price has dropped by more than 10%, following a rejection at the $67,000 level.
BTC has now fallen to the critical support area at $61,000.
Technical Outlook:
The market is currently oversold, and there is potential for BTC to rise and test the next resistance level around $64,000.
It is crucial that the $61,000 support level holds, as a break below this area could trigger a deeper decline, with the next lower range support around $57,000.
#Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoUpdate #SupportLevels #Oversold #BTCPriceAction
Bitcoin: Uptober or Rektober?Traditionally, October has been a very bullish month for Bitcoin. However, in its first few hours, this October brought Bitcoin a sharp sell-off of almost 9%. The largest cryptocurrency not only lost the important $65,000 mark within a few minutes, but also temporarily fell back towards $60,000. However, we do not expect this sell-off to end any time soon. After all, we expect a final lower low of the orange wave iv before the same-colored wave v should lead to new all-time highs.
BITCOIN'S 7 MONTH FALLING CHANNEL...Bitcoin has respected this falling channel since March 2024.
Current price: 61,200
The support around 60500 is a very key area to watch. It is literally the on switch or the off switch for the bullish market!
A break below this point will find supports around: 56k and finally 50k (very bearish)
If price action remains above the 60k region then expect higher prices.
Resistances: 66k, 71k
HelenP. I Bitcoin will make retest and then continue to declineHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. If we look at the chart we can see, how the price trades inside the resistance zone, but later turned around and dropped to the support level, breaking the 64000 level. After this, the price tired to grow, but failed and in a short time declined below a support level, which coincided with the support zone and fell until the trend line. Next, BTC turned around and started to grow, and later backed up to the 57500 level, broke it, and continued to move up next. But later it made a correction to the trend line, which coincided with the support level and then rebounded up to the resistance level. Price some time traded near this level and then broke it, after which rose even higher than the resistance zone. But a not long time ago BTC turned around and dropped to the trend line, which coincided with the 64000 level and recently broke it. Now, I expect that BTCUSDT will make a retest of the trend line and then continue to decline next, therefore I set my goal at 60K points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Bitcoin Slips Amid Israel-Iran ConflictBitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) faced a sharp drop on Tuesday as geopolitical tensions between Israel and Iran escalated, triggering a significant sell-off across the cryptocurrency market. Investors, seeking refuge in safer assets, moved towards bonds, gold, oil, and the US Dollar, leaving Bitcoin and altcoins under heavy selling pressure. Despite historically strong performance in October, this sudden market disruption has put the cryptocurrency’s best month under early threat.
Geopolitical Tensions Cause Sharp Sell-off
The price of Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) fell by 3.16%, reaching $61,715 levels. Altcoins, including Ethereum, suffered even more, plunging between 5-10% as the war tension escalated following Iran’s launch of over 200 ballistic missiles on Israel. Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ), which historically has seen an average gain of 25.81% in October, is now struggling to maintain its bullish seasonal trend, dropping by 4% in the first two days of the month.
Sean McNulty, director of trading at Arbelos Markets, described the drop as a "momentary setback," stating that October's favorable trends for Bitcoin are "alive and well." However, the broader market is expected to stay on edge as Israel's Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu promises retaliation. Adding to the pressure, Bitcoin ETF outflows surged to $242 million, breaking an eight-day streak of inflows.
Technical Analysis: Key Levels to Watch
From a technical standpoint, Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) appears weak but is beginning to show signs of recovery. After testing the critical $60,000 support level, CRYPTOCAP:BTC has rebounded 0.75% in Wednesday’s market session, trading at $61,715. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently stands at 47.49, reflecting neutral conditions but indicating a slight bearish tendency.
Bitcoin’s recent recovery, however, may be short-lived if geopolitical instability persists. The critical $65,000 resistance level remains a barrier to any significant upward movement, and a failure to break through could see Bitcoin revisiting $57,000, as some analysts predict.
Prominent analyst Benjamin Cowen highlighted that Bitcoin’s historical behavior post-Fed rate cuts could lead to a larger correction. If the pattern holds, the cryptocurrency could drop further before resuming its upward trajectory, targeting a potential low of $50,000 by mid-November.
Safe Haven Shift & Mining Pressure
The conflict in the Middle East has driven investors to flock to safe-haven assets, causing a temporary withdrawal from riskier assets like Bitcoin. The flight to safety has boosted the US Dollar, bonds, oil, and gold, while applying downward pressure on the broader crypto market.
Additionally, a report by JPMorgan highlighted declining revenues among Bitcoin mining companies, with September seeing the lowest levels recorded in recent months. This drop in miner profitability could trigger another wave of selling pressure if the mining sector experiences further capitulation, exacerbating the downward trend in Bitcoin’s price.
Despite the current challenges, analysts remain cautiously optimistic. McNulty and others believe that as tensions in the Middle East cool down, Bitcoin’s historical performance in October could lead to a rally that pushes the cryptocurrency back towards its all-time high (ATH) of $73,000.
Historical Trends & Future Projections: Uptober Rally in Jeopardy?
Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) has enjoyed an average 25.81% gain in October when preceded by a green September. In line with this, data from BTC Archive suggests Bitcoin could surge to as high as $80,500 this month, as the crypto has consistently posted green candles in the last three months of the year.
Similarly, trading firm QCP Capital noted that Bitcoin has seen a 22.9% gain in eight out of the last nine Octobers. If this trend continues, BTC could rise to $78,000 or higher. However, for this to happen, Bitcoin will need to clear crucial resistance levels and weather any additional shocks from ongoing geopolitical conflicts.
Analysts have also pointed out that spot Bitcoin ETF inflows remain strong, and perp funding rates are approaching levels reminiscent of the early 2023 bull run. If these inflows persist, Bitcoin could see the support needed to break through to new highs before the year ends.
Conclusion
While Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) has the potential to rally to new highs this month, the path will be far from straightforward. The Israel-Iran conflict, coupled with macroeconomic factors such as the US PMI data and Fed rate cuts, could create further volatility in the market. Still, Bitcoin's technical and fundamental strength may help it weather the storm and rebound toward its ATH as the year progresses.
At the time of writing, Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) is trading at $61,715, up 0.73%, with momentum beginning to build for a potential rebound if market conditions stabilize. However, investors should remain cautious, as further geopolitical shocks could lead to more downward pressure in the short term.