BITCOIN Cycle pattern completed. Year-end Target locked at $150kBitcoin (BTCUSD) is showing the first signs of life after nearly testing the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) early this week. Whether this leads to a full on recovery or not, can been partially answered by this Cycle's price action so far.
Historically we do know that BTC's Bull Cycles so far tend to peak towards the end of their 3rd year and that's 2025. This Cycle has been predominantly trading within a Fibonacci Channel Up, since its very start, the November 2022 bottom. Its 1W MA50 has been supporting since the March 13 2023 break-out, so it's been exactly 2 years of holding and throughout this time period has provided two excellent buy opportunities.
As you can see, the Channel Up can be classified into two main Phases so far: each has a Primary correction (red) of more than -30% drop, followed by a rally (blue), then a Secondary correction (yellow) of more than -20%, followed by the second and last rally (blue). All rallies have so far been around +100%. Based on this model, we are now on the Secondary correction of Phase 2.
Notice that all corrections (either primary or secondary) hit or approached apart from the 1W MA50, the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level from their previous Low. This is actually the first time that the price has marginally broken below the 0.382 Fib. At the same time, the 1D RSI almost got oversold last week (34.50) and according to the August 05 2024 (Higher) Low, this is were a series of RSI Higher Lows would be a signal of a new bottom formation.
The bottom and recovery process may take a while though, another 4-6 weeks. According to the Time Fibs (blue dashed vertical lines), each correction (whether primary or secondary) has ended at or a little before the 1.0 Fib with the 0.0 being the bottom of the previous one and 0.5 Fib the Top of the rally. Based on this, we can expect the new rally to start by the week of April 28 the latest.
So now as to how high this can get, if it repeats the 'weakest' rally of the Channel's three so far, it should rise by +95.95%, which gives us a straight price of $150000 as a Target. If the rally symmetry also holds, this should come by late September, perfectly aligning with Bitcoin's historic Cycle expectation for the final year.
Do you think that will be the case? Recovery starting within 4-6 weeks and if so, are you expecting $150k? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
1-BTC
AMERICA'S BITCOIN MINER: CLEANSPARKThe chart for Ethereum Futures is showing a promising inverse head and shoulders pattern. This indicates a potential turnaround for the struggling bitcoin mining industry. It appears that miners are behaving more like altcoin investors rather than taking a leveraged stance on Bitcoin. This shift suggests that their fortunes are more closely tied to the performance of Ethereum rather than Bitcoin itself.
Here’s what you should be aware of: CleanSpark (#CLSK), is set to be added to the S&P SmallCap 600 index on March 24.
This index features smaller publicly traded companies in the U.S. that have a market cap exceeding $1 billion and fulfil certain financial requirements.
Being included in this index may enhance CleanSpark’s visibility, boost its trading volume and liquidity, and draw in more institutional investors.
CleanSpark is the second crypto miner to be added to the index after peer Marathon Digital was added to the list last year.
Companies in the index typically benefit from increased trading volume and improved liquidity, making their shares more accessible to a broader pool of investors.
"CleanSpark's inclusion enhances visibility within the investment community," CEO Zach Bradford said in the announcement. “Our inclusion enhances visibility within the investment community and gives us an opportunity to demonstrate the value of being a pure play, vertically integrated Bitcoin mining company and making exposure to our model more broadly available."
CleanSpark operates bitcoin mining facilities across the U.S., focusing on energy efficiency and cost-effective power sources. The company has expanded its operations over the past year with the acquisition of peer GRIID Infrastructure.
$RENDER has entered my POI after creating a BOSThere’s a significant amount of liquidity between 2 & 2.5, specifically around the 21H HOB, which is located at 2.35–2.4. If that level is reached, it could provide a significant bounce; if it overshoots, we should look at the lower levels as shown in the image. It’s currently bouncing from the 7W HOB, but I’m particularly interested in that 21H HOB.
Let’s see what we get. :)
Could the Bitcoin rise from here?The price has bounced off the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support an could rise to the 127.2% Fibonacci resistance.
Pivot: 81,765.85
1st Support: 79,666.99
1st Resistance: 85,798.47
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Here is a brief analysis of the BTC/USDT chart: 92,500 USDT, represented by the black horizontal line.
Support level: Close to 78,254.38 USDT, represented by the green horizontal line.
A descending trend line indicates potential bearish trends.
An ascending trend line suggests the formation of a potential support level.
Bullish recovery: If the price respects the support line, it may reach the resistance level.
Bearish breakdown: A break below the support may lead to further declines.
If you found this analysis helpful, hit the Like button and share your thoughts or questions in the comments below. Your feedback matters!
Thanks for your support!
DYOR. NFA
Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) Technical Analysis – March 12, 2025
Trend Overview:
- BTC dominance is currently at 62.18%, approaching a critical resistance level.
- BTC dominance has been in an uptrend since early 2024, indicating that Bitcoin has outperformed altcoins during this period.
Key Levels to Watch:👁👁
- Resistance: ~62.5% (horizontal resistance level)
- Support: ~60% (previous breakout zone)
-Major Breakdown Target: ~54.5% (potential altseason trigger)
Technical Indicators & Patterns:⚖️
1. A breakdown below 60% would confirm a bearish trend for BTC dominance and lead to an altcoin pump.
2. In late 2024, BTC dominance rejected at a similar level (~61%), followed by a sharp decline. The same pattern may repeat, leading to altcoins outperforming BTC.
3. If BTC dominance breaks above 62.5%, it could extend towards 64-65%, delaying an altseason.
Crypto Total Market Cap (CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL) As of March 12, 2025, the Total Crypto Market Cap sits at 2.63T USD.
Let’s dive into the monthly chart for a technical breakdown:
Since 2016, price has been moving within a long-term ascending channel. Right now, we’re testing the lower trendline support zone (2.4T - 2.5T).
This level has historically acted as a strong base – both the 2017 and 2021 bull runs kicked off from similar support zones.
Volume profile shows a 15-20% increase over the past 3 months, indicating growing buyer interest and improving market liquidity.
RSI is at 40 (neutral zone), not yet in oversold territory but signaling a potential base for a recovery.
Bullish Scenario: If the 2.5T support holds, we could see a move toward the channel’s midline (3T - 3.5T range), potentially retesting the 2021 highs above 3T.
Bearish Risk: A break below 2.5T could lead to a deeper pullback toward 2T, so keep this level on your radar.
💡 My Take: I believe we’re either at the bottom or just a few weeks away from the start of a new uptrend. April could mark the beginning of a bull run, signaling the end of the bloodbath – at least based on the technicals of the Total Market Cap.
What’s your view? Will the 2.5T support hold, or are we in for another correction?
OTHERS DOMINANCE ANALYSEThe Crypto Total Market Cap (excluding top 10) dominance is showing interesting action around the key 8.30% level. Historically, this level has acted as strong support/resistance (see 2017, 2020, 2022).
After breaking below 8.30% in late 2023, we’re now seeing a retest from the downside.
The price has bounced off this level with a decent volume spike, suggesting potential for an upward move.
If this support holds, we could see a push toward the next resistance around 11%-12% in the coming months.
Keep an eye on volume – sustained buying pressure will confirm the breakout.
💡 Trading Idea: Watch for a weekly close above 8.30% for confirmation of bullish momentum. On the flip side, a rejection here could lead to a retest of lower supports around 7%.
What do you think?
Appetite For Risk Through the Lens of Nasdaq and BitcoinBitcoin tends to track Wall Street sentiment well, particularly compared to the Nasdaq. Growing concerns that Trump's policies will tip the US (and therefore the global economy) into a recession, which currently has the Nasdaq on the ropes and bitcoin getting dragged along for the ride. And there could be further losses to follow, though a cheeky bounce at a minimum could be due first.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst and City Index and Forex.com
2 Options, Keeping it simpleBTC is currently within its long-term ascending channel but has shown strong rejection at the upper boundary (~$100K).
A pullback toward the mid-channel support (~$70K-$75K) seems likely, aligning with historical retracement patterns.
Indicators Show Weakness:
RSI Divergence suggests a slowdown in momentum.
MACD hints at a potential bearish crossover.
📉 Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: $95K - $100K (Upper trendline)
Support: $75K (Mid-channel), $60K (Lower trendline)
📈 Scenario 1: BTC consolidates and regains strength for a new ATH attempt.
📉 Scenario 2: A deeper correction to the lower trendline before continuation.
Needs to really break $95k first.
Key Resistance Test & Bullish Pattern📊 $BTC/USDT Market Update – Key Resistance Test & Bullish Pattern
📈 CRYPTOCAP:BTC is now testing the red resistance zone, which aligns with the previous Lower High (LH). The price is also forming a bullish pattern, indicating potential breakout momentum.
🔄 If BTC successfully breaks above this resistance:
First target: Green line level.
Second target: Blue line level (previous resistance zone).
📌 Failure to break the red zone may lead to a pullback before another breakout attempt.
Next Volatility Period: Starting around March 15
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(BTCUSDT 1W chart)
The key is whether it can receive support and rise near the 2nd section.
If not, it is expected to eventually meet the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart and determine the trend again.
As a result, I think it is highly likely that it will meet the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart near 73499.86.
-
(BTCUSD 1W chart)
This is the second time that the StochRSI indicator has been maintained at the lowest point (0).
This means that the decline is strong.
In the case of 2014, it formed a bottom section about 15 weeks after that.
We will also have to watch to see if the HA-Low indicator on the 1W chart is generated due to this decline.
-
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
The key is whether it can be supported near the Fibonacci ratio range of 1.414 (79902.66) ~ 2 (80999.68) and rise above 84349.94.
If not, I think it is highly likely that the trend will be determined again when it meets the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart near 73499.86.
The next volatility period is expected to start around March 15 (March 14-16) and continue around March 25 (March 24-26).
The point of interest is whether it can break out of the downward channel after this volatility period.
-
Following USDT, USDC is also renewing its ATH.
I think this is a sign that a lot of money is flowing into the coin market.
Therefore, even if the current coin market falls, if USDT and USDC maintain their gap upward trend, the coin market is expected to recover quickly.
Accordingly, we need to think about ways to increase the number of coins (tokens) currently held.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful transaction.
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- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year upward trend and faces a 1-year downward trend.
Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, we can see that the upward trend is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, it is expected that prices below 44K-48K will not be seen in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
In other words, it is the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, it is expected that this Fibonacci ratio will be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to this.
If the ATH is renewed, there are no support and resistance points, so the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as support and resistance.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to generate Fibonacci.
Therefore, since it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection points, it can be useful for chart analysis, but it can be seen as ambiguous to use it for trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
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Breaking: Bitcoin Made a Comeback Surging 8%The world's first digital asset Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) shocked traders and investors alike as it surge 6% striking a comeback amidst the recent crypto bloodbath placing CRYPTOCAP:BTC in the FWB:83K zone with eyes set on the reclamation of the $100k Resistance.
Earlier on, we see Bitcoin retraced testing the $70k support point with many altcoins following suit. Should CRYPTOCAP:BTC break pass the $90k pivot point which is in lieu with the 38.2% Fibonacci point, a bullish campaign might evolved for CRYPTOCAP:BTC with odds set on the $120k zone.
Data from DefiLama shows industries and crypto projects are migrating to the Bitcoin blockchain network for scalability with about $5.414 Billion locked in Total Value Locked (TVL).
Bitcoin Price Live Data
The live Bitcoin price today is $83,341.47 USD with a 24-hour trading volume of $58,734,237,674 USD. Bitcoin is up 7.17% in the last 24 hours, with a live market cap of $1,653,114,998,100 USD. It has a circulating supply of 19,835,443 BTC coins and a max. supply of 21,000,000 BTC coins.
BITCOIN Short term Channel Down rebounding.Bitcoin / BTCUSD is having a rebound after the price hit the bottom of the 10 day Channel Down.
The bullish wave should attempt at least a +13.73% rise (similar to the previous one) and target 87000.
That is the short term bullish plan as the price may be rejected again at the top of the Channel Down.
If however the 4hour MA200 breaks, it will be the first time since February 4th and should be enough to restore the long term bullish bias back to the market.
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Can Bitcoin reverse its trend?BTC is at horizontal support that can pivot the short-term trend. However, without market structure pivoting and breaking the short-term trend the trend is likely our friend. A confirmed higher low and higher high would build a strong bullish thesis.
Full TA: Link in the BIO
Bitcoin (BTC): Double Top Pattern / Wait For Neckline BreakWe are still looking for that neckline breakdown to happen from our "double top" pattern.
As soon as we get the break of the neckline, this would send the price back to lower zones (where the first target would be the 200 EMA zone at $86K, then the lower support zone).
Swallow Team
BIGGEST ECONOMIC RESET: BTC!🚨 WHAT IF THE BIGGEST ECONOMIC RESET IS HAPPENING BEFORE OUR EYES? 🚨
We’ve seen governments manipulate markets before, but what if we’re witnessing the most sophisticated financial maneuver in history?
Right now, the U.S. is drowning in historic levels of debt—over $35 trillion—with interest payments soaring to nearly $1 trillion per year. The system is unsustainable. But what if Trump, or whoever is pulling the strings, is playing the ultimate financial chess game? 🎭
🔹 The Playbook:
1️⃣ Crashing Bitcoin from $109K to $60K:
• Market manipulation? Coordinated selling? Whatever it is, we see heavy downward pressure on Bitcoin’s price.
• The Federal Reserve begins lowering interest rates, making money cheaper.
• Institutions, possibly even governments, buy Bitcoin at $60K, accumulating billions—or even trillions—at a discount.
2️⃣ Pumping Bitcoin to $120K:
• After accumulating at low prices, strategic moves (regulatory shifts, institutional adoption, positive media cycles) push Bitcoin up.
• The U.S. government (or key financial players) now holds Bitcoin at twice the original value.
• Instead of selling, they use Bitcoin as collateral to take out new loans at higher valuations—doubling their money on paper.
3️⃣ Paying Off U.S. Debt with Bitcoin Gains:
• Now sitting on a $10T profit, the U.S. (or its financial arms) uses the capital to pay off a significant portion of its debt.
• Trump, or whoever executes this plan, is suddenly praised as the savior of the U.S. economy.
• The media calls it “the greatest financial turnaround in history.”
4️⃣ Dumping Bitcoin Again—Back to GETTEX:25K -$35K:
• After securing profits and lowering debt, Bitcoin is strategically dumped back down.
• The cycle repeats: Buy low, manipulate, sell high, control the financial game.
• The next cycle? 2027. This could be the biggest financial fraud scheme—or the smartest economic move in modern history.
💡 What If This is the Plan All Along?
• Bitcoin-backed national reserves become reality.
• Debt cycles are no longer a problem—they become a trading strategy.
• The Federal Reserve and U.S. Treasury master market cycles instead of fighting them.
• The average investor? Left chasing shadows in a manipulated system.
👀 Sounds insane? Maybe. But in a world where trillions are printed overnight, where governments engineer financial crises and solutions, and where crypto is no longer just “internet money” but a strategic asset, anything is possible.
🔥 What do you think? Is this the master plan, or just another conspiracy theory? Drop your thoughts below!
#Bitcoin #Crypto #EconomicReset #Trump #FederalReserve #DebtCrisis #FinancialManipulation #Markets #Crypto2027
Bitcoin is gearing up to drop to $50-$55K.Bitcoin is gearing up to drop to $50-$55K:
Hey everyone!
As you’ve probably noticed, this week altcoins and meme markets have been falling aggressively, including names from Murad's list like $SPX.
➖ The broader market also shows signs of a downturn. If you check monthly charts for the Dow Jones, S&P 500, and other indices, they’re aligning for a drop.
➖ The catalyst could be anything—from the wildfires in California to a potential strike by Iran on Israel.
Take note of the prepared orders on Coinbase targeting $50-$55K.
➖ Binance’s BTC/USDT Liquidation Heatmap over the past 6 months (Model 3 from CoinGlass) also highlights liquidation interest in this area.
When you put all the pieces together, the odds favor a drop. Market makers would likely want to shake out recent buyers of altcoins, meme coins, etc., before any significant rally.
Avoid leverage or futures trading—it’s the easiest way to lose your deposit in this environment.
No Financial Advice, Do Your Own Research.