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BTCUSDT: The ‘Parabolic Channel’ Play – $250 K to $500 K … then?⚙️ Chart Specs Ticker / Pair: BTCUSDT Time-Frame: 1W (log scale) Indicators: Ichimoku Cloud (default), 7-year logarithmic channel, long-term trend-lines & Fib extensions Date of publish: 17 May 2025 1️⃣ Macro Context Bitcoin just printed a decisive weekly close above the mid-line of its 2017-2025 log channel while the Ichimoku Cloud has flipped full-bull (span A > span B). Post-2024 halving supply shock + macro liquidity rotation = strong tail-wind. 2️⃣ Projected Path Phase Target zone % from breakout Key confluence Break & sprint $255-270 K ~+140 % Vacuum above former ATH; minimal supply Euphoria stretch $375 K ~+250 % Channel ceiling + 2.0 Fib Blow-off wick $500-520 K ~+380 % 2.618 Fib extension + typical overshoot Dashed white arrows on the chart sketch the base-case impulse and an optional “melt-up” extension. 3️⃣ Post-parabola Retrace Historical cycles point to a -50 ~ -60 % draw-down once the upper red rail is tagged. I’m watching: $255-250 K → first liquidity pocket / mid-channel $215-210 K → 0.5 Fib retrace of the entire move Either zone could reset weekly momentum while preserving the uptrend. 4️⃣ Invalidation Levels Weekly close < $92 K → breakout failure → bias flips neutral, potential slide to red mid-line ~$75 K. Close below channel base $60 K → macro thesis void, shift to bear bias. 5️⃣ Illustrative Trade Plan (not financial advice) Leg Entry TP(s) Stop Impulse swing Weekly close > $120 K $255 K / $375 K Weekly close < $92 K Blow-off punt Break > $375 K on volume Trail toward $500 K 2-week trailing low Retrace reload Bullish SFP at $255-210 K Ride next cycle Close < $200 K 📝 Take-aways Base target sits in the $250 K region; exuberant extension eyes $500 K. Expect aggressive mean reversion once the upper rail is hit. Clear invalidations help keep emotions in check amid extreme volatility. ⚠️ This is an educational study,
Long
by AKAmaestro
Bitcoin, Higher Prices Or What? How Likely Are Markets To Crash?You cannot deny that the market can crash any day right? What to expect? Should I be worried? Last time I was feeling all good and all was well and then suddenly a flash crash showed up and my position was gone. I lost all of my money because of my stupidity of course, I couldn't blame the market because the market did not put the leverage on my position, it was all me, so what now; will it happen again? You cannot get liquidated if you have less than 5X leverage on your position when the market goes sideways. The squeezes, shakeouts and swings normally take out positions with 10X or more. You cannot get liquidated if you are LONG but buy when prices are low, near support. You can get liquidated if you are buying when prices start to rise without a plan on an impulse. The market is shaking just for you. You will definitely get liquidated if you are trading continually with 20X. There is an entire set of experts, professionals and programs buying and selling just to distract you and when you get distracted BOOM!, out of nowhere money forever gone, namaste. » Bitcoin It is the same dynamic all over again, resistance turns support. I will reveal the technicals for you and you decide what to believe and what to do but my reasoning is supported by data, facts. It is not wishful thinking or random choosing. It is true the market can move in any way but you have to go with the side that has a high probability of success. If you do this often enough, you win in the end. When the market was going down, every time there was a stop the next move would be a continuation of the main direction, the trend. When the market is going up, every time there is a stop the next move will be a continuation is simple. The question is this; is the market rising or falling? The market has been rising for more than a month. Yes, it is meeting resistance but this resistance has already been challenged several times in the past. Bitcoin moving back to it after a strong correction means the decision point. If we didn't know about the fundamentals, the change in the regulatory landscape and the Altcoins, I don't know, I would say things look mixed at the most, but knowing about all these other factors I can say with confidence that Bitcoin will continue to grow. Don't get me wrong, there can be consolidation for a few more days and even more swings to remove some of those over-leveraged trades; the next major move is up and a new All-Time High. Thank you for reading. Namaste.
by MasterAnanda
7
BTCUSD Can it do this one more time?Bitcoin / BTCUSD is on a strong 1week MA50 rebound, while staying inside the Channel Up from the Cycle bottom and holding the 1week RSI Support. Last time it did that was during the 2015-2017 Bull Cycle. In fact it was May 2017 when the price started rising aggressively and eventually broke above the Channel Up into a relentless parabolic rally until the end of the year. With the Cycle seemingly identical, do you think Bitcoin can do this one more time? Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TheCryptagon
1
ETHBTC Is it repeating its first Cycle?I know that the timeframes are not the same but don't tell me that the structure between then and now isn't similar. The biggest difference is that in 2016 ETHBTC made a deeper low than now, but the current rebound is showing signs that we might have a similar parabolic rise. Now will that be enough to give a new All Time High? We will see, but don't tell me that this can't target 0.0900 byu the end of the year. Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
Long
by TheCryptagon
BTCUSD: is far away from its Sell Zone.Bitcoin remains overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 70.017, MACD = 4154.600, ADX = 16.535) but still in the middle of the Cycle's Channel Up. After a 1W MA50 rebound (April 7th) on the bottom quarter, it is aiming for the blue Sell Zone of the top quarter of the Channel Up where the last two tops were priced. A +93.64% rise has been the most common inside this pattern. Based on that the minimum TP for this run is 140,000. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by InvestingScope
Bitcoin and the Historic 8-Year Trendline: A Pivotal MomentHello, I'm full-time trader Dusk. If this analysis helps you, please consider following and boosting this post. Thank you! Today, I'm writing with anticipation and excitement as Bitcoin once again approaches an 8-year-long historical trendline. It has been quite a journey, with Bitcoin reaching a high of $19,000 in 2017, soaring to $69,000 in 2021, and touching $109K in 2025 On January 20 of this year, Bitcoin tested its 8-year trendline but failed to break above it, subsequently dropping sharply to $74,500 (-32%) by April 4. Since then, Bitcoin has steadily recovered and continued its upward momentum. Currently, Bitcoin is at $104,000, with the next key target being $113,000. I've outlined four possible scenarios: ① Immediate rejection and decline from current priceProbability: ★★★☆☆ (Medium) ② Reaching $113K, then decliningProbability: ★★★☆☆ (Medium) ③ Direct breakout above $113KProbability: ★★☆☆☆ (Moderate) ④ Touching $113K, consolidating, then continuing upwardsProbability: ★★★★☆ (High) Personally, I find scenarios ② and ④ to be the most likely, though I’m hoping for scenario ③—a powerful breakout beyond $113K. However, the region between $105K and $113K currently presents significant selling pressure. It remains uncertain whether Bitcoin can swiftly break through this resistance and maintain momentum despite substantial selling volume. That said, the current market dynamics differ significantly from the past. BlackRock now holds approximately 600,000 BTC, MicroStrategy around 550,000 BTC, and various U.S. states and countries are increasingly recognizing Bitcoin as a strategic asset. Today's news highlights Galaxy Digital's Nasdaq listing and discussions with the SEC regarding tokenizing Nasdaq-listed U.S. stocks. With increased institutional and governmental adoption and now discussions around stock tokenization, Bitcoin stands on the threshold of mainstream institutional acceptance. Let's closely monitor how Bitcoin responds at this historic trendline, and together witness the potential unfolding of a new financial era. I hope this isn't just wishful thinking!
KRAKEN:BTCUSD
by TraderDusk
Bitcoin Breakout Loading: Resistance Zone Under Pressure!!!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) made the correction I expected , as I predicted in my previous idea . Bitcoin is trading in the Resistance zone($103,320-$102,600) and near the Resistance lines . Given the momentum of the previous hour's candle and the fact that the previous three candles together formed a Morning Star Candlestick Reversal pattern , it is expected that the Resistance lines will be broken soon. In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it looks like Bitcoin has completed the main wave 4 as I expected with a Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) . A break of the Resistance lines by Bitcoin could confirm the end of the main wave 4 . Also, given Bitcoin's higher correlation with the S&P500 Index ( SP:SPX ) and the fact that I expect the S&P500 Index to increase , the increase in the S&P500 Index could help Bitcoin increase further . I expect Bitcoin to break the Resistance zone($103,320-$102,600) and Resistance lines soon and attack towards the Resistance zone($105,100-$104,520) . Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $101,360-$100,600 Note: If Bitcoin falls below $101,280, we should expect further declines. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
24
HelenP. I Bitcoin will fall to support zone and then start riseHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. This chart shows how the price continues to trade inside a rising channel, with the price currently hovering just above the support zone around 101000. After forming a clean consolidation phase near the upper boundary of the structure, the market is showing signs of a potential pullback toward this zone. However, the broader trend remains bullish, and as long as price holds within the ascending formation, this correction may act as a base for the next move higher. The consolidation structure formed at the top indicates that buyers are not rushing in aggressively, but they are also not allowing prices to drop sharply, a classic sign of accumulation. This aligns well with the previously confirmed trend line and horizontal support zone. If BTC holds this area and finds renewed momentum, I expect a breakout from the consolidation range to the upside. My goal remains at 107000 points, which sits a little higher than the projected top of the current channel. Given the strength of the structure, the higher lows, and the recent defense of support, I maintain a bullish bias and anticipate another upward wave from this level. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Long
by FirstNameHelen
23
BTC Primary trend. Secondary - expanding triangle.Logarithm. Time frame 1 week. Linear for clarity. Now the price is in consolidation in the key resistance zone of the "psychology 100" zone. Everything is as before, nothing new. The price moves from dynamic zones of support and resistance of the large channel, and with the observance of the proportions of decreasing % from the previous maximums and minimums, adhering to a conditional 4-year cyclicality. Which is also initially embedded in the Bitcoin halvings, and the understanding of increasing demand, with a decrease in supply through halvings (but, here is a nuance with ETF, that is, conditionally with "fake bitcoins", which significantly increases the supply). With a huge degree of probability, in the next cycle (possibly the final one), Bitcoin will be driven above or around $ 1 million, depending on the maximum that will be set in this cycle. Perhaps it will be much higher (parabolic growth as at the end of 2017) than the average distribution price. Mass digitalization is underway... and there are more and more dollars, they need to be somehow utilized in the future. I specifically refreshed the old ideas of the main trend (2 and 3 years ago published) of this scale, and made it on a linear chart, for greater visualization of the trend direction and patterns that are formed on a smaller scale. BTC/USD Secondary trend cycles and halvings. 1 07 2022 BTC/USD Halving 518 When will the minimum and maximum price be cycles. 27 09 2023
Long
by SpartaBTC
Bitcoin can drop from wedge to 100K pointsHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. After consolidating for an extended period within a triangle pattern, the price eventually broke out with strong bullish momentum. The move was supported by a solid rebound from the buyer zone and a clean breakout above the 92800 - 94200 support area. This breakout initiated a steep climb, forming a new upward wedge structure, defined by narrowing trend lines and rising local highs. Currently, the price is trading near the resistance boundary of the wedge, around the 104000 - 105000 zone. This zone has already triggered one rejection and is showing signs of weakening bullish strength. Given the rising wedge geometry and the fading impulse strength, the risk of a correction is increasing. The current structure typically leads to a pullback, especially after such a steep rise. I expect that BTC may rise to the resistance line of the wedge and then drop below the support line, thereby exiting from this pattern. That's why I set my TP 1 at the 100K points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Short
by LegionQ8
17
BTC: Next Big Move is Brewing – $116K Target Locked!🚀 Hey Traders! 👋 If you’re finding value in this analysis, smash that 👍 and hit Follow for high-accuracy trade setups that actually deliver! 💹🔥 Bitcoin has been following a highly consistent rally-consolidation-breakout pattern over the last few weeks — each time breaking out with nearly +10% upside moves after forming solid accumulation zones. 📈 📊 Observational Pattern: Let’s break it down: Phase 1 (April 19–21) Accumulation range: GETTEX:82K –$84K Breakout: ~11% gain to ~$93K Phase 2 (April 25–May 7) Range: ~$91K–$94K Breakout: ~10% rally to ~$103.5K Phase 3 (Current Zone: May 9–Now) Range: ~$101K–$104K Price is consolidating, showing signs of continuation. 🧠 What the Chart is Telling Us: Bitcoin is forming a bullish continuation structure (like a stepping staircase) — a pattern often seen in strong trending markets. Each green box (marked in chart) represents a clear demand zone followed by a breakout. If this pattern repeats, we can expect a move towards $114K–$116K. Invalidation Level: A daily close below $101K would break the rising support and flip sentiment short-term bearish. ✅ Summary: Target: $114K–$116K Invalidation: Daily close < $101K ⚠️ Trade with discipline. Let the chart confirm before aping in. We’ll keep updating as the setup evolves — pin this for reference. 🧠
Long
by CoreCrypto1
BITCOIN - Price can leave pennant and rise to $106500 pointsHi guys, this is my overview for BTCUSDT, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 Some time ago, price traded inside a flat, where it declined to the $93400 support level and then rose to the top part of the flat. Then it corrected, after which made a strong upward impulse, exiting from flat, and continued to grow in pennant. In pennant, BTC broke $97800 and $102300 levels, after which it made retest and continued to grow to resistance line. When the price reached this line, it corrected to support area, after which tried to grow, but failed and fell back. But recently it rose to the resistance line of the pennant, where at the moment it continued to trades near. In my opinion, BTC can correct to support line and then bounce up to $106500, exiting from the pennant. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Long
by WalterMoon
5
Mastering the MACD - How to use it in trading?The MACD, or Moving Average Convergence Divergence, is one of the most widely used technical indicators in trading. It was developed by Gerald Appel in the late 1970s and is designed to reveal changes in the strength, direction, momentum, and duration of a trend in a stock's price. At its core, the MACD is a momentum oscillator, though it is commonly plotted as a line chart rather than the traditional bounded oscillators like the RSI. Despite being unbounded, traders use the MACD primarily to identify potential buy and sell signals. What will be discussed? - How does the MACD work? - How to use the MACD in trading? - Divergences - Conclusion How does the MACD work? The MACD is calculated by subtracting the 26-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) from the 12-period EMA. The result of this calculation is the MACD line. A nine-period EMA of the MACD line, known as the signal line, is then plotted on top of the MACD line. The third component is the MACD histogram, which represents the difference between the MACD line and the signal line. The histogram gives traders a visual cue about momentum: when the histogram bars are growing in height, momentum is increasing in the direction of the MACD line; when they shrink, momentum is slowing down. How to use the MACD in trading? Understanding how to use the MACD in trading requires some interpretation of the relationships between these components. One of the primary signals traders look for is a crossover between the MACD line and the signal line. When the MACD line crosses above the signal line, it is considered a bullish signal, suggesting that it might be a good time to buy. Conversely, when the MACD line crosses below the signal line, it indicates a bearish signal and potentially a good time to sell. These crossovers tend to be more significant when they occur below or above the zero line, which is where the MACD and signal line are equal. A crossover below the zero line followed by a move above it could signal the beginning of an uptrend, while a crossover above the zero line followed by a move below it might signal a downtrend. Divergences Another important application of the MACD is identifying divergence between the MACD and the price action of the asset. Divergence occurs when the price is moving in one direction and the MACD is moving in the opposite. For instance, if the price makes a new high but the MACD forms a lower high, it can be a warning sign that the upward momentum is weakening and that a reversal could be on the horizon. Similarly, if the price hits a new low but the MACD makes a higher low, it might suggest a potential bullish reversal. Conclusion In summary, the MACD is a versatile and powerful indicator that helps traders analyze the momentum and direction of a market trend. Its ability to provide both trend-following and momentum signals makes it a valuable tool in a trader’s toolkit. While it is not a standalone solution, when used properly and in conjunction with other strategies, the MACD can greatly enhance the accuracy and confidence of trading decisions. Thanks for your support. - Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis! - Drop a like and leave a comment!
INDEX:BTCUSD
by Youriverse
23
BITCOIN Stairway to 134k.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is unfolding a very interesting pattern since its April 07 bottom. That was at $74500 and since that level, it has been consistently targeting all 10k intervals above it: From 74k to 84k, 94k and is now on 104k. Once it hit all those levels, the price consolidated, forming a very structured Channel Up. Now, the Channel Up may not hold forever but this consistency gives us the idea that it can continue targeting all those levels above it: 114k, 124k, 134k. If this pattern continues to hold for as much time as it has since the bottom, then we may see $134k by late June/ early July. Do you think it is possible to stay this consistent for that long? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
5