How are 'Stategic Reserve' assets going to react?? Weve had plenty of scepticism come out over inclusion of altcoins in the strategic reserves. News reports on it undermining the reserve.
We have also had Trumps cost cutting and tariffs pushing bearish pressure on the market. While ADA+XRP+SOL are sitting on previous all time highs. Even more troublesome is the unwinding of USDT.
This may pull away one of the largest liquidity providers to the crypto space. This can be extremely bearish.
I am myself however still bullish. I see rising fundamentals and a lot of room for upside in L1s and applications token price.
1-BTC
Trump's Bombshell Strategic Reserve Announcement.Let's summarize the situation.
We were on the edge of slipping into a bear market, with CRYPTOCAP:BTC under heavy selling pressure and looking bearish on daily, hourly, and weekly timeframes.
A lot of people were caught off guard, selling their crypto to prepare for shorts and ending up sidelined—I was one of them, and I’m pissed. Since I live in Asia, I was asleep when it happened, and so was the entire Asian market.
Then, conveniently, Trump announced the strategic crypto reserve, which was originally scheduled for Friday to coincide with the White House crypto summit. Meanwhile, the tariffs are set to take effect on Tuesday.
On the global stage:
- The rejection of Zelensky has pushed Europe to react, with some leaders now considering sending troops to Ukraine. This could seriously complicate things for the Trump administration and potentially escalate into WWIII. No joke, this is a serious situation.
- Israel has decided to destroy Gaza completely and is now enforcing a full-scale siege, which will cause massive international backlash. The situation there never been so bad.
- Recession fears are mounting, and we can see markets starting to shake and correct.
And then Trump drops his crypto reserve announcement…
- This was a sloppy reveal—posted only on his own platform, not on X—which caused panic, as people scrambled to verify the source, thinking it was fake news.
- Even worse, the initial announcement didn’t mention Bitcoin or Ethereum! Instead, they listed CRYPTOCAP:XRP , Cardano, and Solana as part of the reserve, which made people think their accounts were hacked. Later, they corrected it, clarifying that CRYPTOCAP:BTC and CRYPTOCAP:ETH are at the "heart" of the reserve.
So yeah… Sunday night, completely unexpected, and poorly executed.
What does this mean for CRYPTOCAP:BTC ?
- Weekly timeframe: Nothing has changed—it’s still in a serious correction, and a 10% daily pump isn’t enough to reverse the trend. My previous analysis is still valid.
- Daily timeframe: The MACD has reset, and RSI is now in a neutral zone. This suggests a potential short-term pump over the next few days.
- Key levels: Supports at $91k and $80k are back, but $99k remains a major resistance and could reject $BTC.
- Leverage & liquidity: A massive $4.3 billion in longs has been built up, meaning we’re likely to retest the downside to liquidate them.
- CME gap: We just created a 10%+ CME gap, which will most likely be filled.
Conclusion:
Optimism is back, and we could see a short altseason as capital flows into altcoins, now that some are officially part of the U.S. national reserve.
BUT the global situation remains extremely concerning:
- War tensions in Europe and the Middle East
- Recession risks still on the table
- Uncertainty about how this crypto reserve will actually work
This is great news, but going all-in on longs at this point seems risky. How long will this momentum last? More than a week? I’m not sure.
Technically, the correction isn’t over. Unlike December 2024—when Trump’s election happened at the end of a correction, with a bullish MACD crossover—we are now at the START of a weekly correction, which could last until May 2025.
So yeah, fundamentally bullish, but technically, the correction still has room to go.
ETH Bulls vs. Bears – Who Wins at $2000?Hi everyone,
As always, when I spot something interesting, I’ll share it. Right now, ETHUSD is -15% in a single day, flashing red on my screen! 😃
For those interested, this level isn’t a bad technical setup. Keeping it short, here are the key criteria:
The ultimate trendline
This is the major trendline and should be the strongest one on the chart. Unfortunately, the price didn’t come from long-term higher highs, which weakens it slightly but still, there are other solid factors that align with it.
A strong horizontal price zone
This area has seen multiple rejections in the past, so volatility should be expected here.
A 50% drop from the most recent high
Similar to the trendline, this level is slightly weaker because it’s not a full 50% drop from the all-time high. However, historically, crypto assets have shown strong reactions around these levels.
The round number $2000
Acting as a psychological support level, it adds extra strength to this zone.
What do you think? Will this level hold, or are we smashing straight through it? Drop your thoughts in the comments!
If you like the analysis, hit the boost as well🚀
Cheers,
Vaido
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PO3 and Fibonacci: The Path to $128,000I've always been an advocate of analyzing data deeply and finding patterns where others see chaos. And today I want to share my perspective on one of the most exciting opportunities that are taking shape right now.
PO3 is not just an indicator, but a real key to understanding how the market shapes its moves. When you combine it with Fibonacci levels, a unique picture opens up in front of you that gives you a glimpse into the future. This is exactly the case when the data speaks for itself. Now, analyzing the current dynamics, I come to the conclusion that we can expect a significant rise in price to the level of 128,000 dollars. PO3 shows a clear direction and Fibonacci levels confirm the potential for such a move.
So, my prediction: $128,000 is not the limit of dreams, but a realistic goal that we can achieve. And those who understand this trend have a unique advantage.
Alex Kostenich,
Horban Brothers.
Trump’s crypto picks struggle: Saylor sees $200T market cap Bitcoin has fallen below the 78.6% retracement of Sunday’s surge and is now less than 2K above the level it was at when Trump tweeted about a strategic reserve including Bitcoin and a few altcoins.
Some of the smaller cryptocurrencies mentioned by Trump—Cardano, Solana, and Ripple—are holding up slightly better but have also dropped.
Strategy Executive Chairman Michael Saylor, whose company holds nearly 500,000 BTC, strongly endorsed Trump’s proposed strategic crypto reserve in a CNBC interview. Saylor also predicted Bitcoin’s market cap could reach $20 trillion and eventually $200 trillion, projecting a price of $13 million per BTC by 2045. In a bullish scenario, he sees Bitcoin hitting $49 million, while a bearish case could still put it at $3 million.
YGG ANALYSIS🚀#YGG Analysis :
🔮#YGG is consolidating in a parallel channel.... currently falling from its resistance zone. It is trading above its major support zone and there maybe a small retest towards lower supprt level and after that we will see a bullish move📈📈
🔰Current Price: $0.2400
🎯 Target Price: $0.2900
⚡️What to do ?
👀Keep an eye on #YGG price action. We can trade according to the chart and make some profits⚡️⚡️
#YGG #Cryptocurrency #TechnicalAnalysis #DYOR
LTC Litecoin Could Do One More Round Of Bouncing Within WedgeThis is a possible scenario here. This is in line format not candles so wicks could be lower than than this. Lines remove all the wicks and are just on an open and close basis, kind of cleaning up the noise. This is not guaranteed to happen but it is a possible scenario before we break out again around the end of March. I'll post below a candle chart as well so you can see those levels. As long as we stay within this wedge on a closing basis and within the channel on the candle format then we should be fine. If we break down below the wedge or channel and close below it then thats not going to be very good. I don't see this happening thats just worst case scenario.
Follow me for more updates. Not financial advice. Thank you
BTC | MASSIVE CORRECTION or BULLISH PATTERN?After the new of the recent ByBit hack, the entire market seems to have taken a dip.
(more on the bybit hack here:)
Luckily, seeing a 20% correction on Bitcoin isn't strange.. at all. It's actually quite common for the price to correct anywhere between 15% and 30%. The tell all sign will be whether or not we can reclaim the key support ABOVE 90k, otherwise we might be heading closer to that 30% dip.
Meanwhile.. another altcoin is approaching a key buy zone. Don't miss it, here:
_______________________
BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Binance Coin (BNB) Market AnalysisRecent Price Action & Breakdown
BNB lost the key $600 support level due to strong selling pressure, dropping 12% over the past week, aligning with the broader market downturn.
The break below $600 signals increased bearish momentum, but BNB has yet to form a lower low, indicating relative strength compared to most altcoins.
Key Support Levels to Watch
If the decline continues, buyers may step in between $550 and $500, with $500 being a historically strong support zone.
Holding above $500 is crucial, as a sustained drop below this level could lead to further downside pressure.
Potential Recovery Scenario
If $500 holds, there remains potential for a recovery, especially if the overall crypto market stabilizes.
A move back above $600 would be a bullish signal, confirming a potential rebound and resumption of BNB’s upward trend.
Conclusion
BNB is at a critical juncture. The $500 support level must hold to avoid a deeper correction.
Despite the drop, BNB shows relative strength compared to most altcoins.
Traders should watch for buying activity around the $500-$550 range, as this could indicate a recovery in the near term.
93576.0-94742.35 : Uptrend conversion zone
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
The key is whether the price can maintain above the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart and rise above 97226.92.
If it is supported near 93576.0-94742.35, it is expected to turn into an uptrend.
If not, it is important whether it is supported near 89294.25.
The reason is that if it falls below 89294.25 again, it is highly likely to eventually touch the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
This volatility period is March 3-5.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been in an upward trend since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, you can see that the upward trend is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we expect that we will not see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
In other words, it is the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, it is expected that this Fibonacci ratio will be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
How to view and respond to this is up to you.
When the ATH is updated, there are no support and resistance points, so the Fibonacci ratio can be used appropriately.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous when used as support and resistance.
This is because the user must directly select the important selection points required to create Fibonacci.
Therefore, since it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection points, it can be useful for chart analysis, but it can be seen as ambiguous when used for trading strategies.
1st : 44234.54
2nd : 61383.23
3rd : 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (Overshooting)
4th : 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (Overshooting)
5th : 178910.15
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Ethereum Market Analysis–Bearish Breakdown Signals Further RiskKey Developments & Price Action:
Ethereum lost its key support at $2,400 and has dropped 21% over the past week, following widespread crypto market declines.
ETH is now in a vulnerable position, struggling to find stability after this sharp sell-off.
Critical Support & Downside Risks:
The $2,000 psychological level is crucial—if ETH fails to hold above it, further downside pressure is likely.
The next major support is at $1,800, a level last seen during the 2023 bear market.
A sustained move below $2,000 could confirm a bearish market structure, increasing the probability of continued selling pressure.
Potential Scenarios:
Bullish Case: ETH stabilizes above $2,000 and begins a relief bounce toward $2,200–$2,400, reclaiming lost support levels.
Bearish Case: ETH breaks below $2,000, confirming a deeper correction, with $1,800 as the next downside target.
Market Outlook:
For now, Ethereum remains bearish and requires strong buyer support at $2,000 to avoid a deeper sell-off.
A weekly close below $2,000 would signal further weakness, while a rebound above $2,400 would help regain bullish momentum.
Caution is warranted until ETH confirms a clear bottom formation.
BTC's Potential Up to 77K & Down to 130K? Here’s WhyBINANCE:BTCUSDT has both bullish and bearish scenarios in play now.
These days, the crypto market has been stagnant—no real pump, no real dump.
🔻 If it drops, how low will it go?
There’s a potential multiple-top pattern.
If CRYPTOCAP:BTC breaks below the neckline at $92,000 with volume—or fails to reclaim it—then the target drop sits at $77,000.
🚀 If it pumps, how high can it go?
A potential multiple-bottom pattern is forming.
If MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN breaks above the neckline at $107,000 with volume—or successfully retests it—then the target is $130,000.
🔥 Short-term strategy
The Feb 3rd candle had significant volume and has been a key resistance level multiple times.
This makes it a strong reference point for entries.
(See orange & light blue arrows.)
1️⃣ Long Setup
Entry trigger: $102,500 (Feb 3rd high)
Stop loss: $91,231 (Feb 3rd low)
2️⃣ Short Setup
Entry trigger: $91,231 (Feb 3rd low)
Stop loss: $102,500 (Feb 3rd high)
💡 Prices vary across exchanges. Use the prices from your trading platform.
🔴 Read my signature & publications for more info you don’t want to miss.
🔥 for more future script "guesses" like this!
Bitcoin, Mind The Gap (85,720) The massive move initiated from Trumps tweet Sunday about the Crypto Strategic Reserve has left a massive gap on the Bitcoin Futures Chart. Gaps tend to get fill sooner rather than later, with a high 90% hit rate on gaps getting filled.
We could see a pullback this week to fill the gap with another run up following back above 90k to save the weekly close ... again.
We see confluence with the golden pocket (0.6128 - 0.65 Fib) here on that retracement and also the most amount of volume (VPVR) being traded there.
A final test of the demand below 90k, which if shown as support, will lead us back into the range of 90k to 110k.
GBPUSD FUNDAMENTALS AND TECHNICAL ANALYSISGBPUSD is currently trading at 1.265, showing strong bullish momentum as it finds solid support at this level. The gradual increase in trading volume indicates growing interest from buyers, suggesting that the pair is gaining strength for a potential move toward the 1.288 target. If this support level holds, we could see further bullish continuation in the coming sessions.
From a technical perspective, GBPUSD is respecting key support, with increasing volume confirming buyer interest. A break above minor resistance levels could further accelerate the uptrend, providing a clear path toward 1.288. If price action remains above 1.260, it will reinforce the bullish outlook, while traders should watch for any pullbacks as potential buying opportunities.
Fundamentally, GBPUSD's strength is influenced by a softer US dollar as expectations around the Federal Reserve’s rate policy shift. Any dovish signals from the Fed or weaker US economic data could push the dollar lower, giving GBP an advantage. Additionally, positive UK economic indicators or a hawkish stance from the Bank of England could further support the pair’s bullish momentum.
In summary, GBPUSD is holding strong support with increasing volume, signaling potential upside toward 1.288. If this bullish momentum sustains, traders could capitalize on the breakout, with confirmation needed through technical signals and macroeconomic developments. Keep an eye on resistance levels and market sentiment for further validation.
Bitcoin - Bitcoin, waiting for another decline?!Bitcoin is located between the EMA50 and EMA200 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its descending channel. Bitcoin's downward correction and its placement in the demand zone will provide us with the opportunity to buy it again. It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and compliance with capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. If the downward trend continues, we can buy in the demand range.
Donald Trump has issued an executive order on digital assets, directing the Presidential Task Force to move toward establishing a strategic cryptocurrency reserve that will include XRP, SOL, and ADA. He emphasized, “I will ensure that the United States becomes the cryptocurrency capital of the world.” Trump further added, “We are making America great again!”
He also highlighted Bitcoin and Ethereum as other valuable digital assets that will be central to this reserve, stating, “I love Bitcoin and Ethereum!” Following this announcement, Bitcoin responded positively to the news of the executive order.
On February 28, BlackRock made headlines after Bitcoin (BTC) dropped below $80,000. Amid speculation, some claimed that the company had sold $500 million worth of Bitcoin, playing a significant role in the price decline.
However, a closer analysis contradicts these claims. Data shows that BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) still holds 577,919 BTC. While this fund saw an outflow of 2,274 BTC on February 27 and a total of 10,595 BTC over the past week, this does not imply that BlackRock itself is selling Bitcoin.
These ETF outflows result from investors selling shares of the fund. In such scenarios, the ETF is required to sell Bitcoin proportionally to meet liquidity demands. Therefore, these movements are not directly tied to BlackRock’s own decision to offload BTC but rather reflect investor behavior.
Contrary to circulating rumors, BlackRock is not exiting Bitcoin; in fact, it has been increasing its exposure. Recent financial filings reveal that the company now holds a 5% stake in MicroStrategy (MSTR), up from 4.09% in September 2024.
Additionally, it has been announced that BlackRock plans to integrate its Bitcoin ETF into the firm’s $150 billion portfolio. This move suggests that rather than pulling out of the market, BlackRock is strengthening its position in Bitcoin-related assets.
Ultimately, this situation highlights how quickly rumors and speculation can spread during market downturns, but a detailed analysis of the data always provides a clearer picture of reality.
Meanwhile, Ronaldinho, the former Brazilian football star, has announced plans to launch his own cryptocurrency. He also warned his fans to stay vigilant against fraudulent meme coins.