Bitcoin Dips to $96K Amid MARA and Hut 8’s Major Accumulation SpBitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ), the flagship cryptocurrency, faced a notable price dip to $96,300, reflecting a 6% decline over the past 24 hours. Despite this, significant institutional purchases by MARA Holdings and Hut 8 highlight the growing confidence in Bitcoin's long-term potential.
Institutional Accumulation on the Rise
MARA recently purchased 15,574 BTC at an average price of $98,529 per Bitcoin, totaling $1.53 billion. This acquisition, financed through zero-coupon convertible notes, has increased their holdings to 44,394 BTC, worth $4.45 billion at current prices.
MARA’s year-to-date BTC yield stands at an impressive 60.9%, underscoring their strategic accumulation approach.
Another institutional player, Hut 8, announced the purchase of 990 BTC for $100 million. These acquisitions demonstrate that major players view current prices as an attractive entry point, reinforcing Bitcoin's narrative as a store of value.
Market Sentiment and Activity
Despite the dip, CryptoQuant reports no signs of widespread panic selling. This indicates resilience among market participants, with many holding firm in anticipation of a rebound. Additionally, Bitcoin remains 4.59% up in December and 60% up over the past four months, reflecting its strong performance in the broader macroeconomic environment.
Technical Analysis
1. Relative Strength Index (RSI):
Bitcoin’s RSI currently sits at 35, signaling oversold conditions. Historically, such levels have often preceded a price rebound.
2. Fibonacci Retracement Levels:
Immediate support is observed at the 65% Fibonacci retracement level, a critical zone that could stabilize the price. However, persistent selling pressure might push Bitcoin lower, with potential targets at:
- $90,000 (1-month low)
- $80,000 (key psychological level)
3. Volume and Liquidations:
Over $100 million in liquidations occurred in the last 24 hours, suggesting significant market volatility.
Short-Term Outlook
While the dip has raised concerns, Bitcoin's fundamentals remain strong, bolstered by robust institutional demand. The oversold technical conditions and significant support levels suggest a potential recovery in the coming days. However, traders should remain cautious, as further dips could occur if broader market conditions deteriorate.
Conclusion
Bitcoin’s dip to $96K reflects short-term volatility, but the sustained interest from institutional players like MARA and Hut 8 underscores its long-term potential. As market sentiment stabilizes, Bitcoin could see renewed bullish momentum, making this an opportune moment for investors to assess their strategies.
1-BTC
BTC Price Predictions for ATHBTC price is bouncing off of strong support at around the 96,600 range, and is likely to bounce back above 100k. It could take a while to consolidate and accumulate a while before heading up further. My prediction is price likely to approach all time highs around the first week of January.
Bitcoin BEARISH - BTC Strong Resistance On Weekly TFBitcoin has reached strong resistance on the weekly TF. The resistance line goes the whole way back to 2017. So it's very reliable. A strong move downwards is very likely!
Based on previous times this line was tested, Bitcoin could fall 50% or more. However, the 74000-75000 level looks like a good support level. This would be about a 30% drop which is still very significant.
I expect profit taking very soon and short sellers to come in. There could possibly even be global headline news to cause this drop.
Be very careful in buying near the tops. Trade with your brain and not emotions. This is only an idea and anything can happen, but it's a weekly chart and seems very reliable.
BTCUSD: The phenomenal Fib power of +.618.Bitcoin quickly turned neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 51.454, MACD = 3285.300, ADX = 32.138) as in a matter of 24 hours it dropped from its 108,000 ATH back to below 100,000. As the price continues to grow, we should start getting used to those 10k violent price swings. Today though, we want to discuss an incredible finding, which we call ' the Fib power of 0.618'. It is this amazing pattern you see where Bitcoin, since its Nov 2022 bottom and subsequent Jan 2023 High, it has systematically targeted every +0.618 Fibonacci extension before pulling back.
1st TP was Fib 1.618, 2nd TP = Fib 2.168, 3rd TP = Fib 3.618. Natually this sequence targets next: 4th TP = Fib 4.618 (112,500), 5th TP = Fib 5.618 (173,500) and finally 6th TP = Fib 6.618 (265,000). Of course this assumes that the trend will follow the same fluid pattern, where the first of the Fib pairs has only a short consolidation (green Rectangle) leading to a fast rise to the second Fib, which has a long consolidation (blue Rectangle). This implies that we're currently inside a short consolidation an in April we should hit 112,500 (5th TP on Fib 5.618).
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BTC/USDT 4-hour chart analysis. BTC/USDT trades within an ascending parallel channel, respecting the upper and lower trendlines.
Current price: $99,789.68, retracing back towards a crucial support area.
The highlighted green area is around $98,000-$100,000, which acts as the channel’s demand zone and mid-range level.
200 MA (green line): Located near $97,830, providing dynamic support.
Immediate resistance near the upper channel trendline (~$110,000).
Psychological resistance at $105,000, a crucial round-number level.
If BTC maintains the $98,000-$100,000 support area, it is set to bounce towards:
Short-term target: $105,000.
Mid-term target: $110,000, aligned with the upper channel boundary.
If BTC breaks below $98,000, further declines to test $95,000 (lower trend line) are possible.
A breakdown below the channel will invalidate the bullish trend.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your research and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
For updates on other coins or personalized insights, feel free to reach out via DM.
@Peter_CSAdmin
Is BTC in a accumulation phase?Bitcoin is in an 7K (about 35%) range since 150 days now, and just broke to the downside.
Could this be the spring of an Wyckoff accumulation schematic?
It is no secret that price action has been choppy ever since it entered the trade range, has to shake most people out.
Of course, for this to be an spring we'd need big buyers stepping in, and defying all of the sell volume we've seen so far.
On the other hand, bulls already had absord a lot of BTC sell order and could therefore mean price is near a reversal.
Price could of course(inevitably in the bull case) retest the price range and fade of to fresh lows.
It is also no secret that BTC is highly correlated to traditional markets. It would therefore make sense for both markets to bottom at somewhat the same time.
But with everything we've seen, it could be possible for BTC to mark a bottom now and see price suppression while the DJI, NASDAQ and SPX mark their bottoms in.
It is also an great idea to keep in mind that price tend to move again the masses, and with the FTX/ALAMEDA illiquidity situation, everyone is scared and calling for lower lows.
This is only an gut feeling based on market sentiment right now and only support the unprobability that market would reverse(while everyone is bearish).
Next days/weeks are gonna determine the direction ahead for BTC.
THETA Long OpportunityMarket Context:
Several altcoins, including THETA, have retraced to their horizontal support levels, presenting a prime opportunity for a long position with favorable risk-to-reward.
Trade Details:
Entry Zone: Between $1.99 – $2.14
Take Profit Targets:
$3.10 – $3.35
$4.00 – $4.40
Stop Loss: Just below $1.70
This setup leverages THETA’s strong support level, providing clear upside potential while managing risk effectively. 📈
BIG positionHello friends
This coin is located in a very, very foggy support area, and by maintaining this support area, you can expect a 50% growth from it up to the previous ceiling, which will be our first target, and we will update the following targets if needed.
Again, note that maintaining this support range is very, very important.
If you like this analysis, give us energy with like and comment.
Sentiment Cycle Indicator Performance (PAID)Performance Analysis of the Sentiment Cycle Indicator
1. Trend Identification:
• The indicator has effectively highlighted bullish and bearish sentiment zones, as shown by the green (bullish) and red (bearish) background shading. This visual clarity makes it easy for traders to identify the prevailing market sentiment at a glance.
2. Buy and Sell Signals:
• The Buy signals are well-timed, capturing upward price movements, especially during key reversal zones.
• The Sell signals occur consistently in areas where bearish momentum starts to dominate, allowing traders to exit or short positions effectively.
3. Key Trades Observed:
• Buy Example: Around the recent low near $100,000, the indicator generated a buy signal right before a significant upward move, aligning well with the trend shift.
• Sell Example: Near $105,000, the indicator provided a sell signal ahead of a downward move, protecting traders from holding during the drop.
4. Market Choppiness Handling:
• Even during sideways or choppy markets, the indicator avoids excessive false signals due to its clear sentiment zone shading, helping traders stay on the right side of the market.
Why This Indicator Stands Out
1. Simplifies Complex Market Trends:
• By combining sentiment analysis with buy/sell signals, the indicator provides traders with a comprehensive toolkit for decision-making.
2. Dynamic Market Adaptation:
• The indicator adapts to real-time price movements, ensuring timely and accurate signals without lagging.
3. Perfect for Scalping and Swing Trading:
• Traders can use the sentiment zones for scalping in smaller timeframes and for swing trading over longer horizons.
Reason to worry on Alts?With Bitcoins huge institutional backing seeing it far surpass $100k and reaching a new high of $108k, it's easy to say that the biggest cryptos future looks bright, but what of altcoins? Looking at the TOTAL3 chart there are a few key points I'd like to highlight, some positive and some negative:
4H 200 EMA - This moving average is so important for the short/mid term bias. In a bear market we very rarely see trading above the 4H 200 EMA and vice versa in a bullmarket. Currently TOTAL3 is retesting the MA as support, with first tap wicking below and then a move back above, this is positive so far showing that buyers are willing to step in at this level. Bullish.
Bearish structure forming? - At its core, trading is simple. You buy low and sell high, now we all know there is more to it than that but the basics are still the most important. The trend is your friend, so lets analyse the trend.
Clear Higher high and Higher lows ever since the US election result, bullish structure/trend. However, we recently got our first Lower high since then and now the question is will we get a Lower low to flip the structure bearish? So far that is not the case ass the 4H 200 EMA swooped in to save the day but if price were to dip below the Daily support we'd have a trend flip on the 4H.
Since that is an IF, lets see what is happening now, a tightening of the highs and lows would equal an accumulation phase and in this instance an accumulation phase after a strong rally is a setup for the next leg which is bullish. Just got to keep an eye on that structure for now.
The formation of a downtrend - This ties into the structure point, like how we saw 8 months of "chop" on BTC which in reality was a downtrend after a strong rally, this chart pattern is looking similar to 4H TOTAL3 we see now. If we see a new LL at the downtrend support level I will switch to trading TOTAL3 as a range until proven otherwise.
Bitcoin Price UpdateThere is a significant Bitcoin futures gap at the price level of $103,670 to $102,470. This gap could lead to potential price movements. Additionally, there is a concentration of long positions that could be liquidated at $102,344 to $101,939 if the price declines, further adding to market volatility.
BTC, correcting now into 2025It looks very likely that BTC has completed wave 5 of higher degree of trend of 1. Therefore, we'll see a chunky, sizeable correction that has the potential to go down all the way to the 50s. It may not go this low, but please be aware that it 'could' following the classic ABC pattern. Also, keep an eye on the Hurst cycles below - it has to do it quite quickly. If it does go down to 50k, then I'll be buying that up like Miss Pacman.
BITCOIN → Bearish Pressure !!!Bitcoin has formed a bearish head and shoulders pattern on the hourly time frame. This pattern could potentially lead to a price drop to around $99,000 after the pattern breaks.
But as long as this pattern does not break, we cannot say that the price is bearish. Therefore, we should wait for this pattern to break to confirm a bearish trend.
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⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Bitcoin is Ready to fill CME Gap!!!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT )is approaching the Resistance zone($105,560-$104,940) , Downtrend line , and Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($105,654-$104,709) .
According to Elliott's wave theory , Bitcoin seems to be completing wave 4 . Probably wave 4 will end in the Resistance zone($105,560-$104,940) .
I expect Bitcoin to go towards filling the CME Gap($103,325-$101,840) AFTER breaking the Support line .
⚠️Note: US indices (Federal Funds Rate, FOMC Economic Projections, FOMC Statement) can affect the trend of Bitcoin; the possibility that the market will get excited when the indices are announced is very high.⚠️
⚠️Note: If Bitcoin breaks the Resistance zone($105,560-$104,940), we can expect Bitcoin to rise further, especially if Bitcoin touches $106,200.⚠️
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Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame⏰.
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Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
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ETHEREUM → Consolidation after a bearish trend breakBINANCE:ETHUSD is consolidating within the flat boundaries of 4085 3530. In general, there is a bullish trend, the fundamental background is also favorable except for yesterday's news, which creates a small risk...
The price is at a strong resistance between 4090 and 4100 and it will take a lot of energy to break this area. Yesterday's news was generally controversial but with a negative bias. Despite the decline in interest rates, there were strong hints of stopping the decline and taking a hawkish course. Bitcoin is giving a small correction against this backdrop, which is negative for altcoins.
Ethereum technically did not break the bullish structure, a very strong support area of 3530 - 3440 is formed on the chart and with high probability a retest is possible, a liquidity grab with the aim of further growth. There are risks for further fall, they can be taken into account, but we can consider an attempt of growth as a priority.
Resistance levels: 4086, 4100, 4372
Support levels: 3530, 3440, 3261
Since the price is inside the consolidation, our strategy is simple - trading from the channel boundaries. Accordingly, based on the current situation, we should consider a retest of support before further growth.
Regards R. Linda!
105K for possible short entryMorning folks,
So, BTC just perfectly completed our setup for this week, turning down precisely around 107.80K, where as butterfly as H&S pattern targets were completed and falling down to predefined 98-98.5K area... Now what?
Daily trend has turned bearish, so, nominally we have no reasons for longs at least on daily chart. And should wait for the bounce to resistance levels. Now 105K seems potentially interesting for short entry, if BTC will hold bearish trend.
On intraday chart current 98-98.5 Lows in fact is a last hope for the bulls. This is K-support area, trend line support. SO tactical bounce should happen here, and it is already underway.
Thus, for intraday traders, this level might be interesting for scalp long position.
Those who would like to sell should wait for the same upside bounce. And, some resistance area, say 105K. If BTC will keep going higher, then forget about shorts for some time.
So, daily traders should wait...
BITCOIN Will the Channel Up hold or has the Fed condemned it?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is having an impressive sustainable price action within the Channel Up pattern since November 12, which despite yesterday's Fed fueled pull-back, is still holding. If it holds, it may follow the same pattern that it did exactly 1 year ago.
As you see, it was again in November 2023 that it traded within a Channel Up, which was supported by the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) since October 11. After it broke out, the price reached the 7.0 Fibonacci extension level from the October low, before correcting again.
The situation is very similar today, the 4H MA200 is also holding since Oct 11, the price also formed a 4H Golden Cross on Sep 18, while both fractals started their impressive rallies around the same date (Sep 06 2023 and Sep 11 2024 respectively).
As a result, if the 4H MA200 holds, we can expect BTC to target the 7.0 Fib ext next at $135000.
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