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Bitcoin Weekly Timeframe Update: Technical AnalysisLast week closed at $94,265. The lowest close since Bitcoin broke above 90K on the 11-Nov. session happened at $93,563, the 26-Dec. 2024 week. The highest close happened at $104,447 on the 9-Dec. week. This is the trading range. Between $93,000 and $104,000 based on candle close. Bitcoin went sideways starting early December 2024 and continues sideways to this day. We are projecting an end to this pattern in the coming weeks and months. I can say it is over now but before it shows we need a weekly close above 104. It can take some time because we are set to experience slow and steady grow. Imagine Bitcoin's price growing daily by $500 on average, or maybe $800 or $1,000. It would take 20 days of +$500 daily for Bitcoin to reach $103,000. Just an example. 10 days at +$1,000 each day would add $10,000 to Bitcoin's price. So it would take 30 days to add $30,000. $30,000 would put Bitcoin at $123,000. So imagine Bitcoin trading at 120K in April 2025. It can go faster or slower but these examples can start to create a picture. With this picture we can build a map. Last week closed as a hammer. When the hammer shows up at the bottom of a move, it spells the end of such move. Bitcoin didn't produce a downtrend but the three months sideways, between November '24 and February '25 can count as a trend. If the same period had a downward bent, last week's drop and recovery would signal the end of such trend. Hold on. Let me try and speak clearly. I am saying that the bottom is in. The new week can start shy and speed up toward the end. The truth is that we have good news and this good news sealed the bottom but the market still has to go through its loading phase. I am talking about several months of bullish consolidation before a major rise takes place. The good news is that a portion of the market, many of the smaller Altcoins, will start to boom in response. Let's talk resistance and support. $90,000 is a strong support. There has never been a close below this level. A wick can always touch it or pierce it but this would be short-term. When undesirable action develops, we look for the weekly timeframe for confirmation. Last week is the best example of all. Six days red but the week ended up being neutral. The chart technicals and dynamics stayed the same. Actually, the long lower wick ended up producing a bullish signal. $90,000 followed by $85,000 are the immediate and main support. The immediate resistance is set at $97,444. Once Bitcoin moves and closes above $97,400 we can expect nice growth. While Bitcoin remains below this level, we are still mixed and within consolidation and accumulation. Bullish advance and higher gets confirmed once this resistance breaks. Once broken, we can consider higher prices, we aim directly at new All-Time Highs. All levels that have been challenged in the past we can ignore. So the main target would be $120,000 followed by $128. Then we have $159,000 and the rest can be consider for the long long-term. The in-between targets can be seen on the chart. Thank you for reading. Namaste.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by MasterAnanda
1
Velas (VLX) Technical Analysis & Market Outlook – March 2025🚀 Velas (VLX) Technical Analysis & Market Outlook – March 2025 🚀 📊 Current Market Structure & Technical Indicators 🔹 Trend Overview: Velas has been in a prolonged descending trading channel, reaching its lowest price of 2025, making this a potential accumulation zone. 🔹 Key Support & Resistance Levels: Support: 🟠 $0.00399 (historical low) and $0.00526 (current price level). Resistance: 🔵 $0.00749 (major breakout target) and $0.00900 (mid-term bullish target). 🔹 Indicators Analysis: WMC Cipher B Divergences: Strong bullish divergence detected, suggesting upward momentum. RSI (14): Currently at 56.50, breaking above the neutral zone, indicating a reversal trend. Money Flow Index (MFI): Positive inflow, signaling increasing interest and potential accumulation. Stochastic (14,3,1): Overbought but still showing strength in the recovery phase. 📌 Conclusion: VLX has reached its lowest point and is forming a potential breakout from the descending channel. A break above $0.00749 will confirm a bullish trend. 🔥 Velas Ecosystem Updates & Growth Potential 🔥 💡 Major Developments in the Velas Ecosystem ✅ 1M VLX Tokens for Staking Rewards! Just last week, in collaboration with @AccumulatedFi, 1 million VLX tokens were allocated and distributed among $stVLX stakers, further boosting incentives for long-term holders. ✅ Subchains & Advanced Smart Contract Features Two weeks ago, Velas introduced a powerful devnet update, significantly improving scalability and efficiency: Hosting Subchains: New architecture supports subchains with an updated configuration (semi-compatible with geth init). Improved Subchain Management: More efficient program instructions, leading to faster and smoother blockchain operations. Mint/Burn Token Mechanism: Subchains now support a dynamic mint/burn token system, enabling more advanced DeFi applications and scalability solutions. ✅ New Devnet Release! 🚀 The Velas team isn't slowing down! They will release another devnet update, introducing: Internal Transaction Explorer: Users will be able to track internal blockchain transactions, enhancing transparency. Refined Documentation: Continuous improvements to the Velas Docs ensure seamless onboarding for developers. 🌟 The Road to Velas' Glory – ALEX ALEXANDROW & THE TEAM ARE DELIVERING! 🌟 The Velas team, led by Alex Alexandrow, is on a mission to bring Velas back to its well-deserved glory. With continuous groundbreaking updates, strategic partnerships, and enhanced scalability, Velas is proving itself as a top-tier blockchain project with unmatched potential. 🔥 With major innovations, growing adoption, and a rebounding market, Velas is positioned for a massive breakout! 🔥 #Velas #VLX #Crypto #Blockchain #DeFi #Web3 #Staking #Innovation #Trading #HODL 🚀
CRYPTO:VLXUSDLong
by elfabiiani
BTC dell 120.000$📊 BTCUSDT Analysis: Current Price: $102,859.06 Sell Zone: Near $120,000.00 (🟢 Major resistance) Support Zone: $77,777.00 (🛡️ Key level for potential rebound) 🚨 Signal: Bearish Scenario: If BTC reaches $120,000.00, it’s a sell opportunity 📉. Bullish Scenario: In a strong bull trend (📈), you can buy dips around $77,777.00 (🚀 support area). 💡 Strategy: Take profits near $120,000.00 🎯 if already holding BTC. Watch for entries at $77,777.00 🔍 if BTC retraces. 📈 Trend: Overall Bullish unless support at $93,175 or $77,777 breaks (🔻). 🔐 Risk Management: Stop-loss for buys: Below $73,316.18 (⚠️ Critical level). Let me know if you need further clarification or tailored strategies!
Long
by ehsancrypto72
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) Technical Analysis – Possible Move📉 Recent Price Action: Bitcoin has been in a downtrend, forming lower highs and lower lows. However, a downtrend trendline has been broken, signaling a potential reversal or at least a relief rally. 📌 Key Observations: Fibonacci Levels: The price recently bounced from the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level (~$81,051), a strong support zone. Support Zone (~$82,325 - $83,700): Price is currently testing a previous resistance-turned-support level. Liquidity Grab & Rebound: If BTC holds above $83,700, we could see a bullish push. 🚀 Potential Bullish Scenario: If Bitcoin maintains support above $83,700, it could retest $86,500 - $89,500, aligning with key Fibonacci extension levels. A strong break above $89,500 could push BTC toward the $91,000 - $92,500 supply zone (marked in blue). ⚠️ Bearish Risk: Losing the $82,325 support could lead to another retest of the $79,000 level. A rejection at $86,500 - $89,500 could bring consolidation before a clearer trend emerges.
Long
by melikatrader94
22
CYCLE 4 | CME GAP: Bull Cycle Period First Major Pull Back?Quick post to address BTCs expected potential first major pull back into this bull run period... BULL MARKET PULL BACKS Historically, BTC during its bull market enjoys pull back which ranged from 15% to as much as 30%-40% in prior markets. This is essential for trader participants in the market to take profits, allow BTC to retest low levels and prove new heights are sustainable before ranging to new higher price levels. The first pull back historically for BTC post the start of the 'Bull Run' phase of BTCs 4 year cycle is traditionally the largest pull back opportunity and historically been the best short term buying opportunity in the Bull Run (NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE). We can expect a 30-40% correction for this pull back based on historic bull market period examples (Let me know in the comments below if you would like me to detail consistent price behaviour during BTC bull run periods in a future post). ARE WE AT THIS POINT NOW OF THE CYCLE? WHAT ARE THE INDICATORS SAYING? As highlighted by the RED arrow on the chart, a number of the indicators like to monitor on the weekly chat are suggesting bearish divergences and fading momentum exists with the current price action. This is calling for a cooling off period of the market. CME GAP Historically, BTC has had a tendency to want to 'close' open gap, created by weekend trading of BTC that does not align with equities that follow the traditional 'No Trading' over the weekend policy of Traditional Financial instruments. Hence crypto ETFs which align with these policies (such as the CME Futures chart as seen in this chart) can create 'GAP' between the open (Monday) and close (Friday) candles. To understand CME gaps, please take the time to review the details discussion in the earlier post. The orange BOX shows the below CME gap target that BTC price may range towards to close. NOTE: this box has been listed as Partially Closed as the open Monday candle of the gap did go below before rising during the weekly candle but did no dip past the close of the previous weekly candle. 21W EMA & 20W SMA Historically, a fully developed healthy bull market for BTC has required periodic retesting and holding of these moving averages. A close of the CME gap at this point of the market would also satisfy this historic trend for BTC. ORANGE TREND LINE Bears if eager to continue the 'close the CME gap' trend will need to convince the market by first exceeding the orange trend line. Currently this allows BTC to complete a 10 to 12% correction while also taking the price below the key psychological 100K price level, without phasing the bulls conviction to charger higher. * Holding the Orange Trend Line Scenario: we want to see price bounce and conviction from the bulls to push BTC to higher highs. The goal for Bears would be to achieve the measured move up to 180K. This would most potentially shorted the bull run (time prospective) and potentially cap our ATH for this cycle early; creating a distribution zone similar to the 2021 cycle top. * Breaking below the Orange Trend Line Scenario: If we break the Orange Trend Line then Bulls will concede ground to the MA levels (allowing the CME gap to also close). Bulls will write this off as a market reset and holding support at these levels will entice Traders to take positions needed to drive BTC up sustainably to the next higher level(s). Losing the MAs would ask serious questions to the intent of BULLs and the sustainability of the market moving forward this bull run.....
CME:BTC1!
by Brodie
1
My FINAL Bitcoin chart and Idea (forever)Everyone is too busy focusing on the wrong Technicals. Fear and Greed, RSI, MACD, Stock Markets, etc. All of these are good tools but we have to remember a few things: 1. Zoom out (Bitcoin follows the same 4-year cycle every time... this time is NOT different) 2. Keep it Simple (I'm tired of messy charts, only put what you need for the current timeframe) 3. Avoid Leverage (These areas are too risky and much too volatile... liquidity is getting grabbed at almost every level) Stay safe. I expect Bitcoin to retrace to $57k and then bounce back up... clear skies ahead if we can break out of this pattern I have drawn up. (If not we keep ranging as follows until we break significantly above the previous ATH) Peace out! It's been fun... I may return to crypto one day (if ykyk)
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by RetiredNovice
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Technical Analysis – Daily Timeframe Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Technical Analysis – Daily Timeframe This chart presents a technical breakdown of Bitcoin (BTC/USD) using supply and demand zones to anticipate potential price movements. It reflects a bearish bias as price action shows rejection from the supply zone (sell zone) and an expected drop toward the demand zone (buy zone). 🔍 Key Chart Elements 1. Supply Zone (Sell Zone) – Resistance Area The supply zone is highlighted in the upper region, approximately between $86,000 and $88,000. This area represents a strong resistance where sellers are active, preventing further price increases. Bitcoin recently tested this zone but failed to break above, leading to a price rejection. 2. Demand Zone (Buy Zone) – Support Area The demand zone is marked in the lower region, around $69,000 to $67,000. This is a historical support level where strong buying interest is expected. If Bitcoin reaches this level, a potential bullish reversal could occur. 📉 Bearish Price Projection The chart includes a downward arrow, indicating an expected bearish movement from the supply zone toward the demand zone. Reason for the expected drop: BTC is struggling to gain momentum above $86,000, showing signs of weakness. The recent bearish candles suggest increased selling pressure in the market. A failed breakout above resistance increases the likelihood of a downward move. Price Targets: First target: Around $74,000, a potential minor support. Second target: Around $69,000, which aligns with the demand zone and could act as a strong support level. 🔄 Potential Alternative Scenario – Bullish Breakout (Low Probability) If BTC manages to break above the $88,000 resistance level, it could trigger a bullish rally. In this case, the next targets would be $92,000 and $96,000. However, given the current market structure, this is a less likely scenario unless buying momentum increases significantly.
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by Pipsview_Analysis
BTC/USDT weekly chart displays an important pattern. Current Price Action: Bitcoin is trading around $92,766.71, a notable position just below the recent highs. Resistance Area: A clear resistance level is represented by the horizontal line near $100,000. This level has proven difficult to break, and price action will soon determine if it can reclaim this area. Cup and Handle Pattern: The chart shows a potential cup and handle formation, which could indicate bullish sentiment if the price breaks above resistance. This pattern has a rounded bottom formed in early 2022 and late 2023. Volume Analysis: It is important to analyze volume alongside price moves. A breakout above resistance will ideally be supported by high volume to confirm strength. Potential Support Level: If the price pulls back, the green highlighted area provides support, which traders could view as a buying opportunity. If you found this analysis helpful, hit the Like button and share your thoughts or questions in the comments below. Your feedback matters! Thanks for your support! DYOR. NFA
by CryptoSanders9563
Bitcoin: Sharp Recovery Trend Still Bullish.Bitcoin had an interesting week. In my previous article titled "Watch For 90K" I warned that 90K could be tested and if broken would introduce new support levels to watch for. The upper arrow on the chart points to the fact that there was NO reversal confirmation on this time frame during the time of the 90K test. No confirmation means NO longs. Confirmation eventually came AFTER testing 78K FIRST followed by the establishment of a bullish pin bar (second arrow). If you were looking to buy into this dramatic retrace, THIS is what you had to wait for in order to enter a swing trade that had market defined risk along with a much higher probability that price would go your way. Once again NO ONE saw 78K coming. This is WHY you CANNOT step in front of levels with limit orders, etc., especially if you have no risk controls. This is also why it is best to "listen" to the market, not people. This refers to looking for swing trades NOT investing. The pin bar high is around 85K, the low 78K. The risk presented by the market is 7K points which is A LOT. You can mitigate risk in these situations by working with smaller positions etc. While it may be frustrating to watch the market bounce off of 78K and missing this bottom on this time frame, it is more effective to wait in the long run. The goal should be to align with probabilities NOT pick random tops and/or bottoms. Another key point to consider: The 90K break and 78K test does NOT change the trend on the broader magnitude. This may still be a Wave 4 since the Wave 1 high was NOT overlapped at 65K. Also the bullish reversal was sharp (v bottom), whereas in a very bearish situation, price usually consolidates near the low only to break lower (momentum continuation). With this in mind, I do not anticipate another test of the 78K low or lower low. Minor retraces back to 90K or higher 80Ks is where I anticipate a higher low to evolve. This perspective is not to be confused with investing. This situation offered some investment opportunity in my opinion but you have to have a structured dollar cost averaging plan which I have talked about in previous articles, streams, and beyond the scope of what I am writing here. From here, I am looking for minor retraces for swing trade longs. While the low 90K area should be acting as a resistance, this is NOT an attractive area for shorts on larger time frames because this is just a large consolidation and price is still fluctuating in the lower part of the range. My plan is simple: wait for minor retraces into the low 90K or high 80Ks for long setups. Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by MarcPMarkets
20
Bitcoin's 2025 Price Action Mirrors 2017 - Is History Repeating?Bitcoin Halving & The Trump Factor: A Historical Parallel Bitcoin's price action in 2025 is eerily reminiscent of the post-halving rally of 2017. In both cases, BTC saw a prolonged accumulation phase before a massive markup period. What's even more intriguing is how macro-political events align: Trump was elected in November 2016 , just before BTC went parabolic in 2017, and once again, he's elected in November 2024 , right before Bitcoin enters its explosive post-halving markup phase. Could this be more than just coincidence? Accumulation Phase Ends – The Markup Begins From November 9, 2024 , to February 28, 2025 , Bitcoin was in a 107-day accumulation phase . This mirrors previous post-halving cycles, where BTC consolidates in the Green HPR band before entering the next stage. Now, it appears we are entering the Markup Phase, where I expect Bitcoin to rally towards $120K+ in the coming months. Applying the 2017 Cycle to 2025 The 2017 bull run followed a 59:156:360-day cycle (Accumulation → Markup → Distribution). Using the same ratio and expanding it for 2025, I’ve projected a 107:280:646-day cycle , where: ✅ 107 days Accumulation (Completed!) 📈 280 days Markup (Just Beginning!) 📉 646 days Distribution & Declining (Post-Top Phase) This fractal projection aligns well with historical price action, reinforcing the likelihood of Bitcoin repeating this structure. BitBo’s Rainbow Regression Chart Confirms the Setup Looking at BitBo’s Bitcoin Rainbow Halving Price Regression Chart , BTC briefly dipped into the blue band , just like in 2017’s first wave. However, in both cases, Bitcoin quickly recovered within days and launched into its Markup phase , which is exactly what we’re seeing now! 🔹 Key Takeaway: Bitcoin is following its historic halving cycle patterns, and if history continues to rhyme, the next 280 days could be a wild ride to six-figure BTC prices! 🚀 Don't forget, Patience is Paramount
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by PatienceIsParamount
BTC/USDT 1D chart reviewHello everyone, let's look at the 1D BTC chart for USDT, in this situation we can see how the price moves in the local channel of the downward tendu in which we currently see a strong reflection and a quick return price around the upper border of the channel. However, let's start by defining goals for the near future the price must face: T1 = 94020 $ T2 = 97698 $ Т3 = 102865 $ T4 = 109520 $ Let's go to Stop-Loss now in case of further declines on the market: SL1 = 91130 $ SL2 = 88503 $ SL3 = 84723 $ SL4 = 81673 $ Looking at the MacD indicator, you can see that despite S
by cryptodailyuk
xrpusd H4 Best Level to BUY/HOLD +40% gains🔸Hello guys, today let's review 4hour price chart for XRP. Outlook remains bullish currently pullback in progress, however buying low still is a perfect trade setup with low risk. 🔸XRP is currently in pullback/correction mode after the re-test of ATH. limited upside at current market price 2.50 usd, pullback not complete. 🔸Recommended strategy bulls: BUY/HOLD 2.00 usd, TP 2.80 USD. 40% unleveraged gains. swing trade setup, patience required. good luck. 🎁Please hit the like button and 🎁Leave a comment to support our team! RISK DISCLAIMER: Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss. Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
BITSTAMP:XRPUSDLong
by ProjectSyndicate
27
BTC Scaling Strategy: Trade Like a Pro with Precision EntriesIf you’re new to trading, this guide will walk you through a scaling in and out strategy. We’ll cover: Risk management – protecting your capital. Entry points – how to build your position gradually. Exit points – how to lock in profits while leaving room for further gains. Maximising profit – using a small runner to capture additional upside. By the end, you'll understand: ✅ How to enter trades at optimal levels ✅ How to take profits gradually ✅ How to manage risk so you don’t blow your account BTC Market Analysis Bitcoin has been trading in a tight range for over 100 days near the 100K mark. For 22 consecutive days, bulls have tried to break above 100K, but as the price nears this level, bears consistently rejected the move. Currently, BTC broke below our critical support level at 90K confirming a breakdown in market structure. Adding fuel to the bearish fire, Bitcoin has slipped below the weekly 21 EMA (89,503) and SMA (90,437). With the bears now in control, the critical question emerges: Where will Bitcoin find its next foothold? Let’s map the high-probability support zones and strategic entry points for the next potential long opportunity. Using Fibonacci analysis: Fib Speed Fan: With a low of 49K and an ATH of 109,588 (from March), the 0.618 trend line projects support between about 78K and 82K. Anchored VWAP: When anchored from 49K, the VWAP support is around 81.7K. Negative Fibonacci Retracement: From the ATH down to the current low at 91,231, the –0.618 level is at about 79,886. Fib Extension & Retracement: Additional levels lie around 79,466 (1.618 extension) and 79,230 (0.5 retracement). Moving Averages: The 233 EMA/SMA currently ranges between roughly 83K and 78.5K. These indicators converge to form a robust support zone between approximately 83K and 78K. For a more detailed breakdown, please check my previous Bitcoin analysis, where I conducted a deeper examination. Step 1: Understanding Risk Management (The Golden Rule) Before placing a trade, you must decide: 📌 How much you’re willing to lose (risk per trade) 📌 Where you’ll enter and exit (never place a trade without a plan) How Much Should You Risk? Always risk no more than 1–2% of your total account on a single trade. Example (for a $100K Account): 1% Risk = $1,000 max loss 2% Risk = $2,000 max loss For this trade, we plan to risk about $1,366, which is approximately 1.37% of a $100K account. This disciplined approach protects your capital over the long run. Step 2: Where Do We Enter the Trade? (Scaling In) Instead of going all-in at one price, we break our $30,000 investment into 10 smaller entries and exits. This method reduces risk and often achieves a better average entry price. 💡 Why? Because no one can time the exact bottom! Spreading entries reduces risk and gets a better average entry price. www.tradingview.com BTC Buy (Entry) Levels We will buy BTC as it falls from $83,050 down to $78,050 using the following allocation percentages: Entry # Price (BTC) % of Position Amount Invested ($) BTC Acquired 1 83,050 5% $1,500 1,500 ÷ 83,050 = 0.018072 2 82,550 5% $1,500 1,500 ÷ 82,550 = 0.018181 3 82,050 5% $1,500 1,500 ÷ 82,050 = 0.018278 4 81,550 8% $2,400 2,400 ÷ 81,550 = 0.029430 5 81,050 8% $2,400 2,400 ÷ 81,050 = 0.029606 6 80,550 10% $3,000 3,000 ÷ 80,550 = 0.037234 7 80,050 12% $3,600 3,600 ÷ 80,050 = 0.044974 8 79,550 12% $3,600 3,600 ÷ 79,550 = 0.045275 9 79,050 15% $4,500 4,500 ÷ 79,050 = 0.056956 10 78,050 20% $6,000 6,000 ÷ 78,050 = 0.076352 Total Investment: $30,000 Total BTC Acquired: 0.018072 + 0.018181 + 0.018278 + 0.029430 + 0.029606 + 0.037234 + 0.044974 + 0.045275 + 0.056956 + 0.076352 ≈ 0.37436 BTC Average Entry Price: $80,150 Stop Loss: Set at $76,500 Risk per BTC: $80,150 – $76,500 = $3,650 Total Risk: 0.37436 BTC × $3,650 ≈ $1,366 (~1.37% of $100K) Step 3: Where Do We Exit the Trade? (Scaling Out) We exit gradually as BTC rises between $86,950 and $91,450. The exit percentages are as follows: Exit # Price (BTC) % of Position BTC Sold Proceeds ($) 1 86,950 5% 0.018718 0.018718 × 86,950 = $1,628.10 2 87,450 5% 0.018718 0.018718 × 87,450 = $1,637.03 3 87,950 8% 0.029949 0.029949 × 87,950 = $2,638.15 4 88,450 12% 0.044924 0.044924 × 88,450 = $3,976.39 5 88,950 14% 0.052420 0.052420 × 88,950 = $4,664.19 6 89,450 14% 0.052420 0.052420 × 89,450 = $4,691.19 7 89,950 12% 0.044924 0.044924 × 89,950 = $4,047.12 8 90,450 10% 0.037436 0.037436 × 90,450 = $3,388.20 9 90,950 5% 0.018718 0.018718 × 90,950 = $1,705.71 10 91,450 15% 0.056154 0.056154 × 91,450 = $5,137.68 Total BTC Sold: 0.018718×3 + 0.029949 + 0.044924×2 + 0.052420×2 + 0.037436 + 0.056154 = 0.374381 BTC (matches our total acquired ~0.37436 BTC)≈ $33,488.26 Profit on the Trade: Total Proceeds – Total Investment = $33,488.26 – $30,000 = +$3,488.26 Return on the Trade: $3,488.26/$30,000×100≈11.63% On Overall Account: For a $100K account, $3,488 represents a gain of about 3.49% if fully realised on this trade. Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Risk = $1,366; Reward = $3,488; Ratio ≈ $3,488 / $1,366 ≈ 2.55:1 Step 4: Profit & Risk Summary Metric – Per Trade - Based on $100K Account Total Investment - $30,000 - $30,000 (30%) Risk (Stop Loss) - $1,366 (4.6%) - $1,366(1.37%) Profit (Closed) - $3,488 (11.63%) - $3,488 (3.49%) Profit + Runner - $4,311.18 (14.37%) - $4,311.18 (4.31%) Risk-to-Reward Ratio Calculation: If Stop Loss Hits ($76,500): Average Entry Price: $80,150 Loss per BTC: $80,150 – $76,500 = $3,650 Total Risk: 0.37436 BTC × $3,650 ≈ $1,366 (1.37% of a $100K account) If BTC Reaches Our Exit Targets: Total Proceeds: ≈ $33,488 Profit: $33,488 – $30,000 = $3,488 Profit Percentage on Trade: ~11.63% Overall Account Impact: ~3.49% gain on a $100K account Risk-to-Reward Ratio: ~2.55:1 Step 5: The Power of Scaling In & Out Capital Protection: You risk only about $1,366 (1.37% of a $100K account), protecting your capital even during a series of losses. Optimised Entry: Scaling in from $83,050 to $78,050 yields an average entry of about $80,150—significantly lower than the top price. Profit Locking: Scaling out from $86,950 to $91,450 allows you to lock in profits at multiple levels, ensuring you capture gains along the way. Healthy R:R: With a risk-to-reward ratio of approximately 2.55:1, your potential reward significantly outweighs your risk. Discipline & Consistency: This structured approach minimises emotional trading and helps you stick to your plan. Optional Note: While this guide fully closes the trade, leaving a small portion (15%) open (runner) is an option if BTC continues to rally. Step 6: Final Pre-Trade Checklist 🔹 Support & Resistance: Is BTC trading near a strong support zone? 🔹 Technical Indicators: Is BTC holding above key moving averages (e.g., 21 EMA/SMA)? 🔹 Risk Management: Are you only risking 1–2% of your total account? 🔹 Trade Plan: Are you scaling in and out instead of going all-in? Are your entry levels and exit levels clearly defined? 🔹 Market Confirmation: Do volume, candlestick patterns, and order flow support your trade setup? Conclusion ✅ We protect our money by limiting risk ✅ We enter trades gradually (scaling in) ✅ We take profits at multiple levels (scaling out) ✅ We fully close the trade or leave some BTC open to ride the trend higher Final Tips: Common Mistakes to Avoid 👉 Overleveraging – 10x leverage + 2% risk = 20% account risk! 👉 Ignoring Volatility – Tight stops on Bitcoin often trigger early exits. 👉 Never trade based on emotions. Stick to your plan, adhere strictly to your risk management rules, and let your disciplined strategy work in your favour.
Long
by SiDec
1