BITCOIN Riding the 1DMA50 wave is the best strategy you can haveBitcoin (BTCUSD) has had an enormous bullish break-out to new All Time Highs (ATH) following last week's U.S. elections. The past 2 days have seen this massive rally turn sideways and as always a certain part of market participants have started calling for big corrections or even bear markets. Once again we will let simple charting show why this sideways price action is nothing but a short-term and mostly necessary consolidation.
** November 2020 vs November 2024 **
This analysis is a comparison of BTC's October 2020 - April 2021 rally with October 2024 - today. We've made idea regarding those time periods in the past but this time we bring a more aggressive picture on the 1D time-frame.
As you can see, on both fractals the 1D RSI started with a Channel Up while the price was still trading sideways/ consolidating within the 1W MA50 (red trend-line) and the Resistance level. That was the first sign of the upcoming Parabolic Rally, which was confirmed after the price broke above the Resistance.
BTC formed a Channel Up itself and right now we are on the November Bullish Leg and its consolidation phase (circle) that has been evident on both fractals. The 2020 - 2021 rally lasted for 164 days after November 01 and rose by +395%.
** The key role of the 1D MA50 **
Even if these time and price lengths aren't replicated, the key here for traders and investors alike is this: From October 09 2020 up until April 18 2021, BTC neve closed a 1D candle below its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). It was the 1D MA50 that fully supported this 6-month rally, giving excellent buy entries for those seeking dip buying opportunities or those who simply wanted to hold onto their BTCs for as high as possible.
** Just ride the wave **
As a result, a viable and confirmed strategy at this stage of the Cycle (if you don't want to trade the volatility and buy low/ sell why) could be to just sell when finally a 1D candle closes below the 1D MA50. This is what we effectively call 'riding the 1D MA50 wave'.
So what do you think? Are you prepared to hold until the 1D MA50 breaks, are you willing to buy every time the price gets close to it, or simply have a different strategy at this starge? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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1-BTC
Is Bitcoin on the Verge of a Major Crash? Warning Signs Ahead!👀👉 Bitcoin (BTC) has recently surged to all-time highs, but is the rally about to reverse? On the 1M monthly timeframe, a key horizontal resistance level is flashing warning signals. BTC appears heavily overbought, and the trend shows clear signs of overextension.
📉 Using advanced trading concepts like Wyckoff theory and ICT methodology, this video breaks down:
- How historical price action reveals similar overextended moves that led to significant pullbacks.
- Why the Fibonacci tool suggests a potential retracement to equilibrium after a parabolic price swing.
- The lack of smart money accumulation since the last major price breakout, signaling potential vulnerabilities.
🔍 We’ll examine two key scenarios:
1. Bearish Opportunity: If price action breaks structure and takes out existing range lows, it could signal a deeper correction.
2. Bullish Opportunity: If BTC trades into a discounted zone below equilibrium, this could present a strong buy opportunity for longer-term positioning.
📊 This analysis is for educational purposes only and highlights the importance of managing risk in a market known for its volatility. Past performance is no guarantee of future results—trade wisely and always assess your risk tolerance!
👉 Don’t miss this critical breakdown. Learn how to read the charts like a pro and prepare for what’s next in Bitcoin’s journey!📊
HelenP. I Bitcoin can correct a little and then continue to growHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. In the chart, we can see how the price some time traded near support 2, which coincided with the support zone and even entered to this area, where little time traded too and then started to grow inside the upward channel. Soon, BTC broke support 2 again and then reached the resistance line, after which made a correction to trend line and later broke this line and fell to the support line of the channel. A not long time price traded near this line and later rebounded to the trend line, which coincided with support 1 and broke them. Next, the price rose to the resistance line, after which made a correction back, breaking the trend line one more time, but soon BTC turned around and continued to move up between this line. At the moment, price traded below the trend line and I expect that BTCUSDT will fall to the channel's support line and then start to grow to the resistance line, breaking the trend line. For this case, I set my goal at 97500 level. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Bitcoin Approaching Upper Channel Resistancehello guys.
Ascending Channel: Bitcoin is trading within a well-defined ascending channel, with support and resistance levels marked by parallel lines.
Upper Resistance Zone: The price is nearing the upper boundary of the channel around $95,784, which may act as strong resistance.
Bullish Momentum: The trend is bullish as Bitcoin has consistently followed the channel upwards, respecting both support and resistance levels.
Potential Pullback: If Bitcoin faces resistance at the upper channel, a pullback towards the midline or lower boundary is possible.
Target: If the price breaks above the upper boundary, Bitcoin could see a further bullish extension around $95,784. However, rejection at this level could signal a temporary correction.
ADA Surges After Hoskinson Confirms Partnership with TrumpCharles Hoskinson, the founder of Cardano, is now set to join Trump team, and the market is responding with enthusiasm. Charles Hoskinson, the visionary founder of Cardano, is officially stepping into a pivotal role within Trump administration, fueling excitement across the crypto market. This groundbreaking partnership is being hailed as a game-changer, positioning Cardano at the forefront of regulatory innovation and blockchain adoption in the United States.
The market is already reacting, with ADA surging as confidence grows in its potential to secure mainstream adoption and institutional backing. Analysts are speculating that this bold move could propel ADA well beyond its previous highs, potentially setting the stage for it to reach unprecedented levels in this market cycle. Could $22 be within reach? The momentum suggests it’s entirely possible.
BINANCE:BTCUSD COINBASE:BTCUSD COINBASE:ETHUSD
Bitcoin Analysis==>>First Attack Will Fail!?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) is moving near the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and Important Resistance lines .
I don't expect Bitcoin to be able to break the important resistance lines in the first attack . What do you think !?
Bitcoin managed to form a New All-Time High again today.
According to the Elliott wave theory , Bitcoin seems to be completing the main wave 3 or even main wave 5 in the 1-hour time frame , which can end in a Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
I expect Bitcoin to drop to Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage and then to $88,000 in the coming hours .
Fear and Greed Index is Extreme Greed (84-87).
For a better understanding , I suggest you look at the analysis below in the weekly time frame .👇
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame⏰.
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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BITCOIN - Price can grow a little and then fall to support areaHi guys, this is my overview for BTCUSDT, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Recently price entered to flat, where it declined to support area, which coincided with $67300 level.
Then BTC some time traded in support area, after which broke $67300 level and rose to top part of flat.
Next, price made correction to $67300 level, after which started to grow inside rising channel, exiting from flat.
In channel, BTC rose to $86700 level, broke it, and at once reached resistance line of rising channel.
But a not long time ago price turned around and fell to $86700 level, exiting from channel and then it started to grow.
Possibly, I think that BTC can little grow and then start to decline to $85100 support area.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Bitcoin cycles + logistic curve = New bull run 2023-2025 I want to take a closer look at Bitcoin's price weekly logarithmic chart.
Firstly, the chart examines growth and fall cycles, sometimes referred to as economic cycles or trade cycles. As you can see in my analysis, the growth cycle usually lasts approximately 150 weeks and is always longer than the fall cycle that spans out over the course of approximately 51-60 weeks.
150 bars on Bitcoin's weekly price chart, mark the beginning of the next pulse of the growth cycle that we are currently in. Everything in our life is based on cyclical patterns, especially when it comes to financial markets.
If we analyze the rise and fall, we can conclude that the fall occurs faster than the growth of about three times.
About logistic curve
The logistic curve describes the speed of information dissemination among people. This graph describes the distribution of information in an environment.
At first, an instrument is of little interest to anyone, investors are afraid of buying it, and its price fluctuates around r °. At this time, the initiated ("elite"), solely owning important information, begin to buy it, and the price slightly grows. Then the information is shared with a small circle of insiders, individual purchases grow into active buying, and the price of the instrument abruptly takes off. The general public is perplexed and can not understand what is the reason. In the third stage, news comes out and investors fearing not having time to "jump into the last car" buy up this tool that the "elite" and "proxies" are happy to sell to them at the maximum price (with joy, because at that time the "elite" there is already new information that the "elite" has taken into account, a new logistic curve in another instrument begins, or in the same, but with another sign, sales begin). The third stage is completed, when the whole society is aware of what happened, discuss everywhere, in the metro, all who could have already made There is no one to sell.
The only thing that changes is the slope of the logistic curve - the information dissemination rate
As a rule, 90% of bulls in high. And then the market unfolds and vice versa
If you are constantly being told the same thing, then everybody knows it already. It is necessary to look not at the news
If everyone around you screams the same thing, then you are in the upper zone
The task of stepping back from the noise (this time it's useless overpriced NFT pictures)
"WE WILL BE GOLD BEFORE THE PORN, WHILE GOLDEN IDEOLOGISTS WILL EXIST" Rothschild's
"The same situation with cryptocurrencies, but this is only the beginning" Mr.EXCAVO
Best regards EXCAVO
TON → One step away from a rally. Trying to change the trendBINANCE:TONUSDT is coming out of a prolonged consolidation, but only one action separates us from the distribution phase. The bitcoin rally is favorable for many altcoins....
In my opinion, TON is a rather undervalued project that has a fundamentally significant base (many altcoins cannot boast of this).
Technically, the consolidation lasted for almost 9 months and, consequently, this energy should be used somewhere. The exit of the price from the accumulation begins to show us in which direction the distribution is likely to go.
The focus is on 5.420 and 5.150. If the bulls hold their defenses above this zone, the coin could show a flight to the moon in the long run. But don't look at cryptocurrencies with rose-colored glasses, assess the situation relative to the risks!
Resistance levels: 5.420, 6.133
Support levels: 5.151, 4.51
The price is breaking the resistance of the bullish pattern (descending wedge or descending triangle), we have to wait for confirmation that the trend change will be true. The fight for 5.420 continues. Let's keep an eye on this zone ;)
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:TONUSDT ;)
Regards R. Linda!
Bitcoin can little correct and then continue to move upHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. By observing the chart, we can see that the price a few days ago started to grow inside the upward channel, where it at once reached the resistance line of the channel. Then the price rose to the support area, which coincided with the 66800 support level, and then turned around and made a correction to the support line of the upward channel. When the price fell, it turned around and in a short time rose to the 66800 level, broke it, and then some time traded near. Later, BTC bounced from this level and rose almost to the resistance line of the channel, after which turned around and corrected to the support level, where at once made a strong upward impulse to the resistance line. Price some time traded between this line and later exited from a channel and continued to move up. Some time later, the price reached 86800 current support level, which is located inside one more support area and broke this level. Now BTC trades near this level and in my mind, the price can make a small correction, below the support level, and then continue to grow, and even reach new ATH. For this case, I set my TP at 94000 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
BTC/USDT WEEKLY CHART UPDATE !!
Bitcoin has broken out of the inverse head and shoulders pattern on the weekly timeframe, showing strong bullish momentum supported by high volume and the Ichimoku Cloud. A pullback for a retest above the breakout level may occur, possibly filling the CME gap, which could set the stage for a rally above 100K.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes and is not financial advice. Always stay updated with market movements and adjust your trading strategies as needed.
You can DM us for information on any other coin.
@Peter_CSAdmin
Incoming $BTC correction back to $72k-66kBTC has had an impressive run. I got long right before the last leg higher pre election. BTC overshot my target by $6k, but the idea still remains that the FWB:83K -86k is the important resistance and I think we break back below $86k and then start a correction lower.
Everyone is extremely bullish here. Coinbase is the #1 app in the app store again and while I still believe there's 3-5 days left in this move higher, I think a correction is coming and so it's time to be defensive instead of take more risk.
With alts, I think many will end up below people's entries as I think most people went long alts in the past week or two. I think many alts during this move will correct 40-60%.
Therefore, I'll be exiting all of my BTC and altcoin exposure over the coming days with anticipation that I'll be able to buy back my bags much lower over the coming weeks.
If i'm wrong and I miss another move higher, so be it, but all the signs are there that this move is exhausted.
If I am right, then I think you'll want to have cash to buy this dip because this will be the last large dip before BTC and altcoins explode higher.
BTCUSDT 96 ATH and soon dump to 69k\ VERY BIG RRI proceed from the fact that 69 and 96 are mirror values, they are related to each other as yin and yang, plus if you remember what the effect was when bitcoin was 69k and then what news appeared, there is a full probability that they can make bitcoin high in the zone of 96 and then a strong decline in the zone of 69 from where there will be a reversal of the price up with the subsequent breakdown of the price at 140k. What is the probability of that? I don't know, but even if it is 10% that it will come true, the risk/reward ratio is huge, I think it is worth a try. You should keep an eye on niskoliquids, because at the end of a strong growth they start to shoot and this is an indicator of the end of the bull run.
There can be local very bad news for the price direction downwards, such as something found during searches, sold at the market, some hacker attacks and then finding guilty of it to the applause of the public.
Need to check if BW(100) line is created at 90375.2 point
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
BW(100) line is showing signs of being created at 90375.2 point.
Accordingly, if BW(100) line is created at 90375.2 point, the key is whether it can rise above 90375.2.
If it fails to rise, it is likely to lead to further decline.
Accordingly, if it falls from the current section (87.8K-89K),
1st: StErr Line
2nd: M-Signal on the 1D chart
Whether it touches the 1st and 2nd areas above and rises is the point of observation.
Accordingly, if it receives support near 79.9K-80.9K and rises, it is expected to create a pull back pattern.
If not, if it falls below 76.7K and shows resistance, it is likely to turn into a short-term downtrend.
This short-term downtrend is expected to determine the trend again by touching the 68393.48-71335.47 area.
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If the decline begins, it is likely to show a greater decline than expected.
Therefore, what we need to watch closely is whether the StErr Line turns into a decline when it falls below the StErr Line.
This is because if the price is maintained below the StErr Line, it is likely to show a decline.
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The volatility period (around November 16-19) is approaching.
Accordingly, it is time to think a lot about response strategies.
When trading spot, you should consider whether you can reduce the investment ratio and buy more when it falls.
When trading short (SHORT) in futures, you must keep the stop loss point.
When trading long (LONG), check if you can use the same method as when trading spot, and if not, choose the time to liquidate.
The reason you can maintain long (LONG) trading is because funds are flowing into the coin market.
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Have a good time.
Thank you.
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- Big picture
It is expected that a full-scale upward trend will begin when it rises above 29K.
The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
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BTCUSD: When its Overbought, this is when you should buy more.Bitcoin has again turned overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 77.715, MACD = 6007.800, ADX = 49.688) as the price crossed over the top (LH) of the Triangle pattern that had us consolidating for the past 3 days. The 1D RSI is already over the R1 level and that should cause the bullish breakout of the price to accelerate. This breakout happened after the 1H MA100 was tested 3 times and held. As long as it keeps holding, we expect Bitcoin to target the 2.0 Fibonacci extension (TP = 97,000) of the previous LH.
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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Alt-season? Bitcoin BTC Dominance past cycles behavior analysis The best way to spot an altseason is looking at the Bitcoin BTC Dominance graph.
On this analysis, of the behavior of the Bitcoin BTC Dominance, I spotted in the graph , what happened on the last two cycles, 2017 and 2021, looking back to the 2013 BTC price top.
In the analysis I spotted three types of events:
All Time High (ATH)
Cycle Bottom
Attempts to break the past cycle's ATH
This brought me some interesting "coincidences" that leads to some insightful predictions.
My conclusion, so far, is that an All Time High breakout is a very important moment to the possible alt season beginning. One thing that should be considered is that the current cycle has some different characteristics as, probably in detail, all of them have. This means that maybe it could take some more time to the alt season start, as it did for the ATH be finally broken.
One thing I did'n mention in the video is that the BTC dominance has broken a theoretical downtrend line. That said, considering the end of the year calendar change that is a mentally important moment, I wouldn't be surprised if the altseason waits till January to pick up.
To be continued...